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TL Mafia LXIX: Carol Of The Bells - Page 200

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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sicklucker
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
Canada16987 Posts
December 18 2014 05:02 GMT
#3981
On December 17 2014 11:17 GlowingBear wrote:
HOLYFLARE, YOU GAVE THE PRESENT TO WHO?

Answer this or you're going to get lynched tomorrow, I guarantee.

Argh it's too hard to stop posting


On December 17 2014 11:38 GlowingBear wrote:
If FF has got the present from holyflare, I want to know who gave the present to him.

Who was it?

I'm making a fucking ton of sense and any townie can clearly see my stream of thoughts.


On December 17 2014 11:52 GlowingBear wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 17 2014 11:42 rsoultin wrote:
Lol I guess we're all mafia then, according to GB logic

How do you know the person who gave it to him is even still alive, GB? We've got a lot of dead right now ^^


If he has got the present day3, the person was still alive day2.
I the person was still alive day2, if it wasn't Kelsier who gave the present to HF, it was either obi or Trfel.

Considering Trfel ended up voting HF and obi wasn't sure about HF, they probably didn't send him the present.

My question continues: who sent the present to holyflare?


On December 18 2014 01:44 GlowingBear wrote:
Bah, if you guys can't see me as town after everything I've wrote, nothing will.
Have in mind that the probability of the Mass Murderer holding his shot day1 is very very low, which means damdred was shot instead of killed by the death present.

This leads to two possibilities:
1) Sicklucker claimed giving the present to Damdred as mafia because he knew that mafia was going to shoot damdred and that he would gain towncred for the giving thing (less likely)
2) As mafia knew sicklucker was dumb enough to claim to who he gave the present, they simply shot the present bearer (more likely)

kushm4sta the Scrooge is dead
Damdred the Joyful Child is dead
Koshi the Disgruntled Retail Worker is dead
Kitaman27 the Disgruntled Retail Worker is dead

Although two disgruntled died, I now find hard to believe they were shot by the banker. Because the guys who were shot are very strong players, and if mafia decided to take a risk to waste a kp on kush, useless player (sorry kush); I don't know what to say. This means there's obviously a Marley. Sigh.

There is no way mafia had perfect two actions on the vigi at the same time without having privileged information. As they couldn't have used a rolecop present, neither have a rolecop power, they knew obi was the vigi because LoneMeow died. That's how obis shot didn't get through. I doubt obi, as the aggressive player he is (not hostile, but aggressive), he wouldn't hold his shot.

This leads to another theory: knowing it was obi the vigilante, they knew they had to roleblock him. With two disgruntled dead, the banker wasn't really a power role anymore, so he could be sacrificed. Which means holyflare is probably the roleblocker. He was kept alive to prevent obis shot. And the mass murderer, with two shots wasted, could be lynched. But nothing better than mislynching. So I reaction tested people into lynching outside the main wagons on day3. Search for people who instantly agreed and pushed hard another lynch.

This is a post who confirms holyflare as mafia:

+ Show Spoiler +
On December 17 2014 12:01 Holyflare wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 17 2014 11:52 GlowingBear wrote:
On December 17 2014 11:42 rsoultin wrote:
Lol I guess we're all mafia then, according to GB logic

How do you know the person who gave it to him is even still alive, GB? We've got a lot of dead right now ^^


If he has got the present day3, the person was still alive day2.
I the person was still alive day2, if it wasn't Kelsier who gave the present to HF, it was either obi or Trfel.

Considering Trfel ended up voting HF and obi wasn't sure about HF, they probably didn't send him the present.

My question continues: who sent the present to holyflare?


I didn't send the present to fecal you tool i got the present n1 and sent it on day 2. That person then sent it to fecal day 3 and here we are with fecal receiving it n3.


He is omitting the person who he sent the present. There is no town motive to keep it as a secret, because there is nothing that could make mafia kill the one who has no present anymore.
Do you know why he omitted it?
Because if he is mafia and sent the present to a partner;
A) if he lies and says he sent to a townie, the townie will say he never got the present from him
B) if he says it was a mafia partner, if HF is lynched and flips red, he automatically incriminates his partner.

I was waiting to see if Holyflare would answer me so we could have two mafia to kill, but it seems HF is ignoring me (by the time I've made this post).

Now, with holyflare flipping mafia, take a look at rsoultin. He's been discrediting me for no reason, hard defending HF the whole game for no reason either, and he is not doing ANYTHING to get his scumreads lynched.
There is a post from rsoultin in the thread where, when I say I'm going to post part2 on HFs case, he says it wouldn't be necessary. Do you see town motivation behind this phrase? Looking at this post in a vacuum, I can't see a world where town could possibly deny his scumread into giving reads on someone. I can see a world where scum is trying to put down a potential case on his partner.
This is unflipped, so, HF must flip to get this read right.

So, take a look at him. It's very strange the way he is pushing things. But for his effort and high post count, he could be town or very good scum.

Go after liancourt because he was the guy who most draw attention regarding voting someone else outside the ritoky/HF wagon.

I've noted this yesterday, please take a look:
+ Show Spoiler +

Scum hammered KSC because they needed HF to roleblock obi, as they knew obi was the vigi.

Mass murderer lost his last shot which means he was useless and holyflare was more important. Search for people who wanted to lynch other people or ended up on ritoky on the last second. People on HF wagon are probably town. Whoever wanted to lynch HF but decided another person was better and tried to push this other vote is most likely mafia.

In the votecounts, if you can find people wasting their votes on day1, hammering KSC day2 and voting oats day3, the probability of being mafia is huge.


Townreads based solely on feelings and not thinking on objective arguments:
Slam
Tubesock
Rsoultin
SL
(Yes, I KNOW how this sounds contradictory, but it isn't, because I'm talking about gut feelings without consider any objective argument. I'm reading SL and Rsoultin as possible scum considering other arguments and NOT gut feeling).

This is my last post, unfortunately.

(I was waiting to see if HF would post a name, but since he didn't post it until now and people are already saying he won't say, I'm posting it)



I came to the same conclusion before I read gb's post Thats how I know gb is town and hf is mafia. When I confronted holyflare at the end of last night he blatantly lied and clearly wanted ff to open the present.
Half the Sky
Profile Joined May 2014
Germany9029 Posts
December 18 2014 05:03 GMT
#3982
On December 18 2014 13:58 sicklucker wrote:
Wow hts is scum. There is a good case wtf are you guys talking about. Im not wasting my post to say it when me and gb have posted the same case. hint hint HE WONT TELL US WHO HE SENT THE PRESENT TOO SO THEY CANT CC HIM


Being a townie does not always mean you are always correct.
Being wrong does not mean you are scum.

I have read the GB case that was posted, parts 1 and 2 (and I think he combined it). I gave my input. Is there additional material? If I missed it, I'll gladly read it.

The phoenix must burn to emerge. - Janet Fitch
Half the Sky
Profile Joined May 2014
Germany9029 Posts
December 18 2014 05:03 GMT
#3983
EBWOP - SL, I just saw your most recent post, reading now, and then heading to workout. And then work for the day.
The phoenix must burn to emerge. - Janet Fitch
rsoultin
Profile Blog Joined November 2014
Netherlands15308 Posts
December 18 2014 05:21 GMT
#3984
Eh, lol. That case is still built entirely on a present claim. I think I've made my point enough times by now that I don't need to repeat myself anymore.

All HF has to do is say who he sent the present to as mafia, they confirm, and that's that. By your logic that would prove he is town. So if he is mafia, why wouldn't he say that? (And if you read the case closely it assumes HF is mafia all the way through, even if he does claim ^ see the portion saying GB was trying to find 2 mafia by asking ^ so right in the post it's admitting that claiming is not alignment indicative at all.)

This is just based on so little it makes no sense that you think this is enough over firm evidence...

Eh, I'm done. Someone bring me something new and solid, please. Otherwise, I'll just rest on the case I already built.
"rsoultin: Mafia Suicide Inducer...you have unlimited shots because you are so god-damn relentless." - marvellosity (2015)
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30775 Posts
December 18 2014 05:23 GMT
#3985
On December 18 2014 14:02 sicklucker wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 17 2014 11:17 GlowingBear wrote:
HOLYFLARE, YOU GAVE THE PRESENT TO WHO?

Answer this or you're going to get lynched tomorrow, I guarantee.

Argh it's too hard to stop posting


Show nested quote +
On December 17 2014 11:38 GlowingBear wrote:
If FF has got the present from holyflare, I want to know who gave the present to him.

Who was it?

I'm making a fucking ton of sense and any townie can clearly see my stream of thoughts.


Show nested quote +
On December 17 2014 11:52 GlowingBear wrote:
On December 17 2014 11:42 rsoultin wrote:
Lol I guess we're all mafia then, according to GB logic

How do you know the person who gave it to him is even still alive, GB? We've got a lot of dead right now ^^


If he has got the present day3, the person was still alive day2.
I the person was still alive day2, if it wasn't Kelsier who gave the present to HF, it was either obi or Trfel.

Considering Trfel ended up voting HF and obi wasn't sure about HF, they probably didn't send him the present.

My question continues: who sent the present to holyflare?


Show nested quote +
On December 18 2014 01:44 GlowingBear wrote:
Bah, if you guys can't see me as town after everything I've wrote, nothing will.
Have in mind that the probability of the Mass Murderer holding his shot day1 is very very low, which means damdred was shot instead of killed by the death present.

This leads to two possibilities:
1) Sicklucker claimed giving the present to Damdred as mafia because he knew that mafia was going to shoot damdred and that he would gain towncred for the giving thing (less likely)
2) As mafia knew sicklucker was dumb enough to claim to who he gave the present, they simply shot the present bearer (more likely)

kushm4sta the Scrooge is dead
Damdred the Joyful Child is dead
Koshi the Disgruntled Retail Worker is dead
Kitaman27 the Disgruntled Retail Worker is dead

Although two disgruntled died, I now find hard to believe they were shot by the banker. Because the guys who were shot are very strong players, and if mafia decided to take a risk to waste a kp on kush, useless player (sorry kush); I don't know what to say. This means there's obviously a Marley. Sigh.

There is no way mafia had perfect two actions on the vigi at the same time without having privileged information. As they couldn't have used a rolecop present, neither have a rolecop power, they knew obi was the vigi because LoneMeow died. That's how obis shot didn't get through. I doubt obi, as the aggressive player he is (not hostile, but aggressive), he wouldn't hold his shot.

This leads to another theory: knowing it was obi the vigilante, they knew they had to roleblock him. With two disgruntled dead, the banker wasn't really a power role anymore, so he could be sacrificed. Which means holyflare is probably the roleblocker. He was kept alive to prevent obis shot. And the mass murderer, with two shots wasted, could be lynched. But nothing better than mislynching. So I reaction tested people into lynching outside the main wagons on day3. Search for people who instantly agreed and pushed hard another lynch.

This is a post who confirms holyflare as mafia:

+ Show Spoiler +
On December 17 2014 12:01 Holyflare wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 17 2014 11:52 GlowingBear wrote:
On December 17 2014 11:42 rsoultin wrote:
Lol I guess we're all mafia then, according to GB logic

How do you know the person who gave it to him is even still alive, GB? We've got a lot of dead right now ^^


If he has got the present day3, the person was still alive day2.
I the person was still alive day2, if it wasn't Kelsier who gave the present to HF, it was either obi or Trfel.

Considering Trfel ended up voting HF and obi wasn't sure about HF, they probably didn't send him the present.

My question continues: who sent the present to holyflare?


I didn't send the present to fecal you tool i got the present n1 and sent it on day 2. That person then sent it to fecal day 3 and here we are with fecal receiving it n3.


He is omitting the person who he sent the present. There is no town motive to keep it as a secret, because there is nothing that could make mafia kill the one who has no present anymore.
Do you know why he omitted it?
Because if he is mafia and sent the present to a partner;
A) if he lies and says he sent to a townie, the townie will say he never got the present from him
B) if he says it was a mafia partner, if HF is lynched and flips red, he automatically incriminates his partner.

I was waiting to see if Holyflare would answer me so we could have two mafia to kill, but it seems HF is ignoring me (by the time I've made this post).

Now, with holyflare flipping mafia, take a look at rsoultin. He's been discrediting me for no reason, hard defending HF the whole game for no reason either, and he is not doing ANYTHING to get his scumreads lynched.
There is a post from rsoultin in the thread where, when I say I'm going to post part2 on HFs case, he says it wouldn't be necessary. Do you see town motivation behind this phrase? Looking at this post in a vacuum, I can't see a world where town could possibly deny his scumread into giving reads on someone. I can see a world where scum is trying to put down a potential case on his partner.
This is unflipped, so, HF must flip to get this read right.

So, take a look at him. It's very strange the way he is pushing things. But for his effort and high post count, he could be town or very good scum.

Go after liancourt because he was the guy who most draw attention regarding voting someone else outside the ritoky/HF wagon.

I've noted this yesterday, please take a look:
+ Show Spoiler +

Scum hammered KSC because they needed HF to roleblock obi, as they knew obi was the vigi.

Mass murderer lost his last shot which means he was useless and holyflare was more important. Search for people who wanted to lynch other people or ended up on ritoky on the last second. People on HF wagon are probably town. Whoever wanted to lynch HF but decided another person was better and tried to push this other vote is most likely mafia.

In the votecounts, if you can find people wasting their votes on day1, hammering KSC day2 and voting oats day3, the probability of being mafia is huge.


Townreads based solely on feelings and not thinking on objective arguments:
Slam
Tubesock
Rsoultin
SL
(Yes, I KNOW how this sounds contradictory, but it isn't, because I'm talking about gut feelings without consider any objective argument. I'm reading SL and Rsoultin as possible scum considering other arguments and NOT gut feeling).

This is my last post, unfortunately.

(I was waiting to see if HF would post a name, but since he didn't post it until now and people are already saying he won't say, I'm posting it)



I came to the same conclusion before I read gb's post Thats how I know gb is town and hf is mafia. When I confronted holyflare at the end of last night he blatantly lied and clearly wanted ff to open the present.


You are ludicrous. I told you the timeline i told you there is absolutely no incentive to send a present
to a green check as mafia.You agreed you misread the timeline and that gb's case is thus wrong but here you are saying i lied when i never did and that i sent the present on days i didn't. STILL
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30775 Posts
December 18 2014 05:25 GMT
#3986
Going to make lengthy cases today with meta and all the bells and whistles so you all actually stfu for once about presents and your awful conclusions.
sicklucker
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
Canada16987 Posts
December 18 2014 05:42 GMT
#3987
Just because its a "present case" doesint mean its not real life.
rsoultin
Profile Blog Joined November 2014
Netherlands15308 Posts
December 18 2014 05:44 GMT
#3988
The point is you have one weak point, SL, that does not make anyone scum.
If HF is being set up for a mislynch by mafia and he's town, mafia can counterclaim.
He clearly has an incentive as town not to reveal who he sent the present to.
You need more points than that.
You need an entire case.
Not just one point that does not prove alignment one way or another.
"rsoultin: Mafia Suicide Inducer...you have unlimited shots because you are so god-damn relentless." - marvellosity (2015)
sicklucker
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
Canada16987 Posts
December 18 2014 05:45 GMT
#3989
Your lieing again. They have every incentive to send a present. They expected ff to use it and hopefully die. If he dont die they simply just roleblock him? Its a pretty easy thing to understand. The fact the present was sent to ff should tell you something. I dont think many good towns are sending it to him. As for mafia hes a good target anyone who knows ff, knows hes super bored and wants out.
rsoultin
Profile Blog Joined November 2014
Netherlands15308 Posts
December 18 2014 05:48 GMT
#3990
On December 18 2014 14:45 sicklucker wrote:
Your lieing again. They have every incentive to send a present. They expected ff to use it and hopefully die. If he dont die they simply just roleblock him? Its a pretty easy thing to understand. The fact the present was sent to ff should tell you something. I dont think many good towns are sending it to him. As for mafia hes a good target anyone who knows ff, knows hes super bored and wants out.


You're right. Scum could do this. That's why it is not indicative of alignment.
That is why sending a present does not prove that YOU are town.
And regardless, town can send a present to scum without realizing it.
HF has always said that he sent his present to someone Day 2.
This is not a productive conversation.
"rsoultin: Mafia Suicide Inducer...you have unlimited shots because you are so god-damn relentless." - marvellosity (2015)
sicklucker
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
Canada16987 Posts
December 18 2014 06:14 GMT
#3991
HE CLAIMS. we know 2 presents are in mafia hands because we lost track of them. He had to have recieved it from someone in this game as of yesterday. Tref and whoever else died scum reading him and would not have sent him a present. He would not say who he sent it to BECAUSE NO ONE SENT IT TO HIM AND THEY WOULD CALL HIM OUT. Basically no one sent him this present so hes mafia fake claiming?. Theres no reason for a town to not say who they sent it too



We dont know who sent it to him, we dont know where it went after him no town claimed and he wont tell us. Like he never had any present he just claimed one that mafia had this is so basic stuff what are you confused about? Its a really solid case
rsoultin
Profile Blog Joined November 2014
Netherlands15308 Posts
December 18 2014 06:22 GMT
#3992
I'm done arguing with you, SL.

Even though it's obvious that someone receiving a present Day 2 doesn't necessarily have anything to do with the people who died Night 2, you continue on this track.

So, I will let you. You make so little sense I don't really need to point out the fallacies in your argument. I hope that you eventually see them if you're town. If you're mafia...please continue spouting nonsense. It'll make it easier to lynch you later. Good night.

Work tomorrow.
"rsoultin: Mafia Suicide Inducer...you have unlimited shots because you are so god-damn relentless." - marvellosity (2015)
Alakaslam
Profile Blog Joined September 2011
United States17336 Posts
December 18 2014 07:23 GMT
#3993
This state of the game is hilarious, but unfortunate.

To me it looks like everyone is batshit insane and arguing about WIFOM

But I am aware scum is actually playing quite good. I think someone I taught did not forget, and is implementing what I said. My failure is not in crafting, but in implementing. I can blueprint you a 3.0 V8 that will put out maybe 400 horsepower. However I probably couldn't put the camshafts in properly for the engine to run 10 minutes.

So it is with my scumplay. I am able to think of some nasty stuff but I can't look townie enough to get away with it all.
If you think Elon Musk is a Nazi, it is because YOU radicalized him!
Alakaslam
Profile Blog Joined September 2011
United States17336 Posts
December 18 2014 07:25 GMT
#3994
This implies SL or LS or both, but, in that order. This also implies Damd but he has flipped town XD

HF already knows everything I have to say. So if he is scum it clears this point.

I don't know if Vivax would decide to play scum like this though.
If you think Elon Musk is a Nazi, it is because YOU radicalized him!
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
22064 Posts
December 18 2014 07:29 GMT
#3995
I'm rereading scum's filters atm between doing other stuff. Insights so far: From ritoky's D1 filter I get suspicious of Templar. Go look why if you're interested.

Will probably dedicate the day to a stream of thought on this topic.
Alakaslam
Profile Blog Joined September 2011
United States17336 Posts
December 18 2014 07:43 GMT
#3996
Oh yeah... Templar

Why is everyone forgetting templar? Because he played early and is lurking late. This is a scum tendency I should know.
If you think Elon Musk is a Nazi, it is because YOU radicalized him!
GlowingBear
Profile Joined May 2014
Brazil12446 Posts
December 18 2014 07:48 GMT
#3997
On December 18 2014 10:07 Oatsmaster wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 18 2014 10:02 sicklucker wrote:
Gb can still be mafia. But hes so less likely and he correctly explain why hf is mafia. your on my mafia radar now the line in the sand has been drawn. Hf basicly claimed by not telling us who he sent the present to if you didnt read the thread.

tmi.

Actually its super silly for holyflare to fakeclaim really badly.
Hes better than that.
Sadly.


Really bad as scum
Extremely bad as town

It's ridiculous how many inconsistencies I've found on holyflare's gameplay. He's not one to drown on such fallacies and misinterpretations of posts.
It sounds mafia. It makes perfect sense that HF is the roleblocker therefore they lynched KSC.
Obi obviously did shot LoneMeow.

If you can't see this, you're really stupid.

Town holyflare has no problem in saying to whom he gave the present, because this guy already doesn't have the present l, so it's safe to claim to whom he has given it. He doesn't say because he will incriminate another mafia if he says or the townie will say he never got the present. This is a simple scum claim.

If you doubt it, just ask to HF to whom he gave the present. If he refuses to say, ask why. He won't give you a satisfactory reason, I guarantee.

Also, have this in mind: if he sent his present to someone, how does he knows this person have this present to FF instead of opening it? How does he knows this person gave the present to FF? Hint: it's because he gave the present to his scum partner and FF not being dead means he is the Godfather.

Forget it's me who is saying this. Think of it as a whisper in the dark. Doesn't it makes sense?
I'm adorable.
GlowingBear
Profile Joined May 2014
Brazil12446 Posts
December 18 2014 07:50 GMT
#3998
By the way, I'm town and I've sent the present to ritoky, which was mafia. It means my present is in scum hands and I'd never claim giving present to a mafia while being his partner.

If you can't see this, you need serious coaching.
I'm adorable.
GlowingBear
Profile Joined May 2014
Brazil12446 Posts
December 18 2014 07:54 GMT
#3999
Remember that the present thing is not about FAKE claiming: it's about that a scum wouldn't give a present to a town unless he was going to shoot him.
So holyflare sent it to a scum partner because he will be caught on a lie of he says he sent it to a townie and he will incriminate a mafia partner if he gets lybched and flip red.

Again, it's simple logic.
I'm adorable.
Oatsmaster
Profile Joined October 2012
United States16628 Posts
December 18 2014 07:57 GMT
#4000
On December 18 2014 16:54 GlowingBear wrote:
Remember that the present thing is not about FAKE claiming: it's about that a scum wouldn't give a present to a town unless he was going to shoot him.
So holyflare sent it to a scum partner because he will be caught on a lie of he says he sent it to a townie and he will incriminate a mafia partner if he gets lybched and flip red.

Again, it's simple logic.

So why would scum holyflare be so bad at claiming?
No gg, No skill.
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