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raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43268 Posts
July 02 2013 21:45 GMT
#1121
Vivax, afaik the OP did not state scum have 2 KP until the game was paused.

My early game setup/miller analysis can be thrown out of window.
It's more beneficial for scum to try to play bold and fakeclaim miller (at least if they got 3 goon), because it gives them a good chance of 2x fakeclaims.

There is also evidence that supports marv being scum, what i have pointed out on N1. There is also evidence Lazer is scum, that i have pointed out. And this has even nothing to do with their accosiation, but their individual play/play from role's point of view.
table for two on a tv tray
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43268 Posts
July 02 2013 21:46 GMT
#1122
EBWOP: As if they do not get lynched and make the right kills they win on N2.
table for two on a tv tray
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36161 Posts
July 02 2013 21:47 GMT
#1123
On July 03 2013 06:36 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Show nested quote +
I'm assuming Lazer is town for now due to the lack of counterclaim. The presence of miller does not necessitate the presence of a cop. Nor in the instance that Lazer is fakeclaiming and there IS a real cop, would the real cop have necessarily counterclaimed by now, unless he was a) around right at the time of the lynch and b) thought he could move the lynch on to Lazer immediately.

Actually this is a big contradiction.
"I believe Lazer's claim now, but in case i was a cop and not online in the 4 minutes iwould have not counter-claimed him yet, but i apparently believe everyone else had done so".

cool-


I hope you're smoking some good shit man.

I've 'believed' Lazer's claim since he made it, since it's most logical that he's in fact town. I've not been 100% sure due to the timing of the claim. I have no idea what you just posted is even supposed to be a contradiction.
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43268 Posts
July 02 2013 21:47 GMT
#1124
Also remember the massclaim thing was on the table as early as D1. We two discussed it. That's a bad thing for scum.
table for two on a tv tray
JarJarDrinks
Profile Joined March 2013
United States1302 Posts
July 02 2013 21:48 GMT
#1125
On July 03 2013 06:11 raynpelikoneet wrote:
If i do not die i'll tell the thread what happened when the game was paused.

wtf is this?
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36161 Posts
July 02 2013 21:49 GMT
#1126
On July 03 2013 06:45 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Vivax, afaik the OP did not state scum have 2 KP until the game was paused.

My early game setup/miller analysis can be thrown out of window.
It's more beneficial for scum to try to play bold and fakeclaim miller (at least if they got 3 goon), because it gives them a good chance of 2x fakeclaims.

There is also evidence that supports marv being scum, what i have pointed out on N1. There is also evidence Lazer is scum, that i have pointed out. And this has even nothing to do with their accosiation, but their individual play/play from role's point of view.


It's more beneficial for scum not to be retarded and play the game normally actually. Just putting that out there.
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43268 Posts
July 02 2013 21:49 GMT
#1127
On July 03 2013 06:48 JarJarDrinks wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 03 2013 06:11 raynpelikoneet wrote:
If i do not die i'll tell the thread what happened when the game was paused.

wtf is this?

WIFOM basically. I just hope i am right so i can laugh at it later. :D
table for two on a tv tray
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43268 Posts
July 02 2013 21:51 GMT
#1128
On July 03 2013 06:49 marvellosity wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 03 2013 06:45 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Vivax, afaik the OP did not state scum have 2 KP until the game was paused.

My early game setup/miller analysis can be thrown out of window.
It's more beneficial for scum to try to play bold and fakeclaim miller (at least if they got 3 goon), because it gives them a good chance of 2x fakeclaims.

There is also evidence that supports marv being scum, what i have pointed out on N1. There is also evidence Lazer is scum, that i have pointed out. And this has even nothing to do with their accosiation, but their individual play/play from role's point of view.


It's more beneficial for scum not to be retarded and play the game normally actually. Just putting that out there.

Isn't it funny that the same people who told me "marv has claimed miller 17 minutes into the game in another game, therefore you are fucking idiot and scum" are now taking you at face value, when i present actual evidence besides the miller stuff (which was retarded from the start because i did not know scum had 2 KP)?

<3 you guys.
table for two on a tv tray
JarJarDrinks
Profile Joined March 2013
United States1302 Posts
July 02 2013 21:52 GMT
#1129
On July 03 2013 06:45 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Vivax, afaik the OP did not state scum have 2 KP until the game was paused.
This seems like a real wierd thing to know.
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36161 Posts
July 02 2013 21:52 GMT
#1130
The only evidence you have is that of a blind conspiracy tunnel.

I'm hoping you wake up tomorrow and read again with a clear head.
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
s0Lstice
Profile Joined August 2009
United States1832 Posts
July 02 2013 21:53 GMT
#1131
Gentlemen I've been completely swamped. Ill have time later tonight. Phone posting until then. Ill be checking and can claim easy enough when daypost hits. Indepth answers will have to wait a bit
ATOBTTR
mkfuba07
Profile Joined November 2010
United States1151 Posts
July 02 2013 21:54 GMT
#1132
On July 03 2013 04:56 WaveofShadow wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 03 2013 04:42 mkfuba07 wrote:
So this post was a whole progression of realizations, and it's probably going to be confusing, but I hope it'll clarify everything eventually. The stuff collapsed in the quotes was my original post. The next layer is when I realized I screwed up something that could have affected my read greatly. The outer later is the conclusion I came to.

Fucking fuck. Was in the process of answering the questions directed at me when I realized why I've been so confusing. I left what I already wrote, because it shows when I realized my screw-up, and hopefully at least shows some of my reasoning while I was confused.
On July 02 2013 21:47 Oatsmaster wrote:
whos scum

At the moment, stutters is #1. Aside from him, gumshoe is a possibility. I really didn't like that one interaction with JJD. Town says that they'll lynch someone else if it will avoid a lynch on themselves all the time. The fact that gumshoe insinuated scumminess based on that post is really weird if he's town. It's a complete null tell, and I liked the way JJD responded to it.

I'm pretty confident laser can't be scum unless marv also is, which would mean that they had laser claim cop in response to no legit miller claim. So to vote for lazer I'd have to be convinced that marv's also scum, which I'm not atm.

Everyone else you'll get a read on before the daypost.
On July 02 2013 21:51 marvellosity wrote:
On July 02 2013 21:48 mkfuba07 wrote:
On July 02 2013 08:00 Stutters695 wrote:
Well I'm off work.

Catching up since I missed multiple pages.

Oh, and before I forget, is this another promise of action that you've neglected?


Given I can think of at least one example you've played with Stutters before (LIX) and I know in that game it was brought up that Stutters does this as town all the time, why are you bringing this up here?

Because I don't remember everything everyone's said about everyone else I've ever played with? What I remember about stutters is that I rarely have many thoughts on him D1, and he doesn't really post all that much. Does he normally post cases on people and then completely ignore their responses to them? Does he normally say posts are scummy as fuck and then only provide a part of the reasoning? It's really weird to say a post is scummy as fuck but only talk about a small portion of it, have the person respond to it, ignore the response completely, and then make another case using the same exact post, but now in a way that the makes my...


Holy fuck, what is wrong with me. So here's what's happened...
I posted my response to his first post with this post. I then continued reading the thread, and got to his case, where my stupid mind stored it after my previous response to him. So every time I was considering him, it was from the mindset that he completely ignored my response and kept accusing me without cause, which kept increasing my suspicion of him. The early "vayne-like" post was regarding his aggression to rayn, his indecision regarding laser, and his interpretation of WoS's early french posts as suspicious, when I found them to just be random, fun, early game posts. I actually assumed they were irrelevant, so I really still haven't translated them. The "vayne-like" post added in stutters being pretty defensive, as well as suggesting that we look elsewhere but not actually suggesting someone else, really.
And actually, look at his unwillingness to take stances up until his vote on me. It's a whole lot of just saying that one person's comments about another person aren't accurate. Again, could be scummy, but I've seen it all done as town.
It's not until his first case and vote against me that he feels reasonably scummy. He calls it scummy as fuck and then comments only on the part about him (which was either misinterpreted (scum or town) or misconstrued (scum)). He goes on to make another case the next day using the same exact post, which is really, really weird as town. If you think a post is scummy as fuck, and you have reasons to find every aspect of it scummy, why would you not write it all up the first time? It's like he realized his mistake, then tried to correct it after the fact by showing how scummy the entire thing is, when most of the points he makes are just as much useless fluff as my post about marv was. Even if the "vayn-like" confusion was truly a misunderstanding, adding in the rest of it shows he was uncomfortable with the original case. And finally, trying to ignore the ordering of posts I convinced myself was the case, he *still* hasn't actually responded to any of my posts. He apparently doesn't care about the answers to his questions, and hasn't answered any of the ones I've asked (even if my ordering was all garbled up, there was still no response). Therefore, I still think stutters is scum.


I also see that rayn's had exactly the same thoughts about marv's response to WoS's question as I did. Feeling really confident about my change of heart about him now. I had this written out in notepad, and it's actually pretty hilarious how perfectly marv's response fits into it:

==============================
Facts: marv miller claim, laser cop claim
marv and laser both town: legit
marv lying and laser cop: legit
marv miller and laser lying: Doesn't make sense
to fakeclaim cop after a legit miller claim.
both lying: legit

Laser can be scum only if marv is lying.
==============================

Narrowed it down to the what I found to be the most basic statement you could make given the four scenarios, and the end result was the bottom line. Since it's highly likely to be suicide to fakeclaim cop after a legitimate miller claim, marv shouldn't be suspicious of laser if he was, in fact, miller.

Why is this true if scum got fakeclaims like marv suggested?

Hmmm, so the situation you're suggesting is scum have a cop safeclaim? Similar situation happened in Doctor Who, but marv seemed to think that it was ridiculous for them to just be told basically "there is no cop", and it made a lot of sense. IIRC, he (or maybe someone else? can't remember exactly) pointed out how while other hosts will give out blue role safeclaims, they should have to request which role they'd like a safeclaim for, which wouldn't do anything in this setup because everyone already knows the role names. Straight-up telling scum that there's no town cop in this setup basically hands them free miller claims AND the cop role. That seems like it would be really overpowered, especially with scum already having 2kp. My initial reaction is that this would actually pretty much confirm lazer as town when marv flipped scum. Thoughts? Can you think of a situation where marv is town and lazer is fakeclaiming cop? It seems like that would be either free claims for the scumteam, or basically an extra kp, both of which would just make the scumteam more powerful.

Gah, just refreshed. You guys are posting so much. I need to get in the shower, since I have plans in an hour. Don't think I'm gonna be around for the daypost since it was pushed back =/ I'll try to get computer access somehow, but I wouldn't count on it.
Never trust a skinny innkeeper
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36161 Posts
July 02 2013 21:54 GMT
#1133
Claiming miller is arguably particularly dumb with #/2 rounded down, because it immediately puts one of the KP at risk :/

Towns usually lynch towns day 1 (most games are balanced for that in fact) so I've no idea why any mafia team would put a KP at risk by fakeclaiming a role. Any miller counterclaim and I'm going 1-for-1, and due to my past history of fakeclaiming miller it's pretty likely I'd die first (as people are super paranoid about me anyway). Your whole case rests on the idea that mafia don't have a roleblocker (we don't know this) and that I decided to gamble on miller.

It's totally ludicrous.
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
July 02 2013 21:54 GMT
#1134
On July 03 2013 06:52 JarJarDrinks wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 03 2013 06:45 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Vivax, afaik the OP did not state scum have 2 KP until the game was paused.
This seems like a real wierd thing to know.


Well he's right actually, the spoiler with the roles descriptions was added afterwards.
Did you see anyone knowing of scum KP before that got changed?
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36161 Posts
July 02 2013 21:55 GMT
#1135
fuba, stop avoiding me.
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43268 Posts
July 02 2013 21:55 GMT
#1136
marv, why are you not pushing Vivax?
He has called me out for what i just said in my last post, he has mistakenly compared this game to Carnival and LXI and said the situations are similar. I was top lynch candidate at some point on D1 for that shit.

Here you agree with my early game miller-analysis, yet your "i'm back post" is this:
On July 02 2013 04:15 marvellosity wrote:
On page 15 and getting seriously bored with this miller shit


Really, REALLY, REALLY???

How much i have to find for you guys to lynch marv?
table for two on a tv tray
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36161 Posts
July 02 2013 21:56 GMT
#1137
On July 03 2013 06:55 raynpelikoneet wrote:
marv, why are you not pushing Vivax?
He has called me out for what i just said in my last post, he has mistakenly compared this game to Carnival and LXI and said the situations are similar. I was top lynch candidate at some point on D1 for that shit.

Here you agree with my early game miller-analysis, yet your "i'm back post" is this:
Show nested quote +
On July 02 2013 04:15 marvellosity wrote:
On page 15 and getting seriously bored with this miller shit


Really, REALLY, REALLY???

How much i have to find for you guys to lynch marv?


Because it's all anyone had talked about for like 10 pages?

I can pull random quotes from your filter and go "lol scum" too you know.
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
JarJarDrinks
Profile Joined March 2013
United States1302 Posts
July 02 2013 21:58 GMT
#1138
I'm assuming I die for sure. W/ the mass claim looming they can't leave me alive because I'm close to confirmed town as well as uncounterable @ this point.

not necesarily my order of scumminess (though close) but this is the order I think people should claim. Use it if I die:

gumshoe and marvellosity - get these out of the way first. Marv doesnt really need to @ this point but cant hurt.

s0Lstice - was one of my earliest suspects and has been so insanely quiet I almost forgot he was still playing

WaveofShadow -

raynpelikoneet - I do have a history of reading scum rayn as town. I'm really not sure about him anymore. I think this whole marv/lazor thing did make sense @ the time however I feel like he's trying to direct attention away from the whole mass claim which should be the first order of business tomorrow.

mkfuba07 -

Oatsmaster -

Stutters695 -

Vivax - First person to bring up a mass claim gets him lotsa townie points

I think that's everyone.

Before all that though see if lazer claims to have caught a red and have that person claim first. Though I'd be shocked if he says he came back w/ an unblocked check regardless of alignment.


man rayns last few posts are serious WTFs.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
July 02 2013 21:58 GMT
#1139
Seriously calm down dude. Your transforming into an OATS

Marv, iirc Lazer wasn't a suspect of yours before his cop claim, now you say you have doubts cause of the timing of his claim but you think he's more likely to be town.

That's indeed kinda weird. If you didn't think he was scum in the first place and the claim seems legit, what makes you say that the claim stirs doubts in you?
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
July 02 2013 21:59 GMT
#1140
EBWOP: What makes you say that the claim timing sitrs doubts in you
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