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Group A
PartinG: 100.000%
TaeJa: 52.987%
finale: 29.955%
Polt: 17.059%
Forum Index > StarCraft 2 Tournaments |
TheBB
Switzerland5133 Posts
![]() Group A PartinG: 100.000% TaeJa: 52.987% finale: 29.955% Polt: 17.059% | ||
TheBB
Switzerland5133 Posts
On October 29 2012 20:09 MrCon wrote: Show nested quote + On October 29 2012 20:04 TheBB wrote: On October 29 2012 20:02 MrCon wrote: On October 29 2012 20:01 TheBB wrote: Group A PartinG: 90.194% TaeJa: 50.058% finale: 43.858% Polt: 15.890% Isn't there something wrong in the algo if he puts Taeja ahead of someone who has one win in the group ? Well, the thing is that Taeja (and Parting) have much higher Elos than Finale and Polt, so much so that it outweighs Taejas disadvantage from having lost the first game. He is highly favoured against both of them, but as we saw in the first round... maybe not so much. Take it with a grain of salt, as you would all statistics. Yeah I understand that, but perhaps the calc should weight more a player who is already one win ahead. But as Taeja is #2 ELO, perhaps it'll do that only for him (and Life). It'll be interesting to see how the calc fares for the next groups. But perhaps you could adjust things so even when a player is super favored, it can't have more chances to advance than a player with one win in the group, so the calc is better at predicting reality. I realize that it looks odd, but if you accept that Elo is a perfect predictor of match results, then those will be the relevant probabilities. They're not based on heuristics—the math is exact. I'll do a writeup at a later date where I address concerns like this. Thanks for the input. ![]() | ||
HaXXspetten
Sweden15718 Posts
On October 29 2012 20:29 KiNGxXx wrote: Show nested quote + On October 29 2012 20:28 Asha` wrote: On October 29 2012 20:22 Fionn wrote: Terran prayer time. + Show Spoiler + Our Father who stims in heaven, hallowed be thy name. Thy tanks will come, Thy wins be done, on Antiga as it is in heaven. Give us this day our daily wins, and forgive us our losses, as we forgive those who play Z & P, and lead us not into race-switching, but deliver us from evil. For thine is the marine, the banshee, and the hellion, for ever and ever Amen Haha awesome! There is only one correct version I'm afraid: Baba yetu, yetu uliye Mbinguni yetu, yetu, amina Baba yetu, yetu, uliye Jina lako litukuzwe. Utupe leo chakula chetu Tunachohitaji utusamehe Makosa yetu, hey Kama nasi tunavyowasamehe Waliotukosea usitutie Katika majaribu, lakini Utuokoe, na yule, milelea milele! Ufalme wako ufike utakalo Lifanyike duniani kama mbinguni Amina | ||
MrCash
United States1504 Posts
On October 29 2012 20:31 Fusilero wrote: I feel like polt ended up slightly better for it if taeja doesn't have a way to capitalise on polt's no stim. Polt took rather hefty SCV losses. If there are no major exchanges for a while, Taeja will slowly move ahead and max out faster, with better upgrades. Taeja will be able to finish the game then, if he doesn't, it will become a positional war. | ||
X3GoldDot
Malaysia3840 Posts
On October 29 2012 20:28 Asha` wrote: Our Father who stims in heaven, hallowed be thy name. Thy tanks will come, Thy wins be done, on Antiga as it is in heaven. Give us this day our daily wins, and forgive us our losses, as we forgive those who play Z & P, and lead us not into race-switching, but deliver us from evil. For thine is the marine, the banshee, and the hellion, for ever and ever Amen mine is better mvp,oh mvp you are not flash but you are still mvp you said to me 'I AM YOUR FATHER' my dick went up so did you flash accepted you and you became jesus amen | ||
AgentChaos
United Kingdom4569 Posts
On October 29 2012 20:31 Fusilero wrote: I feel like polt ended up slightly better for it if taeja doesn't have a way to capitalise on polt's no stim. me too | ||
Fragile51
Netherlands15767 Posts
On October 29 2012 20:32 HaXXspetten wrote: Show nested quote + On October 29 2012 20:29 KiNGxXx wrote: On October 29 2012 20:28 Asha` wrote: On October 29 2012 20:22 Fionn wrote: Terran prayer time. + Show Spoiler + Our Father who stims in heaven, hallowed be thy name. Thy tanks will come, Thy wins be done, on Antiga as it is in heaven. Give us this day our daily wins, and forgive us our losses, as we forgive those who play Z & P, and lead us not into race-switching, but deliver us from evil. For thine is the marine, the banshee, and the hellion, for ever and ever Amen Haha awesome! There is only one correct version I'm afraid: Baba yetu, yetu uliye Mbinguni yetu, yetu, amina Baba yetu, yetu, uliye Jina lako litukuzwe. Utupe leo chakula chetu Tunachohitaji utusamehe Makosa yetu, hey Kama nasi tunavyowasamehe Waliotukosea usitutie Katika majaribu, lakini Utuokoe, na yule, milelea milele! Ufalme wako ufike utakalo Lifanyike duniani kama mbinguni Amina man, swedenland has some weird-ass poems.. | ||
andaylin
United States10830 Posts
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AgentChaos
United Kingdom4569 Posts
On October 29 2012 20:32 X3GoldDot wrote: Show nested quote + On October 29 2012 20:28 Asha` wrote: On October 29 2012 20:22 Fionn wrote: Terran prayer time. Our Father who stims in heaven, hallowed be thy name. Thy tanks will come, Thy wins be done, on Antiga as it is in heaven. Give us this day our daily wins, and forgive us our losses, as we forgive those who play Z & P, and lead us not into race-switching, but deliver us from evil. For thine is the marine, the banshee, and the hellion, for ever and ever Amen mine is better mvp,oh mvp you are not flash but you are still mvp you said to me 'I AM YOUR FATHER' my dick went up so did you flash accepted you and you became jesus amen hahha omg laughing so hard right now | ||
andaylin
United States10830 Posts
perfect execution. | ||
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Shellshock
United States97274 Posts
On October 29 2012 20:30 Shellshock1122 wrote: Show nested quote + On October 29 2012 20:26 Shellshock1122 wrote: On October 29 2012 20:23 Shellshock1122 wrote: GSL Season 5 Code S Group A Losers' Match ![]() ![]() Game 1 Map: Antiga Shipyard 0:00 ![]() ![]() 1:45 rax first for both players 2:00 wall off depot from TaeJa 3:00 CC on the low ground for Polt later CC on the low ground for TaeJa double gas for TaeJa 4:00 double gas for Polt 2nd rax for both players factory for TaeJa tech lab for TaeJa factory for Polt 5:00 tech lab for Polt stim research started for TaeJa combat shields started for Polt 6:00 starport for TaeJa starport for Polt siege tank production begins for Polt bunker at the natural for TaeJa ebay started for TaeJa 7:00 medivac for TaeJa as his starport finishes viking on the way for Polt siege tank production begins for TaeJa ebay on the way for Polt +1 attack started for TaeJa 8:00 siege mode research started for Polt combat shields started for TaeJa drop loaded up for TaeJa and heading towards polt's main Polt pushing into the center of the map drop in the main of Polt gets in unscouted stim research started for Polt 9:00 Polt loses the tech lab researching stim Polt cleans up the drop Polt sieges up outside TaeJa's natural Polt kills the tech lab researching combat shields 10:00 siege mode finishes for TaeJa TaeJa loses a braccks TaeJa stims in and kills off Polt's medivac for high ground vision Polt has to back off 3rd CC on the way for Polt stim restarted for Polt more rax added on for TaeJa 3rd cc started for TaeJa +1 armor started for TaeJa combat shields restarted for TaeJa ebay on the way for Polt 11:00 +1 attack started for Polt armory and 2nd ebay started for TaeJa both players adding on a ton of rax 12:00 Polt ahead 4-2 in siege tanks 2nd ebay finishes for Polt +1 armor started for Polt +2 attack started for TaeJa 2nd factory started for TaeJa Polt lands his 3rd base 13:00 TaeJa lands his 3rd base +2 armor started for TaeJa armory on the way for Polt 2nd factory started for Polt 14:00 Polt takes control of the center of the map missile turret ring going up for TaeJa turret ring going up for Polt Polt breaking down the rocks to TaeJa's 3rd +2 attack started for Polt +1 vehicle weapons started for Polt 15:00 +1 vehicle weapons started for TaeJa 8 marine drop at the 3rd of TaeJa marines clean it up easily Taeja attacks into Polt's army and crushes it right after +2 weapons finishes | ||
mikedebo
Canada4341 Posts
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LimitSEA
Australia9580 Posts
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KristofferAG
Norway25712 Posts
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bbm
United Kingdom1320 Posts
On October 29 2012 20:32 Fragile51 wrote: Show nested quote + On October 29 2012 20:32 HaXXspetten wrote: On October 29 2012 20:29 KiNGxXx wrote: On October 29 2012 20:28 Asha` wrote: On October 29 2012 20:22 Fionn wrote: Terran prayer time. + Show Spoiler + Our Father who stims in heaven, hallowed be thy name. Thy tanks will come, Thy wins be done, on Antiga as it is in heaven. Give us this day our daily wins, and forgive us our losses, as we forgive those who play Z & P, and lead us not into race-switching, but deliver us from evil. For thine is the marine, the banshee, and the hellion, for ever and ever Amen Haha awesome! There is only one correct version I'm afraid: Baba yetu, yetu uliye Mbinguni yetu, yetu, amina Baba yetu, yetu, uliye Jina lako litukuzwe. Utupe leo chakula chetu Tunachohitaji utusamehe Makosa yetu, hey Kama nasi tunavyowasamehe Waliotukosea usitutie Katika majaribu, lakini Utuokoe, na yule, milelea milele! Ufalme wako ufike utakalo Lifanyike duniani kama mbinguni Amina man, swedenland has some weird-ass poems.. Ahaha, it's actually from Civilization IV. Won a grammy and all. | ||
MrCon
France29748 Posts
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LimitSEA
Australia9580 Posts
On October 29 2012 20:34 KristofferAG wrote: Watching Flash v Ryung was definitely more fun. We need another TvT on Whirlwind. | ||
andaylin
United States10830 Posts
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SHOOG
United States1639 Posts
Surprised by how finale beat Taeja though. Hope Taeja can still make it through though! | ||
GolemMadness
Canada11044 Posts
On October 29 2012 20:34 KristofferAG wrote: Watching Flash v Ryung was definitely more fun. There is nothing more exciting than watching a Flash game. | ||
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