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[M][N] Mini Mafia: The (kinda) Vanilla Experience - Page 118

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Onegu
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States9699 Posts
October 26 2015 20:58 GMT
#2341
Bleh
Try TL Mafia!!!
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
22298 Posts
October 26 2015 20:59 GMT
#2342
Yam not posting is his scum meta and if he's town and just playing terribly then we lose a day cause he's playing terribly (or not at all).

Ace sig brought it on point: "Town is as strong as their weakest player".
Not to say yam is a weak player in general but if he's town in this game he clearly is cause he doesn't even have to do much besides posting his opinion somewhat regularly to not get lynched.
Blazinghand *
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States25559 Posts
October 26 2015 21:01 GMT
#2343
On October 27 2015 05:55 Chromatically wrote:
I agree with a lot of that post, BH. But honestly I would argue that our biggest threat to our ability to win is lynching mafia, not lynching people who don't play the game. Lurkers are really bad for town in this setup, but I think we have to consider if lynching a lurker is our best chance of hitting mafia. I don't think it is right now, but clearly many disagree.


Ok, I totally get what you're getting at here. there's an argument to be made, and it is a totally reasonable one, that perhaps all lurkers are town and all active players are mafia, and we should lynch into the most suspicious active players. And in a sense, I think that is not 100% wrong. For example; I think rayn needed an extension and some time to sort out his rage and unwillingness to play. But there are what, 4 lurkers here out of 11 players? It's almost certain that there's at least one mafia in the lurk group, and there are ones like Hopeless1 and Yamato who are literally playing just enough to not ge tmodkilled (remember, this game has no activity requirement). If I were scum this game, I'd just never post and it would be easy. In fact, I feel really certain at least one scum, or maybe all scum, are doing this. And why not? There's a vocal contingent of people (including the lurkers themselves) who do not want to lynch into lurkers

We have to think smarter. Normally, lurkers are handled by modkills for failure to meet posting requirements, or cops, or vigilantes, or at the very least some blues make it to LYLO and claim and we have a narrow lynch pool. We have none of those tools this game. People are abusing the ability to lurk, and sure, ti sounds like they have reasons, but there's no reason scum can't just fake reasons. As scum, I would.

We need to solve this problem ourselves. We obviously can't lynch every lurker, since doing so is the same as guessing all scum are lurkers (if 2-3 of them are town, we'll run out of lynches and lose probably first). But we can lynch the worst lurker or two, the ones we'll never get a read on, and I'm gambling on one of them being scum.

Obviously none of these guys are gonna shot if they're town. What will you do in LYLO when it's all lurkers and scum, or all lurking scum we're refusing ot lynch? We can't have that.

Gb will always LOOK worse than Yam because there's a filter to look at. He could have eaisly chosen to never post and he'd be just like Yam, protected by "well, we can't just lynch lurkers, or we'd lose". GB CHOSE TO PLAY. He chose to play the damn game, to try to solve things, even if he's super wrong and dumb, and MAKING THAT CHOICE, that's a town thing. If he's scum, he didn't have to post SHIT. He just had to let the thread implode.

He stepped up! HE STEPPED UP.

Don't punish that.
When you stare into the iCCup, the iCCup stares back.
TL+ Member
gumshoe
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
Canada3602 Posts
October 26 2015 21:03 GMT
#2344
On October 27 2015 05:57 Chromatically wrote:
The yamato lynch isn't terrible by any stretch of the imagination. I'm just very confident in GB. But it's doubtful it will happen today anyway.


The problem is they are not both scum / : when Yam flips red you better give up your gb read. Else we gonna have problems.
gumshoe bullshitting at 120%~~Prplz
Blazinghand *
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States25559 Posts
October 26 2015 21:04 GMT
#2345
On October 27 2015 05:57 gumshoe wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 27 2015 05:55 Chromatically wrote:
I agree with a lot of that post, BH. But honestly I would argue that our biggest threat to our ability to win is lynching mafia, not lynching people who don't play the game. Lurkers are really bad for town in this setup, but I think we have to consider if lynching a lurker is our best chance of hitting mafia. I don't think it is right now, but clearly many disagree.


A useless lurker, WITH scummy traits, whose playing against his meta : P Not a bad shot at all.


On October 27 2015 05:57 Chromatically wrote:
The yamato lynch isn't terrible by any stretch of the imagination. I'm just very confident in GB. But it's doubtful it will happen today anyway.


On October 27 2015 05:59 Vivax wrote:
Yam not posting is his scum meta and if he's town and just playing terribly then we lose a day cause he's playing terribly (or not at all).

Ace sig brought it on point: "Town is as strong as their weakest player".
Not to say yam is a weak player in general but if he's town in this game he clearly is cause he doesn't even have to do much besides posting his opinion somewhat regularly to not get lynched.


I actually think the Yam lynch has a decent chance of flipping scum. LIke I said, GB could easily be scum. But he's trying to play the game on some level, so we WILL figure him out, one way or another. He looks scummier than Yam chiefly because he has actually made posts! And whether he's scum or town that would be true. That flip-flop on rayn is bad for sure but can we really afford not to lynch yam here?
When you stare into the iCCup, the iCCup stares back.
TL+ Member
gumshoe
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
Canada3602 Posts
October 26 2015 21:05 GMT
#2346
On October 27 2015 06:01 Blazinghand wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 27 2015 05:55 Chromatically wrote:
I agree with a lot of that post, BH. But honestly I would argue that our biggest threat to our ability to win is lynching mafia, not lynching people who don't play the game. Lurkers are really bad for town in this setup, but I think we have to consider if lynching a lurker is our best chance of hitting mafia. I don't think it is right now, but clearly many disagree.


Ok, I totally get what you're getting at here. there's an argument to be made, and it is a totally reasonable one, that perhaps all lurkers are town and all active players are mafia, and we should lynch into the most suspicious active players. And in a sense, I think that is not 100% wrong. For example; I think rayn needed an extension and some time to sort out his rage and unwillingness to play. But there are what, 4 lurkers here out of 11 players? It's almost certain that there's at least one mafia in the lurk group, and there are ones like Hopeless1 and Yamato who are literally playing just enough to not ge tmodkilled (remember, this game has no activity requirement). If I were scum this game, I'd just never post and it would be easy. In fact, I feel really certain at least one scum, or maybe all scum, are doing this. And why not? There's a vocal contingent of people (including the lurkers themselves) who do not want to lynch into lurkers

We have to think smarter. Normally, lurkers are handled by modkills for failure to meet posting requirements, or cops, or vigilantes, or at the very least some blues make it to LYLO and claim and we have a narrow lynch pool. We have none of those tools this game. People are abusing the ability to lurk, and sure, ti sounds like they have reasons, but there's no reason scum can't just fake reasons. As scum, I would.

We need to solve this problem ourselves. We obviously can't lynch every lurker, since doing so is the same as guessing all scum are lurkers (if 2-3 of them are town, we'll run out of lynches and lose probably first). But we can lynch the worst lurker or two, the ones we'll never get a read on, and I'm gambling on one of them being scum.

Obviously none of these guys are gonna shot if they're town. What will you do in LYLO when it's all lurkers and scum, or all lurking scum we're refusing ot lynch? We can't have that.

Gb will always LOOK worse than Yam because there's a filter to look at. He could have eaisly chosen to never post and he'd be just like Yam, protected by "well, we can't just lynch lurkers, or we'd lose". GB CHOSE TO PLAY. He chose to play the damn game, to try to solve things, even if he's super wrong and dumb, and MAKING THAT CHOICE, that's a town thing. If he's scum, he didn't have to post SHIT. He just had to let the thread implode.

He stepped up! HE STEPPED UP.

Don't punish that.


you so sexy.
gumshoe bullshitting at 120%~~Prplz
Rels
Profile Joined August 2008
France13467 Posts
October 26 2015 21:05 GMT
#2347
Day 2 Vote Count


yamato77 (5): gumshoe, Xatalos, GlowingBear, Vivax, Hopeless1der, Vivax, Blazinghand
GlowingBear (2): Chromatically, ritoky, Vivax
raynpelikoneet (1): Xatalos, Blazinghand, GlowingBear, Vivax
Xatalos (1): raynpelikoneet, Onegu
Hopeless1der (1): Onegu, Onegu, Blazinghand
Onegu (0): Vivax, Xatalos, Blazinghand

Not Voting (1): yamato77

Looks like it's time to sack yamato77 for being a traitor!
Day 2 ends in at 22:00 GMT (+00:00).

The quality control list is here.
The automated list counter is here.
Only votes on this list will be counted.

Please mind the deadline as failure to vote will result in a modkill.
Chromatically
Profile Joined January 2012
United States1700 Posts
October 26 2015 21:06 GMT
#2348
On October 27 2015 06:01 Blazinghand wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 27 2015 05:55 Chromatically wrote:
I agree with a lot of that post, BH. But honestly I would argue that our biggest threat to our ability to win is lynching mafia, not lynching people who don't play the game. Lurkers are really bad for town in this setup, but I think we have to consider if lynching a lurker is our best chance of hitting mafia. I don't think it is right now, but clearly many disagree.


Ok, I totally get what you're getting at here. there's an argument to be made, and it is a totally reasonable one, that perhaps all lurkers are town and all active players are mafia, and we should lynch into the most suspicious active players. And in a sense, I think that is not 100% wrong. For example; I think rayn needed an extension and some time to sort out his rage and unwillingness to play. But there are what, 4 lurkers here out of 11 players? It's almost certain that there's at least one mafia in the lurk group, and there are ones like Hopeless1 and Yamato who are literally playing just enough to not ge tmodkilled (remember, this game has no activity requirement). If I were scum this game, I'd just never post and it would be easy. In fact, I feel really certain at least one scum, or maybe all scum, are doing this. And why not? There's a vocal contingent of people (including the lurkers themselves) who do not want to lynch into lurkers

We have to think smarter. Normally, lurkers are handled by modkills for failure to meet posting requirements, or cops, or vigilantes, or at the very least some blues make it to LYLO and claim and we have a narrow lynch pool. We have none of those tools this game. People are abusing the ability to lurk, and sure, ti sounds like they have reasons, but there's no reason scum can't just fake reasons. As scum, I would.

We need to solve this problem ourselves. We obviously can't lynch every lurker, since doing so is the same as guessing all scum are lurkers (if 2-3 of them are town, we'll run out of lynches and lose probably first). But we can lynch the worst lurker or two, the ones we'll never get a read on, and I'm gambling on one of them being scum.

Obviously none of these guys are gonna shot if they're town. What will you do in LYLO when it's all lurkers and scum, or all lurking scum we're refusing ot lynch? We can't have that.

Gb will always LOOK worse than Yam because there's a filter to look at. He could have eaisly chosen to never post and he'd be just like Yam, protected by "well, we can't just lynch lurkers, or we'd lose". GB CHOSE TO PLAY. He chose to play the damn game, to try to solve things, even if he's super wrong and dumb, and MAKING THAT CHOICE, that's a town thing. If he's scum, he didn't have to post SHIT. He just had to let the thread implode.

He stepped up! HE STEPPED UP.

Don't punish that.

Yeah, fair points. I disagree that GB chose to play, I think that if he did nothing at all today like yamato did, he would be the lynch instead of yamato due to how hard he was being pushed.

Ideally, we lynch the obvious/active mafia first and then can use those flips to help us with the lurkers, but that doesn't always work out nicely. So I do agree that at some point we have to bite the bullet and lynch one, and yamato is a good choice because of his meta.
Blazinghand *
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States25559 Posts
October 26 2015 21:08 GMT
#2349
Onegu, only you and I are willing to lynch H1, and honestly the fact that you support me in this makes me nervous. Get your vote off him and onto a main wagon (yam, GB, or rayn I suppose) and just be ready for shenannies if people are in for it. As it is now your vote is irrelevant and you're opting out of the town discourse. Get acquanted with GB and Yam at least, and start arguing!
When you stare into the iCCup, the iCCup stares back.
TL+ Member
ritoky
Profile Joined March 2011
United States6851 Posts
October 26 2015 21:08 GMT
#2350
I am willing to lynch h1.
“When interest is at variance with conscience, any distinction to make them friends will serve the hollow-hearted.” -Henry Home
Rels
Profile Joined August 2008
France13467 Posts
October 26 2015 21:08 GMT
#2351
In case the countdown is not working (as I have been told it's unreliable), deadline is 50 minutes from this post.
Chromatically
Profile Joined January 2012
United States1700 Posts
October 26 2015 21:09 GMT
#2352
BH, do you like a Hopeless lynch over a yamato lynch?
Blazinghand *
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States25559 Posts
October 26 2015 21:10 GMT
#2353
On October 27 2015 06:08 ritoky wrote:
I am willing to lynch h1.

OK, this brings us up to 3-- ritoky, vivax, and myself. The main wagon, the one on Yamato, has 5 votes. If I unvote, it will have 4. So, we need two more commitments, or one commitment from someone on the yam wagon (gum, xat, vivax)
When you stare into the iCCup, the iCCup stares back.
TL+ Member
Blazinghand *
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States25559 Posts
October 26 2015 21:10 GMT
#2354
On October 27 2015 06:09 Chromatically wrote:
BH, do you like a Hopeless lynch over a yamato lynch?


ahhhhhhhhh gimme like 10 minutes to filter dive. I did before, but all this arguing about how bad yam is may have convinced me yam is worse
When you stare into the iCCup, the iCCup stares back.
TL+ Member
Chromatically
Profile Joined January 2012
United States1700 Posts
October 26 2015 21:12 GMT
#2355
My biggest problem with a Hopeless lynch is that I feel like tomorrow will turn into an exact repeat of today where gumshoe pushes yamato all day and I don't want to do that all again honestly.
Xatalos
Profile Joined January 2011
Finland9675 Posts
October 26 2015 21:16 GMT
#2356
I think Hopeless is more likely town than yamato.... Because Hopeless is pretty much null and yamato is more likely scum than town... But I'm starting to wonder if yamato will just get modkilled anyway :/ Though it feels like he's still following the thread to some extent so I wouldn't be surprised if he pops in to vote at the last minute.
"The opportunity to secure ourselves against defeat lies in our own hands, but the opportunity of defeating the enemy is provided by the enemy himself." - Sun Tzu
gumshoe
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
Canada3602 Posts
October 26 2015 21:18 GMT
#2357
On October 27 2015 06:12 Chromatically wrote:
My biggest problem with a Hopeless lynch is that I feel like tomorrow will turn into an exact repeat of today where gumshoe pushes yamato all day and I don't want to do that all again honestly.


Well the goal is to lynch the one with the best shot of bieng scum (Which I DO think is Yam but of course we can disagree) but yeah, I do think waiting a day for Yams flip would be too much for my heart T_T
gumshoe bullshitting at 120%~~Prplz
gumshoe
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
Canada3602 Posts
October 26 2015 21:21 GMT
#2358
Yam has been following the thread(hes mostly playing games as opposed to working so I dont doubt it), he may very well pop in, whats more if we lynch hopeless and hopeless flips town as a worst case scenario and then I or Bh or xata get shot, we might not be able to get another wagon on Yam like today, especially with Rayn being a little bitch.
gumshoe bullshitting at 120%~~Prplz
Blazinghand *
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States25559 Posts
October 26 2015 21:22 GMT
#2359
Hmm, so it looks like Yam made some general commentary without doing any hard pushes (though he semed on board with slam lynch) during D1. Then he faded out at the end of D1 and has commented rarely since. His reasoning has to do with morale and vidja games

Hopeless1 has literally only posted one-liners except for this post: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/496215-mini-mafia-the-kinda-vanilla-experience?page=107#2125 and similarly dropped off at the end of D1. His excuse was that he was partying all weekend due to his new job, which is less likely to be true (since yam's is true whether he's scum or town). He spent a lot of time tlaking about my rng, voted slam literally expressly as a sheep, and asked/answered a few basica questions.

I guess this post by Yam:

On October 22 2015 13:35 yamato77 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 22 2015 13:28 Chromatically wrote:
On October 22 2015 13:23 yamato77 wrote:
I don't think Vivax is mafia.

I think Xatalos has some questionable parts of his filter and I agree with gumshoe to an extent.

I do not think gumshoe is mafia very often (given his play this game).

I think marv has changed how he plays (quite obviously). Don't know what to make of that quite yet.

I think rayn is leaning town but it's hard to say with not much having happened.

Most others are a big ?, including yourself.

tl;dr it's been 20 pages and 8 hours and no reads are confident.

Who would you lynch between if you had to pick right now?

I wouldn't, because I have like 40 hours to decide.

This is one of the issues I have with Xatalos/Vivax and their "read" on me. Do you really expect me to be super active when there's nothing really that interesting to talk about? It's fucking pointless conjecture. No answer to your question will mean a damn thing in 20 hours when I have more substantive stuff to talk about.

Sure, it makes you question my alignment, but do I really care? No. When I want to, I'll be painfully obvious town and I'll almost certainly find a better lynch than most of you, and once you realize this, we'll be heading in a better direction. Thinking that you're "putting pressure" on me by forcing me to answer asinine questions is literally the least useful thing you could do at this juncture.

If I fail to deliver, you can go ahead and try to get me lynched, but in the mean time, don't delude yourself into thinking I'm scum just because I won't play the game the way you want me to. It's rather silly.


Is probably better than the entire hopeless filter combined even though it's mostly BS.

Generally, it seems like Hopeless1 is a slightly better lynch to me. At least Yam was like, commenting on stuff what he was alive, right?

But honestly both these guys need to die.

On October 27 2015 06:12 Chromatically wrote:
My biggest problem with a Hopeless lynch is that I feel like tomorrow will turn into an exact repeat of today where gumshoe pushes yamato all day and I don't want to do that all again honestly.


Hmm, this is a valid objection I suppose. How about we be ready to shenannie onto H1 if Yam is gonna get modkilled due to failure to vote? This might be the win-win we're looking for
When you stare into the iCCup, the iCCup stares back.
TL+ Member
Xatalos
Profile Joined January 2011
Finland9675 Posts
October 26 2015 21:23 GMT
#2360
True... Let's play it safe then.
"The opportunity to secure ourselves against defeat lies in our own hands, but the opportunity of defeating the enemy is provided by the enemy himself." - Sun Tzu
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