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Newbie Mini Mafia XLVII - Page 10

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heavenz
Profile Joined August 2013
Austria301 Posts
September 03 2013 23:26 GMT
#181
Good evening fellow top agents. Let us rest old and dry cases and let this be our only concerne as it already runs blood red. Lynching is the righteous answere on the evildoings of the terrorists, so we shall lynch.
Bereft
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
United States1007 Posts
September 04 2013 00:06 GMT
#182
definitely agree that we ought to lynch (bar some crazy situation arising). a lynch day 1 creates accountability, initiates discussion and forces a breadcrumb trail. by no means do I mean to imply that people are dispensable, but without threat of elimination, mafia can operate without any pressure whatsoever and leave us no voting patterns to analyze. before we get off track debating the merits of lynching vs non-lynching, why don't we establish the criteria we'd vote to lynch on day one. I'd go after unhelpful content-less posters...think one of the more detrimental things one could do as a townie would be to come off scummy by not writing any pro-town posts..this also gives mafia less room to hide.
Umasi
Profile Joined October 2012
United States1399 Posts
September 04 2013 00:21 GMT
#183
Posting on shitty iPod ATM, hope it formats correctly. Why are we still talking about the benefits and disadvantages of no lynching? Policy is a good conversation starter, not a good subject of conversation. Heavens, that post is worthless. Absolutely irrelevant. Said nothing. Role playing is something I am increasingly losing patience for. At least pretend to have read the discussion. Holy flare is wrong but townie, null on info, ray is scummy, heavens is scummiest, blurry is null. Heavens is scummiest for his entrance, ray for being active but useless.
"Sir, we finally have enough corpses to serve as a ramp for your horse." "THEN LET THE REAPING BEGIN!!"
Lord Velocity
Profile Joined August 2013
84 Posts
September 04 2013 00:26 GMT
#184
Oh god I thought I was late, well good day my fellow people of the town. Yea seeing as it's early, and we're still talking about the benefits and disadvantages to the lynch, I would say people against day 1 lynches would be suspicious but that's just gut that I'm feeling
Umasi
Profile Joined October 2012
United States1399 Posts
September 04 2013 00:28 GMT
#185
I read that post similarly to heavens, velocity. What do you think of my current reads?
"Sir, we finally have enough corpses to serve as a ramp for your horse." "THEN LET THE REAPING BEGIN!!"
Lord Velocity
Profile Joined August 2013
84 Posts
September 04 2013 00:32 GMT
#186
I don't really want to be like "Oh ya you're town forsure man!" But I'm liking you right now, just based on the fact that you're down to lynch day 1 so we can get a potential scum, stupid reason, but yea. But you're looking fine for the day, seeing as it just started
Umasi
Profile Joined October 2012
United States1399 Posts
September 04 2013 00:33 GMT
#187
I am not concerned about myself, what about ray and heavens? I go to class now afk
"Sir, we finally have enough corpses to serve as a ramp for your horse." "THEN LET THE REAPING BEGIN!!"
Pharcyd3
Profile Joined April 2009
United States90 Posts
September 04 2013 00:44 GMT
#188
Heavenz post was extremely bizarre. I'm not sure what that post accomplishes but to make people distrust you
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30775 Posts
September 04 2013 00:51 GMT
#189
No-lynching on day 1 is merely speculation, it was never implied anywhere that we should do it, the same can be achieved with a no lynch on day 3 anyway? I'm not sure any of you are reading the content of these posts where no-lynching was theorised. In terms of statistics it is better yes, but when has anyone used proper statistics in this game?

Also, while people may not approve of 'metaing' in the game, I will be doing a lot of it for my own sake, so do not poo-poo it. I am genuinely interested FOR MYSELF to hear if anyone has played with anyone else but I see most of the people I have not played with are relatively new so have no 'meta' as such.

As for 'loaded questions' + Show Spoiler +
On September 04 2013 08:13 Blurry wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 04 2013 08:07 Holyflare wrote:
On September 04 2013 08:04 Blurry wrote:
On September 04 2013 07:53 Holyflare wrote:
On September 04 2013 07:51 Umasi wrote:
On September 04 2013 07:36 Chairman Ray wrote:
Regardless of the math, a day 1 lynch as the norm gets people talking. No lynch = no incentive to give up information. Unless everyone is super cooperative and gives great information, we lynch.


anything else to add about anything?




Holyflare:
no lynching is 'occasionally alright'. I'll grant you that.
But no lynching D1 is not good.
the problem is you could be 'lynching a potential townsman'
but the entire reason you are lynching that person is because they are more than likely a potential scummer!

voting to no lynch because the target could be town is like not using your doctor save because your target could be scum and there'd be a vig shot on him. Like, is that sensible?
not really.
I'm gonna go to class, I'll be back later tonight.
/afk



that's dumb reasoning, a lynch day 1 is 75% likely to hit a townsperson compared to the 25% for scum. Especially considering within that 75% is likely to be 1 or 2 blue roles that would have to reveal and then subsequently be lost at night if they were the target to be lynched


You get a lot more out of lynching than just the player dead, you also get loads of information on everybody and is one of the best ways to have the scum reveal themselves. Bandwagoning, Fence Sitting, Caving under pressure are some of the best ways to spot the scum and these are revealed when you lynch a player day 1.

Since its plurality vote anyway, I'm going to be lynching somebody no matter what day 1, so now that the decision to lynch is taken out of your hands you better come up with some scum reads to not waste this day and reduce the chances of a mislynch.


You can still vote no-lynch in a plurality, besides, I have only been suggesting the no-lynch if nothing comes to obvious light. The fact that you people are so eager to let us lose a day of mislynching is funny though because I don't think any of your arguments make sense.

If our strongest weapon is our connection theories and our votes, THEN WHY IS IT NOT BETTER TO GET 1 MORE DAY OF THESE THINGS?????? Wagons can happen every fucking day on every lynch. Why are you all so eager to kill off potential townspeople??


A couple more things, please don't use loaded questions. I don't want to kill townspeople, but I also think that the risk of doing so is necessary to inspire discussion. Why does it have to be obvious that someone is scum? We should go off our best hunch rather than waste time.

that is meant as rhetorical, not loaded. Either way, loaded questions can be useful for information just the same as a regular question. The fact that you thought it was loaded and elaborated why you dislike it generated more discussion than not using that phrasing at all did it not? Therefore loaded questions ARE beneficial in cases to garner information for the game.


As far as + Show Spoiler +
On September 04 2013 09:21 Umasi wrote:
Posting on shitty iPod ATM, hope it formats correctly. Why are we still talking about the benefits and disadvantages of no lynching? Policy is a good conversation starter, not a good subject of conversation. Heavens, that post is worthless. Absolutely irrelevant. Said nothing. Role playing is something I am increasingly losing patience for. At least pretend to have read the discussion. Holy flare is wrong but townie, null on info, ray is scummy, heavens is scummiest, blurry is null. Heavens is scummiest for his entrance, ray for being active but useless.



I'd rather wait for you to get back to elaborate on this and I have some queries for you when you do.
Blurry
Profile Joined August 2010
Switzerland125 Posts
September 04 2013 02:09 GMT
#190
This discussion is pretty slow so how about this.
Everyone answer the following questions.

Who is your strongest town read?
Who is your strongest scum read?

This will let us see where peoples allegiances lie. Also, give reasons for your choices.

Strongest town read: Holyflare, active, trying to provide analysis
Strongest scum read: Lord Velocity, hes just following along with Umasi's ideas, not really providing any of his own stuff.
Bereft
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
United States1007 Posts
September 04 2013 02:56 GMT
#191
On September 04 2013 07:53 Chairman Ray wrote:
Has everyone got their QT yet? You should have received one by now.


missed this somehow earlier -- was posting from my phone. ray what do you mean by "everyone"? thought only mafia and masons get this privilege......

@holyflare - agreed that meta has its merits, especially in a newbie game. i think that newbies' meta could be easier to discern vs. vets because we aren't as self-aware in our game play. what i do find interesting is that per your comments, i went back to browse past games, and in the last game you were in, like the very first post i see you make right out of the gate advocates lynching all liars and lurkers. mind explaining the sudden change of heart? why initiate this topic of conversation? sure, you could argue about the "math" of not lynching, but while this ultimately comes down to a game about numbers (like survivor!) your speculation about the math of it all seems pointless to me, because how do you quantify something like the present value of future clues? the cost of inaction? etc etc.

i like blurry's idea. it's a bit early for me to have much of an opinion, but why not:

on the town-dar: umasi - a bit rude perhaps, but not afraid to tread on toes and call shit out.
on the scum-dar: don't wanna seem like i'm just following you, but i gotta say lord velocity too. while my first instinct was also to be suspicious of holyflare for advocating no lynch, i think LV was a bit quick to FOS holyflare with a 1-liner just for that. because i could see several reasons why scum would prefer a lynch day 1. if anything they might even think they stand to gain more by lynching day 1 vs no lynch unless they're incredibly risk averse lol.
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30775 Posts
September 04 2013 03:08 GMT
#192
On September 04 2013 11:56 Bereft wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 04 2013 07:53 Chairman Ray wrote:
Has everyone got their QT yet? You should have received one by now.


missed this somehow earlier -- was posting from my phone. ray what do you mean by "everyone"? thought only mafia and masons get this privilege......

@holyflare - agreed that meta has its merits, especially in a newbie game. i think that newbies' meta could be easier to discern vs. vets because we aren't as self-aware in our game play. what i do find interesting is that per your comments, i went back to browse past games, and in the last game you were in, like the very first post i see you make right out of the gate advocates lynching all liars and lurkers. mind explaining the sudden change of heart? why initiate this topic of conversation? sure, you could argue about the "math" of not lynching, but while this ultimately comes down to a game about numbers (like survivor!) your speculation about the math of it all seems pointless to me, because how do you quantify something like the present value of future clues? the cost of inaction? etc etc.

i like blurry's idea. it's a bit early for me to have much of an opinion, but why not:

on the town-dar: umasi - a bit rude perhaps, but not afraid to tread on toes and call shit out.
on the scum-dar: don't wanna seem like i'm just following you, but i gotta say lord velocity too. while my first instinct was also to be suspicious of holyflare for advocating no lynch, i think LV was a bit quick to FOS holyflare with a 1-liner just for that. because i could see several reasons why scum would prefer a lynch day 1. if anything they might even think they stand to gain more by lynching day 1 vs no lynch unless they're incredibly risk averse lol.


Nothing has changed, I will lynch the lurkiest player (unless obvious modkill) on the first night if I must. I was bringing up the situation of no lynches because this game had started with an even amount of players (normal mafia games are odd numbers of players) and so it is within our favour to at least no lynch once. Especially if our blue roles are favourable but even without. I've explained that in my previous post.

That being said I'm not telling you my scum reads or especially my town reads at this moment in time.

Umasi
Profile Joined October 2012
United States1399 Posts
September 04 2013 03:20 GMT
#193
I am around to talk to, class finished and I'm at my computer.
I'm not telling you my scum reads or especially my town reads at this moment in time.

Why not?
missed this somehow earlier -- was posting from my phone. ray what do you mean by "everyone"? thought only mafia and masons get this privilege......

he was like 'oh hoh hoh this is a clever way to catch scum'
or he's a troll.
or he's legitimately confused by how this game is played.

On September 04 2013 11:09 Blurry wrote:
This discussion is pretty slow so how about this.
Everyone answer the following questions.

Who is your strongest town read?
Who is your strongest scum read?

This will let us see where peoples allegiances lie. Also, give reasons for your choices.

Strongest town read: Holyflare, active, trying to provide analysis
Strongest scum read: Lord Velocity, hes just following along with Umasi's ideas, not really providing any of his own stuff.


strongest town read:You for asking this question and trying to talk about something productive.
strongest scum read: vel, for calling me out as town and ignoring the other parts of my reads post, it feels like he thought I was a threat to be appeased. I also am leery of heavenz for ignoring the discussion.
"Sir, we finally have enough corpses to serve as a ramp for your horse." "THEN LET THE REAPING BEGIN!!"
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30775 Posts
September 04 2013 03:28 GMT
#194
On September 04 2013 12:20 Umasi wrote:
I am around to talk to, class finished and I'm at my computer.
Show nested quote +
I'm not telling you my scum reads or especially my town reads at this moment in time.

Why not?
Show nested quote +
missed this somehow earlier -- was posting from my phone. ray what do you mean by "everyone"? thought only mafia and masons get this privilege......

he was like 'oh hoh hoh this is a clever way to catch scum'
or he's a troll.
or he's legitimately confused by how this game is played.

Show nested quote +
On September 04 2013 11:09 Blurry wrote:
This discussion is pretty slow so how about this.
Everyone answer the following questions.

Who is your strongest town read?
Who is your strongest scum read?

This will let us see where peoples allegiances lie. Also, give reasons for your choices.

Strongest town read: Holyflare, active, trying to provide analysis
Strongest scum read: Lord Velocity, hes just following along with Umasi's ideas, not really providing any of his own stuff.


strongest town read:You for asking this question and trying to talk about something productive.
strongest scum read: vel, for calling me out as town and ignoring the other parts of my reads post, it feels like he thought I was a threat to be appeased. I also am leery of heavenz for ignoring the discussion.


I'm not going to go into the revealing town reads in day 1 crap discussion again, what does it add? Nothing! Who cares who I THINK is town when everyone has posted like 1 post so far. Not only is there nothing to go on but revealing who I think is town just gives scum people to target if I die.

As far as scum it's too early to tell really, yeh there's some scummy looking shit but until we hear more than 1 post from everyone there is nothing else to go on. Remember deus' first post in XLV, yeh, he was town. Admittedly, he cut the bs pretty quickly and went crazy aggressive but we've yet to see more from heavenz so it could all change. Any other 'reads' you all have at the moment are crazy speculation for now.
Umasi
Profile Joined October 2012
United States1399 Posts
September 04 2013 03:34 GMT
#195
Alright holyflare.
We've beaten the subject of no lynching to death, which ended in you backtracking
You've told us that we shouldn't talk about town/scum reads day one
You didn't reveal your scum or town reads.
Why am I here again? What are we talking about?

moreover
didn't you have questions for me? Did you forget them/forget to ask them?
"Sir, we finally have enough corpses to serve as a ramp for your horse." "THEN LET THE REAPING BEGIN!!"
Bereft
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
United States1007 Posts
September 04 2013 03:39 GMT
#196
On September 04 2013 12:08 Holyflare wrote:
That being said I'm not telling you my scum reads or especially my town reads at this moment in time.


hahaha ok dude, we'll try our best to survive the night without your brilliant insights. can't promise that we will though. it's not in our hands.

(yours...maybe?)

Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30775 Posts
September 04 2013 03:45 GMT
#197
On September 04 2013 12:34 Umasi wrote:
Alright holyflare.
We've beaten the subject of no lynching to death, which ended in you backtracking
You've told us that we shouldn't talk about town/scum reads day one
You didn't reveal your scum or town reads.
Why am I here again? What are we talking about?

moreover
didn't you have questions for me? Did you forget them/forget to ask them?



Totally just responded to Bereft that's why it's 'backtracked' or if you're implying I've changed my stance, I haven't. I'd like you to see what I wrote, It's just telling people that no-lynching is an option and it should be used within this game.

Also, I never said not to talk about scum reads, just how can you possibly formulate a case on somebody so quickly????? If you want to accuse someone of being scum why would you publicly announce it SO early with the offchance that they could 180 on their whole style of writing because you picked out their name. Why not keep it to yourself and formulate the case based on your initial suspicions and when it comes close to actually lynching someone you'd have substantial reasoning for a lynch rather than, 'oh his first post was scummy but then he became better'...

As for questions towards you, I asked for you to elaborate first before I asked the questions but now you've mimicked other peoples responses because you were away so I don't need to ask the questions anymore.
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30775 Posts
September 04 2013 03:46 GMT
#198
On September 04 2013 12:39 Bereft wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 04 2013 12:08 Holyflare wrote:
That being said I'm not telling you my scum reads or especially my town reads at this moment in time.


hahaha ok dude, we'll try our best to survive the night without your brilliant insights. can't promise that we will though. it's not in our hands.

(yours...maybe?)



I don't expect you to understand if you are new to mafia but this is the way things are.
Blurry
Profile Joined August 2010
Switzerland125 Posts
September 04 2013 03:53 GMT
#199
The reason you voice your suspicions is because it puts pressure on that person. When someone is under pressure they make mistakes and reveal things they shouldn't. Write about your hunches, it also allows us to see if you are innocent, and yes, when you are town you need to prove your innocence by providing good analysis and leading the discussion.
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30775 Posts
September 04 2013 03:56 GMT
#200
On September 04 2013 12:53 Blurry wrote:
The reason you voice your suspicions is because it puts pressure on that person. When someone is under pressure they make mistakes and reveal things they shouldn't. Write about your hunches, it also allows us to see if you are innocent, and yes, when you are town you need to prove your innocence by providing good analysis and leading the discussion.


Which is what happens later in the day when you can form a concise and accurate analysis and put them under pressure as it is nearer the deadline when they have less time to react and re-read the entire thread to formulate a post and so it is off the top of their head and memory. NOT when they have all the time in the world, the filters and the ability to talk with their allies in QT to formulate a counter strategy and or bandwagon. There is 0 pressure from calling somebody scum now.
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