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Newbie Mini Mafia XXIX - Page 25

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Alsn
Profile Joined February 2008
Sweden995 Posts
October 26 2012 10:36 GMT
#481
Just woke up and read through the thread.

First impressions are that Djodref seemed way more defensive than he needed to be towards my accusation. It was merely meant as a prod(which he probably realized) yet he felt the need to resort to insulting me as a way to discredit my points. If nothing else, it has sparked a ton of discussion, so I'm happy about that. To clarify, Djod does still feel slightly scummy to me, yet I'm still not convinced about him being town or scum as his actions can definitely be explained from both perspectives if one tries to. His main redeeming action to me is his willingness to stick to his guns and pressure Inig even though he was under pressure himself. I see that as a more townie move than a scum move, yet with all the other things brought up against him I don't feel that it's enough to clear his name.

That being said, my reads so far amount to mostly very slight reads in one way or the other. I think my strongest reads so far are Rad/debears who are looking both pretty towny, simply due to how willing they are to put themselves out there. If nothing else they have given us a lot of things to put into context once people start to flip, which is very good for town.

Right now I'd be in favour of lynching a lurker, simply due to the fact that I don't consider Djodref to be a strong enough of a read to me at this point. To sum up, I feel the benefits of getting rid of a non-contributor such as Roco currently outweighs the chance of Djodref flipping scum. Although Roco if you are still following the thread and haven't given up, posting your own feelings about the topics in the thread so far would go a long way towards eliminating suspicion against you.

I'll take a look at Inig's points regarding Dandel, but unless I missed something extremely incriminating when I read through it the first time I'd still be in favour of lynching a lurker.
Machina improba! Vel mihi ede potum vel mihi redde nummos meos!
Dandel Ion
Profile Joined November 2010
Austria17960 Posts
October 26 2012 10:55 GMT
#482
On October 26 2012 18:22 Inigmaticalism wrote:
If I couldnt lynch any lurkers I really wouldnt want to lynch, but we have to.
-Asln has posts (if im right) 3 posts so far. Almost just says 'Im here', but at least he contributes something (FOS at you mostly). I would want to vote for him later simply because he actually said something.
-Sylvers interesting because he has tried to be helpful in his own way (role-hunting, player list repost), but once we made him clarify what he was doing hes been silent. Discouraged townie or having a hard time finding fact stuff to post? Really not sure.
-Roco has 2 posts and says nothing. Yeah, policy stuff, but really policy stuff can be said at one time and then the player can vote however they really want to vote later. Once again, maybe townie shut down once he voiced his opinion? Cept hes scummier to me since he doesnt say anything. Roco and Asln, post a few more posts! They can be real simple, just give 1 or a few scum-reads and a few reasons/facts to back them up. Its ok if they rip you apart, they did me, its about getting some more info/different insight out there for town.
-Dandel may be my biggest strong scum read. Its funny, most people go after those who post lots and those who post little, not those who post a decent amount(cheesecake, dandel) or not at all(oats, imcasey). Hes been fairly active, pushing different discussions here and there, nothing too major, thats what Ive been doing. Then he takes up a case against Roco, and not only is Roco probably the easiest target to target, but he doesnt even get real serious about it. He FOS to make it LOOk strong, but explains why hes being soft about it here:
Show nested quote +
On October 25 2012 19:23 Dandel Ion wrote:

@Roco:
Are you planning to lurk? (by your posts, it doesn't look like you plan on being active)
Care to explain to me how (probably) lurking yourself and lynching the most active players will help you find scum?

Also, answer Djo's questions pls. (especially the second one)


Until he manages to clarify that:
##FoS Roco

I know it's possible he's just... well, a noob, that's why I didn't straight up vote for him. In my first game, I suggested a No-lynch day1 (though I'd like to think that I was more logical about it)
But remember that we talked about playing the "newbie-card" in the beginning?
Same goes for other people. I get a scummy feel off Roco, and I'm not going to ignore it because it's his first game.


He also says how hes not going to let Roco slide, and thats exactly what hes done. Not one mention of Roco in the few posts hes made after that. And he seems to talk to all the semi-lurkers and Djo. Not sure if thats anything important, but Ill keep it in mind.
THEN he tries to start EVEN MORE policy discussion, again, in my own words, "stupid (because I was frustrated) and pointless." Contributing to killing time rather than scum-hunting. No attempt to explain why not either, just getting everyones policy straight is "important":

Show nested quote +
On October 25 2012 21:29 Dandel Ion wrote:

Now what do you think about:
Lurker policy
Other policy
Your thoughts on the developments in this thread so far

Not only you, but other people should address those 3 things too.
Talking about policy is not exciting, I know, but we don't have much else to talk about right now, and I'd really prefer everyone to take a definite stance on things earlier instead of later.


Like I said, because you can simply change your stance and have wonderful excuses like "of course Id lynch scum over my policy, duh" or whatever, its wasted time. Not only does it look like its a pro-town move, but I would think mafia would benefit more from town knowing how people were going to vote. Swing lynches easier. (And that BETTER NOT be wifom. Cause I think its a darn good idea).

- I am most willing to Vote for Dandel, and if I have any time for more scumhunting, it will be on you dan. Please feel free to reply to this so I can think about what to do before lynch-time.

-Mr. CC I like his style a lot, and have thought he was very townie. However, I need to actually read what hes said just like I just did to dandel to see if its content or fluff, but I REALLY need to sleep, so I cant. One of you lurkers (or someone), take up this job while Im lurking between now and lynch-time. Otherwise Ill get to it Day2 if Im still alive. The only thing against him is the post I made a few posts up about him giving me a seriously stern 'look', where its almost like he defends and attacks me at the same time. So....interesting.
-Da0ud is somewhere among my roco dandel alsn (discounting no posters) list, but I honestly have no idea what hes said, and without knowing this knowledge I would be uncomfortable voting for him right now.
-And that leaves the rest of you Ive made the risky leap of faith to label as townies for now: Djo, rad, debears, and Mr CC depending on what he says and when I read all his stuff.

I am very hesitant to do this, but I think I will have plenty of time to change my vote.
I would vote for you right now Dandel, and will do so at the end of the day if you fail to answer any of my questions, but while we wait for your responses I want to poke for more information.

##Vote: imcasey
Tell me why I should not vote for you.

Thanks for digging this up an hour before I would have addressed it anyways.

Why I FoS'd Roco: It should be clear from my post, I would have thought, but I wanted to pressure him. Into explaining himself, into making scumreads, anything.

Sadly, he has not done that.
You probably don't understand this concept, but one of the hardest things in Newbie games is finding out if somebody is bad-town or scum.
Do you honestly think I would have an awesomesauce 100% scumread on somebody after 2 posts? No can do, sorry. Which is why I wanted him to post more, to find out.
He's not done that, which makes him MORE suspicious to me. It can be an intentional strategy: He doesn't post after being under suspicion, then before the deadline he comes in to vote somebody, so he doesn't get modkilled.

The thing now: If he does that, he's confirmed himself scum in my eyes. If he doesn't do that, he gets modkilled for not voting.

Logical conclusion: Despite what I said yesterday about lynching him if he doesn't post (which I primarily said to get him to post), I don't really want to vote him TODAY. Because assuming he keeps the lurking up, he either confirms himself scum or gets modkilled. If he starts posting normally again, I'm gonna have to rethink that again, but seeing as he's been afk for >24 hours already, that's unlikely anyways.

I explained why I like to emphasise lurker policy: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=374466&currentpage=19#362
I even dumbed it down really hard in that post, you should be able to understand it.

No, town benefits from having more information. Your argument IS WIFOM. Again. Stop it.

What's even worse, is that you seem to possess the mental capability to UNDERSTAND lurker policy
(reference: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=374466&currentpage=10#198
For lurking I think it seems even more of an issue in Newbie games than regular games because too many lurkers results in mafia wins most of the time in the Newbie games I looked at. That said, if we get any confirmed mafia I'll always vote confirmed mafias over suspicious lurkers.

This quote, you not only show that you understand lurkers are a problem for town, yet you find me suspicious for trying to limit the lurking in this game? Because doing something that's good for town and bad for scum, through some random reason translates to "OH BOY THIS GUY IS SUSPICIOUS AS HELL" in your brain?
I don't get it. You're not making sense imo.


AND THE WORST PART:
You do the same fucking thing you accuse me of doing to Roco, just worse. (because casey looks like a serious modkill candidate, and didn't say anything you could derive a scumread from. I was at least going for the lurker that had scummy posts, you just told yourself "Yes, going for a 25% chance of hitting scum is a good idea!")

You're a hypocrite, and I think you're scum. But, in contrast to you, I won't just call you scummy in a big post and then vote a random dude that has a high chance of getting modkilled.
I'm voting you!

##vote Inigmaticalism
A backwards poet writes inverse.
Dandel Ion
Profile Joined November 2010
Austria17960 Posts
October 26 2012 11:01 GMT
#483
EBWOP: I forgot to mention that, but I get a strong feeling that Inig just wants to throw random supicions and votes around, to appear like he's scumhunting.

When he contradicts himself (or basic logic) doing so.

I think his case on me is fake and constructed, which is something scum would do. Not town.
A backwards poet writes inverse.
Dandel Ion
Profile Joined November 2010
Austria17960 Posts
October 26 2012 11:06 GMT
#484
Oh, and Inig, if you better do that post explaining your thoughts on Cheesecake. Or it's more random suspicions you're throwing around, without commiting to it. Which is...drumroll.... Scum behavior!

If you don't believe that argument, check out my first game (NMM XXIII). Where we caught a scum because he posted huge-ass posts throwing light suspicion in every direction, without commiting to any.
A backwards poet writes inverse.
Djodref
Profile Joined September 2012
France3332 Posts
October 26 2012 11:34 GMT
#485
On October 26 2012 19:36 Alsn wrote:
Just woke up and read through the thread.

First impressions are that Djodref seemed way more defensive than he needed to be towards my accusation. It was merely meant as a prod(which he probably realized) yet he felt the need to resort to insulting me as a way to discredit my points. If nothing else, it has sparked a ton of discussion, so I'm happy about that. To clarify, Djod does still feel slightly scummy to me, yet I'm still not convinced about him being town or scum as his actions can definitely be explained from both perspectives if one tries to. His main redeeming action to me is his willingness to stick to his guns and pressure Inig even though he was under pressure himself. I see that as a more townie move than a scum move, yet with all the other things brought up against him I don't feel that it's enough to clear his name.

That being said, my reads so far amount to mostly very slight reads in one way or the other. I think my strongest reads so far are Rad/debears who are looking both pretty towny, simply due to how willing they are to put themselves out there. If nothing else they have given us a lot of things to put into context once people start to flip, which is very good for town.

Right now I'd be in favour of lynching a lurker, simply due to the fact that I don't consider Djodref to be a strong enough of a read to me at this point. To sum up, I feel the benefits of getting rid of a non-contributor such as Roco currently outweighs the chance of Djodref flipping scum. Although Roco if you are still following the thread and haven't given up, posting your own feelings about the topics in the thread so far would go a long way towards eliminating suspicion against you.

I'll take a look at Inig's points regarding Dandel, but unless I missed something extremely incriminating when I read through it the first time I'd still be in favour of lynching a lurker.


@Alsn

As I've said, I was expecting better reasons from you to cast a FoS on someone, given your meta. Moreover, you kept saying things like "it could be scum, it could be town". Hence the half-assed comment.
I didn't realize that you were busy nowadays and I was very wary of your low post counts. Thus I've been provoking you on purpose to see what kind of reaction you would have. I can say that you kept your cool and I appreciate it.
I'm sorry if you felt insulted but I was attacking your "case", not your person.
Djodref
Profile Joined September 2012
France3332 Posts
October 26 2012 11:53 GMT
#486
On October 26 2012 14:34 Rad wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 26 2012 14:21 Djodref wrote:
@Rad

So your main concern about me was I said that I wouldn't change my mind ?
Do you have other concerns ?

Did you understand I was only speaking about a particular point (agreeing that a strict lurker policy should be part of our strategy) ?


My original concerns came from the "confidence" ordeal from before. As I found with debears, that can turn out to be a huge ordeal and I'll address it again if I feel the need to.

My concerns about your unwillingness to change your stance on something regardless of the arguments provided are still there. To me, as I've stated, this feels like a scummy perspective. I can't see a good reason for a townie to not be open to changing their opinions on something based on further arguments. "No no no not going to budge on this!" feels scummy. "Let me hear your points, ok, I disagree and here's why" feels townie.

It was the way you handled the questions. It doesn't matter that it was about just a particular point, or even if that point mattered in the end, but that you were so specific about never changing your opinion on it regardless of the arguments provided. It didn't feel like a townie move, so I can only suspect scum, but furthermore, you've dodged my questions until now. Why? If you can so simply answer them now, why didn't you do it before? You clearly saw them, acknowledged them, but didn't answer them. Instead, you said you were done with me.

Going to have to look over all this in more depth tomorrow as I'm getting tired and need to wind down.


@Rad

I gave more thoughts about your post and I've decided that I should try to address your concern in a better way than my last attempt. I understand that I need to answer the 2 following questions, please correct me if I am wrong
1)Why I was not open to change my stance ?
2)Why I was dodging this question at first ?

1) I wasn't open to change my stance because I think that enforcing a strict lurker policy is a bad strategy for town. I was quite stubborn on this point because I have seem some games where people forgot to scumhunt because they were relying on the policy too much. Except for this point, I believe that I can be quite open minded. I would go as far as to reconsider my position on the policy, given the incredible amount of lurkers that we have in this game.

2)I've been dodging your questions because I didn't understand the nature of your concern. I thought you were asking me about this particular point which I thought I had already addressed. That's why I gave you the same answer again and again. But I understand now that you were more concerned about my general state of mind which would lead me to not discuss anything. I wanted to end this discussion with dandel about the policy because it didn't really matter for me to agree with him or not. For me, disagreeing on policy is natural. What really counts is the general consistency of a player and whether or not he gives good reasons when he changes his mind. I felt like we were done talking about this with dandel and I wanted to close the subject while giving my final stance about it. After all, this is only policy discussion, which should be less relevant than scumhunting discussion.
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
October 26 2012 11:53 GMT
#487
kushm4sta has replaced Oatsmaster!
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
Dandel Ion
Profile Joined November 2010
Austria17960 Posts
October 26 2012 12:00 GMT
#488
Kush, I'm going to tunnel you. I also won't give you any BotD anymore. Just a headsup.

Doesn't Kush have the obs qt link?
A backwards poet writes inverse.
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36161 Posts
October 26 2012 12:01 GMT
#489
On October 26 2012 21:00 Dandel Ion wrote:
Kush, I'm going to tunnel you. I also won't give you any BotD anymore. Just a headsup.

Doesn't Kush have the obs qt link?


No. Else he wouldn't be replacing in. Cunning that.
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
Djodref
Profile Joined September 2012
France3332 Posts
October 26 2012 12:02 GMT
#490
[/joke post]
Kush <3

Policy lynch Kush, anyone ?

Alsn, are you in ?

[/joke post]
Djodref
Profile Joined September 2012
France3332 Posts
October 26 2012 12:09 GMT
#491
@Inig

I'm keeping my vote on you to keep the pressure on you. I'm glad that it led you to post more. I'm less inclined to lynch you right now but I need more time and more discussion with you to decide what I should do.
You really need to clarify your stance on Cheese, I have no idea where you stand right now.
kushm4sta
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
United States8878 Posts
October 26 2012 12:10 GMT
#492
hi guys I'm the replacement.

ill bbl with scumreads.

ps I'm scared of djodref he plays amazing scum.
OMGUS.net, kush sex blogs every friday night
Djodref
Profile Joined September 2012
France3332 Posts
October 26 2012 12:17 GMT
#493
@Inig

I'm also very curious of the reason why you chose imcasey over Oat/kush. Could you please us tell why ?
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
October 26 2012 12:34 GMT
#494
Vote Count!

If your vote is not properly formatted it will not be counted. Everyone is required to vote.


Inigmaticalism (2) - Dandel Ion, Djodref
Djodref (1) - Mr. Cheesecake
imcasey (1) - Inigmaticalism
Rad (0) - debears

Not Voting (9) - Rad, Alsn, sylverfyre, imcasey, da0ud, kushm4sta, Roco69, debears

Currently, Inigmaticalism is set to be lynched! If you see that your vote is incorrect then pm me. You have about 11 hours 30 minutes left to vote! Deadline is at 00:00 GMT (+00:00)
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
sylverfyre
Profile Joined May 2010
United States8298 Posts
October 26 2012 12:35 GMT
#495
Running under the assumption that imcasey and Roco get modkilled if they don't show up, I'd lynch Djo. You say Inig has a lack of scumhunting but scrutinizing people and saying that you can only read town out of them is not a lack of scumhunting.

For now, I'm going with lynching the confusing lurker. If he either becomes A) not confusing, B) makes no action at all and makes me believe a modkill is incoming, or C) is replaced and the replacement can make some contribution.

Vote Roco69
sylverfyre
Profile Joined May 2010
United States8298 Posts
October 26 2012 12:35 GMT
#496
EBWOP
##Vote Roco69
Dandel Ion
Profile Joined November 2010
Austria17960 Posts
October 26 2012 12:38 GMT
#497
On October 26 2012 21:35 sylverfyre wrote:
[...] If he either becomes A) not confusing, B) makes no action at all and makes me believe a modkill is incoming, or C) is replaced and the replacement can make some contribution.

Vote Roco69

I think your sentence is not complete. I hope you meant to say that you will vote somebody else then?
A backwards poet writes inverse.
sylverfyre
Profile Joined May 2010
United States8298 Posts
October 26 2012 12:43 GMT
#498
EBWOP - incomplete sentence. If he becomes A B or C, I may retract my vote. If I do, I'm probably going to vote for Djodref. Going to reread the accusations against Inig, but it seems to me that he's posting a lot of useful content and hasn't been as wishy washy as Dandel is trying to paint him.
kushm4sta
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
United States8878 Posts
October 26 2012 13:00 GMT
#499
half way through but I have class now so I will finish later.

Thoughts so far:
stfu about confidence holy shit.

stfu about how hard it to post on the phone. just proofread.
OMGUS.net, kush sex blogs every friday night
Alsn
Profile Joined February 2008
Sweden995 Posts
October 26 2012 13:22 GMT
#500
Checking in quick. I've looked over Inig's case against Dandel and while I don't agree that Dandel has been particularly scummy, he hasn't exactly been a shining beacon of townieness either. Him mostly focusing on policy talk which while not scummy, is not particularly helpful either.

That being said, especially in context with my stance on lynching a lurker, I'm getting the distinct feeling that there's a good chance Roco won't even be voting. With that in mind, I'll vote him or one of the other no-shows only if they show up to vote really late just to save their own skins with no other contributions. I'd prefer to see what happens with them once the day changes rather than lynch one of them and hope they randomly flip scum.

For that reason, I'm going to go with my strongest scum read so far, Djodref. Like I said though, I don't really feel like we have particularly good odds on him(only slightly better than random), but at the very least people have actually committed to taking stances on him and been forced to explain why. We would gain nothing by lynching a possible modkill who has said basically nothing, as no one could really be blamed for wanting them gone.

I say this with the caveat that I haven't yet had time to look into everyone, sylver for example is someone I haven't yet looked at very closely. Same with Inig, CC and da0ud. I've read the thread of course, but I haven't had time to try and put their motivations in perspective so far. If someone can make a better case than what I feel we have right now, I'd be open to looking it over as a possibility. I regret my lack of time so far, as I feel right now I'm voting without a clear picture of where I have everyone.

##Vote: Djodref

Will be looking over the other cases made so far to see if maybe there are better reasons than my own to be found, but for now I'm not yet convinced by anyone.
Machina improba! Vel mihi ede potum vel mihi redde nummos meos!
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