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Pick Your Power: Intriguing - Page 249

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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sicklucker
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
Canada16987 Posts
February 01 2016 05:17 GMT
#4961
<3
Tictock
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States6052 Posts
February 01 2016 05:44 GMT
#4962
On February 01 2016 13:16 CopCake wrote:
Also just think of this

I know I am town

What if when I die you find out GB was town too?

You either get two less town or find out one mafia gb and town cake.

I


This feels odd coming from someone who is basically not playing the game.

She even told us the only reason she was around near deadline was to play dota with rayn.

I know I'm dying to find out what GB's alignment was, so why isn't Cake?

Sorry bad joke, but do you get what I mean?

Even if GB was town that is great for us to know.

And actually in the off chance of GB being town, it would make it super likely that Cake is mafia.

+ Show Spoiler [Tinfoil] +
It's weak but I noticed Rels making posts earlier on that had a similar tone to those I found about Kita and Dis. His attitude about her changed in the past day or two, but notice even when he was pushing his "Koshi hatter'd Keir" stuff he never considered CC a target and it was always me 100%.

Cake's vote also being an outlier this late in the game, and when she was around (even if she wasn't here for EoD, she was posting) decided to keep her vote on me for no reason.

Thinking it's super likely that Rels last post was WIFOM and that Cake was mafia with him.



I can take that responsibility.
Palmar
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Iceland22633 Posts
February 01 2016 09:52 GMT
#4963
essentially, we can kill 2 more people I think

1 with superbia's shot today, and 1 with the lynch tomorrow.

superbia and I are off the table. This means that we have two opportunities to shoot into the other 4 people and get it right. Killing for information is not an option. That being said cc is a good kill too to hit mafia.

Computer says mafia
Palmar
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Iceland22633 Posts
February 01 2016 09:53 GMT
#4964
The simple solution is to shoot one of cc and tt and kill the other btw. They are the people with the least amount of reasons to townread.
Computer says mafia
Superbia
Profile Blog Joined April 2008
Netherlands8889 Posts
February 01 2016 12:14 GMT
#4965
Please no more discussion until EoN.

Post everything you have at EoN.
Minimal effort.
Palmar
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Iceland22633 Posts
February 01 2016 13:32 GMT
#4966
I do not quite understand why, but I suppose I can comply
Computer says mafia
Palmar
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Iceland22633 Posts
February 01 2016 13:32 GMT
#4967
I guess I trust superbia
Computer says mafia
Tictock
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States6052 Posts
February 01 2016 17:07 GMT
#4968
Well there goes my reading for my meal break then.

Looks like a snow storm is canceling my 2nd job today so I'll be able to put together an EoN post.
I can take that responsibility.
Tictock
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States6052 Posts
February 01 2016 21:34 GMT
#4969
Got my EoN post all ready to go.

Should be a good one.
I can take that responsibility.
Tictock
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States6052 Posts
February 01 2016 21:36 GMT
#4970
Btw, I get not sharing reads makes it harder for scum to decide who they should shoot, but I really don't see a reason for total silence.

Not like it matters at this point with ~ an hour to go.
I can take that responsibility.
Palmar
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Iceland22633 Posts
February 01 2016 22:49 GMT
#4971
I'm not really going to write an EoN post
Computer says mafia
Superbia
Profile Blog Joined April 2008
Netherlands8889 Posts
February 01 2016 22:51 GMT
#4972
On February 02 2016 06:36 Tictock wrote:
Btw, I get not sharing reads makes it harder for scum to decide who they should shoot, but I really don't see a reason for total silence.

Not like it matters at this point with ~ an hour to go.


There's a good reason. Trust me.
Minimal effort.
Superbia
Profile Blog Joined April 2008
Netherlands8889 Posts
February 01 2016 22:53 GMT
#4973
Does resolution start in 5m or 1h5m?
Minimal effort.
Superbia
Profile Blog Joined April 2008
Netherlands8889 Posts
February 01 2016 22:54 GMT
#4974
Does resolution start in 5m or 1h5m?
Minimal effort.
sicklucker
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
Canada16987 Posts
February 01 2016 22:57 GMT
#4975
Ill just say that if im nked with one or two kp one of palmar and super are possible mafia. there is 0 reason for mafia to dodge kills now. You might have to figure out what team they would be on and if its possible. probably dont kill them till the next day tho. Im quite worried about the no conceded thing.

Even tho I am more confirmed then them mafia probably does not think so
Tictock
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States6052 Posts
February 01 2016 22:59 GMT
#4976
Ok, so my predictions, Cake gets shot flips scum and GB flips Town. Scum kills The Shining. (+1?)

Slim chance Super shoots me instead (if he does he is 100% scum, like forcing town to consider using a lynch on Cake one more day is such a mafia move it's not even funny) but I'm fairly sure Shining dies due to my Ban on him.

After Cake I think Palmar and Suber as most likely to be scum. Maybe I'm way off on TS and SL, but I don't think so. Between them Palmar has done a ton of work in catching scum, it's really unlikely that he is scum and if he is he's played this very well.

Basically this leaves me looking at Super.




I took another look at his filter from D1 onward, wanted to be a bit more thorough and also look for possible associations.

I think there is a strong chance Super was with FF. FF was one of the few people I actually fins Super talking about having a strong TR on, but it feels pretty flimsy. He flipped as soon as the check was reveled but he also tried to start shenannies EoD onto me. Really odd move given how the day had been, also it's odd how sure Super has been on me being scum all game but has never given any reasoning to push it.

For reference I put all the posts related to FF I could find together, sorry if they are jumbled. Nothing really stands out, but together it looks far more like Super is coaxing FF to post and play then gives him an unexplained townread.

+ Show Spoiler [Super's Posts on FF] +
On January 20 2016 02:02 Superbia wrote:
FF post some more.

On January 20 2016 06:24 Superbia wrote:
What do you feel your chances are this game FF?

On January 20 2016 06:29 Superbia wrote:
Mind sharing the knowledge VA? Or do you want to keep it a secret for now?

Also any reads so far FF? What do you think about my alignment?

On January 20 2016 09:35 Superbia wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 20 2016 09:28 Palmar wrote:
On January 20 2016 09:15 sicklucker wrote:
1. Keirathi 1
2. Superbia 2
3. ObiWanShinobi 5
4. Rels 7
5. Palmar 10
6. geript 17?
7. Breshke20

Everyone else overlapped lol and i got last somehow...
8. Koshi
9. Cephiro
10. kitaman27
11. Vivax
12. Tictock
13. disformation
14. Fecalfeast
15. Damdred
16. AlotSomuch
17. VayneAuthority
18. The Shining
19. Onegu
20. Sicklucker
21. Copcake
22. GlowingBear


The following players need to be assigned roles due to alignment:

ceph
vivax
disfo
fecal
alot
vayne
shining
glowingbear


I like this list a lot. I think you can remove FF though. Not entirely sure yet.

On January 22 2016 09:19 Superbia wrote:
Wow FF with the actual logic bomb. Nice.

On January 22 2016 02:29 Superbia wrote:
Yeah FF got moriarty confirmed then. But I already had a decent townread on him so meh.


Then after seeing the Redcheck
On January 25 2016 07:12 Superbia wrote:
Super tired. FF actually being mafia is the most messed up thing. Godread = no more.


Probably the biggest thing here is Super's EoD reactions before FF and Kita flip, it makes very little sense why he is suddenly wanting to shenannigan onto me. Unless of course it was a last ditch move to try and save FF. From a town perspective it makes no sense, you've either decided to trust and lynch the redcheck at that point, or you've explained why FF is town or Kita is scum (or both). Super did none of those things, he accepted the redcheck (just said "oops, guess my read on FF was bad") and doesn't bring doubts up till EoD.




I'm also noticing that Super was really focused on people not claiming D1 and in general had really been focused on mechanics and roles. So it's really wierd that I'm not finding any mention of Onegu in his filter. No reaction to Onegu's late claim/role. He shot VA for having an Anti-town role but then N2 Super tries to shoot me over Onegu for reasons? Why did he care so much about VA's role being anti town, but give literally no shits that Onegu took his role and wasted Alot's role by not claiming.

This is the only post I found where Super talks about Onegu's alignment.
On January 24 2016 09:05 Superbia wrote:
Onegu is a mystery to me tbh.


I also pointed out earlier how uninterested Super seemed when the lynch was Onegu vs SL, he jumped right into talking about night actions but nothing about lynches besides some stuff that suggests he preferred not to lynch Onegu. Which looks really off given he never gave a read on Onegu or really talked about him after asking him to claim D1.

On January 28 2016 09:24 Superbia wrote:
God damnit. We should've had onegu kill off disformation with his ability and then lynched onegu. We could've forced keir to house diagnostics rels with only KP being able to interfere.






This is not really strong, but this post jumped out at me.
On January 28 2016 09:07 Superbia wrote:
Nah man. Use the resources you have. :D I have caught 100% mafia the same way.

I'm pretty sure from kita's filter alone that Vivax was likely with FF (opposite of Kita). Also leaning towards GB being a hit and on Kita's team.


The bit about GB is really wierd, how is there any indication as to who's team GB was on?

I think this is actually a slip. The only reason why Super could have any inclination about GB being on one team over the other is if Super is in fact mafia with FF and Vivax (and Onegu), it makes sense given the stuff I noticed between Super and FF as well.


Biggest thing is that don't give anyone a pass for no reason from now on. If I die tonight, please don't ignore this post, so far my reads have been pretty on point.

If I live then pick this argument apart, tell me why Super is town. If you think I'm scum tell me why.

I think this game is solved.

Rels/Dis/Kita/Cake vs Vivax/FF/Onegu/Super

And yes this means I think GB is gunna flip town.
I can take that responsibility.
Half the Sky
Profile Joined May 2014
Germany9029 Posts
February 01 2016 23:00 GMT
#4977
What time is it? It's resolution time!

[image loading]

Resolving night actions - silence please until the daypost.
The phoenix must burn to emerge. - Janet Fitch
Superbia
Profile Blog Joined April 2008
Netherlands8889 Posts
February 01 2016 23:01 GMT
#4978
Minimal effort.
Palmar
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Iceland22633 Posts
February 01 2016 23:03 GMT
#4979
Computer says mafia
Half the Sky
Profile Joined May 2014
Germany9029 Posts
February 01 2016 23:11 GMT
#4980
Day 5





Copcake, as the Shovel Knight, was nightkilled!

Palmar, as the Arrow, was nightkilled!

The body of GlowingBear, as Kenpachi, was exhumed from the grave, an innocent man.


It is now Day 5. With 4 alive it takes 3 to lynch. The day will end in
The phoenix must burn to emerge. - Janet Fitch
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