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[OSL] Grand Final - Jaedong v Fantasy - Page 11

Forum Index > Brood War Tournaments
Post a Reply
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3 Lions
Profile Blog Joined October 2007
United States3705 Posts
April 03 2009 02:18 GMT
#201
Statistical Odds for Jaedong vs Fantasy (for the whole series, not just one game)

(Z)Jaedong 61%-39% (T)fantasy
peidongyang
Profile Joined January 2009
Canada2084 Posts
April 03 2009 02:19 GMT
#202
jd ez win kk nnp np
the throws never bothered me anyway
rredtooth
Profile Blog Joined December 2008
5459 Posts
April 03 2009 02:35 GMT
#203
holy crap i can't wait. is there a mogulus stream that someone is going to set up? last season SC2GG set one up and it streamed perfectly. who wants to step up?
[formerly sponsored by the artist formerly known as Gene]
scwizard
Profile Joined March 2009
United States1195 Posts
April 03 2009 02:36 GMT
#204
On April 03 2009 11:18 3 Lions wrote:
Statistical Odds for Jaedong vs Fantasy (for the whole series, not just one game)

(Z)Jaedong 61%-39% (T)fantasy

Where did those numbers come from?
3 Lions
Profile Blog Joined October 2007
United States3705 Posts
April 03 2009 02:39 GMT
#205
On April 03 2009 11:36 scwizard wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 03 2009 11:18 3 Lions wrote:
Statistical Odds for Jaedong vs Fantasy (for the whole series, not just one game)

(Z)Jaedong 61%-39% (T)fantasy

Where did those numbers come from?

A compilation of stats of...(in this case)
wins in ZvT/TvZ all time for these players, map balance statistics, recent game statistics for both ZvT/TvZ and all MU's, head-to-head, player records on these maps, and some stuff from my own PR
scwizard
Profile Joined March 2009
United States1195 Posts
April 03 2009 03:00 GMT
#206
Popular opinion gives numbers closer to:
78% and 22%
n.DieJokes
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
United States3443 Posts
April 03 2009 03:06 GMT
#207
On April 03 2009 11:39 3 Lions wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 03 2009 11:36 scwizard wrote:
On April 03 2009 11:18 3 Lions wrote:
Statistical Odds for Jaedong vs Fantasy (for the whole series, not just one game)

(Z)Jaedong 61%-39% (T)fantasy

Where did those numbers come from?

A compilation of stats of...(in this case)
wins in ZvT/TvZ all time for these players, map balance statistics, recent game statistics for both ZvT/TvZ and all MU's, head-to-head, player records on these maps, and some stuff from my own PR

But there's no established constant to measure the importance of map balance or last 10 vs the overall statistics or the head to head. You would have to either arbitrarily make up constants or perform the test separately and take like a mean of your findings. There's no establish model for predicting a series as far as I'm aware, On the other hand, if you could make blog detailing your process I would give it 5/5...plz I would love to see it
MyLove + Your Love= Supa Love
Boundz(DarKo)
Profile Joined March 2009
5311 Posts
April 03 2009 04:15 GMT
#208
Only 4 hours and 46 minutes left..
Avidkeystamper
Profile Blog Joined June 2008
United States8552 Posts
April 03 2009 04:16 GMT
#209
On April 03 2009 13:15 Boundz(DarKo) wrote:
Only 4 hours and 46 minutes left..

+1 day.
Jaedong
ShaLLoW[baY]
Profile Blog Joined January 2007
Canada12499 Posts
April 03 2009 04:16 GMT
#210
On April 03 2009 13:15 Boundz(DarKo) wrote:
Only 28 hours and 46 minutes left..

ALEXISONFIRE ARE FUCKING BACK (sAviOr for life)
b(town)
Profile Joined February 2009
United States20 Posts
April 03 2009 04:19 GMT
#211
JD in 5 -that's coming from another terran whose cheering for Jaedong -how can you not cheer for him??? Oh well, I'm happy either way. Here's hoping for a set of five good games
Boundz(DarKo)
Profile Joined March 2009
5311 Posts
Last Edited: 2009-04-03 04:25:18
April 03 2009 04:24 GMT
#212
On April 03 2009 13:16 ShaLLoW[baY] wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 03 2009 13:15 Boundz(DarKo) wrote:
Only 28 hours and 46 minutes left..


Whoa really? Hahah thanks I am so tired I didn't even notice! Sweeeeet bed here I come!

( its 6.24 am been up all night and no red bull -_-' )
SilverSkyLark
Profile Blog Joined April 2008
Philippines8437 Posts
April 03 2009 08:47 GMT
#213
Fantasy Fanboy dream:
Dream 1:
Game 1 - Jaedong goes 5 pool in an attempt to throw fantasy's mental composure off, he loses.
Game 2 - Jaedong goes Guardians and loses.
Game 3 - Fantasy goes mech.

Dream 2:
Game 1 - Bunker Rush
Game 2 - Bunker Rush
Game 3 - Bunker Rush

Dream 3:
Game 1 - 4 pool
Game 2 - 5 pool
Game 3 - Bunker Rush
Game 4 - Bunker Rush
Game 5 - Bunker Rush

Or maybe an uber epic series then game 5 both players get pushed to their max and Fantasy goes mass restoration to minimize Plague and Ensnare damage.
"If i lost an arm, I would play w3." -IntoTheWow || "Member of Hyuk Hyuk Hyuk cafe. He's the next Jaedong, baby!"
Hammy
Profile Joined January 2009
France828 Posts
April 03 2009 09:01 GMT
#214
I'd really like to watch these games live on OGN but I've always had a problem while streaming that channel. It works just fine for about 8s then just freezes up and never comes back until I relaunch. Sometimes i'll just lose image and the sound will go on a bit longer until it also just freezes up. It's most likely a connexion issue, but just in case, has anyone else ever had this issue and managed to correct it? (by other methods than just getting a better connexion :p)
The problem might also come from the fact that my reception fluxuates a bit, but it's pretty surprising that the stream always stops at about the same time.
I'm posting here since it totally concerns this awesome game : ) I Hope someone can help while just navigating by : )
CharlieMurphy
Profile Blog Joined March 2006
United States22895 Posts
April 03 2009 09:03 GMT
#215
How can I watch this if I don't have a Computer?
..and then I would, ya know, check em'. (Aka SpoR)
Ilikestarcraft
Profile Blog Joined November 2004
Korea (South)17726 Posts
April 03 2009 09:05 GMT
#216
The same way that you got on tl.
"Nana is a goddess. Or at very least, Nana is my goddess." - KazeHydra
FakeSteve[TPR]
Profile Blog Joined July 2003
Valhalla18444 Posts
April 03 2009 09:26 GMT
#217
On April 03 2009 18:03 CharlieMurphy wrote:
How can I watch this if I don't have a Computer?


hahahah do you really need to ask this

it is a physical impossibility
Moderatormy tatsu loops r fuckin nice
SilverSkyLark
Profile Blog Joined April 2008
Philippines8437 Posts
April 03 2009 10:00 GMT
#218
I hope I get lucky on streams and get a perfect stream on the first time.
"If i lost an arm, I would play w3." -IntoTheWow || "Member of Hyuk Hyuk Hyuk cafe. He's the next Jaedong, baby!"
Itachii
Profile Blog Joined April 2008
Poland12466 Posts
April 03 2009 10:28 GMT
#219
On April 03 2009 19:00 Infinity.SkyLark wrote:
I hope I get lucky on streams and get a perfect stream on the first time.

now you said it, you ll be stuck with LR.
La parole nous a été donnée pour déguiser notre pensée
NeverGG *
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
United Kingdom5399 Posts
April 03 2009 10:47 GMT
#220
-_-; It's in Busan so I'm not going. (Nice for the Busan fans to get an event though ) Jaedong fighting!
우리 행운의 모양은 여러개지만 행복의 모양은 하나
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