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New Years Eve Party Mini Mafia - Page 69

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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lalalipop
Profile Joined January 2015
56 Posts
January 14 2015 19:21 GMT
#1361
Also, I am more confident that lian is mafia over mderg, batsnacks, LS.

SL claimed all the roles there were.

If eden flipped mafia i would be really sad. He is my top town.
LightningStrike
Profile Joined February 2011
United States14277 Posts
January 14 2015 19:24 GMT
#1362
Funny thing is if we figure out sickluckers alignment in the other game he's playing we can figure out his alignment here because he playing very similar here to the other game (Imperial Mafia)
May the next light shine/Former #1 Alliance LoL fan/ Current Teamliquid LoL Fan
lalalipop
Profile Joined January 2015
56 Posts
January 14 2015 19:27 GMT
#1363
On January 15 2015 04:20 LightningStrike wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 15 2015 04:15 lalalipop wrote:
On January 15 2015 04:07 LightningStrike wrote:
On January 15 2015 04:05 lalalipop wrote:
On January 14 2015 23:57 LightningStrike wrote:
Also when a Mafia call a player Town it like almost certain that they are really are town.


I'm popping in for 10 minutes to say that this comment is not valid.

Okay explain how it's not valid then? It's a rule of thumb I learned from experience with playing with vets. It's normally applied to the weakers as far I can tell.


Look at it this way, when mafia calls someone town, that someone can be A) Town or B) Mafia.

If the person is A) Town, the mafia probably did it either as an excuse to show he had tons of reads, or he have plotted some stupid strategy to kill that guy off so that he looks very good for the death.
Or, he don't want to call that person mafia since its hard to do so.

If the person is B) Mafia, the mafia probably did it either to fill in the gaps (most mafia go for some townreads on mafia and some scumreads on the other mafias) or he did it because that person is the weaker player in their team, and would flip mafia. He would gain town cred too.

Even from a mathematical perspective, 11 town 3 mafia, to call someone town (given you called 3 person mafia, regardless of which 3), it would be 11/14 chance anyone would be called town if he is mafia. Of course, how good the town player is will heavily affect this statistic (less scum will call a good player mafia, they're fighting uphills to lynch him)

Fair enough. Also can you tell me your reads before you go?


lynch from here first:

Lian
DrP

Lynch here if there is good reason/PoE:

batsnacks
mderg

Try not to lynch:

Eden
SL

Do not lynch:

LS
LightningStrike
Profile Joined February 2011
United States14277 Posts
January 14 2015 19:29 GMT
#1364
On January 15 2015 04:27 lalalipop wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 15 2015 04:20 LightningStrike wrote:
On January 15 2015 04:15 lalalipop wrote:
On January 15 2015 04:07 LightningStrike wrote:
On January 15 2015 04:05 lalalipop wrote:
On January 14 2015 23:57 LightningStrike wrote:
Also when a Mafia call a player Town it like almost certain that they are really are town.


I'm popping in for 10 minutes to say that this comment is not valid.

Okay explain how it's not valid then? It's a rule of thumb I learned from experience with playing with vets. It's normally applied to the weakers as far I can tell.


Look at it this way, when mafia calls someone town, that someone can be A) Town or B) Mafia.

If the person is A) Town, the mafia probably did it either as an excuse to show he had tons of reads, or he have plotted some stupid strategy to kill that guy off so that he looks very good for the death.
Or, he don't want to call that person mafia since its hard to do so.

If the person is B) Mafia, the mafia probably did it either to fill in the gaps (most mafia go for some townreads on mafia and some scumreads on the other mafias) or he did it because that person is the weaker player in their team, and would flip mafia. He would gain town cred too.

Even from a mathematical perspective, 11 town 3 mafia, to call someone town (given you called 3 person mafia, regardless of which 3), it would be 11/14 chance anyone would be called town if he is mafia. Of course, how good the town player is will heavily affect this statistic (less scum will call a good player mafia, they're fighting uphills to lynch him)

Fair enough. Also can you tell me your reads before you go?


lynch from here first:

Lian
DrP

Lynch here if there is good reason/PoE:

batsnacks
mderg

Try not to lynch:

Eden
SL

Do not lynch:

LS

Okay can you explain your reasons as to why everyone is placed into where they are?
May the next light shine/Former #1 Alliance LoL fan/ Current Teamliquid LoL Fan
LightningStrike
Profile Joined February 2011
United States14277 Posts
January 14 2015 20:21 GMT
#1365
Alright guys if anyone here who should we lynch and why? EoD is 1.5 hours from now.
May the next light shine/Former #1 Alliance LoL fan/ Current Teamliquid LoL Fan
batsnacks
Profile Blog Joined April 2014
United States4466 Posts
January 14 2015 20:33 GMT
#1366
LS you are the towniest and therefor most trustworthy person in the game. Please lead us to the correct lynch before you are inevitably killed n3.
LightningStrike
Profile Joined February 2011
United States14277 Posts
January 14 2015 20:38 GMT
#1367
I wasn't really impressed with DrP this game at all and you looking town now (bats) and sicklucker being sicklucker(meaning what the hell is his alignment) I think DrP would be the best lynch right now. If DrP is town then most likely mderg is scum and lynch him tomorrow and his lynch (DrParanassus) would clear up some stuff.
##Vote: DrParnassus
May the next light shine/Former #1 Alliance LoL fan/ Current Teamliquid LoL Fan
Eden1892
Profile Joined March 2014
United States5866 Posts
January 14 2015 20:38 GMT
#1368
Yo batsnacks what's your case on DrP?
“I like to see myself as the swim instructor that trows kids in the pool shouting at them they should try to not drink too much water.” - Koshi
batsnacks
Profile Blog Joined April 2014
United States4466 Posts
January 14 2015 20:46 GMT
#1369
On January 15 2015 05:38 Eden1892 wrote:
Yo batsnacks what's your case on DrP?


I think he was the scummiest person this phase.

When lian and mderg were the main wagons people were ignoring him and he wasn't posting. He didn't start posting until I made a fuss and people started talking about him, and then his posts left a lot to be desired.

I feel strongly that lian is town but it's a gut/tone thing that's hard to explain. LS, SL, and lala are "confirmed."

That leaves mderg, DrP and you.

DrP is my choice of the three.
batsnacks
Profile Blog Joined April 2014
United States4466 Posts
January 14 2015 20:52 GMT
#1370
Ebwop And it helps that of the people that could be mafia, none of them were pushing DrP for a lynch today.
sicklucker
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
Canada16987 Posts
January 14 2015 20:54 GMT
#1371
On January 14 2015 21:13 batsnacks wrote:
I mean he voted himself 2 minutes before deadline when oats and lala were tied. What town does that?


this didnt actually happen did it? who mderg or dr?
sicklucker
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
Canada16987 Posts
January 14 2015 20:55 GMT
#1372
nm I saw ur next post
Damdred
Profile Joined July 2014
15669 Posts
January 14 2015 21:00 GMT
#1373
On January 15 2015 04:24 LightningStrike wrote:
Funny thing is if we figure out sickluckers alignment in the other game he's playing we can figure out his alignment here because he playing very similar here to the other game (Imperial Mafia)


Talking about on going games is against the rules gentle folks. Please do not do it
sicklucker
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
Canada16987 Posts
January 14 2015 21:13 GMT
#1374
On January 15 2015 05:33 batsnacks wrote:
LS you are the towniest and therefor most trustworthy person in the game. Please lead us to the correct lynch before you are inevitably killed n3.


actually im sure im dying since no ones trying to put scum on me
batsnacks
Profile Blog Joined April 2014
United States4466 Posts
January 14 2015 21:18 GMT
#1375
On January 15 2015 06:13 sicklucker wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 15 2015 05:33 batsnacks wrote:
LS you are the towniest and therefor most trustworthy person in the game. Please lead us to the correct lynch before you are inevitably killed n3.


actually im sure im dying since no ones trying to put scum on me


If only...
mderg
Profile Joined April 2011
Germany1740 Posts
January 14 2015 21:26 GMT
#1376
On January 15 2015 03:02 Eden1892 wrote:
Plenty? Pretty sure the thrust of it is "I'm not sheeping Eden," which I'm not sure I'm inclined to believe since he explicitly sad he was a couple times. I don't normally mind sheeping but:

(1) I haven't caught a mafia yet so there's nothing definitively distinguishing town from mafia. It's easy for mafia to sheep town onto town, harder for mafia to sheep town onto mafia.
(2) I have so many strong town reads that someone who isn't one of them and whose reads are in large part sheeped from me is more likely than normal to be mafia sheeping me.

I guess being pretty sure is not enough, then. You might want to reread, if that's what you take from my posts today.
mderg
Profile Joined April 2011
Germany1740 Posts
January 14 2015 21:28 GMT
#1377
I somehow have 2 votes in the votecount btw
DrParnassus
Profile Joined March 2013
Afghanistan565 Posts
January 14 2015 21:30 GMT
#1378
huh this is potentially really bad
mderg
Profile Joined April 2011
Germany1740 Posts
January 14 2015 21:32 GMT
#1379
On January 15 2015 06:30 DrParnassus wrote:
huh this is potentially really bad

That's interesting
DrParnassus
Profile Joined March 2013
Afghanistan565 Posts
January 14 2015 21:34 GMT
#1380
btw guys next time you play a game with someone you don't know, you should try not ignoring them for the entire game and maybe they will be inclined to help. i felt like obiwanshinobi was the only person in the game who was willing to engage with me

lian is town but id probably have to lynch him to save myself so i might just sit this out
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