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Newbie Mini Mafia XLIV - Page 23

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Umasi
Profile Joined October 2012
United States1399 Posts
July 13 2013 07:41 GMT
#441
(that would be utterly unbelievable and frustrating, if they just hadn't posted)
but we'll find out soon enough, a lot of games have people just get modkilled
(god knows fucking why.)
"Sir, we finally have enough corpses to serve as a ramp for your horse." "THEN LET THE REAPING BEGIN!!"
Hurricane Sponge
Profile Joined March 2010
868 Posts
July 13 2013 07:42 GMT
#442
On July 13 2013 08:19 Koshi wrote:
@Hurricane Sponge

Koshi: I am still learning on how to play the game properly. I am extremely bad at scumhunting. I get very easily annoyed by people saying that I am scum (I am working on this). I love fluff posts. I hate illogical posts but it seems that illogical does not mean you are scum, however, I am not planning on ever making an illogical post and when I do please call me on it.


As you can see, I got a lot of bad qualities that make me look scum all the time. However, I always prove that I am town by trying and hopefully this game I can prove it by actually nailing some scumreads.


@Koshi

Prove you're town by trying. Trying = posting.

What are your gut reactions to the thread so far? Give me your top 2 scum reads and top 2 town reads.
Umasi
Profile Joined October 2012
United States1399 Posts
July 13 2013 07:43 GMT
#443
On July 13 2013 16:34 Hurricane Sponge wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 13 2013 12:49 Chromatically wrote:
This Stim thing doesn't make sense at all. Look at the chain of events:

1) Rainbow pressures Stim
2) Stim posts an angry response
3) Stim claims that his anger was due to formatting
4) Stim claims that he wasn't actually angry, and that he acted like it to get a reaction.

3 and 4 are incompatible. Stim is claiming that he was angry from the formatting, and then lied about his reasoning for doing it later. This doesn't make sense from a town perspective.

On July 13 2013 11:55 StiMaDDict wrote:
I did respond quite aggressively and in an angry manner, even though I was not really angry at all. There were 2 purposes: 1) To see if Rainbow would 'flinch' 2) To establish myself to others as capable of defending myself. Conclusion: He didn't flinch and I did clear my name somewhat. I could have counter pressured to get some sort of read from Rainbow, however I didn't, because it IS early in the game and without proving myself as an active town, it would have a less of impact and leave a bad impression of me.


Town wouldn't say "There were 2 purposes" for their anger if they had just made up those purposes now.

Town most certainly wouldn't say "I wasn't actually angry" if they were, like Stim is claiming he was now.

##Vote: Stim

I'd be interested in hearing others' thoughts.


I could see a townie claiming that his anger was fabricated due to pride. It's embarrassing to admit you got mad for silly reasons to a group of strangers. Obviously that's not in the best interest of the game, but for some, ego will always come first.




Actually, at fear of falling prey to meta~~~
He did do a similar thing in the mafia game I played with him, where I called out his post as scummy as he self voted.
He basically returned to the thread to save face, (since he flipped town)
so that wouldn't be out of line for him. In fact, it fits with what I know.

-I am leery of meta though because the entire obs qt of the last game was like "meta bad!"
"Sir, we finally have enough corpses to serve as a ramp for your horse." "THEN LET THE REAPING BEGIN!!"
Hurricane Sponge
Profile Joined March 2010
868 Posts
July 13 2013 07:45 GMT
#444
On July 13 2013 16:40 Umasi wrote:
k, at this point, I can't really think of anything to talk about from your post, Sponge. I think Chrom is on the slightly townier side, xzav is more planet neutral, and kirby is not super towny, just by gut reads.
At this point I'm still happy with a StiM lynch though, but Superfluous is contesting it pretty hard. and depending on what nightcat says, I'll rethink him, but he's still ehhhhh.

I may just be judging people a little too quickly, but that's because I sit at my computer pretty much constantly being a lazy asshole with the thread open, refreshing every five minutes.



I'd be very grateful if you could provide the evidence that has you leaning town on Chrom for me. I want him to be town too because I think he is an extremely strong player, but that only gives me more pause when examining the uncharacteristic analysis mistakes he's made thus far.
Umasi
Profile Joined October 2012
United States1399 Posts
July 13 2013 07:46 GMT
#445
Because he was the first one to vote for StiM and if StiM flipped town, that would be extraordinarily suspicious.
"Sir, we finally have enough corpses to serve as a ramp for your horse." "THEN LET THE REAPING BEGIN!!"
Umasi
Profile Joined October 2012
United States1399 Posts
July 13 2013 07:47 GMT
#446
that and like, a general tone read of towniness from him, but that specifically makes it hard for me to think he's scum. Even aside from that, I think he's been posting good content regardless, that moves the game forward, even if it may be wrong~~
"Sir, we finally have enough corpses to serve as a ramp for your horse." "THEN LET THE REAPING BEGIN!!"
Hurricane Sponge
Profile Joined March 2010
868 Posts
July 13 2013 07:48 GMT
#447
On July 13 2013 16:43 Umasi wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 13 2013 16:34 Hurricane Sponge wrote:
On July 13 2013 12:49 Chromatically wrote:
This Stim thing doesn't make sense at all. Look at the chain of events:

1) Rainbow pressures Stim
2) Stim posts an angry response
3) Stim claims that his anger was due to formatting
4) Stim claims that he wasn't actually angry, and that he acted like it to get a reaction.

3 and 4 are incompatible. Stim is claiming that he was angry from the formatting, and then lied about his reasoning for doing it later. This doesn't make sense from a town perspective.

On July 13 2013 11:55 StiMaDDict wrote:
I did respond quite aggressively and in an angry manner, even though I was not really angry at all. There were 2 purposes: 1) To see if Rainbow would 'flinch' 2) To establish myself to others as capable of defending myself. Conclusion: He didn't flinch and I did clear my name somewhat. I could have counter pressured to get some sort of read from Rainbow, however I didn't, because it IS early in the game and without proving myself as an active town, it would have a less of impact and leave a bad impression of me.


Town wouldn't say "There were 2 purposes" for their anger if they had just made up those purposes now.

Town most certainly wouldn't say "I wasn't actually angry" if they were, like Stim is claiming he was now.

##Vote: Stim

I'd be interested in hearing others' thoughts.


I could see a townie claiming that his anger was fabricated due to pride. It's embarrassing to admit you got mad for silly reasons to a group of strangers. Obviously that's not in the best interest of the game, but for some, ego will always come first.




Actually, at fear of falling prey to meta~~~
He did do a similar thing in the mafia game I played with him, where I called out his post as scummy as he self voted.
He basically returned to the thread to save face, (since he flipped town)
so that wouldn't be out of line for him. In fact, it fits with what I know.

-I am leery of meta though because the entire obs qt of the last game was like "meta bad!"


The only thing meta can tell us right now is that StiM has self-voted as town in the past. He is self-voting now. (The 'Meta Is Bad' counter-argument is that we have no way of knowing if scum StiM would self-vote.)

Based on his personality profile, we can assume that he is a player that tilts. I haven't seen any posts claiming that their read on the StiM self-vote is a ploy or trick to get pressure off him. There seems to be a pretty clear town consensus that he's just being petty (and in my opinion, that is alignment-neutral).
Hurricane Sponge
Profile Joined March 2010
868 Posts
July 13 2013 07:51 GMT
#448
On July 13 2013 16:46 Umasi wrote:
Because he was the first one to vote for StiM and if StiM flipped town, that would be extraordinarily suspicious.


1. Rainbows claimed credit for the StiM wagon.

2. Scum and Townie alike lead bandwagons all the time.

This is not good logic to me. And saying the 'general feel' of someone's posts is townie doesn't really help me here.
Umasi
Profile Joined October 2012
United States1399 Posts
July 13 2013 07:51 GMT
#449
you are right, I may have been confirmation biasing my way through that, but,,,,,,,eh,,,,,,eh,,,.....like
dunno.
mafias hard, that's why I didn't want to play t.t
and then alakaslam got me to play
and
then
BAILED



that was irrelevant ignore it all haha

"Sir, we finally have enough corpses to serve as a ramp for your horse." "THEN LET THE REAPING BEGIN!!"
Umasi
Profile Joined October 2012
United States1399 Posts
July 13 2013 07:52 GMT
#450
Rainbows claimed credit, but has he voted for StiM?
where is Rainbows now that the wagon is going?
Rainbows claimed for the initial pressure, not for the actual votes, and the votes are what matter.
Taking credit for pressure is not important, at all.
"Sir, we finally have enough corpses to serve as a ramp for your horse." "THEN LET THE REAPING BEGIN!!"
Hurricane Sponge
Profile Joined March 2010
868 Posts
July 13 2013 07:53 GMT
#451
On July 13 2013 16:46 Umasi wrote:
Because he was the first one to vote for StiM and if StiM flipped town, that would be extraordinarily suspicious.


I'll put it another way. If StiM flipped green, would you push for a Chrom lynch?
Umasi
Profile Joined October 2012
United States1399 Posts
July 13 2013 07:55 GMT
#452
good point, I guess. I wouldn't.
"Sir, we finally have enough corpses to serve as a ramp for your horse." "THEN LET THE REAPING BEGIN!!"
Umasi
Profile Joined October 2012
United States1399 Posts
July 13 2013 08:01 GMT
#453
why is me thinking he's slightly towny a big deal though?
"Sir, we finally have enough corpses to serve as a ramp for your horse." "THEN LET THE REAPING BEGIN!!"
Umasi
Profile Joined October 2012
United States1399 Posts
July 13 2013 08:25 GMT
#454
~my connection to team liquid is derping, so I think I'll call it quits tonight. I'll probably be around tomorrow, but you never know what the future brings~!wooooo!
"Sir, we finally have enough corpses to serve as a ramp for your horse." "THEN LET THE REAPING BEGIN!!"
Chromatically
Profile Joined January 2012
United States1700 Posts
July 13 2013 10:17 GMT
#455

@Chrom:

Can you explain what this post means?

Show nested quote +
On July 13 2013 13:23 Chromatically wrote:
If everyone who just randomly popped out to soft call me sum could actually give their opinions on the situation, that'd be great.


I also have a nitpick with this post:

Show nested quote +
On July 13 2013 14:04 Chromatically wrote:
Yes, we'll technically never be able to totally disprove the possibility that Stim is town. It's just far less likely. Look at what Stim has done.

Lie about his anger
Town motivation: none
Scum motivation: screwed up the explanation because the anger was faked in the first place

Martyr
Town motivation: none, far more likely that he just explains
Scum motivation: knows he can't explain, so he acts emotional to get people to switch


I feel like the anger was definitely real, and StiM was trying play play Mr. Cool Cat by claiming that he was really in control the whole time, and just pretended to be angry. Still not clear what that motivation could have been, but the above 2x2 leaves out some key points and I feel you're making a bit more assumptions that you usually do...

Several people suddenly posted to tell Stim that I could be scum, and then didn't actually give an opinion on Stim. It was really wierd.

You've brought up this same idea a few times about Stim trying to "act cool", but I don't see any particular reason to believe it. Why do you?

As I've said before, there will always be a possibility of a town explanation, it's just less likely. If Stim is town, he'll return with a clear explanation.

If you want to bring up meta, town should have lynched Stim in XLII. He could have easily been scum, and I said as much in the obs. A more convincing point is that Stim never reacted this way to pressure in XLIII, even though several votes were thrown on him over the course (if I remember).

Hypothetical: If Stim doesn't return, what will you do?
Chromatically
Profile Joined January 2012
United States1700 Posts
July 13 2013 10:28 GMT
#456
On July 13 2013 16:29 Hurricane Sponge wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 13 2013 16:02 Umasi wrote:
Alright, here, hurricane. Who do you think is worth voting at this time?
From your post, I got the gist that it'd be Superfluous or me. Is that correct?


I'm still a bit mad at StiM for his post implying that it was our job to keep him entertained. I'm going to give myself some time to cool off on that, because I don't appreciate people quitting on my team (if he is in fact town). This is a time investment for everybody, and it's damn selfish of him to pack up his ball and go home after really light pressure.

Townville:

Kirby pressured me appropriately after my opener. I like that. He also seems to have the same attitude as me regarding the quick StiMwagon:

Show nested quote +
On July 13 2013 13:31 jrkirby wrote:
2 votes land on a guy is quick succession, I'd be stupid if I weren't at least a BIT suspicious. As far as I can tell, stim is just acting like a bit of an idiot, is flustered, and frustrated. Doesn't seem like scumtell to me. You're free to have your vote, and I don't have a solid scumread on either of you, but I will be looking a bit more closely at your filters.


hz is aggressively posting reads and seems to emulate my thoughts on the early Superfluous post:

Show nested quote +
On July 13 2013 09:42 hzflank wrote:
I think Jrkirby's and Sponge's opening posts had the same motivation: to get discussion moving. Both have done this and we have multiple discussions taking place.

Since then, Sponge did a little coaching. Sponge has come under pressure from multiple people (for his opening post), and has dealt with it while being reasonably open. The only time that he has not been open is by refusing to post the other version of his opening post. Sponge did a little coaching again as he tried to stop Umasi from defending him. So far my read on Sponge has moved very slightly towards town.

Since his opening, Jrkirby has attacked Sponge for his opening post, and done nothing else. That's fine because it is early and Jrkirby is pushing to get a reaction from someone. This is not scummy to me, null read.

Umasi has defended Hurricane, which cannot be viewed as scummy at this point. Umasi has attacked Superfluous. I would say that this attack could be scummy as it is based on nothing, but it could just be to get Super to post more (he only has one post). Umasi then repeats that he thinks Super's post is scummy and votes for him. The problem I have with this is that Umasi claims Super's only post was scummy, when I do not think that it was.

On July 13 2013 08:33 Superfluous wrote:
While I agree that we should lynch someone if they are super scummy, I'd like to point out that voting for no lynch is an option. Assuming I'm interpreting the rules/setup right, mafia only has 1 kp so there's no immediate motive for lynching such as reducing kp. It may be a stronger play to not lynch and hope that cop(if there is one) gets a turn to check before lynch. It is a risk though because I believe we are not guaranteed to have a cop. Just an idea I wanted to throw out and get your guys' thoughts on.


If Umasi was looking for a reaction then I do not understand why he posted:

On July 13 2013 08:59 Umasi wrote:
Where the hell are you. You popped in, gave a single post, that I think is scummy as crap, still haven't show back up. Pretty confusing, because the post you gave was irrelevant.


How was Super's post scummy as crap? I do not think that Umasi is looking for scum, and if he is not just fishing for Super to respond then I think that Umasi is just looking for a neutral place to put his early vote. Unlike Jrkirby's, Umasi's vote is not a troll vote.

I have a slight scum read on Umasi.


Xzavier posted some decent thoughts (although he really didn't go out on any limbs):

Show nested quote +
On July 13 2013 11:19 Xzavier wrote:
On July 13 2013 08:33 Superfluous wrote:
While I agree that we should lynch someone if they are super scummy, I'd like to point out that voting for no lynch is an option. Assuming I'm interpreting the rules/setup right, mafia only has 1 kp so there's no immediate motive for lynching such as reducing kp. It may be a stronger play to not lynch and hope that cop(if there is one) gets a turn to check before lynch. It is a risk though because I believe we are not guaranteed to have a cop. Just an idea I wanted to throw out and get your guys' thoughts on.



i know usami has touched on this, but i see voting for No-lynch is like sacrificing a townie or playing russian roullet for zero prize money. its just basically saying "i want to start this game a townie down" it seems silly to me, if somebody comes and gives me an ungodly reason for no-lynching ill hear it. but i see it as silly.

Also from playing with usami before, hes a super fucking hyper aggressive person who needs like a single post to tunnel somebody for a full day, that can be bad. we need to keep our eyes open and looking at multiple people. As i learned my first game, a tunnel vision day1 can lead to a mislynch, or in this gametype, a no-lynch.

Its far better to lynch scum, and thats what we should try to do. Even day1 we lynch either a lurker or our top scumread, if nobody has any strong scumreads, lynching the scummiest lurker is the best townplay day1. (it yields the highest chance of killing scum while creating the best pro-town enviroment)

with that im also shocked of how active stim-addict is being. its nice to see a usual lurker picking it up leaving less for the scum to hide behind :D

again, even Superfluous is at the top of my scumdar, he isnt high enough to deserve a vote yet.



I want to lynch a lurker or superfluous depending on how he reacts to our posts and the events of the day. if the rest of it goes uneventful/no major scumslips i want to fuck up a lurker as i believe that to be the best pro-town action.


Rainbows is active and is claiming credit for the StiM wagon. If StiM is town, as I suspect, I don't think scum would be claiming lead on an eventual green flip:

Show nested quote +
On July 13 2013 15:43 Rainbows wrote:
Sponge, I started the whole Stim thing. Chrom just questioned both of us then pooped all over him with it :p


Planet Neutral:

I've found confusing material on Chrom that some may deem scummy (misrepresenting facts, leaping to conclusions, overblowing alignment-neutral mistakes). However, he also did his usual early game Poke'n'Prod, getting people to clarify their random claims that might otherwise have gone unchecked (very town).

Umasi is incredibly active, and hunting. The logic leaps, confirmation bias, and clumsy attacks aren't really helping the town, however (other than to just provide really obvious pressure). If there was a shade between Green and Black, I'd use it because I think the three options for Umasi are 'Bad Town' 'Good Scum' and 'Good Town That I Just Have Trouble Reading For Whatever Reason'.

Scum Central:

Superfluous has a lot of ground to make up. I don't like people attacking him for his bad policy, but at the end of the day, that's not the only thing going against him. I really disagree with his reads, and that has to account for something:

Show nested quote +
On July 13 2013 12:24 Superfluous wrote:
On July 13 2013 10:59 Chromatically wrote:
On July 13 2013 10:49 StiMaDDict wrote:
I may be biased but I put Chromatically as the most capable scumhunter. In last game, he pretty much had the whole scum team Day1. It goes without saying that I do not Chromatically's alignment as of right now.

@Chromatically Your current scum reads?

Superfluous looks really bad, he's been apologetic in his posts (not trying to rock the boat) and has only said what others have already said. It looks like he's trying hard to find anything to post about because he wants to look active.

On July 13 2013 10:05 Superfluous wrote:
On July 13 2013 09:55 Umasi wrote:
Superfluous, do you have any current scum reads?


At the moment no, as I said I was gone for a couple hours then came back and just skimmed through the thread . I mean to go through it again in more detail once I'm finished defending myself or w/e. Two things are on my mind though. One is that I think you are town (not just to suck up to you b/c you are pressuring me). Reasons being that in my personal experience those who are most aggressive are generally town, and also that this is a semi-noob game so I'm unsure if a mafia would have the confidence to go out and control the game/ put pressure on early on. Another thing is that I dont think I've seen much (if anything) from Cloud 9. He may be in same situation as me and I'll give him Benefit of the doubt though.

It's extremely odd that he specifically points out Cloud-9 as opposed to any of the other players who haven't posted. This shows pretty clearly that he's not trying at all to find scum, he doesn't even know who hasn't posted.

Also looking at Kirby.

Lurkers be lurking.


As I said I just skimmed over after returning. Cloud 9 was a name I didn't see when comparing the posts I saw to the player list, so I pointed it out. And I have been trying to get something to talk about other than what seem to be mini discussions between certain people. I also don't get why you're attacking me saying "I'm not trying to find scum". In my own post I said that I was going to look it over again and get reads, obviously meaning that I hadn't looked that hard for scum yet.

Right now my biggest scum read is HZflank, because I still think Umasi is doing mostly pro town moves yet hz says its scummy. If it pushes to me actually being lynched I think that I'd still feel this way. He also had an early post or two that distracted somewhat from the discussion, which I'm always suspicious of.

I'll give nightcat benefit of the doubt. It's a bit weird he showed up once his name came up but eh. I realize thats not really a great reason but seems like we're in semi-similar situations. Xzavier I'm more suspicious of, he didnt have many posts then in his first one he shows up saying he'll consider lynching me. It's really scummy play to lurk then show up ready to lynch imo.


These are some wierd-ass wierd reads (formatted in a list, might I add...). You give town reads to a large number of people based on almost nothing? You say that me and Umasi are actively scumhunting, and then say we're null? All followed by a sheep on Super while waiting to commit to Stim. It all feels really odd. Why is xzavier more townie then Umasi/me?

Why did you post town reads in the first place?
Chromatically
Profile Joined January 2012
United States1700 Posts
July 13 2013 10:37 GMT
#457
On July 13 2013 15:53 Hurricane Sponge wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 13 2013 15:43 Rainbows wrote:
Sponge, I started the whole Stim thing. Chrom just questioned both of us then pooped all over him with it :p


Chrom has made a couple missteps that I would consider 'uncharacteristic'. At the very least, they are poor play I did not expect from him.

1. His enthusiasm to lynch StiM after the blow-up (surely we can all see that it was more likely immature and pissy play from StiM and alignment-independent) contained logical leaks and overblows the importance of whether StiM lied about being mad or not.

2. Saying Superfluous was trying to not 'make waves' when he was the lone voice speaking up for an unpopular policy (Day 1 No Lynch)

More importantly, when viewed as a whole, the bolded section above is a big stop sign on my vote to lynch StiM: Why would scum not alert StiM that everyone and their mother knew the jokepost was a joke and let him carry on in this manner? He'd have to be willfully disobeying his team, or (more likely) flying solo. If someone can give me a satisfactory answer to that, I'd feel much better about a StiM lynch.

1) You seem confident that Stim's blowup was alignment independent, can you address my earlier posts about why it's more likely from scum?

I think it's pretty hard to overblow the importance of someone lying about their motivation without being able to explain it. You disagree?

2) The apologetic tone is the entire reason why Super looks bad. He's trying not to draw attention to himself and not to incite anyone (scummy). The Nolynch thing is totally non alignment indicative, which you should know.

Explain your scumread on Super more.
Gotard
Profile Joined December 2010
Poland446 Posts
July 13 2013 10:53 GMT
#458
Hello! After some lurking (jk I was sleeping) i'd like to share my thoughts:

1) hzflank - cold, calculated. Null read.
2) StiMaDDict - bad town. It would be too easy if he's mafia.
3) Chromatically - I think he's pushing stim too hard (he's agressive in general) but at the same time it's good for town to see some bandwagons going
4) jrkirby - confuses me a little.But he has a similar view on StiMaDDict as i do.
On July 13 2013 13:38 jrkirby wrote:
I don't think he's town. I think he's stupid, and have a nullread.

5) Koshi - inexperienced or lurking hard.
6) Xzavier - one good post
On July 13 2013 04:58 Xzavier wrote:
its fine, all i have to do is show supporting evidence and never try to make my own case on gotard.

No wait, that one was good. Need to see some more activity from him to have a read. I don't agree that lynching lurker is better than no lynch (9v3 > 8v3)

7) Rainbows - A lot of posts with minimum impact seems more townie than mafia.
On July 13 2013 10:42 Rainbows wrote:
I play exactly the same as scum and town imo.
wtf?

8) Nightcat99 - lurking newbie.
9) Umasi - Very aggressive same as last game I played with him (He was town).
11) Hurricane Sponge - biggest town read. Really liked this post.
12) Superfluous - Town vibe.
13) cloud-9 - US timezone and 0 posts.
"who needs girls when u can play as a protoss or riki" Fen1kz 2013
Chromatically
Profile Joined January 2012
United States1700 Posts
July 13 2013 10:57 GMT
#459
Gotard, who do you want to lynch?

Why don't you think that Stim is scum?
Gotard
Profile Joined December 2010
Poland446 Posts
July 13 2013 11:12 GMT
#460
On July 13 2013 19:57 Chromatically wrote:
Gotard, who do you want to lynch?

Easy question. Umasi and Xzavier!!! (jk)

I'm really confused because my biggest (biggest doesn't mean that i'm really sure of anything) scum reads don't think that Stim is mafia. Maybe they don't want to vote on him because they know that this is too easy and don't want to jump on him that early.

On July 13 2013 19:57 Chromatically wrote:
Why don't you think that Stim is scum?

He looks like a bad town not like mafia.
"who needs girls when u can play as a protoss or riki" Fen1kz 2013
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