right now it makes sense to ignore useless and azn for the time being, since the mafia that was caught was confirmed in one of those 7.
Also, we are thinking about vote checking the list with Trancestorm since that frees up more people faster. But we're discussing the plan now.
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Original Message:
we should be able to work around this if you vote-check someone else then. the vigilante would then have to assassinate someone else obviously. the logic applies to both directions of the Chezinu-fusionsdf and aZnvaLiaNce-useLess pairs, so we can still carry out the plan. these are the possible votes to check for the detective:
Ninja4ever. - 1 (day 2)Chezinu
--> kill fusionsdf if Chezinu is townie
zeks - 1 (day 3)aZnvaLiaNce(2)
--> kill useLess if aZnvaLiaNce is townie
Ace - 1 (day 4)fusionsdf
--> kill Chezinu if fusionsdf is townie
unfortunately, there is no convenient vote by useLess, but the three above should be enough already. we have three possible alternatives, so you can leave the two supposed power roles alive. you don't even need to tell me the two rolebearers in case you don't trust me, hehe
convinced yet?
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Original Message:
good idea. There is only ONE major problem with it being that 2 of those guys may carry an important role
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Original Message:
hi!
based on my observations in the quote at the bottom, i have a strategic suggestion to make.
let your lone detective check the votes for Ace on day 4 (that would be only fusionsdf). if fusionsdf is mafia, obviously we know who to hit. now comes the fun part. if he is innocent, let a vigilante kill Chezinu!
now if Chezinu turns out mafia, we successfully reduced mafia killing power and we know that either useLess or aZnvaLiaNce are mafia, and that imDerek, Alventenie and Evilmonkey are all innocent.
Should both Chezinu and fusionsdf be townies (worst case. cost: 1 detective check, 1 vigilante hit, 1 townie), we can at least deduce that useLess and aZnvaLiaNce are innocent too, and that there is one mafia among imDerek, Alventenie and Evilmonkey.
now this is kind of costly and risky. is your detective even free to act or has he already used up his powers for today? alternatively, you could tell the jack to act as a detective, if possible. it is also quite likely that we'll kill a townie or two on the way. i'm willing to take this risk though, especially since noone of the seven suspects appears to be overly active or useful in the thread.
what do you say? at least it is a plan. the last day was really chaotic and fruitless, i think we need some direction.
see you,
Scorch
On April 07 2008 17:04 Scorch wrote:Show nested quote +On April 07 2008 15:16 MidnightGladius wrote:Cross-referencing some lists:
+ Show Spoiler +Confirmed Innocent:
MTF
SpiritoftheTuna
d.arkive
Pangolin
Plexa
~OpZ~
NatsuTerran
Eti307
Empyrean
JoxxOr
Romance_us
BloodyC0bbler
Ghar - 7(now 5) (1 Mafia)
useLess
aZnvaLiaNce
ShadowDrgn
Alventenie
imDerek
TranceStorm
Evilmonkey.
Ace - 7(now 5) (1 Mafia)
Chezinu
Alventenie
imDerek
TranceStorm
fusionsdf
~OpZ~
Evilmonkey.
Here, the following coincide in the two lists:
imDerek
Evilmonkey
Alventenie
Whereas these occur once:
Chezinu
useLess
aZnvaLiaNce
fusionsdf
Of these, the following can easily be count-checked:
fusionsdf (only one voting for Ace)
Chezinu (only one voting for Ninja4ever)
---
aZnvaLiaNce voted for TranceStorm with 13 others, so that's a dead end for now.
Abstentions:
imDerek
Evilmonkey
Alventenie
useLess
Do with this what you will.
I'd like to emphasize this once more:
We have the following certain information:
EITHER one out of
- imDerek
- Evilmonkey
- Alventenieis mafia, OR two out of
- Chezinu
- useLess
- aZnvaLiaNce
- fusionsdfare mafia.
From among the second list, only one of useLess and aZnvaLiaNce can be mafia - not both -, and only one of Chezinu and fusionsdf can be mafia.
At worst, we have a 1/7 chance to get a mafia from among these, a stunning 2/4 at best, so i emphatically suggest we take this path in our investigations. Keep your eyes open for evidence against any of these guys!
My gut feeling says it's either useLess and fusionsdf or Evilmonkey, but it's just that: an unfounded gut feeling.