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Newbie Mini Mafia XXXI - Page 54

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Sonic Death Monkey
Profile Joined July 2011
Sweden991 Posts
November 30 2012 01:50 GMT
#1061
On November 30 2012 10:48 Oatsmaster wrote:
SDM, I think that you should think about why you are voting me instead of Aqua.


I am, but what's your read on me?
Oatsmaster
Profile Joined October 2012
United States16628 Posts
November 30 2012 01:51 GMT
#1062
I read that you are town by far, thats why I healed you and I assume scum attacked you n1
No gg, No skill.
Sonic Death Monkey
Profile Joined July 2011
Sweden991 Posts
November 30 2012 01:51 GMT
#1063
On November 30 2012 10:51 Oatsmaster wrote:
I read that you are town by far, thats why I healed you and I assume scum attacked you n1


terriblescumtrapfail.jpg
Sonic Death Monkey
Profile Joined July 2011
Sweden991 Posts
November 30 2012 01:52 GMT
#1064
On November 30 2012 10:17 JacobStrangelove wrote:
Ok back sorry something came up... Do we take the gamble? Because there is another scum in the mix if we don't vote for oats. (assuming he is scum) And nobody has a problem voting oats. (until now) which to me gave me the idea scum were on board. This is the same thing I felt but ignored with munk-e.


I think scum quite possibly would buss Oats, so I don't think that in itself matters much. What matters to me is how Oats is acting right now, which doesn't seem like scum imo.

I have NEVER made the correct decision in those situations though. Are we really considering not lynching a blueclaim without a breadcrumb that comes in a situation where scum will fakeclaim 100%?

On the other hand, has Oats become a fucking genius genius who is actually about to turn around this lynch as scum? If he's scum, why would he even bother to be here given the way he's played earlier?

We also need to consider the risk of mislynching anyway. We might be correct Oats is doc and still mislynch Aqua, WTF do we do D3? Do we keep assuming Oats is doc?
JacobStrangelove
Profile Joined August 2012
Australia1572 Posts
November 30 2012 01:53 GMT
#1065
Well the problem I have is if oats isn't scum my reads are on yamato and helo's admittedly helo and aqua kinda blend for me so both have the potential to be scum.
Oatsmaster
Profile Joined October 2012
United States16628 Posts
November 30 2012 01:53 GMT
#1066
D3 we lynch CC :D
No gg, No skill.
Mr. Cheesecake
Profile Joined October 2012
United States3756 Posts
November 30 2012 01:54 GMT
#1067
On November 30 2012 10:53 Oatsmaster wrote:
D3 we lynch CC :D


Obviously
But CC isn't protown as town. 100% real heuristic.
JacobStrangelove
Profile Joined August 2012
Australia1572 Posts
November 30 2012 01:55 GMT
#1068
Yeah I think aqua could be a mislynch which is why I am so hesitant. I agree if I go with my feel read there is no way I can lynch oats. My feel reads later on are normal good but it's still in this stage where I can't be sure.
JacobStrangelove
Profile Joined August 2012
Australia1572 Posts
November 30 2012 01:57 GMT
#1069
Honestly I cam connect yamato to anybody, he was also the counter lynch to munk day one. I would be happier lynching him but that relies on oats being town which logic will kill me for.
Mr. Cheesecake
Profile Joined October 2012
United States3756 Posts
November 30 2012 01:58 GMT
#1070
#Shouldhavelynchedyamatod1andnotwentretardmode
But CC isn't protown as town. 100% real heuristic.
JacobStrangelove
Profile Joined August 2012
Australia1572 Posts
November 30 2012 01:59 GMT
#1071
^ true. I am kicking myself for that lynch at the end with munk-e it should have been obvious.
yamato77
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
11589 Posts
November 30 2012 02:00 GMT
#1072
Pretty sure no lynch is an option if none of you can make a real decision.
Writer@WriterYamato
Mr. Cheesecake
Profile Joined October 2012
United States3756 Posts
November 30 2012 02:00 GMT
#1073
Well Oats, if you're actually the Doc, best give us your Big Book of Oats' Scumreads. You have ~ 1hour.

Personally, with all thats happened in the past few hours, I think we may be headed for a blue lynch. If so, /obs are going to be popcorning like hell.
But CC isn't protown as town. 100% real heuristic.
JacobStrangelove
Profile Joined August 2012
Australia1572 Posts
November 30 2012 02:00 GMT
#1074
Where did kick go?
Mr. Cheesecake
Profile Joined October 2012
United States3756 Posts
November 30 2012 02:01 GMT
#1075
>Talks about Yamato
>Wild Yamato appears

No lynch is not an option at this point i dont think.
But CC isn't protown as town. 100% real heuristic.
JacobStrangelove
Profile Joined August 2012
Australia1572 Posts
November 30 2012 02:01 GMT
#1076
On November 30 2012 11:00 yamato77 wrote:
Pretty sure no lynch is an option if none of you can make a real decision.


you are part of this decision.
Oatsmaster
Profile Joined October 2012
United States16628 Posts
November 30 2012 02:03 GMT
#1077
No lynch is only an option if everyone unvotes, which isnt going to happen
No gg, No skill.
JacobStrangelove
Profile Joined August 2012
Australia1572 Posts
November 30 2012 02:03 GMT
#1078
Screw this voting my top scum read.


##UnVote

##Vote: Yamato
Sonic Death Monkey
Profile Joined July 2011
Sweden991 Posts
November 30 2012 02:06 GMT
#1079
I'm starting to talk myself into an Aqua lynch... slowly. Here's my terrible contribution to the case. Those are two posts that, for the same reason, struck me as a bit weird when I read them.

Aqua is SCUM because he seems to deliberately focus on being original in an unnatural way (lol me).

On November 29 2012 18:09 Aquanim wrote:
I can't shake the feeling that Oatsmaster is capable of much better posting than this.

It's kinda difficult to substantiate a read like this, but I have a few points:

1) The Cheesecake vote. This is in some ways a townish move - it started the first real discussion and got the real game underway. I was particularly liking this because I too had a difficult-to-define scum read from CC's first handful of posts. On the other hand, we discussed Oatsmaster's vote around and around through all of day one, and didn't really accomplish that much with it (he was just too random to lynch). Perhaps this was his intention?

2) These posts:
Show nested quote +
On November 27 2012 11:57 Oatsmaster wrote:
also to everyone who said that I tunneled CC, You do not understand what tunneled MEANS.

Show nested quote +
On November 28 2012 08:56 Oatsmaster wrote:
I see the folly of my bad play d1, but if it helps us to find scum, I am fine with it.

This would seem to indicate to me that he isn't just playing badly, he's aware of what he is doing. I mean, his posts were kinda better day two until the lolswitch onto Jacob (and tbh I think there's a worthwhile case to be made on Helo out there) but still...

3) The hammer thing:
Show nested quote +
On November 28 2012 17:13 Aquanim wrote:
On November 27 2012 11:45 Oatsmaster wrote:
The last newbie mafia had 2 so 2 would make sense for this one.
Im confused Munk-e? I hammered the vote! ! !


Quick question @Oatsmaster. What did you mean by "hammered the vote"?

Show nested quote +
On November 28 2012 19:21 Oatsmaster wrote:
Again, it was a joke. hammering the vote means that your vote causes the guy to be lynched, if you didnt vote for him, he wont be lynched.
Do you have examples of my disjointed thoughts?
What do you think about helo being scum?

I knew full well what a hammer is. (Check this one out sometime, it's hilarious.) But anyone who knows what a hammer is, or has even heard of one, either read a GSL mafia game, in detail, or has experience with mafia offsite (the concept only applies to instant lynch), which is more experience than I'd expect someone posting like Oats to have.
For that matter, Oatsmaster made the sixth vote with nine players, so it's not even like his vote gave Munk-E a majority of the votes. Again, something I would expect someone who knows about hammers at all to know.

4) Grammar. It's not that hard to make a little effort. Everyone else in the game is. And I for one find uncapitalised, unpunctuated posts harder to read and tend to glaze over them. Again, perhaps this is intentional.

Look, none of these point are a slam-dunk, and it's not like I have any meta to work with. But the outline they sketch out is interesting - I see a player TRYING to look bad (apologies if I'm wrong, but I don't think I am). And Oats is not contributing anything towards a town victory. Daft town is quite capable of doing that too, but the simplest explanation is scum.

##Vote: Oatsmaster


After the Oats wagon gains momentum, Aqua appears. Instead of rehashing the good points that has been made before, he's making up 4 of his own. And they are quite terrible (I thought that at the time as well, even though I was in full confirmation bias mode vs Oats). Particularly 3) and 4) are terrible. Grammar lol? Why would a townie be so fucking insistant in making original points for the sake of it? He ignores the good points already made (I know there has been one more nistance of this that caught my eye but can't remember which).

On November 30 2012 06:13 Aquanim wrote:
I can't see us having more than two power roles, and (probably) not less than two either. If they all claim, and we ended up with three including Oats that would be an effective counterclaim. Having all the PRs claim seems pretty ridiculous though, and I don't think it's worth it.

I can't distinguish anything Oats has done since my vote between "oh crap, I'm doctor about to be lynched" and "oh crap, I'm scum about to be lynched". I reckon his posting quality has improved maybe a little, but that doesn't tell me anything. And claiming doctor and a protect on SDM is about as obvious and easy a fake-claim as claiming VT, esp. without a crumb.

Dammit! If you're a doctor, I'm really sorry, but I just. can't. tell. And I still have no better reads, and I still think this read won't improve.

Vote sticks. I have 5 minutes before I have to leave, and I won't be back before lynch. In the event of a massclaim, which I do not endorse, it may be possible for me to leave a message with someone and have them post it.


I recently quoted this again he comes up with a fucking terrible idea that is "original". It feels forced and makes no sense. And it ends with that really weird hint.

One might argue that the Kicks case falls under the same category. After actually analyzing it it just makes no sense, it's just original for the sake of being original.

So, what do we think, guys?
Chromatically
Profile Joined January 2012
United States1700 Posts
November 30 2012 02:06 GMT
#1080
I don't want to lynch Aqua today. Looking through your case and his posting, I don't really see him doing things that are scummy. Your main points are that he a) makes a bad case, b) spreads suspicion, and c) plays neutral. b) you've elaborated on as asking questions that he doesn't follow up later. The problem is that you can apply these points to a lot of people in the game. Practically everyone has made a bad case at this point. Jacob does the "neutral phrase" thing a lot, but he's answered why it doesn't make him mafia. I've asked questions of Oats that I didn't follow up on, but I had a reason for it. We don't know why Aqua didn't follow up on his questions because he's not here. I think the biggest point that can be brought against him is a general lack of contribution, but Oats fits that point better than anyone.
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