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Koshi
Belgium38797 Posts
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Koshi
Belgium38797 Posts
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Koshi
Belgium38797 Posts
On June 27 2019 17:23 Jockmcplop wrote: I don't think there's a guaranteed victory here at all, but its close to that. I think treating ES and trfel as 'probably town' and putting them on the back end of the lynch list and then just working our way through it, although simple and kinda boring, gives town the best odds of winning here (unless something changes with ES or trfel that gives us a good solid reason to suspect one of them). So the lynch list is (in order of how likely we are to be able to lynch people): Shapelog/koshi Eywa/Pandain/me rayn/grack ES/trfel obvs hf isn't in there. We have to get more than half way down this list with only mislynches before we can lose, and that's with successful mafia kp each time. The only possible issue there is a grack/rayn scum team and that looks incredibly unlikely to me. Can somebody explain this post? Bottom is mafia lynchers. Top is mafia reads I assume. Grack blue Rayn also blue? | ||
Koshi
Belgium38797 Posts
On June 27 2019 17:09 Pandain wrote: From my perspective all we need to do is lynch through Jock, Shape, Kelsier, and Eywa. Shape and Kelsier being first on the list. There's no way we lose since 100% the last two mafia are in there and we can afford two mislynches. I don't see any world where Rayn or ES is mafia. 0%. From your perspective, if Shape is modkilled, there's still no way we lose even if he is town and we lynch another townie. That will leave me, Jock, and Eywa as possible scum. It will be 5 vs 2 and we can afford one mislynch, meaning we can go through me, jock, and eywa with no problem even if we mislynch first. Imo this sums up the thread. Eversince thibks the same. Somebody else as well except Pandain was mafia xith Shape. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9444 Posts
On June 27 2019 22:48 Koshi wrote: Can somebody explain this post? Bottom is mafia lynchers. Top is mafia reads I assume. Grack blue Rayn also blue? So the lynch list is (in order of how likely we are to be able to lynch people): | ||
Grackaroni
United States9844 Posts
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Koshi
Belgium38797 Posts
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Grackaroni
United States9844 Posts
On June 27 2019 16:22 raynpelikoneet wrote: Maybe you're right and if you are it means (at least to me) that Pandain is not mafia. I am not sure but i got the feeling that Kelsier was pretty viable option at the time and Pandain was already on Kelsier. From my memory people showed more interest in lynching Kelsier than Shapelog, right? I dont remember what happened there. Yes there was more interest in lynching Kelsier than Shape at end of day. | ||
Grackaroni
United States9844 Posts
On June 27 2019 17:36 raynpelikoneet wrote: That's incorrect. You/Eywa/Koshi/Shape should claim if they are blue. Not jock who almost noone is scumreading. Mafia already knows i am not blue. I'd like Jock to claim if he is Blue. ![]() | ||
Grackaroni
United States9844 Posts
On June 27 2019 23:05 Koshi wrote: Hi Grack. How are you friend? Things are good. You going to read through EoD at all? | ||
Grackaroni
United States9844 Posts
On June 27 2019 18:50 Holyflare wrote: And I will be wrong again all the time. You're not up for lynch currently so it doesn't really matter does it? I never said I was a good town player, I'm just outspoken and piece together the puzzles for people to follow. I'm not solely responsible for your lynch, there are many people in this game and if they follow me it is because they agree at some point with me also. I'm not even tunneled, I'm quite relaxed and easy going currently. I'm not spamming for your lynch and realise there are probably alternatives that are likely mafia also but to me this is the lynch I will most likely settle on. Sorry if you're town, you did a bad play to save mafia and if slam was town I would think completely the opposite to how I feel now. Bad luck if you are. You need to put yourself in my shoes. I've seen a person hard defend mafia to lynch one of their town reads - thay they said was for information but now have changed it after everyone called you out to you town reading slam. I don't think town reading slam makes any sense. Who was being lynched before slam was? Everyone.. You have me as confirmed town voting slam and 2 people you don't even scum read voting slam (who has posted nothing!) and now you're saying you were convinced slam was town but don't give any reasons why. Because everyone else treats you as the top town player we like to give you shit when you don't do what we want you to do. | ||
Grackaroni
United States9844 Posts
On June 27 2019 21:42 Eywa- wrote: Does anyone find it weird that Eversince burst into extreme activity ever since everyone pretty much started saying he was confirmed town. Tbh, his vote on Slamkazam seems kind of like a throwaway that accidentally turned into a lynch. There is no reasoning behind it, though he keeps complaining about a lack of reasoning for me, so clearly he's the type of player that would have a case why slam is so much of a better lynch than his day 2 choice right? You serious? How is it scummy to be active when people have already written you off as town. | ||
Eversince
Philippines2297 Posts
I went into work last night, so forewarned everyone: I'm stupid tired and probably will sleep soon. | ||
Eversince
Philippines2297 Posts
To try to help you understand. | ||
Eversince
Philippines2297 Posts
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Holyflare
United Kingdom30774 Posts
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Eversince
Philippines2297 Posts
On June 28 2019 01:47 Holyflare wrote: So this game is very boring and koshi is just mafia right? Likely. ![]() | ||
Eversince
Philippines2297 Posts
I think the whole Shape getting modkilled as a reason to not kill him is valid but game breaking. Town doesn't have the lynches to waste. He's not replaced, been scummy all game, so scum. Koshi came into thread, refuses to actually read thread, leaves. Scum. Eywa has cast stupid arguments about me and hasn't explains her reads which is I think highly doubtful but I could pass on her today too. She hasn't tried to really push those reads. Because I'll fight her off the side of a cliff, or she is just trying to figure out the game, I don't know. I've said enough about this in the thread so anyone can see. Grack never claims as mafia D1 where he did. No point in it. I thought he was trying to take kp. Mafia probably shot HF/Grack. Grack being vet makes sense since I think his objective was to take kp anyway. About it I think. | ||
Eversince
Philippines2297 Posts
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Eversince
Philippines2297 Posts
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