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On October 14 2014 09:20 Alzadar wrote:
Well not necessarily right? You're discounting Medic and Jailkeeper who might have prevented a Townie's kill (safe bet that Tolkien was scum kill). It's too dangerous still for blues to out themselves but you shouldn't assume we've got no Vig.
I doubt our vig (assuming he exists) is stupid enough to shoot into a townie who should have been protected. No vig.
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I wouldn't mind be against a vote on Req or Asmo today. Mostly for reasons explained earlier. I don't feel comfortable voting on Soniv or Wave just yet still. I'm comfortable in a world where either Wave or Soniv have scum tendencies / third party as long as it is only 1 in 2.
The LordTolkien kill seems odd to me. It doesn't seem like a great scum move. I don't see how this helps scum, but it could be likely they felt he was a blue role. Anyone want to help me?
Also can we take the lack of more kills to mean that there was a medic save or something that stopped the scum from using their KP? I'm leaning towards that being the most likely case. I know people don't like this type of speculation, but I have to think about it/write it out.
Despite my hesitations from earlier day 1, I really like Alzadar's last few posts. I feel like he is finally on the right track, and it's a town track.
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Req, time to sit back and re-evaluate, that's all.
Ketchup I explained one possibility for the LT kill. Lack of more kills means they probably have poisoner or something. I doubt they have more than 1 nightly KP. Trust me N2 we'll lose like 3 people, that's how these games go.
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yo i forgot to do this publicly at game start: Mafia have 1 factional Killing Power per night.
party on
I thought that was clear enough but ok: the mafia team has a magical magic ability that allows them as a team to (attempt to) kill a person every night. This is independent from their individual roles (although somebody still has to actually do it).
Think of it as a red colored shared vigilante gun with infinite bullets.
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On October 14 2014 09:38 Dandel Ion wrote:
yo i forgot to do this publicly at game start: Mafia have 1 factional Killing Power per night.
party on
Can I get a little bit of insight on what this means? It helps math.
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On October 14 2014 09:39 Cixah wrote:Show nested quote +On October 14 2014 09:38 Dandel Ion wrote:
yo i forgot to do this publicly at game start: Mafia have 1 factional Killing Power per night.
party on Can I get a little bit of insight on what this means? It helps math.
Mafia can kill one per night. I guess in larger games they might get to kill two per night.
I think we can be damn sure that Tolkien was killed by mafia, since Serial Poisoner wouldn't have taken effect yet and our Vigilante is fucked in the head if he shot up LT.
I'm not as convinced as Wave we don't have a Vig. There's more than one way the Vigilante could have been stopped - Medic on the target, Jailkeep on the target, Jailkeep on the Vig, Roleblock on the Vig.
Gimme a sec I want to math the odds.
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nvm fuck it remembered I hate doing probability. 1 > p > 0 QED
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rip mistress
On October 14 2014 04:45 WaveofShadow wrote:
Soniv is absolute primary lynch tomorrow.
On October 14 2014 09:07 WaveofShadow wrote:
Hey cool, Wave is right about a whole bunch of stuff.
##vote: GhandiEAGLE
Get out my game jeff.
lol 'ey papi, you so fickle
I actually think LT was a pretty smart scum target. Most of the thread has been caught up in Soniv v Wave - Battle of the Golems, but LT was the only one sitting on the outside saying "lynching either of them tomorrow is stupid". Getting rid of him assists in stirring the pot. He also was heavy on Jeff, and it's suuuuuuuuuuper easy to say "would I kill the guy accusing me?" (I've done it before).
I'm willing to put our differences on hold for now, in our mistress's honor.
##vote: Jeff
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I dont think LT was that heavy on me beyond the fact that I was lurking. He seemed to have cooled off once I was finally able to post.
That would be a fucking stupid murder from me.
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On October 14 2014 10:07 GhandiEAGLE wrote:
I dont think LT was that heavy on me beyond the fact that I was lurking. He seemed to have cooled off once I was finally able to post.
That would be a fucking stupid murder from me.
On October 14 2014 08:14 Lord Tolkien wrote:
At work still so this EoN post will be much shorter than what i normally spew out.
1) fking jeff. Im extremely unhappy he's still afk lurking. This isnt making you seem more town you know, and now im really getting serious about tunneling you. If Req can put in effort so can you.
yeah, cooled off
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Which would fit with the rest of your play.
lol soniv and of course you're willing to bury the hatchet, 'cause it's my hatchet and it would be aimed at your head if not for dis gai over here
The fun part is if Jeff flips scum you look eeeeeeven worse (though I suppose I do too for dropping the wagon initially lolol)
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I'm prepared to vote for Jeff, but I want to hear one thing from Wave:
If you were so sure MoonBear was Town, and you've also been suspicious of Jeff the entire game, why did you essentially throw away your vote on Asmodeus instead of voting for Jeff, when there was a very real chance Jeff could be lynched instead of MoonBear?
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On October 14 2014 10:08 jcarlsoniv wrote:Show nested quote +On October 14 2014 10:07 GhandiEAGLE wrote:
I dont think LT was that heavy on me beyond the fact that I was lurking. He seemed to have cooled off once I was finally able to post.
That would be a fucking stupid murder from me.
Show nested quote +On October 14 2014 08:14 Lord Tolkien wrote:
At work still so this EoN post will be much shorter than what i normally spew out.
1) fking jeff. Im extremely unhappy he's still afk lurking. This isnt making you seem more town you know, and now im really getting serious about tunneling you. If Req can put in effort so can you.
yeah, cooled off
That was before I came out of lurking.
I believe his next thing was
No read on me? Pls
Good filtering tho
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On October 14 2014 10:09 WaveofShadow wrote:
Which would fit with the rest of your play.
lol soniv and of course you're willing to bury the hatchet, 'cause it's my hatchet and it would be aimed at your head if not for dis gai over here
The fun part is if Jeff flips scum you look eeeeeeven worse (though I suppose I do too for dropping the wagon initially lolol)
Eh, if you were really aiming it at my head, you'd be aiming it at my head. You dropped that case quick, and you were so unbelievably excited.
Meh, I don't mind looking bad if Jeff dies. We get to kill Jeff and mafiascum.
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On October 14 2014 10:10 Alzadar wrote:
I'm prepared to vote for Jeff, but I want to hear one thing from Wave:
If you were so sure MoonBear was Town, and you've also been suspicious of Jeff the entire game, why did you essentially throw away your vote on Asmodeus instead of voting for Jeff, when there was a very real chance Jeff could be lynched instead of MoonBear?
On October 13 2014 08:32 WaveofShadow wrote:
Like why is it so quiet with 30min to go?
This looks like scum is fairly content with how things are going.
I believe Jeff led the votes still at this point.
Nope, just looked, I simply fucked up here and got swayed by his return post---the town/town business I was talking about was the LT/MB stuff earlier. I should have switched back to Jeff but I lost confidence.
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Just so we're clear here, why EXACTLY are people suspicious of me now other than my unfortunate anti-timing on my posts?
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On October 14 2014 10:13 GhandiEAGLE wrote:Show nested quote +On October 14 2014 10:08 jcarlsoniv wrote:On October 14 2014 10:07 GhandiEAGLE wrote:
I dont think LT was that heavy on me beyond the fact that I was lurking. He seemed to have cooled off once I was finally able to post.
That would be a fucking stupid murder from me.
On October 14 2014 08:14 Lord Tolkien wrote:
At work still so this EoN post will be much shorter than what i normally spew out.
1) fking jeff. Im extremely unhappy he's still afk lurking. This isnt making you seem more town you know, and now im really getting serious about tunneling you. If Req can put in effort so can you.
yeah, cooled off That was before I came out of lurking. I believe his next thing was Good filtering tho
...what? I don't understand how that proves he's at all stopped thinking about tunneling you. And just because you're posting now doesn't mean your not still considered a lurker. You're still in fairly lurky territory when your filter is 3 pages long. Of not a whole lot.
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I think in my head I was a little 'surer' of Asmo since he did dick all around deadline.
Now I'm kind of mad at myself, though I can't say for certain I would have been able to get enough people to switch back to Jeff even if I had been confident enough.
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As an aside, what's the likelihood that there's four vanilla townies? Is that usually about the ratio?
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EPT
