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Newbie Mini Mafia XLIII - Page 13

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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hzflank
Profile Joined August 2011
United Kingdom2991 Posts
June 30 2013 00:16 GMT
#1625
Oh I have the best conspiracy theory lined up Just 45 minutes to wait.
hzflank
Profile Joined August 2011
United Kingdom2991 Posts
June 30 2013 00:31 GMT
#1627
You don't need to claim anything. I am the one who needs to claim something. But not just yet.
hzflank
Profile Joined August 2011
United Kingdom2991 Posts
June 30 2013 00:36 GMT
#1629
Yep, I am aware of that.

BTW Hurricane, we can just say it because everyone knows you claim NN. It is no secret. The thing is we cannot confirm it (no Tracker or Watcher).
hzflank
Profile Joined August 2011
United Kingdom2991 Posts
June 30 2013 00:39 GMT
#1632
On June 30 2013 09:37 Aquanim wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 30 2013 09:33 Hurricane Sponge wrote:
Also, Onegu doesn't have to be a Mafia Power Role. One of his scumbuddies (the real mafia tracker) could have just told Onegu what he knew to help him save himself when he felt under pressure.

Alakaslam saw Onegu visit you, didn't he? You're not dead, so Onegu wasn't carrying scum KP. Therefore, Onegu has a scum PR.


Yep. Tracker or Framer.

Unless Hurricane was roleblocked. If Hurricane was roleblocked, then it might be time to claim that, but I need a minute to confirm.
hzflank
Profile Joined August 2011
United Kingdom2991 Posts
June 30 2013 00:43 GMT
#1634
@Hurricane: We dont even need to know if you were roleblocked. We will know when Onegu flips.
hzflank
Profile Joined August 2011
United Kingdom2991 Posts
June 30 2013 00:43 GMT
#1635
Although, there is no harm in it either. SO if you want you can claim.
hzflank
Profile Joined August 2011
United Kingdom2991 Posts
June 30 2013 00:44 GMT
#1636
It really does not matter
hzflank
Profile Joined August 2011
United Kingdom2991 Posts
June 30 2013 00:48 GMT
#1638
Sorry for spamming, I'm running a single monitor and watching MLG. This thread is good for inflating my post counter though
hzflank
Profile Joined August 2011
United Kingdom2991 Posts
June 30 2013 00:55 GMT
#1642
No point in looking too much into a link between Aqua and Lone until we know one of their alignments. it is not needed.
hzflank
Profile Joined August 2011
United Kingdom2991 Posts
June 30 2013 00:59 GMT
#1645
Deadline has passed?
hzflank
Profile Joined August 2011
United Kingdom2991 Posts
June 30 2013 01:05 GMT
#1649
Don't worry Onegu's gone day 3, 8-1 vote count.

Oh btw, Hurricane wont die.

If I am reading this right then I am about to be shot by scum, which means that no one dies tonight.

Hurricane is either lynched Day 4, or killed Night 4, and in a few minutes I will tell you why...

(I love me some conspiracy, it seems)
hzflank
Profile Joined August 2011
United Kingdom2991 Posts
June 30 2013 01:05 GMT
#1650
oops, 7-1 vote count*
hzflank
Profile Joined August 2011
United Kingdom2991 Posts
June 30 2013 01:10 GMT
#1655
On June 30 2013 10:07 Hurricane Sponge wrote:
hz, would me claiming Roleblock yes / Roleblock no be of any importance to you?


not at all. Dont claim anything.
hzflank
Profile Joined August 2011
United Kingdom2991 Posts
June 30 2013 01:11 GMT
#1656
Conspiracy theory time.

On June 30 2013 09:03 hzflank wrote:

Is it good play to both Track and Frame the same person in that situation?


Why yes, yes I think that it is. It makes for a great set play. If there is an NN then the scum team can potentially convince the town to mislynch their Tracker/Watcher in exchange for the Mafia Framer. Then, when he (Onegu) flips Framer, the scum team will claim that Hurricane must be scum.

It is in fact likely that a Framer and Tracker both targeted Hurricane. If you had to pick a target for this play then Hurricane would have been perfect, as his very early post was about NN policy. It would be better for the scum if they knew exactly who the NN was when making this play. Remind me who it was that made a case on day 1 that the NN should claim?

Once the scum team got the results of their night actions, they knew that Hurricane was was either NN, JK or tracker. Their next play would depends on whether Hurricane was NN or a good role, so they wanted to uncover this. Remind me who it was that was so eager to know if anyone was roleblocked (inc Jailed)?

Onegu claim's but does not name Hurricane. They are still fishing for Hurricane's role. Alakaslam claims Tracker. Hurricane passively claims NN.

I wont go into detail, but it's obvious what their next move is if Hurricane was JK. Not relevant though.

Since Hurricane is NN, the scum try to secure their day 2 mis-lynch, and they succeed. The town should all be thinking that they will night kill Hurricane Night 2, because he is confirmed town. But they will not nightkill Hurricane, they will try to nightkill me.

Town lynches Onegu on day 3. Onegu flips Framer.

The scum make a case against Hurricane based on the fact that Onegu flipped Framer. Afterall, what are the chances that on Night one both the Framer and the tracker targetted Hurricane?

If they get the day 4 mislynch on Hurricane then they win.
hzflank
Profile Joined August 2011
United Kingdom2991 Posts
June 30 2013 01:13 GMT
#1658
If that conspiracy is wrong then Hurricane should die tonight. He was the only confirmed non-veteran and the scum are not in a position where they need to risk hitting a Vet when they have confirmed-town Hurricane to kill instead.
hzflank
Profile Joined August 2011
United Kingdom2991 Posts
June 30 2013 01:26 GMT
#1663
Stim is at least 75% town.

Go through the pairings. Stim and Aqua cannot both be scum. Stim and Spicy are unlikely. That only leaves Stim and Lone.

Apart from that Stim also voted for Onegu.
hzflank
Profile Joined August 2011
United Kingdom2991 Posts
June 30 2013 01:27 GMT
#1664
But Firm dismissed my theory so easily Firm and I are like polar opposites.
hzflank
Profile Joined August 2011
United Kingdom2991 Posts
June 30 2013 01:29 GMT
#1665
Hurricane: If you do not die, why are they risky targeting a Vet over a known NN?
hzflank
Profile Joined August 2011
United Kingdom2991 Posts
June 30 2013 01:30 GMT
#1667
If the Nightkill goes through then it is 4-3 LYLO. They knew that we probably have a Vet or a Vig. They would not risk targeting a Vet without good reason.

Give the scum some credit. They have been schooling us all game.
hzflank
Profile Joined August 2011
United Kingdom2991 Posts
June 30 2013 01:30 GMT
#1669
On June 30 2013 10:29 FirmTofu wrote:
Remember that currently we have:

Aquanim accusing Spicy
Aquanim accusing LoneMeow
Spicy accusing Stim

This makes a possible scumteam of Onegu, LoneMeow, and Spicy likely.
It also makes a possible scumteam of Onegu, Aqua, and LoneMeow unlikely.

Correct me if I'm wrong, but Spicy has never accused LoneMeow or Onegu of anything.


That is not relevant. Ignore who Aqua is accusing. If he were scum then he would also be accusing them.
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