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[ASL16] Ro24 Group F - Page 10

Forum Index > Brood War Tournaments
Post a Reply
Prev 1 8 9 10 11 Next All
RJBTV
Profile Joined December 2022
194 Posts
August 28 2023 13:15 GMT
#181
On August 28 2023 21:14 outscar wrote:
All of groups look so stacked I can't even pick up group of death. Which one? A or C? If we don't count effOrt as top zerg right now it surely looks like C is Group of Death.

I'm really looking forward to Ample's TvZ if he can knock out monstrous herO or late game unbeatable SoulKey so Bisu has chance to get out.



If you ask me all groups are equally groups of death.
How I'd rank groups based on skill.
D: Best = Royal = Action > Sharp.
C: HerO = Soulkey = Bisu > Ample
B: Rush = Mini > Mind(has not played much) > Killer
A: Soma > JyJ > Effort > Calm

Predictions:
D: Action + Sharp
C: HerO + Ample (hopium!) If Ample can avoid Bisu he has a solid shot. If Ample meets Bisu its donezo.
B: Rush + Mini
A: Soma and JyJ
TornadoSteve
Profile Joined March 2018
1123 Posts
August 28 2023 13:43 GMT
#182
On August 28 2023 22:15 RJBTV wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 28 2023 21:14 outscar wrote:
All of groups look so stacked I can't even pick up group of death. Which one? A or C? If we don't count effOrt as top zerg right now it surely looks like C is Group of Death.

I'm really looking forward to Ample's TvZ if he can knock out monstrous herO or late game unbeatable SoulKey so Bisu has chance to get out.



If you ask me all groups are equally groups of death.
How I'd rank groups based on skill.
D: Best = Royal = Action > Sharp.
C: HerO = Soulkey = Bisu > Ample
B: Rush = Mini > Mind(has not played much) > Killer
A: Soma > JyJ > Effort > Calm

Predictions:
D: Action + Sharp
C: HerO + Ample (hopium!) If Ample can avoid Bisu he has a solid shot. If Ample meets Bisu its donezo.
B: Rush + Mini
A: Soma and JyJ


you misstyped your group D prediction. Surely action has a decent shot, though.
oEkY
Profile Joined August 2016
Germany649 Posts
August 28 2023 13:49 GMT
#183
On August 28 2023 21:07 TMNT wrote:
JYJ could have killed multiple birds with one stone by swapping Mini for Ample but I guess he only wants to practice one matchup. Not sure why he didn't bring Killer to his group instead of Effort? Maybe he wants to use Effort to knock out Soma.


I might also be wrong, but didnt they change the rules for swapping players for this season or from last season on? I think I heard somewhere (probably in a starcastTV-stream), that a player cannot swap first player picks, so you can only swap 3rd and 4th players of each group...
TMNT
Profile Joined January 2021
3296 Posts
August 28 2023 14:03 GMT
#184
On August 28 2023 22:49 oEkY wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 28 2023 21:07 TMNT wrote:
JYJ could have killed multiple birds with one stone by swapping Mini for Ample but I guess he only wants to practice one matchup. Not sure why he didn't bring Killer to his group instead of Effort? Maybe he wants to use Effort to knock out Soma.


I might also be wrong, but didnt they change the rules for swapping players for this season or from last season on? I think I heard somewhere (probably in a starcastTV-stream), that a player cannot swap first player picks, so you can only swap 3rd and 4th players of each group...

Good if true. The old rule gave too much power to the 1st seeds that they could run away with a piss easy group.
BisuDagger
Profile Blog Joined October 2009
Bisutopia19383 Posts
August 28 2023 14:49 GMT
#185
These are fantastic groups! There's a ton of potential for different champions.
ModeratorFormer Afreeca Starleague Caster: http://afreeca.tv/ASL2ENG2
RogerChillingworth
Profile Joined March 2010
Chad3132 Posts
August 28 2023 14:57 GMT
#186
Damn JYJ is gonna puree that group unless Soma can pull an upset. Soma might also fall to mass zvz dogpile.

May Mini and BeSt not shit the bed, amen.
Shinokuki
Profile Joined July 2013
United States924 Posts
August 28 2023 15:00 GMT
#187
On August 28 2023 23:57 RogerChillingworth wrote:
Damn JYJ is gonna puree that group unless Soma can pull an upset. Soma might also fall to mass zvz dogpile.

May Mini and BeSt not shit the bed, amen.


You haven't been watching proleague recently? It's who beats Soma lmao. JYJ is not top tier player.
Life is just life
RogerChillingworth
Profile Joined March 2010
Chad3132 Posts
August 28 2023 15:07 GMT
#188
On August 29 2023 00:00 Shinokuki wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 28 2023 23:57 RogerChillingworth wrote:
Damn JYJ is gonna puree that group unless Soma can pull an upset. Soma might also fall to mass zvz dogpile.

May Mini and BeSt not shit the bed, amen.


lmao


i always knew i was funny. ty bb

RogerChillingworth
Profile Joined March 2010
Chad3132 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-08-28 15:08:24
August 28 2023 15:08 GMT
#189
oh. sry
Magic Powers
Profile Joined April 2012
Austria4478 Posts
August 28 2023 15:13 GMT
#190
Of the remaining players the one to beat is definitely Soma. JyJ is a strong player, but in this ASL he's around mid tier right now.
Sharp is another strong contender, people have been underestimating him.
Effort is also a top pick.

My vote goes to Soma, then probably Sharp.
If you want to do the right thing, 80% of your job is done if you don't do the wrong thing.
TornadoSteve
Profile Joined March 2018
1123 Posts
August 28 2023 15:28 GMT
#191
On August 29 2023 00:13 Magic Powers wrote:
Of the remaining players the one to beat is definitely Soma. JyJ is a strong player, but in this ASL he's around mid tier right now.
Sharp is another strong contender, people have been underestimating him.
Effort is also a top pick.

My vote goes to Soma, then probably Sharp.


a+ lol
RJBTV
Profile Joined December 2022
194 Posts
August 28 2023 15:57 GMT
#192
On August 29 2023 00:00 Shinokuki wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 28 2023 23:57 RogerChillingworth wrote:
Damn JYJ is gonna puree that group unless Soma can pull an upset. Soma might also fall to mass zvz dogpile.

May Mini and BeSt not shit the bed, amen.


You haven't been watching proleague recently? It's who beats Soma lmao. JYJ is not top tier player.

JyJ haa actually been super solid past two weeks but Soma without a doubt(with the exclusion of snow and light) has been performing the best.
RogerChillingworth
Profile Joined March 2010
Chad3132 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-08-28 16:19:23
August 28 2023 16:18 GMT
#193
I agree Soma's the guy to beat, I'm his biggest fan. And he may be owning recently, I haven't seen all the matches. But I thought the same thing last season and he lost to Mind and ultimately bombed out early. I'd love to be proven wrong, I just don't want to have high expectations. JyJ always looks so strong in TvZ as well, like Flash level macro and tactical play.
BisuDagger
Profile Blog Joined October 2009
Bisutopia19383 Posts
August 28 2023 19:35 GMT
#194
On August 29 2023 00:13 Magic Powers wrote:
Of the remaining players the one to beat is definitely Soma. JyJ is a strong player, but in this ASL he's around mid tier right now.
Sharp is another strong contender, people have been underestimating him.
Effort is also a top pick.

My vote goes to Soma, then probably Sharp.

Sharp is a bottom 3 player. He has a very poor ASL history. I love the guy, but he’s typical fodder at this stage. I’d be happy to be wrong, but doubt it.
ModeratorFormer Afreeca Starleague Caster: http://afreeca.tv/ASL2ENG2
Destroyer
Profile Joined October 2002
Czech Republic955 Posts
August 28 2023 19:44 GMT
#195
Mind is biggest unknown for me. He was either hiding and practicing maps into perfection or he was just away and dont care much. Really wondering and hoping the first option is the case.

Anyways, predictions..
JyJ + Effort
Mind + Rush
Hero + SK
Sharp + RoyaL
never too old for starcraft :)
Magic Powers
Profile Joined April 2012
Austria4478 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-08-28 20:19:58
August 28 2023 20:16 GMT
#196
On August 29 2023 04:35 BisuDagger wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 29 2023 00:13 Magic Powers wrote:
Of the remaining players the one to beat is definitely Soma. JyJ is a strong player, but in this ASL he's around mid tier right now.
Sharp is another strong contender, people have been underestimating him.
Effort is also a top pick.

My vote goes to Soma, then probably Sharp.

Sharp is a bottom 3 player. He has a very poor ASL history. I love the guy, but he’s typical fodder at this stage. I’d be happy to be wrong, but doubt it.


Sharp is certainly not bottom 3. He's been improving very rapidly lately and ranking very highly. Depending on how useful that information is he could either be top tier or mid tier.
I've observed a strong trend of rising talent usually winning the ASL in recent years, that's why Sharp is my second pick.

I'm actually less certain about Soma because, even though he's the best remaining player in this ASL, he's also fairly inconsistent. His biggest weakness is that he frequently loses games that he should almost certainly win (or at least not lose in tragic fashion). Sharp doesn't seem to have this weakness, for him it's more the opposite: he pulls out miracle wins when you'd least expect it.
If you want to do the right thing, 80% of your job is done if you don't do the wrong thing.
TMNT
Profile Joined January 2021
3296 Posts
August 28 2023 20:43 GMT
#197
Based on recent results it seems like JYJ has approached Light's level in TvZ, ahead of Rush and Royal. Him slaying group A is almost certain, even if Soma's there. Meanwhile his TvP is still around 30%-ish against everyone in the top 4 Protoss. His TvT is 50/50 against Royal and Rush. If he avoids Protoss he may win ASL a second time.

redknights
Profile Joined December 2021
206 Posts
August 29 2023 01:07 GMT
#198
On August 29 2023 05:16 Magic Powers wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 29 2023 04:35 BisuDagger wrote:
On August 29 2023 00:13 Magic Powers wrote:
Of the remaining players the one to beat is definitely Soma. JyJ is a strong player, but in this ASL he's around mid tier right now.
Sharp is another strong contender, people have been underestimating him.
Effort is also a top pick.

My vote goes to Soma, then probably Sharp.

Sharp is a bottom 3 player. He has a very poor ASL history. I love the guy, but he’s typical fodder at this stage. I’d be happy to be wrong, but doubt it.


Sharp is certainly not bottom 3. He's been improving very rapidly lately and ranking very highly. Depending on how useful that information is he could either be top tier or mid tier.
I've observed a strong trend of rising talent usually winning the ASL in recent years, that's why Sharp is my second pick.

I'm actually less certain about Soma because, even though he's the best remaining player in this ASL, he's also fairly inconsistent. His biggest weakness is that he frequently loses games that he should almost certainly win (or at least not lose in tragic fashion). Sharp doesn't seem to have this weakness, for him it's more the opposite: he pulls out miracle wins when you'd least expect it.

While I generally root for Sharp, he has to overcome his history of inconsistency and early game missteps to have any chance.

In the past, he could usually find his way back into the game from bad positions, but he acknowledges that the advances in optimization in recent years make early game mistakes harder to come back from.

Also there are a ton of zergs left and that's his weakest matchup by far. Cannot fall back on mechswitch like the early ASL days. Ridiculously weak against mutalisks and very inconsistent with valk backshots. Will admit he's getting better with vessel management in the SK style. Yes he's been practicing a lot of TvZ due to his Ro24 group, but I'm still not sold that he's turned a corner.

Mind hasn't been active recently because he broke up with his long-time serious girlfriend. He still looked very sad/down today.
M3t4PhYzX
Profile Joined March 2019
Poland4276 Posts
August 29 2023 02:33 GMT
#199
and the first matchups for each group are..?

do we know? is it 1 vs 2 / 3 vs 4 or 1 vs 4 / 2 vs 3
M3t4PhYzX
Profile Joined March 2019
Poland4276 Posts
August 29 2023 02:33 GMT
#200
pretty sick groups btw

hopefully at least 1 protoss makes it to the ro8..
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