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[Code S] RO32 Group A 2012 GSL Season 5 - Page 59

Forum Index > StarCraft 2 Tournaments
Post a Reply
Prev 1 57 58 59 60 61 99 Next
TheBB
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
Switzerland5133 Posts
October 29 2012 11:31 GMT
#1161
Sorry, I was whisked away by work.

Group A

      PartinG: 100.000%
      TaeJa: 52.987%
      finale: 29.955%
      Polt: 17.059%
http://aligulac.com || Barcraft Switzerland! || Zerg best race. || Stats-poster extraordinaire.
TheBB
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
Switzerland5133 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-10-29 11:32:41
October 29 2012 11:32 GMT
#1162
On October 29 2012 20:09 MrCon wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 29 2012 20:04 TheBB wrote:
On October 29 2012 20:02 MrCon wrote:
On October 29 2012 20:01 TheBB wrote:
Group A

      PartinG: 90.194%
      TaeJa: 50.058%
      finale: 43.858%
      Polt: 15.890%

Isn't there something wrong in the algo if he puts Taeja ahead of someone who has one win in the group ?

Well, the thing is that Taeja (and Parting) have much higher Elos than Finale and Polt, so much so that it outweighs Taejas disadvantage from having lost the first game. He is highly favoured against both of them, but as we saw in the first round... maybe not so much. Take it with a grain of salt, as you would all statistics.

Yeah I understand that, but perhaps the calc should weight more a player who is already one win ahead. But as Taeja is #2 ELO, perhaps it'll do that only for him (and Life).
It'll be interesting to see how the calc fares for the next groups. But perhaps you could adjust things so even when a player is super favored, it can't have more chances to advance than a player with one win in the group, so the calc is better at predicting reality.

I realize that it looks odd, but if you accept that Elo is a perfect predictor of match results, then those will be the relevant probabilities. They're not based on heuristics—the math is exact.

I'll do a writeup at a later date where I address concerns like this. Thanks for the input.
http://aligulac.com || Barcraft Switzerland! || Zerg best race. || Stats-poster extraordinaire.
HaXXspetten
Profile Blog Joined October 2009
Sweden15718 Posts
October 29 2012 11:32 GMT
#1163
On October 29 2012 20:29 KiNGxXx wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 29 2012 20:28 Asha` wrote:
On October 29 2012 20:22 Fionn wrote:
Terran prayer time.


+ Show Spoiler +
Our Father who stims in heaven,
hallowed be thy name.
Thy tanks will come,
Thy wins be done,
on Antiga as it is in heaven.

Give us this day our daily wins,
and forgive us our losses,
as we forgive those who play Z & P,
and lead us not into race-switching,
but deliver us from evil.

For thine is the marine,
the banshee, and the hellion,
for ever and ever

Amen

Haha awesome!

There is only one correct version I'm afraid:


Baba yetu, yetu uliye
Mbinguni yetu, yetu, amina
Baba yetu, yetu, uliye
Jina lako litukuzwe.

Utupe leo chakula chetu
Tunachohitaji utusamehe
Makosa yetu, hey
Kama nasi tunavyowasamehe
Waliotukosea usitutie
Katika majaribu, lakini
Utuokoe, na yule, milelea milele!

Ufalme wako ufike utakalo
Lifanyike duniani kama mbinguni
Amina
MrCash
Profile Joined October 2011
United States1504 Posts
October 29 2012 11:32 GMT
#1164
On October 29 2012 20:31 Fusilero wrote:
I feel like polt ended up slightly better for it if taeja doesn't have a way to capitalise on polt's no stim.


Polt took rather hefty SCV losses.
If there are no major exchanges for a while, Taeja will slowly move ahead and max out faster, with better upgrades.
Taeja will be able to finish the game then, if he doesn't, it will become a positional war.
X3GoldDot
Profile Joined August 2011
Malaysia3840 Posts
October 29 2012 11:32 GMT
#1165
On October 29 2012 20:28 Asha` wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 29 2012 20:22 Fionn wrote:
Terran prayer time.


Our Father who stims in heaven,
hallowed be thy name.
Thy tanks will come,
Thy wins be done,
on Antiga as it is in heaven.

Give us this day our daily wins,
and forgive us our losses,
as we forgive those who play Z & P,
and lead us not into race-switching,
but deliver us from evil.

For thine is the marine,
the banshee, and the hellion,
for ever and ever

Amen


mine is better

mvp,oh mvp
you are not flash
but you are still mvp
you said to me
'I AM YOUR FATHER'
my dick went up
so did you
flash accepted you
and you became jesus
amen
prime/startale/[SexComaZerg, RoyalRoaderZerg, SirLifealot] ingame ID = GoodGame
AgentChaos
Profile Joined July 2011
United Kingdom4569 Posts
October 29 2012 11:32 GMT
#1166
On October 29 2012 20:31 Fusilero wrote:
I feel like polt ended up slightly better for it if taeja doesn't have a way to capitalise on polt's no stim.

me too
IM & EG supporter
Fragile51
Profile Joined October 2011
Netherlands15767 Posts
October 29 2012 11:32 GMT
#1167
On October 29 2012 20:32 HaXXspetten wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 29 2012 20:29 KiNGxXx wrote:
On October 29 2012 20:28 Asha` wrote:
On October 29 2012 20:22 Fionn wrote:
Terran prayer time.


+ Show Spoiler +
Our Father who stims in heaven,
hallowed be thy name.
Thy tanks will come,
Thy wins be done,
on Antiga as it is in heaven.

Give us this day our daily wins,
and forgive us our losses,
as we forgive those who play Z & P,
and lead us not into race-switching,
but deliver us from evil.

For thine is the marine,
the banshee, and the hellion,
for ever and ever

Amen

Haha awesome!

There is only one correct version I'm afraid:


Baba yetu, yetu uliye
Mbinguni yetu, yetu, amina
Baba yetu, yetu, uliye
Jina lako litukuzwe.

Utupe leo chakula chetu
Tunachohitaji utusamehe
Makosa yetu, hey
Kama nasi tunavyowasamehe
Waliotukosea usitutie
Katika majaribu, lakini
Utuokoe, na yule, milelea milele!

Ufalme wako ufike utakalo
Lifanyike duniani kama mbinguni
Amina


man, swedenland has some weird-ass poems..
andaylin
Profile Joined August 2010
United States10830 Posts
October 29 2012 11:32 GMT
#1168
137/137 supply block, all terrans hit this one hahaha.
"Hard work beats talent when talent fails to work hard." - Kevin Durant
AgentChaos
Profile Joined July 2011
United Kingdom4569 Posts
October 29 2012 11:33 GMT
#1169
On October 29 2012 20:32 X3GoldDot wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 29 2012 20:28 Asha` wrote:
On October 29 2012 20:22 Fionn wrote:
Terran prayer time.


Our Father who stims in heaven,
hallowed be thy name.
Thy tanks will come,
Thy wins be done,
on Antiga as it is in heaven.

Give us this day our daily wins,
and forgive us our losses,
as we forgive those who play Z & P,
and lead us not into race-switching,
but deliver us from evil.

For thine is the marine,
the banshee, and the hellion,
for ever and ever

Amen


mine is better

mvp,oh mvp
you are not flash
but you are still mvp
you said to me
'I AM YOUR FATHER'
my dick went up
so did you
flash accepted you
and you became jesus
amen

hahha omg laughing so hard right now
IM & EG supporter
andaylin
Profile Joined August 2010
United States10830 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-10-29 11:34:18
October 29 2012 11:34 GMT
#1170
wow, great distraction by Taeja.

perfect execution.
"Hard work beats talent when talent fails to work hard." - Kevin Durant
Shellshock
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States97276 Posts
October 29 2012 11:34 GMT
#1171
On October 29 2012 20:30 Shellshock1122 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 29 2012 20:26 Shellshock1122 wrote:
On October 29 2012 20:23 Shellshock1122 wrote:
GSL Season 5 Code S Group A Losers' Match
Polt vs TaeJa
Game 1
Map: Antiga Shipyard

0:00
Polt spawns in the bottom right
TaeJa spawns in the top left

1:45
rax first for both players

2:00
wall off depot from TaeJa

3:00
CC on the low ground for Polt
later CC on the low ground for TaeJa
double gas for TaeJa

4:00
double gas for Polt
2nd rax for both players
factory for TaeJa
tech lab for TaeJa
factory for Polt

5:00
tech lab for Polt
stim research started for TaeJa
combat shields started for Polt

6:00
starport for TaeJa
starport for Polt
siege tank production begins for Polt
bunker at the natural for TaeJa
ebay started for TaeJa

7:00
medivac for TaeJa as his starport finishes
viking on the way for Polt
siege tank production begins for TaeJa
ebay on the way for Polt
+1 attack started for TaeJa

8:00
siege mode research started for Polt
combat shields started for TaeJa
drop loaded up for TaeJa and heading towards polt's main
Polt pushing into the center of the map
drop in the main of Polt gets in unscouted
stim research started for Polt

9:00
Polt loses the tech lab researching stim
Polt cleans up the drop
Polt sieges up outside TaeJa's natural
Polt kills the tech lab researching combat shields

10:00
siege mode finishes for TaeJa
TaeJa loses a braccks
TaeJa stims in and kills off Polt's medivac for high ground vision
Polt has to back off
3rd CC on the way for Polt
stim restarted for Polt
more rax added on for TaeJa
3rd cc started for TaeJa
+1 armor started for TaeJa
combat shields restarted for TaeJa
ebay on the way for Polt

11:00
+1 attack started for Polt
armory and 2nd ebay started for TaeJa
both players adding on a ton of rax

12:00
Polt ahead 4-2 in siege tanks
2nd ebay finishes for Polt
+1 armor started for Polt
+2 attack started for TaeJa
2nd factory started for TaeJa
Polt lands his 3rd base

13:00
TaeJa lands his 3rd base
+2 armor started for TaeJa
armory on the way for Polt
2nd factory started for Polt

14:00
Polt takes control of the center of the map
missile turret ring going up for TaeJa
turret ring going up for Polt
Polt breaking down the rocks to TaeJa's 3rd
+2 attack started for Polt
+1 vehicle weapons started for Polt

15:00
+1 vehicle weapons started for TaeJa
8 marine drop at the 3rd of TaeJa
marines clean it up easily
Taeja attacks into Polt's army and crushes it right after +2 weapons finishes
Moderatorhttp://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png
TL+ Member
mikedebo
Profile Joined December 2010
Canada4341 Posts
October 29 2012 11:34 GMT
#1172
taejaaaaaaaaaaaaaa
I NEED A PHOTOSYNTHESIS! ||| 'airtoss' is an anagram of 'artosis' ||| SANGHOOOOOO ||| "No Korea? No problem. I have internet." -- Stardust
LimitSEA
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
Australia9580 Posts
October 29 2012 11:34 GMT
#1173
Wowwwwww, Taeja! Nice.
Long live the King of Wings
KristofferAG
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
Norway25712 Posts
October 29 2012 11:34 GMT
#1174
Watching Flash v Ryung was definitely more fun.
@KristofferAG | http://vestkyststoy.bandcamp.com | last.fm/user/KristofferAG
bbm
Profile Joined April 2011
United Kingdom1320 Posts
October 29 2012 11:34 GMT
#1175
On October 29 2012 20:32 Fragile51 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 29 2012 20:32 HaXXspetten wrote:
On October 29 2012 20:29 KiNGxXx wrote:
On October 29 2012 20:28 Asha` wrote:
On October 29 2012 20:22 Fionn wrote:
Terran prayer time.


+ Show Spoiler +
Our Father who stims in heaven,
hallowed be thy name.
Thy tanks will come,
Thy wins be done,
on Antiga as it is in heaven.

Give us this day our daily wins,
and forgive us our losses,
as we forgive those who play Z & P,
and lead us not into race-switching,
but deliver us from evil.

For thine is the marine,
the banshee, and the hellion,
for ever and ever

Amen

Haha awesome!

There is only one correct version I'm afraid:


Baba yetu, yetu uliye
Mbinguni yetu, yetu, amina
Baba yetu, yetu, uliye
Jina lako litukuzwe.

Utupe leo chakula chetu
Tunachohitaji utusamehe
Makosa yetu, hey
Kama nasi tunavyowasamehe
Waliotukosea usitutie
Katika majaribu, lakini
Utuokoe, na yule, milelea milele!

Ufalme wako ufike utakalo
Lifanyike duniani kama mbinguni
Amina


man, swedenland has some weird-ass poems..


Ahaha, it's actually from Civilization IV. Won a grammy and all.

By.Sun or By.Rain, he always delivers
MrCon
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
France29748 Posts
October 29 2012 11:34 GMT
#1176
Polt is getting Taejaed.
LimitSEA
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
Australia9580 Posts
October 29 2012 11:35 GMT
#1177
On October 29 2012 20:34 KristofferAG wrote:
Watching Flash v Ryung was definitely more fun.

We need another TvT on Whirlwind.
Long live the King of Wings
andaylin
Profile Joined August 2010
United States10830 Posts
October 29 2012 11:35 GMT
#1178
I love TvT.
"Hard work beats talent when talent fails to work hard." - Kevin Durant
SHOOG
Profile Blog Joined December 2011
United States1639 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-10-29 11:43:47
October 29 2012 11:35 GMT
#1179
So happy Parting made it!!!
Surprised by how finale beat Taeja though.
Hope Taeja can still make it through though!
GolemMadness
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
Canada11044 Posts
October 29 2012 11:36 GMT
#1180
On October 29 2012 20:34 KristofferAG wrote:
Watching Flash v Ryung was definitely more fun.


There is nothing more exciting than watching a Flash game.
http://na.op.gg/summoner/userName=FLABREZU
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