The map order is:

Game 1: Hoejja < Andromeda > Jaedong
Game 2: < Medusa >
Game 3: < Sin Chupung-Ryeong >
Game 4: < Rush Hour 3 >
Game 5: < Colosseum II >
Game 6: < Neo Harmony >
Game 7: < Destination >

I expect Jaedong to do very well in this map pool. FlaSh or fOrGG may have a chance to snipe him on Colosseum, Destination, or Rush Hour 3. However, Jaedong is in incredible shape and he still has HiyA and Lomo to pick up the slack on Rush Hour and Destination.

KTF has some good terrans in fOrGG and FlaSh and some good zergs in HoeJJa and Luxury. Can a player like TempeSt, however, perform on Medusa against Terran? Or Destination? This game is gonna come down to the team of fOrGG/FlaSh/Luxury, while Hwaseung is going to have to rely on Jaedong/HiyA/Young. I expect KTF will take this game, even lacking a great Protoss.

The Players

KTF has key players in FlaSh, Luxury, fOrGG, HoeJJa, and TempeSt. FlaSh is in a bit of a mini-slump, but if he can perform at his top shape during this match, he will undoubtedly take down Hwaseung by himself. Only Jaedong has a chance of stopping him and assuming they fight on Rush Hour or Colosseum, Jaedong doesn't stand a chance.

fOrGG is instrumental to KTF, having much knowledge of the Hwaseung players and their playstyles. His knowledge and the mere psychological effect of sending him out gives KTF a huge and somewhat understated trump card. If fOrGG can get a 2-kill, Oz will be in a bad place psychologically.

TempeSt is the only protoss capable of winning on KTF. His placement is crucial, he must snipe a terran on Medusa or Destination. Sending him out on just any map would be a huge mistake when there are much better players like HoeJJa and Luxury to score kills for KTF.

HoeJJa and Luxury are a dynamic zerg duo, with a lot of promise. Luxury is fairly inconsistent in the Winners League, but performs pretty well in clutch situations. Even if Luxury is taken down, HoeJJa can snipe a protoss on Neo Harmony and perform pretty well in any situation he is needed.

Hwaseung Oz has key players in Jaedong, HiyA, Young, and Lomo. Jaedong and HiyA are both performing very well lately, Young and Lomo showing some promising games recently as well. However, FlaSh and Luxury are both so good against terran that Oz's T heavy lineup might not be very helpful.

Jaedong is key here, as almost no one on KTF has a chance against him besides FlaSh and Luxury. While Jaedong is a favorite against Luxury, ZvZ is a very touchy match-up and Luxury's ability in the match-up is nothing to scoff at. However, the chance of a Jaedong all-kill is not very low. If Jaedong is sniped before 2 kills, Hwaseung will lose.

HiyA is excellent against Terran and Protoss, so he will most likely be sniped after 1-kill by Luxury or HoeJJa. If by HoeJJa, then HoeJJa will probably lose the second game to Young or Lomo. If by Luxury, Luxury will probably achieve a 2-kill and then lose to Jaedong. HiyA can possibly snipe FlaSh with a creative build, or snipe TempeSt if he is out for some reason.

Young and Lomo have the potential to be map snipers, but Lomo might take a very insignificant position as the "other terran", while Young might have to snipe fOrGG or FlaSh on Medusa. The potential for both these players is important and I hope for a good game from Lomo (I'm a Lomo fanboy :3). Bubblegum Terran Fighting!.

Based on maps and players, I predict KTF will win this match. Jaedong can be too easily sniped on Colosseum, Destination, and Rush Hour 3. HiyA and Young just can't carry KTF while Luxury and fOrGG are very capable of doing so. This map will prove to be an exciting one now that fOrGG is on the team and creating some drama around the match.

Let's hope for a good game! KTF/Hwaseung Fighting!

FaCE_1

Canada6183 Posts

March 19 2009 13:56 GMT

forgot to mention that Hoejja vsJeadong first game O-o

ssystem

United Kingdom337 Posts

March 19 2009 13:58 GMT

Awesome OP.

BTW ForGG is in both team pictures

gk_ender

United States717 Posts

March 19 2009 14:01 GMT

Epic op lots of great information

alffla

Hong Kong20321 Posts

March 19 2009 14:02 GMT

i dont get the arrows but friggin awwesomeeeee op ! :D:D:D:DD

Fzero

United States1503 Posts

March 19 2009 14:05 GMT

So the arrows take the average of the three percentages and they mark how much higher/lower each statistic is from the average.

So for example:

Colosseum 2:
avg - 54.23

TvZ is much higher than that (up arrow) while PvT is only slightly above (diagonal up arrow) and ZvP is far below (down arrow).

lxginverse

Monaco1506 Posts

March 19 2009 14:10 GMT

thanks for the great OP

this will be exciting...

especially if KTF sends fOrGG out against Hwaseung

banana

Netherlands1189 Posts

March 19 2009 14:12 GMT

Awesome op, thanks for the effort =)

edit: you should for fun put some image over forgg's head in the oz picture or just a big red cross =P

Fzero

United States1503 Posts

March 19 2009 14:14 GMT

Oh, and just for fun.. I predict:

HoeJJa v Jaedong
fOrGG v Jaedong
Flash v Jaedong
Flash v HiyA
Flash v Young
Luxury v Young
Luxury v Lomo

But in all seriousness, if KTF can beat Jaedong with anyone but Flash they will win. It's too risky to send Flash in the second set and the third set is also very risky since Flash struggles on Chupung. I'm thinking they may send Lux in the second set to try to get rid of Jaedong quickly and Lux will lose to Hiya on Chupung then Flash will finish Oz after he beats Hiya on RH3.

ghostWriter

United States3302 Posts

March 19 2009 15:43 GMT

#10

Nice op.
I'm hoping for flash to all-kill OZ.

Fontong

United States6454 Posts

March 19 2009 15:54 GMT

#11

This is probably only the most thoroughly done set of predictions ever done at TL. Great job you two!

Geo.Rion

7377 Posts

March 19 2009 15:55 GMT

#12

why do you keep saying JD on colosseum could be sniped, or whatever. He wont get to play on colosseum no matter what, as OP you shuld have noticed that

p4NDemik

United States13896 Posts

March 19 2009 16:01 GMT

#13

I'm confused, is this the most articulated live report OP ever made, or is it supposed to be an article and not a LR thread? Either way, this is great stuff guys - thanks.

JohnBall

Brazil1272 Posts

March 19 2009 16:03 GMT

#14

Jaedong All Kill incoming.

Manit0u

Poland17599 Posts

March 19 2009 16:14 GMT

#15

Damn, I hate JaeDong and Flash so much

Hope they both don't win any games so the match will be more interesting.

Edit: Oh, I forgot that I don't hate JD but Effort...

Fontong

United States6454 Posts

March 19 2009 16:14 GMT

#16

On March 20 2009 01:01 p4NDemik wrote:
I'm confused, is this the most articulated live report OP ever made, or is it supposed to be an article and not a LR thread? Either way, this is great stuff guys - thanks.

yeah it's an article. fzero already pm'd me asking me if I wanted to use some of the images for the actual LR thread

Edit: I predict a Jaedong 3 kill into fOrGG snipe and reverse sweep!

Ok tbh I only looked at the charts, which are very good. Dr. H you need to fix your write up!

RainmanMP

United States1698 Posts

March 19 2009 16:38 GMT

#17

ROFL. How can Tempest snipe a Terran on Medusa when the second set on Medusa would be vs Jaedong? And if he sniped a Terran on Destination, then he would be KTF's last hope And you can't snipe Jaedong on Colosseum II or Destination? He can't possibly play those maps if he is starting. And how can Hoejja snipe a Toss on Neo Harmony if he is starting? You need to get your stories straight based off the map pool rofl.

ZidaneTribal

United States2800 Posts

March 19 2009 16:47 GMT

#18

lol forGG is in both photos.

Avidkeystamper

United States8556 Posts

March 19 2009 17:05 GMT

#19

Jaedong can't be sniped on Medusa, and Young/Backho can't snipe a terran on Medusa. It's not possible given the map pool. Wait, nvm, someone already said it.