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[WCS] Playoffs Day 2 - Season 3 2015 - Page 49

Forum Index > StarCraft 2 Tournaments
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Senseless bashing of foreigners and WCS game quality is not permitted today. Criticism is fine, but let's not repeat yesterday's mess. Games can be enjoyed without the presence of constant vitriol.
14:18 GMT (+00:00) Edit: This is your friendly reminder that whining about Protoss is an old and tired thing. Don't.
-Zealously
BigLove
Profile Joined September 2015
37 Posts
September 13 2015 15:24 GMT
#961
I actually kind of want Lilbow to win the finals so I can watch him get destroyed by a real Korean at Blizzcon.

Also, he can still make it to Blizzcon if he gets 2nd place here and does well at Dreamhack (I'm pretty sure)
Boucot
Profile Blog Joined October 2011
France15997 Posts
September 13 2015 15:24 GMT
#962
On September 14 2015 00:24 D-light wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 14 2015 00:23 Abradix1 wrote:
On September 14 2015 00:19 Noonius wrote:
so, who's gonna be casting the final? My bet is on tastosis + kaelaris tri-cast


Yes, or even better, please give Apollo + Tastosis tricast.

Apollo solocast.

Tarson
Former SC2 writer for Millenium - twitter.com/Boucot
Aocowns
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Norway6070 Posts
September 13 2015 15:24 GMT
#963
On September 14 2015 00:22 Zealously wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 14 2015 00:20 Aocowns wrote:
On September 14 2015 00:18 The_Red_Viper wrote:
On September 14 2015 00:17 Aocowns wrote:
Do I cheer for Mana because fuck Forgg, or do I cheer for Forgg because I don't want a probable shit finals

Or do I cheer for mana and then mana over lilbow for ultimate crowd passion?

You either cheer for ForGG cause you don't want Foreigners at Blizzcon.
Or you cheer for Mana because TvP is the worst matchup.

I'm sorry, I'm ashamed to admit I've bought into the dumb "FOREIGNER AT BLIZZCON WEEEAAAAAOOOW!" hype, it is what it is


You don't need to apologize for that -_-

Well that remains to be seen, doesn't it? If lilbow actually beats Forgg then that dream would be real and the hype would be warranted, if not... well
I'm a salt-lord and hater of mech and ForGG, don't take me seriously, it's just my salt-humour speaking i swear. |KadaverBB best TL gaoler| |~IdrA's #1 fan~| SetGuitarsToKill and Duckk are my martyr heroes |
sekalf
Profile Joined June 2010
Sweden522 Posts
September 13 2015 15:24 GMT
#964
On September 14 2015 00:21 KeksX wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 14 2015 00:19 Ketch wrote:
On September 14 2015 00:16 KeksX wrote:
I just checked the VODs and there was DEFINITELY a fake audience being played yesterday.

Check here:

http://www.twitch.tv/starcraft/v/15655862?t=5h33m21s

Now compare it to the real audience when he actually wins:

http://www.twitch.tv/starcraft/v/15655862?t=5h52m02s


Why the hell were they doing this?


Haha, what kind of detective work is this - not that I'm saying you are right


Just compare the real audience to that sudden sound! And look at the game, the second it happens Petraeus retreats his drones, nothing to go crazy like that.
And the real audience was starting a chant just a few seconds before. Really really weird.


It's not like the crowd is something to be ashamed of.


Maybe they had a wave going or something?
The crowd is doing lots of stuff like that.
It does sound weird though, I agree with that.
Noonius
Profile Joined April 2012
Estonia17413 Posts
September 13 2015 15:25 GMT
#965
On September 14 2015 00:24 D-light wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 14 2015 00:23 Abradix1 wrote:
On September 14 2015 00:19 Noonius wrote:
so, who's gonna be casting the final? My bet is on tastosis + kaelaris tri-cast


Yes, or even better, please give Apollo + Tastosis tricast.

Apollo solocast.


don't be silly, he's making redeye host money now
Terran forever | Maru hater forever
The_Templar
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
your Country52798 Posts
September 13 2015 15:25 GMT
#966
On September 14 2015 00:24 Captain Peabody wrote:
Guys, I just put tea in the microwave and without thinking set the time to 1:11. It's a sign.

I always put a prime number of seconds, so I might have done that too. How long would you normally heat it?
ModeratorI am still alive, somehow
TL+ Member
Penev
Profile Joined October 2012
28536 Posts
September 13 2015 15:25 GMT
#967
On September 14 2015 00:24 wUndertUnge wrote:
Why haven't they fixed the stream quality between matches?

They tried I believe but it didn't work apparently
I Protoss winner, could it be?
chipmonklord17
Profile Joined February 2011
United States11944 Posts
September 13 2015 15:25 GMT
#968
Are we talking about the same ForGG? Does he have that many top 4s in SC2 besides beating Life that one time?
Magnifico
Profile Joined March 2013
1958 Posts
September 13 2015 15:25 GMT
#969
For Tod the protoss will never beat the terran.
FueledUpAndReadyToGo
Profile Blog Joined March 2013
Netherlands30548 Posts
September 13 2015 15:26 GMT
#970
lol Casters so scared of the croud they all voted Mana
Neosteel Enthusiast
MiniFotToss
Profile Joined December 2013
China2430 Posts
September 13 2015 15:26 GMT
#971
Where is Tasteless??!!
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17750 Posts
September 13 2015 15:26 GMT
#972
On September 14 2015 00:24 BigLove wrote:
I actually kind of want Lilbow to win the finals so I can watch him get destroyed by a real Korean at Blizzcon.

Also, he can still make it to Blizzcon if he gets 2nd place here and does well at Dreamhack (I'm pretty sure)

he can

On September 13 2015 22:06 Die4Ever wrote:
Lilbow and ForGG both go up to 99.99% if they win WCS, but they aren't eliminated if they get 2nd or even 4th place. Mana and Zanster, on the other hand, require a WCS win just to have a small chance at making Blizzcon.

If Zanster wins WCS, then he still needs to win Dreamhack Stockholm to get up to 58.74% Blizzcon Chances, otherwise Zanster will not be making Blizzcon.

Mana needs to win WCS and get at least 4th in Dreamhack to have any chance. When combined with the WCS win, a 4th in Dreamhack puts him at 70.56%, 2nd at 88.04%, and 1st at 99.95%.

Lilbow can make it with a 4th in WCS and a 4th at Dreamhack, which would put him at 50.28%. A 2nd in WCS with no points from Dreamhack puts him at 16.24%. A 2nd in WCS and a 16th in Dreamhack puts him at 51.56%. A 2nd in WCS and a 4th in Dreamhack puts him at 95.88%.

If ForGG loses here in the semifinals, then he needs at least a 4th in Dreamhack to have any chance, putting him at 6.8%, but a 2nd place at Dreamhack instead puts him much higher at 64.57%. If ForGG gets 2nd in WCS then he needs to win at least some points from Dreamhack, 16th place puts him at 27.9%. 2nd in WCS and 8th in Dreamhack puts him at 53.47%. 2nd in WCS and 4th in Dreamhack puts him at 80.97%.

You can get more details from looking at the branches page here http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=branches
Click on the branch you want to look at, and then click on a player to see what they need to do given the assumptions of the branch.

+ Show Spoiler [Likely First Round Blizzcon] +

Here are the most likely first round matches of Blizzard/Global Finals for ForGG and Lilbow. (Zanster and Mana were too low to be tracked for this)
ForGG
ForGG vs PartinG has a 12.45% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
ForGG vs Maru has a 9.32% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
ForGG vs Life has a 8.3% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
ForGG vs ByuL has a 1.99% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
ForGG vs Classic has a 0.91% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.

Lilbow
Lilbow vs Life has a 14.04% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
Lilbow vs PartinG has a 10.36% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
Lilbow vs Maru has a 9.7% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
Lilbow vs herO has a 5.9% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.
Lilbow vs ByuL has a 2.85% chance for the first round of Blizzcon.


+ Show Spoiler [If Lilbow Wins] +

Biggest Winners
fr Lilbow went up by 54.98%, going from 45.01% to 99.99%

Biggest Losers
kr ForGG went down by 32.85%, going from 34.49% to 1.64%
kr Dark went down by 7.87%, going from 10.96% to 3.09%
kr FanTaSy went down by 6.37%, going from 78.24% to 71.86%
kr GuMiho went down by 2.1%, going from 12.72% to 10.62%
kr sOs went down by 1.96%, going from 94.43% to 92.47%
kr HyuN went down by 1.82%, going from 12.6% to 10.78%
pl MaNa went down by 1.66%, going from 1.66% to 0%
+ Show Spoiler [More Losers] +

kr TY went down by 0.14%, going from 0.88% to 0.74%
kr Dear went down by 0.1%, going from 8.61% to 8.51%
kr Stats went down by 0.08%, going from 0.41% to 0.33%
se Zanster went down by 0.02%, going from 0.02% to 0%


+ Show Spoiler [If ForGG Wins] +

Biggest Winners
kr ForGG went up by 65.51%, going from 34.49% to 99.99%

Biggest Losers
fr Lilbow went down by 42.82%, going from 45.01% to 2.19%
kr Dark went down by 7.89%, going from 10.96% to 3.07%
kr FanTaSy went down by 6.75%, going from 78.24% to 71.49%
kr GuMiho went down by 2.09%, going from 12.72% to 10.63%
kr sOs went down by 2.06%, going from 94.43% to 92.37%
kr HyuN went down by 1.86%, going from 12.6% to 10.74%
pl MaNa went down by 1.66%, going from 1.66% to 0%
+ Show Spoiler [More Losers] +

kr TY went down by 0.15%, going from 0.88% to 0.73%
kr Dear went down by 0.12%, going from 8.61% to 8.49%
kr Stats went down by 0.09%, going from 0.41% to 0.33%
se Zanster went down by 0.02%, going from 0.02% to 0%
kr Rogue went down by 0.01%, going from 99.98% to 99.97%


+ Show Spoiler [If Mana Wins] +

Biggest Winners
kr FanTaSy went up by 15.84%, going from 78.24% to 94.07%
kr Dark went up by 7.77%, going from 10.96% to 18.73%
pl MaNa went up by 7.6%, going from 1.66% to 9.26%
kr sOs went up by 5.01%, going from 94.43% to 99.44%
kr HyuN went up by 4.46%, going from 12.6% to 17.06%
kr GuMiho went up by 3.89%, going from 12.72% to 16.61%
kr TY went up by 0.29%, going from 0.88% to 1.17%
+ Show Spoiler [More Winners] +

kr Dear went up by 0.23%, going from 8.61% to 8.84%
kr Stats went up by 0.17%, going from 0.41% to 0.58%
kr Rogue went up by 0.02%, going from 99.98% to 99.99%


Biggest Losers
kr ForGG went down by 33.47%, going from 34.49% to 1.02%
fr Lilbow went down by 11.8%, going from 45.01% to 33.22%
se Zanster went down by 0.02%, going from 0.02% to 0%

+ Show Spoiler [If Zanster Wins] +

Biggest Winners
kr Dark went up by 40.43%, going from 10.96% to 51.39%
kr FanTaSy went up by 17.63%, going from 78.24% to 95.87%
kr GuMiho went up by 7.66%, going from 12.72% to 20.38%
kr sOs went up by 5.14%, going from 94.43% to 99.57%
kr HyuN went up by 4.91%, going from 12.6% to 17.51%
kr TY went up by 0.48%, going from 0.88% to 1.36%
kr Dear went up by 0.36%, going from 8.61% to 8.97%
+ Show Spoiler [More Winners] +

kr Stats went up by 0.29%, going from 0.41% to 0.71%
se Zanster went up by 0.13%, going from 0.02% to 0.14%
kr Rogue went up by 0.02%, going from 99.98% to 99.99%


Biggest Losers
fr Lilbow went down by 43.57%, going from 45.01% to 1.45%
kr ForGG went down by 31.84%, going from 34.49% to 2.65%
pl MaNa went down by 1.66%, going from 1.66% to 0%


WCS Predictor 2015
WCS Premier Season 3 Playoffs Day 2


se Zanster vs fr Lilbow in
in WCS Premier Season 3 semifinals.
Lilbow must win this match!
Zanster is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 27.53% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.05%, or 0% if they lose.
Lilbow is at 45.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 72.47% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 61.64%, or 1.23% if they lose.

kr ForGG vs pl MaNa in
in WCS Premier Season 3 semifinals.
ForGG and MaNa must win this match!
ForGG is at 34.49% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.66% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 56.27%, or 0.92% if they lose.
MaNa is at 1.66% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.34% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 4.21%, or 0% if they lose.

+ Show Spoiler [WCS Winning Chances] +

ForGG must win this tournament!
fr Lilbow has a 38.18% chance to win
----going from 45.01% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 11.04% if they don't.
kr ForGG has a 33.41% chance to win
----going from 34.49% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 1.63% if they don't.
pl MaNa has a 17.9% chance to win
----going from 1.66% to 9.26% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
se Zanster has a 10.52% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.14% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.

+ Show Spoiler [WCS Placements Table] +
[image loading]


"Expert" mods4ever.com
Sent.
Profile Joined June 2012
Poland9332 Posts
September 13 2015 15:26 GMT
#973
Finally a T&P duo to cast a TvP
You're now breathing manually
Captain Peabody
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
United States3139 Posts
September 13 2015 15:26 GMT
#974
On September 14 2015 00:25 The_Templar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 14 2015 00:24 Captain Peabody wrote:
Guys, I just put tea in the microwave and without thinking set the time to 1:11. It's a sign.

I always put a prime number of seconds, so I might have done that too. How long would you normally heat it?

I generally do certain odd numbers that appeal to me for whatever reason. 1:03 or 1:23 or 1:37.
Dies Irae venit. youtube.com/SnobbinsFilms
Boucot
Profile Blog Joined October 2011
France15997 Posts
September 13 2015 15:26 GMT
#975
As much as Lilbow was the favorite to me against Zanster, I was a bit concerned (and I was right to be). About ForGG on the other hand I have zero doubt.
Former SC2 writer for Millenium - twitter.com/Boucot
wUndertUnge
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States1126 Posts
September 13 2015 15:26 GMT
#976
ForGG, please save us from a PvP finals
Clan: QQGC - wundertunge#1850
TL+ Member
brickrd
Profile Blog Joined March 2014
United States4894 Posts
September 13 2015 15:26 GMT
#977
On September 14 2015 00:25 The_Templar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 14 2015 00:24 Captain Peabody wrote:
Guys, I just put tea in the microwave and without thinking set the time to 1:11. It's a sign.

I always put a prime number of seconds, so I might have done that too. How long would you normally heat it?

look at these scrubs without a dial setter
TL+ Member
The_Red_Viper
Profile Blog Joined August 2013
19533 Posts
September 13 2015 15:26 GMT
#978
On September 14 2015 00:25 chipmonklord17 wrote:
Are we talking about the same ForGG? Does he have that many top 4s in SC2 besides beating Life that one time?

He is an MSL champion, cmon dude ^_^
IU | Sohyang || There is no God and we are his prophets | For if ‘Thou mayest’—it is also true that ‘Thou mayest not.” | Ignorance is the parent of fear |
DJHelium
Profile Joined December 2010
Sweden13480 Posts
September 13 2015 15:27 GMT
#979
On September 14 2015 00:25 chipmonklord17 wrote:
Are we talking about the same ForGG? Does he have that many top 4s in SC2 besides beating Life that one time?


Dreamhacks, WCS, Asus ROG and ESWC.
#1 player in the world atm: J-god | Follow me on twitter! @DJHelium
The_Templar
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
your Country52798 Posts
September 13 2015 15:27 GMT
#980
On September 14 2015 00:26 brickrd wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 14 2015 00:25 The_Templar wrote:
On September 14 2015 00:24 Captain Peabody wrote:
Guys, I just put tea in the microwave and without thinking set the time to 1:11. It's a sign.

I always put a prime number of seconds, so I might have done that too. How long would you normally heat it?

look at these scrubs without a dial setter

A what?
ModeratorI am still alive, somehow
TL+ Member
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