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Newbie Mini Mafia LV - Page 62

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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27ninjabunnies
Profile Joined April 2014
United States2486 Posts
May 10 2014 03:42 GMT
#1221
On May 10 2014 00:12 ahswtini wrote:
Oh wow so we're going by post count now? What happened to the aggressive enthusiastic posting you displayed at the beginning? Should we not be looking at the change in posting behaviour, as opposed to simply how many posts someone's made?

I don't understand your newbie game line either. Are you saying you're not putting your 100% into this game because this is a newbie game?

Show nested quote +
On May 09 2014 10:37 27ninjabunnies wrote:
I'm gonna have t take a step back a reassess some things. I'll make a post within the next couple of hours.
!

Still waiting for your post. Right now, your play just seems reactionary. I don't know if establishing yourself as the most innocent player in everyone's eyes has given you a sense of complacency. You're never going to get lynched, so if you ARE mafia, then well played. I don't like saying "I told you so".

As for why I shouldn't be lynched, I'm trying to post and contribute. It's just so difficult to pin down a scum read on anyone at this point. I suspect dfs, but then Mafia were happy to let mtamburini shoot him or myself. That is, if meat's roleblock claim is to be believed. I can't understand why he would be blocked again. Maybe they saw how much town reacted with suspicion to his first roleblock. But there was also the delay before he came out with his roleblock claim. Was he waiting to see if someone else would claim first, or does he just not check his PMs?
This sounds cliched, but if I get lynched, we lose, and I like I said before, I don't like saying "I fucking told you so"


I have said why my post count dropped. College ended, headed back home, work. RL stuff. On top of that, I was contributing a lot, asking questions, trying to push lynches, even though they were wrong, and barely anyone else was doing anything besides Eden, Epi, and Tamburini.

There is always a possibility of me being lynched, but yes, I think I've proven that I am town.

Tamburini could have been lying about being roleblocked, as he was lying about being vigi, but I don't think so.

I suspect the secret of personal attraction is locked up in our unique imperfections, flaws and frailties.~Hugh Mackay
27ninjabunnies
Profile Joined April 2014
United States2486 Posts
May 10 2014 03:49 GMT
#1222
On May 10 2014 12:04 Eden1892 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 10 2014 11:39 Yell0w wrote:
You're really going to go with that theory that I'm mafia and predicted tamburini wouldn't shoot me despite being on my case all game prior to that moment?

Do you think restating my argument back to me in the form of a skeptical question is going to dissuade me?

Yes, I think so. If he's wrong then he loses the game, plain and simple. It's entirely reasonable to predict that the mafia would predict he wouldn't shoot as a result and would choose not to roleblock him. Look at the consequences of it, meat is clearing you 100% and no one but me seems willing to lynch you as a result. It's a risky play but it's not at all unreasonable. Your handwaving dismissal is doing a lot to confirm its truth to me.



While that is a good theory, tamburini didnt come out with the read until after he claimed that he no shot because of that reason.

I honestly don't think that Yell0w or mafia could predict that tamburini would/wouldnt shoot that night.
This is a newbie game (well newbie-ish game). I'm pretty sure mafia was betting on tamburini mis-shooting and winning them the game.

Too bad they didn't take into account he could be fake claiming.

I suspect the secret of personal attraction is locked up in our unique imperfections, flaws and frailties.~Hugh Mackay
MysteryMeat1
Profile Blog Joined June 2011
United States3292 Posts
May 10 2014 05:56 GMT
#1223
Im going to party and i have work in the morning, im on my phon but ill try to post why my reasoning on dfs later. But for now

##Vote dfs
"Cause ya know, Style before victory." -The greatest mafia player alive
Eden1892
Profile Joined March 2014
United States5866 Posts
May 10 2014 06:21 GMT
#1224
I'm not really sure I like this dfs lynch in isolation. I don't understand why dfs over ahswtini, they're pretty similar in my mind.

Considering who's voting for dfs, I see Yell0w on the wagon and I'm immediately suspicious of it. I think I like everyone else on it but it got started by my top scum read and I'm not independently convinced dfs is scum so I'm having a real hard time voting for it.

Someone post the case on dfs and tell me why he's a better pick than ahswtini here.

Reads:

Epishade moved ahead of bunnies as my top town read, he's been working harder than her over the past few days
bunnies is probably still town, I've already expressed my issues with her sorta coasting to today; it's not enough to make me suspicious though, just annoyed; posts still seem pretty genuine
meat has been trending up like Epishade has, still in my town group here

dfs hasn't worked as hard as the townies above, don't think anything has stood out as really suspicious either; I would lynch him if I couldn't get ahswtini or Yell0w, definitely ahead of my top four, but definitely below my bottom two

ahswtini and Yell0w I'm still pretty sure are both scum, see my night post for details
“I like to see myself as the swim instructor that trows kids in the pool shouting at them they should try to not drink too much water.” - Koshi
LoneMeow
Profile Joined June 2013
Finland1396 Posts
May 10 2014 06:38 GMT
#1225
Vote (slave) count:

dfs (4): Yell0w, 27ninjabunnies, Epishade, MysteryMeat1
Yell0w (1): Eden1892

Not voting (2): dfs, ahswtini

Currently, dfs is set to be lynched.
Deadline is Saturday, May 10 10:00pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (in ).
Voting is mandatory!


+ Show Spoiler [Vote counter log] +

VOTE: Eden1892 voted Yell0w (post)
VOTE: Yell0w voted dfs (post)
VOTE: 27ninjabunnies voted dfs (post)
VOTE: Epishade voted dfs (post)
VOTE: MysteryMeat1 voted dfs (post)
ahswtini
Profile Blog Joined June 2008
Northern Ireland22208 Posts
May 10 2014 10:26 GMT
#1226
I'm a little worried about how easily this dfs lynch is going, with no solid evidence. I'm still uneasy at the fact that mtamburni was allowed to shoot when he had both me and dfs in his crosshairs last night. Meat's roleblock claim is still highly sketchy and he's still my #2 suspect. I guess we don't have a cop because they MUST have something by now, even if it's to prevent the lynch of a townie. Or I guess it means we're on the right path with dfs

##Vote: dfs
"As I've said, balance isn't about strategies or counters, it's about probability and statistics." - paralleluniverse
Eden1892
Profile Joined March 2014
United States5866 Posts
May 10 2014 12:05 GMT
#1227
Alright, so now BOTH of my scum suspects are on this nearly-unanimous lynch of dfs.

You guys can't seriously be okay with this, right? Everyone suspects ahswtini at this point, he's hopping on the dfs lynch without a care in the world. Everybody's writing off Yell0w because they assume the mafia wasn't capable of assuming tambo wouldn't fire his gun, even though we explicitly discussed this exact possibility the night they would have had to roleblock. Now we're supposed to assume the mafia isn't capable of even raising a viable counterlynch to scum!dfs, that they're just going to lie down and let us have him?

No way. This can't be right.
“I like to see myself as the swim instructor that trows kids in the pool shouting at them they should try to not drink too much water.” - Koshi
ahswtini
Profile Blog Joined June 2008
Northern Ireland22208 Posts
May 10 2014 12:33 GMT
#1228
Which is exactly what I'm saying. Any way I vote makes me look scummy. If I don't vote dfs, I'm making some outlier vote and don't want to vote for my scum buddy. If I do vote dfs, I'm jumping on an easy bandwagon.

Fuck this, I'm unvoting and voting bunnies instead. At this stage it's not even going to matter, because one of dfs or myself is getting lynched, bunnies will never get lynched, my vote on dfs is not going to make a difference.
"As I've said, balance isn't about strategies or counters, it's about probability and statistics." - paralleluniverse
LoneMeow
Profile Joined June 2013
Finland1396 Posts
May 10 2014 12:42 GMT
#1229
Vote (slave) count:

27ninjabunnies (1): ahswtini
dfs (4): Yell0w, 27ninjabunnies, Epishade, MysteryMeat1, ahswtini
Yell0w (1): Eden1892

Not voting (1): dfs

Currently, dfs is set to be lynched.
Deadline is Saturday, May 10 10:00pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (in ).
Voting is mandatory!


+ Show Spoiler [Vote counter log] +

VOTE: Eden1892 voted Yell0w (post)
VOTE: Yell0w voted dfs (post)
VOTE: 27ninjabunnies voted dfs (post)
VOTE: Epishade voted dfs (post)
VOTE: MysteryMeat1 voted dfs (post)
VOTE: ahswtini voted dfs (post)
VOTE: ahswtini unvoted dfs (post)
VOTE: ahswtini voted 27ninjabunnies (post)
Eden1892
Profile Joined March 2014
United States5866 Posts
May 10 2014 13:45 GMT
#1230
On May 10 2014 21:33 ahswtini wrote:
Which is exactly what I'm saying. Any way I vote makes me look scummy. If I don't vote dfs, I'm making some outlier vote and don't want to vote for my scum buddy. If I do vote dfs, I'm jumping on an easy bandwagon.

Fuck this, I'm unvoting and voting bunnies instead. At this stage it's not even going to matter, because one of dfs or myself is getting lynched, bunnies will never get lynched, my vote on dfs is not going to make a difference.

How willing are you to vote Yell0w then?

And what's your case on bunnies?
“I like to see myself as the swim instructor that trows kids in the pool shouting at them they should try to not drink too much water.” - Koshi
ahswtini
Profile Blog Joined June 2008
Northern Ireland22208 Posts
May 10 2014 14:49 GMT
#1231
I'm not willing to vote yellow based on the fact that mafia were willing to see him shot on night 2. Bunnies, while she has played like she's pro-town, her activity and contribution has dropped somewhat. It's almost like she made herself look the towniest, and then just sat back. I've also not seen any mafia plays against her, like with yellow.
"As I've said, balance isn't about strategies or counters, it's about probability and statistics." - paralleluniverse
Eden1892
Profile Joined March 2014
United States5866 Posts
May 10 2014 16:54 GMT
#1232
Well, if my options are dfs or bunnies then it's gotta be dfs. I really don't want that to be my options though, I have a horrible feeling about the fact that ahswtini is the only one besides me not on dfs right now.

##VOTE dfs
“I like to see myself as the swim instructor that trows kids in the pool shouting at them they should try to not drink too much water.” - Koshi
LoneMeow
Profile Joined June 2013
Finland1396 Posts
May 10 2014 18:46 GMT
#1233
Vote (slave) count:

dfs (5): Yell0w, 27ninjabunnies, Epishade, MysteryMeat1, ahswtini, Eden1892
27ninjabunnies (1): ahswtini

Not voting (1): dfs

Currently, dfs is set to be lynched.
Deadline is Saturday, May 10 10:00pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (in ).
Voting is mandatory!


+ Show Spoiler [Vote counter log] +

VOTE: Yell0w voted dfs (post)
VOTE: 27ninjabunnies voted dfs (post)
VOTE: Epishade voted dfs (post)
VOTE: MysteryMeat1 voted dfs (post)
VOTE: ahswtini voted dfs (post)
VOTE: ahswtini unvoted dfs (post)
VOTE: ahswtini voted 27ninjabunnies (post)
VOTE: Eden1892 voted dfs (post)
dfs
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
Russian Federation4050 Posts
May 10 2014 19:35 GMT
#1234
##VOTE MysteryMeat1
Writerhttp://i.imgur.com/Q1jSb9X.jpg (c) Shiro; http://i.imgur.com/lSDLLKb.png (c) drav
dfs
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
Russian Federation4050 Posts
May 10 2014 19:36 GMT
#1235
Well, I was thinking on what I can say in this situation, but I don't see a point anymore, bw is strong with these ones.
Good luck. Sorry I wasn't very active.
Writerhttp://i.imgur.com/Q1jSb9X.jpg (c) Shiro; http://i.imgur.com/lSDLLKb.png (c) drav
LoneMeow
Profile Joined June 2013
Finland1396 Posts
May 10 2014 19:58 GMT
#1236
Vote (slave) count:

MysteryMeat1 (1): dfs
dfs (5): Yell0w, 27ninjabunnies, Epishade, MysteryMeat1, ahswtini, Eden1892
27ninjabunnies (1): ahswtini

Currently, dfs is set to be lynched.
Deadline is Saturday, May 10 10:00pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (in ).
Voting is mandatory!


+ Show Spoiler [Vote counter log] +

VOTE: Yell0w voted dfs (post)
VOTE: 27ninjabunnies voted dfs (post)
VOTE: Epishade voted dfs (post)
VOTE: MysteryMeat1 voted dfs (post)
VOTE: ahswtini voted dfs (post)
VOTE: ahswtini unvoted dfs (post)
VOTE: ahswtini voted 27ninjabunnies (post)
VOTE: Eden1892 voted dfs (post)
VOTE: dfs voted MysteryMeat1 (post)
Amiko
Profile Joined February 2014
United States1725 Posts
May 10 2014 22:02 GMT
#1237
iamperfection
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States9642 Posts
May 10 2014 22:02 GMT
#1238
Night 4


dfs The ledge Has been lynched




you have 24 hours
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=406168&currentpage=78#1551
OnceKing
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
United States939 Posts
May 10 2014 22:08 GMT
#1239
"Every man has his follies - and often they are the most interesting thing he has got."
ahswtini
Profile Blog Joined June 2008
Northern Ireland22208 Posts
May 10 2014 22:15 GMT
#1240
:D
"As I've said, balance isn't about strategies or counters, it's about probability and statistics." - paralleluniverse
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