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On November 19 2014 00:09 ObiWanShinobi wrote:Show nested quote +On November 19 2014 00:01 sicklucker wrote: Its not that I haven't explained myself, you barely did that. Its that in everyworld im right and you cant argue against the true.
Its extremely alignment indicative im putting the hammer in someone elses hands your putting it in your own. You have not looked for one town. We need two towns to win the game. I found my town No it's not. Me wanting hammer doesn't really tell you if I'm town or scum because both alignments want it.
But you want it at the risk of a 33% autolose from your town pov which doesint make sense as a town. And if you factor in all 4 players having equal chance of being mafia its a 50% autolose.
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On November 19 2014 00:14 sicklucker wrote:Show nested quote +On November 19 2014 00:09 ObiWanShinobi wrote:On November 19 2014 00:01 sicklucker wrote: Its not that I haven't explained myself, you barely did that. Its that in everyworld im right and you cant argue against the true.
Its extremely alignment indicative im putting the hammer in someone elses hands your putting it in your own. You have not looked for one town. We need two towns to win the game. I found my town No it's not. Me wanting hammer doesn't really tell you if I'm town or scum because both alignments want it. But you want it at the risk of a 33% autolose from your town pov which doesint make sense as a town. And if you factor in all 4 players having equal chance of being mafia its a 50% autolose.
Stop talking about autolose. These players have brains. If you think they're all going to continue down their tunnels with the additional information given to us through a nightkill then I don't know what to tell you.
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Why is it that you're so sure Serejai is town even though she isn't playing anymore?
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I dont like your reactions before the day started I wasint sure. I dont even have much power here. The balls in supers court. If he does not think its you he can just unvote.
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If I had to take a guess as to who my prime scum spect would be right now, I'd say it's Serejai.
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Blazinghand
United States25550 Posts
voting for a no lynch is allowed. If it has the most votes it will happen-- think of it as a potential lynch target.
On the train right now so expect an official vote count in an hour
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Ok thats good news it means that sleep vote didnt count
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On November 19 2014 00:12 ObiWanShinobi wrote:Show nested quote +On November 18 2014 23:51 Serejai wrote:On November 18 2014 23:47 sicklucker wrote:On November 18 2014 23:45 Serejai wrote: Reading SL's filter feels like I'm reading a script for Back To The Future 4 or something. So much WIFOM, so much insider knowledge about things. "This will happen, that will happen. This person will get shot, this person will never get shot." You have no right to judge my play man. It says in the rules you have to play to win or you can get banned. Your close LOL. Did you just threaten me? Good lord... what a character. Why are you voting Sl? Is it just because of the wifom and stuff?
See, here's the thing...
Sleeping is the town thing to do. If we lynch today we have a 25% chance of winning and a 75% chance of losing as town.
If we sleep and lynch tomorrow, there will be a 33% chance to win and a 66% chance to lose as town.
For someone who makes a living playing poker and apparently is a math expert as well, I find it hard to believe they could be so oblivious to how this stuff works.
On the other hand, the remaining scum player would benefit greatly from us lynching today.
Out of the four of us, the only person who is hellbent on not sleeping is SL. It's in the best interest of town to sleep, and the best interest of mafia to lynch. Nothing he says makes any sense or adds up in any way, and it's all coming straight from a scum viewpoint - regardless of how many times he self-confirms himself as town.
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On November 19 2014 03:06 Serejai wrote:Show nested quote +On November 19 2014 00:12 ObiWanShinobi wrote:On November 18 2014 23:51 Serejai wrote:On November 18 2014 23:47 sicklucker wrote:On November 18 2014 23:45 Serejai wrote: Reading SL's filter feels like I'm reading a script for Back To The Future 4 or something. So much WIFOM, so much insider knowledge about things. "This will happen, that will happen. This person will get shot, this person will never get shot." You have no right to judge my play man. It says in the rules you have to play to win or you can get banned. Your close LOL. Did you just threaten me? Good lord... what a character. Why are you voting Sl? Is it just because of the wifom and stuff? See, here's the thing... Sleeping is the town thing to do. If we lynch today we have a 25% chance of winning and a 75% chance of losing as town. If we sleep and lynch tomorrow, there will be a 33% chance to win and a 66% chance to lose as town. For someone who makes a living playing poker and apparently is a math expert as well, I find it hard to believe they could be so oblivious to how this stuff works. On the other hand, the remaining scum player would benefit greatly from us lynching today. Out of the four of us, the only person who is hellbent on not sleeping is SL. It's in the best interest of town to sleep, and the best interest of mafia to lynch. Nothing he says makes any sense or adds up in any way, and it's all coming straight from a scum viewpoint - regardless of how many times he self-confirms himself as town.
At a glance, this looks okay.
I'll deal with this game again when I get home from work.
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I would be all down for sleeping if every post you made in the last 2 weeks were not . vote sicklucker I understand the math behind it. But its wrong here because of you.
Wow you actually made a paragraph. Anyway Im off for like 8 hours
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and serejai your math is wrong and your missing alot of variables. As in you forget that your voting me everytime. Your like 4 days behind this thread this has been covered many times. Read it please maybe theirs some hope for you yet.
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Id like to point out serejai only starts typing again when things are going my way.
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You can make up all the variables you want in your head; doesn't change the fact that it is mathematically more beneficial for town to sleep tonight. The fact that you keep insisting we lynch somebody is scum through and through because it does not benefit town in any way, shape, or form.
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Blazinghand
United States25550 Posts
Vote Count
No Lynch (2): ObiWanShinobi, Serejai ObiWanShinobi (2): sicklucker, Superbia
Currently, No Lynch is set to be lynched. Day 6 ends in at 22:00 GMT (+00:00).
Reminder to make sure to unvote before voting, if you have already voted someone.
Remember, voting is mandatory. You may NOT abstain.
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On November 13 2014 21:46 Serejai wrote:
Serejai, care to explain what changed?
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On November 13 2014 21:46 Serejai wrote: sicklucker, as much as I hate to say it... you're town..
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I don't remember the context, but there was a brief point in time where rayn convinced me he was town. That went completely out the window as soon as SL started posting garbage again, though. Especially now that rayn is gone, his posts have become even scummier because he can just put "rayn confirmed me as town" in there somewhere and he thinks that makes it ok.
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Yeah, I take back that scumread on Serejai because that was dumb.
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Meh. I can't do it. I just don't see a reason to lynch anyone but SL. I keep trying to put stock into what Rayn was saying about him but I just don't see the point.
I don't get the feeling that he's listening to anything that I'm saying. I've tried to argue my way out of it and I just don't feel like I've made any progress with him. I've looked in his filter and brought stuff up to try and engage him/sort his thought process, and he keeps saying that it only makes me "more mafia" because of...Stuff, I guess. I know there's an actual answer in thread but I just don't see how that can be a part of a rational player's thought process.
Serejai is seeing a lot of the same stuff as I am, and I feel like I've mostly been dancing around the subject myself. I think I just put more weight into what Rayn said than she did and I tried to roll with it for longer.
That's probably my prime scumread for the day. If he somehow reconsiders/reanalyzes the game, then I might be able to take another look at the gamestate. The way things are going, I highly doubt this is the case. That's probably where my vote is going tomorrow.
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