• Log InLog In
  • Register
Liquid`
Team Liquid Liquipedia
EST 09:08
CET 15:08
KST 23:08
  • Home
  • Forum
  • Calendar
  • Streams
  • Liquipedia
  • Features
  • Store
  • EPT
  • TL+
  • StarCraft 2
  • Brood War
  • Smash
  • Heroes
  • Counter-Strike
  • Overwatch
  • Liquibet
  • Fantasy StarCraft
  • TLPD
  • StarCraft 2
  • Brood War
  • Blogs
Forum Sidebar
Events/Features
News
Featured News
RSL Revival - 2025 Season Finals Preview8RSL Season 3 - Playoffs Preview0RSL Season 3 - RO16 Groups C & D Preview0RSL Season 3 - RO16 Groups A & B Preview2TL.net Map Contest #21: Winners12
Community News
Weekly Cups (Jan 5-11): Clem wins big offline, Trigger upsets4$21,000 Rongyi Cup Season 3 announced (Jan 22-Feb 7)15Weekly Cups (Dec 29-Jan 4): Protoss rolls, 2v2 returns7[BSL21] Non-Korean Championship - Starts Jan 103SC2 All-Star Invitational: Jan 17-1830
StarCraft 2
General
Custom Embroidered Patches | High-Quality & Person Stellar Fest "01" Jersey Charity Auction SC2 All-Star Invitational: Jan 17-18 Weekly Cups (Jan 5-11): Clem wins big offline, Trigger upsets When will we find out if there are more tournament
Tourneys
OSC Season 13 World Championship SC2 AI Tournament 2026 Sparkling Tuna Cup - Weekly Open Tournament $21,000 Rongyi Cup Season 3 announced (Jan 22-Feb 7) $25,000 Streamerzone StarCraft Pro Series announced
Strategy
Simple Questions Simple Answers
Custom Maps
Map Editor closed ?
External Content
Mutation # 508 Violent Night Mutation # 507 Well Trained Mutation # 506 Warp Zone Mutation # 505 Rise From Ashes
Brood War
General
[ASL21] Potential Map Candidates BGH Auto Balance -> http://bghmmr.eu/ BW General Discussion A cwal.gg Extension - Easily keep track of anyone Potential ASL qualifier breakthroughs?
Tourneys
[Megathread] Daily Proleagues [BSL21] Grand Finals - Sunday 21:00 CET [BSL21] Non-Korean Championship - Starts Jan 10 SLON Grand Finals – Season 2
Strategy
Game Theory for Starcraft Simple Questions, Simple Answers Current Meta [G] How to get started on ladder as a new Z player
Other Games
General Games
Beyond All Reason Nintendo Switch Thread Awesome Games Done Quick 2026! Mechabellum Stormgate/Frost Giant Megathread
Dota 2
Official 'what is Dota anymore' discussion
League of Legends
Heroes of the Storm
Simple Questions, Simple Answers Heroes of the Storm 2.0
Hearthstone
Deck construction bug Heroes of StarCraft mini-set
TL Mafia
Vanilla Mini Mafia Mafia Game Mode Feedback/Ideas
Community
General
US Politics Mega-thread Russo-Ukrainian War Thread Things Aren’t Peaceful in Palestine European Politico-economics QA Mega-thread Trading/Investing Thread
Fan Clubs
White-Ra Fan Club
Media & Entertainment
Anime Discussion Thread
Sports
2024 - 2026 Football Thread
World Cup 2022
Tech Support
Computer Build, Upgrade & Buying Resource Thread
TL Community
The Automated Ban List
Blogs
My 2025 Magic: The Gathering…
DARKING
Physical Exercise (HIIT) Bef…
TrAiDoS
Life Update and thoughts.
FuDDx
How do archons sleep?
8882
James Bond movies ranking - pa…
Topin
Customize Sidebar...

Website Feedback

Closed Threads



Active: 1057 users

Once again, Probability. ._. - Page 2

Blogs > OmgIRok
Post a Reply
Prev 1 2 All
Nytefish
Profile Blog Joined December 2007
United Kingdom4282 Posts
Last Edited: 2009-02-23 01:17:03
February 23 2009 01:16 GMT
#21
You really need to check some definitions.

nCr means the number of ways of choosing r objects from n objects, where order doesn't matter. How does the number of ways of choosing 2 cases from 8 help? (it doesn't)

I gave you the answer in the last line of my previous post O_o. And in the one before that told you that nCr and nPr aren't needed.

@monoxide I know you got the answer but he clearly doesn't understand why
No I'm never serious.
OmgIRok
Profile Blog Joined June 2008
Taiwan2699 Posts
February 23 2009 01:20 GMT
#22
On February 23 2009 10:16 Monoxide wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 23 2009 10:07 Nytefish wrote:
On February 23 2009 09:58 OmgIRok wrote:
On February 23 2009 09:51 Nytefish wrote:
On February 23 2009 09:39 OmgIRok wrote:
so the success rate is 8! - 4! and the denominator is 8!

edit: um I know how to get the total solution, but probability is succesful possibilities/total possibilities, and so if i find out how many ways 5678 can be arranged (which is 4!) thats the success rate? I'm pretty sure i have to multiply that to something...


You've pretty much got it with "successful possibilities/total possibilities"

The ways 5678 can be arranged is your successful possibilities.
Total possibilities is the number of ways you can arrange 12345678.

The second question is very similar. You can use nCr or nPr if you find it easier that way, but all you really need is there are x! permutations of x objects.

But for the 2nd question I'm pretty sure combinations wont help me, and i tried P(8,2)/8! which gave me 1/720


P(8,2) means the number of ways of picking 2 objects from 8, where order does matter, that doesn't really help.

Okay I was being vague, but what you're really doing is fixing 1 and 8. And permuting the 6 in between. So you're really doing P(6,6) = 6!.

yes... soo 6! / 8!

OH wAIT YEAAA Okay so the success rates are all the positions where its 1XXXXXXX8 and since 1 & 8 are fixed you just find how many possible ways you can arrange 23456 which is 6! YES I SEE WHAT YOU DID THERE
"Wanna join my [combo] clan?" "We play turret d competitively"
OmgIRok
Profile Blog Joined June 2008
Taiwan2699 Posts
February 23 2009 01:24 GMT
#23
Okay the next question is P(all evens in the correct position) and I got 4!/8! <-- correct answer amirite?
"Wanna join my [combo] clan?" "We play turret d competitively"
Nytefish
Profile Blog Joined December 2007
United Kingdom4282 Posts
February 23 2009 01:26 GMT
#24
Yeah, these are the "easy" questions right?
The later ones will need you to use nCr and nPr?
No I'm never serious.
OmgIRok
Profile Blog Joined June 2008
Taiwan2699 Posts
February 23 2009 01:44 GMT
#25
On February 23 2009 10:26 Nytefish wrote:
Yeah, these are the "easy" questions right?
The later ones will need you to use nCr and nPr?

Um... I think we are supposed to use ncr and npr on all of them as a shortcut to the counting principle but yeah whatever cuz i know npr and ncr formulas [not exactly sure what they are used for yet though, pretty sure used for what i mentioned earlier]
"Wanna join my [combo] clan?" "We play turret d competitively"
OmgIRok
Profile Blog Joined June 2008
Taiwan2699 Posts
February 23 2009 01:55 GMT
#26
well on to the next ones!!
I already did some of them, please check my answers? XD
3 people are chosen randomly out of 3 sophomores and 3 juniors

#1 P(0 sophmores)
3C0 / 6C3 = 1/20
2 P(1 sophmore)
3C1 / 6C3 = 3/20
#3 P(2 sophomore)
3 C 2 / 6C3 = 3/20
#4 P(3 sophomores)
3C3 / 6C3 = 1/20
#5 P(2 juniors)
Currently on #5
"Wanna join my [combo] clan?" "We play turret d competitively"
huameng
Profile Blog Joined April 2007
United States1133 Posts
Last Edited: 2009-02-23 02:01:40
February 23 2009 02:00 GMT
#27
The P(0 sophomores) + P(1) + P(2) + P(3) should add up to 1, so your answers to 1-4 don't make sense.

They don't add up because there are more than 3 ways to make a group with 1 or 2 sophomores. You also have to account for the number of different ways to pick the juniors.
skating
OmgIRok
Profile Blog Joined June 2008
Taiwan2699 Posts
February 23 2009 02:07 GMT
#28
=O
okay I found out that P(1) and p(2) sophomores is actually supposed to be 9/20 chance to be picked, but where is that logic found?

6C1 gives me 6
6C2 gives me 15 15-6 = 9
"Wanna join my [combo] clan?" "We play turret d competitively"
Malongo
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Chile3472 Posts
February 23 2009 02:12 GMT
#29
P(1)=3C1*3C2/6C3=9 because there are 3C1 ways to choose 1 sophomore and 3C2 ways to choose the remaining juniors. The same applies to P(2) and then P(0) + P(1) + P(2) + P(3)=1
#5 is easy if you use the same its P(2)=3C1*3C2/6C3=9
Help me! im still improving my English. An eye for an eye makes the whole world blind. M. G.
OmgIRok
Profile Blog Joined June 2008
Taiwan2699 Posts
February 23 2009 02:14 GMT
#30
Oh I see. thankyou for explaining!
"Wanna join my [combo] clan?" "We play turret d competitively"
Malongo
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Chile3472 Posts
February 23 2009 02:15 GMT
#31
I note a lack of understanding in the multiplication principle when counting. The basic is that if an event A can occur in a different ways and an event B can occur in b different ways THEN the numbers of ways that the event A and B can occur is a*b.
Help me! im still improving my English. An eye for an eye makes the whole world blind. M. G.
OmgIRok
Profile Blog Joined June 2008
Taiwan2699 Posts
February 23 2009 02:16 GMT
#32
On February 23 2009 11:15 malongo wrote:
I note a lack of understanding in the multiplication principle when counting. The basic is that if an event A can occur in a different ways and an event B can occur in b different ways THEN the numbers of ways that the event A and B can occur is a*b.


haha yeah totally forgot about counting principle X_X eff me
"Wanna join my [combo] clan?" "We play turret d competitively"
Abydos1
Profile Blog Joined October 2008
United States832 Posts
February 23 2009 02:52 GMT
#33
On February 23 2009 09:00 OmgIRok wrote:
#1. P(Seasons 1-4 in the correct positions) So 1234XXXX
I got 1/70 for this one. I seriously doubt it's correct though.

#2. P(Seasons 1 and 8 in the correct positions) 1XXXXXX8
Currently stuck on this one.


Does it specifically state those are the only ones in the correct positions? Because P(1 & 8 correct) can have other seasons in correct spots the way you worded it.
"...perhaps the greatest joy possible in Starcraft, being accused of being a maphacker" - Day[9]
DeathByMonkeys
Profile Blog Joined March 2008
United States742 Posts
February 23 2009 04:11 GMT
#34
the first one is

8 nPr 5 or 8x7x6x5

the second one is

8 nPr 1 or 8! or 8x7x6x5x4x3x2x1

Each problem follows the same principles; you have a 1/8 chance of randomly placing the first dvd correctly, then a 1/7 chance of the next dvd and so on...
Malongo
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Chile3472 Posts
February 23 2009 04:14 GMT
#35
I dont know if you know this problem but its a nice problem about "simple" probabilities:
The birthday problem:
In a room there are n people, what is the probability that at least 2 of them have a common birthday?
hint
+ Show Spoiler +
use the complement probability, that is find the P(no pair of them have the same birthday), then P(at least 2 of them have a common birthday)= 1-P(no pair of them have the same birthday)

solution
+ Show Spoiler +
since there are 365 posible birthdays then the total number of cases is 365!. The number of ways that no posible repetition of birthdays occur is 365*364*...*(365-n+1) because the first one have 365 posible birthdays, the second has 364 posible birthdays (because we want that he doesnt have the same birthday as the first), the third 363 and so on.
then P(no common birthday)= 365*364*...*(365-n+1)/365!=(365Cn)*n!/365! and the desired probablity is 1-(365Cn)*n!/365!.
why is this problem interesting? because its highly counterintuitive, for n=40 P>0.5 so for n=90 its almost sure that there are 2 with the same birthday.

Help me! im still improving my English. An eye for an eye makes the whole world blind. M. G.
JeeJee
Profile Blog Joined July 2003
Canada5652 Posts
February 23 2009 04:33 GMT
#36
@malongo
check your equations i think you typo'd something
and 23 is the magic number not 40 last i checked
(\o/)  If you want it, you find a way. Otherwise you find excuses. No exceptions.
 /_\   aka Shinbi (requesting a name change since 27/05/09 ☺)
Monoxide
Profile Blog Joined January 2007
Canada1190 Posts
February 23 2009 04:55 GMT
#37
ya the number is 23... and 23 gives a result of just over 50% actually
Malongo
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Chile3472 Posts
February 23 2009 05:05 GMT
#38
On February 23 2009 13:33 JeeJee wrote:
@malongo
check your equations i think you typo'd something
and 23 is the magic number not 40 last i checked

?? please what is wrong? i rechecked but cant find it. And for the actual numebers i just put numbers that i was sure to fit, i dont remember them from memory i took probabilities about3 years ago dont ask that much ahaha
Help me! im still improving my English. An eye for an eye makes the whole world blind. M. G.
Prev 1 2 All
Please log in or register to reply.
Live Events Refresh
OSC
12:00
Season 13 World Championship
Nicoract vs GgMaChineLIVE!
ReBellioN vs MaNa
Lemon vs TriGGeR
Gerald vs Cure
Creator vs SHIN
WardiTV753
LiquipediaDiscussion
[ Submit Event ]
Live Streams
Refresh
StarCraft 2
Lowko440
LamboSC2 124
SC2Nice 52
StarCraft: Brood War
Horang2 6543
Sea 2490
EffOrt 1724
Shuttle 1184
ZerO 543
Soma 468
Larva 431
firebathero 327
Snow 316
Mini 286
[ Show more ]
BeSt 255
Rush 243
ggaemo 243
Light 235
Hyuk 206
Last 171
hero 157
Mong 145
Hyun 129
Barracks 116
Mind 106
Sharp 91
Pusan 55
Sea.KH 54
Killer 53
Sexy 45
Nal_rA 35
sorry 35
Terrorterran 19
910 18
scan(afreeca) 16
ivOry 16
HiyA 15
GoRush 13
zelot 12
SilentControl 12
ajuk12(nOOB) 9
Dota 2
Gorgc2479
qojqva1379
XcaliburYe77
Counter-Strike
fl0m1732
shoxiejesuss964
olofmeister770
x6flipin564
edward124
markeloff59
Other Games
singsing2980
B2W.Neo967
Sick472
hiko463
crisheroes185
Hui .117
XaKoH 79
Mew2King69
Livibee62
Mlord43
QueenE14
ZerO(Twitch)12
Organizations
Other Games
gamesdonequick2613
StarCraft 2
Blizzard YouTube
StarCraft: Brood War
BSLTrovo
sctven
[ Show 15 non-featured ]
StarCraft 2
• HappyZerGling 104
• intothetv
• AfreecaTV YouTube
• Kozan
• IndyKCrew
• LaughNgamezSOOP
• Migwel
• sooper7s
StarCraft: Brood War
• Azhi_Dahaki4
• BSLYoutube
• STPLYoutube
• ZZZeroYoutube
Dota 2
• WagamamaTV420
League of Legends
• Jankos2944
• TFBlade604
Upcoming Events
OSC
21h 53m
All Star Teams
1d 12h
INnoVation vs soO
Serral vs herO
Cure vs Solar
sOs vs Scarlett
Classic vs Clem
Reynor vs Maru
uThermal 2v2 Circuit
1d 21h
AI Arena Tournament
2 days
All Star Teams
2 days
MMA vs DongRaeGu
Rogue vs Oliveira
Sparkling Tuna Cup
2 days
OSC
2 days
Replay Cast
3 days
Wardi Open
3 days
Monday Night Weeklies
4 days
[ Show More ]
The PondCast
5 days
Liquipedia Results

Completed

Proleague 2026-01-14
Big Gabe Cup #3
NA Kuram Kup

Ongoing

C-Race Season 1
IPSL Winter 2025-26
BSL 21 Non-Korean Championship
CSL 2025 WINTER (S19)
OSC Championship Season 13
Underdog Cup #3
BLAST Bounty Winter Qual
eXTREMESLAND 2025
SL Budapest Major 2025
ESL Impact League Season 8
BLAST Rivals Fall 2025
IEM Chengdu 2025

Upcoming

Escore Tournament S1: W4
Acropolis #4
IPSL Spring 2026
Bellum Gens Elite Stara Zagora 2026
HSC XXVIII
Rongyi Cup S3
SC2 All-Star Inv. 2025
Nations Cup 2026
BLAST Open Spring 2026
ESL Pro League Season 23
ESL Pro League Season 23
PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026
IEM Kraków 2026
BLAST Bounty Winter 2026
TLPD

1. ByuN
2. TY
3. Dark
4. Solar
5. Stats
6. Nerchio
7. sOs
8. soO
9. INnoVation
10. Elazer
1. Rain
2. Flash
3. EffOrt
4. Last
5. Bisu
6. Soulkey
7. Mini
8. Sharp
Sidebar Settings...

Advertising | Privacy Policy | Terms Of Use | Contact Us

Original banner artwork: Jim Warren
The contents of this webpage are copyright © 2026 TLnet. All Rights Reserved.