EPT[T][M] Resistance V - Section 31 - Page 121
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ShoCkeyy
7815 Posts
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kitaman27
United States9244 Posts
On January 22 2014 12:11 kitaman27 wrote: ![[image loading]](http://www2.math.ou.edu/~kujawa/E7plane.jpg) My fellow players, I present to you the greatest advancement in scum hunting techniques since the Mafia Report Card and the Day Three Mayor Election. I am proud to introduce Mafia Combinatorics! In an 11 player setup with three mafia members, there are 165 possible mafia team combinations. However, by attempting to only identify a pair of scum buddies, this number can be significantly reduced. By assuming that you are town*, there are three valid pairs in a group of 45 combinations. If you are able to identify two town players with a high degree of confidence, this number is reduced to three in a group of 28 pairings. Rather than attempting to look for a pair of scum buddies, I shall attempt to identify pairs who are not scum buddies. Even if a valid pair is eliminated due to poor reasoning, there are still two other correct combinations, which allows me to make multiple mistakes before I've eliminated all valid solutions. Through process of elimination, I shall use this list to generate a vote that is slightly better than random, but only with your help! I will attempt to include an updated spoilered list in every post with the cominbations that have not been eliminated based on interactions in the thread, lynch flips, night hits, and strong town reads. If you strongly disagree with a combination that has been eliminated or you believe that I should consider removing a pair for various reasons, let me know! Eliminating yourself because you are town is not a valid suggestion. That only works for me because I'm special. The mafia team is now facing a ticking time bomb. Will they manage to kill me before the game is solved? Will I realize this is a terrible idea that is incredibly time inefficient? Will I be ignored because you guys are unable to appreciate the greatness of my plans? Find out! * Disclaimer: Please keep in mind that this may not be a valid assumption before applying Mafia Combinatorics to a game. + Show Spoiler [Potential Mafia Pairs] + {Foolishness,Marvellosity} {Foolishness,Promethelax} {Foolishness,Austinmcc} {Foolishness,Sandroba} {Foolishness,VisceraEyes} {Foolishness,HolyFlare} {Foolishness,Hapahauli} {Foolishness,Gonzaw} {Marvellosity,Promethelax} {Marvellosity,Austinmcc} {Marvellosity,Sandroba} {Marvellosity,VisceraEyes} {Marvellosity,HolyFlare} {Marvellosity,Hapahauli} {Marvellosity,Gonzaw} {Promethelax,Austinmcc} {Promethelax,Sandroba} {Promethelax,VisceraEyes} {Promethelax,HolyFlare} {Promethelax,Hapahauli} {Promethelax,Gonzaw} {Austinmcc,Sandroba} {Austinmcc,VisceraEyes} {Austinmcc,HolyFlare} {Austinmcc,Hapahauli} {Austinmcc,Gonzaw} {Sandroba,VisceraEyes} {Sandroba,HolyFlare} {Sandroba,Hapahauli} {Sandroba,Gonzaw} {VisceraEyes,HolyFlare} {VisceraEyes,Hapahauli} {VisceraEyes,Gonzaw} {HolyFlare,Hapahauli} {HolyFlare,Gonzaw} {Hapahauli,Gonzaw} Mafia combinations has returned and is as inefficient as ever! Watch in amazement as I eliminate possible mafia combinations. Which completely unfounded assumption will I use to accidentally eliminate the actual mafia team? Stay tuned! kitaman27 ShoCkeyy Half the Sky kitaman27 ShoCkeyy Rels kitaman27 ShoCkeyy Artanis[Xp] kitaman27 ShoCkeyy Xatalos kitaman27 ShoCkeyy Vivax kitaman27 ShoCkeyy raynpelikoneet kitaman27 ShoCkeyy sicklucker kitaman27 Half the Sky Rels kitaman27 Half the Sky Artanis[Xp] kitaman27 Half the Sky Xatalos kitaman27 Half the Sky Vivax kitaman27 Half the Sky raynpelikoneet kitaman27 Half the Sky sicklucker kitaman27 Rels Artanis[Xp] kitaman27 Rels Xatalos kitaman27 Rels Vivax kitaman27 Rels raynpelikoneet kitaman27 Rels sicklucker kitaman27 Artanis[Xp] Xatalos kitaman27 Artanis[Xp] Vivax kitaman27 Artanis[Xp] raynpelikoneet kitaman27 Artanis[Xp] sicklucker kitaman27 Xatalos Vivax kitaman27 Xatalos raynpelikoneet kitaman27 Xatalos sicklucker kitaman27 Vivax raynpelikoneet kitaman27 Vivax sicklucker kitaman27 raynpelikoneet sicklucker ShoCkeyy Half the Sky Rels ShoCkeyy Half the Sky Artanis[Xp] ShoCkeyy Half the Sky Xatalos ShoCkeyy Half the Sky Vivax ShoCkeyy Half the Sky raynpelikoneet ShoCkeyy Half the Sky sicklucker ShoCkeyy Rels Artanis[Xp] ShoCkeyy Rels Xatalos ShoCkeyy Rels Vivax ShoCkeyy Rels raynpelikoneet ShoCkeyy Rels sicklucker ShoCkeyy Artanis[Xp] Xatalos ShoCkeyy Artanis[Xp] Vivax ShoCkeyy Artanis[Xp] raynpelikoneet ShoCkeyy Artanis[Xp] sicklucker ShoCkeyy Xatalos Vivax ShoCkeyy Xatalos raynpelikoneet ShoCkeyy Xatalos sicklucker ShoCkeyy Vivax raynpelikoneet ShoCkeyy Vivax sicklucker ShoCkeyy raynpelikoneet sicklucker Half the Sky Rels Artanis[Xp] Half the Sky Rels Xatalos Half the Sky Rels Vivax Half the Sky Rels raynpelikoneet Half the Sky Rels sicklucker Half the Sky Artanis[Xp] Xatalos Half the Sky Artanis[Xp] Vivax Half the Sky Artanis[Xp] raynpelikoneet Half the Sky Artanis[Xp] sicklucker Half the Sky Xatalos Vivax Half the Sky Xatalos raynpelikoneet Half the Sky Xatalos sicklucker Half the Sky Vivax raynpelikoneet Half the Sky Vivax sicklucker Half the Sky raynpelikoneet sicklucker Rels Artanis[Xp] Xatalos Rels Artanis[Xp] Vivax Rels Artanis[Xp] raynpelikoneet Rels Artanis[Xp] sicklucker Rels Xatalos Vivax Rels Xatalos raynpelikoneet Rels Xatalos sicklucker Rels Vivax raynpelikoneet Rels Vivax sicklucker Rels raynpelikoneet sicklucker Artanis[Xp] Xatalos Vivax Artanis[Xp] Xatalos raynpelikoneet Artanis[Xp] Xatalos sicklucker Artanis[Xp] Vivax raynpelikoneet Artanis[Xp] Vivax sicklucker Artanis[Xp] raynpelikoneet sicklucker Xatalos Vivax raynpelikoneet Xatalos Vivax sicklucker Xatalos raynpelikoneet sicklucker Vivax raynpelikoneet sicklucker | ||
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kitaman27
United States9244 Posts
Look at that progress! Eliminated combinations: kitaman27 ShoCkeyy Rels kitaman27 ShoCkeyy Artanis[Xp] kitaman27 ShoCkeyy Xatalos kitaman27 ShoCkeyy Vivax kitaman27 ShoCkeyy raynpelikoneet kitaman27 ShoCkeyy sicklucker kitaman27 Half the Sky Rels kitaman27 Half the Sky Artanis[Xp] kitaman27 Half the Sky Xatalos kitaman27 Half the Sky Vivax kitaman27 Half the Sky raynpelikoneet kitaman27 Half the Sky sicklucker kitaman27 Rels Artanis[Xp] kitaman27 Rels Xatalos kitaman27 Rels Vivax kitaman27 Rels raynpelikoneet kitaman27 Rels sicklucker kitaman27 Artanis[Xp] Xatalos kitaman27 Artanis[Xp] Vivax kitaman27 Artanis[Xp] raynpelikoneet kitaman27 Artanis[Xp] sicklucker kitaman27 Xatalos Vivax kitaman27 Xatalos raynpelikoneet kitaman27 Xatalos sicklucker kitaman27 Vivax raynpelikoneet kitaman27 Vivax sicklucker kitaman27 raynpelikoneet sicklucker Combinations Remaining: ShoCkeyy Half the Sky Rels ShoCkeyy Half the Sky Artanis[Xp] ShoCkeyy Half the Sky Xatalos ShoCkeyy Half the Sky Vivax ShoCkeyy Half the Sky raynpelikoneet ShoCkeyy Half the Sky sicklucker ShoCkeyy Rels Artanis[Xp] ShoCkeyy Rels Xatalos ShoCkeyy Rels Vivax ShoCkeyy Rels raynpelikoneet ShoCkeyy Rels sicklucker ShoCkeyy Artanis[Xp] Xatalos ShoCkeyy Artanis[Xp] Vivax ShoCkeyy Artanis[Xp] raynpelikoneet ShoCkeyy Artanis[Xp] sicklucker ShoCkeyy Xatalos Vivax ShoCkeyy Xatalos raynpelikoneet ShoCkeyy Xatalos sicklucker ShoCkeyy Vivax raynpelikoneet ShoCkeyy Vivax sicklucker ShoCkeyy raynpelikoneet sicklucker Half the Sky Rels Artanis[Xp] Half the Sky Rels Xatalos Half the Sky Rels Vivax Half the Sky Rels raynpelikoneet Half the Sky Rels sicklucker Half the Sky Artanis[Xp] Xatalos Half the Sky Artanis[Xp] Vivax Half the Sky Artanis[Xp] raynpelikoneet Half the Sky Artanis[Xp] sicklucker Half the Sky Xatalos Vivax Half the Sky Xatalos raynpelikoneet Half the Sky Xatalos sicklucker Half the Sky Vivax raynpelikoneet Half the Sky Vivax sicklucker Half the Sky raynpelikoneet sicklucker Rels Artanis[Xp] Xatalos Rels Artanis[Xp] Vivax Rels Artanis[Xp] raynpelikoneet Rels Artanis[Xp] sicklucker Rels Xatalos Vivax Rels Xatalos raynpelikoneet Rels Xatalos sicklucker Rels Vivax raynpelikoneet Rels Vivax sicklucker Rels raynpelikoneet sicklucker Artanis[Xp] Xatalos Vivax Artanis[Xp] Xatalos raynpelikoneet Artanis[Xp] Xatalos sicklucker Artanis[Xp] Vivax raynpelikoneet Artanis[Xp] Vivax sicklucker Artanis[Xp] raynpelikoneet sicklucker Xatalos Vivax raynpelikoneet Xatalos Vivax sicklucker Xatalos raynpelikoneet sicklucker Vivax raynpelikoneet sicklucker | ||
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Xatalos
Finland9673 Posts
HTS, if you were town, you would have already rethought over some things after your 100% townread rayn called your arguments bullshit.... And I showed why that was the case. | ||
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kitaman27
United States9244 Posts
It's so easy! Eliminated Combinations: ShoCkeyy Half the Sky Artanis[Xp] ShoCkeyy Half the Sky Vivax ShoCkeyy Rels Artanis[Xp] ShoCkeyy Rels Vivax ShoCkeyy Artanis[Xp] Vivax Half the Sky Rels Artanis[Xp] Half the Sky Rels Vivax Half the Sky Artanis[Xp] Vivax Rels Artanis[Xp] Vivax Combinations Remaining: ShoCkeyy Half the Sky Xatalos ShoCkeyy Half the Sky raynpelikoneet ShoCkeyy Half the Sky sicklucker ShoCkeyy Rels Xatalos ShoCkeyy Rels raynpelikoneet ShoCkeyy Rels sicklucker ShoCkeyy Artanis[Xp] Xatalos ShoCkeyy Artanis[Xp] raynpelikoneet ShoCkeyy Artanis[Xp] sicklucker ShoCkeyy Xatalos Vivax ShoCkeyy Xatalos raynpelikoneet ShoCkeyy Xatalos sicklucker ShoCkeyy Vivax raynpelikoneet ShoCkeyy Vivax sicklucker ShoCkeyy raynpelikoneet sicklucker Half the Sky Rels Xatalos Half the Sky Rels raynpelikoneet Half the Sky Rels sicklucker Half the Sky Artanis[Xp] Xatalos Half the Sky Artanis[Xp] raynpelikoneet Half the Sky Artanis[Xp] sicklucker Half the Sky Xatalos Vivax Half the Sky Xatalos raynpelikoneet Half the Sky Xatalos sicklucker Half the Sky Vivax raynpelikoneet Half the Sky Vivax sicklucker Half the Sky raynpelikoneet sicklucker Rels Artanis[Xp] Xatalos Rels Artanis[Xp] raynpelikoneet Rels Artanis[Xp] sicklucker Rels Xatalos Vivax Rels Xatalos raynpelikoneet Rels Xatalos sicklucker Rels Vivax raynpelikoneet Rels Vivax sicklucker Rels raynpelikoneet sicklucker Artanis[Xp] Xatalos Vivax Artanis[Xp] Xatalos raynpelikoneet Artanis[Xp] Xatalos sicklucker Artanis[Xp] Vivax raynpelikoneet Artanis[Xp] Vivax sicklucker Artanis[Xp] raynpelikoneet sicklucker Xatalos Vivax raynpelikoneet Xatalos Vivax sicklucker Xatalos raynpelikoneet sicklucker Vivax raynpelikoneet sicklucker | ||
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Xatalos
Finland9673 Posts
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Xatalos
Finland9673 Posts
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Xatalos
Finland9673 Posts
quite a useless assumption really if you want to make it "scientific"  | ||
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Xatalos
Finland9673 Posts
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Xatalos
Finland9673 Posts
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Xatalos
Finland9673 Posts
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kitaman27
United States9244 Posts
Pew pew pew Eliminated Combinations: ShoCkeyy Half the Sky sicklucker ShoCkeyy Artanis[Xp] Xatalos ShoCkeyy Artanis[Xp] sicklucker ShoCkeyy Xatalos sicklucker Half the Sky Artanis[Xp] Xatalos Half the Sky Artanis[Xp] sicklucker Half the Sky Xatalos sicklucker Artanis[Xp] Xatalos sicklucker Combinations Remaining: ShoCkeyy Half the Sky raynpelikoneet ShoCkeyy Rels Xatalos ShoCkeyy Rels raynpelikoneet ShoCkeyy Rels sicklucker ShoCkeyy Artanis[Xp] raynpelikoneet ShoCkeyy Xatalos Vivax ShoCkeyy Xatalos raynpelikoneet ShoCkeyy Vivax raynpelikoneet ShoCkeyy Vivax sicklucker ShoCkeyy raynpelikoneet sicklucker Half the Sky Rels Xatalos Half the Sky Rels raynpelikoneet Half the Sky Rels sicklucker Half the Sky Artanis[Xp] raynpelikoneet Half the Sky Xatalos Vivax Half the Sky Xatalos raynpelikoneet Half the Sky Vivax raynpelikoneet Half the Sky Vivax sicklucker Half the Sky raynpelikoneet sicklucker Rels Artanis[Xp] Xatalos Rels Artanis[Xp] raynpelikoneet Rels Artanis[Xp] sicklucker Rels Xatalos Vivax Rels Xatalos raynpelikoneet Rels Xatalos sicklucker Rels Vivax raynpelikoneet Rels Vivax sicklucker Rels raynpelikoneet sicklucker Artanis[Xp] Xatalos Vivax Artanis[Xp] Xatalos raynpelikoneet Artanis[Xp] Vivax raynpelikoneet Artanis[Xp] Vivax sicklucker Artanis[Xp] raynpelikoneet sicklucker Xatalos Vivax raynpelikoneet Xatalos Vivax sicklucker Xatalos raynpelikoneet sicklucker Vivax raynpelikoneet sicklucker | ||
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kitaman27
United States9244 Posts
![[image loading]](http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-guvRGPJVLV0/UOxyAlXpiMI/AAAAAAAAAkE/2BAiVS8Jzlc/s1600/theres-a-chance-o.gif) Good News Everyone! We have a 1/37 shot at this. | ||
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kitaman27
United States9244 Posts
Assumption 4: ShoCkeyy and rayn aren't scum buddies together. Too much abuse. I don't think it is scum to scum since the frustrations seem legit. Eliminated Combinations: ShoCkeyy Rels raynpelikoneet ShoCkeyy Artanis[Xp] raynpelikoneet ShoCkeyy Xatalos raynpelikoneet ShoCkeyy Vivax raynpelikoneet ShoCkeyy raynpelikoneet sicklucker Combinations Remaining: ShoCkeyy Rels Xatalos ShoCkeyy Rels sicklucker ShoCkeyy Xatalos Vivax ShoCkeyy Vivax sicklucker Half the Sky Rels Xatalos Half the Sky Rels raynpelikoneet Half the Sky Rels sicklucker Half the Sky Artanis[Xp] raynpelikoneet Half the Sky Xatalos Vivax Half the Sky Xatalos raynpelikoneet Half the Sky Vivax raynpelikoneet Half the Sky Vivax sicklucker Half the Sky raynpelikoneet sicklucker Rels Artanis[Xp] Xatalos Rels Artanis[Xp] raynpelikoneet Rels Artanis[Xp] sicklucker Rels Xatalos Vivax Rels Xatalos raynpelikoneet Rels Xatalos sicklucker Rels Vivax raynpelikoneet Rels Vivax sicklucker Rels raynpelikoneet sicklucker Artanis[Xp] Xatalos Vivax Artanis[Xp] Xatalos raynpelikoneet Artanis[Xp] Vivax raynpelikoneet Artanis[Xp] Vivax sicklucker Artanis[Xp] raynpelikoneet sicklucker Xatalos Vivax raynpelikoneet Xatalos Vivax sicklucker Xatalos raynpelikoneet sicklucker Vivax raynpelikoneet sicklucker | ||
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kitaman27
United States9244 Posts
Eliminated Combinations: Half the Sky Artanis[Xp] raynpelikoneet Half the Sky Xatalos raynpelikoneet Half the Sky Vivax raynpelikoneet Half the Sky raynpelikoneet sicklucker Combinations Remaining: ShoCkeyy Rels Xatalos ShoCkeyy Rels sicklucker ShoCkeyy Xatalos Vivax ShoCkeyy Vivax sicklucker Half the Sky Rels Xatalos Half the Sky Rels sicklucker Half the Sky Xatalos Vivax Half the Sky Vivax sicklucker Rels Artanis[Xp] Xatalos Rels Artanis[Xp] raynpelikoneet Rels Artanis[Xp] sicklucker Rels Xatalos Vivax Rels Xatalos raynpelikoneet Rels Xatalos sicklucker Rels Vivax raynpelikoneet Rels Vivax sicklucker Rels raynpelikoneet sicklucker Artanis[Xp] Xatalos Vivax Artanis[Xp] Xatalos raynpelikoneet Artanis[Xp] Vivax raynpelikoneet Artanis[Xp] Vivax sicklucker Artanis[Xp] raynpelikoneet sicklucker Xatalos Vivax raynpelikoneet Xatalos Vivax sicklucker Xatalos raynpelikoneet sicklucker Vivax raynpelikoneet sicklucker | ||
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kitaman27
United States9244 Posts
Eliminated Combinations: Rels Xatalos raynpelikoneet Rels Vivax raynpelikoneet Artanis[Xp] Xatalos raynpelikoneet Artanis[Xp] Vivax raynpelikoneet Artanis[Xp] raynpelikoneet sicklucker Xatalos Vivax raynpelikoneet Xatalos raynpelikoneet sicklucker Vivax raynpelikoneet sicklucker Rels raynpelikoneet sicklucker Combinations Remaining: ShoCkeyy Rels Xatalos ShoCkeyy Rels sicklucker ShoCkeyy Xatalos Vivax ShoCkeyy Vivax sicklucker Half the Sky Rels Xatalos Half the Sky Rels sicklucker Half the Sky Xatalos Vivax Half the Sky Vivax sicklucker Rels Artanis[Xp] Xatalos Rels Artanis[Xp] sicklucker Rels Xatalos Vivax Rels Xatalos sicklucker Rels Vivax sicklucker Artanis[Xp] Xatalos Vivax Artanis[Xp] Vivax sicklucker Xatalos Vivax sicklucker | ||
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ShoCkeyy
7815 Posts
On November 12 2015 09:46 Xatalos wrote: Well, I guess I'll be going to sleep... Let's see if shockeyy proposes anything good, though I doubt it. You doubt it because I will nominate an all town team and not one of your liking. | ||
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kitaman27
United States9244 Posts
Eliminated Combinations: Rels Xatalos sicklucker Combinations Remaining: ShoCkeyy Rels Xatalos ShoCkeyy Rels sicklucker ShoCkeyy Xatalos Vivax ShoCkeyy Vivax sicklucker Half the Sky Rels Xatalos Half the Sky Rels sicklucker Half the Sky Xatalos Vivax Half the Sky Vivax sicklucker Rels Artanis[Xp] Xatalos Rels Artanis[Xp] sicklucker Rels Xatalos Vivax Rels Vivax sicklucker Artanis[Xp] Xatalos Vivax Artanis[Xp] Vivax sicklucker | ||
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kitaman27
United States9244 Posts
Eliminated Combinations: Half the Sky Rels sicklucker Combinations Remaining: ShoCkeyy Rels Xatalos ShoCkeyy Rels sicklucker ShoCkeyy Xatalos Vivax ShoCkeyy Vivax sicklucker Half the Sky Xatalos Vivax Half the Sky Vivax sicklucker Rels Artanis[Xp] Xatalos Rels Artanis[Xp] sicklucker Rels Xatalos Vivax Rels Vivax sicklucker Artanis[Xp] Xatalos Vivax Artanis[Xp] Vivax sicklucker | ||
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kitaman27
United States9244 Posts
)Even if I don't narrow it down to a single combination, maybe I can narrow it down far enough where there is a team of four (and eventually five) that would be clean based on the combinations remaining. | ||
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