EPTNewbie Mini Mafia LI - Page 46
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Balla24
2322 Posts
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Balla24
2322 Posts
Some of these might be really weak connections or non-connections, so ask me if you come to a different conclusion and I'll try to clarify. would not write off: -owb -day_walker -bigdad -dynyarri people I would write as town due to their interaction with derrida: -chyz -sidesprang -suki plus conf towns (asuna is subject to change based on if anybody brings up new night action details) - asuna - chinstrap - me VOTES derrida stayed on dragoon the entire time -owb swapped to DNYARRI -day_walker never got onto dragoon, voted for DNYARRI -bigdad swapped to DAY_WALKER -dnyarri stayed Therefore, my top suspects atm are dnyarri and bigdad. Looking more into bigdad now since I'm policy lynching dnyarri. | ||
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Balla24
2322 Posts
Seriously where my town at? | ||
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LoneMeow
Finland1396 Posts
dnyarri (3): chinstrap, Balla24, BigDad Not voting (7): Asuna, TheChyz, onlywonderboy, dnyarri, sidesprang, Day_Walker, suki Currently, dnyarri is set to be lynched. Deadline is Friday, Jan 10 10:00pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (in ). Voting is mandatory! If there are errors, please let us know. | ||
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chinstrap
United Kingdom253 Posts
A huge amount has happened in the last 24 hours. Lots to think about. I don't understand how we had so much talk about nothing Day 1 and so much silence now when there is bucket loads to analyse! | ||
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chinstrap
United Kingdom253 Posts
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chinstrap
United Kingdom253 Posts
1: Theres isn't 100% a roleblocker 2: Roleblocker may have not used his action | ||
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chinstrap
United Kingdom253 Posts
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probuLing
United States75 Posts
On January 09 2014 18:11 chinstrap wrote: Also I would not put too much faith in the Asuna roleblock claim. Hmm, suit yourself, but I was role blocked. | ||
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sidesprang
Norway1033 Posts
But atleast, If there are a town roleblocker I think you should roleblock Asuna again just on the odd chance he is SK. | ||
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chinstrap
United Kingdom253 Posts
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Day_Walker
104 Posts
If dnyarri is not scum, then my theory that Derrida skipped over Asuna and dnyarri because they were scum mates is wrong. If you take that away, I have Asuna on the list of people who could easily be scum but I'm not really sure. So in the interest of being honest, I need to retract my "I would be happy to lynch either one" statement. Right now dnyarri is my number one choice and Asuna is my number two choice, but I think dnyarri is a much better lynch target and in fact I would not be happy with an Asuna lynch. About Asuna's role claim: When I read it, I thought of these two scenarios: 1) Asuna is townie blocked by scum 2) scum have no blocker, Asuna is scum and knows that nobody was blocked, Asuna claims the block for cred Of course town could have a blocker too (I think. Yes?), so theoretically two people could have been blocked, which makes case 2 a bit less convincing to me (it wasn't guaranteed that Asuna would be the only person claiming a block, even if Asuna knew there was no scum blocker. Anyway I feel like I can't read too much into Asuna's block claim and inclined to agree with chinstrap that Asuna does not belong on any confirmed town list. | ||
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chinstrap
United Kingdom253 Posts
However, after giving it more thought: 'TTTTT = Goon + Godfather, Serial Killer (Investigation Immune OR 1-Shot Bulletproof)' Is the only remaining scenario without a roleblocker. This would mean Asuna had to be the godfather and dnyarri has to be TWON for DW scenario 2 to be true. I find that highly unlikly | ||
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chinstrap
United Kingdom253 Posts
There IS a mafia role blocker, but they didnt roleblock anyone. Allowing Asuna a free roleblock claim to apear confirmed town. Again, pretty convoluted but within the relms of posisbility. | ||
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chinstrap
United Kingdom253 Posts
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sidesprang
Norway1033 Posts
One point I have not seen brought up yet. Is the KP, I kinda assumed that there was gonna be 2 KP, either by mafia having 2 or 1 from mafia and 1 from SK. But since there were only one scum kill and no one discussed the possibility that they could have 2 and that we had a medic save or RB or whatever kinda leads me to believe they only have 1. Can anyone confirm to me that 1 KP is the norm in this setup? And another point, why are we excluding 6T's, on the link it seems like innocent child is a green role and not a power role. So dont we only have 1 confirmed blue at this point, And that will make 6T's possible ? | ||
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chinstrap
United Kingdom253 Posts
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chinstrap
United Kingdom253 Posts
You are a member of the White Movement, resisting the Bolshevik revolution. Abilities: Factional communication: You may talk with your partners here [QuickTopic link]. Factional kill: Each night phase, one of you or your partners may perform the factional kill. | ||
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chinstrap
United Kingdom253 Posts
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sidesprang
Norway1033 Posts
I'm trying to read into Derrida's filter, and I think Day_Walker also comes out more town from it. I doubt a he would buddy up like he did in the first post if Day_Walker was scum. I think it would be more an attempt to pocket him than anything else. Also when reading Derrida's first post, he fails to mention both Asuna and Dnyarri. I have only read up on Dnyarri atm, but I really can not understand how you can fail to mention Dnyarri in a list like he made. He had only posted two post by that time. + Show Spoiler + On January 06 2014 20:05 dnyarri wrote: I think TheChyz is suspicious. First he says (s)he wants so lynch lurkers anyway. When people started to suspect him/her (s)he said that (s)he did it on purpose to catch bandwagoners. Bandwagons however give lurkers easy targets which seems contradicts his/her original agenda of lynching lurkers. Also, TheChyz has only brought confusion and only potentially useful analysis (s)he has brought to table is against Day_Walker who was attacking TheChyz with the list. It appears more like TheChyz is trying to save his/her skin. Though I think Day_Walker is suspicious because of the list, I find TheChyz more suspicious and I don't believe that as a scum Day_Walker would attack another scums this early. ##Vote: TheChyz + Show Spoiler + On January 06 2014 23:43 dnyarri wrote: Actually I have changed my primary target of suspicion from TheChyz to TheDragoon mainly because of this post: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=434723¤tpage=16#316 TheDragoon stated that Day_Walker seemed like innocent even though Day_Walker had only posted one list and nothing else. Day_Walker's only vote is against TheChyz which doesn't mean much since TheChyz is easy bandwagoning target. TheDragoon's post give me the impression that he wants to slow voting down by defending (random) people while going to TheChyz-bandwagon and attacking nobody else. TheChyz is confusing but I'm not sure if it's carelessness or risk taking. My logic for calling him scum was somewhat faulted too I think. ##unvote ##vote: TheDragoon In two posts, Dnyari votes for two different people. And his posts looks rather fishy to me. With posts like those two how can you not mention Dnyarri in a list like that. Unless you had a reason not to. That coupled with derrida trying to prevent us from lynching lurkers, and in essence to save dnyarri makes me believe there is a high chance dnyarri is scum. ##Vote Dnyarri | ||
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