EPTHogwarts Mafia - Page 207
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raynpelikonoshi
Cayman Islands1087 Posts
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Sn0_Man
Tebellong44238 Posts
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raynpelikonoshi
Cayman Islands1087 Posts
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raynpelikonoshi
Cayman Islands1087 Posts
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raynpelikonoshi
Cayman Islands1087 Posts
It's Holyflare, CR and Skanjab. | ||
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raynpelikonoshi
Cayman Islands1087 Posts
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raynpelikonoshi
Cayman Islands1087 Posts
Who wants new candy? I think Grack is best target. | ||
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Skanjab1s
748 Posts
On October 25 2013 06:44 raynpelikonoshi wrote: Let's say Grack is town for being right. Onegu still town for reasons everybody says. It's Holyflare, CR and Skanjab. htf can I be scum with CR? | ||
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Skanjab1s
748 Posts
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raynpelikonoshi
Cayman Islands1087 Posts
Yeah I know. D: Buss into easy endgame? Best guess. | ||
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justanothertownie
16322 Posts
Where is the problem? You wanted to kill stutters over him. | ||
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justanothertownie
16322 Posts
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Holyflare
United Kingdom30775 Posts
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Holyflare
United Kingdom30775 Posts
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raynpelikonoshi
Cayman Islands1087 Posts
On October 25 2013 07:14 Holyflare wrote: You guys are actually kidding right? There's a POSITIVE COP CHECK on people in gryffindor ON THE HOUSE THAT WASN'T GOING TO GET COP CHECKED, there is absolutely no way that a fucking framer does that shit. We lynch jat or rayn and there is no other option. Stop playing dumb. Lynch this guy after if you are seriously going to lynch us. He's the counterpart of Cephiro. Oh and Grack, i am waiting for the case. dundun.. -rayn | ||
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Skanjab1s
748 Posts
On October 25 2013 07:06 justanothertownie wrote: Where is the problem? You wanted to kill stutters over him. But I wanna kill him guuurl | ||
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justanothertownie
16322 Posts
That's what you claim. | ||
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Skanjab1s
748 Posts
Do you want to test me tomorrow ^_^? | ||
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Skanjab1s
748 Posts
On October 25 2013 07:07 justanothertownie wrote: As soon as he really was in danger of being lynched your scumread on him kinda vanished only to appear again later. Also this is factually inaccurate. | ||
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Mocsta
Australia9388 Posts
This is the last I will say on Cephiro: It's a shame he tried to make the game way too complex, because, his reveal post was very authentic. Even so, he had to be voted. Was simply too secretive, dangling-carrot-ish. Gotta move on. I agree with Syllo, I'm very surprised that Cedric was a JOAT. I don't hold it against him for suggesting I am scum, because, our world just got flipped upside down. As I said before: The invulnerability potion is alignment null (its JUST as useful for scum in a game with lots of KP at the start). Thus, Hopeless1der JOAT claim makes him the theoretical counter-part to Storrzerg. Couple things: (1) I find it impossible to accept that scum vigged lonemeow (I have seen vivax do this before but its just so unlikely). (2) Just because Cephiro was town, does not make his reads right (I agere with Skanjab + Holyflare) but I would swap Onegu for Chariman_Ray. Chairman_Ray Last night, chariman made an odd post: On October 25 2013 03:18 Chairman Ray wrote: Town sometimes will ask to be green checked; but typically the scenario will be that they are under heavy suspicion and want to abate the mislynch threat.I'm not actually scum. I just think that if it gets down to lylo, then I'll be a liability since I'm basically a blank puzzle piece at endgame. I can't really do a lot of scumhunting, and there's little information everyone else knows about me. So it's better I flip early than later. If someone still has alignment checking powers, that would also be useful just to get me confirmed as town. In this situation: Chairman is not under heavy suspicion (by vote) and we are at a stage where a check would still be more useful to obtain a red-check then reduce the probabilities via green-check. Further, the phrasing that he uses it odd - it conveys an arrogant tone, as opposed to confidence. i.e. I am very sure that Chairman is a godfather. Which is why he is begging to be checked. Here are some interesting posts from Chairman On October 24 2013 10:47 Mocsta wrote: Chairman... If u r up to date from joining to now What is your position on cephiro On October 24 2013 11:03 Chairman Ray wrote: Look at this waffle. I asked him for a position, and he still can not commit.Reading through his filter, he doesn't seem all that scummy to me tbh. That's why I didn't vote him yesterday. But what really strikes me is that there has to be a scum among Ceph, raynko, and JAT. IMO, ceph is probably a bit more scummy than the other two. Do we have enough town alive to plow through both huffle and griff? Either you think Cephiro is scum due to the check; or you think he is town and the check is INVALID. From reading rayn's filter, he's very adamant on lynching within griff to get the scum. He doesn't seem to have a strong preference on which person to lynch first. If he's town, he might just not have a solid read on one over the other and to him, 50% mafia lynch chance in the first lynch, and 100% on the second one is an attractive option. However if he's mafia, the check basically makes his days numbered. He says Cephiro is the scummiest of the 3 in the house, yet now is setting himself up to vote Rayn.... Once JAT and ceph flip town, then rayn is confirmed scum. So in this instance, he either has two options, and they are to avoid griff kills as a whole, or convince people to kill within griff so he dies last. So if raynko is scum, he's doing the latter. Overall, this doesn't tell us anything about raynko's alignment, but if we're plowing through griff looking for the one scum, I would want it to be in the order of ceph -> rayn -> jat, or jat -> rayn -> ceph. Here is cruxOnce JAT and ceph flip townWTF !?!?!?!?!?! He was just saying Cephiro was the most likely to flip scum; and now has a confidence that Ceph will flip town; and in addition to this, CR wants JAT lynched before Rayn when in the previous paragraph he explained how Rayn could be scum. Now, in the quote above, he explained how he didnt think Cephiro was scummy, so didnt vote him. Here is that post: On October 22 2013 04:19 Chairman Ray wrote: This is skewing what occured. Cephiro became active because he *had* to defend him. - Agreed, it is alignment null.Just read through Cephiro's filters. Big thing I notice is that he didn't post much, until after he started getting voted on heavily on day 2, then he went super active. This isn't much of an indicator of alignment though. Something does strike a bit odd though. I would expect that if a player is active, but not posting, then he's probably using all his time analyzing the thread. After Cephiro became active, most of his contributions have been for self defense, or to lynch into Hufflepuff. Nothing really indicates that he's been silently scumhunting. This may be behavior of scum trying to hide under the radar when someone else is a better target. Lynching into hufflepuff is a misrepresentation. He followed the next wagon: Palmar (who coincidentally was in hufflepuff) All up, gives a nullish read. However one good thing about Cephiro is that he stayed adamant on lynching Hufflepuff, even when he had the highest votes, and the next best lynch was myself who just replaced in. How is this a good point? Palmar was scum....Given that he didn't jump onto an easy lynch train for self-preservation, I think that his case for lynching into hufflepuff has some legitimacy. IMO, I don't think Cephiro is a good lynch for today This is a very poor reason to say "one good thing about Cephiro" and then in a future post; and essentially is just more waffle on a key item of discussion in the game.I will be reading into Hufflepuff filters next. And after all these promises of lynching into Hufflepuff. Who does CR vote? On October 22 2013 04:27 Chairman Ray wrote: If we're going to be lynching a lurker today, I think he's the best target IMO. I would be willing to vote stutters, but not Cephiro. ##unvote ##vote: stutters695 LYNCH WITH FIRE | ||
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