My guess is Coag if he doesn't at least help us with his pod. I'm really just not understanding what Rayn's doing with any of those posts.
Cell Mini Mafia - Page 10
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My guess is Coag if he doesn't at least help us with his pod. I'm really just not understanding what Rayn's doing with any of those posts. | ||
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If he's town, then he really thinks he's got the first 3 scum nailed down. | ||
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On April 04 2014 09:19 Palmar wrote: You can't read anything into rayn's posting so don't try. He flat out claimed scum and and said Koshi didn't want to play scum. That's hard to not read into. It's especially hard to not read into the fact that he's only happy with you/HF and mostly mad at gumshoe but also mad at me. That shits weird even for drunk Rayn. So do you think Rayn is town or scum here? | ||
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On April 04 2014 09:33 Palmar wrote: Like I don't even know what you're wifoming yourself into. Read the posts, make a decision. When I get home, I'm going to leave my best thoughts on UoN, prplhz and Ceph. If you don't like them and think I'm scummy, then tell everyone to lynch me with fire. I don't know where Cavs at but you should be able to read me just fine. Right now my gut instinct is that scum has been mostly silent in the background and town's been eating each other. Seriously though, no backsies. If the posts on UoN etc are sheep worthy and super town then I deserve to be lynched for having a shit game. | ||
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I still think he was the scum in that cell btw. ~Cav | ||
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Alright, I've only played 3 games here. I might as well just get that out of the way since my early reads were, to put it lightly, kind of shit. However, the coincidence here is that rayn was around and spectating or taking part in every single one of those games. He knows exactly what kind of play I am capable of, namely that it's well-written but poorly thought out because, as stated, I'm new and kinda derp. This evidence, on its own, really isn't that convincing. However, what could be interesting is that during my two NMM games (one of which he was my coach for) I was lynched day 1. He knows that I can be a liability. He knows I'm not great at defending myself. Ergo, pushing me would be good for scum, especially since I rolled town. Now, the issue here is that these two pieces of evidence really aren't that great by themselves. The thing that really ties everything together is how he addressed my general shittiness in this game and in Cultured. In Cultured, he rolled town. I didn't really talk much day 1 then either, and he made this post: If you are new it does not mean you are worse than annyone else in this game. You will be listened as much as anyone else and your opinion is as valuable as anyone else's. The worst thing you can do (AS TOWN) is to fear that you will get mislynched because other people are more experienced than you are and you fuck up or something. Being wrong is not scummy, not willing to patricipate however is. Please guys, give your opinions and participate more. Now in this game: So why does purplehaze who is your "YOLOSWAG 100% SCUM" look more scummy than Cavalinho who has said absolutely nothing? And why is Cavalinho scared? Newbie mafia = usually scared. town!Cavalinho is not scared to voice his opinion. ~rayn There is a huge difference in regarding my day 1 play in these two posts. Town!rayn is almost always concerned with getting more information into the thread at any cost. Scum!rayn obviously does not give a shit. There is actually a blatant lie in there that involves how I'm supposedly scared to voice my opinion (which I did earlier this game, even though it was bad). He is looking for the best player to push in our cell, and apparently that's me because G went and gave me control of this game for the most part. Rayn was mafia. That's my 100% shit analysis, you can take it or leave it. ~Cav (also patricipate lol) | ||
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Like he clearly does not give a shit and I think that scum would have more of an attachment to the game. | ||
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Extratctor Trick Resistence 3 [red]LXII I actually wish I had 2-3 more games at at least 1 more scum game to compare it to. The first major thing I noticed that's different from the town games Sen'ts posts have been is that in both of those games a large amount of his filter is short posts, mostly 1-2 line posts with very few if any big posts. Conversely, as scum he has these very large almost summary posts. From a purely perusal standpoint without actually reading much into it, I just want to lynch Sent. Specifically, as town Sent seems to flow with the thread more if that makes any sense; ie. he interacts with it as it's going on. Where as as scum, he tries to lump everything together into one coherent point that people won't really talk about. When I was reading Sent's big post on Gumshoe, that really got to bothering me. + Show Spoiler + On April 03 2014 05:20 [UoN]Sentinel wrote: First off, gumshoe because his filter came up first: Steve dived him here which I'd like to somewhat expound on. The conversation he brings up: While going for unconfirmed scum first is fishy (and scummy), what stood out to me was gum's resistance to providing information further within the quote. This is looking like town play, just very bad town play - if I was a scum in gumshoe's position I wouldn't want to encourage rayn to make red reads on me. I'd actually be paying a lot more attention to what rayn is saying and trying to get either him or Steve into the frying pan. As town, gum can be full of hubris. As scum, it's attracting way too much attention, and someone in the QT would have shut him up. I do agree with steve that the other part of that quote is pretty scummy thinking though. Gum's rage here returns to the same vein as where he ignored rayn previously: he discredits rayn's case because he's not sure of it, and goes after the meta instead. While this one post in a vacuum rings scum - he's dismissing evidence that goes against him instead of countering it, waving it aside as rayn twisting words, and tries to justify his obscuring of information that could help town at this point - it's very consistent with his mentality earlier. I can see this as another evidence of bad town play, with gumshoe missing the point of hunting scum but instead getting extremely defensive about rayn's comments, and "figuring out the game" on his own. This post is actually one of the more logical ones gum's made up to this point, although I feel like you could make the counter-argument that Steve is simply playing neutral and doing both the positives and the negatives of gum's play. A huge shitstorm ensues over rayn's case. Point 2 is very scummy looking especially as gum claims he only wants to appear readable to town and not scum. The lack of nightkills makes this point look very hard to justify... he really can't be silenced by a scummy mayor, since majority would be against sending group 1 to the chopping block first, and we'd have a scum who painted a big red target on his face. Rest of filter seems to simply reinforce notions he had before. Gum's got one thing going for him and that's consistency to a fault: he's picked some key points (don't be 100% transparent, rayn is scum, steve is town, geript is a pretty towny player), and stuck to them, to the point where I'm wondering if he's simply using his earlier play to justify his later notions. I guess that's a bad-town thing to do, especially since he really can't hide an ally by putting himself into the spotlight. Overall I'm thinking town on gum simply because a scum, even a bad one, would have no incentive to become the most targetable figure in Cell 1, and that it's a lot less convoluted to try to justify his beliefs as careless town compared to scum. I'll take a look at rayn once I return from work tonight. @LSB I played with you two years ago and you made me your bitch. That wasn't very fun. Specifically in how differently the points were laid out and how illogical they are. While going for unconfirmed scum first is fishy (and scummy), what stood out to me was gum's resistance to providing information further within the quote. This is looking like town play, just very bad town play - if I was a scum in gumshoe's position I wouldn't want to encourage rayn to make red reads on me. I'd actually be paying a lot more attention to what rayn is saying and trying to get either him or Steve into the frying pan. As town, gum can be full of hubris. As scum, it's attracting way too much attention, and someone in the QT would have shut him up. I do agree with steve that the other part of that quote is pretty scummy thinking though The first thing that really bothers me about this part of this post is how it doesn't go anywhere at all. He's 100% leaving his options open for calling Gumshoe both town and scum. Even more so, I hate how he comes up with his townread on gumshoe, "welp gumshoe as scum clearly wouldn't try to attact this much attention from town rayn. Instead he'd just try and push Rayn over the side or have Rayn bury Steve." But this is like exactly what gumshoe was doing, Gumshoe came up with a case on rayn; when said case went south, he screamed "Pants on Fire, I'm not scum because Steveling exists." This specifically bothers me because this looks like Sent just wants to create any reason to call Gumshoe town and move on. (Forgive me if I'm wrong on the timing of when Sent posted this but I'm not up to double checking that) Rest of filter seems to simply reinforce notions he had before. Gum's got one thing going for him and that's consistency to a fault: he's picked some key points (don't be 100% transparent, rayn is scum, steve is town, geript is a pretty towny player), and stuck to them, to the point where I'm wondering if he's simply using his earlier play to justify his later notions. I guess that's a bad-town thing to do, especially since he really can't hide an ally by putting himself into the spotlight. Another thing that specifically bothered me here is that he's writing off Gumshoe as town for his consistency. People's reads never changing, moving or evolving tends to be seen as a scum trait not a bad town tell. Koshi specifically brought it up as a reason for suspecting me/cav. Here he's again leaving his options open for calling Gumshoe scum for his consistency while managing to call him town. Palmer. You don't have to read his other filters, but seriously look at them. It's almost obvious how differently Sent posts as scum and as town. I hate to say that I agree with Coag here but I actually think Coag's right on this one. ##unvote ##vote [UoN]Sentinel It's 5 am here and I'm really sleepy, I'll get back to working on prplhz. | ||
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On April 04 2014 17:35 Palmar wrote: red: based on what? You haven't even mentioned sentinel except for once when you called him resoundingly null. Since then he became super town? blue: That's an associative read, not to mention you've given yourself the parameters that make me mafia before actually going and looking at what I've said. It's funny that you bring up this point. Banks knows how much I hate associative tells and things. I really hate going off into iffen land, but the whole time I was reading Sent's big post on Gumshoe I couldn't help but feel like it was scum defending scum. Mainly because when scum defends town, they generally put their foot down on it and make a hard stance. But his big post on Gumshoe was very careful to leave him room to later call him scum. Then he jumped all over Steve at the first opportunity. Even without having reread gumshoe yet, if Sent flips scum I'm really tempted to lynch gumshoe on that. | ||
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On April 05 2014 02:32 Palmar wrote: It's not pro-town play, it's shit play by rayn, but the point is that it maks no sense to do as mafia, hence rayn was town. It makes no sense to do as any alignment. But hey, the simplest answer is that townies get themselves modkilled and scum don't. Palmar let's look at steve for a second to just PoE it because Gumshoe can be pants on head as town. | ||
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On April 03 2014 01:17 Steveling wrote: Gum, when I started being active today first thing I did was filter you and raynkoshi. You can check my post on them, frankly I didn't find a single anti town thing. My view on them hasn't changed since then as well, their case on you was solid. Anyway, we should get some heat from other cells as well, guys? Promote discussion pls. This post really bugs me. Never in playing mafia have I ever found a filter with nothing I found bad in it. But what's even odder to me is the complete non-chalance before about Rayn/Gum. I think HF pinged me on this point earlier in the game and I remember it being odd, but in rereading it sticks out even more and more. Specifically, Steveling essentially made this huge case on Gumshoe where he ends up with a fence read. The thing that specifically bugs me is that in this setup, if I'm town and I have a super town read on someone else and a neutral read on the third person, then I'm going to read the fuck out of the third person to figure out what I'm missing and where I'm going wrong. It gets weirder: On April 02 2014 20:51 Steveling wrote: First, if I had to bet on it, I'd say he's town. Now about the people that bus'd him Tehpoofter and getript seemingly blindly jump on him. Definitely suspicious for me. Gumshoe's suspicion I think is kinda silly, why would mderg defend me like that out of the blue, it would be literally the worst mafia play ever. Balla doesn't really hard claim him as scum as the others, he's just saying that his filter is scammy/inactive/fluff. So, can't form an opinion on balla based on that. Raynkoshi made the connection between mderg and gum but and raynkoshi so far gets a town read in my book so there's that. I like the joke there and laughed "I think he's town but about those people bussing him..." The weird thing here is that he again calls RaynKoshi town and calls Gum's suspicion silly. There's really too much of this to ignore. On April 02 2014 23:55 Steveling wrote: Alright, I just had the time to properly read raynkoshi's case and gum's um, lack of debunking? About the trap thing, raynkoshi's 1st point, I'm willing to give you the benefit of the doubt gum. I explained earlier that I find that part of your game flawed but genuinely your style and mby town play. Same thing you did when we played together. You are still in the wrong but I'm passing it by. The 2nd point they made is very very legit though. Rare are the cases where the town benefits if they lynch their own. That holds for a normal setup though, for this setup in which after each lynch a whole cell goes OUT of the game your "don't give a crap what you think about me" is inherently scum. I'm surprised you can't see it for yourself. I was willing to give you even more time to explain yourself right until that part. Their 3rd point also stands and you still don't give a damn. You are not making it easy mate. You don't have my vote of confidence anymore. + Show Spoiler [Rayn's case] + On April 02 2014 22:54 raynpelikonoshi wrote: Here is why gumshoe is mafia and we should be lynching him: Point #1: gumshoe's bait and why it does not make sense from town perspective and proves he is scum: Here is the full conversation regarding this: Now here other stuff happens and both of me and gumshoe discuss other things. Later on i revisit the argument and it bothers me because it looks weird. I ask gumshoe this: Now read the red part and the green part. Both are gumshoe's answers. Both cannot possibly be true. Agreed? Yes, good. Now this leads us to the following: gumshoe says he laid a trap on me and i did not take the bait. Okay, maybe this is true. However why this is scummy is because the trap and the conclusion from it happened before gumshoe makes his green explanation. If it was truly a trap gumshoe has his conclusion already. In this case he would post the red part instead of lying and posting the green part in the first place. There is absolutely no reason to lie about the motivation behind your argument when asked, especially when you have already gotten your conclusion!! There is no town motivation for gumshoe to do what he did. This also leads me to: Point #2: gumshoe's contradicting stance regarding readability and what it means: I made a post about this already. It's here: Look at the post.
Why this is scummy? Because town!gumshoe PROVABLY thinks the exact opposite he claims in this game. He only says what he does in this game because he lied and can't explain it in any other way. His explanation does not match with what town!gumshoe thinks. Noone can possibly have a contradicting stance on what is the optimal play for a townie regarding being readable or not when they are town, it's impossible, regardless of the game or situation! Point #3: gumshoe is dodging arguments and working against his own heuristics + : I'll just make a list of these:
Thank you for reading. ~rayn So Steveling has town read on rayn; there's a lack of debunking of rayn's case by gumshoe; steveling likes rayn's case. How can this guy not just call gumshoe scumshoe here. I really don't get it. The thing that I find odd about this in particular is that if you read Gumshoe's post in context, then it's super easy to dismiss Rayn's point 2. Point 1 from Rayn's case is far more convincing and a better point imo (although I personally don't find any of Rayn's case convincing). Point 3 I can seen from a lot of directions. The important thing here is that Steve should just be hammer Scumshoe into the ground here and pushing for Group 1 first. On April 03 2014 02:23 Steveling wrote: I'm trying to figure this out, because so far they have being very townish. But this is, well how should I put it, questionable? Anyway, you can have your own opinion, illogical as it is. At least make a case against me so I can defend myself. X swore on his life so he's legit is not much of an argument. As I said earlier what everyone needs to do is defend themselves because a single lynch removes an entire cell from the game so I'll defend myself. Just try to find a proper reason if you can? Dunno, this play of yours is very bad. And one last thing, ryankoshi, you didn't respond to that, what if I also swear I'm town? I don't disagree with Steve here. Rayn's reason for flipping his read on gumshoe was weird/illogical/whatever. The odd response specifically is Steve's been super convinced that Gum is scum here; he's found gum's posting scummy, he's found rayn super town, he's liked rayn's case and thinks the points are scummy/damning. But the weird thing is that he's not hammering any of this shit home when gumshoe gets a freebie townread. I don't see why he's not just rehammering all of those arguments back into rayn if he reallys thinks Gum is scum. Overall, I think gum's town, I'm going to assume Rayn is town. Steve looks really odd and scummy so he hsould be lynch #2 | ||
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On April 05 2014 03:36 Palmar wrote: gum's not town and even if he is he is sided with the mafia. le sigh | ||
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On April 05 2014 03:48 gumshoe wrote: Yes, if you want to lynch scum and not someone whose just bad. People get into the trap of thinking bad is scum, I have seen so many derpy townies on tl its no wonder I assume scum is always competent / : as they should be because they have perfect info. Ignore ScumRayn and TownRayn. Read Steve's filter and come to a conclusion. | ||
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On April 05 2014 05:08 Palmar wrote: By everything you mean everything except call me mafia for anything I have posted myself. Hell, you haven't even considered the possibility that if rayn is mafia he might simply have been calling me town because he knows I tend to lynch people that call me scum. But that would obviously not fit your agenda, so let's just disregard it! Can you plz just vote Sent? | ||
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