On October 08 2013 15:41 raynpelikoneet wrote: What i care about is this: Scum don't want to call out other scum at the start of the game, even if they figure them out. Because the other team might kill you and you then effectively shit on each others bed.
My problem is this: When SnB was killed the other scumteam HAS to assume Palmar is town, because the bus was so incredible. Then, magically then, you come up with this Palmar stuff, while on N2 you have him as fucking town. On D4, when there is a Solstice life on the line, you magically come up with Chairman Ray who is ABSOLUTELY MAFIA! Out of fucking nowhere. OUT OF FUCKING NOWHERE!
That, sir, is a big problem in your play to me. I mostly agree with the first bit. But again I was not here. Sorry for not catching scum before I started playing.
Also, I don't magically come up with CR. Jesus. Here's my scumreads D2On October 02 2013 03:29 austinmcc wrote: Don't want to lynch FT or ShiaoPi.
Happy with Koshi, Solstice, probably CR, possibly Pandain.
##vote: s0Lstice
Hiro, could you share some thoughts on people who aren't FT and ShiaoPi? Maybe take a look at rayn/palmar arguing, a peek at CR, and whatchoo thinkin' bout solstice?
On D3, I look harder at CR: Here's my looking into other CR games:On October 05 2013 03:03 austinmcc wrote: CR or someone else, can you point me to your other mafia games? On October 05 2013 03:03 austinmcc wrote: where your = CR's as far as the "someone else" is concerned. Profile full of a bunch of, gasp, non-mafia posts On October 05 2013 03:08 austinmcc wrote: Yeah. I just want to look over those other games. When I start making lists, he's in this middle grouping and I need to pull some of those folks one way or another.
after Koshi first outs himself:On October 05 2013 04:29 austinmcc wrote: (Which is why we should lynch him. High five!)
Palmar/WoS/solstice/CR/(VA or Cheese) is where I currently sit.
LOOK AT MY MUSCULAR, CHISELED BACK TOWN. LOOK AT IT. DO YOU NOT WANT TO HOP ON?
Perhaps tomorrow, or perhaps later Koshi revelations will clear something neat up.
Here's my looking into other CR games:On October 05 2013 03:03 austinmcc wrote: CR or someone else, can you point me to your other mafia games? On October 05 2013 03:03 austinmcc wrote: where your = CR's as far as the "someone else" is concerned. Profile full of a bunch of, gasp, non-mafia posts On October 05 2013 03:08 austinmcc wrote: Yeah. I just want to look over those other games. When I start making lists, he's in this middle grouping and I need to pull some of those folks one way or another.
Someone asks me about my reads:On October 05 2013 04:40 austinmcc wrote: A lot hinges on FT and Palmar.
I agree that Oats ain't strongly town, but some of what he's said just struck me as very town-minded. Not even town-minded in a "scumhunting the other team" way, but just about the game in general.
CR's old town games are like...plans to do stuff, votes put on people he doesn't think are scum so that MAYBE scum will hop off the leading candidate and onto that other guy (indicating that the main candidate IS scum), etc. etc. Tricksy, calculating, and lynched for it because it sounds a little too wonky.
This game, he's doing a little calculating and theory, but it almost always concerns scum actions/scum teams. In some ways, my read on him is like...reverse blue sniping. It looks like he wants to play his normal game, but he's caught up in scum actions, and so all his theories and speculation posts focus on scum actions. Not a boatload to go on, but it's there. His entry posts are also a bit crafted for my taste. He never never drops in. It's always a sizeable post focused on one or two areas, not like he hops in and gets dirty but like he knows he's not around and crafts these single posts to drop into thread.
There might have been something else but I forget.
WoS/solstice we'll see about. LOOK. I EXPLAIN WHY I THINK CR IS MAFIA HERE, ON D3, BEFORE PALMAR HAS EVEN FLIPPED. I explain by referencing past games.
Then continue looking at my posts. I'm focused on that one post of CR's during N3On October 06 2013 01:53 austinmcc wrote:Show nested quote +On October 06 2013 01:46 Oatsmaster wrote: Ok so something about CR.
Palmar kept calling him the towniest town ever(Slight exaggeration). What can you conclude from that Austin? Oats. I still kind of sort of think you're town. Please do some super townie stuff or something if you're town. I don't think we conclude anything off of that. IF WoS isn't the third member of that team, CR is a decent option, but honestly I read more into what CR wrote about Palmar than what Palmar wrote about CR. Go look at CR's post D2 where he goes through the permutations of VA/Palmar/SnB/FT scumteams. He concludes overall that Palmar is scummy but the worst lynch for information-gathering reasons. THAT is something I like much more as a connection than what Palmar says about CR. (This post is when I had WoS as most likely MCB, CR second likely)
Here's solstice defending CR N3, and me explaining to solstice why CR is mafia:On October 06 2013 02:29 austinmcc wrote:Show nested quote +On October 06 2013 02:20 s0Lstice wrote:Chairman Ray is actually a bit of a sticking point for me. On October 04 2013 12:35 Chairman Ray wrote:Hey I'm back now, and I did a quick read through the thread. Definitely impressed by all the reads and information people have been giving. You guys are definitely carrying me here  . Anyways, my personal opinion, I think it's best to go after people that have a possibility to be on a scumteam with SnB. If we can get rid of one scumteam, then the KP goes down. Reading through the filters, I think the strongest disconnect with SnB is probably Palmer. For this reason, even though Palmer might be a good lynch candidate, I wouldn't vote him myself just because I want to get rid of SnB's scumteam first. After a quick analysis, I don't think that there's much of a chance that VA and FT are on the same scumteam, and Palmer and FT are on the same scumteam either. There's a weak disconnect between VA and palmer, but that can go either way. So using the four people - VA, SnB, FT, and Palm, I will try to see if I can map out their alliance. Scenario A Scumteam: SnB, VA FT and Palmer cannot occupy third spot, and they are also disconnected, so one must be other scumteam, one must be town Scenario B Scumteam: SnB, FT VA and Palmer cannot occupy third spot. They can both be other scumteam, or one of the is scum, one is town. Among the three people VA, FT, and Palmer, here's the information that we will get from lynching them: VA - If he flips scum with SnB, then either FT or Palmer must be town. If he flips opposite scum, then FT is likely scum, or else both FT and Palmer are town. If he flips town, then FT and Palmer can be scum on opposite teams, or one is scum, one is town. FT - If he flips scum with SnB, then out of VA and palmer, one or both is on the other scumteam. If he flips other scumteam, then, Palmer is town, and VA is can either be town or scum with SnB, more likely scum with SnB. If he flips town, then we don't know much about Palmer and VA. Palmer - I don't want to lynch him, but if he flips other scumteam, then it doesn't say much about VA and FT, and if he flips town, it doesn't say much either. There's also solstice, which some people are pushing to vote. I think the only disconnect that can even be drawn with him is with Palmer, but it's not a very strong one. I also doubt he's gonna be lynched today, so there isn't much of a point trying to piece him in. I will do that tomorrow. Right now, I think I'm gonna put my vote on FT since there isn't that big a benefit lynching VA over him, and plus, I wanna save Palmer. ##Vote: FirmTofu He is lynchbait typically as I understand it. I'm having a lot of difficulty rationalizing the town points this post gets due to the timing (no pressure on him, some creative thoughts, some carelessly wrong thoughts), with his overall apathy in participating in key events in the thread as they happen. I just have no idea what to do with this guy. Look at his past games. Look at his posts this one. There are less, they're generally very well-constructed and almost never spur of the moment little comments. He rarely sticks around. A lot of his scumhunting is bolstered by ... events, by votes, by flips, by something other than just filters. It's not just that he's not doing these weird votes to try and make something happen and out mafia, he's OVERLY cautious, very apologetic, and never just straight sitting down and scumhunting. To the extent you like disappearing after lynch, as some other people have mentioned in this thread, as a scumtell, CR not only hasn't been around but this is, as best I can tell, the first time he's seen a scum lynch on TL. In both other games he was a D1 mislynch. In this game, SnB flips scum and CR's response is: Show nested quote +On October 04 2013 12:35 Chairman Ray wrote:Hey I'm back now, and I did a quick read through the thread. Definitely impressed by all the reads and information people have been giving. You guys are definitely carrying me here  . Palmar flips scum and CR's response is: Show nested quote +On October 05 2013 05:37 Chairman Ray wrote: Ok, I was totally wrong about the association thing. Looks like SnB and Palmer did cut their ties to be meta. Unlucky for them, it didn't save Palmer lol. There is no joy in mudville. Combine that with the fact that there's a limited pool of possible mafia players, and he's mafia.
I'm not going to grab any more posts. They're all in my filter. You can look at them. I don't grab CR from nowhere. I've been explaining why CR is mafia from later in D3, and arguing harder for him during N3 and at the start of D4.
I don't magically come up with CR. I scumhunt. And I found scum. And very, very few people were interested in listening at all, despite me asking a bunch of people about CR, and trying to get them to see the light.
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