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[OSL] Ever 2009 OSL - Ro16 - Day 6 - Page 44

Forum Index > Brood War Tournaments
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johanes
Profile Blog Joined May 2008
Czech Republic2229 Posts
December 11 2009 14:31 GMT
#861
On December 11 2009 23:27 Camlito wrote:
(T)Flash > (Z)Jaedong
(P)Pure > (Z)Calm
(P)Movie > (Z)ZerO
(P)Stork > (Z)Shine

(P)Pure > (T)Flash

(P)Stork > (P)Movie

(P)Stork vs (P)Pure (lolol)

last time flash and pure played, pure was raped hard
mmgoose
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
769 Posts
Last Edited: 2009-12-11 14:32:53
December 11 2009 14:31 GMT
#862
(T)Flash 2-1 (Z)Jaedong
(Z)Calm 2-0 (P)Pure
(Z)ZerO 2-0 (P)Movie
(Z)Shine 2-0 (P)Stork

it's a 2006 OSL (T)Casy run.
And you know if a grandmother had a penis she would be a grandfather.
FireGuyX
Profile Joined February 2009
United States1712 Posts
Last Edited: 2009-12-11 14:37:03
December 11 2009 14:33 GMT
#863
Ro8 Predictions

Flash>(Z)Jaedong
(P)Pure<Calm
Movie>(Z)ZerO
(Z)Shine<Stork
Flash, ForGG, and Movie fan.
TwoToneTerran
Profile Joined March 2009
United States8841 Posts
Last Edited: 2009-12-11 14:35:17
December 11 2009 14:34 GMT
#864
I'd like to note why I believe Flash is the favorite -- aside from my horrible bias.

Flash and Jaedong have met in series play 4 times. Two Bo3s, Two Bo5s.

Flash won both Bo3s, Jaedong won both Bo5s.

They go back and forth in Bo1s with Jaedong having a lead. They've also both All killed each other's team.

Flash is, currently, playing the best TvZ that's ever been played. Jaedong is playing amazing ZvT, too -- I mean only dropping games to Hwasin and Fantasy.

But here's what's amazing about Flash's TvZ.

Flash hasn't lost a TvZ since July (with exception to the savior all stars game and, frankly, I think it's the better part of discretion to disclude that one). That is half a year without losing a single TvZ.

Forgive me, Jaedong fans, for saying this, but Flash is the favorite here (depending on maps, not sure how the balance is there). A slight one, but Flash is MUCH better than Hwasin and Fantasy right now, and both of them put Jaedong on the ropes.
Remember Violet.
natturner
Profile Blog Joined June 2008
342 Posts
December 11 2009 14:37 GMT
#865
yes, fantasy is out
This nigga done stole my bike.
Avidkeystamper
Profile Blog Joined June 2008
United States8556 Posts
December 11 2009 14:38 GMT
#866
Yeah, if Flash cheese, he's got a pretty good shot against Jaedong.
Jaedong
On_Slaught
Profile Joined August 2008
United States12190 Posts
December 11 2009 14:38 GMT
#867
This isn't the first time JD has been underrated.

All you crazy KT fans better hope Flash isn't stupid enough to undervalue how great JD is or this will be a very fast 2-0 for JD.
Plexa
Profile Blog Joined October 2005
Aotearoa39261 Posts
December 11 2009 14:39 GMT
#868
Flash > Jaedong
Pure > Calm
Movie < Zero
Stork > Shine

Flash > Pure
Stork > Zero

Flash > Stork finals
Administrator~ Spirit will set you free ~
Black Gun
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
Germany4482 Posts
December 11 2009 14:41 GMT
#869
i agree, flash is the slight favorite imho. he is just on a monster roll right now.....
he just broke 2370 elo, 2300 vZ elo and is maybe 2 wins away from breaking 70% career winrate. actually, if jd wasnt such a beast in boX series, he´d be the vast underdog here. taking jds insane mental strength into consideration, he arrives at about 45% chance to win this imho.
"What am I supposed to do against this?" - "Lose!" :-]
TwoToneTerran
Profile Joined March 2009
United States8841 Posts
Last Edited: 2009-12-11 14:43:53
December 11 2009 14:41 GMT
#870
On December 11 2009 23:38 Avidkeystamper wrote:
Yeah, if Flash cheese, he's got a pretty good shot against Jaedong.


Wasn't it Jaedong who rushed most of the games in those Bo3s?

Not really cheese but a lot of 9/overpool speed.

On December 11 2009 23:41 Black Gun wrote:
i agree, flash is the slight favorite imho. he is just on a monster roll right now.....
he just broke 2370 elo, 2300 vZ elo and is maybe 2 wins away from breaking 70% career winrate. actually, if jd wasnt such a beast in boX series, he´d be the vast underdog here. taking jds insane mental strength into consideration, he arrives at about 45% chance to win this imho.


Flash needs .75% to break a 70% career winrate, and he gets about .08% every win, so he needs about NINE wins to break 70%.
Remember Violet.
FireGuyX
Profile Joined February 2009
United States1712 Posts
December 11 2009 14:42 GMT
#871
I can't believe Zero is the favorite against Movie. Movie's micro against zerg is S-Class and he comes up with excellent builds against zergs. And unlike Pure, Movie is also very good at harassing zergs. The only problem with Movie is that's he's sometimes inconsistent or makes a blunder that will cost him the game. But he's improving after every season and when he's focused for a particular matchup, he will most likely beat them (see Movie vs Hero OSL round of 36).
Flash, ForGG, and Movie fan.
Avidkeystamper
Profile Blog Joined June 2008
United States8556 Posts
Last Edited: 2009-12-11 14:47:11
December 11 2009 14:45 GMT
#872
In KeSPA sanctioned games, do you know how long ZerO's recently broken ZvP streak was?
+ Show Spoiler +
13

Still underrated.

On December 11 2009 23:41 TwoToneTerran wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 11 2009 23:38 Avidkeystamper wrote:
Yeah, if Flash cheese, he's got a pretty good shot against Jaedong.


Wasn't it Jaedong who rushed most of the games in those Bo3s?

Not really cheese but a lot of 9/overpool speed.

Show nested quote +
On December 11 2009 23:41 Black Gun wrote:
i agree, flash is the slight favorite imho. he is just on a monster roll right now.....
he just broke 2370 elo, 2300 vZ elo and is maybe 2 wins away from breaking 70% career winrate. actually, if jd wasnt such a beast in boX series, he´d be the vast underdog here. taking jds insane mental strength into consideration, he arrives at about 45% chance to win this imho.


Flash needs .75% to break a 70% career winrate, and he gets about .08% every win, so he needs about NINE wins to break 70%.

2 cheese : 1 iirc
And I'm referring to Fantasy and Hwasin cheesing him. Not even a contest imo. =]
Jaedong
Avidkeystamper
Profile Blog Joined June 2008
United States8556 Posts
Last Edited: 2009-12-11 14:47:04
December 11 2009 14:46 GMT
#873
oops double
Jaedong
CTStalker
Profile Blog Joined November 2004
Canada9720 Posts
December 11 2009 14:48 GMT
#874
thanks for the brackets hoon. i think pure and movie will both advance, their pvz has both been on fire lately
By the way, my name is Funk. I am not of your world
TwoToneTerran
Profile Joined March 2009
United States8841 Posts
December 11 2009 14:49 GMT
#875
On December 11 2009 23:45 Avidkeystamper wrote:
In KeSPA sanctioned games, do you know how long ZerO's recently broken ZvP streak was?
+ Show Spoiler +
13

Still underrated.

Show nested quote +
On December 11 2009 23:41 TwoToneTerran wrote:
On December 11 2009 23:38 Avidkeystamper wrote:
Yeah, if Flash cheese, he's got a pretty good shot against Jaedong.


Wasn't it Jaedong who rushed most of the games in those Bo3s?

Not really cheese but a lot of 9/overpool speed.

On December 11 2009 23:41 Black Gun wrote:
i agree, flash is the slight favorite imho. he is just on a monster roll right now.....
he just broke 2370 elo, 2300 vZ elo and is maybe 2 wins away from breaking 70% career winrate. actually, if jd wasnt such a beast in boX series, he´d be the vast underdog here. taking jds insane mental strength into consideration, he arrives at about 45% chance to win this imho.


Flash needs .75% to break a 70% career winrate, and he gets about .08% every win, so he needs about NINE wins to break 70%.

2 cheese : 1 iirc
And I'm referring to Fantasy and Hwasin cheesing him. Not even a contest imo. =]


Well Fantasy took 2 straight up games vs Jaedong recently, too. Game 1 in OSL semifinal and first game of PL Grand Finals. POINITIVELY, Flash and Jaedong are in another league, but Flash has the Bo3 history and the current hotness.

Jaedong is the only zerg I truly believe isn't an underdog vs the man, but when the LB comes around, I'm voting Flash without a second thought.
Remember Violet.
Womwomwom
Profile Blog Joined September 2009
5930 Posts
Last Edited: 2009-12-11 14:55:36
December 11 2009 14:50 GMT
#876
On December 11 2009 23:27 Ilikestarcraft wrote:
wow just when everyone started talks of flash's tvz is still untested vs the top he gets two bo3 vs the 2 of the best zvters ever.


Well if he's going to prove his TvZ is the shit, it may as well be now with KT actually fucking backing him up for once. No shame if he loses against Jaedong and Zero though since both guys are ballers. I think he's a favourite over Zero but I don't think he's a favourite over Jaedong, who no doubt will practice like mad to prepare for the Little Monster. And if someone can be expected to perform when needed, its Jaedong.

Kind of hope Flash beats them both 2-0 to simply silence the naysayers saying his streak is not legit because he's beating scrubs into the ground.

On December 11 2009 23:45 Avidkeystamper wrote:
In KeSPA sanctioned games, do you know how long ZerO's recently broken ZvP streak was?
+ Show Spoiler +
13

Still underrated.




Seriously, Zero is the shit when it comes to ZvP. Movie is going to struggle against this guy if he hasn't got something awesome prepared.
Avidkeystamper
Profile Blog Joined June 2008
United States8556 Posts
December 11 2009 14:51 GMT
#877
On December 11 2009 23:49 TwoToneTerran wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 11 2009 23:45 Avidkeystamper wrote:
In KeSPA sanctioned games, do you know how long ZerO's recently broken ZvP streak was?
+ Show Spoiler +
13

Still underrated.

On December 11 2009 23:41 TwoToneTerran wrote:
On December 11 2009 23:38 Avidkeystamper wrote:
Yeah, if Flash cheese, he's got a pretty good shot against Jaedong.


Wasn't it Jaedong who rushed most of the games in those Bo3s?

Not really cheese but a lot of 9/overpool speed.

On December 11 2009 23:41 Black Gun wrote:
i agree, flash is the slight favorite imho. he is just on a monster roll right now.....
he just broke 2370 elo, 2300 vZ elo and is maybe 2 wins away from breaking 70% career winrate. actually, if jd wasnt such a beast in boX series, he´d be the vast underdog here. taking jds insane mental strength into consideration, he arrives at about 45% chance to win this imho.


Flash needs .75% to break a 70% career winrate, and he gets about .08% every win, so he needs about NINE wins to break 70%.

2 cheese : 1 iirc
And I'm referring to Fantasy and Hwasin cheesing him. Not even a contest imo. =]


Well Fantasy took 2 straight up games vs Jaedong recently, too. Game 1 in OSL semifinal and first game of PL Grand Finals. POINITIVELY, Flash and Jaedong are in another league, but Flash has the Bo3 history and the current hotness.

Jaedong is the only zerg I truly believe isn't an underdog vs the man, but when the LB comes around, I'm voting Flash without a second thought.

Free LB points fo' me.
Jaedong
Jaksiel
Profile Joined November 2008
United States4130 Posts
December 11 2009 14:53 GMT
#878
On December 11 2009 23:42 FireGuyX wrote:
I can't believe Zero is the favorite against Movie. Movie's micro against zerg is S-Class and he comes up with excellent builds against zergs. And unlike Pure, Movie is also very good at harassing zergs. The only problem with Movie is that's he's sometimes inconsistent or makes a blunder that will cost him the game. But he's improving after every season and when he's focused for a particular matchup, he will most likely beat them (see Movie vs Hero OSL round of 36).



Just because you think Movie can beat Zero doesn't mean Zero isn't the favorite. Zero is probably the best ZvPer at the moment and was on a long ZvP winning streak before losing to Pure.
Zero fighting.
FireGuyX
Profile Joined February 2009
United States1712 Posts
Last Edited: 2009-12-11 14:55:29
December 11 2009 14:54 GMT
#879
On December 11 2009 23:53 Jaksiel wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 11 2009 23:42 FireGuyX wrote:
I can't believe Zero is the favorite against Movie. Movie's micro against zerg is S-Class and he comes up with excellent builds against zergs. And unlike Pure, Movie is also very good at harassing zergs. The only problem with Movie is that's he's sometimes inconsistent or makes a blunder that will cost him the game. But he's improving after every season and when he's focused for a particular matchup, he will most likely beat them (see Movie vs Hero OSL round of 36).



Just because you think Movie can beat Zero doesn't mean Zero isn't the favorite. Zero is probably the best ZvPer at the moment and was on a long ZvP winning streak before losing to Pure.



Well I didn't mean it that way, I can see why Zero is the favorite despite what I said, and the best ZvP at the moment? Better than Jaedong? None the less Movie vs Zero will be an excellent match and Zero will learn first hand why Movie isn't Pure.
Flash, ForGG, and Movie fan.
TwoToneTerran
Profile Joined March 2009
United States8841 Posts
December 11 2009 14:56 GMT
#880
On December 11 2009 23:51 Avidkeystamper wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 11 2009 23:49 TwoToneTerran wrote:
On December 11 2009 23:45 Avidkeystamper wrote:
In KeSPA sanctioned games, do you know how long ZerO's recently broken ZvP streak was?
+ Show Spoiler +
13

Still underrated.

On December 11 2009 23:41 TwoToneTerran wrote:
On December 11 2009 23:38 Avidkeystamper wrote:
Yeah, if Flash cheese, he's got a pretty good shot against Jaedong.


Wasn't it Jaedong who rushed most of the games in those Bo3s?

Not really cheese but a lot of 9/overpool speed.

On December 11 2009 23:41 Black Gun wrote:
i agree, flash is the slight favorite imho. he is just on a monster roll right now.....
he just broke 2370 elo, 2300 vZ elo and is maybe 2 wins away from breaking 70% career winrate. actually, if jd wasnt such a beast in boX series, he´d be the vast underdog here. taking jds insane mental strength into consideration, he arrives at about 45% chance to win this imho.


Flash needs .75% to break a 70% career winrate, and he gets about .08% every win, so he needs about NINE wins to break 70%.

2 cheese : 1 iirc
And I'm referring to Fantasy and Hwasin cheesing him. Not even a contest imo. =]


Well Fantasy took 2 straight up games vs Jaedong recently, too. Game 1 in OSL semifinal and first game of PL Grand Finals. POINITIVELY, Flash and Jaedong are in another league, but Flash has the Bo3 history and the current hotness.

Jaedong is the only zerg I truly believe isn't an underdog vs the man, but when the LB comes around, I'm voting Flash without a second thought.

Free LB points fo' me.


YOUR KEYS WILL NOT BE STAMPED THIS DAY GOOD SIR
Remember Violet.
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