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ZvT: The guessing game

Blogs > Jermstuddog
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Jermstuddog
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States2231 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-01-31 15:35:23
January 31 2011 15:26 GMT
#1
Hey TLers,
I figure I post enough here, I might as well start a blog so I can rant in peace without mucking up discussions in general/strategy. So here goes:

ZvT is a crap-shoot in SC2 right now and I don't understand why Blizzard is OK leaving things in this state.

This has specifically to do with a build that is retaking its throne from the 2-rax due to lack of scouting information Zerg can get:
Barracks > Factory > Reactor

Now, this build is not new. It's actually quite old. It was the popular opening in beta and lasted all the way through GSL 2 where Boxer popularized the 2-rax openers. Well, it's back and it's worse than ever.

The problem scouting rax > fact > reactor is that it doesn't actually give you any information.

What build is T going for?

hellion/marauder?
marine/tank?
hellion/banshee?
TLO hellions?
marine drop?
hellion drop?

You seriously have no idea what T is going to come at you with and you only have roughly 2 minutes before the chosen strat is at your doorstep, the longer you wait to scout (hopefully giving you more information), the less time you have to react (and utilize that information).

Couple this with the fact that the Terran economy is naturally ahead of Zerg at this point in the game (which is fine, Zergs economy kicks in shortly after) and you end up with a very frustrating situation from Z's point of view.

I have dubbed it "The coin flip: Heads, Terran wins; Tails, we play a game"

Any one of these openings can be a game-ender for the Zerg player. Every one of them requires a completely different response, and it takes an all-in by Zerg if he wants to counter-attack after defending (which will also be a game-ender if T didn't expand).

-Marines basically require Banelings, but going for Mutas will cost you the game
-Siege tanks require large amounts of Zerglings or Roaches, but Banelings need to be handled delicately (and they won't do anything to the tanks themselves anyway), 1 good siege shot will end the game
-Hellions can be handled with pretty much any unit but require attention and micro, letting them roast more than a handful of drones will easily set you behind
-Marauders take a significant amount of Zerglings or Mutalisks, both of which would get slaughtered by Marines; meanwhile, they'll walk right over Banelings
-The ability to drop so early means that Spine Crawlers at the Natural are a bad investment (not that they are all that worthwhile vs a straight-up push anyway)

For the most part, Terran can pick his unit composition on a whim with no attention given to what Zerg is doing. He can send out those first 10 or so units and has a chance at winning the game right there. Then to top it off, he's not dedicated to any of those units through-out the game as the only associated research required would be Siege-Mode, and it's hard to come up with reasons why a Terran wouldn't want Siege Tanks eventually in a TvZ.

Against a decent/lucky opponent, this push will fail miserably leaving the Zerg player with a handful of combat units and the Terran player with a natural expansion getting settled in. The push fails, and the game is even...


Now I don't have a problem with Terran having an easy way to set up a natural, without the ability to get a 2nd base up, the race would be broken. What I do have a problem with is the fact all of these openings requires a perfect response from Zerg, or he has been put further behind, possibly in a game-ending situation, simply due to the fact that he didn't guess right. Even if he DOES guess right, all he has done is earn the ability to play a game vs his Terran opponent.


Random chance != Strategy
Random chance in my strategy game != fun

Something needs to be done about the opening stages of ZvT. I'm tired of flipping coins.

*****
As it turns out, marines don't actually cost any money -Jinro
Mortician
Profile Blog Joined December 2008
Bulgaria2332 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-01-31 15:38:11
January 31 2011 15:34 GMT
#2
You need to sacrifice and overlord, no way around it.

Play a bunch of games/watch replays, notice when you can clearly state what the terran is going for, and use it in the future to poke with an overlord to see that of the follwing he is going.

You will get much better you have the mind set that you are not doing something right, than thinking that it is the games fault you are not winning.

I can give an example in BW.

If terran goes early gas, he might be going mech, with is the most logical thing, but a lot of times it will be fake mech, and you hydras melt to marines.

Or playing as if he is going to use 1 rax FE, and when your scout dies plant additional rax.
"If anything, the skill cap in sc2 is higher [than sc1] because there are a lot more things you can do at one given time. " darmousseh
Jermstuddog
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States2231 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-01-31 15:37:28
January 31 2011 15:36 GMT
#3
I do sac an overlord... That's how I know he's going rax > fact > reactor.

The problem is, saccing the overlord still doesn't tell me anything.
As it turns out, marines don't actually cost any money -Jinro
Chill
Profile Blog Joined January 2005
Calgary25990 Posts
January 31 2011 15:36 GMT
#4
Why don't you scout with a Zergling & Overlord? What you're saying is similar to ZvT in BW, and yet people have managed to deal with it...
Moderator
Mortician
Profile Blog Joined December 2008
Bulgaria2332 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-01-31 15:37:55
January 31 2011 15:37 GMT
#5
Sacrifice it later, when you can clearly state what he is going for
"If anything, the skill cap in sc2 is higher [than sc1] because there are a lot more things you can do at one given time. " darmousseh
Rhyme
Profile Joined May 2010
United States1069 Posts
January 31 2011 15:37 GMT
#6
Can you post a couple replays? I have a pretty interesting ZvT opening I'm working on that I might be willing to share, if you show some replays of what you're losing to.
dont ever say that
SlapMySalami
Profile Joined August 2010
United States1060 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-01-31 15:40:35
January 31 2011 15:38 GMT
#7
hellion/marauder? zerglings and spine crawlers
marine/tank? not a crapshoot whatsoever
hellion/banshee? zerglings and queens.. a crapshoot if you do not get a 3rd queen however mutas should be popping soon
TLO hellions? dunno what these are.. cant be too much stronger than blue flame at best
marine drop? more zerglings.. how is this a crapshoot by any means.. what does this defeat in a rock-paper-scissors scenario????
hellion drop? need overlords placed around your base to make sure you have zerglings positioned under the dropship. only a threat if the hellions manage to get out of the medivac. haypro spreads 1 creep tumor around his base on scrap station and it seems to work marvelously



Every unit composition you list seems to be unbeatable in your eyes. That is illogical.
marineking will u huk my bigtt1 ilu
Jermstuddog
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States2231 Posts
January 31 2011 15:40 GMT
#8
I'll put some reps up when I get home today, problem is I decide to post while I'm at work, so I can't show the shitty situation in an actual game for several hours.
As it turns out, marines don't actually cost any money -Jinro
Chill
Profile Blog Joined January 2005
Calgary25990 Posts
January 31 2011 15:41 GMT
#9
I know what you're saying, but the situation isn't even close to as dire as you make it sound with proper scouting.
Moderator
Jermstuddog
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States2231 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-01-31 15:43:39
January 31 2011 15:43 GMT
#10
On February 01 2011 00:38 SlapMySalami wrote:
hellion/marauder? zerglings and spine crawlers
marine/tank? not a crapshoot whatsoever
hellion/banshee? zerglings and queens.. a crapshoot if you do not get a 3rd queen however mutas should be popping soon
TLO hellions? dunno what these are.. cant be too much stronger than blue flame at best
marine drop? more zerglings.. how is this a crapshoot by any means.. what does this defeat in a rock-paper-scissors scenario????
hellion drop? need overlords placed around your base to make sure you have zerglings positioned under the dropship. only a threat if the hellions manage to get out of the medivac. haypro spreads 1 creep tumor around his base on scrap station and it seems to work marvelously



Every unit composition you list seems to be unbeatable in your eyes. That is illogical.


You missed the point.

If you were to tell me which unit composition you're coming at me with, I would be all over it. The problem is in the fact that there is no consistent way to find out which one of those compositions is coming at me.

Every one of them is completely beatable with the right response, but about 20-30% of the time, I guessed wrong, gg.
As it turns out, marines don't actually cost any money -Jinro
mesohawny
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Canada193 Posts
January 31 2011 15:53 GMT
#11
just switch races... playing zerg isn't worth the effort right now.
love you long time
[Eternal]Phoenix
Profile Joined December 2010
United States333 Posts
January 31 2011 15:56 GMT
#12
If you think TvZ is bad, TvP is worse. Guessing game from both sides. -_-
'environmental legislation is like cutting scvs to stop an imaginary allin that is never going to come, while your opponent ecos and expands continually'
SlapMySalami
Profile Joined August 2010
United States1060 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-01-31 15:58:54
January 31 2011 15:57 GMT
#13
On February 01 2011 00:43 Jermstuddog wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 01 2011 00:38 SlapMySalami wrote:
hellion/marauder? zerglings and spine crawlers
marine/tank? not a crapshoot whatsoever
hellion/banshee? zerglings and queens.. a crapshoot if you do not get a 3rd queen however mutas should be popping soon
TLO hellions? dunno what these are.. cant be too much stronger than blue flame at best
marine drop? more zerglings.. how is this a crapshoot by any means.. what does this defeat in a rock-paper-scissors scenario????
hellion drop? need overlords placed around your base to make sure you have zerglings positioned under the dropship. only a threat if the hellions manage to get out of the medivac. haypro spreads 1 creep tumor around his base on scrap station and it seems to work marvelously



Every unit composition you list seems to be unbeatable in your eyes. That is illogical.


You missed the point.

If you were to tell me which unit composition you're coming at me with, I would be all over it. The problem is in the fact that there is no consistent way to find out which one of those compositions is coming at me.

Every one of them is completely beatable with the right response, but about 20-30% of the time, I guessed wrong, gg.



The point is that all of those can be handled with zerglings with a slight chance of spine crawlers. As the zerg you are granted a blanket build that covers everything a terran can throw at you up to a certain point. What unit do you plan on using? You said yourself hellions are countered by any unit as long as you micro the unit. What other unit counters zerglings?


The problem with zvt comes from short rush distances which power up cheese significantly.
marineking will u huk my bigtt1 ilu
Omni17
Profile Joined January 2011
United States141 Posts
January 31 2011 16:18 GMT
#14
Think of units that can help with hellions and banshees and 3-rax all in push:

Queens.

Whenever I'm in the dark vs. Terran, I get two extra queens. If he goes banshee, the queens shut it down pretty fast. If he goes Hellions, I can constrict spaces and stop him from getting into my main. If he is doing a big push, I can throw down spine crawlers and transfuse them like crazy with my stacked energy.

They don't have to be queens, but think of general unit compositions/builds that can help with situations like this.
"To Drone or not to Drone, that is the question."
Treemonkeys
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States2082 Posts
January 31 2011 16:30 GMT
#15
On February 01 2011 00:26 Jermstuddog wrote:
I have dubbed it "The coin flip: Heads, Terran wins; Tails, we play a game"


haha, such a great way to put it, so true

Saccing an overlord just doesn't cut it every time, it's not like terran can't hide tech in an obscure corner of his base, it's not like he can't shoot down the overlord before it see's anything.
http://shroomspiration.blogspot.com/
Logo
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States7542 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-01-31 16:42:17
January 31 2011 16:31 GMT
#16
I don't really follow. On seeing barracks->factory + rax I just do the following...

Make 1-2 spine crawlers.
Make a 3rd queen.
Cut drones around 30-40 drones. 40 drones on 2 bases should out econ any 1 base Terran and rax->fact + reactor isn't setting up for an early expand (use a spotting ling for an expand anyways).
Start on Lair->Spire (well I do this anyways, but still).
Make baneling nest after lair starts.
Make 8-12 lings right before you expect them to push out in case they drop hellions or do a push. If they go to push out you should have your 8-12 lings + a 2nd round of lings out in time for something like 20-30 lings + your crawler + your queens. If they keep up constant pressure with hellion/marauder you should be able to finish it off with your first round of mutalisks. If it's tank/marine just use some banelings, creep spread, and lings to handle it.

Though usually I don't have to do all of the above and can optimize a bit more. Scouting the ramp a couple of times will tell you all you need to know. If he wants to go with marauders he needs a techlab on his barracks. If he wants his banshees to really beat out your mutalisks then he needs to cut something, be it hellions or by making a techlab with the barracks. Otherwise he should only have enough time to kill your queens and maybe some drones before your first few mutas come out and stop the harass.

The difference between hold vs marauders and holding vs marines is non-existent really. I don't think there's any map where the rush distance is shorter than the time it takes to morph banelings (except maybe short metal). Just have lings, spot his ramp, and morph if he's moving out with marines. Plus you should see a tech lab on the barracks if he's going marauders. You can also have 20-25 lings with 5 or so banelings to have a reasonable army vs either composition, just lead/surround with the lings so the banelings can be effective.

Once you identify the type of pressure, defend and drone. Usually I'll sac an overlord just for that extra edge if I get good info, but it's not always necessary.

Also don't expect to come out with a perfect defense and 0 losses or need for crisis management. If Zerg could do that then the game wouldn't be balanced, zerg would be OP. Such early pressure is Terran's way of keeping you in the game.

ZvT is the least guessing matchup for zerg imo. Protoss and Zerg mirrors have way more guessing.
Logo
Jermstuddog
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States2231 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-01-31 16:38:21
January 31 2011 16:34 GMT
#17
On February 01 2011 01:18 Omni17 wrote:
Think of units that can help with hellions and banshees and 3-rax all in push:

Queens.

Whenever I'm in the dark vs. Terran, I get two extra queens. If he goes banshee, the queens shut it down pretty fast. If he goes Hellions, I can constrict spaces and stop him from getting into my main. If he is doing a big push, I can throw down spine crawlers and transfuse them like crazy with my stacked energy.

They don't have to be queens, but think of general unit compositions/builds that can help with situations like this.


I've tried this out and really like the idea but I just can't seem to get enough queens to be worthwhile. Maybe it needs to be smoothed out, but I just never seem to have enough queens or enough energy on them.

Going for just a few Roaches and Queen sounds like a solid composition. If I can get a day or two of timing manipulation, but I think it could become a very solid defensive opener in ZvT, and I've always like the Roach as a base unit in my ZvT composition for the mid game (especially with Queens to heal them), but never really have a good way of getting there.

As funny as it sounds, I think ZvT mid-game is relatively unexplored because both Marines and Mutalisks are SOOO strong in that match-up, nobody wants to do anything else.
As it turns out, marines don't actually cost any money -Jinro
Jermstuddog
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States2231 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-01-31 16:42:41
January 31 2011 16:41 GMT
#18
On February 01 2011 00:53 mesohawny wrote:
just switch races... playing zerg isn't worth the effort right now.


Technically that would be better. If either side makes the wrong assumption, it can cost them the game.

In the opening stages of TvZ, making the wrong assumption can only cost Zerg the game. Terran will simply lose a few units, not enough to even put him behind. Not saying that is an impossible scenario, but with the current trends, T has to make a pretty big blunder along with Z going all-in for it to cost him anything significant.
As it turns out, marines don't actually cost any money -Jinro
Treemonkeys
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States2082 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-01-31 16:42:59
January 31 2011 16:41 GMT
#19
On February 01 2011 00:57 SlapMySalami wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 01 2011 00:43 Jermstuddog wrote:
On February 01 2011 00:38 SlapMySalami wrote:
hellion/marauder? zerglings and spine crawlers
marine/tank? not a crapshoot whatsoever
hellion/banshee? zerglings and queens.. a crapshoot if you do not get a 3rd queen however mutas should be popping soon
TLO hellions? dunno what these are.. cant be too much stronger than blue flame at best
marine drop? more zerglings.. how is this a crapshoot by any means.. what does this defeat in a rock-paper-scissors scenario????
hellion drop? need overlords placed around your base to make sure you have zerglings positioned under the dropship. only a threat if the hellions manage to get out of the medivac. haypro spreads 1 creep tumor around his base on scrap station and it seems to work marvelously



Every unit composition you list seems to be unbeatable in your eyes. That is illogical.


You missed the point.

If you were to tell me which unit composition you're coming at me with, I would be all over it. The problem is in the fact that there is no consistent way to find out which one of those compositions is coming at me.

Every one of them is completely beatable with the right response, but about 20-30% of the time, I guessed wrong, gg.



The point is that all of those can be handled with zerglings with a slight chance of spine crawlers. As the zerg you are granted a blanket build that covers everything a terran can throw at you up to a certain point. What unit do you plan on using? You said yourself hellions are countered by any unit as long as you micro the unit. What other unit counters zerglings?


The problem with zvt comes from short rush distances which power up cheese significantly.


The problem is really the marines, if he does a stim timing push with a significant amount of marines no amount of lings or spine crawlers will save you. Unless you want to completely destroy your econ and die a few minutes later, you have to have banlings. There is no blanket build for zerg that can handle all of terrans quick timing pushes.

I've been meaning to experiment with an early roach defense, that sounds promising to me to eliminate some of the guessing game.
http://shroomspiration.blogspot.com/
Jermstuddog
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States2231 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-01-31 16:52:39
January 31 2011 16:45 GMT
#20
^

I'm not even trying to talk about delayed pushes like stim, which is part of the problem but I'm trying to keep the scope narrower than that. Though I will agree that Marines in general are slightly too good in SC2, and I think that is largely where the problem comes from.

If I didn't have to get blings AND bling speed ASAP, Roach/ling or ling/muta would be realistic at that point in the game and marauder/hellion pushes wouldn't be nearly as scary.
As it turns out, marines don't actually cost any money -Jinro
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