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TL Mafia LXX: Guardians of the Galaxy - Page 256

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Damdred
Profile Joined July 2014
15669 Posts
March 23 2015 00:28 GMT
#5101
Who are the unconfirmed left in that lynch
Eden1892
Profile Joined March 2014
United States5866 Posts
March 23 2015 00:28 GMT
#5102
so let's look.

nope.avi
me
rsoultin
vivax
toad
artie
damdy
trfel
exo_
ff

okay.jpg
breshke
sicklucker
slam
ray
superb
palmar
onegu

my first thought for a plan of action:
- make onegu hardclaim his mason partner immediately and have partner confirm
- have a vig shoot onegu anyway to confirm
- lynch the rest and win

and i mean honestly? i have the next 3 lynches just about made up in my mind. LS is confirmed mafia, ray and superbia both have pretty solid evidence against them imo. so i feel like i could pretty much just kill down the line here unless ray and/or superbia really ball out the next couple of days and prove themselves, at which point i think there'd be due cause to reconsider

i don't want to get complacent but this really feels like we're close to solving it
“I like to see myself as the swim instructor that trows kids in the pool shouting at them they should try to not drink too much water.” - Koshi
Damdred
Profile Joined July 2014
15669 Posts
March 23 2015 00:31 GMT
#5103
No way you waste a shot on oneg at this point shoot one of the other unknowns I think more information probably if he's Scum role check his partner with orb or whatever
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12973 Posts
March 23 2015 00:32 GMT
#5104
I want to lynch Palmar on D3 though because he gets active when he's about to get lynched as town, and that should solve the game.
Eden1892
Profile Joined March 2014
United States5866 Posts
March 23 2015 00:32 GMT
#5105
On March 23 2015 09:28 Damdred wrote:
Who are the unconfirmed left in that lynch

i need a fucking rosetta stone for your phone posting. roflmao

if you're asking what i think you're asking, have this:

On March 21 2015 07:59 Half the Sky wrote:
Bill Murray (4): Superbia, Breshke, raynpelikoneet, Palmar
Vivax (2): LightningStrike, sicklucker, Palmar
LightningStrike (3): raynpelikoneet, Onegu
Toadesstern (1): Palmar, raynpelikoneet, Palmar
sicklucker (1): Alakaslam, Superbia, Alakaslam, Breshke
Eden1892 (0): Onegu
Damdred (0): raynpelikoneet, sicklucker
Alakaslam (0): sicklucker
Trfel (0): Superbia
Holyflare (0): Alakaslam

Not Voting (0):

Currently, Bill Murray is set to be executed. Day 1 ends in at 23:00 GMT (+00:00).
“I like to see myself as the swim instructor that trows kids in the pool shouting at them they should try to not drink too much water.” - Koshi
Eden1892
Profile Joined March 2014
United States5866 Posts
March 23 2015 00:34 GMT
#5106
and slightly reinforcing what damdred was saying earlier, once we look at the voting record without the nope.avi group in it, suddenly all the votes ever cast for ray disappeared
“I like to see myself as the swim instructor that trows kids in the pool shouting at them they should try to not drink too much water.” - Koshi
Eden1892
Profile Joined March 2014
United States5866 Posts
March 23 2015 00:34 GMT
#5107
i forgot onegu's final vote was on LS
“I like to see myself as the swim instructor that trows kids in the pool shouting at them they should try to not drink too much water.” - Koshi
Toadesstern
Profile Blog Joined October 2008
Germany16350 Posts
March 23 2015 00:35 GMT
#5108
I am actually about 190% certain onegu is no mason and I've already said so 3 times.

The question about Onegu is wether or not he did it to draw shots or to fakeclaim to not get lynched as lurker wh does nothing.
You can make an argument that he's more likely to be town because Rayn said he's not mason with Onegu. Would mafia!rayn just go along and claim mason, happy about suddenly being townread by everyone and their mom?

We literally had him as orange / heavy red before the mason claim, about to lynch him, Onegu claims Rayn is his buddy and suddenly everyone is townreading Rayn. And that made sense.
But this just doesn't seem coordinated between Onegu and Rayn at all... unless this is some crappy wifom "look I wouldn't do this as mafia" but that's pretty convoluted.
Pretty sure they're just not mafia together
<Elem> >toad in charge of judging lewdness <Elem> how bad can it be <Elem> also wew, that is actually p lewd.
Eden1892
Profile Joined March 2014
United States5866 Posts
March 23 2015 00:36 GMT
#5109
On March 23 2015 09:34 Eden1892 wrote:
i forgot onegu's final vote was on LS

update: no wonder i forgot, he never mentions his vote for LS and doesn't actually make an effort to give a read on LS either

no towncred 4u
“I like to see myself as the swim instructor that trows kids in the pool shouting at them they should try to not drink too much water.” - Koshi
Toadesstern
Profile Blog Joined October 2008
Germany16350 Posts
March 23 2015 00:37 GMT
#5110
I'm actually pretty damn confident in my analysis that Onegu and Rayn can't be mafia together
<Elem> >toad in charge of judging lewdness <Elem> how bad can it be <Elem> also wew, that is actually p lewd.
Eden1892
Profile Joined March 2014
United States5866 Posts
March 23 2015 00:39 GMT
#5111
On March 21 2015 19:20 Onegu wrote:
Sorry I wasn't around for deadline would have voted Bill Murray. Will rng who I sheep at day post and let you all know. Will try to play Sunday and read some filters. For now.just letting my mason partner keep me kinda up to date.

???towncred account balance restored???
“I like to see myself as the swim instructor that trows kids in the pool shouting at them they should try to not drink too much water.” - Koshi
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12973 Posts
March 23 2015 00:39 GMT
#5112
On March 23 2015 09:35 Toadesstern wrote:
I am actually about 190% certain onegu is no mason and I've already said so 3 times.

The question about Onegu is wether or not he did it to draw shots or to fakeclaim to not get lynched as lurker wh does nothing.
You can make an argument that he's more likely to be town because Rayn said he's not mason with Onegu. Would mafia!rayn just go along and claim mason, happy about suddenly being townread by everyone and their mom?

We literally had him as orange / heavy red before the mason claim, about to lynch him, Onegu claims Rayn is his buddy and suddenly everyone is townreading Rayn. And that made sense.
But this just doesn't seem coordinated between Onegu and Rayn at all... unless this is some crappy wifom "look I wouldn't do this as mafia" but that's pretty convoluted.
Pretty sure they're just not mafia together

Actually, the benefit to Rayn responding in this fashion is that Onegu and Rayn's fates are no longer intertwined. It's one of the greatest distancing tactics possible. Had Rayn confirmed that Onegu was his mason buddy and one of them flipped, the other would be guaranteed screwed.
Eden1892
Profile Joined March 2014
United States5866 Posts
March 23 2015 00:40 GMT
#5113
On March 23 2015 09:37 Toadesstern wrote:
I'm actually pretty damn confident in my analysis that Onegu and Rayn can't be mafia together

i'm cool with it

man how fucking awesome would it be if sicklucker is actually onegu's masonbro?
“I like to see myself as the swim instructor that trows kids in the pool shouting at them they should try to not drink too much water.” - Koshi
Fecalfeast
Profile Joined January 2010
Canada11355 Posts
March 23 2015 00:41 GMT
#5114
that bill murray wagon is so lame
ModeratorINFLATE YOUR POST COUNT; PLAY TL MAFIA
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12973 Posts
March 23 2015 00:41 GMT
#5115
However that it's a good tactic doesn't mean they'd actually use it so you're still probably right.
Eden1892
Profile Joined March 2014
United States5866 Posts
March 23 2015 00:42 GMT
#5116
On March 23 2015 09:41 Fecalfeast wrote:
that bill murray wagon is so lame

""""my b" - chillen" - eden" - eden" - eden
“I like to see myself as the swim instructor that trows kids in the pool shouting at them they should try to not drink too much water.” - Koshi
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12973 Posts
March 23 2015 00:42 GMT
#5117
On March 23 2015 09:40 Eden1892 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 23 2015 09:37 Toadesstern wrote:
I'm actually pretty damn confident in my analysis that Onegu and Rayn can't be mafia together

i'm cool with it

man how fucking awesome would it be if sicklucker is actually onegu's masonbro?

1 time
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12973 Posts
March 23 2015 00:43 GMT
#5118
I'm actually of the belief that Mafia has pretty much given up on the game and that everyone currently posting is town.
Toadesstern
Profile Blog Joined October 2008
Germany16350 Posts
March 23 2015 00:47 GMT
#5119
On March 23 2015 09:39 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 23 2015 09:35 Toadesstern wrote:
I am actually about 190% certain onegu is no mason and I've already said so 3 times.

The question about Onegu is wether or not he did it to draw shots or to fakeclaim to not get lynched as lurker wh does nothing.
You can make an argument that he's more likely to be town because Rayn said he's not mason with Onegu. Would mafia!rayn just go along and claim mason, happy about suddenly being townread by everyone and their mom?

We literally had him as orange / heavy red before the mason claim, about to lynch him, Onegu claims Rayn is his buddy and suddenly everyone is townreading Rayn. And that made sense.
But this just doesn't seem coordinated between Onegu and Rayn at all... unless this is some crappy wifom "look I wouldn't do this as mafia" but that's pretty convoluted.
Pretty sure they're just not mafia together

Actually, the benefit to Rayn responding in this fashion is that Onegu and Rayn's fates are no longer intertwined. It's one of the greatest distancing tactics possible. Had Rayn confirmed that Onegu was his mason buddy and one of them flipped, the other would be guaranteed screwed.


yeah but again, look at where we were at that time:

[image loading]

Rayn was about to get lynched at that time. So you're saying it's a move to kill himself while making Onegu not look bad?
I don't know about you, but after Onegu's claim that Rayn was mason with him I townread both of Onegu+Rayn heavily. maybe not as heavy as Onegu on his own but still. At least wouldn't he just shut up as mafia if they're together until the day is over, especially if he's supposedly the RB?
<Elem> >toad in charge of judging lewdness <Elem> how bad can it be <Elem> also wew, that is actually p lewd.
ExO_
Profile Blog Joined September 2009
United States2316 Posts
March 23 2015 00:48 GMT
#5120
Okay I'm home. The discussion today looks like it's gone much better than expected. I fully expected to be the leading lynch candidate.

I'm going to play civ/read the thread. I'm over 20 pages behind. Though tbh it looks like I'm not even needed that much. Game has nearly been solved.

I'm really sorry for really messing up my role. Looks like it turned out okay. Good job carrying me being horrible.

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