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That's pretty funny yet awesome, I just noticed PBS was sponsoring this.
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Well, I went ahead and simulated this anyway.
Edit: See my post later on this page for more accurate numbers.
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On November 27 2012 02:38 TheBB wrote:Well, I went ahead and simulated this anyway. Since we have a bit of a lack of information, I made the following assumptions: - Bracket from here.
- GSL Ro4 player 1 is Bogus and player 2 is Sniper. The other two are byes (as Hyun and Ryung are already elsewhere in the bracket.)
- Bling replaced by Illusion, MKP replaced by San and Mvp replaced by Squirtle.
- JonnyRecco and Hendralisk replaced by no-one (they become byes).
- Best of 3 throughout (including the two finals).
- Standard reversed order every second round when filling in the losers' bracket to spread players around.
The validity of this simulation is pending verification of the above. Most likely winners: TaeJa: 12.52% Leenock: 10.57% Life: 7.89% Creator: 7.63% Polt: 5.92% DongRaeGu: 5.87% HyuN: 4.34% Stephano: 4.28% Sniper: 3.88% viOLet: 3.83% Squirtle: 2.82% San: 2.58% HerO: 2.51% Bomber: 2.03% Seed: 1.90% Sleep: 1.81% + Show Spoiler [Life expectancies] +
TaeJa: 7.60 rounds (top 6)
Polt: 6.90 rounds (top 8)
Leenock: 6.13 rounds (top 12)
San: 6.06 rounds (top 12)
Sleep: 5.96 rounds (top 12)
Snute: 5.87 rounds (top 12)
Life: 5.79 rounds (top 12)
aLive: 5.57 rounds (top 12)
Creator: 5.53 rounds (top 12)
Crank: 5.43 rounds (top 16)
xigua: 5.07 rounds (top 16)
Sniper: 4.97 rounds (top 16)
Stephano: 4.93 rounds (top 16)
DongRaeGu: 4.89 rounds (top 16)
HyuN: 4.89 rounds (top 16)
viOLet: 4.84 rounds (top 16)
Squirtle: 4.40 rounds (top 24)
Seed: 4.30 rounds (top 24)
Genius: 4.19 rounds (top 24)
Symbol: 4.17 rounds (top 24)
Bomber: 3.97 rounds (top 24)
Sen: 3.90 rounds (top 24)
HerO: 3.85 rounds (top 24)
Bogus: 3.77 rounds (top 24)
LucifroN: 3.73 rounds (top 24)
MC: 3.56 rounds (top 24)
Vortix: 3.52 rounds (top 24)
Bly: 3.46 rounds (top 32)
Scarlett: 3.41 rounds (top 32)
Nerchio: 3.39 rounds (top 32)
Ryung: 3.36 rounds (top 32)
MMA: 3.31 rounds (top 32)
luvsic: 3.08 rounds (top 32)
Byun: 2.88 rounds (top 32)
TheStC: 2.83 rounds (top 32)
Heart: 2.80 rounds (top 32)
HwangSin: 2.74 rounds (top 32)
Naniwa: 2.54 rounds (top 32)
GanZi: 2.50 rounds (top 32)
YoDa: 2.47 rounds (top 40)
Shine: 2.45 rounds (top 40)
Sting: 2.33 rounds (top 40)
sLivko: 2.25 rounds (top 40)
Golden: 2.23 rounds (top 40)
BBoongBBoong: 2.21 rounds (top 40)
ByuL: 1.86 rounds (top 40)
HuK: 1.61 rounds (top 40)
goswser: 1.59 rounds (top 40)
ret: 1.50 rounds (top 40)
MajOr: 1.46 rounds (top 56)
Illusion: 1.31 rounds (top 56)
MaSsan: 1.26 rounds (top 56)
ToD: 1.24 rounds (top 56)
ViBE: 1.18 rounds (top 56)
puCK: 1.12 rounds (top 56)
sculp: 1.03 rounds (top 56)
CatZ: 1.00 rounds (top 56)
drewbie: 0.83 rounds (top 56)
TriMaster: 0.49 rounds (top 72)
daisuki: 0.39 rounds (top 72)
Glon: 0.35 rounds (top 72)
Sasquatch: 0.27 rounds (top 72)
Perfect: 0.23 rounds (top 72)
Shuttle: 0.12 rounds (top 72)
Caliber: 0.12 rounds (top 72)
Top 72 Top 56 Top 40 Top 32 Top 24 Top 16 Top 12 Top 8 Top 6 Top 4 Top 3 Top 2 Win
Bogus: 17.34% 11.94% 23.13% 19.27% 9.28% 7.77% 3.75% 2.96% 1.51% 1.20% 1.04% 0.81%
Golden: 45.16% 20.56% 17.14% 9.32% 3.59% 2.25% 0.89% 0.54% 0.21% 0.15% 0.11% 0.08%
YoDa: 39.93% 19.71% 18.16% 11.25% 4.78% 3.12% 1.26% 0.79% 0.37% 0.28% 0.22% 0.14%
Nerchio: 4.63% 21.88% 16.71% 17.14% 15.26% 7.21% 5.65% 3.57% 2.66% 1.56% 1.18% 1.29% 1.27%
ToD: 28.36% 41.32% 16.56% 8.50% 3.44% 0.97% 0.53% 0.17% 0.08% 0.02% 0.03% 0.02% 0.00%
Creator: 1.99% 8.89% 8.29% 12.40% 15.03% 9.76% 8.98% 7.36% 6.32% 4.32% 3.89% 5.14% 7.63%
TriMaster: 65.01% 25.41% 6.30% 2.51% 0.60% 0.11% 0.04% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Seed: 4.48% 10.69% 12.61% 15.39% 16.09% 12.68% 9.65% 5.63% 4.32% 2.47% 2.06% 2.04% 1.90%
daisuki: 74.03% 17.53% 5.15% 2.55% 0.58% 0.11% 0.04% 0.00% 0.01%
Byun: 9.24% 22.66% 18.03% 17.76% 12.67% 8.07% 5.28% 2.33% 1.73% 0.81% 0.58% 0.49% 0.35%
Shine: 12.25% 26.36% 18.86% 17.97% 10.96% 6.22% 3.71% 1.52% 1.02% 0.49% 0.27% 0.24% 0.14%
MC: 5.93% 17.74% 14.10% 16.76% 15.85% 10.41% 7.54% 4.15% 2.94% 1.55% 1.13% 1.05% 0.84%
CatZ: 52.56% 11.41% 23.52% 9.32% 2.27% 0.66% 0.21% 0.02% 0.02% 0.00%
Symbol: 4.61% 12.37% 12.72% 15.59% 15.89% 12.03% 9.37% 5.41% 4.14% 2.44% 1.82% 1.88% 1.73%
ret: 36.90% 10.52% 29.68% 15.25% 4.86% 1.79% 0.72% 0.18% 0.07% 0.01% 0.01% 0.01%
MaSsan: 84.17% 6.31% 8.69% 0.73% 0.04% 0.06% 0.00%
HwangSin: 37.73% 11.99% 23.99% 11.69% 4.79% 5.00% 1.82% 1.50% 0.59% 0.53% 0.26% 0.12%
luvsic: 31.41% 10.90% 25.01% 13.22% 5.96% 6.49% 2.36% 2.29% 0.86% 0.71% 0.51% 0.27%
Stephano: 13.42% 13.11% 17.25% 10.25% 7.61% 9.47% 6.26% 6.59% 4.17% 3.57% 4.02% 4.28%
puCK: 89.48% 9.37% 0.98% 0.15% 0.01% 0.01%
viOLet: 13.13% 13.24% 18.30% 10.60% 7.61% 9.60% 6.14% 6.57% 3.75% 3.64% 3.60% 3.83%
Leenock: 0.87% 7.94% 6.63% 12.27% 11.22% 10.21% 9.06% 7.08% 7.30% 5.38% 5.00% 6.46% 10.57%
Glon: 72.10% 23.02% 3.42% 1.24% 0.17% 0.02% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Heart: 3.75% 32.05% 19.32% 16.81% 10.70% 6.14% 4.11% 2.33% 1.93% 0.91% 0.77% 0.69% 0.49%
ViBE: 23.28% 50.62% 15.73% 7.25% 2.03% 0.61% 0.29% 0.08% 0.07% 0.02% 0.01% 0.00%
Sen: 19.61% 13.04% 21.05% 14.82% 9.32% 7.32% 4.15% 3.73% 2.01% 1.72% 1.75% 1.48%
Bomber: 21.64% 13.95% 18.05% 13.18% 9.26% 7.01% 4.28% 4.06% 2.33% 2.04% 2.15% 2.03%
goswser: 65.36% 18.86% 10.88% 2.91% 1.14% 0.55% 0.13% 0.12% 0.03% 0.02% 0.01% 0.00%
Sniper: 10.98% 9.98% 19.06% 13.96% 8.79% 10.34% 5.97% 6.12% 3.32% 3.60% 4.01% 3.88%
TheStC: 35.30% 20.20% 17.94% 9.96% 5.01% 4.53% 2.18% 1.82% 0.88% 0.95% 0.76% 0.47%
BBoongBBoong: 47.12% 21.50% 15.59% 7.38% 3.17% 2.43% 1.01% 0.83% 0.28% 0.31% 0.26% 0.13%
LucifroN: 2.32% 15.18% 16.43% 23.79% 14.16% 7.44% 7.74% 3.59% 3.45% 1.63% 1.78% 1.48% 1.00%
Shuttle: 89.55% 9.15% 0.98% 0.31% 0.02%
Scarlett: 2.49% 23.54% 17.99% 19.28% 11.88% 6.74% 6.04% 3.39% 2.97% 1.48% 1.58% 1.43% 1.19%
sLivko: 5.64% 38.51% 21.97% 16.47% 7.89% 3.43% 2.93% 1.19% 0.90% 0.33% 0.35% 0.25% 0.13%
Life: 1.13% 3.30% 10.57% 16.21% 11.99% 11.05% 9.81% 6.72% 6.57% 4.13% 4.60% 6.03% 7.89%
Sasquatch: 78.41% 17.47% 3.13% 0.84% 0.11% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Ryung: 3.15% 17.64% 23.75% 19.83% 11.47% 8.11% 5.65% 3.07% 2.63% 1.25% 1.35% 1.21% 0.88%
MajOr: 17.31% 45.55% 20.92% 10.52% 3.32% 1.36% 0.64% 0.17% 0.12% 0.03% 0.04% 0.02% 0.00%
DongRaeGu: 6.60% 8.79% 12.55% 15.51% 10.08% 9.75% 8.24% 5.65% 5.51% 3.36% 3.49% 4.61% 5.87%
sculp: 53.68% 12.47% 19.55% 9.54% 2.50% 1.29% 0.54% 0.17% 0.16% 0.03% 0.04% 0.03% 0.01%
HerO: 9.52% 11.28% 18.27% 17.42% 10.45% 9.00% 6.70% 4.33% 3.79% 2.15% 2.19% 2.39% 2.51%
ByuL: 30.21% 14.15% 26.34% 15.91% 5.37% 3.58% 2.00% 0.93% 0.71% 0.25% 0.25% 0.21% 0.10%
Bly: 27.81% 13.54% 17.82% 15.30% 7.06% 7.30% 2.95% 3.38% 1.35% 1.62% 1.19% 0.68%
Genius: 20.14% 10.54% 16.50% 16.89% 8.50% 9.24% 4.28% 5.04% 2.24% 2.57% 2.45% 1.60%
Vortix: 7.24% 20.58% 9.48% 19.52% 15.48% 7.67% 7.85% 3.17% 3.61% 1.53% 1.63% 1.39% 0.86%
drewbie: 49.81% 32.69% 7.61% 6.55% 2.33% 0.49% 0.39% 0.05% 0.08% 0.01% 0.01% 0.00%
Naniwa: 12.00% 30.56% 12.32% 18.41% 12.04% 5.01% 4.60% 1.48% 1.68% 0.60% 0.70% 0.39% 0.20%
Illusion: 30.94% 38.94% 11.83% 10.63% 4.72% 1.33% 0.98% 0.21% 0.25% 0.08% 0.06% 0.03% 0.00%
Squirtle: 2.24% 13.13% 11.88% 19.60% 16.68% 7.60% 8.20% 4.31% 4.88% 2.64% 2.95% 3.08% 2.82%
Perfect: 80.93% 16.22% 1.99% 0.78% 0.07% 0.01% 0.00%
MMA: 3.20% 25.44% 16.71% 18.35% 13.89% 5.76% 5.43% 2.72% 2.96% 1.37% 1.61% 1.47% 1.08%
HuK: 13.63% 47.72% 18.20% 12.22% 5.07% 1.32% 0.95% 0.31% 0.30% 0.09% 0.10% 0.06% 0.02%
HyuN: 1.37% 12.54% 9.72% 17.22% 15.92% 7.82% 8.83% 4.90% 5.89% 3.21% 3.81% 4.42% 4.34%
Caliber: 89.27% 9.75% 0.65% 0.30% 0.02%
GanZi: 4.36% 36.56% 19.97% 16.68% 10.38% 3.80% 3.26% 1.33% 1.48% 0.63% 0.65% 0.56% 0.34%
Sting: 4.99% 38.72% 20.81% 15.85% 9.66% 3.35% 2.72% 1.18% 1.17% 0.42% 0.51% 0.39% 0.22%
TaeJa: 17.62% 10.47% 13.65% 10.62% 11.43% 7.13% 7.34% 9.21% 12.52%
Polt: 19.30% 14.58% 18.37% 11.92% 11.48% 6.52% 5.94% 5.97% 5.92%
xigua: 54.81% 12.70% 18.35% 5.32% 5.30% 1.47% 1.22% 0.61% 0.24%
San: 34.21% 15.81% 17.24% 8.26% 10.14% 4.30% 4.05% 3.40% 2.58%
Crank: 45.51% 13.64% 20.72% 6.71% 6.75% 2.02% 2.52% 1.54% 0.59%
aLive: 43.26% 16.39% 17.13% 6.65% 7.42% 2.43% 3.38% 2.25% 1.10%
Snute: 34.78% 13.66% 23.85% 7.49% 9.64% 3.25% 3.75% 2.53% 1.05%
Sleep: 36.51% 13.90% 19.52% 6.87% 9.79% 3.77% 4.44% 3.40% 1.81% Bogus: Sting (11.19%) GanZi (11.16%) HyuN ( 8.74%)
Golden: GanZi (17.34%) Sting (16.89%) HyuN (16.74%)
YoDa: GanZi (16.24%) Sting (15.50%) HyuN (15.25%)
Nerchio: MMA (12.46%) Squirtle ( 9.93%) HuK ( 8.57%)
ToD: TriMaster (22.80%) MMA (16.41%) Squirtle (15.20%)
Creator: MMA ( 7.50%) Squirtle ( 7.28%) HyuN ( 7.27%)
TriMaster: ToD (45.53%) Nerchio (19.80%) MMA ( 9.41%)
Seed: Vortix ( 7.46%) Genius ( 7.22%) Symbol ( 6.70%)
daisuki: Shine (40.00%) Byun (34.45%) Naniwa ( 5.69%)
Byun: Vortix (10.46%) Naniwa ( 9.83%) Symbol ( 8.42%)
Shine: Vortix (11.25%) Naniwa (10.69%) Symbol ( 8.64%)
MC: Genius (12.60%) Bly (12.09%) Symbol ( 7.82%)
CatZ: ret (37.80%) Symbol (17.05%) Shine ( 6.94%)
Symbol: Genius ( 9.76%) Bly ( 9.52%) Seed ( 6.57%)
ret: CatZ (26.07%) MC (13.82%) Byun ( 9.30%)
MaSsan: ByuL (31.87%) sculp (21.81%) HerO (21.36%)
HwangSin: DongRaeGu (18.77%) HerO (17.97%) Life (10.62%)
luvsic: DongRaeGu (17.09%) HerO (16.58%) Life (11.18%)
Stephano: Life (10.73%) DongRaeGu ( 9.80%) Ryung ( 9.66%)
puCK: Ryung (39.95%) Life (27.48%) MajOr (19.60%)
viOLet: Life (10.20%) DongRaeGu (10.08%) HerO ( 9.33%)
Leenock: Scarlett ( 7.02%) Sniper ( 7.01%) Life ( 5.08%)
Glon: ViBE (50.64%) Heart (21.56%) LucifroN ( 9.76%)
Heart: Scarlett (15.80%) sLivko (14.52%) LucifroN ( 9.84%)
ViBE: Glon (19.94%) LucifroN (18.86%) Scarlett (17.40%)
Sen: TheStC (12.63%) BBoongBBoo (12.11%) Sniper ( 7.58%)
Bomber: TheStC (11.56%) Sniper (10.37%) BBoongBBoo ( 9.89%)
goswser: TheStC (23.79%) Sniper (23.54%) BBoongBBoo (19.99%)
Sniper: Bomber (10.68%) Leenock (10.48%) goswser ( 7.02%)
TheStC: Bomber (17.77%) Sen (15.34%) goswser (10.53%)
BBoongBBoong: Bomber (20.53%) Sen (20.51%) goswser (11.99%)
LucifroN: Leenock (10.92%) Heart ( 9.89%) Bomber ( 9.35%)
Shuttle: sLivko (54.03%) Scarlett (35.56%) Heart ( 3.69%)
Scarlett: Heart (13.88%) Leenock (13.23%) Bomber ( 8.28%)
sLivko: Heart (20.28%) Leenock (15.14%) Bomber ( 7.86%)
Life: Stephano ( 8.50%) viOLet ( 7.49%) DongRaeGu ( 7.48%)
Sasquatch: MajOr (54.17%) Ryung (24.34%) viOLet ( 8.00%)
Ryung: Stephano (13.14%) viOLet (12.45%) DongRaeGu ( 9.75%)
MajOr: viOLet (22.56%) Stephano (21.88%) Sasquatch (14.48%)
DongRaeGu: Stephano ( 7.99%) Life ( 7.58%) viOLet ( 7.45%)
sculp: ByuL (34.02%) HerO (21.42%) viOLet ( 7.19%)
HerO: Stephano ( 8.91%) viOLet ( 8.79%) Life ( 8.25%)
ByuL: sculp (21.18%) DongRaeGu (12.57%) viOLet (10.30%)
Bly: MC (16.34%) Symbol (15.19%) Seed ( 9.81%)
Genius: MC (13.64%) Symbol (13.12%) Seed ( 9.67%)
Vortix: Byun (11.39%) Seed (11.19%) Shine (10.24%)
drewbie: Illusion (30.09%) Naniwa (20.22%) Byun (11.51%)
Naniwa: Byun (14.04%) Shine (13.03%) Seed (12.49%)
Illusion: drewbie (21.04%) Byun (14.42%) Shine (13.71%)
Squirtle: Creator (11.75%) Nerchio (10.03%) TaeJa ( 7.25%)
Perfect: HuK (54.23%) MMA (26.80%) Nerchio ( 6.34%)
MMA: Nerchio (14.53%) Creator (14.11%) Bogus ( 6.72%)
HuK: Nerchio (21.86%) Creator (17.05%) Perfect (10.55%)
HyuN: Creator (10.58%) YoDa ( 8.25%) Golden ( 7.83%)
Caliber: Sting (46.21%) GanZi (43.09%) Golden ( 3.60%)
GanZi: YoDa (14.88%) Golden (14.27%) Bogus (13.92%)
Sting: YoDa (15.66%) Golden (14.68%) Bogus (14.32%)
TaeJa: HyuN ( 6.43%) Creator ( 5.49%) Polt ( 5.16%)
Polt: TaeJa ( 6.92%) Creator ( 6.52%) Genius ( 5.88%)
xigua: Life (13.58%) DongRaeGu (12.88%) HerO (10.50%)
San: Sniper ( 8.24%) Scarlett ( 6.42%) Life ( 6.41%)
Crank: Leenock (13.78%) Bomber (10.33%) Sen ( 8.69%)
aLive: Life ( 8.28%) DongRaeGu ( 7.29%) Stephano ( 6.76%)
Snute: Symbol (10.25%) Seed ( 9.24%) MC ( 7.40%)
Sleep: Creator (11.02%) Bogus ( 7.82%) TaeJa ( 6.63%) Bogus: Creator (24.12%) YoDa (23.13%) Golden (18.28%)
Golden: YoDa (53.90%) Bogus (27.82%) Creator ( 8.43%)
YoDa: Golden (46.10%) Bogus (30.76%) Creator (10.27%)
Nerchio: Creator (42.34%) ToD (25.04%) TaeJa (10.58%)
ToD: Nerchio (74.96%) Creator (18.81%) Bogus ( 2.29%)
Creator: Nerchio (25.94%) TaeJa (19.48%) Bogus (11.69%)
TriMaster: Creator (91.05%) Nerchio ( 5.78%) ToD ( 1.52%)
Seed: Byun (20.17%) Shine (15.15%) Polt (14.25%)
daisuki: Seed (88.78%) Byun ( 5.09%) Shine ( 4.28%)
Byun: Shine (45.68%) Seed (28.14%) Symbol ( 6.98%)
Shine: Byun (54.32%) Seed (25.32%) Symbol ( 5.83%)
MC: Symbol (34.96%) CatZ (18.74%) Seed (11.96%)
CatZ: MC (81.26%) Symbol (12.47%) ret ( 2.39%)
Symbol: MC (28.54%) ret (21.76%) Polt (13.09%)
ret: Symbol (78.24%) MC (13.29%) Seed ( 2.86%)
MaSsan: luvsic (48.84%) HwangSin (42.04%) viOLet ( 4.47%)
HwangSin: luvsic (53.34%) Stephano (14.93%) viOLet (14.76%)
luvsic: HwangSin (46.66%) Stephano (16.66%) viOLet (16.49%)
Stephano: viOLet (45.59%) xigua ( 7.89%) luvsic ( 7.55%)
puCK: Stephano (95.14%) viOLet ( 4.62%) luvsic ( 0.13%)
viOLet: Stephano (49.56%) xigua ( 8.24%) luvsic ( 8.01%)
Leenock: Heart (21.72%) San (13.04%) Sen (12.60%)
Glon: Leenock (94.81%) Heart ( 3.34%) ViBE ( 0.99%)
Heart: Leenock (48.85%) ViBE (25.62%) Sen ( 6.97%)
ViBE: Heart (74.38%) Leenock (21.12%) Sen ( 1.62%)
Sen: Bomber (42.52%) Leenock (23.57%) San ( 9.44%)
Bomber: Sen (35.00%) goswser (22.49%) Leenock (17.97%)
goswser: Bomber (77.51%) Sen (16.65%) Leenock ( 3.48%)
Sniper: TheStC (23.15%) BBoongBBoo (14.33%) LucifroN (12.36%)
TheStC: BBoongBBoo (42.53%) Sniper (34.32%) LucifroN ( 5.66%)
BBoongBBoong: TheStC (57.47%) Sniper (28.20%) LucifroN ( 3.99%)
LucifroN: Scarlett (31.07%) Sniper (17.74%) sLivko (15.82%)
Shuttle: LucifroN (95.08%) Scarlett ( 2.90%) sLivko ( 1.77%)
Scarlett: sLivko (39.04%) LucifroN (26.87%) Sniper (11.69%)
sLivko: Scarlett (60.96%) LucifroN (21.32%) Sniper ( 7.31%)
Life: Ryung (25.16%) DongRaeGu (16.10%) HerO ( 9.84%)
Sasquatch: Life (95.24%) Ryung ( 3.22%) MajOr ( 1.01%)
Ryung: Life (43.49%) MajOr (27.88%) DongRaeGu ( 8.75%)
MajOr: Ryung (72.12%) Life (21.94%) DongRaeGu ( 2.28%)
DongRaeGu: HerO (24.29%) sculp (19.26%) Life (16.30%)
sculp: DongRaeGu (80.74%) HerO (10.06%) ByuL ( 3.81%)
HerO: ByuL (32.35%) DongRaeGu (30.37%) Life (12.50%)
ByuL: HerO (67.65%) DongRaeGu (18.84%) Life ( 5.11%)
Bly: Genius (55.51%) Vortix (11.55%) Snute (10.50%)
Genius: Bly (44.49%) Vortix (12.71%) Snute (12.70%)
Vortix: Naniwa (21.79%) drewbie (21.65%) Genius (14.23%)
drewbie: Vortix (78.35%) Naniwa (10.10%) Illusion ( 4.44%)
Naniwa: Illusion (35.05%) Vortix (29.17%) Genius (10.81%)
Illusion: Naniwa (64.95%) Vortix (19.64%) Genius ( 4.99%)
Squirtle: MMA (29.93%) HyuN (18.25%) Sleep (10.54%)
Perfect: Squirtle (93.62%) MMA ( 4.03%) HuK ( 1.70%)
MMA: Squirtle (34.82%) HuK (30.91%) HyuN (11.86%)
HuK: MMA (69.09%) Squirtle (20.90%) HyuN ( 4.50%)
HyuN: GanZi (18.61%) Sting (16.26%) Squirtle (15.85%)
Caliber: HyuN (96.16%) GanZi ( 1.84%) Sting ( 1.72%)
GanZi: Sting (48.15%) HyuN (31.29%) Squirtle ( 6.88%)
Sting: GanZi (51.85%) HyuN (30.01%) Squirtle ( 6.32%)
TaeJa: Creator (23.59%) Polt (12.59%) Bogus ( 8.74%)
Polt: TaeJa (17.19%) Seed (14.98%) Symbol (13.26%)
xigua: Stephano (28.00%) viOLet (27.48%) luvsic ( 9.68%)
San: Leenock (31.98%) Sen (12.15%) Bomber (12.09%)
Crank: Sniper (26.33%) LucifroN (14.05%) Scarlett (11.21%)
aLive: Life (27.22%) DongRaeGu (20.31%) HerO (11.93%)
Snute: Genius (20.55%) Vortix (14.12%) Bly (13.85%)
Sleep: HyuN (23.41%) Squirtle (18.65%) MMA ( 9.90%)
Wow that's pretty sick actually.
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Wow.. if huk vs mma first round. Then faces MVP next round...
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Regarding the bracket; how accurate is this because some of the players (like Sea) are missing while others who pulled out are still in (like Mvp). Is there an updated version?
And TheBB's stats are ridiculous once again really interesting.
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On November 27 2012 07:31 Dexington wrote:
Lol Huk vs MMA again.
I know 
My heart, it can't take it!
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Sweet Player Pool.
Crappy Maps. Haven't we been using the same maps for over a year?!?
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anyone know if they have the updated brackets yet? i can only find the old ones not updated with some of the players that aren't going anymore O.o
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On November 27 2012 02:38 TheBB wrote:Well, I went ahead and simulated this anyway. Since we have a bit of a lack of information, I made the following assumptions: - Bracket from here.
- GSL Ro4 player 1 is Bogus and player 2 is Sniper. The other two are byes (as Hyun and Ryung are already elsewhere in the bracket.)
- Bling replaced by Illusion, MKP replaced by San and Mvp replaced by Squirtle.
- JonnyRecco and Hendralisk replaced by no-one (they become byes).
- Best of 3 throughout (including the two finals).
- Standard reversed order every second round when filling in the losers' bracket to spread players around.
The validity of this simulation is pending verification of the above. Most likely winners: TaeJa: 12.52% Leenock: 10.57% Life: 7.89% Creator: 7.63% Polt: 5.92% DongRaeGu: 5.87% HyuN: 4.34% Stephano: 4.28% Sniper: 3.88% viOLet: 3.83% Squirtle: 2.82% San: 2.58% HerO: 2.51% Bomber: 2.03% Seed: 1.90% Sleep: 1.81% + Show Spoiler [Life expectancies] +
TaeJa: 7.60 rounds (top 6)
Polt: 6.90 rounds (top 8)
Leenock: 6.13 rounds (top 12)
San: 6.06 rounds (top 12)
Sleep: 5.96 rounds (top 12)
Snute: 5.87 rounds (top 12)
Life: 5.79 rounds (top 12)
aLive: 5.57 rounds (top 12)
Creator: 5.53 rounds (top 12)
Crank: 5.43 rounds (top 16)
xigua: 5.07 rounds (top 16)
Sniper: 4.97 rounds (top 16)
Stephano: 4.93 rounds (top 16)
DongRaeGu: 4.89 rounds (top 16)
HyuN: 4.89 rounds (top 16)
viOLet: 4.84 rounds (top 16)
Squirtle: 4.40 rounds (top 24)
Seed: 4.30 rounds (top 24)
Genius: 4.19 rounds (top 24)
Symbol: 4.17 rounds (top 24)
Bomber: 3.97 rounds (top 24)
Sen: 3.90 rounds (top 24)
HerO: 3.85 rounds (top 24)
Bogus: 3.77 rounds (top 24)
LucifroN: 3.73 rounds (top 24)
MC: 3.56 rounds (top 24)
Vortix: 3.52 rounds (top 24)
Bly: 3.46 rounds (top 32)
Scarlett: 3.41 rounds (top 32)
Nerchio: 3.39 rounds (top 32)
Ryung: 3.36 rounds (top 32)
MMA: 3.31 rounds (top 32)
luvsic: 3.08 rounds (top 32)
Byun: 2.88 rounds (top 32)
TheStC: 2.83 rounds (top 32)
Heart: 2.80 rounds (top 32)
HwangSin: 2.74 rounds (top 32)
Naniwa: 2.54 rounds (top 32)
GanZi: 2.50 rounds (top 32)
YoDa: 2.47 rounds (top 40)
Shine: 2.45 rounds (top 40)
Sting: 2.33 rounds (top 40)
sLivko: 2.25 rounds (top 40)
Golden: 2.23 rounds (top 40)
BBoongBBoong: 2.21 rounds (top 40)
ByuL: 1.86 rounds (top 40)
HuK: 1.61 rounds (top 40)
goswser: 1.59 rounds (top 40)
ret: 1.50 rounds (top 40)
MajOr: 1.46 rounds (top 56)
Illusion: 1.31 rounds (top 56)
MaSsan: 1.26 rounds (top 56)
ToD: 1.24 rounds (top 56)
ViBE: 1.18 rounds (top 56)
puCK: 1.12 rounds (top 56)
sculp: 1.03 rounds (top 56)
CatZ: 1.00 rounds (top 56)
drewbie: 0.83 rounds (top 56)
TriMaster: 0.49 rounds (top 72)
daisuki: 0.39 rounds (top 72)
Glon: 0.35 rounds (top 72)
Sasquatch: 0.27 rounds (top 72)
Perfect: 0.23 rounds (top 72)
Shuttle: 0.12 rounds (top 72)
Caliber: 0.12 rounds (top 72)
Top 72 Top 56 Top 40 Top 32 Top 24 Top 16 Top 12 Top 8 Top 6 Top 4 Top 3 Top 2 Win
Bogus: 17.34% 11.94% 23.13% 19.27% 9.28% 7.77% 3.75% 2.96% 1.51% 1.20% 1.04% 0.81%
Golden: 45.16% 20.56% 17.14% 9.32% 3.59% 2.25% 0.89% 0.54% 0.21% 0.15% 0.11% 0.08%
YoDa: 39.93% 19.71% 18.16% 11.25% 4.78% 3.12% 1.26% 0.79% 0.37% 0.28% 0.22% 0.14%
Nerchio: 4.63% 21.88% 16.71% 17.14% 15.26% 7.21% 5.65% 3.57% 2.66% 1.56% 1.18% 1.29% 1.27%
ToD: 28.36% 41.32% 16.56% 8.50% 3.44% 0.97% 0.53% 0.17% 0.08% 0.02% 0.03% 0.02% 0.00%
Creator: 1.99% 8.89% 8.29% 12.40% 15.03% 9.76% 8.98% 7.36% 6.32% 4.32% 3.89% 5.14% 7.63%
TriMaster: 65.01% 25.41% 6.30% 2.51% 0.60% 0.11% 0.04% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Seed: 4.48% 10.69% 12.61% 15.39% 16.09% 12.68% 9.65% 5.63% 4.32% 2.47% 2.06% 2.04% 1.90%
daisuki: 74.03% 17.53% 5.15% 2.55% 0.58% 0.11% 0.04% 0.00% 0.01%
Byun: 9.24% 22.66% 18.03% 17.76% 12.67% 8.07% 5.28% 2.33% 1.73% 0.81% 0.58% 0.49% 0.35%
Shine: 12.25% 26.36% 18.86% 17.97% 10.96% 6.22% 3.71% 1.52% 1.02% 0.49% 0.27% 0.24% 0.14%
MC: 5.93% 17.74% 14.10% 16.76% 15.85% 10.41% 7.54% 4.15% 2.94% 1.55% 1.13% 1.05% 0.84%
CatZ: 52.56% 11.41% 23.52% 9.32% 2.27% 0.66% 0.21% 0.02% 0.02% 0.00%
Symbol: 4.61% 12.37% 12.72% 15.59% 15.89% 12.03% 9.37% 5.41% 4.14% 2.44% 1.82% 1.88% 1.73%
ret: 36.90% 10.52% 29.68% 15.25% 4.86% 1.79% 0.72% 0.18% 0.07% 0.01% 0.01% 0.01%
MaSsan: 84.17% 6.31% 8.69% 0.73% 0.04% 0.06% 0.00%
HwangSin: 37.73% 11.99% 23.99% 11.69% 4.79% 5.00% 1.82% 1.50% 0.59% 0.53% 0.26% 0.12%
luvsic: 31.41% 10.90% 25.01% 13.22% 5.96% 6.49% 2.36% 2.29% 0.86% 0.71% 0.51% 0.27%
Stephano: 13.42% 13.11% 17.25% 10.25% 7.61% 9.47% 6.26% 6.59% 4.17% 3.57% 4.02% 4.28%
puCK: 89.48% 9.37% 0.98% 0.15% 0.01% 0.01%
viOLet: 13.13% 13.24% 18.30% 10.60% 7.61% 9.60% 6.14% 6.57% 3.75% 3.64% 3.60% 3.83%
Leenock: 0.87% 7.94% 6.63% 12.27% 11.22% 10.21% 9.06% 7.08% 7.30% 5.38% 5.00% 6.46% 10.57%
Glon: 72.10% 23.02% 3.42% 1.24% 0.17% 0.02% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Heart: 3.75% 32.05% 19.32% 16.81% 10.70% 6.14% 4.11% 2.33% 1.93% 0.91% 0.77% 0.69% 0.49%
ViBE: 23.28% 50.62% 15.73% 7.25% 2.03% 0.61% 0.29% 0.08% 0.07% 0.02% 0.01% 0.00%
Sen: 19.61% 13.04% 21.05% 14.82% 9.32% 7.32% 4.15% 3.73% 2.01% 1.72% 1.75% 1.48%
Bomber: 21.64% 13.95% 18.05% 13.18% 9.26% 7.01% 4.28% 4.06% 2.33% 2.04% 2.15% 2.03%
goswser: 65.36% 18.86% 10.88% 2.91% 1.14% 0.55% 0.13% 0.12% 0.03% 0.02% 0.01% 0.00%
Sniper: 10.98% 9.98% 19.06% 13.96% 8.79% 10.34% 5.97% 6.12% 3.32% 3.60% 4.01% 3.88%
TheStC: 35.30% 20.20% 17.94% 9.96% 5.01% 4.53% 2.18% 1.82% 0.88% 0.95% 0.76% 0.47%
BBoongBBoong: 47.12% 21.50% 15.59% 7.38% 3.17% 2.43% 1.01% 0.83% 0.28% 0.31% 0.26% 0.13%
LucifroN: 2.32% 15.18% 16.43% 23.79% 14.16% 7.44% 7.74% 3.59% 3.45% 1.63% 1.78% 1.48% 1.00%
Shuttle: 89.55% 9.15% 0.98% 0.31% 0.02%
Scarlett: 2.49% 23.54% 17.99% 19.28% 11.88% 6.74% 6.04% 3.39% 2.97% 1.48% 1.58% 1.43% 1.19%
sLivko: 5.64% 38.51% 21.97% 16.47% 7.89% 3.43% 2.93% 1.19% 0.90% 0.33% 0.35% 0.25% 0.13%
Life: 1.13% 3.30% 10.57% 16.21% 11.99% 11.05% 9.81% 6.72% 6.57% 4.13% 4.60% 6.03% 7.89%
Sasquatch: 78.41% 17.47% 3.13% 0.84% 0.11% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Ryung: 3.15% 17.64% 23.75% 19.83% 11.47% 8.11% 5.65% 3.07% 2.63% 1.25% 1.35% 1.21% 0.88%
MajOr: 17.31% 45.55% 20.92% 10.52% 3.32% 1.36% 0.64% 0.17% 0.12% 0.03% 0.04% 0.02% 0.00%
DongRaeGu: 6.60% 8.79% 12.55% 15.51% 10.08% 9.75% 8.24% 5.65% 5.51% 3.36% 3.49% 4.61% 5.87%
sculp: 53.68% 12.47% 19.55% 9.54% 2.50% 1.29% 0.54% 0.17% 0.16% 0.03% 0.04% 0.03% 0.01%
HerO: 9.52% 11.28% 18.27% 17.42% 10.45% 9.00% 6.70% 4.33% 3.79% 2.15% 2.19% 2.39% 2.51%
ByuL: 30.21% 14.15% 26.34% 15.91% 5.37% 3.58% 2.00% 0.93% 0.71% 0.25% 0.25% 0.21% 0.10%
Bly: 27.81% 13.54% 17.82% 15.30% 7.06% 7.30% 2.95% 3.38% 1.35% 1.62% 1.19% 0.68%
Genius: 20.14% 10.54% 16.50% 16.89% 8.50% 9.24% 4.28% 5.04% 2.24% 2.57% 2.45% 1.60%
Vortix: 7.24% 20.58% 9.48% 19.52% 15.48% 7.67% 7.85% 3.17% 3.61% 1.53% 1.63% 1.39% 0.86%
drewbie: 49.81% 32.69% 7.61% 6.55% 2.33% 0.49% 0.39% 0.05% 0.08% 0.01% 0.01% 0.00%
Naniwa: 12.00% 30.56% 12.32% 18.41% 12.04% 5.01% 4.60% 1.48% 1.68% 0.60% 0.70% 0.39% 0.20%
Illusion: 30.94% 38.94% 11.83% 10.63% 4.72% 1.33% 0.98% 0.21% 0.25% 0.08% 0.06% 0.03% 0.00%
Squirtle: 2.24% 13.13% 11.88% 19.60% 16.68% 7.60% 8.20% 4.31% 4.88% 2.64% 2.95% 3.08% 2.82%
Perfect: 80.93% 16.22% 1.99% 0.78% 0.07% 0.01% 0.00%
MMA: 3.20% 25.44% 16.71% 18.35% 13.89% 5.76% 5.43% 2.72% 2.96% 1.37% 1.61% 1.47% 1.08%
HuK: 13.63% 47.72% 18.20% 12.22% 5.07% 1.32% 0.95% 0.31% 0.30% 0.09% 0.10% 0.06% 0.02%
HyuN: 1.37% 12.54% 9.72% 17.22% 15.92% 7.82% 8.83% 4.90% 5.89% 3.21% 3.81% 4.42% 4.34%
Caliber: 89.27% 9.75% 0.65% 0.30% 0.02%
GanZi: 4.36% 36.56% 19.97% 16.68% 10.38% 3.80% 3.26% 1.33% 1.48% 0.63% 0.65% 0.56% 0.34%
Sting: 4.99% 38.72% 20.81% 15.85% 9.66% 3.35% 2.72% 1.18% 1.17% 0.42% 0.51% 0.39% 0.22%
TaeJa: 17.62% 10.47% 13.65% 10.62% 11.43% 7.13% 7.34% 9.21% 12.52%
Polt: 19.30% 14.58% 18.37% 11.92% 11.48% 6.52% 5.94% 5.97% 5.92%
xigua: 54.81% 12.70% 18.35% 5.32% 5.30% 1.47% 1.22% 0.61% 0.24%
San: 34.21% 15.81% 17.24% 8.26% 10.14% 4.30% 4.05% 3.40% 2.58%
Crank: 45.51% 13.64% 20.72% 6.71% 6.75% 2.02% 2.52% 1.54% 0.59%
aLive: 43.26% 16.39% 17.13% 6.65% 7.42% 2.43% 3.38% 2.25% 1.10%
Snute: 34.78% 13.66% 23.85% 7.49% 9.64% 3.25% 3.75% 2.53% 1.05%
Sleep: 36.51% 13.90% 19.52% 6.87% 9.79% 3.77% 4.44% 3.40% 1.81% Bogus: Sting (11.19%) GanZi (11.16%) HyuN ( 8.74%)
Golden: GanZi (17.34%) Sting (16.89%) HyuN (16.74%)
YoDa: GanZi (16.24%) Sting (15.50%) HyuN (15.25%)
Nerchio: MMA (12.46%) Squirtle ( 9.93%) HuK ( 8.57%)
ToD: TriMaster (22.80%) MMA (16.41%) Squirtle (15.20%)
Creator: MMA ( 7.50%) Squirtle ( 7.28%) HyuN ( 7.27%)
TriMaster: ToD (45.53%) Nerchio (19.80%) MMA ( 9.41%)
Seed: Vortix ( 7.46%) Genius ( 7.22%) Symbol ( 6.70%)
daisuki: Shine (40.00%) Byun (34.45%) Naniwa ( 5.69%)
Byun: Vortix (10.46%) Naniwa ( 9.83%) Symbol ( 8.42%)
Shine: Vortix (11.25%) Naniwa (10.69%) Symbol ( 8.64%)
MC: Genius (12.60%) Bly (12.09%) Symbol ( 7.82%)
CatZ: ret (37.80%) Symbol (17.05%) Shine ( 6.94%)
Symbol: Genius ( 9.76%) Bly ( 9.52%) Seed ( 6.57%)
ret: CatZ (26.07%) MC (13.82%) Byun ( 9.30%)
MaSsan: ByuL (31.87%) sculp (21.81%) HerO (21.36%)
HwangSin: DongRaeGu (18.77%) HerO (17.97%) Life (10.62%)
luvsic: DongRaeGu (17.09%) HerO (16.58%) Life (11.18%)
Stephano: Life (10.73%) DongRaeGu ( 9.80%) Ryung ( 9.66%)
puCK: Ryung (39.95%) Life (27.48%) MajOr (19.60%)
viOLet: Life (10.20%) DongRaeGu (10.08%) HerO ( 9.33%)
Leenock: Scarlett ( 7.02%) Sniper ( 7.01%) Life ( 5.08%)
Glon: ViBE (50.64%) Heart (21.56%) LucifroN ( 9.76%)
Heart: Scarlett (15.80%) sLivko (14.52%) LucifroN ( 9.84%)
ViBE: Glon (19.94%) LucifroN (18.86%) Scarlett (17.40%)
Sen: TheStC (12.63%) BBoongBBoo (12.11%) Sniper ( 7.58%)
Bomber: TheStC (11.56%) Sniper (10.37%) BBoongBBoo ( 9.89%)
goswser: TheStC (23.79%) Sniper (23.54%) BBoongBBoo (19.99%)
Sniper: Bomber (10.68%) Leenock (10.48%) goswser ( 7.02%)
TheStC: Bomber (17.77%) Sen (15.34%) goswser (10.53%)
BBoongBBoong: Bomber (20.53%) Sen (20.51%) goswser (11.99%)
LucifroN: Leenock (10.92%) Heart ( 9.89%) Bomber ( 9.35%)
Shuttle: sLivko (54.03%) Scarlett (35.56%) Heart ( 3.69%)
Scarlett: Heart (13.88%) Leenock (13.23%) Bomber ( 8.28%)
sLivko: Heart (20.28%) Leenock (15.14%) Bomber ( 7.86%)
Life: Stephano ( 8.50%) viOLet ( 7.49%) DongRaeGu ( 7.48%)
Sasquatch: MajOr (54.17%) Ryung (24.34%) viOLet ( 8.00%)
Ryung: Stephano (13.14%) viOLet (12.45%) DongRaeGu ( 9.75%)
MajOr: viOLet (22.56%) Stephano (21.88%) Sasquatch (14.48%)
DongRaeGu: Stephano ( 7.99%) Life ( 7.58%) viOLet ( 7.45%)
sculp: ByuL (34.02%) HerO (21.42%) viOLet ( 7.19%)
HerO: Stephano ( 8.91%) viOLet ( 8.79%) Life ( 8.25%)
ByuL: sculp (21.18%) DongRaeGu (12.57%) viOLet (10.30%)
Bly: MC (16.34%) Symbol (15.19%) Seed ( 9.81%)
Genius: MC (13.64%) Symbol (13.12%) Seed ( 9.67%)
Vortix: Byun (11.39%) Seed (11.19%) Shine (10.24%)
drewbie: Illusion (30.09%) Naniwa (20.22%) Byun (11.51%)
Naniwa: Byun (14.04%) Shine (13.03%) Seed (12.49%)
Illusion: drewbie (21.04%) Byun (14.42%) Shine (13.71%)
Squirtle: Creator (11.75%) Nerchio (10.03%) TaeJa ( 7.25%)
Perfect: HuK (54.23%) MMA (26.80%) Nerchio ( 6.34%)
MMA: Nerchio (14.53%) Creator (14.11%) Bogus ( 6.72%)
HuK: Nerchio (21.86%) Creator (17.05%) Perfect (10.55%)
HyuN: Creator (10.58%) YoDa ( 8.25%) Golden ( 7.83%)
Caliber: Sting (46.21%) GanZi (43.09%) Golden ( 3.60%)
GanZi: YoDa (14.88%) Golden (14.27%) Bogus (13.92%)
Sting: YoDa (15.66%) Golden (14.68%) Bogus (14.32%)
TaeJa: HyuN ( 6.43%) Creator ( 5.49%) Polt ( 5.16%)
Polt: TaeJa ( 6.92%) Creator ( 6.52%) Genius ( 5.88%)
xigua: Life (13.58%) DongRaeGu (12.88%) HerO (10.50%)
San: Sniper ( 8.24%) Scarlett ( 6.42%) Life ( 6.41%)
Crank: Leenock (13.78%) Bomber (10.33%) Sen ( 8.69%)
aLive: Life ( 8.28%) DongRaeGu ( 7.29%) Stephano ( 6.76%)
Snute: Symbol (10.25%) Seed ( 9.24%) MC ( 7.40%)
Sleep: Creator (11.02%) Bogus ( 7.82%) TaeJa ( 6.63%) Bogus: Creator (24.12%) YoDa (23.13%) Golden (18.28%)
Golden: YoDa (53.90%) Bogus (27.82%) Creator ( 8.43%)
YoDa: Golden (46.10%) Bogus (30.76%) Creator (10.27%)
Nerchio: Creator (42.34%) ToD (25.04%) TaeJa (10.58%)
ToD: Nerchio (74.96%) Creator (18.81%) Bogus ( 2.29%)
Creator: Nerchio (25.94%) TaeJa (19.48%) Bogus (11.69%)
TriMaster: Creator (91.05%) Nerchio ( 5.78%) ToD ( 1.52%)
Seed: Byun (20.17%) Shine (15.15%) Polt (14.25%)
daisuki: Seed (88.78%) Byun ( 5.09%) Shine ( 4.28%)
Byun: Shine (45.68%) Seed (28.14%) Symbol ( 6.98%)
Shine: Byun (54.32%) Seed (25.32%) Symbol ( 5.83%)
MC: Symbol (34.96%) CatZ (18.74%) Seed (11.96%)
CatZ: MC (81.26%) Symbol (12.47%) ret ( 2.39%)
Symbol: MC (28.54%) ret (21.76%) Polt (13.09%)
ret: Symbol (78.24%) MC (13.29%) Seed ( 2.86%)
MaSsan: luvsic (48.84%) HwangSin (42.04%) viOLet ( 4.47%)
HwangSin: luvsic (53.34%) Stephano (14.93%) viOLet (14.76%)
luvsic: HwangSin (46.66%) Stephano (16.66%) viOLet (16.49%)
Stephano: viOLet (45.59%) xigua ( 7.89%) luvsic ( 7.55%)
puCK: Stephano (95.14%) viOLet ( 4.62%) luvsic ( 0.13%)
viOLet: Stephano (49.56%) xigua ( 8.24%) luvsic ( 8.01%)
Leenock: Heart (21.72%) San (13.04%) Sen (12.60%)
Glon: Leenock (94.81%) Heart ( 3.34%) ViBE ( 0.99%)
Heart: Leenock (48.85%) ViBE (25.62%) Sen ( 6.97%)
ViBE: Heart (74.38%) Leenock (21.12%) Sen ( 1.62%)
Sen: Bomber (42.52%) Leenock (23.57%) San ( 9.44%)
Bomber: Sen (35.00%) goswser (22.49%) Leenock (17.97%)
goswser: Bomber (77.51%) Sen (16.65%) Leenock ( 3.48%)
Sniper: TheStC (23.15%) BBoongBBoo (14.33%) LucifroN (12.36%)
TheStC: BBoongBBoo (42.53%) Sniper (34.32%) LucifroN ( 5.66%)
BBoongBBoong: TheStC (57.47%) Sniper (28.20%) LucifroN ( 3.99%)
LucifroN: Scarlett (31.07%) Sniper (17.74%) sLivko (15.82%)
Shuttle: LucifroN (95.08%) Scarlett ( 2.90%) sLivko ( 1.77%)
Scarlett: sLivko (39.04%) LucifroN (26.87%) Sniper (11.69%)
sLivko: Scarlett (60.96%) LucifroN (21.32%) Sniper ( 7.31%)
Life: Ryung (25.16%) DongRaeGu (16.10%) HerO ( 9.84%)
Sasquatch: Life (95.24%) Ryung ( 3.22%) MajOr ( 1.01%)
Ryung: Life (43.49%) MajOr (27.88%) DongRaeGu ( 8.75%)
MajOr: Ryung (72.12%) Life (21.94%) DongRaeGu ( 2.28%)
DongRaeGu: HerO (24.29%) sculp (19.26%) Life (16.30%)
sculp: DongRaeGu (80.74%) HerO (10.06%) ByuL ( 3.81%)
HerO: ByuL (32.35%) DongRaeGu (30.37%) Life (12.50%)
ByuL: HerO (67.65%) DongRaeGu (18.84%) Life ( 5.11%)
Bly: Genius (55.51%) Vortix (11.55%) Snute (10.50%)
Genius: Bly (44.49%) Vortix (12.71%) Snute (12.70%)
Vortix: Naniwa (21.79%) drewbie (21.65%) Genius (14.23%)
drewbie: Vortix (78.35%) Naniwa (10.10%) Illusion ( 4.44%)
Naniwa: Illusion (35.05%) Vortix (29.17%) Genius (10.81%)
Illusion: Naniwa (64.95%) Vortix (19.64%) Genius ( 4.99%)
Squirtle: MMA (29.93%) HyuN (18.25%) Sleep (10.54%)
Perfect: Squirtle (93.62%) MMA ( 4.03%) HuK ( 1.70%)
MMA: Squirtle (34.82%) HuK (30.91%) HyuN (11.86%)
HuK: MMA (69.09%) Squirtle (20.90%) HyuN ( 4.50%)
HyuN: GanZi (18.61%) Sting (16.26%) Squirtle (15.85%)
Caliber: HyuN (96.16%) GanZi ( 1.84%) Sting ( 1.72%)
GanZi: Sting (48.15%) HyuN (31.29%) Squirtle ( 6.88%)
Sting: GanZi (51.85%) HyuN (30.01%) Squirtle ( 6.32%)
TaeJa: Creator (23.59%) Polt (12.59%) Bogus ( 8.74%)
Polt: TaeJa (17.19%) Seed (14.98%) Symbol (13.26%)
xigua: Stephano (28.00%) viOLet (27.48%) luvsic ( 9.68%)
San: Leenock (31.98%) Sen (12.15%) Bomber (12.09%)
Crank: Sniper (26.33%) LucifroN (14.05%) Scarlett (11.21%)
aLive: Life (27.22%) DongRaeGu (20.31%) HerO (11.93%)
Snute: Genius (20.55%) Vortix (14.12%) Bly (13.85%)
Sleep: HyuN (23.41%) Squirtle (18.65%) MMA ( 9.90%)
Holy Balls, that's some interesting source. Poor HuK
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lol so apparently i am not long for this world ironic my opponent is "Life"
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On November 27 2012 13:21 VTPerfect wrote:
lol so apparently i am not long for this world ironic my opponent is "Life"
EzPz dude lol just need some soul!! (I am assuming you play toss)
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On November 27 2012 02:38 TheBB wrote:Well, I went ahead and simulated this anyway. Since we have a bit of a lack of information, I made the following assumptions: - Bracket from here.
- GSL Ro4 player 1 is Bogus and player 2 is Sniper. The other two are byes (as Hyun and Ryung are already elsewhere in the bracket.)
- Bling replaced by Illusion, MKP replaced by San and Mvp replaced by Squirtle.
- JonnyRecco and Hendralisk replaced by no-one (they become byes).
- Best of 3 throughout (including the two finals).
- Standard reversed order every second round when filling in the losers' bracket to spread players around.
The validity of this simulation is pending verification of the above. Most likely winners: TaeJa: 12.52% Leenock: 10.57% Life: 7.89% Creator: 7.63% Polt: 5.92% DongRaeGu: 5.87% HyuN: 4.34% Stephano: 4.28% Sniper: 3.88% viOLet: 3.83% Squirtle: 2.82% San: 2.58% HerO: 2.51% Bomber: 2.03% Seed: 1.90% Sleep: 1.81% + Show Spoiler [Life expectancies] +
TaeJa: 7.60 rounds (top 6)
Polt: 6.90 rounds (top 8)
Leenock: 6.13 rounds (top 12)
San: 6.06 rounds (top 12)
Sleep: 5.96 rounds (top 12)
Snute: 5.87 rounds (top 12)
Life: 5.79 rounds (top 12)
aLive: 5.57 rounds (top 12)
Creator: 5.53 rounds (top 12)
Crank: 5.43 rounds (top 16)
xigua: 5.07 rounds (top 16)
Sniper: 4.97 rounds (top 16)
Stephano: 4.93 rounds (top 16)
DongRaeGu: 4.89 rounds (top 16)
HyuN: 4.89 rounds (top 16)
viOLet: 4.84 rounds (top 16)
Squirtle: 4.40 rounds (top 24)
Seed: 4.30 rounds (top 24)
Genius: 4.19 rounds (top 24)
Symbol: 4.17 rounds (top 24)
Bomber: 3.97 rounds (top 24)
Sen: 3.90 rounds (top 24)
HerO: 3.85 rounds (top 24)
Bogus: 3.77 rounds (top 24)
LucifroN: 3.73 rounds (top 24)
MC: 3.56 rounds (top 24)
Vortix: 3.52 rounds (top 24)
Bly: 3.46 rounds (top 32)
Scarlett: 3.41 rounds (top 32)
Nerchio: 3.39 rounds (top 32)
Ryung: 3.36 rounds (top 32)
MMA: 3.31 rounds (top 32)
luvsic: 3.08 rounds (top 32)
Byun: 2.88 rounds (top 32)
TheStC: 2.83 rounds (top 32)
Heart: 2.80 rounds (top 32)
HwangSin: 2.74 rounds (top 32)
Naniwa: 2.54 rounds (top 32)
GanZi: 2.50 rounds (top 32)
YoDa: 2.47 rounds (top 40)
Shine: 2.45 rounds (top 40)
Sting: 2.33 rounds (top 40)
sLivko: 2.25 rounds (top 40)
Golden: 2.23 rounds (top 40)
BBoongBBoong: 2.21 rounds (top 40)
ByuL: 1.86 rounds (top 40)
HuK: 1.61 rounds (top 40)
goswser: 1.59 rounds (top 40)
ret: 1.50 rounds (top 40)
MajOr: 1.46 rounds (top 56)
Illusion: 1.31 rounds (top 56)
MaSsan: 1.26 rounds (top 56)
ToD: 1.24 rounds (top 56)
ViBE: 1.18 rounds (top 56)
puCK: 1.12 rounds (top 56)
sculp: 1.03 rounds (top 56)
CatZ: 1.00 rounds (top 56)
drewbie: 0.83 rounds (top 56)
TriMaster: 0.49 rounds (top 72)
daisuki: 0.39 rounds (top 72)
Glon: 0.35 rounds (top 72)
Sasquatch: 0.27 rounds (top 72)
Perfect: 0.23 rounds (top 72)
Shuttle: 0.12 rounds (top 72)
Caliber: 0.12 rounds (top 72)
Top 72 Top 56 Top 40 Top 32 Top 24 Top 16 Top 12 Top 8 Top 6 Top 4 Top 3 Top 2 Win
Bogus: 17.34% 11.94% 23.13% 19.27% 9.28% 7.77% 3.75% 2.96% 1.51% 1.20% 1.04% 0.81%
Golden: 45.16% 20.56% 17.14% 9.32% 3.59% 2.25% 0.89% 0.54% 0.21% 0.15% 0.11% 0.08%
YoDa: 39.93% 19.71% 18.16% 11.25% 4.78% 3.12% 1.26% 0.79% 0.37% 0.28% 0.22% 0.14%
Nerchio: 4.63% 21.88% 16.71% 17.14% 15.26% 7.21% 5.65% 3.57% 2.66% 1.56% 1.18% 1.29% 1.27%
ToD: 28.36% 41.32% 16.56% 8.50% 3.44% 0.97% 0.53% 0.17% 0.08% 0.02% 0.03% 0.02% 0.00%
Creator: 1.99% 8.89% 8.29% 12.40% 15.03% 9.76% 8.98% 7.36% 6.32% 4.32% 3.89% 5.14% 7.63%
TriMaster: 65.01% 25.41% 6.30% 2.51% 0.60% 0.11% 0.04% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Seed: 4.48% 10.69% 12.61% 15.39% 16.09% 12.68% 9.65% 5.63% 4.32% 2.47% 2.06% 2.04% 1.90%
daisuki: 74.03% 17.53% 5.15% 2.55% 0.58% 0.11% 0.04% 0.00% 0.01%
Byun: 9.24% 22.66% 18.03% 17.76% 12.67% 8.07% 5.28% 2.33% 1.73% 0.81% 0.58% 0.49% 0.35%
Shine: 12.25% 26.36% 18.86% 17.97% 10.96% 6.22% 3.71% 1.52% 1.02% 0.49% 0.27% 0.24% 0.14%
MC: 5.93% 17.74% 14.10% 16.76% 15.85% 10.41% 7.54% 4.15% 2.94% 1.55% 1.13% 1.05% 0.84%
CatZ: 52.56% 11.41% 23.52% 9.32% 2.27% 0.66% 0.21% 0.02% 0.02% 0.00%
Symbol: 4.61% 12.37% 12.72% 15.59% 15.89% 12.03% 9.37% 5.41% 4.14% 2.44% 1.82% 1.88% 1.73%
ret: 36.90% 10.52% 29.68% 15.25% 4.86% 1.79% 0.72% 0.18% 0.07% 0.01% 0.01% 0.01%
MaSsan: 84.17% 6.31% 8.69% 0.73% 0.04% 0.06% 0.00%
HwangSin: 37.73% 11.99% 23.99% 11.69% 4.79% 5.00% 1.82% 1.50% 0.59% 0.53% 0.26% 0.12%
luvsic: 31.41% 10.90% 25.01% 13.22% 5.96% 6.49% 2.36% 2.29% 0.86% 0.71% 0.51% 0.27%
Stephano: 13.42% 13.11% 17.25% 10.25% 7.61% 9.47% 6.26% 6.59% 4.17% 3.57% 4.02% 4.28%
puCK: 89.48% 9.37% 0.98% 0.15% 0.01% 0.01%
viOLet: 13.13% 13.24% 18.30% 10.60% 7.61% 9.60% 6.14% 6.57% 3.75% 3.64% 3.60% 3.83%
Leenock: 0.87% 7.94% 6.63% 12.27% 11.22% 10.21% 9.06% 7.08% 7.30% 5.38% 5.00% 6.46% 10.57%
Glon: 72.10% 23.02% 3.42% 1.24% 0.17% 0.02% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Heart: 3.75% 32.05% 19.32% 16.81% 10.70% 6.14% 4.11% 2.33% 1.93% 0.91% 0.77% 0.69% 0.49%
ViBE: 23.28% 50.62% 15.73% 7.25% 2.03% 0.61% 0.29% 0.08% 0.07% 0.02% 0.01% 0.00%
Sen: 19.61% 13.04% 21.05% 14.82% 9.32% 7.32% 4.15% 3.73% 2.01% 1.72% 1.75% 1.48%
Bomber: 21.64% 13.95% 18.05% 13.18% 9.26% 7.01% 4.28% 4.06% 2.33% 2.04% 2.15% 2.03%
goswser: 65.36% 18.86% 10.88% 2.91% 1.14% 0.55% 0.13% 0.12% 0.03% 0.02% 0.01% 0.00%
Sniper: 10.98% 9.98% 19.06% 13.96% 8.79% 10.34% 5.97% 6.12% 3.32% 3.60% 4.01% 3.88%
TheStC: 35.30% 20.20% 17.94% 9.96% 5.01% 4.53% 2.18% 1.82% 0.88% 0.95% 0.76% 0.47%
BBoongBBoong: 47.12% 21.50% 15.59% 7.38% 3.17% 2.43% 1.01% 0.83% 0.28% 0.31% 0.26% 0.13%
LucifroN: 2.32% 15.18% 16.43% 23.79% 14.16% 7.44% 7.74% 3.59% 3.45% 1.63% 1.78% 1.48% 1.00%
Shuttle: 89.55% 9.15% 0.98% 0.31% 0.02%
Scarlett: 2.49% 23.54% 17.99% 19.28% 11.88% 6.74% 6.04% 3.39% 2.97% 1.48% 1.58% 1.43% 1.19%
sLivko: 5.64% 38.51% 21.97% 16.47% 7.89% 3.43% 2.93% 1.19% 0.90% 0.33% 0.35% 0.25% 0.13%
Life: 1.13% 3.30% 10.57% 16.21% 11.99% 11.05% 9.81% 6.72% 6.57% 4.13% 4.60% 6.03% 7.89%
Sasquatch: 78.41% 17.47% 3.13% 0.84% 0.11% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Ryung: 3.15% 17.64% 23.75% 19.83% 11.47% 8.11% 5.65% 3.07% 2.63% 1.25% 1.35% 1.21% 0.88%
MajOr: 17.31% 45.55% 20.92% 10.52% 3.32% 1.36% 0.64% 0.17% 0.12% 0.03% 0.04% 0.02% 0.00%
DongRaeGu: 6.60% 8.79% 12.55% 15.51% 10.08% 9.75% 8.24% 5.65% 5.51% 3.36% 3.49% 4.61% 5.87%
sculp: 53.68% 12.47% 19.55% 9.54% 2.50% 1.29% 0.54% 0.17% 0.16% 0.03% 0.04% 0.03% 0.01%
HerO: 9.52% 11.28% 18.27% 17.42% 10.45% 9.00% 6.70% 4.33% 3.79% 2.15% 2.19% 2.39% 2.51%
ByuL: 30.21% 14.15% 26.34% 15.91% 5.37% 3.58% 2.00% 0.93% 0.71% 0.25% 0.25% 0.21% 0.10%
Bly: 27.81% 13.54% 17.82% 15.30% 7.06% 7.30% 2.95% 3.38% 1.35% 1.62% 1.19% 0.68%
Genius: 20.14% 10.54% 16.50% 16.89% 8.50% 9.24% 4.28% 5.04% 2.24% 2.57% 2.45% 1.60%
Vortix: 7.24% 20.58% 9.48% 19.52% 15.48% 7.67% 7.85% 3.17% 3.61% 1.53% 1.63% 1.39% 0.86%
drewbie: 49.81% 32.69% 7.61% 6.55% 2.33% 0.49% 0.39% 0.05% 0.08% 0.01% 0.01% 0.00%
Naniwa: 12.00% 30.56% 12.32% 18.41% 12.04% 5.01% 4.60% 1.48% 1.68% 0.60% 0.70% 0.39% 0.20%
Illusion: 30.94% 38.94% 11.83% 10.63% 4.72% 1.33% 0.98% 0.21% 0.25% 0.08% 0.06% 0.03% 0.00%
Squirtle: 2.24% 13.13% 11.88% 19.60% 16.68% 7.60% 8.20% 4.31% 4.88% 2.64% 2.95% 3.08% 2.82%
Perfect: 80.93% 16.22% 1.99% 0.78% 0.07% 0.01% 0.00%
MMA: 3.20% 25.44% 16.71% 18.35% 13.89% 5.76% 5.43% 2.72% 2.96% 1.37% 1.61% 1.47% 1.08%
HuK: 13.63% 47.72% 18.20% 12.22% 5.07% 1.32% 0.95% 0.31% 0.30% 0.09% 0.10% 0.06% 0.02%
HyuN: 1.37% 12.54% 9.72% 17.22% 15.92% 7.82% 8.83% 4.90% 5.89% 3.21% 3.81% 4.42% 4.34%
Caliber: 89.27% 9.75% 0.65% 0.30% 0.02%
GanZi: 4.36% 36.56% 19.97% 16.68% 10.38% 3.80% 3.26% 1.33% 1.48% 0.63% 0.65% 0.56% 0.34%
Sting: 4.99% 38.72% 20.81% 15.85% 9.66% 3.35% 2.72% 1.18% 1.17% 0.42% 0.51% 0.39% 0.22%
TaeJa: 17.62% 10.47% 13.65% 10.62% 11.43% 7.13% 7.34% 9.21% 12.52%
Polt: 19.30% 14.58% 18.37% 11.92% 11.48% 6.52% 5.94% 5.97% 5.92%
xigua: 54.81% 12.70% 18.35% 5.32% 5.30% 1.47% 1.22% 0.61% 0.24%
San: 34.21% 15.81% 17.24% 8.26% 10.14% 4.30% 4.05% 3.40% 2.58%
Crank: 45.51% 13.64% 20.72% 6.71% 6.75% 2.02% 2.52% 1.54% 0.59%
aLive: 43.26% 16.39% 17.13% 6.65% 7.42% 2.43% 3.38% 2.25% 1.10%
Snute: 34.78% 13.66% 23.85% 7.49% 9.64% 3.25% 3.75% 2.53% 1.05%
Sleep: 36.51% 13.90% 19.52% 6.87% 9.79% 3.77% 4.44% 3.40% 1.81% Bogus: Sting (11.19%) GanZi (11.16%) HyuN ( 8.74%)
Golden: GanZi (17.34%) Sting (16.89%) HyuN (16.74%)
YoDa: GanZi (16.24%) Sting (15.50%) HyuN (15.25%)
Nerchio: MMA (12.46%) Squirtle ( 9.93%) HuK ( 8.57%)
ToD: TriMaster (22.80%) MMA (16.41%) Squirtle (15.20%)
Creator: MMA ( 7.50%) Squirtle ( 7.28%) HyuN ( 7.27%)
TriMaster: ToD (45.53%) Nerchio (19.80%) MMA ( 9.41%)
Seed: Vortix ( 7.46%) Genius ( 7.22%) Symbol ( 6.70%)
daisuki: Shine (40.00%) Byun (34.45%) Naniwa ( 5.69%)
Byun: Vortix (10.46%) Naniwa ( 9.83%) Symbol ( 8.42%)
Shine: Vortix (11.25%) Naniwa (10.69%) Symbol ( 8.64%)
MC: Genius (12.60%) Bly (12.09%) Symbol ( 7.82%)
CatZ: ret (37.80%) Symbol (17.05%) Shine ( 6.94%)
Symbol: Genius ( 9.76%) Bly ( 9.52%) Seed ( 6.57%)
ret: CatZ (26.07%) MC (13.82%) Byun ( 9.30%)
MaSsan: ByuL (31.87%) sculp (21.81%) HerO (21.36%)
HwangSin: DongRaeGu (18.77%) HerO (17.97%) Life (10.62%)
luvsic: DongRaeGu (17.09%) HerO (16.58%) Life (11.18%)
Stephano: Life (10.73%) DongRaeGu ( 9.80%) Ryung ( 9.66%)
puCK: Ryung (39.95%) Life (27.48%) MajOr (19.60%)
viOLet: Life (10.20%) DongRaeGu (10.08%) HerO ( 9.33%)
Leenock: Scarlett ( 7.02%) Sniper ( 7.01%) Life ( 5.08%)
Glon: ViBE (50.64%) Heart (21.56%) LucifroN ( 9.76%)
Heart: Scarlett (15.80%) sLivko (14.52%) LucifroN ( 9.84%)
ViBE: Glon (19.94%) LucifroN (18.86%) Scarlett (17.40%)
Sen: TheStC (12.63%) BBoongBBoo (12.11%) Sniper ( 7.58%)
Bomber: TheStC (11.56%) Sniper (10.37%) BBoongBBoo ( 9.89%)
goswser: TheStC (23.79%) Sniper (23.54%) BBoongBBoo (19.99%)
Sniper: Bomber (10.68%) Leenock (10.48%) goswser ( 7.02%)
TheStC: Bomber (17.77%) Sen (15.34%) goswser (10.53%)
BBoongBBoong: Bomber (20.53%) Sen (20.51%) goswser (11.99%)
LucifroN: Leenock (10.92%) Heart ( 9.89%) Bomber ( 9.35%)
Shuttle: sLivko (54.03%) Scarlett (35.56%) Heart ( 3.69%)
Scarlett: Heart (13.88%) Leenock (13.23%) Bomber ( 8.28%)
sLivko: Heart (20.28%) Leenock (15.14%) Bomber ( 7.86%)
Life: Stephano ( 8.50%) viOLet ( 7.49%) DongRaeGu ( 7.48%)
Sasquatch: MajOr (54.17%) Ryung (24.34%) viOLet ( 8.00%)
Ryung: Stephano (13.14%) viOLet (12.45%) DongRaeGu ( 9.75%)
MajOr: viOLet (22.56%) Stephano (21.88%) Sasquatch (14.48%)
DongRaeGu: Stephano ( 7.99%) Life ( 7.58%) viOLet ( 7.45%)
sculp: ByuL (34.02%) HerO (21.42%) viOLet ( 7.19%)
HerO: Stephano ( 8.91%) viOLet ( 8.79%) Life ( 8.25%)
ByuL: sculp (21.18%) DongRaeGu (12.57%) viOLet (10.30%)
Bly: MC (16.34%) Symbol (15.19%) Seed ( 9.81%)
Genius: MC (13.64%) Symbol (13.12%) Seed ( 9.67%)
Vortix: Byun (11.39%) Seed (11.19%) Shine (10.24%)
drewbie: Illusion (30.09%) Naniwa (20.22%) Byun (11.51%)
Naniwa: Byun (14.04%) Shine (13.03%) Seed (12.49%)
Illusion: drewbie (21.04%) Byun (14.42%) Shine (13.71%)
Squirtle: Creator (11.75%) Nerchio (10.03%) TaeJa ( 7.25%)
Perfect: HuK (54.23%) MMA (26.80%) Nerchio ( 6.34%)
MMA: Nerchio (14.53%) Creator (14.11%) Bogus ( 6.72%)
HuK: Nerchio (21.86%) Creator (17.05%) Perfect (10.55%)
HyuN: Creator (10.58%) YoDa ( 8.25%) Golden ( 7.83%)
Caliber: Sting (46.21%) GanZi (43.09%) Golden ( 3.60%)
GanZi: YoDa (14.88%) Golden (14.27%) Bogus (13.92%)
Sting: YoDa (15.66%) Golden (14.68%) Bogus (14.32%)
TaeJa: HyuN ( 6.43%) Creator ( 5.49%) Polt ( 5.16%)
Polt: TaeJa ( 6.92%) Creator ( 6.52%) Genius ( 5.88%)
xigua: Life (13.58%) DongRaeGu (12.88%) HerO (10.50%)
San: Sniper ( 8.24%) Scarlett ( 6.42%) Life ( 6.41%)
Crank: Leenock (13.78%) Bomber (10.33%) Sen ( 8.69%)
aLive: Life ( 8.28%) DongRaeGu ( 7.29%) Stephano ( 6.76%)
Snute: Symbol (10.25%) Seed ( 9.24%) MC ( 7.40%)
Sleep: Creator (11.02%) Bogus ( 7.82%) TaeJa ( 6.63%) Bogus: Creator (24.12%) YoDa (23.13%) Golden (18.28%)
Golden: YoDa (53.90%) Bogus (27.82%) Creator ( 8.43%)
YoDa: Golden (46.10%) Bogus (30.76%) Creator (10.27%)
Nerchio: Creator (42.34%) ToD (25.04%) TaeJa (10.58%)
ToD: Nerchio (74.96%) Creator (18.81%) Bogus ( 2.29%)
Creator: Nerchio (25.94%) TaeJa (19.48%) Bogus (11.69%)
TriMaster: Creator (91.05%) Nerchio ( 5.78%) ToD ( 1.52%)
Seed: Byun (20.17%) Shine (15.15%) Polt (14.25%)
daisuki: Seed (88.78%) Byun ( 5.09%) Shine ( 4.28%)
Byun: Shine (45.68%) Seed (28.14%) Symbol ( 6.98%)
Shine: Byun (54.32%) Seed (25.32%) Symbol ( 5.83%)
MC: Symbol (34.96%) CatZ (18.74%) Seed (11.96%)
CatZ: MC (81.26%) Symbol (12.47%) ret ( 2.39%)
Symbol: MC (28.54%) ret (21.76%) Polt (13.09%)
ret: Symbol (78.24%) MC (13.29%) Seed ( 2.86%)
MaSsan: luvsic (48.84%) HwangSin (42.04%) viOLet ( 4.47%)
HwangSin: luvsic (53.34%) Stephano (14.93%) viOLet (14.76%)
luvsic: HwangSin (46.66%) Stephano (16.66%) viOLet (16.49%)
Stephano: viOLet (45.59%) xigua ( 7.89%) luvsic ( 7.55%)
puCK: Stephano (95.14%) viOLet ( 4.62%) luvsic ( 0.13%)
viOLet: Stephano (49.56%) xigua ( 8.24%) luvsic ( 8.01%)
Leenock: Heart (21.72%) San (13.04%) Sen (12.60%)
Glon: Leenock (94.81%) Heart ( 3.34%) ViBE ( 0.99%)
Heart: Leenock (48.85%) ViBE (25.62%) Sen ( 6.97%)
ViBE: Heart (74.38%) Leenock (21.12%) Sen ( 1.62%)
Sen: Bomber (42.52%) Leenock (23.57%) San ( 9.44%)
Bomber: Sen (35.00%) goswser (22.49%) Leenock (17.97%)
goswser: Bomber (77.51%) Sen (16.65%) Leenock ( 3.48%)
Sniper: TheStC (23.15%) BBoongBBoo (14.33%) LucifroN (12.36%)
TheStC: BBoongBBoo (42.53%) Sniper (34.32%) LucifroN ( 5.66%)
BBoongBBoong: TheStC (57.47%) Sniper (28.20%) LucifroN ( 3.99%)
LucifroN: Scarlett (31.07%) Sniper (17.74%) sLivko (15.82%)
Shuttle: LucifroN (95.08%) Scarlett ( 2.90%) sLivko ( 1.77%)
Scarlett: sLivko (39.04%) LucifroN (26.87%) Sniper (11.69%)
sLivko: Scarlett (60.96%) LucifroN (21.32%) Sniper ( 7.31%)
Life: Ryung (25.16%) DongRaeGu (16.10%) HerO ( 9.84%)
Sasquatch: Life (95.24%) Ryung ( 3.22%) MajOr ( 1.01%)
Ryung: Life (43.49%) MajOr (27.88%) DongRaeGu ( 8.75%)
MajOr: Ryung (72.12%) Life (21.94%) DongRaeGu ( 2.28%)
DongRaeGu: HerO (24.29%) sculp (19.26%) Life (16.30%)
sculp: DongRaeGu (80.74%) HerO (10.06%) ByuL ( 3.81%)
HerO: ByuL (32.35%) DongRaeGu (30.37%) Life (12.50%)
ByuL: HerO (67.65%) DongRaeGu (18.84%) Life ( 5.11%)
Bly: Genius (55.51%) Vortix (11.55%) Snute (10.50%)
Genius: Bly (44.49%) Vortix (12.71%) Snute (12.70%)
Vortix: Naniwa (21.79%) drewbie (21.65%) Genius (14.23%)
drewbie: Vortix (78.35%) Naniwa (10.10%) Illusion ( 4.44%)
Naniwa: Illusion (35.05%) Vortix (29.17%) Genius (10.81%)
Illusion: Naniwa (64.95%) Vortix (19.64%) Genius ( 4.99%)
Squirtle: MMA (29.93%) HyuN (18.25%) Sleep (10.54%)
Perfect: Squirtle (93.62%) MMA ( 4.03%) HuK ( 1.70%)
MMA: Squirtle (34.82%) HuK (30.91%) HyuN (11.86%)
HuK: MMA (69.09%) Squirtle (20.90%) HyuN ( 4.50%)
HyuN: GanZi (18.61%) Sting (16.26%) Squirtle (15.85%)
Caliber: HyuN (96.16%) GanZi ( 1.84%) Sting ( 1.72%)
GanZi: Sting (48.15%) HyuN (31.29%) Squirtle ( 6.88%)
Sting: GanZi (51.85%) HyuN (30.01%) Squirtle ( 6.32%)
TaeJa: Creator (23.59%) Polt (12.59%) Bogus ( 8.74%)
Polt: TaeJa (17.19%) Seed (14.98%) Symbol (13.26%)
xigua: Stephano (28.00%) viOLet (27.48%) luvsic ( 9.68%)
San: Leenock (31.98%) Sen (12.15%) Bomber (12.09%)
Crank: Sniper (26.33%) LucifroN (14.05%) Scarlett (11.21%)
aLive: Life (27.22%) DongRaeGu (20.31%) HerO (11.93%)
Snute: Genius (20.55%) Vortix (14.12%) Bly (13.85%)
Sleep: HyuN (23.41%) Squirtle (18.65%) MMA ( 9.90%)
There's NO WAY Taeja is the favourite to win this.
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I think its mainly because he starts at winners round 4.
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United States97277 Posts
On November 27 2012 13:48 GolemMadness wrote:Show nested quote +On November 27 2012 02:38 TheBB wrote:Well, I went ahead and simulated this anyway. Since we have a bit of a lack of information, I made the following assumptions: - Bracket from here.
- GSL Ro4 player 1 is Bogus and player 2 is Sniper. The other two are byes (as Hyun and Ryung are already elsewhere in the bracket.)
- Bling replaced by Illusion, MKP replaced by San and Mvp replaced by Squirtle.
- JonnyRecco and Hendralisk replaced by no-one (they become byes).
- Best of 3 throughout (including the two finals).
- Standard reversed order every second round when filling in the losers' bracket to spread players around.
The validity of this simulation is pending verification of the above. Most likely winners: TaeJa: 12.52% Leenock: 10.57% Life: 7.89% Creator: 7.63% Polt: 5.92% DongRaeGu: 5.87% HyuN: 4.34% Stephano: 4.28% Sniper: 3.88% viOLet: 3.83% Squirtle: 2.82% San: 2.58% HerO: 2.51% Bomber: 2.03% Seed: 1.90% Sleep: 1.81% + Show Spoiler [Life expectancies] +
TaeJa: 7.60 rounds (top 6)
Polt: 6.90 rounds (top 8)
Leenock: 6.13 rounds (top 12)
San: 6.06 rounds (top 12)
Sleep: 5.96 rounds (top 12)
Snute: 5.87 rounds (top 12)
Life: 5.79 rounds (top 12)
aLive: 5.57 rounds (top 12)
Creator: 5.53 rounds (top 12)
Crank: 5.43 rounds (top 16)
xigua: 5.07 rounds (top 16)
Sniper: 4.97 rounds (top 16)
Stephano: 4.93 rounds (top 16)
DongRaeGu: 4.89 rounds (top 16)
HyuN: 4.89 rounds (top 16)
viOLet: 4.84 rounds (top 16)
Squirtle: 4.40 rounds (top 24)
Seed: 4.30 rounds (top 24)
Genius: 4.19 rounds (top 24)
Symbol: 4.17 rounds (top 24)
Bomber: 3.97 rounds (top 24)
Sen: 3.90 rounds (top 24)
HerO: 3.85 rounds (top 24)
Bogus: 3.77 rounds (top 24)
LucifroN: 3.73 rounds (top 24)
MC: 3.56 rounds (top 24)
Vortix: 3.52 rounds (top 24)
Bly: 3.46 rounds (top 32)
Scarlett: 3.41 rounds (top 32)
Nerchio: 3.39 rounds (top 32)
Ryung: 3.36 rounds (top 32)
MMA: 3.31 rounds (top 32)
luvsic: 3.08 rounds (top 32)
Byun: 2.88 rounds (top 32)
TheStC: 2.83 rounds (top 32)
Heart: 2.80 rounds (top 32)
HwangSin: 2.74 rounds (top 32)
Naniwa: 2.54 rounds (top 32)
GanZi: 2.50 rounds (top 32)
YoDa: 2.47 rounds (top 40)
Shine: 2.45 rounds (top 40)
Sting: 2.33 rounds (top 40)
sLivko: 2.25 rounds (top 40)
Golden: 2.23 rounds (top 40)
BBoongBBoong: 2.21 rounds (top 40)
ByuL: 1.86 rounds (top 40)
HuK: 1.61 rounds (top 40)
goswser: 1.59 rounds (top 40)
ret: 1.50 rounds (top 40)
MajOr: 1.46 rounds (top 56)
Illusion: 1.31 rounds (top 56)
MaSsan: 1.26 rounds (top 56)
ToD: 1.24 rounds (top 56)
ViBE: 1.18 rounds (top 56)
puCK: 1.12 rounds (top 56)
sculp: 1.03 rounds (top 56)
CatZ: 1.00 rounds (top 56)
drewbie: 0.83 rounds (top 56)
TriMaster: 0.49 rounds (top 72)
daisuki: 0.39 rounds (top 72)
Glon: 0.35 rounds (top 72)
Sasquatch: 0.27 rounds (top 72)
Perfect: 0.23 rounds (top 72)
Shuttle: 0.12 rounds (top 72)
Caliber: 0.12 rounds (top 72)
Top 72 Top 56 Top 40 Top 32 Top 24 Top 16 Top 12 Top 8 Top 6 Top 4 Top 3 Top 2 Win
Bogus: 17.34% 11.94% 23.13% 19.27% 9.28% 7.77% 3.75% 2.96% 1.51% 1.20% 1.04% 0.81%
Golden: 45.16% 20.56% 17.14% 9.32% 3.59% 2.25% 0.89% 0.54% 0.21% 0.15% 0.11% 0.08%
YoDa: 39.93% 19.71% 18.16% 11.25% 4.78% 3.12% 1.26% 0.79% 0.37% 0.28% 0.22% 0.14%
Nerchio: 4.63% 21.88% 16.71% 17.14% 15.26% 7.21% 5.65% 3.57% 2.66% 1.56% 1.18% 1.29% 1.27%
ToD: 28.36% 41.32% 16.56% 8.50% 3.44% 0.97% 0.53% 0.17% 0.08% 0.02% 0.03% 0.02% 0.00%
Creator: 1.99% 8.89% 8.29% 12.40% 15.03% 9.76% 8.98% 7.36% 6.32% 4.32% 3.89% 5.14% 7.63%
TriMaster: 65.01% 25.41% 6.30% 2.51% 0.60% 0.11% 0.04% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Seed: 4.48% 10.69% 12.61% 15.39% 16.09% 12.68% 9.65% 5.63% 4.32% 2.47% 2.06% 2.04% 1.90%
daisuki: 74.03% 17.53% 5.15% 2.55% 0.58% 0.11% 0.04% 0.00% 0.01%
Byun: 9.24% 22.66% 18.03% 17.76% 12.67% 8.07% 5.28% 2.33% 1.73% 0.81% 0.58% 0.49% 0.35%
Shine: 12.25% 26.36% 18.86% 17.97% 10.96% 6.22% 3.71% 1.52% 1.02% 0.49% 0.27% 0.24% 0.14%
MC: 5.93% 17.74% 14.10% 16.76% 15.85% 10.41% 7.54% 4.15% 2.94% 1.55% 1.13% 1.05% 0.84%
CatZ: 52.56% 11.41% 23.52% 9.32% 2.27% 0.66% 0.21% 0.02% 0.02% 0.00%
Symbol: 4.61% 12.37% 12.72% 15.59% 15.89% 12.03% 9.37% 5.41% 4.14% 2.44% 1.82% 1.88% 1.73%
ret: 36.90% 10.52% 29.68% 15.25% 4.86% 1.79% 0.72% 0.18% 0.07% 0.01% 0.01% 0.01%
MaSsan: 84.17% 6.31% 8.69% 0.73% 0.04% 0.06% 0.00%
HwangSin: 37.73% 11.99% 23.99% 11.69% 4.79% 5.00% 1.82% 1.50% 0.59% 0.53% 0.26% 0.12%
luvsic: 31.41% 10.90% 25.01% 13.22% 5.96% 6.49% 2.36% 2.29% 0.86% 0.71% 0.51% 0.27%
Stephano: 13.42% 13.11% 17.25% 10.25% 7.61% 9.47% 6.26% 6.59% 4.17% 3.57% 4.02% 4.28%
puCK: 89.48% 9.37% 0.98% 0.15% 0.01% 0.01%
viOLet: 13.13% 13.24% 18.30% 10.60% 7.61% 9.60% 6.14% 6.57% 3.75% 3.64% 3.60% 3.83%
Leenock: 0.87% 7.94% 6.63% 12.27% 11.22% 10.21% 9.06% 7.08% 7.30% 5.38% 5.00% 6.46% 10.57%
Glon: 72.10% 23.02% 3.42% 1.24% 0.17% 0.02% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Heart: 3.75% 32.05% 19.32% 16.81% 10.70% 6.14% 4.11% 2.33% 1.93% 0.91% 0.77% 0.69% 0.49%
ViBE: 23.28% 50.62% 15.73% 7.25% 2.03% 0.61% 0.29% 0.08% 0.07% 0.02% 0.01% 0.00%
Sen: 19.61% 13.04% 21.05% 14.82% 9.32% 7.32% 4.15% 3.73% 2.01% 1.72% 1.75% 1.48%
Bomber: 21.64% 13.95% 18.05% 13.18% 9.26% 7.01% 4.28% 4.06% 2.33% 2.04% 2.15% 2.03%
goswser: 65.36% 18.86% 10.88% 2.91% 1.14% 0.55% 0.13% 0.12% 0.03% 0.02% 0.01% 0.00%
Sniper: 10.98% 9.98% 19.06% 13.96% 8.79% 10.34% 5.97% 6.12% 3.32% 3.60% 4.01% 3.88%
TheStC: 35.30% 20.20% 17.94% 9.96% 5.01% 4.53% 2.18% 1.82% 0.88% 0.95% 0.76% 0.47%
BBoongBBoong: 47.12% 21.50% 15.59% 7.38% 3.17% 2.43% 1.01% 0.83% 0.28% 0.31% 0.26% 0.13%
LucifroN: 2.32% 15.18% 16.43% 23.79% 14.16% 7.44% 7.74% 3.59% 3.45% 1.63% 1.78% 1.48% 1.00%
Shuttle: 89.55% 9.15% 0.98% 0.31% 0.02%
Scarlett: 2.49% 23.54% 17.99% 19.28% 11.88% 6.74% 6.04% 3.39% 2.97% 1.48% 1.58% 1.43% 1.19%
sLivko: 5.64% 38.51% 21.97% 16.47% 7.89% 3.43% 2.93% 1.19% 0.90% 0.33% 0.35% 0.25% 0.13%
Life: 1.13% 3.30% 10.57% 16.21% 11.99% 11.05% 9.81% 6.72% 6.57% 4.13% 4.60% 6.03% 7.89%
Sasquatch: 78.41% 17.47% 3.13% 0.84% 0.11% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Ryung: 3.15% 17.64% 23.75% 19.83% 11.47% 8.11% 5.65% 3.07% 2.63% 1.25% 1.35% 1.21% 0.88%
MajOr: 17.31% 45.55% 20.92% 10.52% 3.32% 1.36% 0.64% 0.17% 0.12% 0.03% 0.04% 0.02% 0.00%
DongRaeGu: 6.60% 8.79% 12.55% 15.51% 10.08% 9.75% 8.24% 5.65% 5.51% 3.36% 3.49% 4.61% 5.87%
sculp: 53.68% 12.47% 19.55% 9.54% 2.50% 1.29% 0.54% 0.17% 0.16% 0.03% 0.04% 0.03% 0.01%
HerO: 9.52% 11.28% 18.27% 17.42% 10.45% 9.00% 6.70% 4.33% 3.79% 2.15% 2.19% 2.39% 2.51%
ByuL: 30.21% 14.15% 26.34% 15.91% 5.37% 3.58% 2.00% 0.93% 0.71% 0.25% 0.25% 0.21% 0.10%
Bly: 27.81% 13.54% 17.82% 15.30% 7.06% 7.30% 2.95% 3.38% 1.35% 1.62% 1.19% 0.68%
Genius: 20.14% 10.54% 16.50% 16.89% 8.50% 9.24% 4.28% 5.04% 2.24% 2.57% 2.45% 1.60%
Vortix: 7.24% 20.58% 9.48% 19.52% 15.48% 7.67% 7.85% 3.17% 3.61% 1.53% 1.63% 1.39% 0.86%
drewbie: 49.81% 32.69% 7.61% 6.55% 2.33% 0.49% 0.39% 0.05% 0.08% 0.01% 0.01% 0.00%
Naniwa: 12.00% 30.56% 12.32% 18.41% 12.04% 5.01% 4.60% 1.48% 1.68% 0.60% 0.70% 0.39% 0.20%
Illusion: 30.94% 38.94% 11.83% 10.63% 4.72% 1.33% 0.98% 0.21% 0.25% 0.08% 0.06% 0.03% 0.00%
Squirtle: 2.24% 13.13% 11.88% 19.60% 16.68% 7.60% 8.20% 4.31% 4.88% 2.64% 2.95% 3.08% 2.82%
Perfect: 80.93% 16.22% 1.99% 0.78% 0.07% 0.01% 0.00%
MMA: 3.20% 25.44% 16.71% 18.35% 13.89% 5.76% 5.43% 2.72% 2.96% 1.37% 1.61% 1.47% 1.08%
HuK: 13.63% 47.72% 18.20% 12.22% 5.07% 1.32% 0.95% 0.31% 0.30% 0.09% 0.10% 0.06% 0.02%
HyuN: 1.37% 12.54% 9.72% 17.22% 15.92% 7.82% 8.83% 4.90% 5.89% 3.21% 3.81% 4.42% 4.34%
Caliber: 89.27% 9.75% 0.65% 0.30% 0.02%
GanZi: 4.36% 36.56% 19.97% 16.68% 10.38% 3.80% 3.26% 1.33% 1.48% 0.63% 0.65% 0.56% 0.34%
Sting: 4.99% 38.72% 20.81% 15.85% 9.66% 3.35% 2.72% 1.18% 1.17% 0.42% 0.51% 0.39% 0.22%
TaeJa: 17.62% 10.47% 13.65% 10.62% 11.43% 7.13% 7.34% 9.21% 12.52%
Polt: 19.30% 14.58% 18.37% 11.92% 11.48% 6.52% 5.94% 5.97% 5.92%
xigua: 54.81% 12.70% 18.35% 5.32% 5.30% 1.47% 1.22% 0.61% 0.24%
San: 34.21% 15.81% 17.24% 8.26% 10.14% 4.30% 4.05% 3.40% 2.58%
Crank: 45.51% 13.64% 20.72% 6.71% 6.75% 2.02% 2.52% 1.54% 0.59%
aLive: 43.26% 16.39% 17.13% 6.65% 7.42% 2.43% 3.38% 2.25% 1.10%
Snute: 34.78% 13.66% 23.85% 7.49% 9.64% 3.25% 3.75% 2.53% 1.05%
Sleep: 36.51% 13.90% 19.52% 6.87% 9.79% 3.77% 4.44% 3.40% 1.81% Bogus: Sting (11.19%) GanZi (11.16%) HyuN ( 8.74%)
Golden: GanZi (17.34%) Sting (16.89%) HyuN (16.74%)
YoDa: GanZi (16.24%) Sting (15.50%) HyuN (15.25%)
Nerchio: MMA (12.46%) Squirtle ( 9.93%) HuK ( 8.57%)
ToD: TriMaster (22.80%) MMA (16.41%) Squirtle (15.20%)
Creator: MMA ( 7.50%) Squirtle ( 7.28%) HyuN ( 7.27%)
TriMaster: ToD (45.53%) Nerchio (19.80%) MMA ( 9.41%)
Seed: Vortix ( 7.46%) Genius ( 7.22%) Symbol ( 6.70%)
daisuki: Shine (40.00%) Byun (34.45%) Naniwa ( 5.69%)
Byun: Vortix (10.46%) Naniwa ( 9.83%) Symbol ( 8.42%)
Shine: Vortix (11.25%) Naniwa (10.69%) Symbol ( 8.64%)
MC: Genius (12.60%) Bly (12.09%) Symbol ( 7.82%)
CatZ: ret (37.80%) Symbol (17.05%) Shine ( 6.94%)
Symbol: Genius ( 9.76%) Bly ( 9.52%) Seed ( 6.57%)
ret: CatZ (26.07%) MC (13.82%) Byun ( 9.30%)
MaSsan: ByuL (31.87%) sculp (21.81%) HerO (21.36%)
HwangSin: DongRaeGu (18.77%) HerO (17.97%) Life (10.62%)
luvsic: DongRaeGu (17.09%) HerO (16.58%) Life (11.18%)
Stephano: Life (10.73%) DongRaeGu ( 9.80%) Ryung ( 9.66%)
puCK: Ryung (39.95%) Life (27.48%) MajOr (19.60%)
viOLet: Life (10.20%) DongRaeGu (10.08%) HerO ( 9.33%)
Leenock: Scarlett ( 7.02%) Sniper ( 7.01%) Life ( 5.08%)
Glon: ViBE (50.64%) Heart (21.56%) LucifroN ( 9.76%)
Heart: Scarlett (15.80%) sLivko (14.52%) LucifroN ( 9.84%)
ViBE: Glon (19.94%) LucifroN (18.86%) Scarlett (17.40%)
Sen: TheStC (12.63%) BBoongBBoo (12.11%) Sniper ( 7.58%)
Bomber: TheStC (11.56%) Sniper (10.37%) BBoongBBoo ( 9.89%)
goswser: TheStC (23.79%) Sniper (23.54%) BBoongBBoo (19.99%)
Sniper: Bomber (10.68%) Leenock (10.48%) goswser ( 7.02%)
TheStC: Bomber (17.77%) Sen (15.34%) goswser (10.53%)
BBoongBBoong: Bomber (20.53%) Sen (20.51%) goswser (11.99%)
LucifroN: Leenock (10.92%) Heart ( 9.89%) Bomber ( 9.35%)
Shuttle: sLivko (54.03%) Scarlett (35.56%) Heart ( 3.69%)
Scarlett: Heart (13.88%) Leenock (13.23%) Bomber ( 8.28%)
sLivko: Heart (20.28%) Leenock (15.14%) Bomber ( 7.86%)
Life: Stephano ( 8.50%) viOLet ( 7.49%) DongRaeGu ( 7.48%)
Sasquatch: MajOr (54.17%) Ryung (24.34%) viOLet ( 8.00%)
Ryung: Stephano (13.14%) viOLet (12.45%) DongRaeGu ( 9.75%)
MajOr: viOLet (22.56%) Stephano (21.88%) Sasquatch (14.48%)
DongRaeGu: Stephano ( 7.99%) Life ( 7.58%) viOLet ( 7.45%)
sculp: ByuL (34.02%) HerO (21.42%) viOLet ( 7.19%)
HerO: Stephano ( 8.91%) viOLet ( 8.79%) Life ( 8.25%)
ByuL: sculp (21.18%) DongRaeGu (12.57%) viOLet (10.30%)
Bly: MC (16.34%) Symbol (15.19%) Seed ( 9.81%)
Genius: MC (13.64%) Symbol (13.12%) Seed ( 9.67%)
Vortix: Byun (11.39%) Seed (11.19%) Shine (10.24%)
drewbie: Illusion (30.09%) Naniwa (20.22%) Byun (11.51%)
Naniwa: Byun (14.04%) Shine (13.03%) Seed (12.49%)
Illusion: drewbie (21.04%) Byun (14.42%) Shine (13.71%)
Squirtle: Creator (11.75%) Nerchio (10.03%) TaeJa ( 7.25%)
Perfect: HuK (54.23%) MMA (26.80%) Nerchio ( 6.34%)
MMA: Nerchio (14.53%) Creator (14.11%) Bogus ( 6.72%)
HuK: Nerchio (21.86%) Creator (17.05%) Perfect (10.55%)
HyuN: Creator (10.58%) YoDa ( 8.25%) Golden ( 7.83%)
Caliber: Sting (46.21%) GanZi (43.09%) Golden ( 3.60%)
GanZi: YoDa (14.88%) Golden (14.27%) Bogus (13.92%)
Sting: YoDa (15.66%) Golden (14.68%) Bogus (14.32%)
TaeJa: HyuN ( 6.43%) Creator ( 5.49%) Polt ( 5.16%)
Polt: TaeJa ( 6.92%) Creator ( 6.52%) Genius ( 5.88%)
xigua: Life (13.58%) DongRaeGu (12.88%) HerO (10.50%)
San: Sniper ( 8.24%) Scarlett ( 6.42%) Life ( 6.41%)
Crank: Leenock (13.78%) Bomber (10.33%) Sen ( 8.69%)
aLive: Life ( 8.28%) DongRaeGu ( 7.29%) Stephano ( 6.76%)
Snute: Symbol (10.25%) Seed ( 9.24%) MC ( 7.40%)
Sleep: Creator (11.02%) Bogus ( 7.82%) TaeJa ( 6.63%) Bogus: Creator (24.12%) YoDa (23.13%) Golden (18.28%)
Golden: YoDa (53.90%) Bogus (27.82%) Creator ( 8.43%)
YoDa: Golden (46.10%) Bogus (30.76%) Creator (10.27%)
Nerchio: Creator (42.34%) ToD (25.04%) TaeJa (10.58%)
ToD: Nerchio (74.96%) Creator (18.81%) Bogus ( 2.29%)
Creator: Nerchio (25.94%) TaeJa (19.48%) Bogus (11.69%)
TriMaster: Creator (91.05%) Nerchio ( 5.78%) ToD ( 1.52%)
Seed: Byun (20.17%) Shine (15.15%) Polt (14.25%)
daisuki: Seed (88.78%) Byun ( 5.09%) Shine ( 4.28%)
Byun: Shine (45.68%) Seed (28.14%) Symbol ( 6.98%)
Shine: Byun (54.32%) Seed (25.32%) Symbol ( 5.83%)
MC: Symbol (34.96%) CatZ (18.74%) Seed (11.96%)
CatZ: MC (81.26%) Symbol (12.47%) ret ( 2.39%)
Symbol: MC (28.54%) ret (21.76%) Polt (13.09%)
ret: Symbol (78.24%) MC (13.29%) Seed ( 2.86%)
MaSsan: luvsic (48.84%) HwangSin (42.04%) viOLet ( 4.47%)
HwangSin: luvsic (53.34%) Stephano (14.93%) viOLet (14.76%)
luvsic: HwangSin (46.66%) Stephano (16.66%) viOLet (16.49%)
Stephano: viOLet (45.59%) xigua ( 7.89%) luvsic ( 7.55%)
puCK: Stephano (95.14%) viOLet ( 4.62%) luvsic ( 0.13%)
viOLet: Stephano (49.56%) xigua ( 8.24%) luvsic ( 8.01%)
Leenock: Heart (21.72%) San (13.04%) Sen (12.60%)
Glon: Leenock (94.81%) Heart ( 3.34%) ViBE ( 0.99%)
Heart: Leenock (48.85%) ViBE (25.62%) Sen ( 6.97%)
ViBE: Heart (74.38%) Leenock (21.12%) Sen ( 1.62%)
Sen: Bomber (42.52%) Leenock (23.57%) San ( 9.44%)
Bomber: Sen (35.00%) goswser (22.49%) Leenock (17.97%)
goswser: Bomber (77.51%) Sen (16.65%) Leenock ( 3.48%)
Sniper: TheStC (23.15%) BBoongBBoo (14.33%) LucifroN (12.36%)
TheStC: BBoongBBoo (42.53%) Sniper (34.32%) LucifroN ( 5.66%)
BBoongBBoong: TheStC (57.47%) Sniper (28.20%) LucifroN ( 3.99%)
LucifroN: Scarlett (31.07%) Sniper (17.74%) sLivko (15.82%)
Shuttle: LucifroN (95.08%) Scarlett ( 2.90%) sLivko ( 1.77%)
Scarlett: sLivko (39.04%) LucifroN (26.87%) Sniper (11.69%)
sLivko: Scarlett (60.96%) LucifroN (21.32%) Sniper ( 7.31%)
Life: Ryung (25.16%) DongRaeGu (16.10%) HerO ( 9.84%)
Sasquatch: Life (95.24%) Ryung ( 3.22%) MajOr ( 1.01%)
Ryung: Life (43.49%) MajOr (27.88%) DongRaeGu ( 8.75%)
MajOr: Ryung (72.12%) Life (21.94%) DongRaeGu ( 2.28%)
DongRaeGu: HerO (24.29%) sculp (19.26%) Life (16.30%)
sculp: DongRaeGu (80.74%) HerO (10.06%) ByuL ( 3.81%)
HerO: ByuL (32.35%) DongRaeGu (30.37%) Life (12.50%)
ByuL: HerO (67.65%) DongRaeGu (18.84%) Life ( 5.11%)
Bly: Genius (55.51%) Vortix (11.55%) Snute (10.50%)
Genius: Bly (44.49%) Vortix (12.71%) Snute (12.70%)
Vortix: Naniwa (21.79%) drewbie (21.65%) Genius (14.23%)
drewbie: Vortix (78.35%) Naniwa (10.10%) Illusion ( 4.44%)
Naniwa: Illusion (35.05%) Vortix (29.17%) Genius (10.81%)
Illusion: Naniwa (64.95%) Vortix (19.64%) Genius ( 4.99%)
Squirtle: MMA (29.93%) HyuN (18.25%) Sleep (10.54%)
Perfect: Squirtle (93.62%) MMA ( 4.03%) HuK ( 1.70%)
MMA: Squirtle (34.82%) HuK (30.91%) HyuN (11.86%)
HuK: MMA (69.09%) Squirtle (20.90%) HyuN ( 4.50%)
HyuN: GanZi (18.61%) Sting (16.26%) Squirtle (15.85%)
Caliber: HyuN (96.16%) GanZi ( 1.84%) Sting ( 1.72%)
GanZi: Sting (48.15%) HyuN (31.29%) Squirtle ( 6.88%)
Sting: GanZi (51.85%) HyuN (30.01%) Squirtle ( 6.32%)
TaeJa: Creator (23.59%) Polt (12.59%) Bogus ( 8.74%)
Polt: TaeJa (17.19%) Seed (14.98%) Symbol (13.26%)
xigua: Stephano (28.00%) viOLet (27.48%) luvsic ( 9.68%)
San: Leenock (31.98%) Sen (12.15%) Bomber (12.09%)
Crank: Sniper (26.33%) LucifroN (14.05%) Scarlett (11.21%)
aLive: Life (27.22%) DongRaeGu (20.31%) HerO (11.93%)
Snute: Genius (20.55%) Vortix (14.12%) Bly (13.85%)
Sleep: HyuN (23.41%) Squirtle (18.65%) MMA ( 9.90%) There's NO WAY Taeja is the favourite to win this.
It's because he's the highest rated player that starts in WR4
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any word from IPL about ret suspended for this? is he gonna get replace or just a bye?
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I see almost every big name here except Jjakji, MKP, Parting, MVP and Nestea (wrrryyyy D: ). Missing the Kespa players too, but that's to be expected. Damn o.0
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On November 27 2012 13:52 Shellshock1122 wrote:Show nested quote +On November 27 2012 13:48 GolemMadness wrote:On November 27 2012 02:38 TheBB wrote:Well, I went ahead and simulated this anyway. Since we have a bit of a lack of information, I made the following assumptions: - Bracket from here.
- GSL Ro4 player 1 is Bogus and player 2 is Sniper. The other two are byes (as Hyun and Ryung are already elsewhere in the bracket.)
- Bling replaced by Illusion, MKP replaced by San and Mvp replaced by Squirtle.
- JonnyRecco and Hendralisk replaced by no-one (they become byes).
- Best of 3 throughout (including the two finals).
- Standard reversed order every second round when filling in the losers' bracket to spread players around.
The validity of this simulation is pending verification of the above. Most likely winners: TaeJa: 12.52% Leenock: 10.57% Life: 7.89% Creator: 7.63% Polt: 5.92% DongRaeGu: 5.87% HyuN: 4.34% Stephano: 4.28% Sniper: 3.88% viOLet: 3.83% Squirtle: 2.82% San: 2.58% HerO: 2.51% Bomber: 2.03% Seed: 1.90% Sleep: 1.81% + Show Spoiler [Life expectancies] +
TaeJa: 7.60 rounds (top 6)
Polt: 6.90 rounds (top 8)
Leenock: 6.13 rounds (top 12)
San: 6.06 rounds (top 12)
Sleep: 5.96 rounds (top 12)
Snute: 5.87 rounds (top 12)
Life: 5.79 rounds (top 12)
aLive: 5.57 rounds (top 12)
Creator: 5.53 rounds (top 12)
Crank: 5.43 rounds (top 16)
xigua: 5.07 rounds (top 16)
Sniper: 4.97 rounds (top 16)
Stephano: 4.93 rounds (top 16)
DongRaeGu: 4.89 rounds (top 16)
HyuN: 4.89 rounds (top 16)
viOLet: 4.84 rounds (top 16)
Squirtle: 4.40 rounds (top 24)
Seed: 4.30 rounds (top 24)
Genius: 4.19 rounds (top 24)
Symbol: 4.17 rounds (top 24)
Bomber: 3.97 rounds (top 24)
Sen: 3.90 rounds (top 24)
HerO: 3.85 rounds (top 24)
Bogus: 3.77 rounds (top 24)
LucifroN: 3.73 rounds (top 24)
MC: 3.56 rounds (top 24)
Vortix: 3.52 rounds (top 24)
Bly: 3.46 rounds (top 32)
Scarlett: 3.41 rounds (top 32)
Nerchio: 3.39 rounds (top 32)
Ryung: 3.36 rounds (top 32)
MMA: 3.31 rounds (top 32)
luvsic: 3.08 rounds (top 32)
Byun: 2.88 rounds (top 32)
TheStC: 2.83 rounds (top 32)
Heart: 2.80 rounds (top 32)
HwangSin: 2.74 rounds (top 32)
Naniwa: 2.54 rounds (top 32)
GanZi: 2.50 rounds (top 32)
YoDa: 2.47 rounds (top 40)
Shine: 2.45 rounds (top 40)
Sting: 2.33 rounds (top 40)
sLivko: 2.25 rounds (top 40)
Golden: 2.23 rounds (top 40)
BBoongBBoong: 2.21 rounds (top 40)
ByuL: 1.86 rounds (top 40)
HuK: 1.61 rounds (top 40)
goswser: 1.59 rounds (top 40)
ret: 1.50 rounds (top 40)
MajOr: 1.46 rounds (top 56)
Illusion: 1.31 rounds (top 56)
MaSsan: 1.26 rounds (top 56)
ToD: 1.24 rounds (top 56)
ViBE: 1.18 rounds (top 56)
puCK: 1.12 rounds (top 56)
sculp: 1.03 rounds (top 56)
CatZ: 1.00 rounds (top 56)
drewbie: 0.83 rounds (top 56)
TriMaster: 0.49 rounds (top 72)
daisuki: 0.39 rounds (top 72)
Glon: 0.35 rounds (top 72)
Sasquatch: 0.27 rounds (top 72)
Perfect: 0.23 rounds (top 72)
Shuttle: 0.12 rounds (top 72)
Caliber: 0.12 rounds (top 72)
Top 72 Top 56 Top 40 Top 32 Top 24 Top 16 Top 12 Top 8 Top 6 Top 4 Top 3 Top 2 Win
Bogus: 17.34% 11.94% 23.13% 19.27% 9.28% 7.77% 3.75% 2.96% 1.51% 1.20% 1.04% 0.81%
Golden: 45.16% 20.56% 17.14% 9.32% 3.59% 2.25% 0.89% 0.54% 0.21% 0.15% 0.11% 0.08%
YoDa: 39.93% 19.71% 18.16% 11.25% 4.78% 3.12% 1.26% 0.79% 0.37% 0.28% 0.22% 0.14%
Nerchio: 4.63% 21.88% 16.71% 17.14% 15.26% 7.21% 5.65% 3.57% 2.66% 1.56% 1.18% 1.29% 1.27%
ToD: 28.36% 41.32% 16.56% 8.50% 3.44% 0.97% 0.53% 0.17% 0.08% 0.02% 0.03% 0.02% 0.00%
Creator: 1.99% 8.89% 8.29% 12.40% 15.03% 9.76% 8.98% 7.36% 6.32% 4.32% 3.89% 5.14% 7.63%
TriMaster: 65.01% 25.41% 6.30% 2.51% 0.60% 0.11% 0.04% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Seed: 4.48% 10.69% 12.61% 15.39% 16.09% 12.68% 9.65% 5.63% 4.32% 2.47% 2.06% 2.04% 1.90%
daisuki: 74.03% 17.53% 5.15% 2.55% 0.58% 0.11% 0.04% 0.00% 0.01%
Byun: 9.24% 22.66% 18.03% 17.76% 12.67% 8.07% 5.28% 2.33% 1.73% 0.81% 0.58% 0.49% 0.35%
Shine: 12.25% 26.36% 18.86% 17.97% 10.96% 6.22% 3.71% 1.52% 1.02% 0.49% 0.27% 0.24% 0.14%
MC: 5.93% 17.74% 14.10% 16.76% 15.85% 10.41% 7.54% 4.15% 2.94% 1.55% 1.13% 1.05% 0.84%
CatZ: 52.56% 11.41% 23.52% 9.32% 2.27% 0.66% 0.21% 0.02% 0.02% 0.00%
Symbol: 4.61% 12.37% 12.72% 15.59% 15.89% 12.03% 9.37% 5.41% 4.14% 2.44% 1.82% 1.88% 1.73%
ret: 36.90% 10.52% 29.68% 15.25% 4.86% 1.79% 0.72% 0.18% 0.07% 0.01% 0.01% 0.01%
MaSsan: 84.17% 6.31% 8.69% 0.73% 0.04% 0.06% 0.00%
HwangSin: 37.73% 11.99% 23.99% 11.69% 4.79% 5.00% 1.82% 1.50% 0.59% 0.53% 0.26% 0.12%
luvsic: 31.41% 10.90% 25.01% 13.22% 5.96% 6.49% 2.36% 2.29% 0.86% 0.71% 0.51% 0.27%
Stephano: 13.42% 13.11% 17.25% 10.25% 7.61% 9.47% 6.26% 6.59% 4.17% 3.57% 4.02% 4.28%
puCK: 89.48% 9.37% 0.98% 0.15% 0.01% 0.01%
viOLet: 13.13% 13.24% 18.30% 10.60% 7.61% 9.60% 6.14% 6.57% 3.75% 3.64% 3.60% 3.83%
Leenock: 0.87% 7.94% 6.63% 12.27% 11.22% 10.21% 9.06% 7.08% 7.30% 5.38% 5.00% 6.46% 10.57%
Glon: 72.10% 23.02% 3.42% 1.24% 0.17% 0.02% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Heart: 3.75% 32.05% 19.32% 16.81% 10.70% 6.14% 4.11% 2.33% 1.93% 0.91% 0.77% 0.69% 0.49%
ViBE: 23.28% 50.62% 15.73% 7.25% 2.03% 0.61% 0.29% 0.08% 0.07% 0.02% 0.01% 0.00%
Sen: 19.61% 13.04% 21.05% 14.82% 9.32% 7.32% 4.15% 3.73% 2.01% 1.72% 1.75% 1.48%
Bomber: 21.64% 13.95% 18.05% 13.18% 9.26% 7.01% 4.28% 4.06% 2.33% 2.04% 2.15% 2.03%
goswser: 65.36% 18.86% 10.88% 2.91% 1.14% 0.55% 0.13% 0.12% 0.03% 0.02% 0.01% 0.00%
Sniper: 10.98% 9.98% 19.06% 13.96% 8.79% 10.34% 5.97% 6.12% 3.32% 3.60% 4.01% 3.88%
TheStC: 35.30% 20.20% 17.94% 9.96% 5.01% 4.53% 2.18% 1.82% 0.88% 0.95% 0.76% 0.47%
BBoongBBoong: 47.12% 21.50% 15.59% 7.38% 3.17% 2.43% 1.01% 0.83% 0.28% 0.31% 0.26% 0.13%
LucifroN: 2.32% 15.18% 16.43% 23.79% 14.16% 7.44% 7.74% 3.59% 3.45% 1.63% 1.78% 1.48% 1.00%
Shuttle: 89.55% 9.15% 0.98% 0.31% 0.02%
Scarlett: 2.49% 23.54% 17.99% 19.28% 11.88% 6.74% 6.04% 3.39% 2.97% 1.48% 1.58% 1.43% 1.19%
sLivko: 5.64% 38.51% 21.97% 16.47% 7.89% 3.43% 2.93% 1.19% 0.90% 0.33% 0.35% 0.25% 0.13%
Life: 1.13% 3.30% 10.57% 16.21% 11.99% 11.05% 9.81% 6.72% 6.57% 4.13% 4.60% 6.03% 7.89%
Sasquatch: 78.41% 17.47% 3.13% 0.84% 0.11% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Ryung: 3.15% 17.64% 23.75% 19.83% 11.47% 8.11% 5.65% 3.07% 2.63% 1.25% 1.35% 1.21% 0.88%
MajOr: 17.31% 45.55% 20.92% 10.52% 3.32% 1.36% 0.64% 0.17% 0.12% 0.03% 0.04% 0.02% 0.00%
DongRaeGu: 6.60% 8.79% 12.55% 15.51% 10.08% 9.75% 8.24% 5.65% 5.51% 3.36% 3.49% 4.61% 5.87%
sculp: 53.68% 12.47% 19.55% 9.54% 2.50% 1.29% 0.54% 0.17% 0.16% 0.03% 0.04% 0.03% 0.01%
HerO: 9.52% 11.28% 18.27% 17.42% 10.45% 9.00% 6.70% 4.33% 3.79% 2.15% 2.19% 2.39% 2.51%
ByuL: 30.21% 14.15% 26.34% 15.91% 5.37% 3.58% 2.00% 0.93% 0.71% 0.25% 0.25% 0.21% 0.10%
Bly: 27.81% 13.54% 17.82% 15.30% 7.06% 7.30% 2.95% 3.38% 1.35% 1.62% 1.19% 0.68%
Genius: 20.14% 10.54% 16.50% 16.89% 8.50% 9.24% 4.28% 5.04% 2.24% 2.57% 2.45% 1.60%
Vortix: 7.24% 20.58% 9.48% 19.52% 15.48% 7.67% 7.85% 3.17% 3.61% 1.53% 1.63% 1.39% 0.86%
drewbie: 49.81% 32.69% 7.61% 6.55% 2.33% 0.49% 0.39% 0.05% 0.08% 0.01% 0.01% 0.00%
Naniwa: 12.00% 30.56% 12.32% 18.41% 12.04% 5.01% 4.60% 1.48% 1.68% 0.60% 0.70% 0.39% 0.20%
Illusion: 30.94% 38.94% 11.83% 10.63% 4.72% 1.33% 0.98% 0.21% 0.25% 0.08% 0.06% 0.03% 0.00%
Squirtle: 2.24% 13.13% 11.88% 19.60% 16.68% 7.60% 8.20% 4.31% 4.88% 2.64% 2.95% 3.08% 2.82%
Perfect: 80.93% 16.22% 1.99% 0.78% 0.07% 0.01% 0.00%
MMA: 3.20% 25.44% 16.71% 18.35% 13.89% 5.76% 5.43% 2.72% 2.96% 1.37% 1.61% 1.47% 1.08%
HuK: 13.63% 47.72% 18.20% 12.22% 5.07% 1.32% 0.95% 0.31% 0.30% 0.09% 0.10% 0.06% 0.02%
HyuN: 1.37% 12.54% 9.72% 17.22% 15.92% 7.82% 8.83% 4.90% 5.89% 3.21% 3.81% 4.42% 4.34%
Caliber: 89.27% 9.75% 0.65% 0.30% 0.02%
GanZi: 4.36% 36.56% 19.97% 16.68% 10.38% 3.80% 3.26% 1.33% 1.48% 0.63% 0.65% 0.56% 0.34%
Sting: 4.99% 38.72% 20.81% 15.85% 9.66% 3.35% 2.72% 1.18% 1.17% 0.42% 0.51% 0.39% 0.22%
TaeJa: 17.62% 10.47% 13.65% 10.62% 11.43% 7.13% 7.34% 9.21% 12.52%
Polt: 19.30% 14.58% 18.37% 11.92% 11.48% 6.52% 5.94% 5.97% 5.92%
xigua: 54.81% 12.70% 18.35% 5.32% 5.30% 1.47% 1.22% 0.61% 0.24%
San: 34.21% 15.81% 17.24% 8.26% 10.14% 4.30% 4.05% 3.40% 2.58%
Crank: 45.51% 13.64% 20.72% 6.71% 6.75% 2.02% 2.52% 1.54% 0.59%
aLive: 43.26% 16.39% 17.13% 6.65% 7.42% 2.43% 3.38% 2.25% 1.10%
Snute: 34.78% 13.66% 23.85% 7.49% 9.64% 3.25% 3.75% 2.53% 1.05%
Sleep: 36.51% 13.90% 19.52% 6.87% 9.79% 3.77% 4.44% 3.40% 1.81% Bogus: Sting (11.19%) GanZi (11.16%) HyuN ( 8.74%)
Golden: GanZi (17.34%) Sting (16.89%) HyuN (16.74%)
YoDa: GanZi (16.24%) Sting (15.50%) HyuN (15.25%)
Nerchio: MMA (12.46%) Squirtle ( 9.93%) HuK ( 8.57%)
ToD: TriMaster (22.80%) MMA (16.41%) Squirtle (15.20%)
Creator: MMA ( 7.50%) Squirtle ( 7.28%) HyuN ( 7.27%)
TriMaster: ToD (45.53%) Nerchio (19.80%) MMA ( 9.41%)
Seed: Vortix ( 7.46%) Genius ( 7.22%) Symbol ( 6.70%)
daisuki: Shine (40.00%) Byun (34.45%) Naniwa ( 5.69%)
Byun: Vortix (10.46%) Naniwa ( 9.83%) Symbol ( 8.42%)
Shine: Vortix (11.25%) Naniwa (10.69%) Symbol ( 8.64%)
MC: Genius (12.60%) Bly (12.09%) Symbol ( 7.82%)
CatZ: ret (37.80%) Symbol (17.05%) Shine ( 6.94%)
Symbol: Genius ( 9.76%) Bly ( 9.52%) Seed ( 6.57%)
ret: CatZ (26.07%) MC (13.82%) Byun ( 9.30%)
MaSsan: ByuL (31.87%) sculp (21.81%) HerO (21.36%)
HwangSin: DongRaeGu (18.77%) HerO (17.97%) Life (10.62%)
luvsic: DongRaeGu (17.09%) HerO (16.58%) Life (11.18%)
Stephano: Life (10.73%) DongRaeGu ( 9.80%) Ryung ( 9.66%)
puCK: Ryung (39.95%) Life (27.48%) MajOr (19.60%)
viOLet: Life (10.20%) DongRaeGu (10.08%) HerO ( 9.33%)
Leenock: Scarlett ( 7.02%) Sniper ( 7.01%) Life ( 5.08%)
Glon: ViBE (50.64%) Heart (21.56%) LucifroN ( 9.76%)
Heart: Scarlett (15.80%) sLivko (14.52%) LucifroN ( 9.84%)
ViBE: Glon (19.94%) LucifroN (18.86%) Scarlett (17.40%)
Sen: TheStC (12.63%) BBoongBBoo (12.11%) Sniper ( 7.58%)
Bomber: TheStC (11.56%) Sniper (10.37%) BBoongBBoo ( 9.89%)
goswser: TheStC (23.79%) Sniper (23.54%) BBoongBBoo (19.99%)
Sniper: Bomber (10.68%) Leenock (10.48%) goswser ( 7.02%)
TheStC: Bomber (17.77%) Sen (15.34%) goswser (10.53%)
BBoongBBoong: Bomber (20.53%) Sen (20.51%) goswser (11.99%)
LucifroN: Leenock (10.92%) Heart ( 9.89%) Bomber ( 9.35%)
Shuttle: sLivko (54.03%) Scarlett (35.56%) Heart ( 3.69%)
Scarlett: Heart (13.88%) Leenock (13.23%) Bomber ( 8.28%)
sLivko: Heart (20.28%) Leenock (15.14%) Bomber ( 7.86%)
Life: Stephano ( 8.50%) viOLet ( 7.49%) DongRaeGu ( 7.48%)
Sasquatch: MajOr (54.17%) Ryung (24.34%) viOLet ( 8.00%)
Ryung: Stephano (13.14%) viOLet (12.45%) DongRaeGu ( 9.75%)
MajOr: viOLet (22.56%) Stephano (21.88%) Sasquatch (14.48%)
DongRaeGu: Stephano ( 7.99%) Life ( 7.58%) viOLet ( 7.45%)
sculp: ByuL (34.02%) HerO (21.42%) viOLet ( 7.19%)
HerO: Stephano ( 8.91%) viOLet ( 8.79%) Life ( 8.25%)
ByuL: sculp (21.18%) DongRaeGu (12.57%) viOLet (10.30%)
Bly: MC (16.34%) Symbol (15.19%) Seed ( 9.81%)
Genius: MC (13.64%) Symbol (13.12%) Seed ( 9.67%)
Vortix: Byun (11.39%) Seed (11.19%) Shine (10.24%)
drewbie: Illusion (30.09%) Naniwa (20.22%) Byun (11.51%)
Naniwa: Byun (14.04%) Shine (13.03%) Seed (12.49%)
Illusion: drewbie (21.04%) Byun (14.42%) Shine (13.71%)
Squirtle: Creator (11.75%) Nerchio (10.03%) TaeJa ( 7.25%)
Perfect: HuK (54.23%) MMA (26.80%) Nerchio ( 6.34%)
MMA: Nerchio (14.53%) Creator (14.11%) Bogus ( 6.72%)
HuK: Nerchio (21.86%) Creator (17.05%) Perfect (10.55%)
HyuN: Creator (10.58%) YoDa ( 8.25%) Golden ( 7.83%)
Caliber: Sting (46.21%) GanZi (43.09%) Golden ( 3.60%)
GanZi: YoDa (14.88%) Golden (14.27%) Bogus (13.92%)
Sting: YoDa (15.66%) Golden (14.68%) Bogus (14.32%)
TaeJa: HyuN ( 6.43%) Creator ( 5.49%) Polt ( 5.16%)
Polt: TaeJa ( 6.92%) Creator ( 6.52%) Genius ( 5.88%)
xigua: Life (13.58%) DongRaeGu (12.88%) HerO (10.50%)
San: Sniper ( 8.24%) Scarlett ( 6.42%) Life ( 6.41%)
Crank: Leenock (13.78%) Bomber (10.33%) Sen ( 8.69%)
aLive: Life ( 8.28%) DongRaeGu ( 7.29%) Stephano ( 6.76%)
Snute: Symbol (10.25%) Seed ( 9.24%) MC ( 7.40%)
Sleep: Creator (11.02%) Bogus ( 7.82%) TaeJa ( 6.63%) Bogus: Creator (24.12%) YoDa (23.13%) Golden (18.28%)
Golden: YoDa (53.90%) Bogus (27.82%) Creator ( 8.43%)
YoDa: Golden (46.10%) Bogus (30.76%) Creator (10.27%)
Nerchio: Creator (42.34%) ToD (25.04%) TaeJa (10.58%)
ToD: Nerchio (74.96%) Creator (18.81%) Bogus ( 2.29%)
Creator: Nerchio (25.94%) TaeJa (19.48%) Bogus (11.69%)
TriMaster: Creator (91.05%) Nerchio ( 5.78%) ToD ( 1.52%)
Seed: Byun (20.17%) Shine (15.15%) Polt (14.25%)
daisuki: Seed (88.78%) Byun ( 5.09%) Shine ( 4.28%)
Byun: Shine (45.68%) Seed (28.14%) Symbol ( 6.98%)
Shine: Byun (54.32%) Seed (25.32%) Symbol ( 5.83%)
MC: Symbol (34.96%) CatZ (18.74%) Seed (11.96%)
CatZ: MC (81.26%) Symbol (12.47%) ret ( 2.39%)
Symbol: MC (28.54%) ret (21.76%) Polt (13.09%)
ret: Symbol (78.24%) MC (13.29%) Seed ( 2.86%)
MaSsan: luvsic (48.84%) HwangSin (42.04%) viOLet ( 4.47%)
HwangSin: luvsic (53.34%) Stephano (14.93%) viOLet (14.76%)
luvsic: HwangSin (46.66%) Stephano (16.66%) viOLet (16.49%)
Stephano: viOLet (45.59%) xigua ( 7.89%) luvsic ( 7.55%)
puCK: Stephano (95.14%) viOLet ( 4.62%) luvsic ( 0.13%)
viOLet: Stephano (49.56%) xigua ( 8.24%) luvsic ( 8.01%)
Leenock: Heart (21.72%) San (13.04%) Sen (12.60%)
Glon: Leenock (94.81%) Heart ( 3.34%) ViBE ( 0.99%)
Heart: Leenock (48.85%) ViBE (25.62%) Sen ( 6.97%)
ViBE: Heart (74.38%) Leenock (21.12%) Sen ( 1.62%)
Sen: Bomber (42.52%) Leenock (23.57%) San ( 9.44%)
Bomber: Sen (35.00%) goswser (22.49%) Leenock (17.97%)
goswser: Bomber (77.51%) Sen (16.65%) Leenock ( 3.48%)
Sniper: TheStC (23.15%) BBoongBBoo (14.33%) LucifroN (12.36%)
TheStC: BBoongBBoo (42.53%) Sniper (34.32%) LucifroN ( 5.66%)
BBoongBBoong: TheStC (57.47%) Sniper (28.20%) LucifroN ( 3.99%)
LucifroN: Scarlett (31.07%) Sniper (17.74%) sLivko (15.82%)
Shuttle: LucifroN (95.08%) Scarlett ( 2.90%) sLivko ( 1.77%)
Scarlett: sLivko (39.04%) LucifroN (26.87%) Sniper (11.69%)
sLivko: Scarlett (60.96%) LucifroN (21.32%) Sniper ( 7.31%)
Life: Ryung (25.16%) DongRaeGu (16.10%) HerO ( 9.84%)
Sasquatch: Life (95.24%) Ryung ( 3.22%) MajOr ( 1.01%)
Ryung: Life (43.49%) MajOr (27.88%) DongRaeGu ( 8.75%)
MajOr: Ryung (72.12%) Life (21.94%) DongRaeGu ( 2.28%)
DongRaeGu: HerO (24.29%) sculp (19.26%) Life (16.30%)
sculp: DongRaeGu (80.74%) HerO (10.06%) ByuL ( 3.81%)
HerO: ByuL (32.35%) DongRaeGu (30.37%) Life (12.50%)
ByuL: HerO (67.65%) DongRaeGu (18.84%) Life ( 5.11%)
Bly: Genius (55.51%) Vortix (11.55%) Snute (10.50%)
Genius: Bly (44.49%) Vortix (12.71%) Snute (12.70%)
Vortix: Naniwa (21.79%) drewbie (21.65%) Genius (14.23%)
drewbie: Vortix (78.35%) Naniwa (10.10%) Illusion ( 4.44%)
Naniwa: Illusion (35.05%) Vortix (29.17%) Genius (10.81%)
Illusion: Naniwa (64.95%) Vortix (19.64%) Genius ( 4.99%)
Squirtle: MMA (29.93%) HyuN (18.25%) Sleep (10.54%)
Perfect: Squirtle (93.62%) MMA ( 4.03%) HuK ( 1.70%)
MMA: Squirtle (34.82%) HuK (30.91%) HyuN (11.86%)
HuK: MMA (69.09%) Squirtle (20.90%) HyuN ( 4.50%)
HyuN: GanZi (18.61%) Sting (16.26%) Squirtle (15.85%)
Caliber: HyuN (96.16%) GanZi ( 1.84%) Sting ( 1.72%)
GanZi: Sting (48.15%) HyuN (31.29%) Squirtle ( 6.88%)
Sting: GanZi (51.85%) HyuN (30.01%) Squirtle ( 6.32%)
TaeJa: Creator (23.59%) Polt (12.59%) Bogus ( 8.74%)
Polt: TaeJa (17.19%) Seed (14.98%) Symbol (13.26%)
xigua: Stephano (28.00%) viOLet (27.48%) luvsic ( 9.68%)
San: Leenock (31.98%) Sen (12.15%) Bomber (12.09%)
Crank: Sniper (26.33%) LucifroN (14.05%) Scarlett (11.21%)
aLive: Life (27.22%) DongRaeGu (20.31%) HerO (11.93%)
Snute: Genius (20.55%) Vortix (14.12%) Bly (13.85%)
Sleep: HyuN (23.41%) Squirtle (18.65%) MMA ( 9.90%) There's NO WAY Taeja is the favourite to win this. It's because he's the highest rated player that starts in WR4
I know. Just saying.
|
Updated simulations, since we have an updated bracket, and I was able to figure out how the losers' bracket spread works by playing with the fantasy one. (I think it's a poor system, but whatever.)
Since we have a bit of a lack of information, I made the following assumptions:- Hendralisk and Ret replaced by no-one (they become byes).
- Best of 3 throughout (including the two finals).
The validity of this simulation is pending verification of the above.
By the way, a missing number (instead of 0.00%) means either impossible, or so improbable that it's indistinguishable from zero with double-precision floats.
Worth noting is also that Sea has a grand total of three games in the database, so we have essentially no information about him.
Most likely winners:
TaeJa: 12.15%
Leenock: 11.22%
Life: 9.45%
Creator: 6.94%
DongRaeGu: 6.21%
Polt: 5.52%
Sniper: 3.44%
Stephano: 3.39%
San: 3.06%
viOLet: 2.87%
Seed: 2.64%
Bomber: 2.62%
HerO: 2.55%
HyuN: 2.53%
Symbol: 2.23%
Scarlett: 1.91%
details, data source, code
+ Show Spoiler [Life expectancies] + TaeJa: 7.34 rounds (top 8)
Polt: 6.60 rounds (top 8)
San: 6.26 rounds (top 12)
Leenock: 6.21 rounds (top 12)
Life: 6.19 rounds (top 12)
Sleep: 6.19 rounds (top 12)
aLive: 5.86 rounds (top 12)
Snute: 5.70 rounds (top 12)
Creator: 5.60 rounds (top 12)
DongRaeGu: 5.59 rounds (top 12)
Crank: 5.40 rounds (top 16)
xigua: 4.99 rounds (top 16)
Sniper: 4.88 rounds (top 16)
HyuN: 4.63 rounds (top 16)
viOLet: 4.42 rounds (top 24)
Scarlett: 4.38 rounds (top 24)
Seed: 4.37 rounds (top 24)
Stephano: 4.31 rounds (top 24)
Bomber: 4.19 rounds (top 24)
Squirtle: 4.17 rounds (top 24)
Bogus: 4.07 rounds (top 24)
Ryung: 4.04 rounds (top 24)
Nerchio: 3.98 rounds (top 24)
LucifroN: 3.83 rounds (top 24)
HerO: 3.76 rounds (top 24)
MC: 3.76 rounds (top 24)
Symbol: 3.73 rounds (top 24)
Sen: 3.46 rounds (top 32)
Vortix: 3.31 rounds (top 32)
YoDa: 3.30 rounds (top 32)
TheStC: 3.29 rounds (top 32)
MMA: 3.25 rounds (top 32)
Genius: 3.24 rounds (top 32)
Byun: 3.11 rounds (top 32)
Heart: 3.09 rounds (top 32)
BBoongBBoong: 3.03 rounds (top 32)
Naniwa: 2.85 rounds (top 32)
GanZi: 2.77 rounds (top 32)
Bly: 2.67 rounds (top 32)
Shine: 2.22 rounds (top 40)
luvsic: 2.22 rounds (top 40)
HwangSin: 2.15 rounds (top 40)
Golden: 2.12 rounds (top 40)
sLivko: 2.10 rounds (top 40)
Sting: 1.84 rounds (top 40)
HuK: 1.82 rounds (top 40)
ByuL: 1.72 rounds (top 40)
ToD: 1.62 rounds (top 40)
MajOr: 1.36 rounds (top 56)
CatZ: 1.35 rounds (top 56)
Illusion: 1.32 rounds (top 56)
ViBE: 1.20 rounds (top 56)
goswser: 1.14 rounds (top 56)
Sea: 1.00 rounds (top 56)
sculp: 0.98 rounds (top 56)
drewbie: 0.88 rounds (top 56)
TriMaster: 0.87 rounds (top 56)
Apocalypse: 0.84 rounds (top 56)
puCK: 0.66 rounds (top 56)
Eifersuchtig: 0.40 rounds (top 72)
Shuttle: 0.40 rounds (top 72)
Glon: 0.38 rounds (top 72)
daisuki: 0.36 rounds (top 72)
theognis: 0.32 rounds (top 72)
Sasquatch: 0.28 rounds (top 72)
Perfect: 0.22 rounds (top 72)
TubbyTheFat: 0.16 rounds (top 72)
Caliber: 0.15 rounds (top 72)
MaSsan: 0.14 rounds (top 72)
+ Show Spoiler [Exact placement distribution] + Top 72 Top 56 Top 40 Top 32 Top 24 Top 16 Top 12 Top 8 Top 6 Top 4 Top 3 Top 2 Win
HyuN: 0.09% 15.65% 23.16% 23.67% 10.32% 9.54% 4.45% 4.34% 2.11% 1.97% 2.17% 2.53%
BBoongBBoong: 0.39% 45.10% 28.02% 15.89% 4.86% 3.15% 1.05% 0.79% 0.28% 0.22% 0.16% 0.09%
Sea: 99.52% 0.47% 0.00%
Nerchio: 0.28% 3.25% 24.00% 24.87% 18.44% 9.48% 7.66% 3.70% 3.00% 1.62% 1.27% 1.25% 1.17%
puCK: 37.80% 58.75% 2.86% 0.52% 0.06% 0.00% 0.00%
Creator: 0.10% 1.16% 10.77% 17.03% 17.95% 11.04% 11.05% 6.29% 6.20% 3.61% 3.46% 4.41% 6.94%
Shuttle: 61.82% 36.84% 1.15% 0.17% 0.01% 0.00%
DongRaeGu: 0.54% 4.65% 7.82% 14.04% 15.82% 13.30% 12.54% 6.70% 6.92% 3.60% 3.49% 4.35% 6.21%
TubbyTheFat: 85.44% 13.58% 0.69% 0.25% 0.03% 0.00% 0.00%
Byun: 1.91% 19.76% 24.09% 20.67% 13.35% 8.54% 5.40% 2.30% 1.75% 0.79% 0.60% 0.49% 0.35%
Illusion: 12.10% 62.01% 14.32% 7.45% 2.72% 0.89% 0.37% 0.08% 0.05% 0.01% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00%
Squirtle: 8.59% 16.46% 21.37% 18.88% 11.73% 8.96% 4.04% 3.69% 1.72% 1.48% 1.52% 1.56%
CatZ: 76.52% 14.99% 6.20% 1.74% 0.38% 0.13% 0.02% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
YoDa: 14.88% 21.62% 25.52% 18.37% 8.64% 5.69% 1.91% 1.62% 0.57% 0.51% 0.39% 0.28%
Sniper: 2.14% 7.01% 12.99% 18.56% 13.03% 9.47% 9.97% 7.28% 6.89% 3.03% 2.98% 3.21% 3.44%
Glon: 69.34% 25.67% 3.17% 1.49% 0.27% 0.04% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
TheStC: 4.44% 16.65% 23.62% 20.65% 11.55% 6.95% 5.94% 3.61% 2.98% 1.13% 1.02% 0.84% 0.63%
ViBE: 24.09% 50.68% 13.67% 7.35% 2.51% 0.80% 0.56% 0.17% 0.13% 0.02% 0.02% 0.01% 0.00%
Vortix: 3.34% 24.49% 15.15% 20.41% 12.05% 6.96% 6.74% 3.82% 3.29% 1.12% 1.11% 0.91% 0.62%
Caliber: 87.10% 11.78% 0.70% 0.37% 0.04% 0.00% 0.01%
Bomber: 2.06% 18.25% 14.02% 17.28% 11.17% 8.27% 7.96% 5.85% 5.29% 2.50% 2.27% 2.48% 2.62%
sLivko: 7.51% 45.48% 16.69% 14.00% 6.72% 3.50% 2.72% 1.32% 1.06% 0.35% 0.31% 0.23% 0.13%
Life: 0.95% 4.33% 6.67% 14.20% 11.17% 9.61% 10.19% 8.81% 8.79% 4.77% 4.95% 6.10% 9.45%
Perfect: 81.43% 15.95% 1.76% 0.73% 0.11% 0.01% 0.01% 0.00%
HwangSin: 7.48% 36.05% 24.91% 15.80% 7.40% 3.55% 2.33% 1.03% 0.79% 0.27% 0.20% 0.12% 0.06%
HuK: 10.14% 43.67% 22.26% 12.95% 5.63% 2.50% 1.50% 0.60% 0.43% 0.12% 0.11% 0.07% 0.02%
Leenock: 2.82% 5.52% 6.67% 12.82% 9.97% 8.96% 9.11% 8.35% 8.19% 4.88% 5.04% 6.46% 11.22%
Apocalypse: 49.77% 32.76% 7.81% 5.79% 2.19% 0.84% 0.50% 0.14% 0.13% 0.03% 0.03% 0.01% 0.01%
GanZi: 11.57% 22.77% 18.68% 18.36% 10.46% 6.27% 4.55% 2.68% 2.13% 0.85% 0.69% 0.58% 0.40%
goswser: 35.85% 38.95% 11.24% 8.12% 3.20% 1.27% 0.75% 0.28% 0.22% 0.05% 0.04% 0.02% 0.01%
Ryung: 5.85% 15.57% 10.95% 19.58% 13.04% 8.63% 7.89% 4.85% 4.42% 2.61% 2.53% 2.44% 1.65%
Eifersuchtig: 70.83% 22.80% 3.07% 2.36% 0.70% 0.12% 0.09% 0.01% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Golden: 15.38% 37.52% 13.59% 15.07% 7.31% 4.06% 3.02% 1.45% 1.16% 0.51% 0.47% 0.34% 0.14%
Genius: 7.94% 24.10% 13.97% 18.88% 10.51% 7.03% 5.82% 3.43% 2.90% 1.63% 1.53% 1.40% 0.85%
Scarlett: 3.81% 8.04% 14.19% 21.07% 14.65% 9.32% 8.50% 5.25% 4.81% 2.90% 2.82% 2.73% 1.91%
drewbie: 44.18% 36.77% 10.16% 6.06% 1.95% 0.45% 0.29% 0.07% 0.05% 0.01% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00%
Naniwa: 8.42% 17.32% 23.78% 22.43% 11.74% 5.94% 4.58% 2.02% 1.68% 0.74% 0.70% 0.46% 0.20%
TriMaster: 43.60% 37.87% 10.29% 5.78% 1.74% 0.39% 0.21% 0.06% 0.04% 0.01% 0.01% 0.00%
MC: 6.10% 17.71% 14.39% 18.61% 12.43% 7.82% 6.85% 4.21% 3.84% 2.31% 2.20% 2.08% 1.44%
daisuki: 72.86% 21.58% 3.03% 1.90% 0.49% 0.08% 0.05% 0.01% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00%
MMA: 7.51% 24.23% 16.85% 16.48% 10.34% 6.73% 5.55% 3.41% 2.86% 1.75% 1.66% 1.55% 1.09%
Shine: 13.54% 36.48% 16.69% 13.72% 7.37% 4.17% 3.11% 1.61% 1.34% 0.67% 0.60% 0.48% 0.23%
Sen: 12.16% 18.40% 14.27% 16.28% 10.52% 7.27% 5.95% 3.94% 3.45% 2.15% 2.05% 2.05% 1.50%
sculp: 47.71% 31.11% 8.70% 6.73% 2.97% 1.13% 0.85% 0.30% 0.27% 0.08% 0.08% 0.04% 0.01%
Symbol: 10.93% 17.72% 13.54% 15.37% 10.39% 7.54% 6.35% 4.43% 3.83% 2.57% 2.50% 2.60% 2.23%
ByuL: 29.19% 32.77% 12.55% 10.81% 5.91% 3.05% 2.29% 1.13% 0.96% 0.47% 0.42% 0.30% 0.14%
Bogus: 2.15% 15.35% 12.79% 20.75% 15.00% 9.08% 8.25% 4.07% 4.00% 2.36% 2.40% 2.28% 1.54%
MaSsan: 87.47% 11.40% 0.70% 0.39% 0.04% 0.00% 0.00%
Bly: 4.33% 32.42% 20.06% 17.91% 10.55% 5.22% 3.94% 1.58% 1.54% 0.76% 0.76% 0.61% 0.32%
luvsic: 6.05% 40.82% 19.46% 15.66% 8.44% 3.77% 2.65% 1.00% 0.94% 0.39% 0.42% 0.27% 0.13%
LucifroN: 18.57% 15.50% 21.29% 14.76% 8.60% 7.45% 3.51% 3.53% 1.93% 1.97% 1.79% 1.11%
viOLet: 14.40% 15.07% 18.76% 13.75% 9.47% 7.84% 4.34% 4.34% 2.92% 2.97% 3.27% 2.87%
ToD: 67.03% 16.43% 9.74% 4.02% 1.32% 0.84% 0.24% 0.21% 0.07% 0.07% 0.04% 0.01%
Seed: 2.09% 8.94% 14.73% 22.67% 17.14% 7.53% 7.44% 4.07% 4.02% 2.86% 2.78% 3.09% 2.64%
Sasquatch: 76.75% 20.14% 2.01% 0.94% 0.14% 0.01% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Heart: 3.73% 18.93% 24.61% 22.06% 13.43% 5.16% 4.27% 2.05% 1.87% 1.10% 1.10% 1.03% 0.66%
MajOr: 17.44% 51.98% 16.43% 9.11% 3.35% 0.76% 0.51% 0.15% 0.15% 0.04% 0.05% 0.03% 0.01%
Stephano: 4.30% 14.88% 11.85% 18.95% 14.73% 7.13% 6.92% 4.13% 4.08% 3.02% 3.00% 3.63% 3.39%
theognis: 74.82% 20.81% 2.37% 1.55% 0.35% 0.05% 0.03% 0.01% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00%
HerO: 5.09% 20.44% 14.32% 18.31% 13.50% 6.34% 5.80% 3.25% 3.17% 2.24% 2.33% 2.67% 2.55%
Sting: 15.79% 43.87% 13.67% 12.64% 6.94% 2.48% 1.91% 0.82% 0.71% 0.39% 0.36% 0.31% 0.12%
TaeJa: 19.98% 11.10% 17.18% 8.71% 11.11% 5.62% 6.37% 7.79% 12.15%
Polt: 23.59% 15.12% 21.67% 9.02% 10.72% 4.35% 4.81% 5.21% 5.52%
Crank: 44.42% 14.68% 20.85% 7.31% 7.37% 1.84% 1.84% 1.15% 0.55%
xigua: 56.78% 14.89% 15.65% 4.37% 5.19% 1.13% 1.17% 0.59% 0.22%
Sleep: 31.44% 13.58% 20.02% 8.79% 10.47% 4.93% 5.09% 3.85% 1.85%
aLive: 37.81% 14.12% 19.23% 7.55% 9.12% 3.94% 4.12% 2.89% 1.22%
Snute: 38.97% 15.39% 20.97% 6.89% 7.84% 3.23% 3.45% 2.32% 0.95%
San: 34.41% 12.27% 17.83% 7.52% 9.29% 5.04% 5.61% 4.97% 3.06%
+ Show Spoiler [Most likely to be eliminated by...] + HyuN: Creator (15.40%) Nerchio (13.00%) TaeJa ( 9.29%)
BBoongBBoong: Nerchio (28.49%) Creator (22.54%) Seed ( 7.80%)
Sea: BBoongBBoo (67.80%) HyuN (31.72%) Nerchio ( 0.28%)
Nerchio: BBoongBBoo (15.14%) HyuN (14.58%) Seed ( 8.70%)
puCK: Nerchio (37.93%) Shuttle (36.03%) Creator (22.59%)
Creator: HyuN (10.91%) TaeJa ( 7.62%) BBoongBBoo ( 7.35%)
Shuttle: puCK (56.49%) Nerchio (26.90%) Creator (15.28%)
DongRaeGu: Squirtle ( 9.02%) TaeJa ( 7.35%) Polt ( 7.29%)
TubbyTheFat: Illusion (61.68%) Byun (31.79%) DongRaeGu ( 5.55%)
Byun: Illusion (16.79%) Squirtle (14.47%) YoDa (11.46%)
Illusion: Byun (44.46%) DongRaeGu (18.89%) TubbyTheFa (10.76%)
Squirtle: DongRaeGu (12.96%) Byun (10.58%) viOLet ( 7.79%)
CatZ: YoDa (39.45%) Squirtle (37.07%) Byun ( 8.28%)
YoDa: DongRaeGu (13.48%) Byun (13.46%) CatZ (12.43%)
Sniper: Bomber ( 9.35%) Vortix ( 6.06%) Symbol ( 5.63%)
Glon: ViBE (50.19%) TheStC (32.29%) Sniper (12.52%)
TheStC: Bomber (12.46%) ViBE (12.28%) Vortix ( 8.56%)
ViBE: TheStC (33.78%) Sniper (20.81%) Glon (20.17%)
Vortix: sLivko (17.70%) Bomber ( 9.75%) Sniper ( 9.49%)
Caliber: sLivko (59.48%) Bomber (33.10%) Vortix ( 6.29%)
Bomber: sLivko (12.94%) Sniper ( 9.03%) TheStC ( 8.17%)
sLivko: Bomber (25.71%) Vortix (21.99%) TheStC ( 8.82%)
Life: Leenock (10.55%) Scarlett ( 4.94%) Ryung ( 4.78%)
Perfect: HuK (48.08%) HwangSin (43.53%) Life ( 5.77%)
HwangSin: HuK (29.00%) GanZi (11.04%) Leenock (10.29%)
HuK: HwangSin (34.46%) Life (10.16%) GanZi ( 9.99%)
Leenock: Life ( 9.22%) Scarlett ( 4.97%) Ryung ( 4.63%)
Apocalypse: goswser (34.75%) GanZi (33.60%) Leenock (14.18%)
GanZi: Apocalypse (14.46%) goswser (12.67%) Life ( 8.66%)
goswser: Apocalypse (31.57%) GanZi (26.49%) Leenock (16.75%)
Ryung: Golden (10.98%) Leenock ( 9.33%) Scarlett ( 8.76%)
Eifersuchtig: Golden (45.47%) Genius (36.52%) Ryung (11.64%)
Golden: Genius (23.99%) Ryung (17.29%) Eifersucht (11.63%)
Genius: Golden (16.67%) Ryung ( 9.19%) Scarlett ( 8.66%)
Scarlett: Leenock ( 9.73%) Ryung ( 8.58%) Life ( 8.44%)
drewbie: TriMaster (32.07%) Naniwa (30.43%) Scarlett (18.45%)
Naniwa: drewbie (11.40%) Genius (10.85%) Ryung (10.36%)
TriMaster: drewbie (35.85%) Naniwa (24.28%) Scarlett (21.35%)
MC: Shine (12.39%) MMA ( 9.74%) Symbol ( 8.05%)
daisuki: Shine (46.15%) MMA (37.24%) MC (11.04%)
MMA: Shine (16.51%) MC ( 9.63%) Symbol ( 8.22%)
Shine: MMA (23.12%) MC (16.86%) daisuki (10.05%)
Sen: ByuL (13.58%) Symbol (10.53%) MMA ( 7.14%)
sculp: ByuL (34.54%) Symbol (27.56%) Sen (16.72%)
Symbol: ByuL (10.15%) sculp ( 9.31%) Sen ( 9.24%)
ByuL: Sen (21.64%) sculp (21.53%) Symbol (18.81%)
Bogus: viOLet ( 9.76%) luvsic ( 9.26%) Bly ( 7.94%)
MaSsan: luvsic (50.02%) Bly (43.25%) Bogus ( 5.61%)
Bly: luvsic (23.26%) viOLet (11.33%) Bogus (10.31%)
luvsic: Bly (27.88%) Bogus (14.51%) viOLet (10.69%)
LucifroN: ToD (14.10%) DongRaeGu ( 8.44%) Bogus ( 8.25%)
viOLet: ToD (11.32%) DongRaeGu ( 8.73%) Bogus ( 7.49%)
ToD: viOLet (36.22%) LucifroN (30.81%) Bly ( 6.51%)
Seed: Creator (10.21%) HerO ( 9.30%) Stephano ( 9.11%)
Sasquatch: MajOr (54.15%) Heart (32.71%) Seed (10.02%)
Heart: MajOr (14.53%) HerO (12.27%) Stephano (10.88%)
MajOr: Heart (34.31%) Seed (20.83%) Sasquatch (14.28%)
Stephano: Sting (10.82%) Creator ( 9.34%) Seed ( 7.99%)
theognis: Sting (50.63%) HerO (33.97%) Stephano (11.03%)
HerO: Sting (14.56%) Creator ( 8.81%) Seed ( 8.13%)
Sting: HerO (27.37%) Stephano (20.27%) theognis (12.03%)
TaeJa: Creator ( 8.86%) Polt ( 8.40%) HyuN ( 7.73%)
Polt: TaeJa (11.63%) DongRaeGu (10.42%) Creator ( 8.29%)
Crank: Sniper (10.68%) Life ( 8.39%) Bomber ( 8.00%)
xigua: Life (18.80%) Leenock (16.06%) Genius ( 5.88%)
Sleep: Leenock ( 9.25%) Scarlett ( 7.81%) Ryung ( 6.40%)
aLive: Bomber ( 6.90%) MC ( 6.83%) Sleep ( 6.67%)
Snute: Bogus ( 8.12%) DongRaeGu ( 7.10%) San ( 7.05%)
San: Creator ( 9.29%) Seed ( 8.06%) Nerchio ( 7.54%)
+ Show Spoiler [Most likely to be sent to the losers b…] + HyuN: BBoongBBoo (31.81%) Creator (25.10%) TaeJa (17.09%)
BBoongBBoong: HyuN (67.62%) Creator (15.04%) Nerchio ( 7.60%)
Sea: BBoongBBoo (99.43%) HyuN ( 0.57%) Nerchio ( 0.00%)
Nerchio: Creator (57.10%) HyuN (13.50%) TaeJa (11.17%)
puCK: Nerchio (94.18%) Creator ( 5.50%) HyuN ( 0.18%)
Creator: Nerchio (35.19%) TaeJa (18.50%) HyuN (17.56%)
Shuttle: Creator (97.97%) Nerchio ( 1.85%) HyuN ( 0.08%)
DongRaeGu: Byun (23.98%) Polt (18.29%) Squirtle (14.76%)
TubbyTheFat: DongRaeGu (97.40%) Byun ( 1.78%) Illusion ( 0.59%)
Byun: DongRaeGu (46.97%) Illusion (27.17%) Squirtle ( 7.70%)
Illusion: Byun (72.83%) DongRaeGu (22.38%) Squirtle ( 1.94%)
Squirtle: YoDa (32.01%) DongRaeGu (21.21%) CatZ (16.11%)
CatZ: Squirtle (83.89%) YoDa (12.17%) DongRaeGu ( 2.42%)
YoDa: Squirtle (51.89%) DongRaeGu (21.55%) Polt ( 9.61%)
Sniper: TheStC (27.09%) Bomber (12.87%) Vortix ( 9.57%)
Glon: Sniper (91.55%) TheStC ( 5.43%) ViBE ( 1.65%)
TheStC: Sniper (39.74%) ViBE (27.03%) Bomber ( 8.45%)
ViBE: TheStC (72.97%) Sniper (19.79%) Bomber ( 2.27%)
Vortix: Bomber (38.38%) Sniper (14.89%) sLivko (13.92%)
Caliber: Vortix (93.41%) Bomber ( 4.18%) sLivko ( 2.06%)
Bomber: sLivko (33.41%) Vortix (23.87%) Sniper (12.43%)
sLivko: Bomber (66.59%) Vortix (17.24%) Sniper ( 6.33%)
Life: Leenock (26.02%) HwangSin (12.30%) HuK ( 9.04%)
Perfect: Life (95.79%) HwangSin ( 1.93%) HuK ( 1.66%)
HwangSin: HuK (45.63%) Life (39.82%) Leenock ( 7.29%)
HuK: HwangSin (54.37%) Life (34.63%) Leenock ( 5.65%)
Leenock: Life (22.62%) GanZi (16.45%) Apocalypse (14.25%)
Apocalypse: Leenock (85.75%) GanZi ( 6.78%) Life ( 3.21%)
GanZi: Leenock (41.77%) goswser (32.11%) Life (11.84%)
goswser: GanZi (67.89%) Leenock (23.21%) Life ( 4.06%)
Ryung: Genius (24.54%) Scarlett (13.71%) Eifersucht (13.61%)
Eifersuchtig: Ryung (86.39%) Genius ( 6.91%) Golden ( 4.40%)
Golden: Genius (59.39%) Ryung (21.51%) Scarlett ( 6.15%)
Genius: Golden (40.61%) Ryung (26.74%) Scarlett ( 9.23%)
Scarlett: Naniwa (22.92%) drewbie (17.70%) Ryung (13.44%)
drewbie: Scarlett (82.30%) Naniwa ( 9.60%) Ryung ( 2.36%)
Naniwa: Scarlett (38.75%) TriMaster (25.10%) Ryung ( 9.70%)
TriMaster: Naniwa (74.90%) Scarlett (17.29%) drewbie ( 2.33%)
MC: MMA (25.47%) Shine (15.26%) daisuki (13.34%)
daisuki: MC (86.66%) MMA ( 6.83%) Shine ( 4.52%)
MMA: Shine (41.63%) MC (25.02%) Symbol ( 6.74%)
Shine: MMA (58.37%) MC (20.92%) Symbol ( 4.78%)
Sen: sculp (27.84%) Symbol (25.00%) ByuL ( 9.60%)
sculp: Sen (72.16%) Symbol (13.54%) ByuL ( 6.00%)
Symbol: ByuL (34.97%) Sen (21.94%) MC ( 7.93%)
ByuL: Symbol (65.03%) Sen (15.63%) MC ( 4.26%)
Bogus: Bly (22.61%) luvsic (16.90%) viOLet (14.08%)
MaSsan: Bogus (94.72%) Bly ( 2.71%) luvsic ( 2.19%)
Bly: luvsic (45.46%) Bogus (29.02%) viOLet ( 7.15%)
luvsic: Bly (54.53%) Bogus (26.18%) viOLet ( 5.84%)
LucifroN: viOLet (44.92%) Bogus (13.73%) Snute ( 9.63%)
viOLet: LucifroN (31.17%) ToD (23.91%) Bogus (10.69%)
ToD: viOLet (76.09%) LucifroN (16.37%) Bogus ( 2.98%)
Seed: Heart (28.02%) Stephano (15.39%) San (11.70%)
Sasquatch: Seed (92.93%) Heart ( 4.51%) MajOr ( 1.65%)
Heart: Seed (37.40%) MajOr (29.61%) Stephano ( 9.64%)
MajOr: Heart (70.39%) Seed (20.91%) Stephano ( 3.14%)
Stephano: HerO (29.41%) Seed (13.20%) Sting (10.89%)
theognis: Stephano (89.29%) HerO ( 6.25%) Sting ( 3.03%)
HerO: Sting (34.62%) Stephano (28.99%) Seed ( 9.71%)
Sting: HerO (65.38%) Stephano (20.01%) Seed ( 5.06%)
TaeJa: Creator (21.87%) HyuN (14.29%) Polt (10.94%)
Polt: DongRaeGu (26.97%) TaeJa (15.17%) Squirtle (12.41%)
Crank: Sniper (24.32%) Bomber (17.51%) Vortix (11.45%)
xigua: Life (34.08%) Leenock (33.00%) GanZi ( 6.09%)
Sleep: Scarlett (18.13%) Ryung (16.49%) Genius (10.10%)
aLive: Symbol (14.79%) MC (14.36%) Sen (12.92%)
Snute: viOLet (18.92%) Bogus (17.30%) LucifroN (14.90%)
San: Stephano (17.92%) Seed (17.03%) HerO (12.98%)
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EPT
