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[SPL] Round 6 Week 5 Preview - Finale

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[SPL] Round 6 Week 5 Preview - Finale

Text byTL.net ESPORTS
Graphics byHawaiianPig
July 5th, 2013 18:29 GMT

SKPlanet PRoleague

Table of Contents



Final Week Preview
One playoff spot left


SK Planet Proleague table and results at Liquipedia

Week 5 Preview


By: Wunder

This is it. The final week of the regular season is upon us, and we’re down to the wire. With STX Soul securing their spot in the playoffs, only one spot remains. With SKT and Samsung still in the running, only one team will make it. Will SKT easily secure their final spot or will Samsung KHAN pull off a ninth inning miracle?

Before we continue, there is just one key fact to keep in mind for this week's games. SKT will advance to the playoffs UNLESS both of these things happen:
  • SKT loses both their matches this week
  • Samsung KHAN wins both their matches this week
Map scores do not matter. Let's look at their chances.

Thanks to xpaperclip for formatting!

Round 6 Week 5 Matches

July 6


SK Telecom T1 vs EG-TL
(P)Bisu < Akilon Wastes > (P)Oz
(P)BeSt < Korhal Floating Island > (P)HerO
(P)Rain < Whirlwind LE > (T)TaeJa
(Z)s2 < New Fighting Spirit > (Z)Revival
(P)PartinG < Neo Planet S > (P)JYP
(T)FanTaSy < Newkirk Redevelopment Precinct > (Z)Snute
Ace: Bel'Shir Vestige LE

Team 8 vs STX Soul
(P)Terminator (Sang) < Akilon Wastes > (T)INnoVation
(T)TY (BaBy) < Korhal Floating Island > (Z)hyvaa
(Z)Check (ALBM) < Whirlwind LE > (P)Trap
(T)Cure (Speed) < New Fighting Spirit > (P)Dear
(P)Argo (Jaehoon) < Neo Planet S > (P)Classic
(Z)Savage (Ryul2) < Newkirk Redevelopment Precinct > (P)Mini
Ace: Bel'Shir Vestige LE

July 7


Woongjin Stars vs Samsung KHAN
(T)HammEr (Rudy) < Newkirk Redevelopment Precinct > (P)JangBi
(T)Organ (PianO) < Whirlwind LE > (P)Stork
(T)BrAvO (hon_sin) < Naro Station SE > (Z)RorO
(Z)Mekia (fOKINS) < Bel'Shir Vestige LE > (T)Kop
(P)Flying < Korhal Floating Island > (T)Reality
(P)Aria (NaGi) < Neo Planet S > (T)TurN
Ace: New Fighting Spirit

KT Rolster vs CJ Entus
(Z)Crazy < Newkirk Redevelopment Precinct > (P)herO
(P)Stats (Carno) < Whirlwind LE > (T)Bbyong
(P)Zest (P7GAB,Wooki) < Naro Station SE > (Z)Hydra
(T)Flash < Bel'Shir Vestige LE > (Z)EffOrt
(P)MyuNgSiK < Korhal Floating Island > (Z)SonGDuri
(P)Puzzle < Neo Planet S > (T)Bunny
Ace: New Fighting Spirit

July 8


SK Telecom T1 vs Team 8
(P)Bisu < Bel'Shir Vestige LE > (Z)TRUE (Alone)
(Z)s2 < Newkirk Redevelopment Precinct > (T)Cure (Speed)
(P)PartinG < Neo Planet S > (P)Argo (Jaehoon)
(P)Rain < Akilon Wastes > (P)Pigbaby (HS,Haruhi)
(T)FanTaSy < Naro Station SE > (P)Terminator (Sang)
(Z)soO < New Fighting Spirit > (T)TY (BaBy)
Ace: Korhal Floating Island

STX Soul vs EG-TL
(P)Classic < Naro Station SE > (P)JYP
(P)Dear < Akilon Wastes > (T)TaeJa
(T)INnoVation < New Fighting Spirit > (Z)Jaedong
(Z)hyvaa < Korhal Floating Island > (P)Oz
(P)Trap < Newkirk Redevelopment Precinct > (Z)Revival
(P)Mini < Bel'Shir Vestige LE > (P)HerO
Ace: Whirlwind LE

July 9


Woongjin Stars vs KT Rolster
(T)Light < Naro Station SE > (P)Stats (Carno)
(P)Aria (NaGi) < Akilon Wastes > (Z)Crazy
(T)BrAvO (hon_sin) < New Fighting Spirit > (P)MyuNgSiK
(T)Hanbin < Korhal Floating Island > (P)Puzzle
(T)HammEr (Rudy) < Newkirk Redevelopment Precinct > (T)Flash
(Z)Mekia (fOKINS) < Bel'Shir Vestige LE > (P)Zest (P7GAB,Wooki)
Ace: Whirlwind LE

CJ Entus vs Samsung KHAN
(P)herO < Bel'Shir Vestige LE > (P)JangBi
(T)Bunny < Newkirk Redevelopment Precinct > (T)Reality
(T)Bbyong < Neo Planet S > (T)TurN
(Z)EffOrt < Akilon Wastes > (Z)RorO
(Z)Hydra < Naro Station SE > (P)Trend (Beach)
(Z)SonGDuri < New Fighting Spirit > (Z)Shine
Ace: Korhal Floating Island


Standings

[image loading]


Samsung's Path

Perseverance. Determination. Willpower. These are the qualities that make up Samsung KHAN, and these are the qualities that will drive them forward this week. With an abysmal start in the first round (1-6), Samsung kicked off the first full Starcraft 2 Proleague season extremely poorly. Since then, they’ve had trouble keeping a consistent record, either doing very well (Rounds 2 and 4) or very poorly (Rounds 1 and 5). Regardless of their past, they’re here now, and to advance to the playoffs, they have to win both their matches.

Up first, is a match against the 1st seed in the playoffs, Woongjin Stars. Now, one might think that having to defeat the top ranked team in Proleague to advance to the playoffs is a hard hurdle to jump, but thankfully, because Woongjin is already snug as a bug, they have decided to have the rookies take the stage this week. Although Woongjin is allowing the rookies to have a bit of a field day, that doesn’t mean Samsung can assume it’s a free win and underestimate the B-teamers. Crucial matches to watch for are (P)Stork vs (T)Organ and (T)Reality vs (P)Flying - even if they lose both of these games, they can take the match 4-2, but it’s better to be safe than sorry.

We haven’t seen anything out of Organ, making this game his Heart of the Swarm debut, as well as the first time he’s ever been fielded in this season of Proleague. The last we saw of him was in Wings of Liberty, during the hybrid season of Proleague, where he went 1-6, securing a win against (P)Trap. So while it isn’t exactly a scary match for Stork, the Protoss player for Samsung has been playing so poorly in Proleague that it honestly wouldn’t be much of an upset if Organ won with a prepared build against him. Next up is the fifth set of Reality vs Flying, which features the only A-teamer from Woongjin this week in the form of Flying, which is an interesting choice. Does Woongjin think that Flying needs to be there to anchor the team? Or that he’s gotten worse enough to be considered in the b-team lineup? Either way, his game against Reality will be important in the scheme of things because if Samsung doesn’t 4-0, Flying could best Reality and start a comeback.

If Samsung manages to beat Woongjin, they still have to worry about their second opponents, CJ Entus. A team that has already been knocked out of the running, CJ Entus has seen better days. Even with recent rookie start up (T)Bunny, it just hasn’t been enough of a push to end the season on a positive note. Nevertheless, they still possess some deadly players in the form of (P)herO, (Z)EffOrt and (Z)Hydra so Samsung will still have to work hard if they want to make it into the playoffs. The most notable game, outside of (P)herO vs (P)JangBi and (Z)EffOrt vs (Z)RorO, is (Z)Hydra vs (P)Trend, yet another player that Samsung has hidden from the public.

Like Solar before him, Trend has been on the team since the start of the season, but hasn’t played at all during the entirety of Proleague. While Solar was called out in Season 2 to dismantle a fresh-faced (Z)Stephano, he couldn’t stand the heat and almost every subsequent time he has been fielded he has been matched with an extremely tough opponent. Trend is following in Solar’s footsteps, except this time at the most crucial point for Samsung KHAN, he could potentially make or break Samsung’s chances with the results of his first ever Proleague game. While it may look grim, there may be some merit behind why January decided to throw in a completely new rookie into what could potentially be their last game of the season. Did you know? Trend was one bo3 away from appearing in MLG Anaheim. He lost 2-0 to (Z)soO, but not before he beat (Z)Savage, (P)BeSt, (P)MyuNgSiK and (T)Light on his way to the finals of the qualifier. So while he hasn’t ever been fielded before -- Trend could be just the thing Samsung needs to push themselves over the edge.

SK Telecom's Path

While the Cinderella story of Samsung KHAN’s road to the playoffs continues, the nightmare that is SK Telecom T1’s path to glory is on the brink of descending into utter chaos. It was simple, as long as they beat Samsung KHAN this round, they would have been fine. But they didn’t. (P)Bisu managed to beat Jangbi in the 6th set, but when (P)Rain stepped up to the plate, he didn’t perform. Due to that slight misstep, SKT is now faced with the uncomfortable situation of possibly not qualifying for the playoffs. Let’s have a look at the teams SKT will be facing!

Without looking at the lineups, one could say that Samsung has an infinitely harder road, having to beat both Woongjin Stars and CJ Entus to advance, while SKT has to face the two worst teams in Proleague. However, if you look closer, you’ll know that not only is Woongjin fielding their rookie team and CJ performing the worse than ever, but EG-TL have been on a tear as of late, only most recently hitting the brick wall known as KT Rolster. Nevertheless, things don’t look as peachy as they once did for SKT, and they’ll have to bring their A game if they want to make the playoffs.

The most notable match in SKT vs EG-TL is undoubtedly (P)Rain vs (T)TaeJa, the game that will swing the match into either team’s favor. With Taeja coming off his Homestory Cup win, he is looking as dangerous as ever and with Rain dismantling his two Terran opponents in his Ro32 group, sparks will be flying in this 3rd set. If EG-TL can secure this win against SKT, not only will they have achieved their goal of 6th place, but they would have kept Samsung KHAN alive for another day.

If SKT loses this match, they have one more chance against Team 8, and this is one match they can’t afford to lose. With everything on the line, SKT absolutely cannot afford room for mistakes, which explains their full lineup of (P)Bisu, (Z)s2, (P)PartinG, (P)Rain, (T)FanTaSy and (Z)soO. All six players have, at one point or another, played a critical role in a match for SKT, and they have been gathered for what could possibly be the most important match of the regular season.

Although every game is crucial, arguably the most important match is the one between (P)PartinG and (P)Argo. The match between the aggressive upstart of a top tier team against the stalwart captain of a sinking ship is one that is noted throughout history. Will PartinG get overconfident and overstep his bounds, allowing the calm and collected Argo, who has nothing to prove, secure a win for his team? Or will PartinG overpower his opponent as he has done time and time again with superior mechanics and reign supreme? These will be the questions in everyone’s mind heading into this game. Even if Argo beats PartinG, the match isn’t over and Team 8 will have to play the best Starcraft of their life if they want to keep SKT from beating them and ruining Samsung KHAN’s dreams in the process.

While it’s a precarious situation for SKT, the fact that they only have to win one game is a huge boon to them and one that greatly underscores this final week. While Samsung still has a solid chance of making the playoffs, it’s undercut with so many ‘ifs’ and ‘buts’ and at the end of the day, even if they perform their best - it ultimately isn’t up to them. At this point, their fate lies entirely in the hands of SK Telecom T1 and their opponents.

Other Games to Watch

(P)Rain < Whirlwind LE > (T)TaeJa
For many, Rain first got notoriety after he crushed an on-fire TaeJa in the GSL. Now that Rain is the favorite, can TaeJa pay him back?

(T)FanTaSy < Newkirk Redevelopment Precinct > (Z)Snute
Yay, a foreigner.

(T)Flash < Bel'Shir Vestige LE > (Z)EffOrt
Flash faces off against Effort's formidable ZvT. Korean Air OSL rematch. No reverse sweeps this time.

(Z)soO < New Fighting Spirit > (T)TY
soO is sporting awkward results lately to say the least and TY is one of Flash's top three Terran picks!

(P)Dear < Akilon Wastes > (T)TaeJa
Over the last week, the number of people who knew who Dear was increased tenfold. As the highest finishing KeSPa player at MLG, do people care enough about him now?

(T)INnoVation < New Fighting Spirit > (Z)Jaedong
Ok, this one will probably be a stomp. To be fair though, Jaedong does have pretty good ZvT.

All the rookie Woongjin Stars players
How deep does the bench really go?

[image loading]


Writers: Wunder.
Graphics: HawaiianPig
Editors: monk.
Facebook Twitter Reddit
TL+ Member
digmouse
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
China6331 Posts
July 05 2013 18:39 GMT
#2
GoGo Snute!
TranslatorIf you want to ask anything about Chinese esports, send me a PM or follow me @nerddigmouse.
VKCA
Profile Joined September 2011
Canada391 Posts
July 05 2013 19:04 GMT
#3
Which ty was facining a better zerg than soo... such a treat to see him play
MooMooMugi
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States10531 Posts
July 05 2013 19:05 GMT
#4
Snutes playing? Vs Fantasy? I guess since this match doesnt matter much for EGTL
|LoL & SC2 IGN both my username| Just livin' the baylife| Hearthstone ID: MooMooMugi#1544| Dank Memer since 2011
BnBTaurveus
Profile Joined April 2011
United States14 Posts
July 05 2013 19:34 GMT
#5
Samsung caught a break with Woonjing, think they might still make it...
ACrow
Profile Joined October 2011
Germany6583 Posts
July 05 2013 20:05 GMT
#6
That's not very sportsmanlike by Woongjin Stars - you should give your best when your opponent is still fighting for survival. It's unfair for SKT to pull punches.
I really hope SKT will make it nonetheless. Rain hwaitiiiiing!!!
Get off my lawn, young punks
tili
Profile Joined July 2012
United States1332 Posts
July 05 2013 20:30 GMT
#7
But, what is JD beats Innovation.......

This must happen ^^
NovemberstOrm
Profile Blog Joined September 2011
Canada16217 Posts
July 05 2013 20:42 GMT
#8
On July 06 2013 05:05 ACrow wrote:
That's not very sportsmanlike by Woongjin Stars - you should give your best when your opponent is still fighting for survival. It's unfair for SKT to pull punches.
I really hope SKT will make it nonetheless. Rain hwaitiiiiing!!!

MVP did the same yesterday in GSTL, it seems quite a common thing to do.
Moderatorlickypiddy
YoungTyTy
Profile Joined November 2011
United States801 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-07-05 20:49:04
July 05 2013 20:47 GMT
#9
On July 06 2013 05:42 NovemberstOrm wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 06 2013 05:05 ACrow wrote:
That's not very sportsmanlike by Woongjin Stars - you should give your best when your opponent is still fighting for survival. It's unfair for SKT to pull punches.
I really hope SKT will make it nonetheless. Rain hwaitiiiiing!!!

MVP did the same yesterday in GSTL, it seems quite a common thing to do.

Teams are going to look out for themselves. The most important thing to Woongjin and MVP in this position is to give rookies more experience and try to strengthen the team a bit. It's not as if they're trying to lose. In any case CJ is doing the same thing.
Any fool can ask more questions than a wise man can answer.
Shinta)
Profile Joined July 2010
United States1716 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-07-05 21:25:58
July 05 2013 21:23 GMT
#10
oh my goodness! Looks like SKT is going to make it, as they have the easier matches and are up anyways, but holy smokes are they going to have a tough time vs EG-TL! That looks like it's going to be the "match to watch" for the week.

On July 06 2013 05:42 NovemberstOrm wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 06 2013 05:05 ACrow wrote:
That's not very sportsmanlike by Woongjin Stars - you should give your best when your opponent is still fighting for survival. It's unfair for SKT to pull punches.
I really hope SKT will make it nonetheless. Rain hwaitiiiiing!!!

MVP did the same yesterday in GSTL, it seems quite a common thing to do.

MVP didn't actually. MVP sent in a new player once the results no longer mattered. Azubu was in 100%. MVP winning or losing the last game would have 0 effect on the rest of the standings, so they sent in a new player.
Suteki Da Ne 素敵だね Isn't it Wonderful
Proseat
Profile Blog Joined February 2012
Germany5113 Posts
July 05 2013 21:27 GMT
#11
Time for some last minute FPL points! Go my players!
The Rise and Fall of SlayerS -- a timeline: http://www.teamliquid.net/blogs/viewblog.php?id=378097
DBS
Profile Joined July 2012
515 Posts
July 05 2013 22:40 GMT
#12
Woonjin doesn't lose a map, and then proceeds to win the playoffs without dropping a match. They do all of this without feilding sOs, light, or Soulkey. You read it here first
"a pitchfork is for hay. a trident is for killing bitches." -djwheat
YoungTyTy
Profile Joined November 2011
United States801 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-07-05 22:43:04
July 05 2013 22:42 GMT
#13
On July 06 2013 06:23 Shinta) wrote:
oh my goodness! Looks like SKT is going to make it, as they have the easier matches and are up anyways, but holy smokes are they going to have a tough time vs EG-TL! That looks like it's going to be the "match to watch" for the week.

Show nested quote +
On July 06 2013 05:42 NovemberstOrm wrote:
On July 06 2013 05:05 ACrow wrote:
That's not very sportsmanlike by Woongjin Stars - you should give your best when your opponent is still fighting for survival. It's unfair for SKT to pull punches.
I really hope SKT will make it nonetheless. Rain hwaitiiiiing!!!

MVP did the same yesterday in GSTL, it seems quite a common thing to do.

MVP didn't actually. MVP sent in a new player once the results no longer mattered. Azubu was in 100%. MVP winning or losing the last game would have 0 effect on the rest of the standings, so they sent in a new player.

Shine and Swagger are not exactly A-teamers for MVP. They stopped putting in their best players as soon as Keen got the two wins they needed
Any fool can ask more questions than a wise man can answer.
VKCA
Profile Joined September 2011
Canada391 Posts
July 06 2013 00:14 GMT
#14
On July 06 2013 07:42 YoungTyTy wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 06 2013 06:23 Shinta) wrote:
oh my goodness! Looks like SKT is going to make it, as they have the easier matches and are up anyways, but holy smokes are they going to have a tough time vs EG-TL! That looks like it's going to be the "match to watch" for the week.

On July 06 2013 05:42 NovemberstOrm wrote:
On July 06 2013 05:05 ACrow wrote:
That's not very sportsmanlike by Woongjin Stars - you should give your best when your opponent is still fighting for survival. It's unfair for SKT to pull punches.
I really hope SKT will make it nonetheless. Rain hwaitiiiiing!!!

MVP did the same yesterday in GSTL, it seems quite a common thing to do.

MVP didn't actually. MVP sent in a new player once the results no longer mattered. Azubu was in 100%. MVP winning or losing the last game would have 0 effect on the rest of the standings, so they sent in a new player.

Shine and Swagger are not exactly A-teamers for MVP. They stopped putting in their best players as soon as Keen got the two wins they needed

Yeah but booth experience is important no matter what, regardless of whether they were sending weaker players. It's not like anybody is going easy on anybody else for the sake of going easy on them, they're just using it as a free opportunity to let some not as good players get experience. As you said, as soon as they got those two kills and assured that even im all killing startale wouldn't take the gstl finals from them, there's no reason to try and win by sending out the big dogs, might as well let the lesser known players get practice
and even if shine or killer might not be considered "a team", who is really a level above them on mvp (so to speak). They don't really have an "a team" and a "b team" more an a-/b+ team.
Killer, Vampire, Dream, finale, Sniper, Nobless, Lure, tails, sniper, lol even drg, they're all good but on about the same level now in hots it feels, only two who've really stood above the rest (performance wise in team leagues at least) are like monster and keen. Maybe sniper, I'm still not sold
teddyoojo
Profile Blog Joined June 2011
Germany22369 Posts
July 06 2013 00:22 GMT
#15
On July 06 2013 04:05 MooMooMugi wrote:
Snutes playing? Vs Fantasy? I guess since this match doesnt matter much for EGTL

what? snute in starting lineup is pretty justifyable
Esports historian since 2000. Creator of 'The Universe' and 'The best scrambled Eggs 2013'. Host of 'Star Wars Marathon 2015'. Thinker of 'teddyoojo's Thoughts'. Earths and Moons leading CS:GO expert. Lord of the Rings.
xXFireandIceXx
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
Canada4296 Posts
July 06 2013 00:56 GMT
#16
Does anyone know when iloveoov is returning? Boxer and iloveoov managing SKT would be an absolute dream
GolemMadness
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
Canada11044 Posts
July 06 2013 05:01 GMT
#17
Piano still plays?!
http://na.op.gg/summoner/userName=FLABREZU
Garnet
Profile Blog Joined February 2006
Vietnam9050 Posts
July 06 2013 06:30 GMT
#18
if SKT went 1-1 and Khan 2-0, they would have the same win-loss. What's the tie-breaker?.
monk
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
United States8477 Posts
July 06 2013 11:18 GMT
#19
^ Map score. SKT had a much better map score.
Moderator
Murogahyouma
Profile Joined August 2012
13 Posts
July 06 2013 20:52 GMT
#20
Team 8th needs to take role playing less serious.
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