For those who aren't familiar, the team in the vertical column is the left side of the scoreline, while the team in the horizontal row is right side of the scoreline.

EvilsPresley

France132 Posts

June 12 2015 05:57 GMT

Fun, but I think you forgot to take into account tie breakers. If 4 teams end up at 4-3, the map difference will decide who goes through. And the map penalties will have some influence too :-)

APPSCI

United States51 Posts

June 12 2015 23:16 GMT

I *believe* I did account map score and penalties. if anyone can show me where the calculations are wrong I'd be interested to see!

ZigguratOfUr

Iraq16955 Posts

June 13 2015 00:59 GMT

I'd maybe add a field for map penalties separate from maps lost. Like that I can predict that Prime will lose their next matches 0-3 and receive two more maps penalties.

APPSCI

United States51 Posts

June 13 2015 21:49 GMT

just curious, are there any specific situations you're looking at where a map penalty would swing the result? They're pretty uncommon, especially from old-school kespa teams that know the rules. I hope that CJ make it!

MasterReY

Germany2708 Posts

June 13 2015 22:14 GMT

Nicely done!

I think map penalty is not needed as its very rare.
But it would be nice if you could add the map difference ( as in 15-12 -> +3 etc)

APPSCI

United States51 Posts

June 14 2015 04:30 GMT

matchups are posted on liquipedia now! I think CJ, Jinair and sbenu will win this week (and skt of course). This is going to be an insane two week in proleague! I don't think galaxy has a chance considering the calibre of their opponents. One interesting dynamic is that the SKT-SBENU match, which won't matter to SKT (if they beat prime lol) could very possibly determine another team's fate!

mooncifer

109 Posts

June 15 2015 18:20 GMT

Wow, cool! I’ve tried some possibilities, looks like the results of Sbenu-Samsung in W6 and MVP-KT in W7 are critical.

Btw, it's sooo cute, haha → "some resources borrowed with love from liquipedia ❤"

EvilsPresley

France132 Posts

June 15 2015 18:52 GMT

#10

On June 13 2015 08:16 APPSCI wrote:
I *believe* I did account map score and penalties. if anyone can show me where the calculations are wrong I'd be interested to see!

OK, sorry, I might have misscalculated the other day, map difference is taken into account.

But here is a situation where MVP might be eliminated only because of their repeated warnings map penalty (which is not taken into account here), because they would be tied with SBENU.
[image loading]

APPSCI

United States51 Posts

June 16 2015 00:26 GMT

#11

I know that it is not clearly shown, but I did factor in prime and mvp's penalties as maps lost. for instance, in your screen shot, prime has only lost 21 maps, but has 23 maps lost shown. I appreciate the close eye though! +/- 1 map will probably decide this round! and then SKT will win playoffs no matter what

re: mooncifer thanks I'm glad you like it!
should be good games tonight, I don't think galaxy can win though

EvilsPresley

France132 Posts

June 16 2015 12:30 GMT

#12

And again you're right, I did not realize you took penalties into account, that's great!

I wish penalties would come into play for playoff qualification this season (I like MVP team a lot but if there are rules, they need to have some influence somewhere right?), but after today's matches, I think the map difference is already too bad for MVP to have any influence.

On June 16 2015 09:26 APPSCI wrote:
and then SKT will win playoffs no matter what

And Jin Air will reach and lose finals as usual :-)

APPSCI

United States51 Posts

June 16 2015 14:20 GMT

#13

What a round everybody! updated for week 7 (including MVP's new map penalty

). Contrary to liquipedia and according to my calculations, CJ still has a decent chance of qualifying if they 3-0 Prime (likely), MVP loses to KT (likely) and SBENU gets 3-0'd (very possible). This is going to be a nail biter!

yrt123

Singapore1246 Posts

June 16 2015 14:32 GMT

#14

CJ theoretically still have a chance. But SKT probably field their b teamers(at least some) against sbenu since they are already guaranteed first place. In which case the chance of sbenu being 3-0'd goes down by alot considering they will probably be playing one of their strongest lineups with playoffs on the line.

So, it's as good as given that cj is out.

APPSCI

United States51 Posts

June 16 2015 14:41 GMT

#15

I'm not so sure yrt, skt has good B teamers XD, and old-school kespa teams probably don't like to let dishwasher teams take their spots. CJ could also qualify through tie breakers even if sbenu takes 1 game off SKT. What are the rules for tiebreakers if their map score is tied? tie breaker matches right? it's looking very likely to me.

APPSCI

United States51 Posts

June 22 2015 03:01 GMT

#16

Tonight:
CJ fights for survival (gogo coach park)
Prime fights for their pride or something
Jinair lives up to their potential and doesn't lose to samsung. please.

EvilsPresley

France132 Posts

July 21 2015 13:47 GMT

#17

Hey APPSCI, can you update your simulator for round 4?
And can you add round 4 playoffs and general rankings for the final playoffs maybe? I don't think there is much much suspens on the top 4 teams, but maybe it will get a lot more tense by the end of this round