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ODT - April 20th

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Hot_Bid
Profile Blog Joined October 2003
Braavos36375 Posts
Last Edited: 2007-04-19 00:53:53
April 19 2007 00:50 GMT
#1
[image loading]


What started out as forty-eight players clawing for twelve spots is now more than halfway over. There are only four more spots left, and they are up for grabs tonight.

One thing is for certain: OGN likes its Terrans. It will be interesting to see if the pro-Terran OSL map trend continues when the new maps are released. So far, we've seen six Terrans, a shark, and a dragon qualify. Add to that the seeds and tonight's results, and this OSL could easily have only three non-Terran players.

So what can we fans who want racial balance do? We can cheer. Cheer for that manly guy, cheer for that bird toss, cheer for... GGPlay?



Group E: April 20th – 14:00 Korean
Game 1 - GooDFriend (T) vs. GGPlay (Z) @ Longinus 2
Game 2 - Stork[gm] (P) vs. donGraE[S.G] (T) @ Longinus 2
Winners - Neo Arkanoid
Losers - Neo Arkanoid
Final - Hitchhiker



[image loading]
GoodFriend (T) vs. GGPlay (Z)
[image loading]

@ Longinus 2

We all know the stats on Longinus 2, and GGPlay has never beaten a Terran on it. Add to that GGPlay's less than stellar 1-5 TvZ record in the OSL on the current iteration of maps and GoodFriend's relative consistency, and we have GF taking this one pretty easily, barring something really freakish.


[image loading]
Stork[gm] (P) vs. dOnGraE[S.G] (T)
[image loading]

@ Longinus 2

If you watched yesterday's MBC Survivor, you saw Stork dual proxy gate inside IriS' base on Long and sneak a DT into Keke's main on Blitz to 2-0 his group and advance. Some of you may remember Dongrae from that long TvT where he was on the receiving end of a NaDa cloned yamato facial. The good news is that Dongrae didn't look half bad, but the bad news is TvT is the only matchup his winning rate is anywhere close to 50% on. Stork should take this easily.


Winners @ Neo Arkanoid

PvT on Neo Arkanoid can be boiled down to how many carriers you can get before the Terran can kill a nexus either by dropping units into the "gay spots" (the walled off, unbuildable area) or pushing into your main. You saw Free do a good job against Midas' drops with a carrier/goon/web army, and you saw Bisu do a horrible job against By.Flash's drops that almost cost him a berth into the OSL. GoodFriend will be consistent as usual and it will come down to Stork's micro with shuttles and carriers. This game could go either way, but will be absolutely critical for Stork, because he does not want even the possibility (however small) of a PvT on Hitchhiker.


Losers @ Neo Arkanoid

It will likely be Dongrae's bad TvZ versus GGPlay on a map where GGPlay is fairly good. I wouldn't be surprised if Dongrae tried a neutral break here. If Dongrae plays standard, GGPlay will likely get to hive and win with defilers. Here's to hoping that happens, because if Dongrae plays amazing and out of his mind and we have a GF/Dongrae double Terran advancement, I may have to shoot myself. I would be thrilled if somehow both Terrans were here, but that would entail an absolute meltdown by GF on Longinus.


Winner/Loser vs. Loser/Winner @ Hitchhiker

There are a ton of possibilities here, none of which GoodFriend has to worry about, so if he's here, he's still pretty much through no matter what. I doubt Dongrae will be here (he's probably going 0-2) but the only match up he could win is a TvP. Most likely it'll be Stork vs GGPlay, and I trust Stork's above average PvZ over GGPlay's mediocre ZvP. Let's hope that Stork can prevail so another Protoss gets through.



Group F: April 20th – 18:30 Korean
Game 1 - [Oops]Reach (P) vs. DArKeLf[S.siR] (T) @ Longinus 2
Game 2 - HiyA[fOu] (T) vs. Sea[Shield] (T) @ Longinus 2
Winners - Neo Arkanoid
Losers - Neo Arkanoid
Final - Hitchhiker



[image loading]
[Oops]Reach (P) vs. DArKeLf[S.siR] (T)
[image loading]

@ Longinus 2

This game and this group are all about Reach. Someone gave him the keys to the rejuvenation machine, and all of us would like nothing more than to see him reclaim a spot in the OSL. This game is absolutely critical for him, because losing means he'd have to go through two PvTs on Arkanoid and Hitchhiker to qualify, a tough task for any Protoss. Fortunately, he's coming off an impressive dismantling of Yooi on the same maps to get here. Darkelf recently lost to our neighborhood badass, Chalrenge, but that doesn't say much since Chalrenge also beat Midas. I predict Reach will rise to the occasion and take this one.


[image loading]
HiyA[fOu] (T) vs. Sea[Shield] (T)
[image loading]

@ Longinus 2

Hiya is decent at TvZ, but has an abysmal 1-6 TvT record, never having won a series. Sea, however, is coming off two wins in the Kespa cup over Casy and forGG, neither of which are TvT pushovers. This one shouldn't be close.


Winners @ Neo Arkanoid

Reach demonstrated very impressive carrier control in a close win over Yooi on this map. Sea, however, is not Yooi, with a sick 70% win rate versus Protoss. Our Hero looks outmatched on this map, but if anyone can do it, Reach can. I wouldn't even mind a bold neutral break build here. Anything to avoid that PvT on HH. Reach does not want to do what Anytime did yesterday, which is rape a boring Terran (Bifrost) on Long only to lose to the same Terran on HH.


Losers @ Neo Arkanoid

If Reach somehow ends up here, everyone pray to give his carriers strength. He will need it. Most likely though, it'll be Hiya vs Darkelf and if that's the case, does anyone really care what happens? Given Hiya's bad TvT, he'll be staring 0-2 in the face.


Winner/Loser vs. Loser/Winner @ Hitchhiker

Let's hope that this is TvT, because that will mean Reach is already through. If Reach ends up here and loses because of the sheer difficulty of PvT on this map, I swear I will go END whoever made this map. It's like they had Casy make a map where he might be able to win a TvP and then snuck it past the map testers somehow. We believe in you Reach, just be decisive and aggressive (i.e. do everything you can--proxy, drops, cannons, carriers, nakedness--anything so that the Terran cannot set up a push at your natural).
@Hot_Bid on Twitter - ESPORTS life since 2010 - http://i.imgur.com/U2psw.png
ShaLLoW[baY]
Profile Blog Joined January 2007
Canada12499 Posts
Last Edited: 2007-04-19 02:27:42
April 19 2007 02:27 GMT
#2
cmon mantoss, make my day and rape the terran infidels :D

ALEXISONFIRE ARE FUCKING BACK (sAviOr for life)
iNcontroL *
Profile Blog Joined July 2004
USA29055 Posts
April 19 2007 03:47 GMT
#3
I hope Reach makes a come back. He totally can smash that T.
Last Romantic
Profile Blog Joined June 2006
United States20661 Posts
April 19 2007 03:54 GMT
#4
it's not really Reach vs Darkelf, Hiya, or Sea.

It isn't even Reach vs Terran

it's Reach vs Neo Arkanoid -_-;
ㅋㄲㅈㅁ
Purind
Profile Blog Joined April 2004
Canada3562 Posts
April 19 2007 04:04 GMT
#5
I'm hoping this season to be Stork's season. He was awesome last time he was in OSL (remember the OSL where yellOw [real one] hatch bugged him? Then he played an amazingly tight bo3 vs. a red hot kespa #1 Chojja). Every single time I see this guy play, he's nothing short of brilliant. Even when he loses, he loses with some flash.

It's protoss time. I'm tired of seeing P players whine. It's time for T and Z players to whine about how P is overpowered
Trucy Wright is hot
niceplayer
Profile Joined March 2007
United States238 Posts
April 19 2007 05:39 GMT
#6
That's a lot of PvT to dredge through.
free[gm] - redeemer toss fighting!
Locked
Profile Joined September 2004
United States4182 Posts
Last Edited: 2007-04-19 05:49:49
April 19 2007 05:49 GMT
#7
I BELIEVE IN REACH!!!

nice analysis' hotbid, i agree for most of it
UMS map pack http://teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=50442
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12968 Posts
April 19 2007 06:45 GMT
#8
Nice news!
Predictions:
-----------------------------
GoodFriend>GGPlay
Stork>DonGraE
Stork>GoodFriend
GGPlay>DonGraE
GoodFriend>GGPlay
-----------------------------
Reach>DArKeLf
Sea>HiYa
Sea>Reach
HiYa>DArKeLf
HiYa>Reach
-----------------------------
thedeadhaji *
Profile Blog Joined January 2006
39489 Posts
April 19 2007 07:04 GMT
#9
On April 19 2007 12:54 Last Romantic wrote:
it's not really Reach vs Darkelf, Hiya, or Sea.

It isn't even Reach vs Terran

it's Reach vs Neo Arkanoid -_-;


you made my mouth eject part of my sandwich into the computer lab montior with that one <3
ManaBlue
Profile Blog Joined July 2004
Canada10458 Posts
April 19 2007 07:51 GMT
#10
Awesome preview Hotbid!

I'm pumped for these games. The only thing that can salvage the shittyness of this all terran OSL is the return of the Mantoss!

MANTOSS!
ModeratorTL VOD legends: Live2Win, hasuprotoss, Cadical, rinizim, Mani, thedeadhaji, Kennigit, SonuvBob, yakii, fw, pheer, CDRdude, pholon, Uraeus, zatic, baezzi. The contributors make this site what it is. *Props to FakeSteve for respecting the guitar gods*
Last Romantic
Profile Blog Joined June 2006
United States20661 Posts
April 19 2007 08:33 GMT
#11
I had a sudden realization.

For all the imbalances of Arkanoid and Hitchhiker, we must remember that Mantoss triumphed over Mercury itself in EVER 2004, beating macro-oov and in-shape YellOw on it.

If he can take Mercury, he can take Arkanoid.
ㅋㄲㅈㅁ
Hot_Bid
Profile Blog Joined October 2003
Braavos36375 Posts
April 19 2007 09:01 GMT
#12
the crazy part is that arkanoid is 61/39 in favor of toss
and longinus is 56-45 in favor of toss

but if you were to ask a protoss which map he'd like to face a terran on....
@Hot_Bid on Twitter - ESPORTS life since 2010 - http://i.imgur.com/U2psw.png
HonestTea *
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
5007 Posts
Last Edited: 2007-04-19 10:57:16
April 19 2007 10:53 GMT
#13
This season's OSL officially sucks balls.

Out of 16 spots, we'll have a minimum 10 Terrans, and a maximum of 13.

I hope the Best of 8 is filled with only Terrans. TvT until the end of the tournament. That'll teach them a lesson.

Fuck, has Cultivation Period taught them nothing?
returns upon momentous occasions.
Last Romantic
Profile Blog Joined June 2006
United States20661 Posts
April 19 2007 10:59 GMT
#14
It's pitiful how there are more terrans in BOTH leagues than zerg and protoss put together.

That's just sad.
ㅋㄲㅈㅁ
SpiritAshura
Profile Joined March 2007
United States1271 Posts
April 19 2007 11:00 GMT
#15
God just get rid of Terran and I'd be way happier than watching mirrors all day.

-.-
dementus
Profile Blog Joined March 2007
Singapore1151 Posts
April 19 2007 13:18 GMT
#16
sorry for the segueway, but who has snapped up the 8 spots?
"I couldn't stop myself from having unreal macro and sick timing senses."
HonestTea *
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
5007 Posts
April 19 2007 13:53 GMT
#17
Seeds:
1. Savior (Z, CJ)
2. Nada (T, Pantech)
3. Iris (T, CJ)
4. Casy (T, OGN)

Qualified through Dual:
UpMagic (T, E-Stro)
by.Flash (T, KTF)
Light (T, MBC)
iloveoov (T, SKT)
Bifrost (T, OGN)
Hwasin (T, STX)
Shark (Z, MBC)
Bisu (P, MBC)
returns upon momentous occasions.
ATeddyBear
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Canada2843 Posts
April 19 2007 15:01 GMT
#18
1 protoss
2 zerg
9 terran
:x
Professional twice over - an analyst and a therapist. The world’s first analrapist.
Last Romantic
Profile Blog Joined June 2006
United States20661 Posts
April 19 2007 15:28 GMT
#19
add GGPlay and Stork to that list, to make 2 toss, 3 zerg, 9 terran.

still really insane ratio.

when all is said and done, will hopefully be 3/3/10
ㅋㄲㅈㅁ
FirstBorn
Profile Blog Joined March 2007
Romania3955 Posts
April 19 2007 18:22 GMT
#20
MAAAAANNNNNNTTTTTOOOOOOOOOOSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
SonuvBob: Yes, the majority of TL is college-aged, and thus clearly stupid.
Pafnucy
Profile Joined October 2002
Poland1124 Posts
April 20 2007 02:13 GMT
#21
"NaDa cloned yamato facial" :D
Member of the "Fuck Yeah, Canata !" committee :-) to join copy/paste this
ManaBlue
Profile Blog Joined July 2004
Canada10458 Posts
April 20 2007 03:59 GMT
#22
This is a monumentus occasion. Watch the VODs for these games NOW! Seriously...
ModeratorTL VOD legends: Live2Win, hasuprotoss, Cadical, rinizim, Mani, thedeadhaji, Kennigit, SonuvBob, yakii, fw, pheer, CDRdude, pholon, Uraeus, zatic, baezzi. The contributors make this site what it is. *Props to FakeSteve for respecting the guitar gods*
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