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jaybrundage
Profile Joined December 2009
United States3921 Posts
June 06 2013 02:59 GMT
#576
Ace you have been hella inactive. You wasted all day 1 being afk. Do some analyze later when the day is almost over. Attempt to make a voite switch to Oats out of no where after you vote for rayn. Meh im not sure i like it.
The more you sweat in training, the less you bleed in battle.
jaybrundage
Profile Joined December 2009
United States3921 Posts
June 06 2013 03:16 GMT
#579
Regardless of what reasons people have for voting him. The reason YOU had convinced you that he was scum. (That reason being that he thought vayne was town simply because vayne know his play style)

Having that piece of information lead you to believe that rayne was scum. However you back tracked after you said other people might have given reasons for inactivity. But other peoples voting reasons shouldn't of had such a big impact on your read. Why does it matter why they vote for him. If you think rayne is scum?
The more you sweat in training, the less you bleed in battle.
jaybrundage
Profile Joined December 2009
United States3921 Posts
June 06 2013 03:29 GMT
#581
On June 06 2013 12:22 Ace wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 06 2013 12:13 WaveofShadow wrote:
On June 06 2013 12:03 Ace wrote:
Me being afk doesn't mean I'm scum though. The minute I came back I was active and even voted for rayne. I only attempted to switch off when we established rayne might be an inactivity lynch.

What about that chain of events is scummy? What was I supposed to do - lurk? And then get accused for that too?

I'm too lazy to check atm...when 'we' established Rayn might be an inactivity lynch? When was that ever established?
I'm not sure who attempted to push that line of thinking in the first place. You had a long post that analyzed everyone's pushes on Rayn I believe and in the end you summarized it as 'half of us are voting because of inactivity, and the other half have legit reasons.'


yes that post. read up the discussion surrounding it.

Show nested quote +
On June 06 2013 12:16 jaybrundage wrote:
Regardless of what reasons people have for voting him. The reason YOU had convinced you that he was scum. (That reason being that he thought vayne was town simply because vayne know his play style)

Having that piece of information lead you to believe that rayne was scum. However you back tracked after you said other people might have given reasons for inactivity. But other peoples voting reasons shouldn't of had such a big impact on your read. Why does it matter why they vote for him. If you think rayne is scum?



It does matter what they think - notice how I originally voted for rayne. I was first on Oats (who ignored my question) and as I read the thread switched to rayne based on furba's post. As it went on it was clear some people were voting for rayne because he was inactive, and not based on scum reads. That is prime setting for a mislynch.


I disagree it doesnt matter what they think. If you think someone is scum. Then lynch the person you think is scum. Just cause other people have weird reasons they vote for someone (inactivity you stated) It doesnt matter cause you have better reasons (what you stated was rayns odd reasoning for having a town read on vayne.) Unless you change your mind and dont think someone is scum then you should switch. What reason did you have for leaving the rayn lynch? Other people had bad reasons for voting does not seem like a legitimate answer
The more you sweat in training, the less you bleed in battle.
jaybrundage
Profile Joined December 2009
United States3921 Posts
June 06 2013 05:07 GMT
#583
On June 06 2013 12:56 Zephirdd wrote:
But thats the exact reason why I left the WoS lynch...

Hmm But isnt my logic sound. If you have a valid reason to suspect someone is scum do the people who are voting for your scum candidate really effect your decision that much i dont get it : /
The more you sweat in training, the less you bleed in battle.
jaybrundage
Profile Joined December 2009
United States3921 Posts
June 06 2013 21:53 GMT
#606
On June 06 2013 23:18 WaveofShadow wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 06 2013 22:53 Oatsmaster wrote:
On June 06 2013 22:50 WaveofShadow wrote:
On June 06 2013 21:38 Oatsmaster wrote:
We lynching Sent tmr.

Sent, if in fact you are town, go and look at Les Mis and emulate BH's play there after he got pretty much lynched for scumslipping, he flipped town. If you do that, Ill lynch whoever you want.

I know its hard to be objective since I was scum but I want to say I wouldn't have lynched BH in that game.
What do you mean you'll lynch whoever he wants? Assuming he is town, I can't say I'd trust his reads enough to do that. That being said I agree that Sent really needs to pick up his play.

Vayne too imo. Still want to hear what he has to say about me making long cases that are wrong?

Im saying if he plays like BH in that game. I will sheep him. If he does whatever he does, I will push for his lynch.

Is that hard to understand?

Yes. It doesn't make sense to me that you'd sheep someone whose quality of reads is questionable, even if they are town.

Also rereading the past few hours I'd like to hear from jay why he found fuba scmmier than rayn.

First off I didn't really think Rayn was scummy. People say he was scummy because he thought vayne was town because vayne knew that activity was not really alignment indicative for him (rayn)

Fuba asked me if someone defining my play style makes them more likley town i explained my self here.
On June 06 2013 05:20 jaybrundage wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
On June 06 2013 04:35 mkfuba07 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 06 2013 04:03 jaybrundage wrote:
-snip-
Note the reason he gives is because rayn has a town read on Vayne. So instead of lynching vayne who he has been playing with for a while. He just jumps on rayn because he is starting to roll as a wagon. He includes some reason as rayn seeing vayne as a town read for a wierd reason. If rayn just said he had a gut read on Vayne would that be better? Its a convoluted reason imo. I dont see the real reason for the switch from vayne to rayn.
-snip-

That's not the reason I gave. Town reads on vayne are perfectly fine. I, myself, just gave a slight town read on him. The reason I gave for rayn being scum is that his town read on vayne is based entirely around vayne doing something that anyone, of any alignment, could do. It's something scum can do easily to make themselves look like town, while not actually contributing their own thoughts. It's something that I wouldn't expect a townie to be convinced by, but something that scum would be enticed by.

I didn't just jump on rayn because his wagon started. I wasn't convinced by the other cases. I was convinced by this one. If you don't like my reasoning, you're free to disagree with it.

As for the bolded, in all honesty it probably would be better. At least in the sense that I would not find it as scummy. I find "no definable reason" to be better than a scummy reason (at least until we see some flips).

And finally, there was no "switch" from vayne to rayn. You make it seem like one led to the other, when they're completely independent. If rayn had given that reason as a town read for *anyone* I would have had the same reaction.

Here's a question for you: Do you think that someone explaining your playstyle is indicative of their alignment?


@Fuba while obviously there are exceptions to every rule. But over the course of quite a few games I have found out that players who define my playstyle (as being lynchbait) and stop a lynch from going to me on day one.. Are usually town. Scum have no motive to do this they can just let the wagon roll.

While you may think this line of reasoning is scummy. about 80%-90% of the time when im town and someone else defends me and tells everyone that im lynch bait that person defending me is also town. So yes i do find it alignment indicative.


I didn't think what rayn did was scummy because i do it all the time. People who defend me as lynch bait usually are town cause there is no scum motivation behind it. I thought Fuba was scum because of his first post about vayne seemed like fluff and he had no content at first.

I never switched off him cause i never liked the other lynch candidates.
The more you sweat in training, the less you bleed in battle.
jaybrundage
Profile Joined December 2009
United States3921 Posts
June 06 2013 21:58 GMT
#608
On June 07 2013 06:56 Zephirdd wrote:
Show nested quote +
People who defend me as lynch bait usually are town cause there is no scum motivation behind it.

unless you are scum. Then there is scum motivation in defending you.

just pointing it out.

Well if you mean if the person defending me is scum as well as me being scum then yea you would be right. But im not scum :p
The more you sweat in training, the less you bleed in battle.
jaybrundage
Profile Joined December 2009
United States3921 Posts
June 06 2013 23:15 GMT
#624
On June 07 2013 07:16 Zephirdd wrote:
yeah but like...

Rayn defended you.
We just estabilished that there is no scum motivation into defending you, UNLESS you are scum
Rayn was scum, which means that he had a scum motivation

So, if rayn was scum, and rayn defended you, what does that make?

No Vivax defended me by saying that yes I am a often mislynch. Rayn just went after Wos for taking Vivax at face value.

I can possibly see scum trying to defend me to take advantage of my misguided trust. But the majority of the time its been town doing it.

Oh and I was the Docter I protected Vivax.
The more you sweat in training, the less you bleed in battle.
jaybrundage
Profile Joined December 2009
United States3921 Posts
June 06 2013 23:29 GMT
#631
On June 07 2013 07:59 kitaman27 wrote:
I didn't have as much time as I had hoped to finish this post since I thought the deadline was an hour later, but I want to post it in case I get shot. My top two scum suspects are Ace and Sent currently. Everyone should role claim (I'm vanilla) Punish players if they offer bad alignment cop/medic/roleblocker selections.

Ace had a poor showing day one, not bringing anything of value to the table. He was late to the rayn lynch and even tried to spook people away from the lynch in the final hours. What concerns me the most is that Ace wasn't applying his own views of rayn, he is characterizing whether or not the lynch is legitimate based on the collective reasoning.

Show nested quote +
On June 06 2013 05:32 Ace wrote:
highlighted in bold. I think it is the main reason people are voting rayne. It's a pretty solid line of reasoning.


With this post, Ace establishes that there is a legitimate reason to vote rayn. Later on, he establishes the case from fuba as the argument that convinced him that rayn is scum.

Show nested quote +
On June 06 2013 05:32 Ace wrote:
If people are voting for him based on inactivity and not this case then yea we might be mislynching the guy.


Show nested quote +
On June 06 2013 07:11 Ace wrote:
For the remaining people voting for rayne do you believe he is really just inactive or just Scum?


Show nested quote +
On June 06 2013 12:03 Ace wrote:
I only attempted to switch off when we established rayne might be an inactivity lynch.


After an analysis of the votes, however Ace decides that rayn is a poor lynch. Why do the statements that Ace described as a solid line of reasoning no longer apply? If people are voting rayn for the wrong reasons, shouldn't he be convincing people to vote rayn for the right reasons, instead of trying to redirect the lynch? Even if Ace concluded that rayn was an inactivity lynch, concluding that it was a mislynch is a jump that is never adequately explained. An inactivity lynch can be valid if there is supporting evidence that the player is scum in the limited amount of posts they have. Ace never discusses rayn's posts, which should be the deciding factor when determining if the inactivity lynch is a mafia lynch or mislynch.

From the previous game, where I was a scum buddy with rayn, I noticed that on day one, he put effort into scum to scum interaction, sending me a couple of softballs, that weren't really prompted. I wouldn't put much value into this observation, but I think his interaction with Ace and layabout most closely reflect this type of interaction.

Show nested quote +
On June 06 2013 05:04 [UoN]Sentinel wrote:
Whether or not I sheep rayne my vote will look scummy.

Going with my gut I guess.

##unvote
##vote: raynpelikoneet


Even if you ignore the "scum slip", the thing about this post that seems the most scummy to me is the fact that he is concerned about how he appears to others. A town player votes for the player they want to lynch as scum. A mafia player is more aware of how his vote will look to others. He also appears paranoid when he makes a post stating his concern by not being mentioned by rayn.

I think he overplays his certainty of the lynch in his explanation of a previous post. In his post, he describes it as a gut read and never really indicates that rayn is the player that we should be lynching, until the lynch is already decided. Post-flip he suddenly goes from a gut read to 100% certain.



YESSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSS This is exactly what i was talking about I thought I was mistaken in my reasoning cause of what Zepp said.
Kita you still around I got a question for ya.

These were my posts talking to ace
On June 06 2013 12:29 jaybrundage wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 06 2013 12:22 Ace wrote:
On June 06 2013 12:13 WaveofShadow wrote:
On June 06 2013 12:03 Ace wrote:
Me being afk doesn't mean I'm scum though. The minute I came back I was active and even voted for rayne. I only attempted to switch off when we established rayne might be an inactivity lynch.

What about that chain of events is scummy? What was I supposed to do - lurk? And then get accused for that too?

I'm too lazy to check atm...when 'we' established Rayn might be an inactivity lynch? When was that ever established?
I'm not sure who attempted to push that line of thinking in the first place. You had a long post that analyzed everyone's pushes on Rayn I believe and in the end you summarized it as 'half of us are voting because of inactivity, and the other half have legit reasons.'


yes that post. read up the discussion surrounding it.

On June 06 2013 12:16 jaybrundage wrote:
Regardless of what reasons people have for voting him. The reason YOU had convinced you that he was scum. (That reason being that he thought vayne was town simply because vayne know his play style)

Having that piece of information lead you to believe that rayne was scum. However you back tracked after you said other people might have given reasons for inactivity. But other peoples voting reasons shouldn't of had such a big impact on your read. Why does it matter why they vote for him. If you think rayne is scum?



It does matter what they think - notice how I originally voted for rayne. I was first on Oats (who ignored my question) and as I read the thread switched to rayne based on furba's post. As it went on it was clear some people were voting for rayne because he was inactive, and not based on scum reads. That is prime setting for a mislynch.


I disagree it doesnt matter what they think. If you think someone is scum. Then lynch the person you think is scum. Just cause other people have weird reasons they vote for someone (inactivity you stated) It doesnt matter cause you have better reasons (what you stated was rayns odd reasoning for having a town read on vayne.) Unless you change your mind and dont think someone is scum then you should switch. What reason did you have for leaving the rayn lynch? Other people had bad reasons for voting does not seem like a legitimate answer


But then Zep responded with this That he left the Wos lynch for reasons of not liking the votes on him. Or is the difference not liking the vote reasons or the people that are voting.

On June 06 2013 14:07 jaybrundage wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 06 2013 12:56 Zephirdd wrote:
But thats the exact reason why I left the WoS lynch...

Hmm But isnt my logic sound. If you have a valid reason to suspect someone is scum do the people who are voting for your scum candidate really effect your decision that much i dont get it : /



I just thought aces odd way of going against the lynch was because of other people voting him cause it was an inactivity lynch just bad logic to turn around a lynch.
The more you sweat in training, the less you bleed in battle.
jaybrundage
Profile Joined December 2009
United States3921 Posts
June 06 2013 23:29 GMT
#632
On June 07 2013 08:21 WaveofShadow wrote:
Also lol of the people I might have RBed jay would have been one of them

ZZZ
The more you sweat in training, the less you bleed in battle.
jaybrundage
Profile Joined December 2009
United States3921 Posts
June 06 2013 23:31 GMT
#633
Oh and
##Vote Ace O' Spades
The more you sweat in training, the less you bleed in battle.
jaybrundage
Profile Joined December 2009
United States3921 Posts
June 06 2013 23:39 GMT
#635
We only have one role left unclaimed..

Who the hell is the cop?
The more you sweat in training, the less you bleed in battle.
jaybrundage
Profile Joined December 2009
United States3921 Posts
June 06 2013 23:44 GMT
#637
On June 07 2013 08:40 layabout wrote:
I don't see how Ace is scummy. At all.

His approach to the lynch was both sensible and productive.

Well my reasoning is that if you think someone is scum and have a legitimate reason in your mind.

Other people voting for your scum lynch is a good thing it shouldn't matter what their reasoning for it is. Whether it be an inactivity lynch or the same reason ace had. He went from Rayn being scum to prolly town due to other people votes on rayn being for activity reasons.

Am i making sense? I'm not to gud at explaining things.
The more you sweat in training, the less you bleed in battle.
jaybrundage
Profile Joined December 2009
United States3921 Posts
June 07 2013 01:00 GMT
#676
Hmm So Ace claimed cop and Oats came up red. My first reaction is to call bullshit. I mean if mafia got cop then they could bullshit a check at night. If Oats comes up green if we lynch him ace could just fall back on the miller possibility.


But on the other had if ace is green then we should by all means go for it. I just have trouble seeing ace as green.

The worse case scenario being that Ace is town and checks Oats who is town and miller. That would kinda suck.

At the end of the day it depends on who is most likely mafia from whats going on from the thread. Between Oats and Ace i wanna say ace from his last minute vote derail
The more you sweat in training, the less you bleed in battle.
jaybrundage
Profile Joined December 2009
United States3921 Posts
June 07 2013 01:33 GMT
#680
On June 07 2013 10:16 WaveofShadow wrote:
I don't like being pigeonholed into a 2-person lynch choice this early in the day. It kills discussion.
I'm going to go about it as if the copclaim doesn't exist and once I'm done I will factor it in.
If at that point it makes the most sense to lynch Oats or Ace I will gladly go along with it.

Ok i can agree with this. With out the cop check i would still want to lynch oats. Wos who do you think is the scummiest person as of today
The more you sweat in training, the less you bleed in battle.
jaybrundage
Profile Joined December 2009
United States3921 Posts
June 07 2013 03:49 GMT
#713
On June 07 2013 11:39 kitaman27 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 07 2013 08:55 Ace wrote:
Please, show me where this lack of production is?

Show nested quote +
On June 07 2013 09:32 Ace wrote:
I'll be back after the game is over.


You're getting lynched if you afk for a second cycle. There is more to discuss past the cop check.

This 100% you were barely here for the first day. After you Rayn was already set to be lynched you busted in and tried to make a last minute switch if you had presence before it would of been much clear what your stances were.

I am still 100% for killing ace. However as people have said we shouldnt limit discussion to just them as possible scum.
The more you sweat in training, the less you bleed in battle.
jaybrundage
Profile Joined December 2009
United States3921 Posts
June 07 2013 03:51 GMT
#714
Also @ kita can you answer my question its more a matter of mafia knowledge that im curious about. And your a pretty knowledgeable player
The more you sweat in training, the less you bleed in battle.
jaybrundage
Profile Joined December 2009
United States3921 Posts
June 07 2013 04:59 GMT
#718
On June 07 2013 13:46 VayneAuthority wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 07 2013 13:25 Ace wrote:
On June 07 2013 11:21 Oatsmaster wrote:
On June 07 2013 11:16 JarJarDrinks wrote:
On June 07 2013 09:38 Oatsmaster wrote:
On June 07 2013 09:27 JarJarDrinks wrote:
On June 07 2013 09:18 Oatsmaster wrote:
On June 07 2013 09:06 JarJarDrinks wrote:

Good Job Ace. He actually had changed my mind somewhat overnight so I'm glad you checked him.

Where/how?
Because you were agreeing w/ me about Sent and his scumslip. I was pretty convinced that Sent was scum and would almost surely be voting him now if Ace hadn't caught you. But now I see that you were sheeping me because my read was off. Or perhaps you were bussing but I think that's way less likely @ this point.

ummmmm?

So I was looking townier and townier and BAM COP CHECK YOU MUST BE RED!

That doesnt make much sense JJD.
Yep.

Just taking the #s into account. Odds of mafia getting cop are so much less then then town getting cop.

Not a point.

Then, I fail to see a reason for a scum Ace to lie here. Just to get a single mislych? How is that a good scum play? Scum gets a blue role and THAT's how they try to utilize it?

He can just say, OH MILLER MY BAD.
And cause its 1 shot night roles, he doesnt have to explain why he is alive or not roleblocked or whatever.
You understand?
1 reason why I think Ace is scum its cause he isnt addressing the scum side of possibly claiming cop in this setup AT all. Thats bad. Thats really bad.


And then there's the fact that I think you look alot scummier than Ace. I may have started to doubt my initial scumread on you, but I've never had a scumread on Ace

you're wrong about me.
Maybe you are wrong about Ace too.


I did address it. I said the next night a cop can just check me.


I don't think its a great idea to get caught up in a web of lies considering scum can obtain cop the next night or has already obtained it etc etc. End it while its still small

Wow never thought about that if scum get cop tmw they can really cause a shitstorm.
With that being said vote for ace the wagon of justice calls.
The more you sweat in training, the less you bleed in battle.
jaybrundage
Profile Joined December 2009
United States3921 Posts
June 07 2013 05:11 GMT
#722
On June 07 2013 14:01 Ace wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 07 2013 13:59 jaybrundage wrote:
On June 07 2013 13:46 VayneAuthority wrote:
On June 07 2013 13:25 Ace wrote:
On June 07 2013 11:21 Oatsmaster wrote:
On June 07 2013 11:16 JarJarDrinks wrote:
On June 07 2013 09:38 Oatsmaster wrote:
On June 07 2013 09:27 JarJarDrinks wrote:
On June 07 2013 09:18 Oatsmaster wrote:
On June 07 2013 09:06 JarJarDrinks wrote:

Good Job Ace. He actually had changed my mind somewhat overnight so I'm glad you checked him.

Where/how?
Because you were agreeing w/ me about Sent and his scumslip. I was pretty convinced that Sent was scum and would almost surely be voting him now if Ace hadn't caught you. But now I see that you were sheeping me because my read was off. Or perhaps you were bussing but I think that's way less likely @ this point.

ummmmm?

So I was looking townier and townier and BAM COP CHECK YOU MUST BE RED!

That doesnt make much sense JJD.
Yep.

Just taking the #s into account. Odds of mafia getting cop are so much less then then town getting cop.

Not a point.

Then, I fail to see a reason for a scum Ace to lie here. Just to get a single mislych? How is that a good scum play? Scum gets a blue role and THAT's how they try to utilize it?

He can just say, OH MILLER MY BAD.
And cause its 1 shot night roles, he doesnt have to explain why he is alive or not roleblocked or whatever.
You understand?
1 reason why I think Ace is scum its cause he isnt addressing the scum side of possibly claiming cop in this setup AT all. Thats bad. Thats really bad.


And then there's the fact that I think you look alot scummier than Ace. I may have started to doubt my initial scumread on you, but I've never had a scumread on Ace

you're wrong about me.
Maybe you are wrong about Ace too.


I did address it. I said the next night a cop can just check me.


I don't think its a great idea to get caught up in a web of lies considering scum can obtain cop the next night or has already obtained it etc etc. End it while its still small

Wow never thought about that if scum get cop tmw they can really cause a shitstorm.
With that being said vote for ace the wagon of justice calls.


yea but it's more likely that they dont get it. Are you really trying to push a worst case scenario that isn't likely to happen as an excuse to lynch me? Why have you tunneled me but not even considered that my check is legit and Oats is Scum? Do you even have a read on Oats?


Tunneling you? Are you kidding me you were not even on my radar till this last night. Your weird as hell reasoning with the people on your wagon having the wrong reasoning for voting someone holds no water at all.

You thought you had a legitimate reason to vote rayn as scum. But when other people are voting for inactivity you say it could be a mislynch. Did it not occur to you that a scum could be inactive. Scum lurk all the damn time.

Mafia could of got cop today and just are trying to get a free mislynch. While it is less likely numbers wise. The fact that your scummy makes it a lot easier to mafia got the cop role.

As for Oats. I have been pretty null on him. He hasn't really been a player in the game IMO. He was just calling for your lynch for reasons I didn't really agree with (mostly inactivity reasons i believe) I would like to see more from him

@Oats I would like it if you write up a bit why you think prlphz is scum.
The more you sweat in training, the less you bleed in battle.
jaybrundage
Profile Joined December 2009
United States3921 Posts
June 07 2013 05:21 GMT
#723
But you know what ace I'll give you benefit of the doubt.

If you were not going for Oats as your scum read Could you gimme your 3 top scum reads and your 3 best town reads thx Brosef
The more you sweat in training, the less you bleed in battle.
jaybrundage
Profile Joined December 2009
United States3921 Posts
June 07 2013 21:37 GMT
#868
On June 08 2013 06:13 Vivax wrote:
I don't get why you people are even discussing Sentinel for lynch. My post lays out already that he is most likely town, I'll explain it like you're 5 year old:

a) He was pushing Oats all along → Unlikely scum with Oats
b) He switched to Ace cause two of his scumreads voted Oats → Unlikely scum with ace (and I don't think that scum would be willing to trade cred for a NK)

Unless ace and Oats are both town, Sentinel isn't scum, barring any powerplay where he plays exactly the opposite of how he should.

We should keep it as simple as possible and lynch Oats, and if Oats flips town we lynch ace, if Oats was miller then we gambled and lost.

Show nested quote +
On June 08 2013 06:10 layabout wrote:
I feel like my reads are good right now and town is in a good spot but i'm nervous about oatsmaster since i can see him being town and i really don't want us to get screwed by a miller check.


Layabout can you lay out the reasons for why you think he's town?


I havent read over Sent too recently but i dont like your train thought so let butt in.

Let me explain it like your 5 years old. (Dont be condescending cause then people can just throw it back in your face.)

Sent was pushing Oats. Unlike what you believe SCUM CAN PUSH EACH OTHER *GASP* (You're like five so you prolly didn't know that)
Also here is another scenario this one is partly off what kita said. Scum sent can just make up reads and use them to change his votes. They don't have to be legitimate reads
The more you sweat in training, the less you bleed in battle.
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