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Liquidmania Qualifier #4 - Page 10

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 10 2017 03:10 GMT
#998
I will play today after work. Got busy yesterday. SL if you cant save a person rwice in a row please claim who you saved.
table for two on a tv tray
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 10 2017 03:16 GMT
#999
Nvm. There is no reason not to claim who you saved.
table for two on a tv tray
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 10 2017 04:30 GMT
#1001
Okay then i think Rels cannot be scum. I think he would have shot Koshi since i am hard-defending him.
table for two on a tv tray
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 10 2017 05:07 GMT
#1003
On April 08 2017 09:36 Tumblewood wrote:
no reason for me to still be voting rels. shapelog vs calix is a tossup imo, given that calix can't be bothered to show up as soon as she's scumread. but I'll stick back on shape for now because I doubt town!shape clears himself later more likely than town!calix

I would still like to hear from Tumble that how on earth is this a good reasoning to place a vote on someone over another person.
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raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 10 2017 08:53 GMT
#1005
Well start commiting.
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raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 10 2017 11:52 GMT
#1011
What do you mean by that?
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raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 10 2017 12:01 GMT
#1012
[QUOTE]On April 06 2017 22:47 Calix wrote:
[QUOTE]On April 06 2017 22:37 Shapelog wrote:
Alright, here where I stand with the conversation between Calix and BTDT.

For Calix side, the following makes me think they are more town then scum when I look at this part.
[QUOTE]On April 06 2017 20:41 Calix wrote:
This went dumb real quick.

Has that cleared everything up? I don't fancy a repeat of disfo/ Xatalos/ Damdred/ Calix where a misunderstanding gets dragged out to epic proportions, lol.[/QUOTE]
I personally think that if Calix was scum, they would of not posted this. It would make sense for Scum!Calix to keep on BTDT as to have a excuse to post, and also because of the what apparently happen with a misunderstanding last game. I do acknowledge that Calix could be backing off here as scum due to a lack of footing on BTDT, but I expect that they would keep on for later credit of being active D1 or even for being on BTDT/Ryan later on if either got into negative light.
[....]
[/QUOTE]
I find it very unlikely Shapelog as town doesn't comment on my case on Calix in any way after saying the above.
Since this:
[QUOTE]On April 07 2017 16:12 raynpelikoneet wrote:
[QUOTE]On April 06 2017 20:41 Calix wrote:
Has that cleared everything up? I don't fancy a repeat of disfo/ Xatalos/ Damdred/ Calix where a misunderstanding gets dragged out to epic proportions, lol.[/QUOTE]
This is actually pretty weird Calix says this because in the last game she was the only one to make a correct read during that argument.[/QUOTE]
....is something that is 100% true and was back then. Easily provable, and early on Shapelog's townread on Calix was mostly based on this and the opposite conclusion he came to. Yes, he later on changed or "changed" the read, but he never really commited to it in any way and i kinda don't believe Shapelog believed his case on Tumblewood was better than the case on Calix.
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raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 10 2017 12:03 GMT
#1013
EBWOP:
On April 06 2017 22:37 Shapelog wrote:
Alright, here where I stand with the conversation between Calix and BTDT.

For Calix side, the following makes me think they are more town then scum when I look at this part.
Show nested quote +
On April 06 2017 20:41 Calix wrote:
This went dumb real quick.

Has that cleared everything up? I don't fancy a repeat of disfo/ Xatalos/ Damdred/ Calix where a misunderstanding gets dragged out to epic proportions, lol.

I personally think that if Calix was scum, they would of not posted this. It would make sense for Scum!Calix to keep on BTDT as to have a excuse to post, and also because of the what apparently happen with a misunderstanding last game. I do acknowledge that Calix could be backing off here as scum due to a lack of footing on BTDT, but I expect that they would keep on for later credit of being active D1 or even for being on BTDT/Ryan later on if either got into negative light.
[....]

I find it very unlikely Shapelog as town doesn't comment on my case on Calix in any way after saying the above.
Since this:
On April 07 2017 16:12 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 06 2017 20:41 Calix wrote:
Has that cleared everything up? I don't fancy a repeat of disfo/ Xatalos/ Damdred/ Calix where a misunderstanding gets dragged out to epic proportions, lol.

This is actually pretty weird Calix says this because in the last game she was the only one to make a correct read during that argument.

....is something that is 100% true and was back then. Easily provable, and early on Shapelog's townread on Calix was mostly based on this and the opposite conclusion he came to. Yes, he later on changed or "changed" the read, but he never really commited to it in any way and i kinda don't believe Shapelog believed his case on Tumblewood was better than the case on Calix.
table for two on a tv tray
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 10 2017 12:40 GMT
#1015
On April 10 2017 21:40 Rels wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 10 2017 20:52 raynpelikoneet wrote:
What do you mean by that?

That I don't find Shape's filter particulary scummy, but not townie either and everyone else is town.

I meant the cordial interactions with Calix. Which ones do you mean?
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raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 10 2017 13:00 GMT
#1017
That's true she talks to Shapelog very differently than she talks to anyone else she ever talked to in this game.
table for two on a tv tray
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 11 2017 00:21 GMT
#1036
On April 11 2017 05:36 darthfoley wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 11 2017 05:21 Tumblewood wrote:
On April 11 2017 00:19 darthfoley wrote:
On April 11 2017 00:10 Tumblewood wrote:
On April 11 2017 00:03 darthfoley wrote:
On April 10 2017 20:39 Rels wrote:
in comparaison Shape / Calix is so cordial. More cordial than any other interaction in Calix' filter.
yep. ##Vote Shapelog


So you think scum!Calix would try to be cordial with her partner in a game with lots of veterans?

there are one and a half fatal assumptions here
one is that calix was trying to do that, which would just be silly. the other being that calix might do that to a particular townie, which is highly improbable


Why is it highly improbable?

idk, it's just one of those things you don't think about as scum. not that you couldn't, just that you don't.
plus it would only be useful if calix flips and town calls it out, which is not easily foreseeable from the first 24 hours


Fair enough. I still don't see why "calix's interactions with btdt make it unlikely they're together" cuz don't mafia often pressure each other early D1 and then back off (which is what she kinda did)

It is not "they interacted with together and ended up not calling each other scum", it's more of how the interaction went, especially from btdt's side. Like usually when mafia interacts with mafia and it ends like this both people know what they are doing, right? They have a plan and they know where it ends, in the end. I think it's highly unlike when Calix "ends the interaction" btdt just keeps going on and going on with it. Also that was the one of the interactions that made btdt "sad" a bit later in the game. Why would he get sad for that? He had just achieved what he wanted to as mafia.
table for two on a tv tray
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 11 2017 01:50 GMT
#1039
On April 08 2017 05:06 Tumblewood wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 08 2017 05:01 Shapelog wrote:
On April 08 2017 04:51 Tumblewood wrote:
On April 08 2017 04:26 Shapelog wrote:
On April 08 2017 04:18 Tumblewood wrote:
shiiiiiit all my vote logic falls apart unless we know what alignment rels is
I could believe 6/7 people posting are town
tomorrow

isnt the point of voting logic figuring out people's alignment based off the votes?

Regardless if rels votes or not or knowing his alignment, Why cant you do vote logic?

I think you can usually figure out whether the lynch is on town or scum in the hour before, based on wagon logic
if there is only one active scum that goes down the drain

I disagree strongly,

Yes you typically can guess one hour before flip in some cases, but in this one. We only have 2 mafia. So if Rels is mafia, there is still one mafia who is either afk OR actively misleading town.

If you assume that Rels is mafia, and suspect one person is actively misleading town, then you still have one person actively misleading town. The fact that Rel's is afk makes no difference to the fact that that person is still messing up town. Therefore, you can still do voting logic I.E. looking at when someone vote. Who took what wagon etc.

Saying you cant find the other person (or I guess in your case, make more points against me) is far from reality.

if rels is mafia then the mafia have as much thread pull as one townie. they cannot really decide wagons. if there are two active mafia, they can work together to make sure the lynch is neither of them, and unless they fold hard (unlikely given the quality of players) that will probably be true at deadline. unfortunately I can't make a read based on that if there is a 25% chance it's not true

What does this post mean?
You assume if Rels is mafia here mafia cannot have thread pull with one player but they can if Rels is not - with two players especially given the quality of players. Can you elaborate more on what you mean here? If the quality of players is "bad" as you seem to be saying, why can't 1 mafia make a difference and produce amounts of thread pull?

Calix (2) - Koshi, darthfoley
Tumblewood (2) - beentheredonethat, Shapelog
Rels (1) - Tumblewood
Sicklucker (1) - raynpelikoneet
beentheredonethat (1) - sicklucker

Not Voting (2) - Calix, Rels

Here is the votecount at the time you made the post so how on earth could "one mafia definitely not produce enough thread pull especailly with the quality of players"?
table for two on a tv tray
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 11 2017 01:55 GMT
#1040
The thing is we only have 1 lynch. Because if sicklucker doesn't get another save and doesn't die in the next 2 nights he should be lynched in lylo. So better start playing sicklucker. And no, saying "this person is scum this person is town this is bad lynch" doesn't qualify as playing. That qualifies as Onegu, which again is not playing.
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raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 11 2017 09:52 GMT
#1055
sl why is Tumble town?
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raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 11 2017 12:55 GMT
#1088
On April 11 2017 20:51 Koshi wrote:
Eeuhm. I played super active and I was the catalysator of the Calix lynch. I identified she was mafia before you people had a clue, pushed her, and told you why she was mafia. Multiple times, over multiple pages.

The sucking up to rayn was legit.

I only didn't play at night & D2. And I was able to lurk there a bit because you guys were slow as fuck. But it doesn't matter, I was 100% ok with the Shape lynch.


It is not my job to make this game anymore. I already earned MVP for the Calix push D1. But due to having it already I will let you people fight for it. If you think I should be lynched... Sure thing. Townies literally cannot play better than I did in the first 42 hours I was in the game. So go lynch me and proof you are all worthless.

I gave you 1 mafia. Go find the second. If I am still in your PoE for some reason go find a head doctor.

This is not a good attitude Koshi. Please help me.
table for two on a tv tray
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 11 2017 13:01 GMT
#1091
On April 11 2017 21:07 Koshi wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 09 2017 02:02 Shapelog wrote:
About Rels,

I dont like the fact he came in and voted calix without really and explanation other then him being where ryan was. I felt honestly he was more focused on me and tumble each (his other scumreads) then what was actually going on with calix. I know there was a small conversation a page back on how scum!rels might voted in regards of calix being scum. I personally think scum!rels would vote calix there instead of saving her because she was MIA. Why stick out and not vote her when it could cause sus. to come on her.

Another thing is the SL read. I first i actually thought this put to ease my sus. as scum!rels needs to keep the scum pool more open since he needs 3 ML's and what better to do that through ryan. Ryan is after-all seen as town my the majority of people, and could be talked into it if needed. But he didnt, which i first thought was town. But then I reread it and saw something:
On April 08 2017 06:38 Rels wrote:
rayn. About SL. He feels town. He focused on himself and he's not hiding it, and he's focused on his read on you because of it. It doesn't add anything for him as scum. It's not good looking for him. It wastes time that is all. But he's doing it anyway. I think he's town for that.
Like his posts when he come back to the thread after leaving is focused on that:
On April 07 2017 14:21 sicklucker wrote:
On April 07 2017 06:45 raynpelikoneet wrote:
(Wiki)
On April 07 2017 06:44 beentheredonethat wrote:
I'm fine with Rels, Tumble, Shape, Calix, Koshi lynches apparently

and also Rayn

lol I don't have townreads apparently

I am curious though, why is sicklucker town?


why am i mafia. hell you know I wanted to answer something but your posts through page 10 were so bad about me and completely random and wrong


On April 07 2017 14:23 sicklucker wrote:
once again ryan you seem to have tunneled on something completely null and pointless to the game which im ignoring because I believe its completely null and pointless to the game and that makes you think im mafia.

Even if you think im mafia im not a day 1 player and if you lynch me day 1 again after saying you dont want to mislynch me trololo. I acualy kind of want this to happen

and he knows he cannot out arguee you. I think I remember him saying you're the player he fears the most, he said that like one year ago. Doesn'et make sense to try to ou targuee you. Especially since he's not lynched. And he is not trying to change the lynch either. He's mainly talking about your read on him.

This argument is fine for sl being town but do note what i bolded. Rel's reasoning for tr SL is due to his focus on himself and such. Then this happens a few posts later:
On April 08 2017 07:09 sicklucker wrote:
shapelog is just the best lynch here by far. he can totally be with calix hell it even makes alot of sense. but if you guys lynch calix first you might do something stupid like lynch tumbleweed

so Saltshaker starts trying to move the lynch (something im going to check out eventually) onto me and off of calix. Now, imo this should cause his read to progress or at least be reconsidered as this is something that does go against this reasoning for why SL is town. however, in response to ryans question about sl in general:
His posts during the night haven't changed my mind. I think he's town based on his lack of mindset. But he'"s not lock town.

This bothers me because ryan did mention his stance towards the lynching, which I would expect rels to react to with his read. I don't see how that doesn't cause anything to go off in rel's mind if he believes the reasons to tr sl off based off that post. Which suggests he isnt really reading and figure out things.

Maybe the SL thing isn't strong but i dont like how he came in her and just voted calix, picked around with me and tumble, and peace. I feel like town!rels would post or mention more then just being really condense down and focused on certain people while not even mentioning others.

Thoughts?


I read Shape his filter and this was fucking gold.
wp Shape.

I think this is not what makes Rels mafia in case he is mafia here. Like fucking literally Rels doesn't HAVE TO do this if he is mafia, he doesn't have to townread sicklucker for this reason. Why do you - as mafia - townread people for reasons you don't have to????? You are supposed to push mislynches to win games, not townread possible suspects (which sicklucker definitely was because he was defending Calix on D1)....

Why does mafia!Rels do what Shapelog claims here? I don't care if it seems irrational, i care about why the fuck does someone who is actually goosd at this game as scum do that????
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raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 11 2017 13:03 GMT
#1092
I don't really think there is a chance sicklucker is mafia, i just want him to play because i don't wanna lose this fucking game just because everyone stops playing.... So please play, you too Rels if you're town.
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raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 11 2017 13:04 GMT
#1093
On April 11 2017 22:00 Koshi wrote:
Just make sure your last posts give a clear direction for tomorrow rayn.

Rels/Tumble/btdt/df

And if you have time and didn't already do it. (I didn't read the previous 100 hours carefully yet), can you give me your opinion on how likely it is df is brilliant mafia that just made a couple but really good quality posts.

If darthfoley's play from what the last game (him as mafia) was has suddenly gone like 100% different then yes he could be mafia, but no.
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raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 11 2017 13:31 GMT
#1095
Idk. Well if Tumblewood is not mafia then Rels has to be but rn i am much more inclined to think Tumblewood is scum.
table for two on a tv tray
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 11 2017 15:33 GMT
#1097
On April 12 2017 00:08 Koshi wrote:
It is true what you say but I think Rels just made the correct play to survive. Calix was made.

Same could be said about you and me too... And i don't think i am mafia and i don't think you are mafia.
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