On September 29 2016 06:24 Calix wrote: Actually I have one question. DYH, who are you going to vote for and why? Don't spend ages on answering this, lol.
##Vote: Scott
I've been thinking about Superbia's kill. There are 4 reasons I can think of for it.
1. Medic dodge. 2. Town is off track, didn't want a fresh vet voice changing things 3. Superbia is on right track 4. WIFOM salad
#1 is obviously the case. With their RB gone they aren't going to target Calix (most townread person N1). #2 is iffy. Obviously taking out a fresh voice in Superbia accomplishes this, but he isn't heavily townread and he has stated repeatedly that he was going to be lazy this game. #3 is the most likely case. After losing your RB the first night you can't risk someone with correct suspicions putting you down 0-2. Most common reason to kill someone, also makes the most sense from the mafia perspective this game. #4 is very unlikely. There are too many people who have established themselves decently as town, too many people more productive than Superbia.
On September 29 2016 06:08 Tictock wrote: DYH, why are we getting these reads 2 at a time?
Iunno, gets em out faster but in 5 posts instead of 10? Because I am, that's why.
Next 2 are harder. I haven't paid much attention to skynx or scott this game.
"Hey guys, I haven't read half of the game and I haven't really paid any attention to these posters, but here's my opinion."
This is an extremely odd thing to say to your #1 scum read on the eve of his flip.
Why ? It is pretty true
True or not you don't tell someone you think is scum to stop posting pre-flip, that is extremely foolish.
I didn't tell you to stop posting pre-flip, I suggested that you might want to read the thread before posting reads tho. Like, pick one person and give a read, if you're pressed for time.
I have skimmed d2, I am not completely ignorant of it. You of all people should know how long it takes me to dig deep into someone. I don't have that kind of time.
On September 29 2016 06:24 Calix wrote: Actually I have one question. DYH, who are you going to vote for and why? Don't spend ages on answering this, lol.
##Vote: Scott
I've been thinking about Superbia's kill. There are 4 reasons I can think of for it.
1. Medic dodge. 2. Town is off track, didn't want a fresh vet voice changing things 3. Superbia is on right track 4. WIFOM salad
#1 is obviously the case. With their RB gone they aren't going to target Calix (most townread person N1). #2 is iffy. Obviously taking out a fresh voice in Superbia accomplishes this, but he isn't heavily townread and he has stated repeatedly that he was going to be lazy this game. #3 is the most likely case. After losing your RB the first night you can't risk someone with correct suspicions putting you down 0-2. Most common reason to kill someone, also makes the most sense from the mafia perspective this game. #4 is very unlikely. There are too many people who have established themselves decently as town, too many people more productive than Superbia.
Wha..
Was this supposed to have something to do with your vote?
And you say 1 is obv the case, and 3 is the most likely case...
The cases are not exclusive. Once you decide to medic dodge by not hitting someone like Calix you have a whole host of options left.
On September 29 2016 06:24 Calix wrote: Actually I have one question. DYH, who are you going to vote for and why? Don't spend ages on answering this, lol.
##Vote: Scott
I've been thinking about Superbia's kill. There are 4 reasons I can think of for it.
1. Medic dodge. 2. Town is off track, didn't want a fresh vet voice changing things 3. Superbia is on right track 4. WIFOM salad
#1 is obviously the case. With their RB gone they aren't going to target Calix (most townread person N1). #2 is iffy. Obviously taking out a fresh voice in Superbia accomplishes this, but he isn't heavily townread and he has stated repeatedly that he was going to be lazy this game. #3 is the most likely case. After losing your RB the first night you can't risk someone with correct suspicions putting you down 0-2. Most common reason to kill someone, also makes the most sense from the mafia perspective this game. #4 is very unlikely. There are too many people who have established themselves decently as town, too many people more productive than Superbia.
By 3, Xata would also be likely scum no ? Can you answer why you claim you have no previous Skynx read when you actually had one ?
By 3, Xata hadn't pressured Scott much at all pre-EON iirc. So no, Xata isn't in the same boat.
I'm racing the clock, short on sleep, and not fact checking myself. Huzzah, my read now agrees with my read before.
On September 29 2016 06:39 Calix wrote: DYH, why try to start a new train when you could vote for Stutters?
I find that extremely weird when you said he was a possible scum tbh.
Let's be honest here, I'm not turning this train on me around. There is too much information to be gained and too much has happened/not happened to and from me to not go through with the lynch.
So I'm going to put my vote on the person I think is most likely to flip scum. Stutters is possible scum but I still trust my gut reads from early in the game. If I end up being wrong, so be it, but I think Scott is more likely.
On September 29 2016 06:39 Calix wrote: DYH, why try to start a new train when you could vote for Stutters?
I find that extremely weird when you said he was a possible scum tbh.
Let's be honest here, I'm not turning this train on me around. There is too much information to be gained and too much has happened/not happened to and from me to not go through with the lynch.
So I'm going to put my vote on the person I think is most likely to flip scum. Stutters is possible scum but I still trust my gut reads from early in the game. If I end up being wrong, so be it, but I think Scott is more likely.
Is there something other on scott than NK analysis?
Eh, nothing concrete or convincing. It is mostly PoE from my other reads. I nod along with most of Skynx's posts and can see them coming from town, Scott gets squinty eyes from me with how he is pushing people, being agreeable and generally not sticking his neck out.
EPT![[image loading]](http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_E9NPoeLuzC4/SBduCiDE-sI/AAAAAAAAAMM/ChOEeq0pFsc/s320/miss-south-carolina-2007-teen-pageant.jpg)
