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31,500 Replays - A look at balance in Starcraft II - Page 2

Forum Index > SC2 General
Post a Reply
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ClysmiC
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States2192 Posts
February 04 2012 06:08 GMT
#21
I find it funny that the winningest Protoss build by % is 2gate lol.
eleaf
Profile Joined September 2011
526 Posts
February 04 2012 06:10 GMT
#22
Highest winrate opening build order for each race across all maps/matchups
[Terran] Supply Depot, Barracks, Refinery, Supply Depot, Factory, Supply Depot - 588 occurences / 60% winrate
[Protoss] Pylon, Gateway, Gateway, Pylon - 116 occurences / 62% winrate
[Zerg] Extractor, Spawning Pool, Hatchery - 95 occurences / 67% winrate


Terran: banshee/hellion 60%
Protoss: proxy two gate 62%
Zerg: baneling/roach 67%

This fits well to my personal experience
ETisME
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
12782 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-02-04 06:11:22
February 04 2012 06:10 GMT
#23
There are some errors of statistics to be honest:
the pylon gateway cybercore one doesn't show what the toss is going for and what match ups.
it is the most consistent protoss opening that is done (but not showing what tech route and what comes next, for all we know, it isn't a nexus first or FFE) and since toss has one of the worst matchup win rate, obviously this opening, be it 4 gate, 3 gate robo expo that the opening leads to, will have the highest rate of losing.

and since 2 gate is an opening designed to win right off, it shows the actual build can win games, unlike the one above which only shows what opening he is doing and what comes next (the rest of the build that is designed to win the game) would never get a winning rate as high as the 2 gate one
其疾如风,其徐如林,侵掠如火,不动如山,难知如阴,动如雷震。
TelecoM
Profile Blog Joined January 2010
United States10789 Posts
February 04 2012 06:11 GMT
#24
On February 04 2012 15:04 jeeneeus wrote:
Who's Maynard? I feel like it's unlikely for it to be the same one from bw.


THIS......is exactly the first thing I was wondering too, damn, higher W/L ratio than violet! Must be the real maynard...
AKA: TelecoM[WHITE] Protoss fighting
0neder
Profile Joined July 2009
United States3733 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-02-04 06:19:17
February 04 2012 06:12 GMT
#25
Possible Takeaways (understanding that this is not top level exclusive):

Map size:
Big open maps like Tal'Darim are better balanced than small ones. This contradicts Browder's flawed reasoning that bigger maps are worse for noobs because you have to scout more area. The truth is that smaller maps are less forgiving and when someone gets an advantage you can't recover because it takes mere seconds to march into the opposing base. Scouting is fairly easy, you just rally a few units places and see how far they get. Blizzard should hire community map makes to create ladder maps, let them do it for free, or use the GSL map pool as the official ladder pool.

Macro Mechanics
The macro mechanics are nice, but they really make the game more volatile, comebacks are nearly impossible, and games are quite short. I'd like Blizzard to nerf them and see what happens.
Torpedo.Vegas
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States1890 Posts
February 04 2012 06:15 GMT
#26
On February 04 2012 15:11 GGzerG wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 04 2012 15:04 jeeneeus wrote:
Who's Maynard? I feel like it's unlikely for it to be the same one from bw.


THIS......is exactly the first thing I was wondering too, damn, higher W/L ratio than violet! Must be the real maynard...


Ever since the Artosis Pylon became the most famous pylon, Maynard stuggles for people to remember his pylon.
FlamingTurd
Profile Joined April 2010
United States1059 Posts
February 04 2012 06:18 GMT
#27
Wow, that's really cool. Thanks for the stats to look at!
Nerf MMMT!!! Liquid`Ret Hwaiting!!!
GiggleFairy
Profile Joined January 2011
Australia331 Posts
February 04 2012 06:20 GMT
#28
Really interesting thanks a lot! I find it funny how there is only one map that terran have a < 50% winrate on
Yoshi Kirishima
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
United States10379 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-02-04 06:21:44
February 04 2012 06:21 GMT
#29
holy shit, the stats for shak and taldarim are a lot closer than I'd think =O

I'm surprised the TvP on antiga is so high... isn't that supposed to be an easier map as protoss since you can take 3 base easily?

Same with TvP on Dual Sight, though I'm guessing terrans usually do some kind of early aggression or 1-1-1 all-in on that map to get an easy win.

anyways thanks a lot for sharing these!
Mid-master streaming MECH ONLY + commentary www.twitch.tv/yoshikirishima +++ "If all-in fails, all-in again."
imyzhang
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
Canada809 Posts
February 04 2012 06:21 GMT
#30
this is pretty informative =] wish we had access to those 30k reps lol

thanks for doing this.
bleh
Atlare
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Australia893 Posts
February 04 2012 06:22 GMT
#31
Is it possible to upload a zip of the 31k replays? I know it's alot, but I wouldn't mind grinding out some serious analysis for the next few weeks and this would make sense to do since I already worked through the violet replay.
Considering learning BW
Noro
Profile Joined March 2011
Canada991 Posts
February 04 2012 06:22 GMT
#32
Wow, really awesome work! This is really interesting!
Talk not to me of blasphemy, man; I'd strike the sun if it insulted me.
Nexic
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States729 Posts
February 04 2012 06:23 GMT
#33
On February 04 2012 15:11 GGzerG wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 04 2012 15:04 jeeneeus wrote:
Who's Maynard? I feel like it's unlikely for it to be the same one from bw.


THIS......is exactly the first thing I was wondering too, damn, higher W/L ratio than violet! Must be the real maynard...
I always wondered who it is too, seeing him so often in the top 3 on Playhem results liquipedia page.
godulous
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States337 Posts
February 04 2012 06:23 GMT
#34
On February 04 2012 15:03 K3Nyy wrote:
Nice. Even though it's not really at the highest level, it's still interesting to see.

On February 04 2012 15:07 KawaiiRice wrote:
these stats don't really reflect balance and random masters players don't even play the game right anyway.

As mentioned in the OP, I feel that databases like TLPD, Gomtv.net, and MLG provide excellent data for the highest level of play. Unfortunately the majority of players are not at the highest level so I felt this gives an interesting insight into the "average joe" masters/GM level of play which we don't see too often even though it accounts for probably the majority of people that have valid concerns about balance.

On February 04 2012 15:10 ETisME wrote:
There are some errors of statistics to be honest:
the pylon gateway cybercore one doesn't show what the toss is going for and what match ups.
it is the most consistent protoss opening that is done (but not showing what tech route and what comes next, for all we know, it isn't a nexus first or FFE) and since toss has one of the worst matchup win rate, obviously this opening, be it 4 gate, 3 gate robo expo that the opening leads to, will have the highest rate of losing.

and since 2 gate is an opening designed to win right off, it shows the actual build can win games, unlike the one above which only shows what opening he is doing and what comes next (the rest of the build that is designed to win the game) would never get a winning rate as high as the 2 gate one


I was only providing that last statistic a bit tongue-in-cheek, but for comparison the third most played protoss opener does show quite a bit better results:
Pylon, Gateway, Assimilator, Pylon, Cybernetics Core, Gateway - 2450 occurences / 53% win rate

On February 04 2012 15:11 GGzerG wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 04 2012 15:04 jeeneeus wrote:
Who's Maynard? I feel like it's unlikely for it to be the same one from bw.


THIS......is exactly the first thing I was wondering too, damn, higher W/L ratio than violet! Must be the real maynard...


He's a Korean player from what I know, I don't know his exact identity for sure but I have my personal suspicion. He's definitely not Maynard from BW.
Playhem.com | Ben.477 US | Ben.1125 EU
.kv
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States2332 Posts
February 04 2012 06:24 GMT
#35
On February 04 2012 15:04 jeeneeus wrote:
Who's Maynard? I feel like it's unlikely for it to be the same one from bw.


I believe it's MarineKingPrime.WE
BronzeKnee
Profile Joined March 2011
United States5225 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-02-04 06:27:35
February 04 2012 06:24 GMT
#36
Haha so Proxy 2 Gate has the highest win ratio for Protoss, while the standard 2 gas opener has the lowest win rate. That is a bit misleading though, since Protoss seems to have the lowest win % on the majority of the maps, so if Protoss losses to the most, then it makes sense that the build order that losses the most is the most standard Protoss opener.
Chaosquo
Profile Joined February 2010
Germany154 Posts
February 04 2012 06:26 GMT
#37
On February 04 2012 15:10 ETisME wrote:
There are some errors of statistics to be honest:
the pylon gateway cybercore one doesn't show what the toss is going for and what match ups.
it is the most consistent protoss opening that is done (but not showing what tech route and what comes next, for all we know, it isn't a nexus first or FFE) and since toss has one of the worst matchup win rate, obviously this opening, be it 4 gate, 3 gate robo expo that the opening leads to, will have the highest rate of losing.

and since 2 gate is an opening designed to win right off, it shows the actual build can win games, unlike the one above which only shows what opening he is doing and what comes next (the rest of the build that is designed to win the game) would never get a winning rate as high as the 2 gate one


This build order is a 2 gas opener, so no 1 gate fe or 4 gate. Your expansion will be way later than with 1 gas builds.
Ruscour
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
5233 Posts
February 04 2012 06:26 GMT
#38
Proxy 2gate wins a lot in these things it seems
tuho12345
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
4482 Posts
February 04 2012 06:27 GMT
#39
lol, and they're still using Dual Sight. This map is really good for TvT but for Protoss is just stupid.
-orb-
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
United States5770 Posts
February 04 2012 06:30 GMT
#40
Nice post, really cool to see some of these stats.

How fucking hilarious is it that the highest winrate build order for protoss is 2gate? LOL guess only way to win as toss in playhem is to cheese
'life of lively to live to life of full life thx to shield battery'
how sad that sc2 has no shield battery :(
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