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TL Mafia XXXVIII

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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jaminz
Profile Joined April 2010
United States208 Posts
April 03 2011 02:06 GMT
#94
/in
"Heroes get remembered, but legends never die. Follow your heart, kid, and you'll never go wrong" - The Great Bambino, The Sandlot
jaminz
Profile Joined April 2010
United States208 Posts
April 12 2011 04:32 GMT
#1396
I realize I've been inactive for pretty much the entire game so far, and I don't really have a great excuse other than that I've been a bit busy lately. However, I'm working my way through the thread right now, and plan to be completely caught up by the end of the night.

I've only played one game of Mafia before (Haunted Mafia this past Halloween - put on by Doctor H), so I'm still fairly new to the game, but I'm doing what I can to take everything in. Thanks in advance for everyone being patient with me.
"Heroes get remembered, but legends never die. Follow your heart, kid, and you'll never go wrong" - The Great Bambino, The Sandlot
jaminz
Profile Joined April 2010
United States208 Posts
April 12 2011 04:39 GMT
#1413
On April 12 2011 13:34 chaoser wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 12 2011 13:32 jaminz wrote:
I realize I've been inactive for pretty much the entire game so far, and I don't really have a great excuse other than that I've been a bit busy lately. However, I'm working my way through the thread right now, and plan to be completely caught up by the end of the night.

I've only played one game of Mafia before (Haunted Mafia this past Halloween - put on by Doctor H), so I'm still fairly new to the game, but I'm doing what I can to take everything in. Thanks in advance for everyone being patient with me.


Claims he needs to catch up.

Show nested quote +
On April 12 2011 08:49 jaminz wrote:
##Vote Doctor Helevetica


Voted DrH hours in advance


I'll be completely honest about that one, and you can ridicule me all you want for it: I was nervous that I'd be modkilled for not voting, and wanted to make sure I had a vote in before things got too out of hand so I voted for Dr. H. I know he knows how to play the game, and my gut said he was the one to pick.
"Heroes get remembered, but legends never die. Follow your heart, kid, and you'll never go wrong" - The Great Bambino, The Sandlot
jaminz
Profile Joined April 2010
United States208 Posts
April 13 2011 02:55 GMT
#1700
Man, this game is pretty intense. I'm having a bit of trouble keeping up, but I'm working on it. It seems like Bumatlarge, DoctorH, and GMarshal have all had a lot of analysis done on them so far, so I'll try to look at a few of the other players and post whatever analysis I can.
"Heroes get remembered, but legends never die. Follow your heart, kid, and you'll never go wrong" - The Great Bambino, The Sandlot
jaminz
Profile Joined April 2010
United States208 Posts
April 15 2011 07:09 GMT
#2797
On April 15 2011 15:33 Coagulation wrote:
SO YOU NEW PEOPLE HAVING FUN YET?


It's definitely interesting to read everything. It's much easier when we don't get mass pages of posts quickly, but I guess that's how you figure out who is mafia isn't it.
"Heroes get remembered, but legends never die. Follow your heart, kid, and you'll never go wrong" - The Great Bambino, The Sandlot
jaminz
Profile Joined April 2010
United States208 Posts
April 18 2011 03:47 GMT
#3150
Well it seems that I've done a pretty terrible job of proving that I'm a townie. It's been a bad weekend for me (i've had lots of stuff come up), so I haven't been able to be too active. I read kitaman's post about kevconsim, and it seemed pretty convincing for me. I tend to think kitaman is town from his posting, and so I think I'm inclined to agree with him and vote for kevconsim. Obviously I'd rather stay alive in this game as well, so there's another reason for my kevconsim vote.

I'm around tonight, so if anyone has any other questions for me, I'll do my best to show you guys that I'm not scum, and I deserve to stay alive.
"Heroes get remembered, but legends never die. Follow your heart, kid, and you'll never go wrong" - The Great Bambino, The Sandlot
jaminz
Profile Joined April 2010
United States208 Posts
April 18 2011 04:09 GMT
#3154
On April 18 2011 13:07 ilovejonn wrote:
Did dr. h use his mayor votes on kevconsim? That's what the (x3) means right?

I think that's what it means, yeah.
"Heroes get remembered, but legends never die. Follow your heart, kid, and you'll never go wrong" - The Great Bambino, The Sandlot
jaminz
Profile Joined April 2010
United States208 Posts
April 18 2011 05:09 GMT
#3162
So we're down to 16 town and 4 mafia, right?


2. Rean
8. Kenpachi
9. ilovejonn
11.chaoser
12.CubEdIn 2.0
15.TranceStorm
18.urashimakt
21.DropBear
22.The_Roist
23.kitaman27
24.Lanaia bumatlarge
25.jaminz
26.DarthThienAn
27.DoctorHelvetica
29.AirbladeOrange
30.MetalFace
31.Barundar
33.redFF Zorkmid
37.Mig
39.Conversion
"Heroes get remembered, but legends never die. Follow your heart, kid, and you'll never go wrong" - The Great Bambino, The Sandlot
jaminz
Profile Joined April 2010
United States208 Posts
April 18 2011 06:40 GMT
#3172
I haven’t really done this before, but here goes. Analysis on Conversion:

+ Show Spoiler +
What are you even arguing here? I can't FoS someone for being an assassin? So now you're telling me that I can only FoS possible lynch targets?

You can have a completely different definition of FoS in your head compared to the one I have in mine. I understand that you like spamming up threads (you even have a reputation of it), but really? What are you even pointing at here? Am I mafia for misusing FoS in your opinion? Am I mafia for FoSing and assassin, when GMarshal prodded me to speak? Yes I am new and I would rather not speak because I'd make a lot of mistakes that would lead to scum reads from the players that can't differentiate from scum and bad townie play.

Stop arguing about silly things, it's getting you nowhere. If you somehow deduce that I'm scum from senseless arguments like these kudos to you for failing.


+ Show Spoiler +
On April 10 2011 15:10 Conversion wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 10 2011 15:02 Conversion wrote:
Yes I am new and I would rather not speak because I'd make a lot of mistakes that would lead to scum reads from the players that can't differentiate from scum and bad townie play.


Thanks, I like to know that I am terrible. You're a great help, Mr. "if you think someone is an assassin announce it"

I never realized there was a part in there that said "if you're a terrible poster, I'm going to attack you for FoSing an assassin."


In his first few posts (example here), he argues with Doctor H about pointing a FoS on possible assassins, and gets a little chippy and defensive when called on it.

+ Show Spoiler +
On April 11 2011 19:58 Conversion wrote:
Fair enough to keep an eye on me. I understand that my defensiveness towards DrH's pokes wasn't the most town thing to do.

About to go to school now, but can anyone tell me more about DrH's town play? Is he usually as aggressive? I know Barundar posted some things already, but has there been a case where DrH played an aggressive day 1 as townie?



Here he acknowledges his actions haven’t been very pro-town. Not necessarily anti-town though,

+ Show Spoiler +
On April 12 2011 09:33 Conversion wrote:
Well, I'll be frank. I don't like DocH. He comes off right off the bat as an asshole that was acting aggressively to draw responses, as some of you have stated (kav in particular) in your posts.

However, I am not going to let something so trivial deter my vote. He also taught me something, albeit small, most of you attempting to help have not by pointing out that my defense was not very town-like. I'm very confident that, after reading Doc's posts, DocH is green.

Though I disagree with his first lynch (kav), I feel like a more experienced townie in a mayor position would be more beneficial. I have not been able to read his past games- and no one answered my questions- so I'll take the word from a few of you that DocH actually does have an aggressive town meta in a few of his games.

With that said,
##vote DoctorHelvetica


He says that he doesn’t like Doctor H, but decides to vote for him as mayor. I don’t think this is scummy, just weird.

+ Show Spoiler +
On April 12 2011 20:00 Conversion wrote:
I'm fine with a DT check waste on me with anything. You'll get a townie read and, unless for some retarded reason you think mafia will make me godfather, no other information.

Yes I played rather poorly, but are you aeriously accusing me of being scum? Maybe I was too wishy washy with the way I voted, saying that I had the town's best interest, but whatever floats your boat.

I was only trying to benefit town with what I read in this shitstorm of a thread.


Being defensive about people possibly calling him scum. This is a bit more suspicious, but still understandable.

+ Show Spoiler +
On April 14 2011 01:58 Conversion wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 14 2011 01:24 Barundar wrote:
I'm not sure I agree with you chaoser that it's smarter to use a lynch on coag than to let protac die to assassin. But I agree with you that we shouldn't stop scum hunting.

Jaminez I want to hear your opinion on this situation and your mafia/town reads. Same for you conversion.


Currently at school right now (using my itouch).

Reading through what some of the power players said about protact claiming, I think he's telling the truth. Why would he claim DT if he is scum? I don't think, if he were to be lynched after lynching coag, it's a favorable trade. Also, assassins can't use ANY powers night 1, right?

I'm suspicious of people who are defending coag. I am suspicious of you and GM.

your confidence in your conviction against me and when you defend coag is very suspicious. in your analysis of me being "red," you don't even accout for the fact that I'm a shitty town player. you also ignore the fact that other townies (newer ones) played as wishy washy as i did.

GM because he's been defending and arguing against the wrong people, in my opinion. It's a weak suspicion that should grow stronger or weaker as the game progresses.


He mentions (again) that he’s not a great town player, along with mentioning his opinions on a few players. I’m not sure why he feels the need to mention he’s a bad town player as a defense, but he does.

+ Show Spoiler +
On April 14 2011 20:32 Conversion wrote:
Before I go to school, I'd just like to correct Barundar.

I never got modkilled for inactivity, I asked for a replacement due to lack of time (and personal problems).

And I'm sorry I can't be more active, but I'm just going to scum slip without even knowing. I'm a terrible player and this is my first game (why I played a 40 player normal game as my first game, beats me.)

I'm not particularly vocal irl and I'm not particularly vocal on the internet.

So I apologize if you get a scum read on me, and I hope you change your mind, but I have no idea how to go about defending myself.


He seems to consistently be worried that he’ll somehow out himself as mafia. As a newer player myself, I understand not wanting to have people accuse you of something when there’s no real way to prove things one way or the other, but he seems to keep bringing up that he’s worried about people thinking he’s mafia.

+ Show Spoiler +
On April 17 2011 00:18 Conversion wrote:
Woulf it even be detrimental to mislynch today?

If not, I'll be fine getting lynched since Barundar seems to believe that I'm mafia because of my play, regardless of what I tell him.

I'm detrimental to town at this point and I don't even know how to make a post without someone analyzing me/questioning me.

If you guys don't care about lynching mafia (as we lost quite a few over the past day/night), might as well lynch a lurker, like me.

But then again, lynching me gets town nowhere, but whatever.


He continues being worried about making posts and having them analyzed, and even goes so far as to say he’d be fine getting lynched.

+ Show Spoiler +
On April 17 2011 11:27 Conversion wrote:
I'm reading the thread.

I'm really, really trying to analyze someone but I don't know how to analyze

1) lurkers that post as little as I did

or

2) both players I tried to analyze seem freaking pro town.

Just off the top of my head, people who haven't been contributing as much as I did (none)

22.The_Roist
25.jaminz
30.MetalFace
36.Robellicose
37.Mig
39.Conversion

Now I believe Metalface (?) and someone else (was it Robellicose) were bodyguard.

I doubt can be mafia. There's no way a scum team, with a few experienced players in their team, would allow jaminz to lurk for so long, making four(!!) posts in the entire thread. He hasn't really disrupted ideal town environment, just posted a few things here and there.

M0nsterchef looks really suspicious to me.
+ Show Spoiler [My first attempt at analysis] +

+ Show Spoiler [voting for GMarshal] +
On April 11 2011 08:20 M0nsterChef wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 11 2011 07:35 Mr. Wiggles wrote:
On April 11 2011 07:32 M0nsterChef wrote:
I read the thread and made a vote based on who I think I deserves the role the most. Am I not allowed to vote?


No, but it looks highly suspicious that you don't post any thoughts/opinions (or anything at all really) since the game has started, and then come in and vote.

What are your thoughts on the current situation?

Why do you like GMarshal the best for mayor?

Why don't you like the other candidates?



Alright, so I made a really noob mistake of not posting a bunch before I make a vote. It's my first game here, and while I know that shouldn't be an excuse, it's the only one I can come up with.

Anyways, as for questions

What are your thoughts on the current situation?

Just reading the past pages of posts has made me realize I need to be more careful with what I post, and I should post more often.

Why do you like GMarshal the best for mayor?

-Seems to be more analyst oriented
-Is willing to consider the lynch of kavdragon
-Seems to be "Pro-town"
-Protactium seems to care too much about the assassin game.
-Pandain is trying to get Protactium to be mayor by making people support him through his dt reveal, I don't think this is smart.

Why don't you like the other candidates?
-Now that I voted for GMarshal , AirbladeOrange, RedFF say I should be lynched.
-Protactium has said he is not town.





On April 14 2011 07:38 M0nsterChef wrote:
If we lynch coagulation and he flips green, then do we automatically lynch FW?

Also: which people do you guys think deserve dt/ tracker checks?


A template to set up for his "tracker" claim

On April 14 2011 08:12 M0nsterChef wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 14 2011 08:10 GMarshal wrote:
On April 14 2011 08:06 M0nsterChef wrote:
On April 14 2011 07:45 redFF wrote:
On April 14 2011 07:38 M0nsterChef wrote:
If we lynch coagulation and he flips green, then do we automatically lynch FW?

Also: which people do you guys think deserve dt/ tracker checks?


Why do you ask, are u dt/tracker? How about you post your opinions on anything for once. Do you trust Flamewheel? Do you think we should lynch coag? What do you think of the huge post i made trying to prove to other people you are scum??? You haven't made one post talking about your stance on any issues, come on!!! THIS GUY IS FUCKING SCUM


I'm not scum.


Wonderful defense, I love how you indexed it and everything so I could easily refernce the different points.

Theres a well bodied accusation against you out there. Please try to defend yourself better than this.


I'm a tracker. I tracked RedFF and he didn't go anywhere.


His "tracker" claim. GMarshal even facepalmed at his tracker claim to make it seem legitimate

+ Show Spoiler +
On April 15 2011 07:28 M0nsterChef wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 15 2011 07:14 LSB wrote:
[image loading]

Read this

So, you, yes you. Why are you lynching Coagulation? Are you trusting the words of a Mafia who lied about being an Assassin, and has been Proven by Gmarshall to be lying about his role of detective?

Why are you lynching coagulation? Because you think he's red?

How about this. A compromise.

The Plan:
Today we lynch Prot
Tonight we will call for a Vig hit on Coagulation

If Coagulation is hit and survives the night, that means he is vet. If he isn't vet, he'll just be dead. Win win.

Why this is preferable that letting Prot live
Contrary to popular belief, Mafia and assassins have little incentive to kill Prot. This is because they know that if they let Prot live, he'll just be lynched. This is good for them because it takes heat off of them for one day.

We will need to lynch Prot one way or the other. If we do it this way according to plan, we 1) Save a lynch. 2) If coag is saying the truth, we'll have 1 more townie.


I think the vig hit is a lot more valueable than that, and should be used to actually kill a confirmed scum (assuming there are vigis in the game).

Also, the mafia do not have "little incentive to kill Prot". He's just another player to eliminate and killing him will help them win the game.


He soft defends LSB's plan to vig shot Coagulation.

On April 15 2011 11:51 M0nsterChef wrote:
#Vote Coagulation

Although I really think LSB might be sum with his rather anti town plan.


Busses Coag, trying to blend in with town. He even thinks Coag is a waste of a vig shot, but is important enough to warrant a lynch.


Along with this, we have Barundar, a pro-town player, claiming to be roleblocked twice.

M0nsterchef, like the many other times he showed up to post, defends himself with a "I was roleblocked" claim.

Now, regardless if the roleblock thing is true or not, his posting habits and behavior seem incredibly scummy. He posted a grand total of three times after shit went down in this thread.

He doesn't even vote for GMarshal, which was either to not seem like a sheep or he was inactive to take his "bus" off coag.


Here is his big post. He looks at m0nsterchef, and does a few pieces of analysis on others (including myself). There is one part that stood out to me a little bit:

+ Show Spoiler +
I doubt [jaminz] can be mafia. There's no way a scum team, with a few experienced players in their team, would allow jaminz to lurk for so long, making four(!!) posts in the entire thread.


This was one of the things that made me suspicious of him, as up until now I’ve gotten the feeling that he’s mostly just a newer player still getting a feel for the game. He mentions that a mafia team would encourage their fellow mafia members to post a bit so they don’t get pointed out as lurkers, but when looking at his posts it seems like he could be just making them so he doesn’t get pointed out as a lurker. There isn’t a ton of analysis by him until this post, and it seems like he may have accidentally let a bit of his strategy for not raising suspicion slip a bit.

+ Show Spoiler +
On April 18 2011 09:59 Conversion wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 18 2011 08:20 AirbladeOrange wrote:
I agree on one of TranceStorm's posts but disagree on another one.

On April 17 2011 02:02 TranceStorm wrote:
On April 17 2011 00:18 Conversion wrote:
Woulf it even be detrimental to mislynch today?

If not, I'll be fine getting lynched since Barundar seems to believe that I'm mafia because of my play, regardless of what I tell him.

I'm detrimental to town at this point and I don't even know how to make a post without someone analyzing me/questioning me.

If you guys don't care about lynching mafia (as we lost quite a few over the past day/night), might as well lynch a lurker, like me.

But then again, lynching me gets town nowhere, but whatever.

I find your responses to being put under pressure very troubling though. In the very beginning, you seemed to be more active and willing to question the motives of other players. After Barundur started to put pressure on you, you put up the excuse that you were new and wanted to avoid being seen as scum repeatedly - until we've reached this moment where you are basically saying "lynch me, but you'll regret it!". To me, the fact that you have withdrawn as the game moved on is highly suspicious especially since each post seems to be a justification as to why you shouldn't have to make contentful posts in the future.


I think conversion was relatively scummy throughout the game. No huge tells but he is not helping the town although it seems like is is trying to (or faking trying to). I'm pretty sure someone did a decent analysis earlier of him that was pretty convincing.


On April 18 2011 07:54 TranceStorm wrote:
I'm going to vote for jaminz for today's lynch. Mig's post on jaminz is especially incriminating for me on jaminz' remarkable change in posting behavior. Considering how helpful he seemed to be in the previous game that Mig spotted (Haunted Mafia), you would expect that jaminz would contribute a little more in the current circumstances.

jaminz is a much stronger candidate than kevconsim for me. Reading from his previous games, his contribution always seems to be rather limited which makes him an extremely uncertain lynch target in my opinion.

On the issue of the roleblocks, I think we should wait another day before we make any judgments on whether m0nster or Barundur are lying. It seems especially strange that the number of people roleblocked should go from 1 to 2 (it seems far more likely for 2 people to have been roleblocked on the first night and only 1 on the 2nd night considering the collection of hits between the assassins). If there are indeed 2 roleblockers, why would they choose to not roleblock on the first day?


I stated earlier that all of jaminz's "scummy" posts really point much more to him being a novice at the game than anything else. The same goes for M0nsterchef. I had a strong scum read on him early in the game but once he blue claimed I reversed my thinking on him. I believe him to be an inexperienced player who felt like he had to claim his blue status in order to avoid being lynched. It's a perfectly rational thing to do even if it's not the smartest thing to do.

I think the issue that makes me think conversion is the summiest looking player we have is the fact that he is advocating the lynch of M0nsterchef, who I think we should believe to be blue. He already voted for M0nsterChef as well. Mafia want blues dead and it would be better to kill blues with a lynch so they can focus on killing other players with their KP.

I'm placing my vote on conversion.


SO let me get this straight.

1) you don't want to lynch jaminz because his "scummy" posts point him to being a novice, but that doesn't apply to me?
2) since you "believe" (what the fuck?) m0nster is blue, you think I'm scummy? rofl. okay. so if I claim vet early on to avoid a lynch and behave like a lurking scum, you'd still trust me? great play.
3) you don't even try to defend him by taking apart my analysis.

nice to know a few things about you. next time I play a game with you I'll claim a blue role so you ignore any analysis or post behavior and just believe me to be some newb blue role claimer.


He gets a bit combative here with AirbladeOrange who argues against a piece of his analysis. Airblade wasn’t really rude in his criticism of Conversion’s analysis, so I don’t totally see a reason for why he responded this way.

Overall, I can’t really say I get a strong read either way on Conversion. He definitely seems like a newer player, which can explain a lot of his posts, but I also think that almost all of his posts could be a completely logical style if he were mafia as well. I'm pretty sure Mig is town, and he seems to trust AirbladeOrange, who was the one Conversion was attacking. The attacks sort of came out of nowhere, which tends to make me a bit more suspicious of him. I think he's frustrated that his analysis of M0nsterChef was shot down and that there is now suspicion on him, and so he's being combative to try to stay alive.

All that being said, I'm still not confident enough either way to say whether he's mafia or not as he could just be a newer player getting a feel for things. I hope some of this was helpful!

"Heroes get remembered, but legends never die. Follow your heart, kid, and you'll never go wrong" - The Great Bambino, The Sandlot
jaminz
Profile Joined April 2010
United States208 Posts
April 19 2011 02:34 GMT
#3173
Did I kill the thread?
"Heroes get remembered, but legends never die. Follow your heart, kid, and you'll never go wrong" - The Great Bambino, The Sandlot
jaminz
Profile Joined April 2010
United States208 Posts
April 19 2011 05:22 GMT
#3184
Here's who's left:

8. Kenpachi
9. ilovejonn
11.chaoser
15.TranceStorm
18.urashimakt
21.DropBear
22.The_Roist
23.kitaman27
24.Lanaia bumatlarge
25.jaminz
26.DarthThienAn
27.DoctorHelvetica
29.AirbladeOrange
30.MetalFace
31.Barundar
33.redFF Zorkmid
39.Conversion
"Heroes get remembered, but legends never die. Follow your heart, kid, and you'll never go wrong" - The Great Bambino, The Sandlot
jaminz
Profile Joined April 2010
United States208 Posts
April 19 2011 21:21 GMT
#3267
On April 20 2011 05:07 Kenpachi wrote:
oh i think i have good reason to believe that our body guards may very well be part of the mafia



They are not dead yet


Can bodyguards be scum? I thought they came from the pool of town players.
"Heroes get remembered, but legends never die. Follow your heart, kid, and you'll never go wrong" - The Great Bambino, The Sandlot
jaminz
Profile Joined April 2010
United States208 Posts
April 19 2011 22:59 GMT
#3282
On April 20 2011 07:48 MetalFace wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 20 2011 07:38 The_Roist wrote:

Do not forget that in this game, mafia knows who the real bodyguards are, for sure.


How does mafia know for sure any better than anyone else does?


Both the Mayor (Doctor H) and the Pardoner (GMarshal) were given the identities of the Bodyguards. Because GMarshal was Mafia, all Mafia likely now know who the Bodyguards are.
"Heroes get remembered, but legends never die. Follow your heart, kid, and you'll never go wrong" - The Great Bambino, The Sandlot
jaminz
Profile Joined April 2010
United States208 Posts
April 19 2011 23:41 GMT
#3285
I’m not very good at analysis, but I did some earlier today on TranceStorm, who has 28 total posts.

+ Show Spoiler +
On March 26 2011 21:36 TranceStorm wrote:
I'm /in. I haven't played a mafia game in a while, but I've been playing on other sites and what not, so I'm definitely interested.



Mentions he’s played mafia before, so you’d probably expect a decent amount of activity.

+ Show Spoiler +
On April 10 2011 19:16 TranceStorm wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 10 2011 18:25 urashimakt wrote:
On April 10 2011 17:10 kitaman27 wrote:
On April 10 2011 17:02 Protactinium wrote:
However, in essence of "playing the game" the optimal (though still not very good) strategy would be to ally with the Mafia. Obviously, if I lose the election, theres no way I can help town without dying.

The game is just hours in and he is already threatening town.

Well, seeing as Mafia can only PM Mafia and no one else is allowed to PM, I'd be super impressed if he managed to somehow backstab us by allying with the Mafia.

There is always the possibility that he is a mafia pretending to be an assassin in order to win himself an elected position on the merits of the arguments he listed earlier. But I'm not particularly inclined to this view because as of right now because that strategy would be exceedingly risky at the very beginning of the game.

If we were to elect Protactinium, at the very least, we would make sure that a clear non-mafia were elected for the time being. However, I am concerned about his commitment to being pro-town if elected. From his own admission, he says that:
Show nested quote +
Obviously, if I lose the election, theres no way I can help town without dying. Assassins aren't bulletproof nor do they have extra lives in this game, so if I try to be pro-town, mafia will just shoot me or roleblock me, nullifying me completely. Thats 100% certain death for me. This means that I'm forced to ally with the mafia. And that's relatively easy for me to do.

The terms are simple, they don't roleblock me or shoot me, and I don't analyze them or shoot them. Played correctly, Assassins aren't a huge threat to either Mafia or town, nor are they gamebreaking like a lategame SK.

Of course, what should happen if he were to be elected, and both bodyguards were to die? The chances are slim of course, but the fact is that he could switch sides at critical moments (i.e. when he is one of the deciding votes between the mafia and town). In the early game, Protactinium would definitely be town-sided, but resulting changes to the circumstances of the game could radically change his allegiances. Oh and lastly, I don't think he would be able to 'ally with mafia' like he claims if he weren't elected since another assassin would take him out to further their own chances at victory.

Like other people of reiterated, I would recommend that the pardoner would be the best position for Protactinium on the basis that an assassin would have little reason to ever pardon someone, but at the same time, we have a confirmed non-mafia who is able to give good analysis of player behavior and who will survive for the later stages of the game.



Doesn’t support Protact as a mayor because he could side with mafia, supports him as pardoner though.

+ Show Spoiler +
On April 11 2011 05:22 TranceStorm wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 11 2011 05:13 chaoser wrote:
On April 11 2011 05:08 TranceStorm wrote:
On April 11 2011 04:56 Pandain wrote:
But this is the PANDAIN PLAN

1.Proctat reveal the two bodyguards.
2. Watchers are HEAVILY advised to visit these people. Obviously there may not be a watcher(even though there likely is.) But the most important thing is that the threat remains the same.
This makes it very risky for the other assasins to even attempt to shoot the bodyguards for fear of losing. They will most likely have to wait a couple days, during which we shall have ample time to find them.

Proctat will be helping town while still fulfilling his role condition. There is no reason not to vote for him.

Sure, this will keep the bodyguards alive and keep the the people elected alive, but it will definitely take away the usefulness of the watcher, since the mafia/assassins' will be guaranteed to steer clear of them. Furthermore, if the mafia/assassins were to accidentally hit the watchers, the following turn we could be pretty sure that the bodyguards would be dead as well since they've been outed.


Sup Trancestorm, nice to know you've been lurking and reading all of the stuff but saying nothing about it. What do you think about Prot's campaign? Kita? DrH?

Hey, I just got on the thread and read all the stuff, and Pandian's points were the first I had something to respond to. Personally, as I said earlier, I feel uneasy about Prot's campaign because of his potential for swapping allegiances later in the game. The other candidate's I don't have any clear reads on since there is absolutely no and since we can't confirm anything. I'm inclined to believe that Pandian is the detective from my personal gut feeling from his original post though, even though I don't think his idea to reveal himself was all the great for the town.


Seems to be giving his honest opinions. Not overly defensive in any way.

+ Show Spoiler +
On April 11 2011 08:00 TranceStorm wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 11 2011 07:46 Kavdragon wrote:
My current suspect list is

Protactinium
Chaoser
DrHelevetica

Chaoser gets added because he was sheeping behind some really bad ideas, adding to the flames of arguments that shouldn't have ever started, and acting generally scummy. I have no analysis yet, so it still a lowish level read, but it's still a read.

Oddly enough, GMarshal has not shown himself to be clearly townie to me, and I'm not sure why. It just seems like he could be repeating his townie meta, or it could just be that I'm really used to it being super obvious that he is town. Not a FoS yet, but something that I think is odd.

He usually has plans, and that's strangely missing. You'd think that he'd have them since he's running for mayor. Odd.

I think the support for GMarshal is a bit suspicious at the moment. Everyone seems to justify their vote for GMarshal on the basis that he is the most pro-town and that argument is thrown around alot. But it seems like alot of people are sheeping to his side without alot of justification for why. Personally, I think that Dr. H has been the most town to me because of his aggressive approach. I don't think any mafia would want to make that aggressive of a start at the beginning of a game - they'd rather appear more passive to the town. Would a mafia risk making that many contradictions at the beginning of a game?

Dr. H's accusations seem a bit erratic and scattergun and may cause trouble later down the road, in my opinion he is the most town out of all the candidates making him the safest choice for me.



Suspicious of GMarshal as mayor. Supports DocH.

+ Show Spoiler +
On April 15 2011 08:31 TranceStorm wrote:
I just got back to this thread, and jesus christ I have missed so much. Personally, I feel that Serejai is definitely mafia because of his almost complete lack of comprehension in his posts. If you read his comments in some other threads, they seem rational and well thought-out as in he was definitely trying to understand the situation at hand. Here, however, he doesn't act like he's actively trying to understand whats going on and blatantly makes statements that defy logic What motivation would he have for doing so if he were town?

From my cursory glance at the thread, no one has seemed to step up and deny that Serejai is probably a mafia, but everyone seems to glide over the issue to focus on other lynch targets. I think this is currently misguided, we can't know for certain if any of those people are mafia or not so we should wait for a few more night actions. On the other hand, we have an almost guaranteed mafia in the form of Serejai. The likelihood that Serejai is mafia is far greater than that of any of the other players, each of whom seems to have lots of supporters and detractors.



Thinks Serejai is mafia (which he was).

+ Show Spoiler +
On April 17 2011 02:02 TranceStorm wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 17 2011 00:18 Conversion wrote:
Woulf it even be detrimental to mislynch today?

If not, I'll be fine getting lynched since Barundar seems to believe that I'm mafia because of my play, regardless of what I tell him.

I'm detrimental to town at this point and I don't even know how to make a post without someone analyzing me/questioning me.

If you guys don't care about lynching mafia (as we lost quite a few over the past day/night), might as well lynch a lurker, like me.

But then again, lynching me gets town nowhere, but whatever.

I find your responses to being put under pressure very troubling though. In the very beginning, you seemed to be more active and willing to question the motives of other players. After Barundur started to put pressure on you, you put up the excuse that you were new and wanted to avoid being seen as scum repeatedly - until we've reached this moment where you are basically saying "lynch me, but you'll regret it!". To me, the fact that you have withdrawn as the game moved on is highly suspicious especially since each post seems to be a justification as to why you shouldn't have to make contentful posts in the future.



Points out suspicious activity by Conversion.

+ Show Spoiler +
On April 18 2011 07:54 TranceStorm wrote:
I'm going to vote for jaminz for today's lynch. Mig's post on jaminz is especially incriminating for me on jaminz' remarkable change in posting behavior. Considering how helpful he seemed to be in the previous game that Mig spotted (Haunted Mafia), you would expect that jaminz would contribute a little more in the current circumstances.

jaminz is a much stronger candidate than kevconsim for me. Reading from his previous games, his contribution always seems to be rather limited which makes him an extremely uncertain lynch target in my opinion.

On the issue of the roleblocks, I think we should wait another day before we make any judgments on whether m0nster or Barundur are lying. It seems especially strange that the number of people roleblocked should go from 1 to 2 (it seems far more likely for 2 people to have been roleblocked on the first night and only 1 on the 2nd night considering the collection of hits between the assassins). If there are indeed 2 roleblockers, why would they choose to not roleblock on the first day?



Obviously, I can’t really be impartial about this post since he’s advocating a vote for me. I obviously think he is wrong, but I guess I could see why he’d be suspicious since I hadn’t been posting much.

Overall it seems to me like he’s been a pretty helpful poster and seems to have been focusing on targets that have been suspicious in some way. The one thing that would make me think he’s mafia (unless I completely missed something in doing this analysis) is his vote on me. If he were mafia, it would make sense for him to want to get rid of another town player, though since kevconsim was also a town player, I don’t know how incriminating that is. Maybe someone better at analyzing than I am can look into things further, but here was my attempt at it.
"Heroes get remembered, but legends never die. Follow your heart, kid, and you'll never go wrong" - The Great Bambino, The Sandlot
jaminz
Profile Joined April 2010
United States208 Posts
April 19 2011 23:43 GMT
#3286
Those were just some basic notes I made, as I'm not totally sure what I should be looking for when analyzing someone. I guess the fact that he's also posted relatively little, but mentioned early on that he had played mafia before could point to him being a mafia player trying to lie low though.
"Heroes get remembered, but legends never die. Follow your heart, kid, and you'll never go wrong" - The Great Bambino, The Sandlot
jaminz
Profile Joined April 2010
United States208 Posts
April 20 2011 01:41 GMT
#3288
Yet to vote:

15.TranceStorm
18.urashimakt
22.The_Roist
26.DarthThienAn
27.DoctorHelvetica
29.AirbladeOrange

Everyone who's voted so far has voted for DropBear except for DropBear, who voted for Chaoser
"Heroes get remembered, but legends never die. Follow your heart, kid, and you'll never go wrong" - The Great Bambino, The Sandlot
jaminz
Profile Joined April 2010
United States208 Posts
April 21 2011 02:14 GMT
#3321
On April 21 2011 08:47 ilovejonn wrote:
Because kevconsim and jaminz looked scummier than Conversion before? jaminz and Conversion still haven't flipped


What do you mean by I "haven't flipped?"

On April 21 2011 05:57 TranceStorm wrote:

Speaking of which, I had voted for you earlier because you had such a dramatic change in personality between a prior game that you had played and this current game. However, you seem to have returned to posting helpful analysis so I'm willing to trust you if you explain what caused your relative inactivity earlier in the game.


I had some school/personal issues near the beginning of the game that kept me busy. That coupled with the fact that the thread moved so quickly (100+ pages within a few days) kind of kept me behind/not posting. But I'm all caught up now : )
"Heroes get remembered, but legends never die. Follow your heart, kid, and you'll never go wrong" - The Great Bambino, The Sandlot
jaminz
Profile Joined April 2010
United States208 Posts
April 21 2011 02:31 GMT
#3326
Oh, I see. Thanks for clarifying
"Heroes get remembered, but legends never die. Follow your heart, kid, and you'll never go wrong" - The Great Bambino, The Sandlot
jaminz
Profile Joined April 2010
United States208 Posts
April 22 2011 02:15 GMT
#3367
I feel like all we're doing now is just waiting for the end of night/day periods haha. Is there any chance we can switch to a 24 hour day cycle?
"Heroes get remembered, but legends never die. Follow your heart, kid, and you'll never go wrong" - The Great Bambino, The Sandlot
jaminz
Profile Joined April 2010
United States208 Posts
April 22 2011 06:29 GMT
#3376
The suspense is killing me
"Heroes get remembered, but legends never die. Follow your heart, kid, and you'll never go wrong" - The Great Bambino, The Sandlot
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