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2019 NFL and CFB Season - Page 47

Forum Index > Sports
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https://tl.net/forum/sports/562223-2020-nfl-and-sec-big-12-acc-corona-season
redlightdistrict
Profile Joined October 2018
382 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-09-17 04:29:45
September 17 2019 04:24 GMT
#921
On September 17 2019 11:49 Shellshock wrote:
Steelers just traded their first for Minkah Fitzpatrick


I saw a headline that read "Dolphins Trade Fitzpatrick to Steelers for a first round pick" and I was like, Ryan?
Emnjay808
Profile Blog Joined September 2011
United States10665 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-09-17 08:41:03
September 17 2019 07:55 GMT
#922
I somehow came to the conclusion that managers who save their faab vs those who already spent it will gain a $.78 advantage in winning a bid. I think that’s a 11% advantage

Values:
12 managers
$100 faab
$6.25/week (assuming all managers spend 100 by week 16)
$6.25 * 12 managers = $75/week
$150/week subtracted from $1200 league pool (assuming there are two “must have” break out players a week)
X managers who are still spending $6.25/week vs Y managers who are spending >$6.25/week
Subtract $150/week to Y managers pool = $5.47/week
Take the difference between X and Y = $.78

X managers will have a $.78 winning bid advantage over Y managers. Or a 11% chance in winning bid


Idk what I’m doing. Someone help me.
Skol
Shellshock
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States97276 Posts
September 17 2019 15:02 GMT
#923
Moderatorhttp://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png
TL+ Member
redlightdistrict
Profile Joined October 2018
382 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-09-17 15:51:36
September 17 2019 15:06 GMT
#924
On September 17 2019 16:55 Emnjay808 wrote:
I somehow came to the conclusion that managers who save their faab vs those who already spent it will gain a $.78 advantage in winning a bid. I think that’s a 11% advantage

Values:
12 managers
$100 faab
$6.25/week (assuming all managers spend 100 by week 16)
$6.25 * 12 managers = $75/week
$150/week subtracted from $1200 league pool (assuming there are two “must have” break out players a week)
X managers who are still spending $6.25/week vs Y managers who are spending >$6.25/week
Subtract $150/week to Y managers pool = $5.47/week
Take the difference between X and Y = $.78

X managers will have a $.78 winning bid advantage over Y managers. Or a 11% chance in winning bid


Idk what I’m doing. Someone help me.

A little quantitative analytics never hurt anybody. Have fun theory-crafting a NFL algorithm

Well my top 5 teams changed a lot from Week1
1. Patriots
2. Packers
3. Ravens
4. Chiefs
5. 49ers

Honorable Mention: Seahawks

Rivers playing the way he did knocked the Chargers off the list
Brees being out for 8 weeks Knocked them off the list I don't trust Bridgewater
Rams didnt really have competition once Brees went down and I think Gurley is still hurt so they aren't top 5
I have to put Ravens above the Chiefs for now but after they play each other next week ill have to reevaluate
I have stong confidence that after week 3, the niners, pats, and packers will be 3-0
Cant tell if Mahomes is better than Rodgers yet but Ill give Rodgers the benifit of the doubt.



cLutZ
Profile Joined November 2010
United States19574 Posts
September 17 2019 15:22 GMT
#925
Who what where?
Freeeeeeedom
ZerOCoolSC2
Profile Blog Joined February 2015
9054 Posts
September 17 2019 17:52 GMT
#926
I'm so happy Eli is on the way out. Now there are no Manning's in the way of Brady and every SB until 2025. This is a glorious day.
Shellshock
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States97276 Posts
September 17 2019 18:44 GMT
#927
On September 18 2019 02:52 ZerOCoolSC2 wrote:
I'm so happy Eli is on the way out. Now there are no Manning's in the way of Brady and every SB until 2025. This is a glorious day.

Daniel Jones wins out and gets to the super bowl. 4th quarter game tied at 17 giants have the ball and Daniel gets hurt. Eli comes in and escapes 3 sacks to toss it up to Saquon Barkley who catches it on his helmet and then laterals it to Evan Ingram for a TD as time expires. Brady retires on the sideline
Moderatorhttp://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png
TL+ Member
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
September 17 2019 18:52 GMT
#928
--- Nuked ---
ZerOCoolSC2
Profile Blog Joined February 2015
9054 Posts
September 17 2019 18:59 GMT
#929
On September 18 2019 03:44 Shellshock wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 18 2019 02:52 ZerOCoolSC2 wrote:
I'm so happy Eli is on the way out. Now there are no Manning's in the way of Brady and every SB until 2025. This is a glorious day.

Daniel Jones wins out and gets to the super bowl. 4th quarter game tied at 17 giants have the ball and Daniel gets hurt. Eli comes in and escapes 3 sacks to toss it up to Saquon Barkley who catches it on his helmet and then laterals it to Evan Ingram for a TD as time expires. Brady retires on the sideline

That won't happen. Nope. Will never happen. *calls an old voodoo woman named Phyllis to make sure it never happens*
redlightdistrict
Profile Joined October 2018
382 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-09-17 19:40:23
September 17 2019 19:20 GMT
#930
Half expecting da Bears front office reaching out to J Cutler asking him to unretire so Chi town can actually generate some offense. I bet J could do more after being out of football for a couple years than Mitch. J even beat Brady and the Pats the season he played for the Dolphins. Would be an interesting proposition at least.

Any guesses on whats going to happen with AB now that Goodell interviewed the accuser?
vult
Profile Blog Joined February 2012
United States9400 Posts
September 17 2019 21:24 GMT
#931
^ Slap on the wrist, trial will go nowhere and a settlement will be reached. Max 2 game suspension just due to the headache. Not expecting much, unfortunately.

Also, would LOVE to see Smokin' Jay Cutler come back and sling it for the Bears. He doesn't give a FUCK.

Also, even as a Pats fan, I'm happy for Daniel Jones. Dude got lambasted when he got drafted and turned out to be one of the most promising rookie QBs. I'm excited to see what he can do with this flaccid team, and fuck Eli.
I used to play random, but for you I play very specifically.
Jerubaal
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States7684 Posts
September 17 2019 23:13 GMT
#932
I hate Eli's face, but I love how he made the Patriots cry.
I'm not stupid, a marauder just shot my brain.
cLutZ
Profile Joined November 2010
United States19574 Posts
September 18 2019 01:33 GMT
#933
The problem for DJ is the Giants are really bad.
Freeeeeeedom
Emnjay808
Profile Blog Joined September 2011
United States10665 Posts
September 18 2019 01:52 GMT
#934
Anyone think the Flacco to E. Sanders connection is the real deal? He’s peppering him with a lot of targets the last two games and he’s still sitting in waivers. I wonder if he’s worth going a large amount for.
Skol
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
September 18 2019 01:56 GMT
#935
--- Nuked ---
ShoCkeyy
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
7815 Posts
September 18 2019 01:57 GMT
#936
On September 18 2019 10:52 Emnjay808 wrote:
Anyone think the Flacco to E. Sanders connection is the real deal? He’s peppering him with a lot of targets the last two games and he’s still sitting in waivers. I wonder if he’s worth going a large amount for.


He's good, I've always had a good time having E. Sanders in my team these past few years, just watch him more closely in the late season. He recently tore his achilles last year.
Life?
Emnjay808
Profile Blog Joined September 2011
United States10665 Posts
September 18 2019 02:42 GMT
#937
Hm got it thx
Skol
redlightdistrict
Profile Joined October 2018
382 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-09-19 14:44:43
September 19 2019 14:44 GMT
#938
So what his Mahomes contract gonna be like in a couple years? im guessing something like 5 year 200 million almost fully guaranteed.
ZerOCoolSC2
Profile Blog Joined February 2015
9054 Posts
September 19 2019 15:03 GMT
#939
Did he sign a new one? I think that wouldn't be too far off, but for that kind of money, from the Chiefs, he'll need to get them to the conference championship game and be close to winning it vs the Patriots. If he makes it to the SB, then he's getting that deal next year.
redlightdistrict
Profile Joined October 2018
382 Posts
September 19 2019 15:30 GMT
#940
On September 20 2019 00:03 ZerOCoolSC2 wrote:
Did he sign a new one? I think that wouldn't be too far off, but for that kind of money, from the Chiefs, he'll need to get them to the conference championship game and be close to winning it vs the Patriots. If he makes it to the SB, then he's getting that deal next year.

Mahomes should give some of his contract to Luck for getting out of KC's way :p Although, if the Colts use their gigantic amount of cap space to grab Ramsey, maybe they can still have a shot at KC!
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