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Boardwalk Empire Mafia: Pick Your Power

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 02 2013 01:05 GMT
#78
/in

Gonzaw, there's a chance we ruin each other's plans.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 03 2013 14:17 GMT
#105
On April 03 2013 12:49 sinani206 wrote:
does anyone have a link to that role tier list that someone posted a few months ago?

I remembered something similar, went looking through the last PTP game but couldn't find it. Must have been somewhere else.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 03 2013 15:59 GMT
#113
Go read the last PTP (not the pokemon one) to see how [1][1] can play out.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 04 2013 14:14 GMT
#280
WEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEE

Late start.

If you want to argue about the setup, please read the last PYP game like this before doing so. Same discussions. I think there is reasonable discussion there that we don't need to have again. If you're arguing about how we choose roles/numbers/whatever this game without reading that or referencing it, you're doing yourself a disservice, and you're spamming up the thread in a way that isn't helpful.

This game is different in two major ways that I see. (1) Different role list. (2) Some players getting bonuses for picking a specific type of role. I like the ideas from the older PYP of denying certain strong mafia roles (Janitor is VERY powerful, think of how much damage a 12-hour delayed SINGLE flip caused in Personality 2. Now imagine a N1 janitor usage in a game full of PYP-ed KP roles, and 4-5 flips FOREVER hidden. No bueno). Multi-KP roles, Janitor, other roles are things that we NEED to deny as town. In this game "pick the best role for town" often equals "deny mafia their best role" because they will often be able to use a role super-optimally where town can't (town doc doesn't always save, mafia KP role always hits townies, stuff like that). Once we have a picking order, we SHOULD be assigning some roles, and I also like RNGing some roles so that scum can't 100% know what's left and what's not. Any scum receiving VT is FANTASTIC for us.

Artanis, we can both block roles AND RNG. They did last game and it made some sense. Check the bit on how (1), (2), and (3) in that game were supposed to pick.


seriously though, if you're going back and forth with someone(s) about whether we should do x or y, at the very least go read the last game. Especially Qatol's posts, which tended to be super sensible and concise. We want to plan for the best draft we can get. Reading their planning stages, and how it played out for them, should be part of our planning.



Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 04 2013 14:30 GMT
#287
On April 04 2013 23:17 Oatsmaster wrote:
The difference between Personality 2 and this game was that personality 2 was a closed setup..


So out of reading that game Austin,

What are your concise thoughts on what we need to do?

The reason janitor is powerful has to do with what you saw in Personality 2 (if you can't just intuit how no-flipping N1 could be crazy good). Heck...Aperture 1 had a janitor use early when a bunch of people died iirc. Janitor + big game + lots of KP = big lack of information for town. It's a strong role, even though all it does is mess with information. The difference in setup does not make a role that mucks with flips a weak one.


I think we need to pick numbers for now. Next phase is where plans can really be hatched. I like the idea of everyone taking a public stance as to 3 roles that they think are the strongest for mafia and should be denied, as well as specifically WHY they chose those. That is something we can do now, pre-order and pre-role-picking. This list is different from that list, and we may want to deny different things than they did in that game. It's not the biggest stance ever, but it forces each player to take a stance on what roles are pro-mafia, and so also has the effect of limiting someone's ability to later say that they chose x, used the power, but tried to do so in a pro-town way.

We also can look through who is/isn't spamming, who actually has good/town-favored ideas, and start making reads. But hopefully you've already started doing that and it should go without saying.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 04 2013 14:33 GMT
#288
On April 04 2013 23:22 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 04 2013 23:18 Caller wrote:
On April 04 2013 23:14 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
Is there an ingame reason for it?

do i need a reason? i just wanna kill him.

Depends on if you want us to vote for him too or not.
@Austin I don't have the time to read through that thread entirely, but from what I got out of it is that 3 people picked Janitor/CPR to ensure they had three people that could be held accountable for those actions? That sounds a bit excessive and I think we can get the same effect with less losses on blues from town's side.

They had people set to pick Janitor/CPR, and marv to RNG between the two at the third spot. If the top players were town, those roles were denied. If they were scum and were planning on SAYING they picked those roles, but taking other powerful roles and having a scumbuddy at the bottom of the list pick up janitor/CPR on the sly, marv RNGing made that a less-desirable option. In order to really scheme and get powerful roles to people low on the list, scum would kind of need marv + one of the top two players to be scum, and that's something that would be hard to keep secret if low-list players use the powers or (1) or (2) die and dont' flip how they should.

Basically, mafia has the benefit of planning their picking strategy way better than town does. They can say they're picking x, pick y, and let x fall to a scumbuddy way downt he list. Whereas town members way down the list probably don't pick "powerful" roles for fear they're already gone. Some denial + some RNG keeps scum from being able to plan as much as they want.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 04 2013 14:44 GMT
#292
And for Oats, because I WOULD like to see most people state 3 powerful roles and WHY they want to deny those from mafia.

(1) CPR doc - In mafia hands this is a multi-shot vig but without accountability (america = multi-shot nuker but has to publicly out self). Doubles mafia KP, but secretly.

(2) Assassin - See above. Mafia knows all alignments, therefore this is a multi-shot vig without accountability.

(3) Janitor - Information from flips good for town. Lack of that information for town bad. LOTS of KP roles in this game, good chance that some townies will be firing as well as mafia maybe getting extra KP, so there's the chance to hide multiple flips.

(4) Role swapper/copy cat - These are dangerous only in that they can be used to get dangerous roles. Role swapper somewhat prevents town from denying mafia a role, but power still out of mafia hands for a night and the town role swapper then basically can DT check someone (if they've claimed, see if they're lying. If not, can you tell whether they've used their role, and in a townie/scummy way?). Copy cat another way to try and get a strong power passed down.

Roles that I considered but dont' think are as strong as they look:

(1) Hooker - Multi-shot vig without accountability. Stronger than the above because you CAN infect multiple targets. Weaker than the above because can be medic protected off. Also weaker than the above because, HOPEFULLY, if a townie knows he's going to die next cycle, he can be very vocal and is trustworthy/semi-confirmed-town (given that town hookers shouldn't be hooking willy-nilly, so we can assume he was targeted by a mafia hooker).
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 04 2013 14:51 GMT
#298
Sharrant, I agree with most of the roles you find powerful (i skipped thief in my list but it should be added with swapper and copy cat).

Inventor was a consideration of mine, but the fact that you have to give your inventions to other players weakens it somewhat. Possible that mafia end up implicating themselves slightly if they're only giving inventions to each other, and each player can only receive inventions once. Plus all inventions have to be one-shot, and you can't re-invent the same thing. There are enough restrictions that it limits the ability for the role to cause serious damage.

As to denying roles/RNGing later down the list, I think it's a good idea if we can get people to agree on a plan of denial. The fact that mafia has a single factional KP is very important, especially in a game where we could also have a lot of protective roles. They NEED roles to win this, town doesn't. Time favors town, especially in a game where people can be outed based on what they pick, how they use, detective checks, etc. etc. I don't like the idea of having someone too far down the list RNG. Mafia is going to want x role or y role. The further down the list the RNG happens, the higher the chance that: (1) multiple mafioso are above the RNGer, and can pull shennanies; (2) mafia can just risk the RNG, because the chance that RNG steals the role they want to preserve are lower (50% chance at pick 3 last game, 20% chance at pick 6).

Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 04 2013 14:55 GMT
#300
On April 04 2013 23:48 Oatsmaster wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 04 2013 23:44 austinmcc wrote:
And for Oats, because I WOULD like to see most people state 3 powerful roles and WHY they want to deny those from mafia.

(1) CPR doc - In mafia hands this is a multi-shot vig but without accountability (america = multi-shot nuker but has to publicly out self). Doubles mafia KP, but secretly.

(2) Assassin - See above. Mafia knows all alignments, therefore this is a multi-shot vig without accountability.

(3) Janitor - Information from flips good for town. Lack of that information for town bad. LOTS of KP roles in this game, good chance that some townies will be firing as well as mafia maybe getting extra KP, so there's the chance to hide multiple flips.

(4) Role swapper/copy cat - These are dangerous only in that they can be used to get dangerous roles. Role swapper somewhat prevents town from denying mafia a role, but power still out of mafia hands for a night and the town role swapper then basically can DT check someone (if they've claimed, see if they're lying. If not, can you tell whether they've used their role, and in a townie/scummy way?). Copy cat another way to try and get a strong power passed down.

Roles that I considered but dont' think are as strong as they look:

(1) Hooker - Multi-shot vig without accountability. Stronger than the above because you CAN infect multiple targets. Weaker than the above because can be medic protected off. Also weaker than the above because, HOPEFULLY, if a townie knows he's going to die next cycle, he can be very vocal and is trustworthy/semi-confirmed-town (given that town hookers shouldn't be hooking willy-nilly, so we can assume he was targeted by a mafia hooker).


How in the world does stating setup information help town? What?
Thats saying why GF is a good role. WHAT IS THE POINT?
Look deeper. The more people that come out saying "I think x, y, and z are mafia-favored roles," the higher the chance is later in the game that we catch someone using role x after admitting it was mafia-favored. They can't just say "Yeah I used my power but I didn't think it would be bad for town, don't lynch kk."

Plus, if nothing else, we've already had confusion over the janitor role. Talking about it yielded an explanation of how it works, now everyone is on the same page. Maybe people aren't reading the role list closely. Maybe people don't understand why something is/isn't powerful.

I also personally just find it more fruitful as a discussion topic than heavy heavy plan chatter, which we'll have to bring up again tomorrow once we actually have a picking order.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 04 2013 15:05 GMT
#307
Prince of Darkness is another role that I don't think is as powerful as looks. It's an extra night cycle, which COULD be devastating in large games where mafia has 3 KP or so, but here they just have 1 and their powers.

It's a one-shot skip-a-day. It's pardoner but without the information from the day. Because of their limited KP, I don't think it' ALL that strong as it gives all DTs a second check, medics will still be active, etc. etc. I don't think the setup makes it stronger than a multi-vig, when their real concern is most likely to be lack of KP.


I don't want to talk more about RNG right at this moment. Big game, want to see more discussion and thoughts from others before we go deeper with that.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 04 2013 17:39 GMT
#363
On April 05 2013 02:25 Keirathi wrote:
I think you're reading Assassin wrong. AFAIK, a scum assassin can't say ##Kill austinmcc GREEN. Its either ##Kill: austinmcc ROLENAME, or ##Kill austinmcc RED.

I think I read it wrong as well.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 05 2013 13:56 GMT
#738
I was [8][4]

Having people take KP roles and then lynching them if they ever hit town is sillypants. I have not seen any multi-shot vigis hit only scum. And vigis probably aren't even 50/50 across the board hitting scum with the first shot. So instead, what we get is someone who THINKS that they're going to do better than the average vigi, probably still hits town, and then we spend a lynch killing a townie who thought he could be an outlier. Even if you choose vigi and shoot scum then town, congrats. We are now supposed to lynch you and than means we lost 2 townies for one scum player AND had to use a lynch on you. Don't like town KP roles using it, because scum NEEDS extra KP flying around to win. Don't like planning for what happens if town KP roles use it, because they shouldn't be, except in corner cases where we have investigations we trust or something of that sort.

Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 05 2013 14:18 GMT
#747
On April 05 2013 23:10 Oatsmaster wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 05 2013 22:56 austinmcc wrote:
I was [8][4]

Having people take KP roles and then lynching them if they ever hit town is sillypants. I have not seen any multi-shot vigis hit only scum. And vigis probably aren't even 50/50 across the board hitting scum with the first shot. So instead, what we get is someone who THINKS that they're going to do better than the average vigi, probably still hits town, and then we spend a lynch killing a townie who thought he could be an outlier. Even if you choose vigi and shoot scum then town, congrats. We are now supposed to lynch you and than means we lost 2 townies for one scum player AND had to use a lynch on you. Don't like town KP roles using it, because scum NEEDS extra KP flying around to win. Don't like planning for what happens if town KP roles use it, because they shouldn't be, except in corner cases where we have investigations we trust or something of that sort.



So you are suggesting town dont use KP right?

The point of lynching dudes if they hit town, its a policy. POLICY.
Its supposed to give really really bad odds for scum to claim vig/ get outed after they shot town.
Also discourages town from using KP.

Its optimal for town to not use their KP. Other than lynches
I am suggesting that town don't use KP. There will be corner cases - DT checks, possibly to keep any heavy lurkers we have out of the lynch discussion later on by shooting them a couple days in, etc.

But in general, I don't think town should be firing off KP because, imo, the more quick deaths the better for scum this game. A longer game in which people have roles, we have checks, we have confirmations of role uses and whatnot, is going to favor town. It simply gets more and more difficult to hide that you chose a mafia-favored role or used your role in a mafia-ish manner. So the longer the game goes, better for town, therefore the less KP thrown around, better for town.

If someone really wants to hero it up with KP, there's the magical compulsive scum-only vigi in the game. There's the assassin. I think it's BETTER for town to take the normal KP roles and not use them, because of the above paragraph, but if the only thing you're going to do this game is grab a KP role, flop your e-peen on the table, and shoot scum, then use one of those two roles. That way you don't hit townies and we don't need to discuss policy lynching people who shoot townies.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 05 2013 14:36 GMT
#754
I rarely see ACTUAL policy lynches go through, though. Nor has everyone agreed to this. It seems much more like what would happen is townies die and then we have a whole side conversation every day about who shot the townie and who needs to get policy lynched and blah blah blah.

Given past results, I don't think a policy would stop behavior, and I don't think we'd follow through on the policy. We've already got a game with 5 scum and a couple players known for trolling, I don't see the upside of adding policy lynch targets to that mix balancing out the upside of people just not shooting.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 05 2013 14:50 GMT
#756
On April 05 2013 23:39 Oatsmaster wrote:
Why is it bad to have a policy
If you shoot town, AND WE KNOW.
You get lynched?


It was mentioned earlier that there was a ton of KP in themed and thats kinda how town lost, as well as in Personality.
5 people got nukes.
4 of them used them on TOWNIES.

So I think its a really good policy and we should do it.


The reason this is different, is cause its COMPLETELY obvious and also
You have to be PROACTIVE to get policy lynched, not like lurky or whatever.
It is not bad to have that policy, per se.

It is unreasonable to assume that people will policy lynch folks instead of scumreads/lurkers/whatever. If you know of a game in which the playerbase actually policy lynched multiple folks based of some policy that they created in the game, let me know. Otherwise, consider that it is highly unlikely that "HAI GAIZ THIS IZ POLICY" will yield lynches according to that policy.

I dislike the policy itself. It's goal is to keep town KP directed at scum. Which it doesn't do at all. Townies who think they might get mislynched if they shoot townies don't magically have better aim. In no way does the "policy" actually improve shots. Instead, what it does is encourage NOT SHOOTING, which we can do without policy lynching, because "don't shoot" is better than "the idea of shooting should be less good because we'll totally burn a day mislynching a townie if you shoot town." One says please don't be dumb. The other says, "Oh boy, you guys are gonna be dumb, and town as a whole is going to mislynch to punish that stupidity!"

I'm more interested in hearing from Keirathi about this, actually. He proposed the lynches, and I'd like to know why he thinks this sounds like a good idea, and why he thinks it would actually work in a game.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 05 2013 14:53 GMT
#757
EBWOP: Don't like the first line there.

Having a policy isn't "bad."

But I think this is actually not a good policy, and I think it's entirely unreasonable to expect people to policy lynch no matter what policy you propose. Let alone that you're trying to organize policy lynches, which I don't recall seeing ever work, in a game in which there are multiple roles that give extra votes/vote steals/end day early powers/multi-lynches/etc. etc. etc. You are attempting to control town in a manner that towns don't normally cooperate with, and in a game where you can't ensure control. That is another issue.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 05 2013 15:06 GMT
#764
On April 06 2013 00:02 Oatsmaster wrote:
The Goal of the KILL DUDES WHO KILL TOWNIES POLICY LYNCH.

Is to STOP dudes from using KP.

The less KP there is, the better town is.

This is the point of the policy.

GEDDIT?
It is not that I, or we, don't get it. It is that you have unreasonable expecatations AND are overly complicating this. Go read the posts over. You are trying to do something that you cannot do (enforce policy lynches) in order to get people to do something they should be doing without a policy. For now, we should quit filling the thread.

That is not to say that Keirathi should not be filling the thread, for proposing this and then stepping back. You have made your thoughts clear, Keirathi has not.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 05 2013 15:08 GMT
#765
I do not think that the lists are correct. As I read this:


*note: There is a new rule in place. In the event that your first AND second numbers clash with another player you both go straight to the bottom of the order. So if 3 players picked [4][1], [4][1] and [4][7] the 2 players with [4][1] are bumped below the player that picked [4][7] along with the original bump. All in All the most unique number combination gets priority.
Any two players who pick the EXACT SAME NUMBERS are bumped further down than players who pick the same first number as another player but different second numbers.

Therefore, not everyone has to be 8s in there. You could have multiple people picking [9] to [20] as a first number, but different second numbers, and then the last folks picking the exact same two numbers. That way, the [9] to [20] pickers would be behind the [8] pickers, but in front of people who picked the exact same two numbers.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 05 2013 18:41 GMT
#805
On April 06 2013 03:39 Restraining Order wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 06 2013 03:22 Keirathi wrote:
On April 06 2013 03:03 Caller wrote:
On April 06 2013 03:00 Keirathi wrote:
On April 06 2013 02:57 Caller wrote:
Someone asked me why I FOS Keirathi a while back. I'll tell you why. Look at his post history. It's all posts of "being helpful" and "discussing the format" and "lightly criticizing one of these bullshit plans." All typical red-as-fuck mafia scumbaggery. It was shit like that that made me shoot GMarshal Night 0 (whom was a mafia roleblocker that time). And don't forget that since nobody has a role yet, there's absolutely no reason for anybody to be acting like a blue, because there aren't any blues! So if they're fishy and scummy and CLEARLY NOT BLUE, what does this mean? I"ll say it. Keirathi is fucking scum.

Rofl, okay Caller.

And how, exactly, is that different from what a townie would do? Are townies never helpful? Do townies not discuss the setup? Do townies not criticize bullshit plans?

they do, but they also scumhunt. you haven't even tried to scumhunt. Townies especially don't just pontificate about the setup and try to "win arguments" like your post history shows. due to laziness i'm would rather not bother dissecting it on a case by case basis for the proles, but i will if i have to.

But really, over half of the thread hasn't been scumhunting, so why me and not, say, Palmar? deconduo? VE? I can keep listing people, but this conversation is pointless.

And I would lynch all of those people.

Show nested quote +
On April 06 2013 03:27 gonzaw wrote:
You could say about Keirathi the same as many other players I think (Artanis, austin, ObviousOne some more perhaps) who are still "trying to help" yet not scumhunting in a meaningful way (if not to appear they contribute and stuff), if not just not scumhunting at all.

And I would lynch all of those people.
I think we're gonna need a bigger rope.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 05 2013 19:16 GMT
#824
The sn0_man stuff is nothing but WIFOM right now.

Scum picked [1][1] last game in a similar manner.
Therefore, town will be watching for that and it won't work again
Mafia know town will be watching, so maybe it will work because they'll assume mafia won't try it again

The pick just leads to that loop, even if he said he'd grab [1][1] pre-game. It's null.

Only two things stand out about him if you don't use the [1][1]. This post:
On April 05 2013 14:38 Sn0_Man wrote:
Was there a consensus as to what I was picking first? No i'm not doing a silly "deny" pick like janitor.

I'm not really in any hurry to share my pick but if we came to a solid consensus I'll pick it.

This thread is a lot longer than I expected during the draft phase though .

Show nested quote +
On April 05 2013 14:13 Oatsmaster wrote:
Town should deny KP roles.
AND NEVER FUCKING USE THEM.

more town people = better chance to win

Dont be a hero.

We should deny the perma KP roles.



I cant say I'm experienced with PYPs but I was under the impression that vigs still shoot their scumreads no?


and something that is sooper secret.

That post blows if it's from town because: (1) He deliberately avoids any discussion of the denial picks, not "tell me again why I should deny," not "I don't really want to deny," but just "I'm not doing a silly denial." I don't like the way he announces he's not going to participate in what is, as far as I can tell, a very pro-town thing to do with high picks. (2) Is similar. Instead of discussing any of the KP stuff, which was overdiscussed, I'll admit, he just drops that line. It adds NOTHING to the KP/vigi/policy conversation, except this half-ass remark when there have been legitimate reasons given why vigis shouldn't just be popping caps in every scumread they have.

It's not a shooting down of discussion, it's not participating in the discussion when it is ongoing, then dropping a thought that is absolutely not helpful AT ALL on the subject later.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 05 2013 19:16 GMT
#825
EBWOP: The [1][1] stuff feels like WIFOM*, not the full filter, given that post that I dislike.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 05 2013 19:26 GMT
#828
On April 06 2013 04:22 gonzaw wrote:
Read my "Wisdom" tags austin.
Scum have to always choose between risk and reward. WIFOM is a pattern for scum decision making that has set values for said risk/reward (risk: Town don't buy the WIFOM, reward: Town buy the WIFOM)
However, there are more risks and rewards in this process that's not just pure WIFOM.
For instance what I stated: Some scum picking [1,1] alongside scum Sno puts both of them lower in the list, "outs" the 2nd guy as scum since we'd now someone taking down a claimed [1,1] out of nowhere is scum. On top of that, the WIFOM bit can "fail" and people may still believe Sno is scum
There is little reward in doing that, other than maybe creating more WIFOM in favor of Sno.
The only other alternative for scum Sno is to lie and pick something else rather than [1,1]. That has less risks, although the "why did you lie from what you said in pre-game?" risk my be big enough for them not to try.
I've read your tags AND googled a number of phrases to see if you're roleplaying a particular character.

I don't agree that it's awful for scum to double pick [1][1]. If nothing else, when one player flips, I know I personally would go "Well, there's no way that scumbuddies BOTH decided to pick [1][1], ensuring that 2/5 of their team fell to the back of the draft." That's the gut reaction I'd have, and I think what most people would have (See: Comments about "Well, gotta be a bunch of towns in these [8] pickers"). I'd be more willing to assume that scum were hoping sn0 would balk and not choose [1][1], or at the very most were saccing one pick. I don't know how you'd see both as scummy if one player flips and had picked [1][1], just based on the picks.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 05 2013 19:35 GMT
#831
I don't mind the caller arguing with Keirathi.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 05 2013 19:42 GMT
#833
On April 06 2013 04:36 gonzaw wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 06 2013 04:26 austinmcc wrote:
I don't know how you'd see both as scummy if one player flips and had picked [1][1], just based on the picks.


If someone claims he'll pick [1,1], and you are town, you won't clash with him unless you DON'T want that specific player at #1, sacrificing your chance at getting higher in the list.
Why would you do this out of nowhere though? You wouldn't, you'd either discuss it, post in the thread about it (if you just don't care), or think that guy is scum and thus sacrifice your picking chance to do so
Remember, townies get the chance to get THE ROLE OF THEIR DREAMS, and they always play alone, so they need a very very higher incentive to sacrifice their draft spot. Scum play with plans and get "community roles". They don't care if scum X gets a high spot if they can get scum Y to get a high spot. They don't care if scum X gets a specific role if they can get Y to get it. They play as a team, thus they wouldn't care about sacrificing their spots to take out a [1,1] guy.
Town would ("sane" town at least ).

Therefore, if someone just picks [1,1] out of nowhere even if someone else claimed so to is likely scum, unless he does the stuff a townie would obviously do in that scenario (which didn't happen by the time the draft phase was over).
Or it's a townie thinking, "Don't want to let this happen again, but I'm gonna look like a noob if I pick vig to shoot this guy and hit town."

I just don't see the [1][1] bit as anything.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 05 2013 19:55 GMT
#838
On April 06 2013 04:45 Keirathi wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 06 2013 04:35 austinmcc wrote:
I don't mind the caller arguing with Keirathi.

Do you think he has a point? Do you think I am scum?
I do think he has some points. I think you're worth watching, but more for non-caller reasons.

This post:
On April 05 2013 15:26 Keirathi wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 05 2013 15:24 Oatsmaster wrote:
If someone from town does pick this, you will 100% be held accountable for your shots. If you're going to use it, you better be DAMN sure.


I dont see how mafia cant abuse this liberty.
They tunnel a guy, then nuke him. And we dont lynch him

Policy regarding nukes, if you launch one, you are scum bro.

Maybe an addendum:

If you launch one, and you hit town, then you get lynched no questions asked.

Still doesn't make me feel the happy-haps. I disagree with you when you say that you weren't the guy who suggest lynching folks who hit town.

Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 05 2013 20:58 GMT
#842
On April 06 2013 05:07 Keirathi wrote:
And an aside:

It was a policy to police ONE role (well maybe 2...depends on how Russia works). A role with which no townie SHOULD be shooting anyways.

Why are you so adamantly against that? It doesn't make sense, unless you're posturing to protect yourself/someone who is planning to pick America.
In some ways it's a "If you give a mouse a cookie" scenario.

If you suggest lynching townies who shoot townies with nukes, then you kind of have to suggest lynching townies who shoot townies with dayvig powers. If you suggest lynching daynukers and dayvigs, you should probably also be lynching any night vigs who claim their shots and hit townies. You're suggesting, at the very least, lynching SOME vigis who hit townies, if not all.

There are a boatload of posts from earlier on why I think that/that policy is a bad idea. MZ had some too. I'm fine saying "townies shouldn't be shooting." See those posts. I'm fine if decon or someone jokingly/seriously says "I'm taking KP roles and blasting someone in the face every day no matter what anyone says." Well, not fine, but I honestly wouldn't find that scummy.

I find the half-position that I get from your post, that townies maybe shouldn't shoot, but maybe they should, except if they do and hit town they'll get lynched. You're implicitly saying, "Townies, you guys should shoot, but only hit scum, kkk." Which is unrealistic to expect, a poor plan for KP roles imo, and just generally not what I'd expect from you.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 06 2013 01:09 GMT
#910
RO, the proper response to that is not lol. At the very least, I'd be interested in hearing why you want to lynch a number of people who you also seem to think are town based on picks.


VE, dawn hits. A genie appears in front of you and says you can have three wishes IF you answer the following questions.

Which vet that doesn't care about pre-D1 is most like his townself?
If RO gets teleported out of the game in the middle of D1, who would you lynch instead?
Which ocean is best ocean?

How do you answer the genie's questions?
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 06 2013 01:18 GMT
#916
On April 06 2013 10:15 Restraining Order wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 06 2013 10:09 austinmcc wrote:
RO, the proper response to that is not lol. At the very least, I'd be interested in hearing why you want to lynch a number of people who you also seem to think are town based on picks.

More and more people turned out to have picked 8, and more and more of them turned out to look mafia-ish.
Suggesting that it's very possible mafia deliberatly picked people into 8. So i decided to scrap that idea and just not think about it anymore.
Can you give me a reason why multiple mafioso would all pick the same starting number beyond mindfuckery?
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 06 2013 01:24 GMT
#923
On April 06 2013 10:19 Restraining Order wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 06 2013 10:18 austinmcc wrote:
On April 06 2013 10:15 Restraining Order wrote:
On April 06 2013 10:09 austinmcc wrote:
RO, the proper response to that is not lol. At the very least, I'd be interested in hearing why you want to lynch a number of people who you also seem to think are town based on picks.

More and more people turned out to have picked 8, and more and more of them turned out to look mafia-ish.
Suggesting that it's very possible mafia deliberatly picked people into 8. So i decided to scrap that idea and just not think about it anymore.
Can you give me a reason why multiple mafioso would all pick the same starting number beyond mindfuckery?

Why go beyond mindfuckery?

Mindfuckery is kind of what mafia do...
Because "mindfuckery" is not the genesis of most mafia strategies. You seem to be suggesting that more than half the mafia team would pick [8] as a starting number. 2 seems low for what you're suggesting, or to be tossing out your thought that most of those players are town.

If you're telling me a bunch of mafia all picked the same starting number, and all picked EIGHT, rather than [1]-[7] and being further up the multiple first pick list, then the ONLY reason I can come up with is mindfuckery, because otherwise it doesn't make any sense.

And if it was mafia mindfuckery, they'd have brought it up. It doesn't do you much good to all pick [8] and then not go "HAI GAIZ BUNCHA EIGHTS, CAN'T BE MORE THAN ONE MAFIA IN THEM EIGHTS, NOPE NOPE NOPE." Now you're layering on the mindfuckery, and it's far more unlikely that such a play is happening than a bunch of people just picking [8].

So I don't think you can say it's mindfuckery. If it were, it's multiple levels deep, and that's not the right assumption. If you're town, you've tossed out the wrong assumption.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 06 2013 01:37 GMT
#932
On April 06 2013 10:29 Restraining Order wrote:
The early picks are a place of spotlight. It absolutely makes sense to avoid it.
2-3 people picking 8 could be done under the assumption that few townies would also do so, making it likely for ~half the mafia-team to land in the middle of draft picks - high enough to get decent roles, low enough to avoid spotlight.

It is kind of concerning you try to dismiss it so much.
Must be because you also picked 8.
Are you a smurf or did you just start playing on TL in LX?
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 06 2013 01:59 GMT
#945
On April 06 2013 10:54 raynpelikoneet wrote:
I think you are being stupid without saying anything.
I think he's providing a decent service to town for now, regardless of his alignment.

Anyone know if RO is a smurf or new?
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 06 2013 02:04 GMT
#949
On April 06 2013 11:03 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 06 2013 10:59 austinmcc wrote:
On April 06 2013 10:54 raynpelikoneet wrote:
I think you are being stupid without saying anything.
I think he's providing a decent service to town for now, regardless of his alignment.

Anyone know if RO is a smurf or new?

Huh. How exactly is BM doing ANYTHING that helps town?
Point it out to me.
I'll point it out postgame if you'd like. For now I'm not going to.

VE, genie questions!
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 06 2013 16:21 GMT
#1072
On April 06 2013 13:28 Mocsta wrote:
What I find curious about the above, is when we start discussing Geript and you comment the below:

Show nested quote +
On April 06 2013 09:13 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
I had you as weak town before our exchange, and the post you made questioned that read, so I questioned you. At first I thought it made you null again, but rereading it I realized that your wishy-washy post wouldn't make sense if Geript is scum, because he created an easy way for you to defend him which you denied. Since I believe Geript to be scum that makes you fairly town.
Show nested quote +
On April 06 2013 09:16 Mocsta wrote:
Lol.. and if he is town.. what then?
Show nested quote +
On April 06 2013 09:17 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
Then you'd be null again.


I find this interchange ironic, as you flip flop regarding my alignment much to the same manner Geript does.
This part of mocsta's case/post on artanis is straight up wrong, no?

Artanis identifies what his read was at multiple points, and WHY it changed. He does so vaguely, "the post you made," "your wishy-washy post," etc. but he still presents a read and how/why it changes over time. I don't see how "I think you're town, but you'd be null if this happened" is wishy-washy.

Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 06 2013 18:21 GMT
#1092
On April 07 2013 01:23 Restraining Order wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 07 2013 01:21 austinmcc wrote:
On April 06 2013 13:28 Mocsta wrote:
What I find curious about the above, is when we start discussing Geript and you comment the below:

On April 06 2013 09:13 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
I had you as weak town before our exchange, and the post you made questioned that read, so I questioned you. At first I thought it made you null again, but rereading it I realized that your wishy-washy post wouldn't make sense if Geript is scum, because he created an easy way for you to defend him which you denied. Since I believe Geript to be scum that makes you fairly town.
On April 06 2013 09:16 Mocsta wrote:
Lol.. and if he is town.. what then?
On April 06 2013 09:17 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
Then you'd be null again.


I find this interchange ironic, as you flip flop regarding my alignment much to the same manner Geript does.
This part of mocsta's case/post on artanis is straight up wrong, no?

Artanis identifies what his read was at multiple points, and WHY it changed. He does so vaguely, "the post you made," "your wishy-washy post," etc. but he still presents a read and how/why it changes over time. I don't see how "I think you're town, but you'd be null if this happened" is wishy-washy.


What are you trying to achieve with this post?
I wrote out an answer and then realized the real answer is "not much." Mostly marking it for later so I don't forget, and just bringing it up. I disagree with some of the reads being posted over the last day, but this bit of mocsta's post stuck out as being something that I disagreed with not just because I read someone differently, but because I think it's actively WRONG to paint Artanis's posts that way. At the time, was doing nothing more than pointing it out.
I guess
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 06 2013 22:06 GMT
#1135
I don't see what the big deal is about trying to get all the numbers squared away.

If nobody lies, then everyone is out the 5 seconds it took them to write out what their numbers were again. If somebody lies, well then it's more than worth it. Based on what I saw in past PYP games, pick order and roles aren't all, but they help inform reads and later in the game help to "catch" folks who are outed just based on role/usage/setup/etc.

If anyone is trying to find 5 scum based purely on the numbers, then yeah, it's a waste. But getting a full and definite list isn't bad for town. Scum doesn't gain anything from knowing who picked what number.

Still [8][4]
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 07 2013 02:43 GMT
#1200
I'm actually really digging that Shelvocke read. Yes, most of the posts are worthless, but the VE vote feels weak as well.

On April 06 2013 05:10 Shelvocke wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 06 2013 00:56 VisceraEyes wrote:
I just woke up and I have a fucking crazy idea.

What if everyone who picks KP roles promises not to use them? I was looking at the role list and it seems that scum KP is fixed at 1? So it seems like scum will be focusing on trying to increase their KP (in a game this size).

What if we all just don't use KP roles and lynch the fucking piss out of anyone who does? I mean obviously scum aren't going to claim if/when they do, but if we can get townies into the KP roles this would be a really good way to try and limit mafia KP.


^Mafia

He's either not reading the thread at all or he's trying to fake a contribution as the idea that he brings up is one that has been repeated by a bunch of other players and is crap anyway. Additionally, VisceraEyes is known for taking ridiculous shots himself and doing whatever he feels like as town so it's very out of character for him to suggest that these types of players should be auto-lynched.
VE isn't reading/is faking a contribution. This can be scummy, but at this point in the game there are A LOT of players who fit that criteria. The second bit, VE being...hypocritical because he often is ridiculous and is suggesting people not be ridiculous is just dumb. I'm often an idiot. I don't suggest other people are. Some players are confusing/lurky, they don't suggest that other people be confusing/lurky. Heck, the VE personality in Personality 2 just poked at VE's claiming, which, if anything, should reinforce the idea that VE might not recommend to others that they play how he has in certain past games.

Half that two sentence read is just...badwrong. The other half is true of a number of players, with no reason given why VE is singled out.


And ze vote?
On April 07 2013 05:55 Shelvocke wrote:
If VE isn't going to play, we kill him. He hasn't done anything to suggest that he is town and is avoiding discussing anything of value.

##Vote VisceraEyes

strongandbig also looks very likely to be mafia. In particular the fact that he considered the number picking strategy to be extremely important but then failed to provide any original thoughts is very suspect. He also seemed very concerned in his pregame posts about roles but didn't provide any insight about them after the game started.
24 hours later. Not important because he didn't vote earlier, he couldn't, but important because discussion of VE has popped up here and there throughout the thread during those 24 hours. Shelvocke, who has really only called out VE at this point (apart from asking gonzaw if his secret scumread was snb (which he now adds to)), doesn't seem to care about anything that's been posted about/by VE during those 24 hours. Note that he HAS followed up on snb, looks to have reread snb before making that post. But his vote post on VE has more meat, more indication that Shelvocke is scumhunting, when he brings up snb, not VE, who he is actually voting for.

Do not like.

##Vote: Shelvocke
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 07 2013 02:46 GMT
#1201
On April 07 2013 11:29 yamato77 wrote:
I wanna kill Palmar.

##Vote Palmar

Anyone who disagrees with me is scum.
Anyone who doesn't want to kill Palmar is scum? Or anyone who disagrees that YOU want to kill Palmar is scum? I are confused.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 07 2013 02:57 GMT
#1203
Then your statement is a lie.

The only real thing I've seen brought up about Palmar is his post count being higher than in previous PYP games. That was an interested find, but so many have been throwaway complaint posts that I don't even know they count for anything. Why do you want him to be the D1 lynch?
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 07 2013 03:22 GMT
#1210
On April 07 2013 12:15 yamato77 wrote:
Does town Palmar try to look involved at all if he doesn't care about the game?
Things to look into before voting him on that basis!

Especially whether he was active in pre-games of past PYPs!
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 07 2013 03:24 GMT
#1211
With the addendum that I think his alignment is a better discussion on a later day, regardless of however he acted in past PYP pregames if he played em.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 07 2013 17:01 GMT
#1362
Vivax is missing the point, but he's not new and I wouldn't attribute that post to him being scummy. Yes, it shows that he's not following his read throughout the thread there, but it's not like scumVivax should be popping into thread and dropping that question without reading through to see what's happened.


gonzaw, thoughts on shelvocke?
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 07 2013 17:37 GMT
#1368
On April 08 2013 02:31 Vivax wrote:
Austin I'm not missing the point at all. Decon is a good boy, he can answer for himself thanks.
Not answering for decon. Your play has been delightfully less disruptive this game compared to the last few I've played with you as either alignment. I both want to keep it that way AND want to avoid as much as possible the recently-inevitable point at which you become a scumread for half the thread but never quite enough to lynch you and then discussion about lynching you clogs up real discussion every day. I'd rather put that off, especially when we have a number of other candidates today.

Posts like this from you
On April 08 2013 01:28 Vivax wrote:
Deconduo I have a question.

Since you have S & B as scumread, why did you look so skeptical towards my question? Would expect you to pop in and say: "Yeah I think he's totes scum too, vote him cause bsbsbsb, go read my case and shit, you're on the right track mate".

Instead you didn't seem to happy about someone actually liking your own scumread, and even would have FOUND IT SCUMMY if I had been trying to start a bandwagon on him.

What gives?

show that you DID miss the point, at least what I pick up as the point of decon's post. It doesn't matter that he agrees with you on snb, and you know full well that sometimes, someone agreeing with you on a read but in a way you don't like may indicate that they are scum and your read is town and scum sees a good opportunity to move in on building a scumread/causing a mislynch. So the fact you both have snb as scummy shouldn't mean you don't get questioned at all. At least to some extent, you missed that bit, based on how I read your posts.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 07 2013 19:12 GMT
#1377
On April 08 2013 03:41 gonzaw wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 08 2013 02:01 austinmcc wrote:
Vivax is missing the point, but he's not new and I wouldn't attribute that post to him being scummy. Yes, it shows that he's not following his read throughout the thread there, but it's not like scumVivax should be popping into thread and dropping that question without reading through to see what's happened.


gonzaw, thoughts on shelvocke?


I'm null on Shevlocke. I had found some stuff I found a little suspicious of him at first (like his first post I believe), and I guess some stuff others say makes sense about him (like how he pushed VE).
But nothing convinces me for a D1 lynch.

He hasn't been around for much either, which is not good for him, but it isn't good for me to get a better read on him either.

Now I'd like you to return the favor, which is....you know....commenting on the gigantic case I made.
Was waiting on your response, wanted to see if you picked up on something.


I disagree with your ultimate setup discussion conclusion.
  • Artanis repeatedly comments on his RNG plan, but does NOT push it hard. Agree with you there
  • Artanis's RNG plan is, imo, anti-scum. Scum has the advantage of planning out numbers/roles. To the extent that town crafts a pro-town plan, scum still has an advantage in planning out numbers/roles with relation to town's plan. RNG is the single best way to limit scum's pre-game advantage imo. It creates a plan for town, but limits scum's ability to make scummy plans around the town plan.
  • Therefore, the setup talk comes out in favor of town-artanis to me. He is weakly pushing a plan, agree. But I believe that the plan he lightly pushed is pro-town. Given the choice of "lightly pushing a pro-town plan" meaning he's scum and doesn't want to really push it or he's town and just isn't super pushy/involved, I will take the latter. Scum had no need to bring up a fresh plan, nobody has tried to defend him based on this, so for now...I like the setup discussion as town.


We are both wordy, but I don't see the complaints as much and I don't see the need for them to warrant much comment. At the END of your complaint section, I do like you mentioning "cramming all sorts of things into a single post." I have not known scum to do that, tbh, but I can't really fight your conclusion there because I don't have a ledger of all the crammed-together posts and whether they came from scum to town. I know that, when I'm town, I often try to avoid commenting on some things, try to push a few small lines of thought and not get tripped up, but that may be because of my inexperience and it might not be a normal scum thought process. Whatever. Still got nothing pointing me to scumtanis from your case.

The geript case is poopy as I look back over it. It's either just not something I agree with or slightly scummy, but it's friggin pregame and early. You've also noted that you were watching artanis before he made this post. That makes it seem like you may be playing up the geript case as an indicator of scumtanis, because you were already scummy on artanis, and I dislike that. Just...I agree that artanis's geript case is not strong like ox, but I'm still not over to scummy on him (this is running commentary on just your case, if I'm taking each point and seeing how it sways me).

The backing off point is the first thing that I can see in a scummy light. The weaker the case, the easier to back off, but yeah, he's put a lot of effort into this and he backs off with the not liking your posts comment. I've done that myself as town, when I start to realize a scumread is feeling more town, you've looked at these posts as scummy for a while and it's hard to undo that even once you find someone to be townie, but I can also see the scum point of view there. I will agree that it's a half-assed way to back off.

***EVERYONE IGNORING ARTANIS*** This is why I asked you about Shelvocke. You know who's been ignored? Shelvocke. You know who Meapak ALSO commented on, then I commented on and voted, but has had basically NO discussion today about him? Shelvocke. I wanted to see if you picked up on that, because I read your point here and immediately went "Agree that this can indicate scum" and then "Oh right, this also applies to Shelvocke."

Overall, I like the ignoring point and think it CAN point towards scum. The backing off point is fine, and I think it CAN point to scum. Some of the points I'm meh on, and the RNG setup discussion in the beginning is something I find townie.



If I just filter Artanis away from your specific points, I see a couple things:

His aggression is all confined to like...an hour and a half of activity following his geript case/vote/post. He's gone for 11 hours or whatever, comes back, first thing he does is apparently re-read Geript, what has happened in relation to Geript in the meantime, and respond that he is reconsidering. I actually REALLY like that response. If Artanis is scum I don't see reason for the return to thread to be anything other than pushing a little more, creating a little more chaos, something, rather than just dropping your read. We're not even in the voting phase yet, there's no REAL reason to be changing your reads around if mafia, you're still just sort of dicking around, chatting in scum QT, whatever, and reading through your scumread's response to your stuff, changing your mind, and having that be the FIRST thing you do on return to the thread feels town to me. Thoughts on that?


There is my response. I don't want to lynch Artanis. I DO want to chat a little more about Shelvocke, especially with regard to the lack of commentary/votes/whatnot on him and your finding that scummy about Artanis.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 07 2013 19:44 GMT
#1382
On April 08 2013 04:37 strongandbig wrote:
okay hey austin so i still think that post where shelvocke votes for VE is like super insufficient, apparently his case was "VE is usually rash with KP but he's telling people to be rash with KP therefore he must be scum"?

he hasn't said much about much else except for a town read on ryan that doesn't make much sense but that's fine

hmmmmm, how about this as a point: he's been around a decent amount and posted a decent amount, but his posting has been very narrowly focused and he hasn't said anything about anything except for his current "focus" - first his focus was "make a case on VE" for several posts, and then he changed over and his next several posts were focused on "have a town read on ryan" - seems kind of like a scum who is very carefully parceling out his "positions" and making sure to milk each of them for posts and attention without actually doing very much, or as someone said in red mini mafia, like he's scum trying to play a "clean" game?

idk, something still feels weird about him to me
It's insufficient but so are a number of the votes this game. The thing that I like least about the vote post is that he

(1) votes VE, because VE "isn't going to play" and "hasn't done anything to suggest that he is town"

and

(2) Says you look very likely to be mafia because you didn't provide thoughts on what seemed to be an important subject to you and had a dissonance between your pre-game/game posting.

The vote post, in all honestly, feels like he has better reasons to be scummy on you, but is voting VE anyway, and it makes it feel like he's not really reading/thinking/scumhunting. His scumhunting turns you up, but he votes VE, who hasn't done anything to suggest that he is town.

For reference: + Show Spoiler +
On April 07 2013 05:55 Shelvocke wrote:
If VE isn't going to play, we kill him. He hasn't done anything to suggest that he is town and is avoiding discussing anything of value.

##Vote VisceraEyes

strongandbig also looks very likely to be mafia. In particular the fact that he considered the number picking strategy to be extremely important but then failed to provide any original thoughts is very suspect. He also seemed very concerned in his pregame posts about roles but didn't provide any insight about them after the game started.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 07 2013 20:04 GMT
#1393
On April 08 2013 04:41 gonzaw wrote:
People HAVE been talking about Shevlocke. Meapak, you, and some others, ever since D1 started.

Scum can "push" any pro-town setup plan they want if they know it will never be implemented. It's also about roles so if implementing that plan gives them enormous town cred why not do it?
He didn't push it hard either so that's moot, he just proposed it, and mentioned it in passing in those "fluffy posts" here and there.

I won't really comment on Artanis "backing off". It did feel a little off to me if he was scum, but I can't take that as sole evidence he's town or some shit.
In MTG 2 Aperture did some stuff that made me back off my scum read on him (there was some stuff that made me and Prome go "Yeah this guy town", like him PMing us out of the game to tell us one of our jokes was funny or something like that)
Scum are totally able to do stuff that makes it feel "off" they are scum.
Reading his whole play though, it makes me think I should ignore that.

I don't mind shevlocke being a lynch candidate or being discussed (hopefully he shows up and does something as well), but I have no reason to lynch him over Artanis today.

I also wish someone vigs snoman and/or S&B tonight. This shit is getting ridiculous in terms of activity/caring about the game.
I'd prefer sno man dying before S&B though, for reasons previously stated.

I also want to know what Obvious concluded about Artanis when he checked his game history. He hasn't concluded anything yet
After Meapak posts on Shelvocke, here is a summary of talk about shelvocke.
  • I like the read and vote: + Show Spoiler +
    On April 07 2013 11:43 austinmcc wrote:
    I'm actually really digging that Shelvocke read. Yes, most of the posts are worthless, but the VE vote feels weak as well.

    Show nested quote +
    On April 06 2013 05:10 Shelvocke wrote:
    On April 06 2013 00:56 VisceraEyes wrote:
    I just woke up and I have a fucking crazy idea.

    What if everyone who picks KP roles promises not to use them? I was looking at the role list and it seems that scum KP is fixed at 1? So it seems like scum will be focusing on trying to increase their KP (in a game this size).

    What if we all just don't use KP roles and lynch the fucking piss out of anyone who does? I mean obviously scum aren't going to claim if/when they do, but if we can get townies into the KP roles this would be a really good way to try and limit mafia KP.


    ^Mafia

    He's either not reading the thread at all or he's trying to fake a contribution as the idea that he brings up is one that has been repeated by a bunch of other players and is crap anyway. Additionally, VisceraEyes is known for taking ridiculous shots himself and doing whatever he feels like as town so it's very out of character for him to suggest that these types of players should be auto-lynched.
    VE isn't reading/is faking a contribution. This can be scummy, but at this point in the game there are A LOT of players who fit that criteria. The second bit, VE being...hypocritical because he often is ridiculous and is suggesting people not be ridiculous is just dumb. I'm often an idiot. I don't suggest other people are. Some players are confusing/lurky, they don't suggest that other people be confusing/lurky. Heck, the VE personality in Personality 2 just poked at VE's claiming, which, if anything, should reinforce the idea that VE might not recommend to others that they play how he has in certain past games.

    Half that two sentence read is just...badwrong. The other half is true of a number of players, with no reason given why VE is singled out.


    And ze vote?
    Show nested quote +
    On April 07 2013 05:55 Shelvocke wrote:
    If VE isn't going to play, we kill him. He hasn't done anything to suggest that he is town and is avoiding discussing anything of value.

    ##Vote VisceraEyes

    strongandbig also looks very likely to be mafia. In particular the fact that he considered the number picking strategy to be extremely important but then failed to provide any original thoughts is very suspect. He also seemed very concerned in his pregame posts about roles but didn't provide any insight about them after the game started.
    24 hours later. Not important because he didn't vote earlier, he couldn't, but important because discussion of VE has popped up here and there throughout the thread during those 24 hours. Shelvocke, who has really only called out VE at this point (apart from asking gonzaw if his secret scumread was snb (which he now adds to)), doesn't seem to care about anything that's been posted about/by VE during those 24 hours. Note that he HAS followed up on snb, looks to have reread snb before making that post. But his vote post on VE has more meat, more indication that Shelvocke is scumhunting, when he brings up snb, not VE, who he is actually voting for.

    Do not like.

    ##Vote: Shelvocke
  • Shelvocke responds partially: + Show Spoiler +
    On April 07 2013 14:56 Shelvocke wrote:
    Show nested quote +
    On April 07 2013 11:43 austinmcc wrote:
    I'm actually really digging that Shelvocke read. Yes, most of the posts are worthless, but the VE vote feels weak as well.

    On April 06 2013 05:10 Shelvocke wrote:
    On April 06 2013 00:56 VisceraEyes wrote:
    I just woke up and I have a fucking crazy idea.

    What if everyone who picks KP roles promises not to use them? I was looking at the role list and it seems that scum KP is fixed at 1? So it seems like scum will be focusing on trying to increase their KP (in a game this size).

    What if we all just don't use KP roles and lynch the fucking piss out of anyone who does? I mean obviously scum aren't going to claim if/when they do, but if we can get townies into the KP roles this would be a really good way to try and limit mafia KP.


    ^Mafia

    He's either not reading the thread at all or he's trying to fake a contribution as the idea that he brings up is one that has been repeated by a bunch of other players and is crap anyway. Additionally, VisceraEyes is known for taking ridiculous shots himself and doing whatever he feels like as town so it's very out of character for him to suggest that these types of players should be auto-lynched.
    VE isn't reading/is faking a contribution. This can be scummy, but at this point in the game there are A LOT of players who fit that criteria. The second bit, VE being...hypocritical because he often is ridiculous and is suggesting people not be ridiculous is just dumb. I'm often an idiot. I don't suggest other people are. Some players are confusing/lurky, they don't suggest that other people be confusing/lurky. Heck, the VE personality in Personality 2 just poked at VE's claiming, which, if anything, should reinforce the idea that VE might not recommend to others that they play how he has in certain past games.

    Half that two sentence read is just...badwrong. The other half is true of a number of players, with no reason given why VE is singled out.


    It's not about VE not recommending how he plays to others. I would understand if he just said the "hold off on kp". It's about the fact that he takes an aspect of play that is much more associated with town players (being rash with KP) and something that he does himself so frequently and says that these players should be auto-lynched. He should be well aware that town players are the ones who fall into stuff like that after being lynched himself so much for things like that. I don't see any town motivations behind his attitude there.

    (I say half because he does not address the post where he votes VE and finds SnB scummy)
  • Shelvocke comments on rayn with Keirathi/Mocsta. They do not address Shelvocke as Shelvocke at all, only as him being someone interested in rayn: + Show Spoiler +
    On April 07 2013 15:33 Shelvocke wrote:
    Show nested quote +
    On April 07 2013 15:00 Keirathi wrote:
    On April 07 2013 14:59 Shelvocke wrote:
    Does anyone have a mafia game for rayn? Mocsta, I'm not whoever you think I am.

    http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=402424&user=27448&currentpage=All


    I don't really think rayn is mafia. His play does look different from those town quotes you had, but it doesn't look like that mafia game either. The only part of that game where he just suddenly jumps is the part where he votes for Krefla and even then he has a reason because Krefla just came in right before the deadline. The fact that he seems a lot more impulsive in this game than he has been before is something that points to him being town. I feel he would be a lot more careful and safe as mafia. The plan switch looks kind of strange, but his overall attitude makes him more likely town.
    On April 07 2013 15:35 Mocsta wrote:
    Show nested quote +
    On April 07 2013 15:33 Shelvocke wrote:
    On April 07 2013 15:00 Keirathi wrote:
    On April 07 2013 14:59 Shelvocke wrote:
    Does anyone have a mafia game for rayn? Mocsta, I'm not whoever you think I am.

    http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=402424&user=27448&currentpage=All


    I don't really think rayn is mafia. His play does look different from those town quotes you had, but it doesn't look like that mafia game either. The only part of that game where he just suddenly jumps is the part where he votes for Krefla and even then he has a reason because Krefla just came in right before the deadline. The fact that he seems a lot more impulsive in this game than he has been before is something that points to him being town. I feel he would be a lot more careful and safe as mafia. The plan switch looks kind of strange, but his overall attitude makes him more likely town.

    More impulsive as instigator or in reaction to others?
    On April 07 2013 15:39 Shelvocke wrote:
    What do you mean? He seems to jump around based on what's going on in the thread.
    On April 07 2013 15:44 Mocsta wrote:
    Show nested quote +
    On April 07 2013 15:39 Shelvocke wrote:
    What do you mean? He seems to jump around based on what's going on in the thread.

    Thank you. so impulsive is then defined as: in response to others; rather than in creating new ideas.

    I dont see what is townie about that. Scum can be equally impulsive in regards to thread sentiment.

    However, I dont particularly care about the action itself:

    do you think his motives for "jumping around" is founded upon processing new information to update the conclusion?
    On April 07 2013 15:50 Keirathi wrote:
    Show nested quote +
    On April 07 2013 15:33 Shelvocke wrote:
    On April 07 2013 15:00 Keirathi wrote:
    On April 07 2013 14:59 Shelvocke wrote:
    Does anyone have a mafia game for rayn? Mocsta, I'm not whoever you think I am.

    http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=402424&user=27448&currentpage=All


    I don't really think rayn is mafia. His play does look different from those town quotes you had, but it doesn't look like that mafia game either. The only part of that game where he just suddenly jumps is the part where he votes for Krefla and even then he has a reason because Krefla just came in right before the deadline. The fact that he seems a lot more impulsive in this game than he has been before is something that points to him being town. I feel he would be a lot more careful and safe as mafia. The plan switch looks kind of strange, but his overall attitude makes him more likely town.

    I've thought about it from that angle as well. But I run into a problem:

    Show nested quote +
    On March 30 2013 10:24 raynpelikoneet wrote:
    On March 30 2013 10:21 marvellosity wrote:
    Apparently rayn is mafia in XXXIX

    this makes me think considerably worse of him here (sorry man)

    see you all tomorrow

    wow, a meta case on me. I play the same as town or mafia, believe or not, jsut that my intentions are different. But go on and expand this, you have been willing to do this a while anyways. I'm willing to hear that.

    Show nested quote +
    On April 01 2013 05:33 raynpelikoneet wrote:
    On April 01 2013 03:57 Keirathi wrote:
    On April 01 2013 03:44 raynpelikoneet wrote:
    I'm feeling a bit better about Rayn now that he's decided to talk more about his role. His shots make me want to yell at him though, but I'm not sure if I want to lynch him for it yet.

    You srsly think there is a possibility that i am scum and shot my teammate?

    To be fair, I think there is a *possibility* that you did. However, I don't find it *likely* that you did.

    But Acro was dead either way. If you are scum, you might as well shoot him and get town cred to ride to the easy win. The question really comes down to "Does scum rayn have the balls to pull it off?"

    I can tell you that scum!rayn would have the balls to do stuff like that. Don't you think it would be a bit OP for mafia to have an incredibly powerful vote-rigger (given that Palmar had the double lynch power) and a multi-shot anonymous vigi?


    Those are some more quotes from Red Team. Which leads me to believe that rayn is incredibly confident in his own scum play, and therefore wouldn't necessarily play careful or safe and that he would take risks that helped him win.

    I dunno though. I'll think about it some more, and see what he has to say.

    For now, I'm going to sleep though. G'nite!
    On April 07 2013 15:52 Shelvocke wrote:
    Show nested quote +
    On April 07 2013 15:44 Mocsta wrote:
    On April 07 2013 15:39 Shelvocke wrote:
    What do you mean? He seems to jump around based on what's going on in the thread.

    Thank you. so impulsive is then defined as: in response to others; rather than in creating new ideas.

    I dont see what is townie about that. Scum can be equally impulsive in regards to thread sentiment.

    However, I dont particularly care about the action itself:

    do you think his motives for "jumping around" is founded upon processing new information to update the conclusion?


    I get what you're saying, but I've never seen a new mafia player be so crazy. I don't really understand the reasons for some of the stuff he does but it seems to me that he sees one post and then just makes up his mind based on that. Usually new mafia are much more safe and concerned about their appearance. It's possible he's some kind of mafia gosu but frankly that's not the impression I get from him.
    On April 07 2013 15:58 Mocsta wrote:
    Show nested quote +
    On April 07 2013 15:52 Shelvocke wrote:
    On April 07 2013 15:44 Mocsta wrote:
    On April 07 2013 15:39 Shelvocke wrote:
    What do you mean? He seems to jump around based on what's going on in the thread.

    Thank you. so impulsive is then defined as: in response to others; rather than in creating new ideas.

    I dont see what is townie about that. Scum can be equally impulsive in regards to thread sentiment.

    However, I dont particularly care about the action itself:

    do you think his motives for "jumping around" is founded upon processing new information to update the conclusion?


    I get what you're saying, but I've never seen a new mafia player be so crazy. I don't really understand the reasons for some of the stuff he does but it seems to me that he sees one post and then just makes up his mind based on that. Usually new mafia are much more safe and concerned about their appearance. It's possible he's some kind of mafia gosu but frankly that's not the impression I get from him.

    I understand what you are saying.

    But keep in mind, he is a spammy player at heart. This implies he is aggressive/carefree/impulsive/confident in general, and thus; the typical mafia "too scared to post" heuristic, does not apply.

    I was not scared to post in my first game as scum; in fact, I tried to take control of town.
    Further, his scum game (whilst in a newbie) was still relatively spammy. So it really does come back down to motives for flipflopping.
  • Meapak asks for more comment on shevlocke, noting that he likes the Artanis case more but shevlocke a good second candidate + Show Spoiler +
    On April 08 2013 01:18 Meapak_Ziphh wrote:
    Gonzaw <3 I had forgotten about Artanis/hadn't felt like I had enough evidence to go after him. That part that really rang a bell for me was that He's made a few posts that are like three paragraphs long so they look like a solid post but in fact don't say anything... my dear old friend CWC (contributing without contributing) doing work.

    I'd like more people to comment on my shevlocke case which, while I feel it is weaker than the artanis case, is my number two suspect.

    I also feel that vivax is scummy, however he's like number three on my list.

    Two people I want opinions on are Strongandbig and sharrant. Not sure what to make of either of them atm.


That's it. I add my thoughts. Meapak asks for comment once. Shelvocke responds to part of my post on him, but that's the sum total of his response to things. Keirathi and Mocsta speak WITH shelvocke about rayn, but aren't analysing shelvocke as a player and shelvocke is dealing with the rayn bits and then poofs away again.

So no, gonzaw, and no anyone else who may think that there has been discussion on this. There has NOT been any discussion on Shelvocke. There were reads posted, votes made, and NOBODY commented. He didn't fully address the concerns. It FEELS like there's been discussion on him, but in actuality that entirely untrue and he deserves attention, deserves discussion [and deserves votes].

Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 07 2013 20:17 GMT
#1401
On April 08 2013 05:11 Meapak_Ziphh wrote:
@austin: you and gonzaw both bring up good points that certain people have cases made about them and then the thread seems to forget or gloss over them. Regardless of who gets lynched today, I think we really need to remember the other suspects from today and address them tomorrow because you're right, there has not been a lot of discussion about people who I feel are very good lynch options.
You have had a lot of posts I've liked, and we have agreed on a couple things this game that make me feel good about you.

But this post in particular feels weak. You earlier wanted to lynch artanis based on gonzaw's case, with shelvocke as a second choice based on your case and perhaps some of what I brought up. Now you go buddy-mode and say that there are good points being made about "people have cases made about them" that get forgotten, when the "people" at issue are your top and second lynch candidate allegedly.

That seems...very uninvested in your reads?
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 07 2013 20:19 GMT
#1402
On April 08 2013 05:16 gonzaw wrote:
Hmm, one quick question guys (please answer):

Are you content with the way this D1 is going? As in, how discussion in general is going, how scumhunting is going, how pressure on players is going, how consolidation is going, etc? How players are part of thread/discussions, etc?

I personally don't like it that much.
Not content atm, but not in a way that I think necessitates role usage in order to bring everyone to attention, which may or may not be what you're hinting at.

I'd like follow-up on Shelvocke, especially in light of how you felt like there's been a lot of discussion on him when, in actuality, nobody had commented on him before Meapak and I asked about it, and nobody appears to have really looked him back over.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 07 2013 20:42 GMT
#1410
On April 08 2013 05:35 gonzaw wrote:
austin, my main point is that Shevlocke was started to being talked about once D1 started. Yes, by the time I made my Artanis case people didn't really talk about him much, but nobody really did anything else other than wagon on S&B and argue with Vivax.

I don't think my point on Artanis goes well with Shevlocke because of that. Remember the ONLY time someone called Artanis out was Mepaak and me back in the drafting picking phase basically (and maybe Mocsta when he was arguing with him about geripts case).
I went back page by page for like 10, I don't terribly want to go back page by page for the first 60 of the game, but I don't believe this is true.

So until one of us does that, we'll just disagree as to how much discussion there was on each of them. And I'm 100% certain that there was ZERO discussion of him today from the point that meapak and I posted on him until I started poking you about him. And while poking you, nobody else who has been entering the thread appears to really be looking at him either.

If you're looking at flying under the radar, ta da! he is. If you're looking for questionable votes, lack of scumhunting in the posts he's made, bursts of activity in which he responds heavily to single discussions (rayn) and then disappears without engaging the thread as a whole, ta da!
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 07 2013 22:01 GMT
#1434
Gonzaw. I would like you to actually read Shelvocke closer. Read him critically. Do not assume that he was pressured at all early. Do not assume that he was ever discussed (Or, if you do, go find me the posts where he was pressured/discussed earlier).

When I asked you before, you claimed to be null. There were things that originally made you suspicious, according to you, and "some stuff others say makes sense about him," (which btw, was meapak/me saying he was scum). Based on that, you shouldn't just be null. He is a legitimate topic of discussion, he does not have a filter, and he is likely a smurf (I generally assume all new people from odd countries = smurves).

That was NOT much of a response from you, tbh. And he's not getting any of the traction you seem to value. Drop your assumptions about how the thread has interacted with him or find those interactions, and then critically read his filter, his vote, and then give me more of your thoughts that "he's null except here are two things that were kind of scummy but apparently don't make me scum on him."
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 07 2013 22:29 GMT
#1441
On April 08 2013 07:11 Restraining Order wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 08 2013 07:01 austinmcc wrote:
Gonzaw. I would like you to actually read Shelvocke closer. Read him critically. Do not assume that he was pressured at all early. Do not assume that he was ever discussed (Or, if you do, go find me the posts where he was pressured/discussed earlier).

When I asked you before, you claimed to be null. There were things that originally made you suspicious, according to you, and "some stuff others say makes sense about him," (which btw, was meapak/me saying he was scum). Based on that, you shouldn't just be null. He is a legitimate topic of discussion, he does not have a filter, and he is likely a smurf (I generally assume all new people from odd countries = smurves).

That was NOT much of a response from you, tbh. And he's not getting any of the traction you seem to value. Drop your assumptions about how the thread has interacted with him or find those interactions, and then critically read his filter, his vote, and then give me more of your thoughts that "he's null except here are two things that were kind of scummy but apparently don't make me scum on him."

I still don't really understand how people can have a strong read on Shelvocke in either way.

Like, everything he's said, and everything people said about him, just looks completely null to me.
Is that the crux of the suspicion on him? Because I can see the concern if you look at it from that angle, but it's not a strong indicator in itself either, which is kind of ironic.
Pop open his filter. Look at the times that Shelvocke has interacted with thread.

He talks a little bit about plans, saying to pick what you want, saying that there are lots of roles and stuff that are good, so plans are bad. The plan to put townreads at the top of the pick order is "awful." Doesn't participate at all in the pregame except to just minorly crap on plans. Contrast with, say, Palmar. Palmar very clearly doesn't care about the pre-D1 stuff, whether he's town or scum. Shelvocke seems to care enough to respond and shoot down the occasional post, but he provides nothing that moves FORWARD beyond a very early post saying everyone should do what they want.

He wants to talk to gonzaw. About what? The hidden gut scumread. Shelvocke suggests strongandbig, indicating that he is hoping gonzaw's gut read is snb, although that isn't definite. At this point, all we know is Shelvocke is interested in Gonzaw's read, and curious about snb for some unknown reason.

Shelvocke finds VE mafia. Is familiar with VE's past play (indicates Shelvocke is a smurf and NOT a new player). Read his post calling VE mafia, do you agree with Shelvocke's reasoning? I still think it's not, because players who sometimes play dumb don't recommend that everyone else play dumb. VE isn't scummy for failing to suggest that people play poorly.

Shelvocke then returns, ONE DAY later. 24 hours. He votes VE because VE isn't going to play and "hasn't done anything to suggest that he is town." In other words, Shelvocke has been gone a day. He has returned to thread. He is indicating that he has READ the thread, because he says VE isn't playing/hasn't done anything. But he fails to give any substantive comment on anything VE has said in the last 24 hours, or anything that anyone else has said about VE in the last 24 hours.

Instead, he votes snb, noting that snb is "very likely to be mafia." He provides no posts to really show why he thinks snb is mafia, but states some things that can be legitimate concerns - pregame activity into lull during game being sometimes scummy. But he doesn't vote snb. He doesn't seek comment on snb. It's a throwaway read, not fully spelled out with reference to posts or anything specific, and it's basically MORE work than he has done towards VE. To repeat, he votes VE after being gone for 24 hours, but provides no real commentary on VE, and in the same post he provides semi-real commentary on snb, with no vote or anything. Look at his post. Does it make sense to vote VE over snb there if he had to throw a vote?

He drops some minor comments. Familiar with PYP Insane, again suggesting a smurf.

He asks for mafia games of rayn's. Engages mocsta and keirathi concerning rayn. It's a few posts, and then he's gone agian.


That's his filter. It's not empty. It's full a couple things:

He feels free to post - little bits, asking Gonzaw about his secret read, asking for old rayn games, etc. He's READING the thread, because he constantly pops in with bits and pieces.

However, he hasn't done much as far as most of the action in the game is concerned. He shot down a few posts about plans. He has a scumread on VE (for reasons I don't like), but doesn't seem to comment on VE much except in general terms once he establishes that he's scummy on VE, and he calls snb scum while wanting to vote/lynch VE for not wanting to play/not doing anything to show he's town. One guy is scum. One guy hasn't done anything to show he's town. Who do you vote/lynch in that scenario if those are your two reads? That vote, that vote post, is OFF. It's wrong.


Reading the thread but not commenting on much of use? Scummy, especially from someone who appears to be the smurf of at least a somewhat experienced player. Reading the thread but not really bringing specific posts to his points on VE, and especially on snb? Not townie, if he wants votes, if he wants people to vote his scumread, why isn't he really pushing or substantiating his cases? Voting VE for not showing he's town while saying snb is likely mafia? Yes, it's semantics and phrasing there, but to me it shows he's not actually invested in his read/vote, and it's just for show.

Outside of his filter, there's the fact that NOBODY wants to comment on him. Lots of lots of dinky little comments about vivax, VE, palmar, etc. Almost no comments on shelvocke until people are FORCED to look at him. That CAN be an indicator that he's scum and his buddies don't want to comment on him, want to see the case blow over. They don't want to call him out as scummy if he's not gonna get pushed. They don't want to associate with him and call him town necessarily. The lack of commentary doesn't MAKE him scum, but it's something to look at and (again imo) it supports the idea that he is.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 07 2013 22:47 GMT
#1446
On April 08 2013 07:31 gonzaw wrote:
@austin: You are being kind of annoying right now dude. I've told you millions of times what I think of Shevlocke (why I'm indecisive on him). I'm waiting to see what he does, or what he doesn't do (the more he fails to drop by here).
I won't instantly think he's scum just by rereading his filter again. And I read his filter.

I still don't get what makes Shevlocke scummier than Artanis.....like..did I miss a scumslip or something >_>
I mean, I get how someone can think of him as scum.....but I'm missing how Artanis looks better than him, and I'm missing that "he's definitely scum" way I feel about scum :/

I will say that the more Shevlocke fails to appear and contribute, the more I feel like I could shoot him as well.

I'm torn between sno and shevlocke (although Shevlocke is more of a "yeah he could be scum, but I'm not sure if he should be a lynch (because of stuff explained before); maybe straight up killing him outside of lynch would be better"), leaning on sno.
It's intentional.

I've told you millions of times what I think of Shevlocke (why I'm indecisive on him)


On April 08 2013 03:41 gonzaw wrote:
I'm null on Shevlocke. I had found some stuff I found a little suspicious of him at first (like his first post I believe), and I guess some stuff others say makes sense about him (like how he pushed VE).
But nothing convinces me for a D1 lynch.

He hasn't been around for much either, which is not good for him, but it isn't good for me to get a better read on him either
Time #1, You're null on him, except you found some stuff to be suspicious of, and other people calling him out "makes sense." So you're null, or null leaning scum. But that's NOT a strong read, and it's not much of actual thoughts tbh.

On April 08 2013 04:41 gonzaw wrote:
People HAVE been talking about Shevlocke. Meapak, you, and some others, ever since D1 started.
Time #2 that you mention him. No personal thoughts from you, just a statement that people have been talking about him. I checked the thread to see whether you were correct. I don't believe you were. I have yet to see you post showing that you are correct in thinking this. So what I see is NOT your thoughts on him. I see you thinking he's been discussed when he hasn't. I see you either REMEMBERING him as being more discussed when he wasn't, or outright lying. I'd like to stick with the first, but you (mis)remembering him being brought up this game does NOT equal a read from you on him.

On April 08 2013 04:47 gonzaw wrote:
Anyways this D1 is like a fuckfest, with some null-scummy dudes (Shevlocke, others), and people that don't even show up (snoman, Caller, shevlocke himself, and more and more)
Time #3. No discussion, he's null-scummy.

On April 08 2013 05:35 gonzaw wrote:
austin, my main point is that Shevlocke was started to being talked about once D1 started. Yes, by the time I made my Artanis case people didn't really talk about him much, but nobody really did anything else other than wagon on S&B and argue with Vivax.

I don't think my point on Artanis goes well with Shevlocke because of that. Remember the ONLY time someone called Artanis out was Mepaak and me back in the drafting picking phase basically (and maybe Mocsta when he was arguing with him about geripts case).
Time #4. Your MAIN POINT is that Shelvocke was being talked about. Which I disagree with. Again, you're misremembering or lying. You have provided ZERO posts where he was getting discussed, whereas I have provided 10 pages of "nope, he's not getting discussed."

On April 08 2013 06:31 gonzaw wrote:
I still want to lynch Artanis. As more people start contributing and doing more stuff (Shevlocke included), we can consolidate better, and maybe even net us another scum via day KP
Time #5.


You have mentioned him a couple times. Apart from your very first post, you haven't been telling me what you think of him beyond calling him null-scummy and maybe wanting to shoot him. But when you mention him, you are IN PART relying on some statements that I think are false memories or intentional attempts to prop him up. Despite claiming to have day KP, and seeing him as a potential day KP target, you don't seem to have any desire to actually go back and SEE whether your memory is correct or not.

At the very least, I need you to level with me, because I'm also trying to read you off of this. Don't tell me you've told me a bunch of times what you think of him, because you really haven't. Don't tell me that he was discussed a bunch, because he wasn't. DO actually take a moment and go, "Oh man, I'm relying on something in making this read and I'm being told it's wrong. Am I wrong here? Am I relying on something that isn't true? Holy balls, I'm town, and I don't like the idea that I might be remembering people talk about him when nobody did, I better go check to make sure I'm not reading someone based on stuff that didn't happen."

THAT is why I'm being annoying. Because I think Shelvocke is mafia, but even if he's not, the way that you are interacting with me about him is showing me that you just don't care. You find his vote null? You find his reading the thread but only commenting on side issues occasionally null? You find him reading thread but voting VE without really addressing 24 hours of activity by VE or about VE null? If not, then you're not really giving me your read here, not discussing this. So I'm being annoying and insistent because I don't like that, ESPECIALLY if you have day KP and are refusing to actually engage and look at someone who is apparently on your short list of people to shoot with the KP you may have.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 07 2013 23:02 GMT
#1452
On April 08 2013 07:52 Shelvocke wrote:
Austin, what is your point? Do you actually think that me having different expectations for VE and strongandbig and people not talking about me are good reasons to think that I'm mafia? Like right now I'm resisting the urge to call you a tunneling moron so much, it's not even funny.
Nope. I think you're the towniest mofo here.

Wait, that's wrong. My point is that I think you're mafia.

You're following thread by mainly providing minor comments on side issues.

I dislike your reason for thinking VE is mafia, but you put it in thread, and me disagreeing with your analysis doesn't make you mafia.

But you vote him without saying anything about what he said or anyone said about him over a 24 hour period, while reading thread enough to comment on snb and to say later that VE was asking to be lynched. Your scumread, your vote, seems less important to you than he should be, because instead of commenting on him over that 24 hour period you comment on snb.

Your read on snb is fluffy. No posts. No follow-up. Poking gonzaw earlier about snb, so apparently you've been somewhat focused on snb, but two dinky little lines are all you've got about snb? Not buying.

Right now I AM tunneling you. I'll address that later.



Here, since you're around:

(1) Do you continue to to find snb scummy? Can you give me less-fluffy reasons for that read?
(2) Do you agree with Gonzaw that you were discussed/suspicified earlier in the game/moreso than Artanis was? If you don't, does that affect your Gonzaw read?
(3) How do you feel about any two of the following: mocsta, keirathi, sinani?
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 07 2013 23:12 GMT
#1453
On April 08 2013 08:01 gonzaw wrote:
@austin: Stop with the "he was discussed off a bunch" thing. Reread that part of my case, and what exactly I mean by it.
I'm not meaning what you think I'm meaning.

My point was that Artanis wasn't mentioned at all in the rolepicking phase nor D1. Shevlocke was mentioned in D1. There, argument ended.
We may be on slightly different pages here, but I don't think I'm missing your meaning as much as you think.

If you think that shelvocke was mentioned in the number picking phase, you would be wrong. At least, I'm all the way back to page 15 ctrl + f-ing for both "shelv" AND "shev" (some people are typoing it like that) on every page and not finding anyone with a read on him.

If you think he was discussed during the time where we had numbers and were picking roles, you'd be wrong. He was not.

However, if you're just talking about D1, after the first 2+ real life days in this game, then yeah, he was MENTIONED (barely). But not by many, and there was never any followup from anyone.

strongandbig says that Shelvocke is scum after Shelvocke starts on VE. No followup, nobody else talked about this but BM who called snb scum based on some association, then filtered snb and decided he wasn't scum.

Vivax commented on him as part of thoughts on three folks. Seems to have found shelvocke's actions concerning VE's case on RO to not match up with what he would expect a townie's actions to be. But didn't seek any comment, didn't really say more than that. It's a mention, but it's not a discussion at all.

On April 07 2013 09:43 Restraining Order wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 07 2013 09:35 Vivax wrote:
Well whatever, I feel like I'm getting into nitpicky stuff. Can you give me a quick opinion on Shelvocke instead? Will see how you perform over time instead. Feel free to answer if you want to, it would help me get a better read on you though.

I don't have one, really.

+ Show Spoiler +
I don't have any hope at all for the quality of your read on me, so that does not sound very enticing, just so you know.
Vivax mentions him again to RO, asking RO for a read. RO explicitly has no read.


If I'm looking for people who have been mentioned/discussed, I'm looking for more than that. I will go ctrl + F for artanis if need be, but I think you're mistaken in how much each player got mentioned. Shelvocke certainly wasn't mentioned before the start of the actual voting phase, and once that started he got a couple offhand mentions but really nothing until I've been trying to push this. Those couple comments on him are really more than artanis got mentioned? And they count as like...actual mentions and comments?
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 07 2013 23:13 GMT
#1454
I am now spamming about this too much but it's frustrating me. Gonna go look at some non-shelvocke stuff and stop this for now.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 08 2013 00:46 GMT
#1471
On April 08 2013 09:31 gonzaw wrote:
Gonzaw post
Nooooooooooooooooooo. Stahp with those letters. That is already on my WHAT IS GOING ON list of things in this game. Have I missed a recent reference here? Because as far as I've been able to tell, someone posted that this game out of nowhere, Palmar joined for some unknown reason, and now you're mentioning it.

I went through your case and told you a couple reasons I was townie on him. Scum can look active proposing plans, and not pushing anything hard, but I think that the particular plan that artanis mentioned and pushed was very anti-scum, and he could have posted a different plan/joined someone else's plan if he were scum and wanted to look active.

I also find the timing on his geript stuff to be townie. Push him, leave, come back, actually re-read his stuff and change your read at the very very start of the game. No need to do that. No real scum purpose in doing that. Makes the geript bit look like a legitimate read that he then reconsidered later. Honestly that's a lot of the reason I don't like him for scum.


I'll take a look at British but probably tomorrow while at work. Poking around elsewhere tonight.

Still disagree with you on Shelvocke. I think he HAS posted a lot of fluff. I think a lot of his reads are unsubstantiated and don't feel real (No snb posts, not following up on VE, see the recent bit with rayn/mocsta/keirathi where he just makes this weird comment and that's it with no real reference to WHY he thinks what he says he thinks or what posts make him think what he says he thinks).
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 08 2013 01:03 GMT
#1483
On April 08 2013 09:31 gonzaw wrote:
Also I dunno why but after Obvious reading ALL of Artanis games and concluding the same thing as I do....it makes me feel better about my Artanis read >_>
All of Artanis's scum games. Unless I'm missing something. Database shows 8 old town games. And I think he's been in some hydra games? Dunno if he was scum in any of those.

On April 08 2013 09:42 yamato77 wrote:
OO's analysis of his meta is decent, and coupled with gonzaw's case, I could see Artanus as scum.

Wait, what?


I really didn't find the meta post convincing. I did not go look at artanis's games myself, will admit that. But I can never tell whether I'd agree with someone's summaries of another person's meta when they give all these conclusions and like 4 posts TOTAL from 4 games of filter. I don't know what conclusions he's drawing from some of what he posted...

Among things that I question, I see that the town games were a mini and a 16-man game, and that one of OO's points from British Empire was that artanis was trying to change his style. That doesn't mean that meta is useless, at all, but OO never addresses that, doesn't explain why IF there was a change in style he feels that the change is because of alignment. I see a post from a scum POSTGAME that Artanis would lurk in a big game, and then I see OO calling Artanis out in a 20+ player game for being barely here.

I dunno. I do not know where the characteristics that OO presents are drawn from. I do not know how he reaches the conclusion he does when it conflicts with some of what he found. The 2nd to last paragraph of OO's was the best part of the whole thing for me, not any of the presented characteristics.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 08 2013 01:10 GMT
#1487
On April 08 2013 09:54 Mocsta wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 08 2013 09:46 austinmcc wrote:
I went through your case and told you a couple reasons I was townie on him. Scum can look active proposing plans, and not pushing anything hard, but I think that the particular plan that artanis mentioned and pushed was very anti-scum, and he could have posted a different plan/joined someone else's plan if he were scum and wanted to look active.

Disagree. The plan itself was pro-town; but not how he went about campaigning it. There is a distinct lack of conviction.

For some reason you are choosing to judge him from his actions; not his motivations.

A town AustinMCC is better than this.
I fully disagree on this point. For one, town austinmcc is entirely equivalent to this. Rawr. I don't even think we've played many games together when I'm town and have played decently.

But aside from that, we don't disagree on artanis's early game plan. He did not push/seem full on conviction on a pro-town plan. We agree there.

I put emphasis on the fact that he was the sole person mentioning a heavy RNG plan. I put emphasis on the fact that the plan feels VERY anti-mafia, because no matter what town plans mafia can at least plan around it, except with RNG you're limiting your ability to plan around anything. It's a very pro-town/anti-mafia plan imo. In a vacuum, I do not find it likely that a mafia player looking to be active would choose to lightly push THAT particular plan, or wouldn't hop off it and just parrot some other plan.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 08 2013 01:32 GMT
#1496
On April 08 2013 10:17 gonzaw wrote:
austin, go read British Mafia 2 once and for all before just dismissing it and saying "yeah I haven't read his games yet" :/

I remember Artanis in LI (I forgot he was there if OO hadn't mentioned it lol) accused me of a scumslip as well.
I....the most pro-town motherfucker in LI, and he caught a "scumslip" and seriously accused me, using an aggressive serious tone. I instantly knew he was scum after that....it was impossible a townie would do that

Now go read his geript case. Geript was pretty much town (in the eyes of many, me, yamato, etc), and Artanis comes up with some "bullshit" stuff (including the scumslip) and goes against him.
I had the same reaction

I'm going to trust my gut on this one.
I'll go reread some past games, but probably tomorrow while at work.


Mocsta,

I really hope you took a vote-altering role; cos politician suits you to a tee.
Almost actually, but taking and using a vote-altering role is basically using KP, and I didn't want to do that.

No, I hadn't read the post you're referencing when writing mine. Your "another attempt to contribute something meaningful without contributing" is equivalent to my "mafia player trying to look active." It's not enough, to me, to say that someone contributed something that LOOKED meaningful but didn't push it/turns out it wasn't/whatever. They chose to present a particular thing, to try to appear like they were contributing on a particular point. I do not see mafia, trying to appear like they were contributing to the plan discussion, putting forth the RNG plan. It's the thing that got contributed, whether pushed or not, chosen out of all the various posts/plans/comments that artanis could have made, that has me townie on him.

Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 08 2013 01:47 GMT
#1501
Mocsta, I didn't go "YAYA ARTANIS PLAN BESTPLAN." But I did interact with him, noting that RNG had played a role in the top picks of the last PYP. I like the idea of including some RNG into any picking plan, because it was a pro-town element.

And YEAH. You can come up with some super pro-town idea in game, release it, and proceed to fuck off. There's a 100% chance that I'll find someone who puts forth a super pro-town idea to be likely town. I may be wrong here. I might be wrong if you ever do that. But I forgot that coming up with super pro-town plans was NOT a townie thing to do. So yes, I may be horribly horribly wrong here. One side of this is. But all in all, I like shelvocke better than artanis for scum, and even if he weren't here I'd be looking at non-artanises for my vote.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 08 2013 14:40 GMT
#1703
gg gonzaw.

THIS POST
On April 08 2013 19:44 strongandbig wrote:
did anyone try to pick assassin and get denied?
Pages of chatter about what role must have shot gonzaw, etc. Yet nobody else asked this question?

If you tried to pick assassin and are a VT, you should claim. YES, that opens yourself up to being killed by BC or an Assassin. However:

(1) BC role has limited shots. Not unlikely that if we have a scum-BC, he wouldn't use those shots on VTs.
(2) Unless you're like 24th or 25th on the list, you claiming gives us valuable information. PYP games always seem to include some reverse-engineering of who-picked-what, and we need to know if you tried to get a role that is almost certainly in scum hands to narrow down where that role is.
(3) Per the OP, the assassin gets a kill per cycle. He can't just machine-gun down everyone. So you're not in massive danger of dying to an assassin if you say you tried to get that role and are now VT, because we've already had a couple soft claims as well. You can't get assassinated before next day, and even then, it looks like people are claim happy and the assassin would have other targets with perhaps roles that scum doesn't want active.


So please, if you tried to pick assassin and did not get it, and you're not at the very, very bottom of the list, speak up.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 08 2013 14:46 GMT
#1708
If caller had a shot, he would have used it already. There are a couple possible things he's doing, none of them are shooting, imo.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 08 2013 15:04 GMT
#1723
On April 08 2013 23:57 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
If Caller is speaking the truth, I'm dead and the only two ways that could happen are a nuke (but it wouldn't make too much sense since his initial deadline was past the 12 hour requirement) or Showtime!. In this case, day ends, I flip green and we lynch Caller the next day.
If Caller is lying, he's managed to derail the thread talking about things that don't matter for shit and won't give us any reads whereas there was a constructive town atmosphere before then. I see no reason why a town player would do so but plenty of reason for scum to do so. Thus, we lynch Caller today.
Or he's an extractor and is forcing you to claim, and thinks that you are scum and will have picked a role that makes you almost certainly scum.

Or he's lying and NOT derailing the thread. Caller's made a number of posts that show his mindset this game, he's specifically stated that everything is a trap, and he might be trying to force a claim out of you just because, and then see whether or not he believes it.

Until something HAPPENS, Caller's posts shouldn't be derailing the thread. If anything comes of it, then we've got something to discuss re: whatever Caller's been doing. Until then, people shouldn't be so concerned with what he might or might not be doing. Either he does something or he doesn't, and we look at what happens then.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 08 2013 15:48 GMT
#1749
WEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEE

It is not terribly important whether this is similar to the yamato/kurumi shot in Personality 2. This is a different game, and I don't think either of you can go from proving your point as to whether it's similar --> scumhunting effectively in this game.

So please, drop it.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 08 2013 15:56 GMT
#1753
On April 09 2013 00:50 Oatsmaster wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 09 2013 00:48 austinmcc wrote:
WEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEE

It is not terribly important whether this is similar to the yamato/kurumi shot in Personality 2. This is a different game, and I don't think either of you can go from proving your point as to whether it's similar --> scumhunting effectively in this game.

So please, drop it.

You are liking your role as 'thread police' slightly too much.
have less fun please.

Lynch VE?
I like to have fun.

In all honesty, I'm considering VE. I still believe shelvocke to be mafia, and I like that lynch a lot. Much of the case on VE is that he hasn't been doing anything, which is NOT something that I expect from mafia-VE, honestly. However, it's not something that I expect from town-VE, especially if geript is telling the truth and SOMEONE up at the top is an NRA member (I agree with the sentiment that if someone at the top took that role, it's likely VE OR shelvocke (again, shelvocke is pretty clearly a smurf and people seem to be overlooking that)).

Any reason in particular why I should lynch VE over shelvocke?
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 08 2013 17:33 GMT
#1769
On April 09 2013 00:57 Oatsmaster wrote:
Nothing other than VE is VE and I have no idea how shelvocke plays.

I could go with both.
Yeah, but this actually bothers me and I can't figure out why it's not bothering anyone else. Shelvocke is familiar with old games. With some of the players here. He's "from Grenada." He's a smurf.

I do not know anyone who has been around for a while that is SO uninvolved. Like, there are more veteran players than I that are not known for being super active, but they are insightful at times or have plans or do things. risk.nuke comes to mind as someone I have not seen smurf, is not super-active, but when he's town he's usually involved in SOMETHING even if he doesn't push what he's involved with hard.

I get NONE of that from Shelvocke. This isn't smurfing so your name isn't a lynch target. This is smurfing and then doing NOTHING. There's no unique viewpoint (from what I've seen). Meapak is posting almost nothing, but some of his posts show very clear thoughts. Shelvocke is some person that sees a need to smurf, but NO need to provide thread with much original thought, reads, etc.

That is concerning to me. I am used to seeing smurfs do STUFF. They joined the game under guise of a smurf for a reason, not so that they could be absent/uninvolved/whatever. So yeah, I don't know how Shelvocke plays, but how he IS playing does not match up to what I expect from ANYONE'S town smurf.

On April 09 2013 01:07 Sn0_Man wrote:
How abouts we lynch sinani instead. His filter is 1 page + 2 posts, everybody can afford to go through it.

His interactions with gonzaw's claim are really bad (like, extremely scum-motivated), and he demonstrates that he is actually reading yet he fails to write more than 1 line except an easy bandwagon on to S&B when his lynch looked popular.

PS: Shevlocke really looks like a bad lynch to me. His posts look like he is reading and thinking about the game, and they look pretty insightful. I want to give him a chance N1/D2 to achieve something. I think I'd lynch VE before him.

Either way, I'm off to find the voting topic. Since it seems customary to do this here as well,

##Vote: sinani206
Please expound.

(1) What interactions with Gonzaw were scum-motivated?
(2) Which posts look like Shelvocke is reading and thinking the game? Which are insightful?
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 08 2013 17:54 GMT
#1774
On April 09 2013 02:53 strongandbig wrote:
hey sno-man a few pages back sharrant and i each shared our reads on obviousone. wanna join the "trying to be less lurky" party? poop us out a read on obviousone
Plox to wait until the shelvocke question is answered.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 08 2013 18:04 GMT
#1777
On April 09 2013 02:58 Sn0_Man wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 09 2013 02:53 strongandbig wrote:
hey sno-man a few pages back sharrant and i each shared our reads on obviousone. wanna join the "trying to be less lurky" party? poop us out a read on obviousone


"Hey Sn0 give us a read on every person in the thread" no fuck you I don't like big games.

I think Sinani is the best lynch today and there is my vote. Other people I don't like (but don't expect to lynch either) include oatsmaster and to an extent bill murray.

I joined this PYP because its PYP so hopefully some interesting stuff happens tonight. I'm more interested in cool roles and interactions and that stuff and less interested in the traditional mafia scumhunt. I've played all my games with an eye towards solving stuff (with logic and blue roles) rather than having good reads on people.
I found newbies 37 and 38. Have you been in any other games?
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 08 2013 18:05 GMT
#1778
On April 09 2013 03:04 austinmcc wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 09 2013 02:58 Sn0_Man wrote:
On April 09 2013 02:53 strongandbig wrote:
hey sno-man a few pages back sharrant and i each shared our reads on obviousone. wanna join the "trying to be less lurky" party? poop us out a read on obviousone


"Hey Sn0 give us a read on every person in the thread" no fuck you I don't like big games.

I think Sinani is the best lynch today and there is my vote. Other people I don't like (but don't expect to lynch either) include oatsmaster and to an extent bill murray.

I joined this PYP because its PYP so hopefully some interesting stuff happens tonight. I'm more interested in cool roles and interactions and that stuff and less interested in the traditional mafia scumhunt. I've played all my games with an eye towards solving stuff (with logic and blue roles) rather than having good reads on people.
I found newbies 37 and 38. Have you been in any other games?

EBWOP: Scratch that, found the others.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 08 2013 20:05 GMT
#1866
Nice job caller and unknown. Also, balls. I seem to have been a bit wrong, and need to go back and look over some things now.

I completely missed the end of the day and the flips while diving sn0_man's past games. Still going to write up what I found, but will have to look him over in relation to VE and Artanis now.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 08 2013 20:08 GMT
#1870
On April 09 2013 05:05 geript wrote:
Yes, Scum could still have a vote rigger because the vote ended prematurely. They couldn't know that. Just a heads up.
I don't see a scum vote rigger activating that role prematurely when artanis had a bunch of votes and VE had some as well. No reason for them to double lynch before getting townies on the chopping block, nor is there reason for a scum vote rigger to mess with the votes so that a scum dies (and not claim immediately afterwards for cred).
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 08 2013 20:19 GMT
#1873
Was writing this over what ended up being the end of the day. Still want to post it, would like to see thoughts.

Not liking sn0_Man. Have put him aside based on his absence, other people having my interest, and a general feeling that I don't want to go after the first guy in a PYP game unless I'm sure he's scum. To some extent, killing off a super high picking townie seems slightly worse than a normal mislynch, although I'm not having that reservation with Shelvocke so I need to get over it.

I dug through sn0_Man's games. He has only played newbies, 4 of em, with 3 town and 1 game in which he replaced into a mafia player's shoes. With no further ado, I shall don my ObviousOne getup and present some findings.



(1) Above all else, sn0_Man seems to care about the game. He is invested in games. He often takes a "leader" role, trying to get people to do other stuff, questioning them, being contentious if need be. In one newbie game, he had some comments for the hosts about balance, indicating to me that he's invested in his games. Examining and questioning the balance of a game, more than just GG GAME UNBALANCES, shows a commitment to trying to play and win games and a commitment to...good mafia as a whole?

Some examples of this observation:
Cop in Newbie 36
  • Here is, right at the start of the day, a somewhat leader-y post. Responding to decent thoughts with his own, expecting more out of x, and dropping an instruction to town of what he would like to see - + Show Spoiler +
    On January 26 2013 15:23 Sn0_Man wrote:
    See, I wanted to make a similar post warbaby, but I wondered if maybe letting him dig a deeper hole wouldn't make more sense, as opposed to letting him know that he sounds scummy. However, I suppose if everybody just hung back and observed other's play we would end up with... nobody playing.

    Either way, I expect substantially higher quality posts from Acid, and that particular one sounded a LOT like "hey look at me I'm getting in my post, hopefully I sound generically townie" from a scum perspective. Something about the post just sounds hollow.

    Eh, its not enough to make judgements at this stage. To be fair to acid, his methods were pretty aggressive (and rightly so) last game, so defending that method of play makes sense.

    Meanwhile: We need more posts overnight if I am to have any chance of making an informed vote before I disappear. I probably won't be able to post much later than 8-10 hours pre-lynch so posts and content PLEASE. There are only 9 people so it's pretty easy to see who is and isn't lurking.

  • Again, addressing large issues in that thread. Overarching thoughts on town claims, concerning over who is "taking over town," and instructions to thread - + Show Spoiler +
    On January 27 2013 13:29 Sn0_Man wrote:
    Town has no need to claim town, they ARE town. Actions speak louder than words. Town claims only make sense from a scum perspective, because scum need to look townie and/or not get lynched.

    I'm not attacking you, and I'm not discouraging scumhunting. I'm discouraging town-claims (HI GUYS I"M TOWN CUZ I SAID SO. THAT MEANS YOU SHOULDN'T LYNCH ME), and I'm discouraging attempts to take over town by people who I don't have a town read on yet.

    Either way, I'm also posting in the hopes that my posts will spark any kind of input whatsoever from the people who have yet to pipe up. If its like this ~12 hours from now I'll be forced to vote a lurker.

  • Look at the end of this bit of discussion. Actively notes that he appreciated someone posting as part of that, because he was looking for posts from them. Actively notes 2 players specifically that he wants more from - + Show Spoiler +
    On January 29 2013 03:23 Sn0_Man wrote:
    Show nested quote +
    On January 29 2013 03:11 warbaby wrote:
    On January 29 2013 02:46 glurio wrote:

    and i really didn't like the vote post of cora especially the last sentence:
    On January 28 2013 03:59 cDgCorazon wrote:
    I'll cover that base WB.

    ##Vote: Abenson

    If these are the three mafia their coach must be ridiculously annoyed.


    Can't put my finger on it, but it really sounds scummy to me.

    I'll try to post more after cooking and eating dinner.


    That last sentence is weird.

    First of all is the setup error. Failing to understand the rules/setup is scummy. I'm also guilty of this. Second, why is he thinking about the mafia coach, and why is he even using the word coach after I got bonked by marv for mentioning coaching. Third, the sentence really doesn't help explain his vote at all, so it's a little odd that he included it in the first place. Finally, it looks like he was trying to spark setup speculation (and succeeding at it), which can be a way for scum to smokescreen/prevent more important discussion from taking place.


    ...

    Setup and rules misunderstandings are townie. Scum are in close contact with a scum coach who clears most of that stuff up for them, especially the number of scum rofl. What was scummy was Cora's blatant misrepresentation of the setup.

    I'll admit it was kinda like he was trying to spark off topic speculation and discussion, but FWIW the setup in the 2of4 game is really really simple so there isn't much speculation room.

    @glurio: There you go. More posts like that please. I'd rather not have to prompt you all the time, but that was a great start.

    @Slayalot (and Acid): JUST MAKE POSTS PLEASE

  • Here is a topic I'd like to discuss. Here are my thoughts. You guys chime in - + Show Spoiler +
    On January 30 2013 00:23 Sn0_Man wrote:
    Show nested quote +
    On January 29 2013 20:15 zarepath wrote:
    On January 29 2013 15:30 warbaby wrote:
    On January 29 2013 14:09 cDgCorazon wrote:By voting, you are saying you want to lynch him today. Saying it 10 minutes into D2 is throwing in the towel.


    OK, fine. I can't come up with any reason you're wrong about this. I don't currently think Zare is scum, and he's telling me to do this as well.


    Noted....

    I'll be looking through filters today between tasks at work, everybody's filter but warbaby for now. We are very focused on him right now as a town (not necessarily undeservedly) and I worry that too many are getting by without contributing because of that.


    Sure, but in the main they haven't contributed anyway. At this point, I've pretty much decided, we are lynching warbaby if I can make it happen today. I'm sure I can be convinced otherwise but at this point I don't see what evidence is really gonna come up that is worse than warbaby's play.

    What I would like to discuss right now is the night action. Remember that NOBODY DIED last night. The scenarios that I can think of for that are:

    A) Mafia shit the bed (pretty unlikely given that they have a coach),
    B) Both mafia members are/were inactive (Cakepie... )
    C) Town has a JailKeeper/Doctor who is a clairvoyant (this one seems the most likely).

    In the case of C, however, there is an interesting distinction between having a JK and a Doc. If we have a Doc, they have a confirmed townie on their hands, although that isn't necessarily that helpful. If we have a JK, then they know that their target is EITHER mafia OR the mafia target last night. But they can't be certain which. That again is interesting.

    I don't think B) could happen either, since Cakepie is the only TRULY afk player over the course of all of Night 1... although if anybody can come up with a plausible scumteam that was simply afk all night 1 I'm listening.

  • Concerned about a vote switch because of who would hold the hammer vote. Again, shows that he understands the game, is concerned about more than just who is scum, but how scum can use game mechanics - + Show Spoiler +
    On January 31 2013 09:21 Sn0_Man wrote:
    Show nested quote +
    On January 31 2013 09:19 warbaby wrote:
    Slayalot is the only acceptable alternative, IMO.


    I can't switch or else scum gets hammer vote sorry. Get zare/you/acid on slay and I'll accept that lynch today.
VT in Newbie 37
  • Asks warbaby to be less defensive, gives his thoughts on warbaby's spat with another player. Adds thoughts on another player with some "how might town/scum play" reasoning. Adds, again, a request for town to stop doing x and start doing y - + Show Spoiler +
    On February 13 2013 02:36 Sn0_Man wrote:
    @warbaby: Less defensive please. Sylencia did some reasoned analysis of your early play and came to conclusions. He didn't call you scum, he wasn't asking for your lynch, he was merely analyzing your play and that one statement.

    Admittedly he hasn't done a ton of other stuff, but at the same time he certainly wasn't tunnelling you. I don't really see how you can construe it that way.

    Regarding Mandalor, voting a lurker with more than a day left to lynch is a safe vote, not a pressure vote. Its a "well now that my vote is down I can go back to hiding and only change it if I need to" kind of vote. Admitting that it is a "pressure vote" also defeats the purpose (as Sylencia has pointed out). Town care about their votes, as votes are (generally) the only power they have. Scum want their votes to give away as little information as possible, to cheapen the very concept of a vote. It should be decently clear which of those two things random "pressure votes" are. Including some of the ones you have thrown around too.

    I'd be more inclined to lynch Mandalor than Sylencia right now.

    ALL THAT ASIDE, We are now 7.5 hours away from lynch (give or take). Idle chitchat time is over, we now need to begin our decision-making process on final voting. In some ways, I've seen enough posting that I could now be convinced to lynch a more active player. However, I still heavily prefer lynching somebody with low contribution, since that is still where scum can hide easiest.

  • Displeasure at town about voting/activity - + Show Spoiler +
    On February 14 2013 01:07 Sn0_Man wrote:
    Well, I'll bump the thread but I'm not too pleased.

    I suppose I haven't articulated this quiet properly yet, but I'm really really displeased with how the vote turned out. Everybody voting for a different target is about the stupidest thing I've ever seen and it really ruined our chances of drawing good info from the vote. Since I don't have much to say anymore (Other than that you guys are colossal retards), I'm basically gonna wait for night actions to say much (unless anybody has something useful to say?). The fact that nobody has posted in 10 hours except the host isn't encouraging.

  • Doing LYLO/MYLO math. Thinking critically about whether a no-lynch is warranted. Again, an understanding of the game as a whole and a concern for more than just "DIS GUY SCUM!" - + Show Spoiler +
    On February 15 2013 04:06 Sn0_Man wrote:
    The 2 replacements are going to get lynched and NK'ed and we are gonna end up in much the same situation as if they were modkilled rofl. (okay we have more info hopefully).

    Either way, what now becomes interesting is what happens tomorrow. It will be EITHER 5-3 OR 6-2 depending on setup. However, we can't know which. This is a fascinating situation because I think it may actually call for a no-lynch. Or at least, I don't know yet who I wish to lynch and a No-lynch is remarkably reasonable. In the 5-3 case we go down to 4-3, which is extremely risky but hopefully town should be able to locate the scum in such a situation. In the 6-2 case we go down to 5-2, which isn't even MYLO so town then has a safe mislynch. While town won't know, it doesn't seem that unreasonable.

    Keep in mind that in the 3-scum case, mislynch tomorrow is GG.
  • Concerns about setup and game balance, counting mislynches to gg, etc. - + Show Spoiler +
    On February 20 2013 02:25 Sn0_Man wrote:
    Interesting. GGWP all.

    I'm still dubious as to the balance behind this setup...
    On February 20 2013 02:50 Sn0_Man wrote:
    Show nested quote +
    On February 20 2013 02:36 Dandel Ion wrote:
    On February 20 2013 02:25 Sn0_Man wrote:
    Interesting. GGWP all.

    I'm still dubious as to the balance behind this setup...

    Why?

    I thought it was fairly normal.


    Mislynch twice, lose on the spot.

    Sure our analysis could have been better, but the fact is we basically have to let the SK live and hope he hits scum or else we just lose. Because 2 mislynches simply isn't enough space for town (especially newer towns).

    I mean, we get super-lucky to have our tracker hit an anti-town role on his first guess, and we still are in basically unwinnable position from N1 on.

    Maybe if our vet manned up and took a bullet somewhere? but even then scum had the RB to stop that.

    It hurts more that we had a Harmful-to-town role on our side (me the nosy neighbor) and a dumbed-down power role (tracker) instead of medic/JK/cop. I dunno, I just felt like town never had a real chance in this game. Closer to 1/10 than 1/3. Admittedly I'm biased and fresh off a loss, but this is what it looks like right now
    On February 20 2013 03:11 Sn0_Man wrote:
    Show nested quote +
    On February 20 2013 02:55 Dandel Ion wrote:
    Scum RB doesn't stop Vet. Vet is passive.

    Not to be a douche, but did you read the OP Dandel? This is the second time you have disagreed with what was openly stated in the OP.

    Show nested quote +
    On February 20 2013 02:55 Dandel Ion wrote:
    Since the SK only shot once (and as I understand it, also tried to hit scum), you can pretend it was a vig.

    Vig hits townie.
    3 (effective) mislynches.
    Vet doesn't get shot.

    It was kind of a worst-case scenario for town, but shit happens.


    So if we pretend OO was vig, then you recommend we don't lynch the SK and just let scum RB the SK all day? I guess that KINDA turns him into a vig but a vig who doesn't actually want town to win... (with the semi-plus of vet status?).

    I just don't see how our only active power role hitting on his first try ends up as "Worst case scenario" for town

    Show nested quote +
    On February 20 2013 03:06 zarepath wrote:
    My new policy lynch is to policy lynch Mocsta.


    Feels that way.





(2) He substantiates his scumreads. Not always, none of us do, but when he really wants to analyze someone, he generally does so within the context of definite posts, and his analysis refers to those posts.

Some examples of this observation:
VT in Newbie 35
  • Returns from a weekend AFK. Finds a post he dislikes. Quotes it, shows why he dislikes. Moves to the rest of his target's filter, identifies another post he dislikes, provides analysis of that post - + Show Spoiler +
    On January 15 2013 02:08 Sn0_Man wrote:
    Alright, I'm finally caught up. Weekends are just not for mafia, sorry guys.

    This post is going to to a real review of what actually happened with respect to laguerta *not* getting lynched.

    We'll start at Noon, January 14th (Forum time). Laguerta has 7 votes: Mandalor, Omni, Glurio, Shz, Oats, Moc and Zare.

    Not long before this (okay an hour and a half but very few posts), Trotske posted this:
    Show nested quote +
    On January 14 2013 10:36 Trotske wrote:
    I don't think laguerta is scum you guys are pushing a lynch claiming scum when he looks a lot more like a bad townie with no experience and is lazy.

    what is with this bandwagon on someone who might as well be a lurker In fact a lurker would be a better lynch. I am going to keep my vote on the person who started this ridiculous vote.



    At 12:02, Oats unvotes laguerta after reading his filter, stating "I dont see scum doing this, I really dont."

    At 12:30, Omni unvotes laguerta due to "not enough of a fight from mafia..."

    At 12:32, zare unvotes laguerta agreeing how easy it has been to vote him.

    At 12:54, glurio unvotes laguerta agreeing about mafia's lack of defense.

    At 12:59, Mocsta unvotes laguerta agreeing with all the above.


    This is a fascinating snowball. Oats' unvote was due to "reading his filter" and while it isn't that well explained, is semi-reasonable. Omni unvotes strictly on the strength of mafia not backing up laguerta, which just isn't right. And so does zare. Any half-decent mafia WILL bus their teammates if they are as clearly awful as laguerta is. I’m not trying to claim that Omni or Zare are scum-oriented for doing this, I’m just saying their reasoning is flawed. Glurio immediately hops on the bandwagon of unvoting laguerta, and in the process also joins the lynch-mandalor (who turns out town) bandwagon. Trotske is, at the time, the only person with a vote on Mandalor. Last but not least, for no discernable reason Mocsta feels the need to swap over to Mandalor as well, sealing the deal (by a silly 3-2 vote o.O). That part is OK because I have come to expect an incredible amount of posts coupled with a complete inability to identify scum from Mocsta. Which sucks because it makes it hard to determine whether he is actively trying to be unhelpful or not. Right now I’m leaning towards just a clueless townie, since it seems like his heart is more or less in the right place right now.

    So, back on topic. Trotske’s filter is incredibly defensive of laguerta, and includes the hilariously awful post that I put up top. His first defense of laguerta is that he is a bad, lazy townie with no experience. Then the good part:

    Show nested quote +
    what is with this bandwagon on someone who might as well be a lurker In fact a lurker would be a better lynch. I am going to keep my vote on the person who started this ridiculous vote


    This is the scummiest thing I’ve seen posted all thread. He calls laguerta a lurker, then asks to lynch a different lurker. Then he calls the vote ridiculous after many others have given perfectly fine reasons for laguerta to be scum. Then he says that he is keeping his vote on the person who “started the vote (Mandalor, who at this point HAD NO OTHER VOTES).

    So my takeaways are: A) Laguerta really should have been lynched.
    B) He was, in fact, defended by the mafia: Trotske
    C) Trotske is my lead scum read.

    Oh yeah, the other thing is that if Trotske/zbezt/laguerta are in fact the scum team, which is my hunch ATM, then it actually looked like they were planning a bandwagon on me that never got started. Please understand that this isn’t an OMGUS, I’m merely looking at who defended Laguerta. Laguerta himself is clearly horridly incompetent and at least partially AFK so he wasn’t on that particular train. Zbezt ended up on me because he went to bed 6 hours before the voting deadline so wasn’t there to help out his buddy Trotske swap over to what was becoming an increasingly easy target: Mandalor.

    Obviously this is pretty thin but this is my current list of suspicions/scumreads and my evaluation of the voting that got innocent mandalor lynched.

    I’ll be more active through the week, but expect another fairly serious dropoff every weekend. Hopefully less bad than this one
  • Lots of analysis connected to someone else's enormous big read post. Moves on to the guy's votes. Ultimate conclusion is only that the guy MIGHT be scum, but a lot of work and thought process behind his read, you can see what he's thinking - + Show Spoiler +
    On January 16 2013 01:30 Sn0_Man wrote:
    Alright, I'd like to go over zare's mass review, which was posted pre-NK as a "last will" type post. My comments in bold

    On January 15 2013 06:24 zarepath wrote:
    I am posting all of my reads right now because I'd like to do so before the end of N1 and I'm not confident that I'll be around/have the time to do so closer to the deadline. These are reads, not full claims, and so I welcome any argument/discussion about them. But they're all based on me reading through the entire thread, and the entire filter for each person.

    Hi guys I've contributed nothing but I'm totally worried about being NK'd for no reason that I can think of. Probably worried about being Vigi'd? Dunno but this post seems a bit weird. Not seriously off though, I can see townie zare writing this

    Shz
    + Show Spoiler +

    Null read. Point for him is that he kind of tried to pull Oats and Mocsta apart from each other early on, and I think scum would have been happy for them to go at it. Although, that's an easy thing for scum to do. Meanwhile, a lot of his posts are very emotional or exagerrative, using words and phrases like "constantly," "baffled how people," "just that ignorant?", and he's obsessed with Mocsta's victim mentality. Another point for him is he's encouraged rational play a couple of times in the thread. Will watch.


    Mostly right. Shz has been a decent poster. It isn't like his more exaggerative posts haven't been justified

    Laguerta
    + Show Spoiler +
    He just seems very rough, and very inactive, but not in a tone that seems to imply intended inactivity, but one of pure laziness. It's clear he did not work very hard at his contributions Day 1, and that, combined with the ease of the Laguerta Lynch, suggests to me that he is TOWN.


    I'm still unsure that lag is town. He is/was merely a terrible player (see TeMil last game)

    Sn0_Man
    + Show Spoiler +

    His inactivity immediately puts him on the side of scum, then he has a full "review post" of the chaotic final hour of the lynch. His cases have not been rigorous, his biggest case (against Troske) involves a lot of association and hypothetical scenarios. But he's the only one really pushing Troske and it does seem like he's trying to figure things out. I don't see enough to put him firmly in one camp or the other, so I consider him someone to watch.


    Wheee its me. I'm not gonna comment on other's reads except that "inactivity puts him on the side of scum" isn't right. Lurkers aren't helping town, but that doesn't necessarily make them scum (just bad town).

    Oats
    + Show Spoiler +

    I voted for him yesterday, but after going through his filter today, he oddly seems to be the most valuable townie we have right now. He has pressured more people than anyone else, which HAS led to discussion. I don't see scum motivations for his behavior other than the free use of his voting power, and erratically switching it around until he finally liked where it rested. That seems to fit with his play style, however, so I don't think that is enough for a scum read, even along with the fact that he was immediately aggressive towards Mocsta -- that seems to be a trend in this game, and it's not necessarily unwarranted. Feels like TOWN


    In light of the NK, its clear what Oats had been doing all along. I too feel like this 180 by zare *could* be a case of "oh we are NK'ing him? time to get buddy buddy" but it certainly isn't proof. We now interrupt our regular programming to bring you his previous vote for Oats:


    On January 14 2013 12:35 zarepath wrote:
    ##Vote Oatsmaster

    Has not been helpful towards town, was an active scum player in another game (so not necessarily a lurker scum), has unvoted FOUR times, most recently very late in the day when it was almost assured that Laguerta would be lynched regardless. His reasoning? "He's scummy but he's not here to defend himself. I'm gonna go vote for someone that nobody else is voting for and will definitely not get lynched, so when Laguerta flips town, I look good." (Okay, so not his literal read, but a possible motivation was thrown in there.)

    His timing and his lack of reasoning worry me, and I find him to be far more likely to be scum than Laguerta.


    Now back to his full review

    On January 15 2013 06:24 zarepath wrote:
    Mocsta
    + Show Spoiler +

    Has been as active as I would expect based on his meta, but he is a lot more defensive this time around. After reading filters, I would suggest that's because there are people here deliberately pushing his buttons. It's frustrating how his various defenses clutter the thread and half the time are filled with re-quotes of himself or others, and then there's also the fact that his vote sealed Mandalor's doom. However, I don't find it likely that mafia would switch their vote so that the FINAL vote for a lynch is one of their own. That does not seem like good scum play -- although as I noted earlier, if he were scum and resting his vote on Laguerta even after Oats yelled at him, that may look more suspicious. Perhaps he HAD to vote for Mandalor. However, he'd already suspected Mandalor earlier in the day. So I would not call him a confirmed town, but I still have an overall TOWN read on him.


    Seems like an honest assessment. If I'm scum though, I'm calling Mocsta town 10/10 because again I think he is kidna making their lives easier.

    OmniEulogy
    + Show Spoiler +
    OE has largely been a voice of reason this game when the last game he seemed a lot more emotional. Part of me worries that he was intending to be reasonable as soon as he becomes mafia, but his contributions have all been town-motivated from my perspective. He has pressured people, defended others fairly well, and done some thorough analysis. I have a slight TOWN read on him.


    I'd love to see examples etc here but I suppose the post has to be a human length. I can't find real fault in this analysis

    Trotske
    + Show Spoiler +

    I like that he called Acid out on trying to provoke emotion in the thread, as well as Snoman, and that he was the first on Mandalor (even though he was obviously wrong, he didn't a ride a bandwagon on the way there, unlike some others). He reads as a noob, and went out of his way to defend Mocsta's opening questions near the beginning. However, he has a low post count, went out of his way to criticize bringaniga multiple times (easiest target for the first half of the day), and just had bad voting logic (as snoman pointed out recently). He feels TOWN to me, but will warrant observation as he posts more and hopefully does some more analysis.


    Well, being first on Mandalor is a BAD thing, given that mandalor was a mislynch. He also defended laguerta wayyyy hard which seems dubious to me. His voting logic was horrible and he was clearly taking the easy lynch on kush at the start. I'm not sure how this feels town but I suppose "noob" excuses everything? You guys already know I think Trotske is scummy

    Acid
    + Show Spoiler +

    Acid is very confident, and when he posts, it doesn't seem as though he's lurked as much as he has. However, everything he's posted has been very narrow-focused and antagonistic -- needlessly so. What gets me is his comment that Mocsta can't ask him any questions until Mocsta contributes more. Withholding information is pretty scummy, and his tunneling of Mocsta, the most active townie when we have around 5 lurkers, seems exactly like the kind of thing scum would want to do. It's not hard to push Mocsta's buttons and he's not alone in going after him, so it's a pretty safe thing to do. His reactions lack rigor; he's "baffled" by sno's vote. The number one thing that makes me think he is mafia is the fact that the time he was tunneling Mocsta the hardest was during the final hours before the lynch, when everyone is switching their votes, analyzing cases, trying to make new reads. What is Acid up to? Tunneling Mocsta, when Mocsta is nowhere near a lynch. He's not even trying to get others to vote for Mocsta, he's just going after him. Reads as SCUM to me.


    This sounds like bad analysis. Acid posted quite well, the only issue he has is inactivity. He called mocsta out on unreasonable defensiveness (He was one of the first here, he wasn't bandwagonning, but he has been backed up by others and was clearly right about it). He spent a lot of time replying to Mocsta because Mocsta was the only one online and posting, but his posts were, believe it or not, aimed at achieving a decent town atmosphere that involved scumhunting and legitimate pressure as opposed to the wild OMGUS that mocsta was throwing around the thread. Shit-Flinging isn't bad, so long as you target it right and back it up. Plus he correctly identified that my actions were not so much scum aligned as AFK aligned. So are his, which is the issue. He reads town to me but he also reads lurker, which is gonna get him spag-killed pretty soon

    zebezt
    + Show Spoiler +

    He also called out unwarranted hostility in the thread, which is a town-motivated thing to do, but then suggested that other people ask questions instead. He didn't provide the questions, just said that other people should. He did a fairly interesting analysis of snoman and actually asked some discussion Q's of some people, which feels kind of townish. But he was one of those to take the easy road in pressuring bringaniga, he soft claimed on not having read scum guides, went out of his way to mention that someone would be modkilled (a non-contribution with no analysis), and went out of his way to take credit for his pressure on bringaniga earlier in the day (even though it was the easiest target in the world). I have a slight SCUM read on him.


    Zebezt did shit-all and sheeped Mocsta. He called out anybody who tried to stop mocsta from running away with the thread, which was pretty awkward. In fact, he stuck super-hard to the safe play. Glad to see zare is calling him scum at least

    glurio
    + Show Spoiler +

    He calls Mandalor scum but he's "not quite certain" after reading the filter -- an accusation without committing to the accusation. He easy-picks Laguerta, lurks hardcore, continues to be suspicious of Mandalor without providing analysis or voting for him, calls Oats scummy a couple times without any analysis other than the fact that he's voted a lot (I did that too, of course), but finally switches from Laguerta to Mandalor ONLY AFTER it's clear that the town is leaving Laguerta. If the LAguerta lynch happens and he's still on it, he knows he's in trouble, so the reasoning for his switch? "mafia doesn't defend" The timing was very suspect, and set things up such that Laguerta could still be lynched without his vote staying there, and if someone moved with him onto Mandalor, that person would get the fall (Mocsta).

    He's offered zero analysis, represented zero conviction with his votes, and his vote pattern looks the most suspicious to me of all of what happened yesterday. He also lurks hardcore. He is my number one SCUM read.


    Not much to say here, other than a) I agreed with him pre-N1 that glurio was at least mildly scummy and b) zare's number 1 scum read was town. I at least called zare out on glurio being #1 scum and laguerta being town when they played very similarly, but didn't get much response.

    bringaniga/Spag
    + Show Spoiler +

    I secretly hoped that bringaniga really had some algorithm because that would've been hilarious. Spag has seemed quite helpful since he's returned. AS this is essentially Day 1 for him, I have a NULL read until I see more, but nothing so far has smacked of scum.


    Fair. I don't have much to say on this.


    Okay, so zare manages to review pretty well without coming off as overtly scummy anywhere. In fact, I agree with many of his reads. I still think that he hasn't contributed much and spent a lot of time sheeping, especially since few of his reads are terribly insightful (I'm aware none of mine have been either).

    Now, to examine zare's votes.

    [spoiler=Vote 1]
    On January 14 2013 02:36 zarepath wrote:
    ##Vote Acid~

    I am voting for a lurker for a couple of reasons:

    1) If they haven't found reason to post yet, a push to lynch them had better; otherwise, we know that they will NEVER post
    2) While I like to think scum would have posted by now, last game proves that isn't necessarily true; the worst lurkers are just as likely to be scum.
    3) I worry that lurkers who are let go will continue to taint reads for the rest of the game -- the possibility of them being scum will always be in the back of town's minds, and scum can get away with "pressuring" them as a "contribution," and the thread will be stuffed full of lurker pressuring and absent of the lurker's discussion.
    4) We will be absent of their contributions either way
    5) Scum will know they can't get away with super-minimal contribution, and that the town is aware of how much they participate, potentially forcing them to post more

    That's what's going through my head. I want to avoid getting wrapped up in the stupid OMGUSing and encourage others to be active in the thread. Right now the best way I see to do that is to punish the person who is contributing the least, and through inaction, acting directly against the town.
    [/spoiler]
    He starts off, 10 hours before lynch, with an Acid vote. His reasoning is: LAL, basically. He carefully got on the same lurker that Omni had voted (Omni's reason: I forgot about No Lynch). So far, a safe vote but not necessarily a scummy one. He made sure to justify this with a bunch of high and mighty town chest-thumping, but that isn't strictly scummy either.

    [spoiler=Vote 2]
    On January 14 2013 11:25 zarepath wrote:
    I'm voting for Laguerta because of his inability to pick someone to vote for. Feels pretty scummy, and I haven't had a chance to do real thorough reads today. (NO, goverment didn't confiscate my laptop today, but Sundays are generally my least-available days.)

    ##Unvote Acid~
    ##Vote Laguerta

    Acid will be modkilled, and while replacing him isn't necessarily a good thing, we do know Laguerta is spineless. So, there it is. I'll be doing a more thorough filter read N1.
    [/spoiler]
    Next up, he swaps to laguerta. With 0 posts between the 2 votes, but about 9 hours separating them, he quickly jumps on the current bandwagon. His reasoning: acid will be modkilled (untrue at that point, but could be an honest) and laguerta is spineless. How is "spineless" a townie reason to vote somebody?. Shortly after this he mocks Oats for posting something along the lines of "Scum are traditionally around at the deadline" (something that zare is carefully being), then starts calling off the laguerta train with a defense along the lines of: "7 votes are too easy, mafia must be on this train". This is part of what ends up saving laguerta so that we can lynch innocent mandalor, and this is also totally something a scum could say. "Mafia must be on this train, let me get off of it" is not necessarily right (again, I believe that if laguerta were mafia, his team would bus him if needed. He is clearly pretty useless. This attempt to save only comes around once Trotske has finished being highly irrational and the laguerta train is coming screeching to a halt.

    [spoiler=Vote 3]
    On January 14 2013 12:35 zarepath wrote:
    ##Vote Oatsmaster

    Has not been helpful towards town, was an active scum player in another game (so not necessarily a lurker scum), has unvoted FOUR times, most recently very late in the day when it was almost assured that Laguerta would be lynched regardless. His reasoning? "He's scummy but he's not here to defend himself. I'm gonna go vote for someone that nobody else is voting for and will definitely not get lynched, so when Laguerta flips town, I look good." (Okay, so not his literal read, but a possible motivation was thrown in there.)

    His timing and his lack of reasoning worry me, and I find him to be far more likely to be scum than Laguerta.

    [/spoiler]
    Now he is voting Oatsmaster. Not only is Oatsmaster the guy that got NK'ed night one, but his reasoning is "multiple vote flips" (welcome to the club zare). All of his reasoning on Oats applies to him, and this vote looks pretty scummy to me. He tries to start something on Oats because as scum he would LOVE to see a random 3-2 lynch save their NK for somebody whose NK would give up less info. Note how this is completely opposite his previous reasoning of LAL, as Oats is super-active. Also note how contrary this is to his N1 "reads" post above. A convenient flip flop that he tries to explain away, showing that he is afraid of how it looks.

    And that is that for Zare. Long ass post I know. Not that my post is terribly cohesive or that it avoids "association cases" but this is what I think of zare right now. Much of what he has done could be explained as scum, and he certainly hasn't pressured anybody in a way that makes me think town.
Cop in Newbie 36
  • Grabs onto a discussion of votes/wagons. Actual thoughts on what scum might do in the situation. Finds people who meet those, and adds what connections he can draw between them based on their possible flips - + Show Spoiler +
    On February 01 2013 01:42 Sn0_Man wrote:
    Show nested quote +
    On January 31 2013 09:24 cakepie wrote:
    What do you guys think of as the better alternative, glurio or slayalot?

    I was willing to get behind warbaby's vote on glurio, but things moved too quickly.
    (Basis: voting patterns)

    In any case I am not willing to be on either the cora or warbaby wagons.


    This post occured shortly after my cop claim. I'd like to highlight it. At this point there were (I think, since we didn't have any votecounts) 4 on warbaby, 3 on Cora, 1 on Slay. Or something similar. Actually, Cakepie may have not voted at all, leaving it at 4-3 at that stage. Either way, I'd like to point out that right about here is where a scum would have done something like "OMFG LOOK AT DAT WARBABY SCUMMY AS HELL LETS VOTE HIM". Not being willing to be on a wagon is very townie. Scum are generally desperate for easy wagons to park their vote on, especially when warbaby and cora are both town.

    This actually narrows it down to (IMO) 3 possible scum candidates right now: Acid, Glurio and Slay.

    Now, if Slay is mafia, then so must be glurio (otherwise the votes make no sense, why would acid lynch a scumbuddy when he could totally have hammered WB with ease?.

    If slay is NOT mafia, then acid and glurio are the scumteam. EITHER WAY, GLURIO IS SCUM.

    As far as I'm concerned, Glurio is scum.






(3) Often asks targeted questions at specific folks, but sometimes adds open questions that further discussion

Some examples of this observation:
VT in Newbie 35
  • Asking for "detailed" reads on 3 people, provides minor thoughts of his own on two - + Show Spoiler +
    On January 16 2013 03:59 Sn0_Man wrote:
    I'd ask what other people think of

    1) OmniEulogy. He compliments everybody (except oats) and is never willing to really present deep analysis except once, his clearly wrong case on Oats. He looks like he wants to be everybody's buddy.
    2) Spag.
    3) zebezt: His entire filter consists of: "Sn0_Man wont answer me. I think he is scum because he didn't like Mocsta's opening question and then went AFK" and "Mocsta OMG ur so right lemme restate ur posts"

    To clarify, I'd love some sort of DETAILED reads on ANY of those 3 based on serious perusal of their filter (and in spag's case, take a glance at the bringaniga filter too).


This post is growing too long and some of these can be found in point (4) below. The open questions mix with the conversational attitude, and also somewhat with the leader-y stuff, "Town, I'd like you guys to do this/discuss this..."




(4) He is ... conversational. He does not dip in and out, but he responds to thoughts, explains himself, pushes things further.

Some examples of this observation:
Cop in Newbie 36
  • After calling out cora here, cora responds. sn0 responds to the response, with an answer speaking to cora. Asks others for thoughts on the exchange - + Show Spoiler +
    On January 29 2013 01:01 Sn0_Man wrote:
    Show nested quote +
    On January 29 2013 00:49 cDgCorazon wrote:
    Sn0 you can chalk it up to me not looking at the link to the set-up. Once the game starts, I don't look at the pregame posts too much. I made another mistake of not reading when I said Mocsta was a replacement when he actually isn't. I'm asking you to call it a mistake based off of ignorance, nothing more.


    I just gave a bunch of reasons why I don't think that ignorance is a real excuse for that particular mistake. That being said, it is obviously POSSIBLE for you to be ignorant, I just find it unlikely that YOU of all people would actually make a setup mistake that basic.

    @Town: I'd like to hear thoughts on this. He already played a 2scum9player setup just like this one (his last game), and he co-hosted a game. Plus I gather he has a history of being very well informed/inquisitive regarding setup etc.

    Show nested quote +
    On January 29 2013 00:49 cDgCorazon wrote:
    I would like to see a last will from Sn0, WB, Acid, and whoever else feels like they need to make one. I'm going to be very busy today, but I'll post some thoughts closer to the deadline.


    I'll be dropping something akin to a last will near the night deadline, and while I encourage the others to as well, I find it somewhat hard to believe that somebody not named Sn0_Man, cDgCorazon or Warbaby might get NK'd. Take that for what you will.
VT in Newbie 37
  • Conversational tone. Asking what someone wants to do, asking them to substantiate, in a very buddyish tone. Plus follow-up conversation - + Show Spoiler +
    On February 13 2013 04:22 Sn0_Man wrote:
    @Mandalor: You unvoted the 0-poster, who would you like to lynch right now? You don't have to vote them, but lets hear some reasons etc.

    It can be a "Lynch Scum" plan or a "Lynch Lurker" plan. Whatever seems right to you. I know this may take time to make a real choice, but the lynch is coming up quicker than you know so lets hear some scumhunting now
    On February 13 2013 04:41 Sn0_Man wrote:
    Show nested quote +
    On February 13 2013 04:34 Mandalor wrote:
    Right now, I would vote Sylencia.
    His response so far hasn't changed anything for me concerning his odd behavior with warbaby. WB never soft-claimed anything - yet Syl gives us this odd post saying he's most likely vig or scum. That is the opposite of helpful for town. I can't think of a use for this information at this point in the game. Elimination surely can't be it when we don't know any role yet.
    That combined with his uncharacteristic (I think? at least have that in my mind) lurking (yeah yeah I know, but I have posted more here than I did in any game yet) makes him my top scum read for now.
    If nothing big comes up that will be my vote for tonight (will probably have to vote in 4 or 5 hours and call it a day).


    There we go! See, I can think of an explanation for most of what Syl is doing, but I'm not going to call you out if you can't. I think WB soft-claimed, but I can definitely see how others think he didn't. I like you you picked a name, gave a real reason that was consistent with your earlier posts, and didn't even need to make it too long.

    Obviously this doesn't prove you are town but it certainly helps your chances of not being lynched today. For now, I won't ask more but keep in mind that we expect more of THIS POST as often as is reasonable for you to manage (I know its time consuming).





So again. He hasn't played many games, but he's concerned with balance. When MYLO/LYLO is and whether it's best to no-lynch. When votes occur. What town/scum players would do in certain situations. He's concerned with things beyond just posts. He often talks to other players, rather than dropping his thoughts in thread and leaving, he interacts. He often interacts as a leader, or at the very least he makes his wishes known as to what he thinks that thread should do.

His filter from his only scum game - Here.

He replaced in, but I get a LACK of the following townsn0 things in that game.

Scum RB in Newbie 38
  • Scumreads don't come with the same "here's a post I found" --> analysis --> conclusion substantiation. + Show Spoiler +
    On March 14 2013 00:47 Sn0_Man wrote:
    Alright, I've finally made it through the whole thread.

    Some players have kinda piqued my interest as scummy right now.

    First, Geript. Day 1, town starts slow but warms up, gets focused and nails scum with a solid-contributing atmosphere where certain players stick out like sore thumbs. THIS IS THE TOWN ATMOSPHERE WE NEED. Then geript replaces in, and the nutter-butters start. Fast forward to the end of day 2 and we have lynched a townie, discussion is dying and there is a lot of uncertainty in the thread (my take on it at least). It isn't like geript created the mislynch, or made any scumslips, but in my eyes he poisoned the atmosphere enough to cloud town's perceptions. I can't really see this as anything other than scummy. Note that he replaced CoS who did very little but managed to look scummy in that time as well.

    Next, OmniEulogy. Yes, it certainly feels like omni has contributed a lot, but I'd contend that he has simply posted a lot. As others have said, he spent day 1 soft-defending Arctic Daishi (scum), spent day 2 pushing a mislynch really hard, and has just struck me as off throughout my read-through. Reads slightly scum but less so than geript.

    Most of the rest of the thread were releasing strong newbie vibes that interfered with my ability to seriously read them (on a casual read-through). I'll work on individual filters over the course of the next 30 hours or however long we have and try to give opinions on others but those 2 really stuck out.

    PS: Krafla is looking kinda sketchy too with his claims but I'll have to re-read the OP and figure out what the hell he's claiming.

  • Any posts asking the thread to do something are less assertive/leader-y. See the end of this post, there's much less direction, and it's not "Hey thread, you have been doing x which is bad and we need to be doing y now." It's "everyone talk about this thing that is kind of a side issue." - + Show Spoiler +
    On March 14 2013 01:07 Sn0_Man wrote:
    Ehhh... There is something to be said for claiming 1-shots since Krafla certainly never expected to be anything other than a green after he claimed. The fact that he was roleblocked (by mafia?) was horrendously unfortunate but shouldn't affect the theory behind it. I'm not sure that there is that much real value to a pre-claim like that but I also don't see any huge cost (1/10 chance or something like that).

    Repeating roles probably shouldn't claim until it is either A) saving their ass or B) nailing scum.

    PS: Only 1 person claimed roleblock last night? So either both the RB and the JK targetted the same person (Krafla, if we believe him) OR the RB/JK prevented the other RB/JK from happening (didn't happen based on Krafla), OR either the RB or JK was a 1 shot affair (seems dumb to spend that night 1...?)

    I'd like to hear what other people think of the RB scenarios. Unless somebody hasn't claimed being RB'ed yet?
  • Shows concern with outside-the-game rules regarding referencing ongoing games. This post is also like...part leader-y, part scumread-y, but in a different way. He's gives his thoughts, says what he's going to do, but not in a conversational style, he doesn't furthering anything outside of promising activity later, ... just read it - + Show Spoiler +
    On March 14 2013 23:36 Sn0_Man wrote:
    Show nested quote +
    On March 14 2013 21:08 Frorgon wrote:
    On March 14 2013 11:32 Sn0_Man wrote:
    At this point I really want to hear some kind of defense out of omni before I continue researching him. He hasn't had any real pressure on him previously so this ought to tell us a lot. On the other hand, he scrubbed out of my last mafia game with him due to PC issues so who knows whats up...


    I have a few problems with this post. One being that you want some defense from Omni before you research him. Don't wait for the defense, do research first, make a case, then ask for a defense. Back it up with a vote. If you're not gonna research anything before you hear a defense, why should Omni stop lurking? Also, I'm pretty sure referencing past games in this thread is a no-no and WoS was already warned for doing it.


    Referencing ONGOING games is taboo. Past games are legit. Feel free to PM a host to confirm.

    I'm still not 100% sold on Omni being scum, so I want to hear him defend himself. I then want to go through his filter in light of his defense and try to poke holes in it. I'd say that we have enough accusations in front of him that if he DOESN'T respond its probably correct to just lynch him. Digging through his filter and deciding that he looks townie doesn't help because again, it is absolutely not my job to deflect pressure from another player. They need to stand up to it and show us who they are.

    In other news, it looks like some consolidation is happening, which is good. I'll read through the cases in a bit.

    I never vote without very serious intent to lynch. At this point I don't feel like I can say with certainty who we should lynch today so I'm not voting until I'm reasonably sure. I still feel like somebody has got to be responsible for the mislynch yesterday and you are going to have a hard time convincing me that that is MLuneth... (I still think it's either geript for mucking up the thread or, as others are pointing out, Omni but he won't defend himself...)

    Actually, it feels a bit like Omni is getting out of this lynch by... being afk? :/ So we target somebody else because they respond... (admittedly, MLuneth seems to be digging himself a hole every time he opens his mouth).

    PS: I haven't made any real cases because I wanted to experience how all of you are playing in real time. Re-reading the thread and/or simple filter-diving leaves out a lot of important context. As I feel like I'm getting a better grip on players I feel like I can make decent cases that have a real chance of nailing scum.

  • His only real case as scum. Identities a post, looks at the guy's vote, analyzes. A lot of the analysis is...very pointed though. Accuses the guy of "posting silly garbage," playing the noob card, blatant sheeping, garbage again, throwing crap, "okay bro, thanks" (when the guy he's building a case on asked sn0 to post). Note that the conclusion is still kind of wishy-washy. I want to lynch this guy (not his case), think the guy I made a case on is more scummy than the lead vote-getters, will revisit when I return. Lack of conversation, lack of follow-up - + Show Spoiler +
    On March 15 2013 01:53 Sn0_Man wrote:
    Alright, after going through some filters, I noticed something funny.

    Bduddy, who has done stone nothing all game, has received a completely free ride.

    Day 1, he lurks around and is "busy IRL" (often true but also often a scum excuse to lurk). He eventually gets on the popular wagon after AD essentially scum-claims. After day 1 he has successfully blended in and looks pretty null.

    Night 1, he posts some silly garbage about ##Unvoting and stuff, no real contribution ("Saving it for the day" or some garbage).

    Day 2, he is quick to cast suspicion on a perfectly legitimate blue-claim by Krafla. When there is an uncontested blue claim, that is a pretty easy confirmed town since it's pretty suicidal to false-claim there as scum. Bduddy doesn't want Krafla's claim to be accepted, despite the fact that it is an uncontested blue claim. Thats REALLY scummy.

    Beyond that, Bduddy feels the need to post things like this:
    Show nested quote +
    On March 10 2013 11:26 bduddy wrote:
    The main difference was that CoS posted nothing, AD posted scummy posts. CoS definitely needs to remain under suspicion, but it's possible at this point that he's just away from the Internet for some reason.


    Cluttering up the thread with comments on somebody who just replaced out. Admittedly this could be a simple mistake but it still doesn't look very good.

    Next up, bduddy's day 2 vote:

    Show nested quote +
    On March 11 2013 06:35 bduddy wrote:
    On March 11 2013 06:20 WaveofShadow wrote:
    On March 11 2013 06:19 bduddy wrote:
    On March 11 2013 06:04 Frorgon wrote: Especially considering that the roleblock was not likely placed on the mafia.

    How do you get that? The mafia almost certainly chose to kill someone last night - the only reason they didn't is that they were roleblocked. This game doesn't have a doctor.
    Or if the roleblocker was able to RB the mafia with kill power, the mafia roleblocker would use that information to roleblock him and ensure that the kill goes through next time.
    All mafia have kill power in this game (read the PMs). Unless there's only one mafia left, which is highly unlikely, it's not going to be the same guy killing next time. Yes, I know that someone who claimed town RB right now would obviously become a mafia target, but if we get a mafia out of that I think that's a good trade for us.

    Wrong, bduddy. Chances are very slim that we have both a RB and a JK; that would most likely be imbalanced. The JK protected me (I was roleblocked) which is why there was no kill last night.
    ...yeah, that does make sense as well, I had forgotten about your post. Sorry for acting like such an idiot, I'm just not used to playing with roles like this (or serious Mafia games at all, really). Considering that all of my other cases have been shit, I'm starting to come around to the arguments about MeatlessTaco. In fact, until he comes up with some good answers,
    ##Vote: MeatlessTaco


    First, he plays the noob card. "Im sorry i'm bad and my cases are bad don't hold me to standards just let me be useless to town"...
    Next, Blatant sheep: "I trust you guys my cases are bad here let me sound legit as I put my vote on a Town player"

    What kind of garbage is that? He never even attempts to justify this vote, he just leaves it there while also pointing fingers at virtually half the thread with posts like:
    Show nested quote +
    On March 11 2013 06:52 bduddy wrote:
    On March 11 2013 06:41 geript wrote:
    @bduddy You were the one to initially bring up the OE defenses of Artic. You ALSO brought up how OE wasn't really trying to push his Taco case. Do you not like my case vs OE?
    Don't worry, I'm still keeping my eye on OE - we have time, after all. But MT's posting has just been terrible in general, and I want to see what he has to say about the accusations against him.

    And
    Show nested quote +
    On March 11 2013 10:43 bduddy wrote:
    I mean... Matriarch also is by far the worst lurker left. If she comes back in a similar manner as AD, well, hopefully we can end up with the same result (unless scum/AWOLs mean we can't switch fast enough...)

    Then,
    Show nested quote +
    On March 11 2013 15:13 bduddy wrote:
    On March 11 2013 14:05 Rainbows wrote:
    I'd rather lynch Geript than OE. We should also kll MLuneth gogogo vote him.
    ...WTF is up with you? I know you've been active (occasionally) and tried to provoke responses out of people, but you're getting ridiculous at this point, and I don't mean ridiculously helpful.

    Nowhere is he trying to push a read, he's just throwing shit everywhere. And nobody calls him out on it anymore (after his previous "I'm so sorry I noob let me sheep plz" vote on taco everybody was content that he had his vote down... derp).

    Immediately after the mislynch he is super-eager to get matriarch mod-killed instead of replaced, with posts like
    Show nested quote +
    On March 12 2013 10:48 bduddy wrote:
    Going by the rules Matriarch has to be modkilled, so that will also be... somewhat useful, at least.

    and
    Show nested quote +
    On March 13 2013 02:45 bduddy wrote:I don't want to try to get too much into the motivations of the host, but it seems more likely that he would refuse to modkill Matriarch if she was mafia

    Its fairly clear that Bduddy is a bit over-interested in getting people mod-killed instead of a more town-favoured replacement (modkills are statistically more likely to harm town than help them).

    Since then, he has made a total of 5 posts.

    The first was "Sn0_man make posts plz". Okay bro, thanks for the tip... :/

    The next 2 were yet another blatant attempt to discredit our uncontested blue claim... (seriously, scum don't blue-claim like that. It makes no sense).

    The last 2 took an entire day to make between them...

    one was trying to describe Rainbow's silly vote on geript as "Pressuring" MLuneth... basically not a post.

    The last one was this:

    Show nested quote +
    On March 14 2013 15:02 bduddy wrote:
    I agree with Rainbow's case on MLuneth, his last post was just ridiculous. His AD "coin flip" vote seems suspicious to me (an easy way to say "but I voted for him early!" (ed. note: saying you're voting for someone because of a coin flip and then quickly switching is not a good way to "pressure" someone) and his last post just makes absolutely no sense in the context of what he actually did D1. He never switched his vote back to AD, and has been defending OE (who I'm still very suspicious of) for the whole game. Also, he hasn't contributed particularly much in general; his incredibly weak "case" on geript is based mostly on more OE defending and the fact that he voted MT... you know, like most of the rest of the town.

    ##Vote: MLuneth


    Back to sheepville where he basically copy+pastes the highlights of rainbows case and calls it a wrap. Calls out MLuneth for making a weak case despite not having made any real case since... Day 1. Happy to park his vote on what is clearly the going wagon at the moment. This just strikes me wrong.

    At this point, I'm having a hard time really deciding who I think is most likely to be scum. Really, I'd like to lynch geript today for blatantly shitting up the thread, but that clearly isn't going to happen. I honestly think Bduddy is more likely to be scum than either Omni or MLuneth, so I'm presenting my case on him, but there seems to be a lot of confirmation bias going on in this thread already directed at those 2.

    Again, I'll revisit omni once he returns to the thread, and while I don't disagree with some of the points brought up on MLuneth his lynch just looks too easy right now. It might be the right one, but in all my previous games the easy wagon has been the wrong one.

    PS: Oh god that was long



Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 08 2013 20:53 GMT
#1895
As to sn0_man's play THIS game, that post was too big so this game gets a separate one.


(1) Has sn0_man taken a leader role at all, posted in the same authoritative tone? No. Not that I have seen. On D1 he even asks what the plan was, not seeking to have a role in creating the plan.

(2) Does he substantiate his scumreads? No. Spoilered, because there are a lot of questionable reads when compared to his posting in other games. + Show Spoiler +
On April 09 2013 00:50 Sn0_Man wrote:
HI guys.

I AFK every weekend.

Of the possible lynches today, I think I'm going to vote for VE. Artanis is present and his arguments make enough sense. I agree with the logic that scum using a re-usable day-vig today on a powerful Jack role (When their only other option was basically geript the VT) is enough in itself and doesn't change the arguments for or against artanis.

I'll read Shevlocke/Sinani filters and see if there is anything glaring there. 10 hours to lynch I think so we have a bit of time.
Doesn't want to vote Artanis. Going to vote for VE. Why? He hasn't said why, never mentioned VE before now.

On April 09 2013 01:07 Sn0_Man wrote:
How abouts we lynch sinani instead. His filter is 1 page + 2 posts, everybody can afford to go through it.

His interactions with gonzaw's claim are really bad (like, extremely scum-motivated), and he demonstrates that he is actually reading yet he fails to write more than 1 line except an easy bandwagon on to S&B when his lynch looked popular.

PS: Shevlocke really looks like a bad lynch to me. His posts look like he is reading and thinking about the game, and they look pretty insightful. I want to give him a chance N1/D2 to achieve something. I think I'd lynch VE before him.

Either way, I'm off to find the voting topic. Since it seems customary to do this here as well,

##Vote: sinani206
Wants to vote sinani, not VE. Still no explanation from sn0_man of why he'd like to vote VE. No particular posts of sinani's pointed out. Barely any analysis of sinani's filter, which although short, has some posts that you could actually analyze.

When I asked him to substantiate his reads, because I felt they were super-airy, he...barely complied:
On April 09 2013 02:41 Sn0_Man wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 09 2013 02:33 austinmcc wrote:
(1) What interactions with Gonzaw were scum-motivated?
(2) Which posts look like Shelvocke is reading and thinking the game? Which are insightful?


(1) He has made 3 total posts since gonzaw's claim. First, he asks gonzaw to kill Bill Murray, a subject of no discussion that wouldn't really shed any light on the game. It isn't who he is voting for and his only justification is "I have no meta on him but I think he is scummy" (thats his second post). His third is basically asking gonzaw to full roleclaim (which, in light of scum clearly having an assassin, is extremely scummy. Nothing from him since then.
On April 09 2013 02:54 Sn0_Man wrote:
(2) I dunno, his filter?

If you are really needy, just read his last post:
Show nested quote +
On April 08 2013 17:18 Shelvocke wrote:
I think yamato shot gonzaw. I can't prove it, but it's the explanation that makes best sense to me right now going by people's reactions. I'm not entirely sure if he's the kind of person who would do that as town, but just skimming through the last normalish town game of his (Town Aint Big Mafia), I think it's entirely possible. Going to sleep on this, but that's where I'm at right now.


Even if he is insane and or making stuff up, its fairly clear that he is reading and thinking the game and is thus contributing quite a bit more than Sinani (and VE, to be honest). I'd rather have him in the game Day 2 than either of the other 2. He was trying to figure out what person shot gonzaw when really nobody else was thinking that way.

Really, my argument isn't that Shelvocke isn't scum, its that he is a better player to have in the thread come day 2 than sinani or VE based off of play so far. My scum-identification rate is really bad.
Those posts do NOT feel like town sn0 justifying his reads. He seems...reluctant to even GIVE reads, when before he often explains reads clearly.
On April 09 2013 02:58 Sn0_Man wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 09 2013 02:53 strongandbig wrote:
hey sno-man a few pages back sharrant and i each shared our reads on obviousone. wanna join the "trying to be less lurky" party? poop us out a read on obviousone


"Hey Sn0 give us a read on every person in the thread" no fuck you I don't like big games.

I think Sinani is the best lynch today and there is my vote. Other people I don't like (but don't expect to lynch either) include oatsmaster and to an extent bill murray.

I joined this PYP because its PYP so hopefully some interesting stuff happens tonight. I'm more interested in cool roles and interactions and that stuff and less interested in the traditional mafia scumhunt. I've played all my games with an eye towards solving stuff (with logic and blue roles) rather than having good reads on people.
No strongandbig, you can't have my reads. I think sinani is the best lynch The End. Mentions oats and Bill Murray. Does he mention VE anymore? The guy who was his top candidate earlier that he's never explained (and who just flipped mafia)? No. No mention of VE.

Finally mentions VE after being directly asked to:
On April 09 2013 03:39 Sn0_Man wrote:
He looks useless this game, but from what I could tell the heart of all the arguments against him are meta arguments, which I can't comment on because I've never played a game with him nor have I read one sufficiently to have any meta on him.

I have a pretty null read on him, but I'll say that he is a better lynch than artanis (who has not cleared himself but who has at least put up a real defense) and a better lynch than many other people simply because of the amount of discussion surrounding him (aka it would be an informative lynch as compared to, say, a shevlocke lynch which I don't see as producing much valuable information by flipping). Which is why as I've said I may vote VE if it comes to that. Right now I want people to lynch Sinani though so I'm in no rush to vote VE.
VE useless and now looks null. He doesn't ACTUALLY explain his read on VE, look at this. He dismisses his ability to look at meta on VE, but he provides no analysis at all of VE's filter this game. VE inactive, but has posted. sn0 doesn't even look at the posts on someone he was scummy on and now is null.


The interactions with a read on VE look particularly bad in light of that flip. He wants to lynch VE, for unknown reasons, then sinani instead of artanis/VE/shelvocke. Oats and BM are scummy, VE has fallen off the list. When Pushed to talk about VE, VE is null, with no real explanation given, and the post is steered away from VE. Absolutely no substantiation of ANY VE read, and a desire to avoid the subject.

(3) Does he ever ask questions of others? In this game, he asks these weak questions with no target, just sort of general "help me out guys" questions - + Show Spoiler +
On April 05 2013 14:38 Sn0_Man wrote:
Was there a consensus as to what I was picking first? No i'm not doing a silly "deny" pick like janitor.

Show nested quote +
On April 06 2013 10:09 Sn0_Man wrote:
less than 1 Hour to pick submission deadline right?

Show nested quote +
On April 09 2013 01:22 Sn0_Man wrote:
How does caller get away with bullshit like that?

I picked 1,1, he knows it, I've outed it to the thread before and during the game. This frustrates me...

Show nested quote +
On April 09 2013 04:09 Sn0_Man wrote:
Wait, did day end early or was I just completely wrong as to what time things were happening?

Show nested quote +
On April 09 2013 04:27 Sn0_Man wrote:
So showtime was also used as far as I can tell because thats the only thing that ends days instantly that I could find. Unless caller got a character bonus somehow?
There is a question targeted at Caller about why he's playing as he's playing, as well as a question at geript asking him why he chose NRA member. Those are the only two targeted questions though that look like he's actively trying to connect with someone, get a particular person's insight, etc.

(4) Is he conversational at all? No. He mainly just complains, without really interacting. When he interacts with someone, he doesn't have the back and forth that occurred in some of his other games. + Show Spoiler +
On April 04 2013 14:28 Sn0_Man wrote:
WELP I wasn't expecting any kind of serious activity during this draft phase

Ah well I'll read it all tomorrow. My numbers are already submitted as promised anyway.
Show nested quote +
On April 05 2013 14:38 Sn0_Man wrote:
Was there a consensus as to what I was picking first? No i'm not doing a silly "deny" pick like janitor.

I'm not really in any hurry to share my pick but if we came to a solid consensus I'll pick it.

This thread is a lot longer than I expected during the draft phase though .

Show nested quote +
On April 06 2013 10:09 Sn0_Man wrote:
Also I really didn't want to read 45 boring pages of random plans that are easily influenced by scum and are also mostly neutered by scum knowing about them...

Show nested quote +
On April 06 2013 13:37 Sn0_Man wrote:
Oh god the spam

Show nested quote +
On April 09 2013 02:54 Sn0_Man wrote:
(2) I dunno, his filter?

If you are really needy, just read his last post:

Show nested quote +
On April 08 2013 17:18 Shelvocke wrote:
I think yamato shot gonzaw. I can't prove it, but it's the explanation that makes best sense to me right now going by people's reactions. I'm not entirely sure if he's the kind of person who would do that as town, but just skimming through the last normalish town game of his (Town Aint Big Mafia), I think it's entirely possible. Going to sleep on this, but that's where I'm at right now.


Even if he is insane and or making stuff up, its fairly clear that he is reading and thinking the game and is thus contributing quite a bit more than Sinani (and VE, to be honest). I'd rather have him in the game Day 2 than either of the other 2. He was trying to figure out what person shot gonzaw when really nobody else was thinking that way.

Really, my argument isn't that Shelvocke isn't scum, its that he is a better player to have in the thread come day 2 than sinani or VE based off of play so far. My scum-identification rate is really bad.

On April 09 2013 02:58 Sn0_Man wrote:
"Hey Sn0 give us a read on every person in the thread" no fuck you I don't like big games.

On April 09 2013 03:08 Sn0_Man wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 09 2013 03:06 strongandbig wrote:
you can't just say 'fuck you im not going to play'


Thats absolutely not what I said but w/e.




I don't get the sense that his play this game matches his town play in newbie games. His reads are rare, and don't have the same weight behind them as his reads in other game had. I don't see any desire to take a leader-y role, in fact, I see a desire to blend in and ask bland, general questions. I don't see concern with elements of mafia in general, a number-picking plan, role-picking plan, thinks that I might expect him to be interested in given his interest in balance/calculating MYLO/LYLO, etc.

According to his own post, he joined a PYP game for the PYP aspect. The powers, the usage, etc. He got THE NUMBER ONE PICK. I know I would have been super excited at that. He is ... almost UPSET at that. He complains that he got first pick. He complains that the thread is moving too fast, that he's being asked for reads. HE IS THE FIRST PICK. HE JOINED FOR THE PICKING AND THE POWERS. It shouldn't matter what else is happening, he should be delighted. He should be going, "Fuck yeah, first pick. I got to deny an important role or take an important role and I'ma have fun with it." Not complaining.

This is...small but important to me.
On April 07 2013 07:30 Sn0_Man wrote:
Oats looks dirtier to me than any1 else right now :/

People think vivax is scum because he's always best mislynch.

sn0_man has only played newbie games. He specifically said he couldn't do anything with the VE meta comments because he didn't know VE's meta.

Look closely at that post. He knows that people always find vivax scummy, and that vivax is always a good mislynch.

How does he know this? How does he know how vivax plays, how people interact with vivax? He shot down knowing how VE plays, didn't care about it. But he does know vivax's past games. How, when he hasn't played in any of them? Perhaps he's got some folks saying outside the thread that vivax is a juicy mislynch most games?


Okay, I keep trying to fix some quote tags above but they are being cooperative. Anyway, read his posts even through the messed-up quote tags. I do NOT get the town indicators, I don't get a sense he cares about the game, is conversational and cheerful, substantiates his reads. I DO get that his reads are more fluffy, less anchored to any concrete posts and analysis. I think his VE dancing looks really bad in light of that flip. I think his attitude has been bad, which conflicts with his positive attitude in other games AND his self-proclaimed desire to want to play a PYP (FIRST PICK ZOMG!!!!!).

I see a weird comment where he knows Vivax's playstyle despite never having played with him.

I see an utter lack of happiness that we just killed 2 scum on D1. Look at his response to the flip. Nonexistant. Just wants to start plinking away at emporer vs. vote rigger, but no reaction AT ALL to the flips. Avoids em.


He has no other big games. He has no games where he's scum from the start. So there's not a fantastic comparison. But I see sn0_man. It's all the comparing I can do, and his play within this game, aside from his play past games - the vivax comment, the lack of flip-talk, his "read" on VE...it don't look good. It look scummy.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 08 2013 20:55 GMT
#1897
On April 09 2013 05:52 geript wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 09 2013 00:56 austinmcc wrote:
On April 09 2013 00:50 Oatsmaster wrote:
On April 09 2013 00:48 austinmcc wrote:
WEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEEOOOWEE

It is not terribly important whether this is similar to the yamato/kurumi shot in Personality 2. This is a different game, and I don't think either of you can go from proving your point as to whether it's similar --> scumhunting effectively in this game.

So please, drop it.

You are liking your role as 'thread police' slightly too much.
have less fun please.

Lynch VE?
I like to have fun.

In all honesty, I'm considering VE. I still believe shelvocke to be mafia, and I like that lynch a lot. Much of the case on VE is that he hasn't been doing anything, which is NOT something that I expect from mafia-VE, honestly. However, it's not something that I expect from town-VE, especially if geript is telling the truth and SOMEONE up at the top is an NRA member (I agree with the sentiment that if someone at the top took that role, it's likely VE OR shelvocke (again, shelvocke is pretty clearly a smurf and people seem to be overlooking that)).

Any reason in particular why I should lynch VE over shelvocke?

This post looks to me exactly like: I want to try and get a Shelvocke mislynch, but to not out myself as I feel VE is dead regardless I don't want to close the door on me being able to vote for him to not look scummy. It essentially says "Well if we can believe geript then VE likely took NRA and that makes him scum OR Shelvocke who drafted 16th took it and Shelvocke is a smurf so he should be given more attention."
That post is actually me messing up "s" names in this game and not double-checking. The 16th pick bit, anyway.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 08 2013 21:13 GMT
#1903
On April 09 2013 06:04 Sn0_Man wrote:
@Austin: Vivax e-famous for making no sense

All my relevant posts are in a short period I recommend you read that period rather than from filter because context is important.

Either way, the comment on VE was when there were essentially 2 candidates (VE/Artanis) and I felt VE was a better lynch. Later, I very clearly said VE is NULL to me but a better lynch than most purely for information purposes. So I was willing to vote VE but didn't see him as scummy.

Some other people mentioned going after Sinani/Shelvocke so I poked through their filters and decided Sinani was the best lynch.

I still think oats looks bad but there is no movement to lynch him so I'm leaving that read on the backburner.

I don't waltz into a thread and demand answers after posting essentially nothing for 48 hours, and I don't try to "lead" people whose play I respect.
Still uncomfortable with the vivax comment. VE e-famous for certain actions as well. And vivax making no sense =/= mislynched all day urrday. Not sure about this, but he's seemed less mislynched in recent games than in earlier games, although yeah, he can be a bit nonsensical at times.


I am not understanding why you can feel someone is a good lynch when they are null to you. I am not understanding wanting to lynch a null read for information D1 when we are absolutely certain that this game contains 5 or more scum. Being willing to vote someone you don't find scummy is...questionable at best.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 09 2013 00:52 GMT
#1975
On April 09 2013 09:47 Vivax wrote:
Don't think scum was defending Artanis anyway, it was futile, I was already doing the job for them and they saw it didn't work.


On April 09 2013 09:14 Vivax wrote:
You think Oats, austin, Sno_man is really the final scumteam?it's kinda the thing that falls spontaneously in mind. No particular reason.
On April 09 2013 09:19 Vivax wrote:
RO.

Oats, austin Sno final scumteam.

Thoughts?
Welcome to the game, Vivax.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 09 2013 01:12 GMT
#1994
On April 09 2013 09:59 Vivax wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
On April 09 2013 09:52 austinmcc wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 09 2013 09:47 Vivax wrote:
Don't think scum was defending Artanis anyway, it was futile, I was already doing the job for them and they saw it didn't work.


Show nested quote +
On April 09 2013 09:14 Vivax wrote:
You think Oats, austin, Sno_man is really the final scumteam?it's kinda the thing that falls spontaneously in mind. No particular reason.
Show nested quote +
On April 09 2013 09:19 Vivax wrote:
RO.

Oats, austin Sno final scumteam.

Thoughts?
Welcome to the game, Vivax.


Hi.
Don't put too much importance into that mix, I pulled it out of my hat. I'm in a trolly mood.
I'm serious about what I wrote about MZ and yamato though. I actually read a little of their filters before posting.

I'm not putting any importance on that mix. I'm welcoming you to the game, because those were very Vivaxy posts and I smiled at them.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 10 2013 00:51 GMT
#2173
I actually really figured that either you or gonzaw would have made good on your claims to go after inventor. Gonna be so sad if nothing shows up with the daypost
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 10 2013 13:54 GMT
#2457
Hooray for catching up.

Thanks MZ, you're a real sweetheart. Given the number of people who popped in, I'll assume we have no Russia and play today as best I can.


(1) Don't lynch sn0_man, he's town

(2) If you're town, please STOP THROWING KP AROUND. Or at the very least, claim it BEFORE the kills go through. It is far more likely that we can catch some scum this game based on claims/actions/roles than in a normal game, and the more unclaimed KP we have the harder it is to figure things out AND the more you fix scum's biggest disadvantage this game. We took out 2 friggin' roles that could kill people, scum had a janitor, so AT MOST they have 2 roles left with KP. Stop making it easier for them and IF you're going to throw around KP, claim it.

(3) There are two anti-claim KP roles in the game. Assassin has already flipped, leaving only BC, who has 2 shots and can only shoot once a cycle. There are ALSO a couple anti-claim roles built in with role swapper/thief. HOWEVER, role swapper and thief are both NIGHT ACTIONS. If anyone got swapped or stolen, you should claim NOW. If nobody claims, it's likely neither role is present in the game, imo. At the very least, the worst thing that a scum swapper/thief can do is swap roles with someone N2, which is a long way off.

(4) Because there's only one possible claim-KP role left, with limited shots once per cycle, and because nobody claimed getting a role stolen, I think we're in the clear to start claiming, or at least will be very soon. Nobody should start doing it yet, because it needs to be somewhat organized, but based on artanis's death and the lack of claimed night actions, it looks like the coast is clear.

(5) Everyone talking about scum numbers needs to remember that people could have chosen traitor and reclusive traitor. It's possibly they have more than 5 members, but without any extra power roles at that point. Don't forget this, but it's a concern for later.

(6) BM, you looked super-townie to me on D1 based on what you were doing. If you're town, then right now you're providing less of a service and you're more just spamming the thread. Can you knock that off? If you want to be active and spammy, go back to D1 BM posting.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 10 2013 14:03 GMT
#2458
Also, to everyone who has "plans" or "traps" or is fakeclaiming or all that other crap, please knock it off.

We killed two scum D1 and lost one townie in the process. We took a massive advantage. It LOOKS like we killed at least one scum overnight, given the usage of the janitor power.

At this point, scum is limited in being able to plan. Scum is limited in being able to exert any power over town. The more any townie spreads misinformation, fake claims, sets traps, whatever, the more chaotic the thread is and the easier it is to hide in it.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 10 2013 14:13 GMT
#2461
On April 10 2013 23:10 Bill Murray wrote:
yes I think SnB is scum
ok i will quit posting for you austin, see you all at night

You should unvote sn0. He's town.

What you were doing D1 was helpful, and probably would be so again once today's discussion picks up somewhat and we get more votes.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 10 2013 14:15 GMT
#2462
Gonna get a little work done. Those posts were just some basic setup/thread thoughts, but there's no scumhunting from me yet today and my best suspect from the end of yesterday is off the table for me.

Gonna clear my head for a few hours and be productive, then come back and be more active. Please think about whether mass claiming (probably from the bottom up, in an orderly manner, so as to make it more risky to fakeclaim for scum) makes sense to you and whether there are downsides that I'm not seeing.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 10 2013 14:27 GMT
#2467
On April 10 2013 23:23 Mocsta wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 10 2013 23:15 austinmcc wrote:
Gonna get a little work done. Those posts were just some basic setup/thread thoughts, but there's no scumhunting from me yet today and my best suspect from the end of yesterday is off the table for me.

Gonna clear my head for a few hours and be productive, then come back and be more active. Please think about whether mass claiming (probably from the bottom up, in an orderly manner, so as to make it more risky to fakeclaim for scum) makes sense to you and whether there are downsides that I'm not seeing.

Sorry Austin.

Im not against "hard to reads" claiming. Or if the information is useful (e.g. Kei -> checked Austin)

But I am not planning to claim. I think my actions should make me probably town for most, if not all.

Hence: My role *may* or *may not* have more to offer. I prefer to keep scum on their toes with that.

This is true of the VAST majority of roles. Most of the benefit to claiming is to force claims/fake claims early, to be able to potentially catch people in that way, to potentially be able to confirm certain players based on roles and whatnot, and also to coordinate actions. At this point it's a very large group against a small one, checking different targets, protecting valuable targets, etc., has some value.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 10 2013 14:42 GMT
#2474
On April 10 2013 23:38 Mocsta wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 10 2013 23:27 austinmcc wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
On April 10 2013 23:23 Mocsta wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 10 2013 23:15 austinmcc wrote:
Gonna get a little work done. Those posts were just some basic setup/thread thoughts, but there's no scumhunting from me yet today and my best suspect from the end of yesterday is off the table for me.

Gonna clear my head for a few hours and be productive, then come back and be more active. Please think about whether mass claiming (probably from the bottom up, in an orderly manner, so as to make it more risky to fakeclaim for scum) makes sense to you and whether there are downsides that I'm not seeing.

Sorry Austin.

Im not against "hard to reads" claiming. Or if the information is useful (e.g. Kei -> checked Austin)

But I am not planning to claim. I think my actions should make me probably town for most, if not all.

Hence: My role *may* or *may not* have more to offer. I prefer to keep scum on their toes with that.

This is true of the VAST majority of roles. Most of the benefit to claiming is to force claims/fake claims early, to be able to potentially catch people in that way, to potentially be able to confirm certain players based on roles and whatnot, and also to coordinate actions. At this point it's a very large group against a small one, checking different targets, protecting valuable targets, etc., has some value.

Well, according to BC.

Your dead in 36hr.

You might as well claim?
I'm going to.

But in general, because of the way picking works and what I remember about other PYP games, you want claiming to be from the bottom up. That way any player who wants to try and fakeclaim takes a big risk - if player 20 claims role x and player 10 claims role x, one is lying. You can't be SAFE fake claiming, because someone may actually have that role above you.

Adding more risk to fake claiming, forcing more truth = good. If I claim my role right now, scum know not to fakeclaim that role if they're below me. So yeah, you'll get a claim from me today, either on its own or as part of an overall scheme, but if we're going to massclaim, doing so in an organized manner is best.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 10 2013 15:37 GMT
#2500
oats, and anyone else, should be 180ing on sno because he's town. Whether you trust me or not on that point, I'm getting nuked and going to die, so at the very least it doesn't matter what the heck you think about sno. You'll see me flip, you'll see what I know, and then you can accuse sn0 of being scum or committing genocide or being the guy who made the decision for pluto to not be a planet anymore, but do so ON D3. Until then, drop sn0, look elsewhere, but do so productively.

I think my new plan for big games is to stop trying to have scumreads because this is two games in a row I've just been bass-ackward, and start cat herding.

Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 10 2013 15:50 GMT
#2505
On April 11 2013 00:40 Oatsmaster wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 11 2013 00:37 austinmcc wrote:
oats, and anyone else, should be 180ing on sno because he's town. Whether you trust me or not on that point, I'm getting nuked and going to die, so at the very least it doesn't matter what the heck you think about sno. You'll see me flip, you'll see what I know, and then you can accuse sn0 of being scum or committing genocide or being the guy who made the decision for pluto to not be a planet anymore, but do so ON D3. Until then, drop sn0, look elsewhere, but do so productively.

I think my new plan for big games is to stop trying to have scumreads because this is two games in a row I've just been bass-ackward, and start cat herding.



You were scum in personality 2. Was that not your last big game?

Also claim please
To be fair, my "scumreads" in Personality 2 were also bass-ackwards, but that was on purpose. So we can make it my last 3 games if you want

But my last town game was LIX where I legitimately just did everything wrong, and despite trying not to do so here today, most of the reads I focused on were wrong (assuming that shelvocke is town by association, which seems likely except I still hate the fact that someone who felt it necessary to smurf is doing jack all and so the only things that make him look town are scum actions, not his own, imo).

If nobody has major qualms about claiming or can see ways in which this can go Seriously Wrong™, then we will claim and whatnot. But we have a full cycle. It seems more valuable to scumhunt normally, to make people hunt/look like they're hunting/get cool new thoughts into thread, and THEN claim, and then use BOTH to make our lynch decisions today. If we claim early in the cycle, then the cycle becomes only about claiming, and scum can't hide in claiming but can hide in the discussion.

I actually only wanted to see if anyone could think of serious downsides, because I haven't found any, and I think it solidifies the advantage we should have going into today/coming out of yesterday. But I'm starting to realize it can warp discussion/scumhunting, and so may be better to put off.

All that is to say I need to shutup and scumhunt, but I don't seem to be able to resist the urge to herd.

YAH! CATS! YAH!
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 10 2013 17:05 GMT
#2571
On April 11 2013 02:02 geript wrote:
Yup, still seeing no reason to move my votes.
Do explain.

You're voting the guy nuking me AND the guy I'm more-than-hinting I checked last night and got a town result.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 10 2013 17:41 GMT
#2581
On April 11 2013 02:30 geript wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 11 2013 02:05 austinmcc wrote:
On April 11 2013 02:02 geript wrote:
Yup, still seeing no reason to move my votes.
Do explain.

You're voting the guy nuking me AND the guy I'm more-than-hinting I checked last night and got a town result.

I see no reason to believe your claim.
You don't have to. There's a mod announcement that I'm getting nuked. At the end of D2, I will die. Janitor has been used, so I will die and flip.

It doesn't matter whether you believe my claim or not, you will see what I am at the end of the day.

Since you're going to be able to confirm my claim anyway, why would you lynch someone TODAY based on not believing me, when you can just as easily lynch them tomorrow if I'm lying?
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 10 2013 17:46 GMT
#2584
On April 11 2013 02:42 Vivax wrote:
Austin, did you have weapons of mass destruction after all?
Wut?
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 10 2013 18:33 GMT
#2593
I had read the BC role like Keirathi, seeing as most of the roles that require posting in thread say that you activate by posting x in thread. Without magic words to post, it seemed like the role worked behind the scenes.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 10 2013 19:58 GMT
#2619
So, we'll have to wait to confirm with BM, but if he picked justice vigi and wasn't role stolen, he shot caller and is alive so caller was mafia and BM is near-confirmed, given that it's...not a great role for mafia to take.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 10 2013 20:14 GMT
#2624
On April 11 2013 05:09 Sn0_Man wrote:
Hmm, so anybody with a Role (no alignment necessary) check may wish to use it on BM tonight for confirmation. (Justice vig = town, not JV = scum)

Beyond that, it's possible he got his role stolen by the guy who prevents use the night he steals, but BM was like 20th pick so no thief in their right mind targets him. Plus I thought BM would be informed of this and would share it .
We know that SOMEONE took the justice vigi role, or yamato is lying and taking a sizeable risk, given that he's got to claim early.

BM probably not a good check based on that, plus, justice vigi is a role that confirms himself. Janitor is gone, so either a mafia member dies EVERY night phase, or the justice vigi dies. If you don't see either of those things happen, there is no justice vigi, and yamato is lying and gets lynched. Because the role is compulsive and has a confirmable outcome, there's no need to check whoever claims it. The claim gets verified by the flips in the case of that role.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 10 2013 21:02 GMT
#2631
ALT+0153
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 11 2013 00:00 GMT
#2653
There's a chance keirathi is scum. It's unlikely, but possible. He was weirding me out at the start of this game, but that's gone, and him actually checking me lines up with what was happening (he was suspicious of me yesterday, not pushing me today) rather than him faking a check as scum.

He's waaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaay down the list of folks to look at though.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 11 2013 00:09 GMT
#2655
Should keep moving up on claims. Vivax, shelvocke, mocsta
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 11 2013 00:46 GMT
#2664
On April 11 2013 09:32 Vivax wrote:
I don't really see the purpose in claiming could you enlighten me again?
Scum has a tough time hiding in PYP games because of how number/role picking works.

They can only fakeclaim roles from the OP
IF they fakeclaim a role that someone else has, then they're screwed
IF they fakeclaim VT, they still have to claim what they picked, meaning still can be screwed

So. They can get tripped up trying to fakeclaim, and can find scum just based on who picked when. It also informs any protective roles where they need to be, where checks need to go.

The OP has some roles that are designed to disincentivize claims - Assassin, BloodyCobbler, the thief/role swapper roles. However, the assassin is dead, and BC is two-shot PLUS can't claim BC if scum (at this point, silent day kills = BC and so we'll know what's up), and the thief/role swapper can't do anything until night + have trouble not claiming.

Blah blah blah. We also know that SOME roles are likely to be town. Whoever caused the double lynch yesterday, almost certainly town. Anyone who took justice vigi, almost certainly town. So claiming may well net some confirmed townies, some very likely townies, and quite possibly catches scum or at the very least narrows down their options.

Seeing as they've lost 2-? members, AND one of the role-claim deterrents, it's a good way to force them to claim or be potentially caught, and you can watch for what actions people take later in the game.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 11 2013 00:48 GMT
#2665
On April 11 2013 09:41 Vivax wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 11 2013 09:39 Mocsta wrote:
o vivax thats a twist of events

austin wasnt the strongest scum.cndidate going forward.today

to release the check is protown as its meant to remove an option from discussion so we can focus better


What if I fakeclaim, oh look I tried to pick cop it wasn't available sowwy I'm just a VT.

Nothing going to change if I claim. Scum can lie, and it doesn't make anyone town. I'd rather show I'm town through my actions, not help scum choose their NK targets.
If you fakeclaim cop, and nobody above you claims cop, then you're in trouble.

That's why we're going bottom up, scum CAN'T just fakeclaim and be sure they're good, without giving up multiple members. And even if you do fakeclaim, a number of townies will look good based on what they claim, and so you'll still be in a pile of questionables on a day where there are multiple lynches available.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 11 2013 01:08 GMT
#2673
Except scum KP is low in this game and town most likely has boatloads of night actions. The argument for single lynching is basically the same as NOT using town KP in this game - draw the game out.

It's not the world's worst idea, but people seem to like blasting off their KP.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 11 2013 01:37 GMT
#2687
On April 11 2013 10:33 geript wrote:
The real question is why has Sn0 been against every pro-town plan since the beginning and attacking the only confirmed townie the whole game?
Nope. This is not the question. Knock it off.

If you want to build a case on sn0, go do it. Co-opt my case. Whatever. But, despite him being a big scumread of mine yesterday, I'm pretty much convinced he's town today. You can assume that some sort of terrible nasty plan is in motion here, but I'm pretty damn paranoid and I have reason to believe that there is, in fact, NOT some sort of terrible nasty plan in motion as regards sn0_man.

Sorry, look elsewhere.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 11 2013 12:46 GMT
#2775
On April 11 2013 20:09 Bill Murray wrote:
is austin alive?
I'm alive. Just haven't made the time for this that I should have.

We could very much use your claim. You and a couple others are at the bottom of the order for unclaimed folks. At the very least, you've soft-claimed justice vig so hard that if you're anything else, it's pretty likely you end up getting lynched if the flips don't support a justice vig being in the mix.

Moreover, yamato has claimed VT who tried to pick justice vig, so if claims say we DON'T have one, then we've got a liar. Worthwhile to play along with the claims imo, and actually get them moving forward today.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 11 2013 13:15 GMT
#2777
On April 11 2013 21:50 Vivax wrote:
Are you actually America or Russia?
Hopefully, we get to that. But we should still be moving bottom-up.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 11 2013 13:38 GMT
#2780
On April 11 2013 22:26 Mocsta wrote:
How come everyone is ignoring my points on snb?

Mainly because you went from being sensible and posting clear arguments to putting a lot of spam in the thread and continuously poking at everyone you could I have only been skimming your posts since partway through N1 becuase of that.

Looking things over now.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 11 2013 13:47 GMT
#2782
I popular! (Thanks for claiming vivax)

Bill Murray, Shelvocke, Mocsta, could use claims from you guys.

Mocsta,

I think it's ... absurd to be calling someone "meticulous" apart from like...that dienosore guy's action charts. I think it's even more absurd to be lynching someone because they don't meet your meticulous standard for them. I have played with lurky snb, I've played with snb throwing in joke/dinky little comments.

I do not care that snb typed hahaha in response to Caller.

The VE stuff is better, but at least with the first comment I disagree with your characterization of snb's quote.
On April 07 2013 06:09 strongandbig wrote:
On other news shelvocke is scum?

How has VE been refusing to play? A vote on ve at this point needs way more justification than the sentence he posted.
I read the bolded part differently than you do. I see that as looking for MORE comment on VE, actively opening the door for him to be a continued topic of discussion. I just don't see that as him shutting down discussion. Personally, if I'm really thinking someone is scum, and a third player tells me that my reasoning isn't enough, I need more, I'm dumb enough to go hunting through a filter for more (see me trying to convince gonzaw on shelvocke, etc. etc.). So perhaps it's just a quirk of my play, but I read that one differently.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 11 2013 14:01 GMT
#2784
I don't like snb for scum, more than just looking at your reasons. A few main things:

(1)
On April 08 2013 19:44 strongandbig wrote:
did anyone try to pick assassin and get denied?
This was my first thought upon returning to thread. The dude that shoots roleclaimers just shot. If anyone was denied the assassin role, we can possibly narrow down where the assassin shot came from. This shows, to me, that he was approaching the shot on gonzaw from a townie mindset.

(2) He wanted to lynch between artanis/shelvocke/VE
On April 08 2013 04:52 strongandbig wrote:
anyway before i go back to grading problem sets let me make my positions clear:

at the moment, i am willing to lynch shelvok because his filter reads to me like he's being very "on track" but his justifications for those things are super insufficient.
i am also willing to lynch artanis because gonzaws case seems good and artanis's response doesn't convince me he's town
out of other people who have votes at the moment, i won't support killing palmar or keirathi or ryan.
i would think about killing VE because of how bad his vote on deconduo is but it would take some persuading for me to do that.
On April 08 2013 23:20 strongandbig wrote:
we should absolutely be lynching between artanis, shelvocke, and VE today.
IMO we should be lynching VE.

For a scum that high up to take NRA member instead of some active KP role, they would have to think of themselves as a likely check or other night action target. It doesn't make sense just to have a lurker take it and hope to get vigged instead of lynched.

VE is the only one of the list above geript who is a likely check or vig target but not a likely early lynch.

Plus, if you look at his play it's like he's trying to draw vig shots or dt checks.

He is most likely the scum NRA member.

Plus unlike artanis or shelvocke, if he is the NRA member then there's no hope for investigative roles to clear up the questions about him.

IMO we should lynch ve.
Yes, those were leading candidates, but we know now that AT LEAST 2/3 of them were scum. Whereas you may think that pushing VE over Artanis means saving the more important scumbuddy, I think that putting no real effort into trying to find a third party, or pushing shelvocke/pushing me to push shelvocke as a lynch candidate looks townie. He's making no real effort to push the lynch off scum, to move people away from artanis/VE, and I, for now, find that townie.

(3)
On April 09 2013 02:14 strongandbig wrote:
Another topic - if anyone tried to get traitor and was rejected they should probably claim.

So...maybe I just have a scummy way of thinking about this game/setups, but I have also been keeping traitors in the back of my head. You can interpret this as fishing so that scum can narrow down where any traitors are, but you can also look at this as thinking about the possibility of a traitor and trying to start dealing with that possibility. It's...not a great point either way, but traitors in this game are kind of useless for scum. They don't add KP, so you acting on a traitor to recruit them is giving away an action (on the traitor to recruit him) that you could have used on a townie, for a benefit of...some guy who adds no KP or powers to your lineup.

Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 11 2013 14:05 GMT
#2786
On April 11 2013 23:03 Mocsta wrote:
Vivax.

Who did u parity check Austin with?

I'm not claiming yet as its not my turn. As I said before I crumbed it. So will release when I wake up

We could use it as you're down towards the bottom and things are moving super-slow. The first half of this day was really light from a bunch of us on scumhunting OR doing anything with claims, and the more we hold things up the longer it takes (Pretty sure I just want to blow through them because I'm gonna die and want to see if I can do anything with em, so maybe my sense of urgency is overblown).

Also, parity cop is one person per day in this setup, like normal. So the first day just seeds your second check, it doesn't actually give you a same/different result.

Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 11 2013 14:09 GMT
#2788
On April 11 2013 23:06 Mocsta wrote:
Austin.

Personally I read pointed 1 and 3 as looking for vt to use assassin on.

Its moot as can be taken as townie or scum.

As for point 2. Its all fluff. He says this, he says that, but what does he actually do?

Why does he say he agrees with art an is having scummy points, and then try to push too out of no where, dodging any responsibility with artanis.

His vote doesn't come in till after geript NRA post. So ve was fucked regardless.
Assassin had already been used D1 though, so it wasn't going to be up for an entire cycle. Moreover, SOMEONE on the scum team had some sense and could intuit that Gonzaw was a jack based on his claimed KP and the fact he was sure he'd live until D2 to maybe use it.

If they can work their way through claims half-decently, I'd expect them to use assassin on actual roles, not on VTs who picked things that scum doesn't want to talk about too much. Like, yes, maybe they're setting up targets for way in the future if they can't find anyone, but it's a game full of power roles and crap. People are going to claim, people are going to get outed, they're going to have juicier targets than using assassin KP on VTs.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 11 2013 14:19 GMT
#2790
That's true about knowing who not to shoot, but ... not too compelling, at least on the assassin front. Scum can either aim their KP based on taking out strong townies/vocal townies/consensus townies or strong roles/clearly-town roles. Or, you know, anything else.

Which strong townies have powerful roles could factor into that, but your assassin is never just shooting blindly. He's generally not going to fire at VTs, and ... he has no need to figure out "who not to shoot." He looks for claims, fires on the claimers, at least as I can figure it, rather than looking for "who do we want to shoot" and then figuring out what they might be. The process is different than with normal KP, because he has to be able to give their role or lose his power. It reduces or eliminates the need for him to know where not to shoot.

Given that you're going to be gone and sleeping for a while, consider claiming? Slightly out of order, but if we're trying to get claims in TODAY then we need to get moving faster.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 11 2013 14:23 GMT
#2792
On April 11 2013 23:19 Mocsta wrote:
BTW Austin.

Are u just reading the filter literally or taking into account the thread sentiment?

Shevlocke wasn't getting lynched day1.

It was either artanis or ve.

In my opinion, your point 2 is snb giving a fleshed out summary post.

=====

I'm going to bed.
I'm not claiming my role outright. Its not my turn and bm hinted he may not be justice for whatever reason.

So I am either
Bloodycobbler, capitalist or vigilante.

I don't think its important to known right now which one it is exactly.
I either have 1 kp left, or a couple role checks.
I prefer scum to be kept on toes.
Some of snb's posts come before there was a big push on VE iirc. Like, he was a constant "what is VE doing" but until geript came in and noted that he'd tried for NRA member and gotten VT, VE wasn't as big a focus. Double checked so as not to be an idiot here, and at the very least the first artanis/shelvocke/VE post comes like 7 hours before geript makes his NRA announcement.

I think that, at that point, it was more artanis or shelvocke, but I'm also coloring that with me wanting to lynch shelvocke at that point, seeing that there was SOME support, and thinking that I could pick up another couple votes.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 11 2013 14:35 GMT
#2794
sn0, could you look over obvious one and give me some thoughts?
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 11 2013 14:50 GMT
#2796
ObviousOne,

(1) Why the vote on sharrant?
(2) If we still have an inventor alive, he hands you a magical potion that brings one of the N1 deaths back to life. Who do you use it on?
(3) What do you think of mocsta this game. You've...taken issue with his posting style, but haven't really spoken about him as a player. Please flesh out some real, alignment-indicative thoughts about mocsta, and post them. To this thread.
(4) What do you think of snb at the moment?
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 11 2013 16:08 GMT
#2812
yamato claimed VT, picking justice vigi
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 11 2013 16:11 GMT
#2814
That post is so...meticulous.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 11 2013 16:16 GMT
#2822
On April 12 2013 01:15 geript wrote:
I only count 2 red check cops in OP yet 3 have claimed. Did I miss a random role somehow?
Stay tuned for future episodes of the young and the claiming.

It's possible, but need to see the specifics first.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 11 2013 16:20 GMT
#2828
^

Yeah, either that or an investigative bonus.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 11 2013 16:24 GMT
#2832
I still prefer bottom-up for all claims, although we're going to have some difficulty moving smoothly.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 11 2013 16:47 GMT
#2848
I somewhat trust the others. I'm copycat, got Jack from Gonzaw.

D1 checked sn0_man. DT gets alignment/role, and I got town blank. For now, I won't claim his role, but I currently am not worried that he's a gf or something. Poking back through the game, I can see what he did, and he did a town thing with his role.

That also means that, if we want it, I can day vig for cycle 2. Was planning on medicing or veteraning tonight, but that's...kind of not an option anymore. So, we can "triple lynch," or I can play cowboy, or I can sit on the shot.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 11 2013 16:50 GMT
#2852
Let me rephrase.

I am going to continue thinking about whether I want to shoot or not, and who, specifically, I want to shoot.

I will consider input from certain folks in this game, although everyone is welcome to give it for funsies.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 11 2013 16:52 GMT
#2857
On April 12 2013 01:51 Keirathi wrote:
Personally I think you should shoot one of vivax/sharrant/OO, and we lynch the other two.

They are literally the only people left that I don't have solid reasons why they are town.
You like vivax for scum?

Also on my list...mocsta.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 11 2013 17:01 GMT
#2868
geript. I am tempted to shoot you JUST BECAUSE. Please knock it off.

I have sn0's alignment and role. I am about to flip later today. If I'm mafia, you're more than welcome to bitch at sn0. However, when I'm town, you're going to realize that you've been in the weeds on this.

Your claim was quite helpful to put attention on VE, and on the top of the list in general. I find you townie based on that, but it doesn't mean you ARE town. Caller USED HIS ROLE TO KILL SCUM and may have been mafia himself. Now, he's the sort of player who would do that as scum, but at the very least you need to realize that: (1) You're not 100% confirmed, and, more importantly

(2) NOBODY CARES EVEN IF YOU'RE 100% CONFIRMED OR NOT BECAUSE THE GOAL OF THE GAME ISN'T "ESTABLISH SELF AS TOWN AND THEN BE UNHELPFUL AND RUDE

We hunt scum. We keep thread legible. We work mothereffing together when possible. By sniping at sn0, you're making the thread less legible, you're wasting your time, you're wasting sn0's time in responding, you're wasting my time because I feel like herding cats today instead of scumhunting because I'm playing poorly this game blah blah blah.

Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 11 2013 17:02 GMT
#2869
oh man I missed the end quotes there. Oopsies.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 11 2013 17:20 GMT
#2876
On April 12 2013 01:58 Keirathi wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 12 2013 01:52 austinmcc wrote:
On April 12 2013 01:51 Keirathi wrote:
Personally I think you should shoot one of vivax/sharrant/OO, and we lynch the other two.

They are literally the only people left that I don't have solid reasons why they are town.
You like vivax for scum?

Also on my list...mocsta.

Yea, I think Vivax is quite possibly scum.

As far as Mocsta....meh. I wouldn't be *SUPER* surprised if he's scum, but I've had a town read on him the entire game. He's playing like I normally see him play as town; loud, abrasive, arguing all the wrong things, but (seemingly) genuinely thinking about the game in his own weird way.
I will admit to not being a mocsta-expert here, but it's troubling me.

He is very loud and abrasive. He can play that way as town. Heck, it was one reason I thought he was mafia in Newbie 37, he was so obviously loud and abrasive when he didn't need to be. Also, he was scum that game. I don't like picking out certain qualities of his game to make him town or scum in that case, and it reminds me of JingleHell in Aperture 2. I completely threw him out as a scumread because he was being so obnoxious and useless, but he was doing it on purpose. I can see mocsta being able to play a certain way on purpose, to skate through the game.


I remember fighting with him D1 over artanis. But when I look at the timings, gonzaw posts his case while mocsta is trying to push a rayn lynch.

AFTER gonzaw posts his case, what happens?
On April 07 2013 17:22 Mocsta wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 07 2013 17:14 gonzaw wrote:
I'll wait until people start sheeping me I guess.

I just finished catching up on the thread.

Agree with the points.

At first I didnt mind him propelling himself into the thread with his RNG idea.. but i think that is the key to why he is scum.

Reminds me of a scum game, where I had a lurker in my team; and i told him specifically to just post your thoughts into the middle of a convo, to stand out.. cos "scum dont do that".

You are right Gonzaw, artanis doesnt have conviction in any idea that he pushes; everything is half-assed.

##Unvote
##Vote: Artanis[Xp]
Mocsta is now entirely on board with an artanis lynch. Mocsta doesn't even mention rayn. He's been pushing rayn, discussing rayn, trying to get votes on rayn, and drops it like it's hot once gonzaw's case pops up. In later posts he halfway stays on rayn, tries to draw associations between rayn and artanis, and then later is townie on rayn, but the speed with which he stops posting on one guy and picks up the artanis wagon reads scummy to me. It reads like scum says "Oh, that's not a bad case at all," it picks up some steam, and at least some of them have to jump on it. If you follow the rest of the day, mocsta goes from just sheeping Gonzaw's case to slowly arguing it more and more, adding the conviction stuff, and really...in some ways carrying the banner for the artanis lynch? IF he's scum, he's making sure everyone knows that he's on the artanis lynch plan, being very vocal and visible about it, in order to get the maximum cred from it. One way to read it. Not guaranteed.



How does he deal with the VE stuff D1?
On April 08 2013 12:27 Mocsta wrote:
Tough predicament now regarding NRA.

Thing is: Keirathi and his role recommendation post:
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=403766&currentpage=34#663

NRA is desired by both partiesl and I can see why. It gives you awesome defense as town/scum against Day Kill and Night Kill.

It also acts as a great trap pick for the early draftees.
=============
Geript, whilst I have really liked your play this game.

I think the move to jump to a conclusion to vote VE is too haste and requires a more fastidious attitude.

VE play has been odd this game - that is undeniable. But odd does not 100% equate scum.

I liked your case a lot; but I love the Artanis[Xp] case and what it unraveled.

Stay the course. VE is odd, the case is good, but it's too hasty and we need to just stay on Artanis.

On April 08 2013 13:03 Mocsta wrote:
Now anways, lets get this show back on track.

Gonzaw was a good scum hit; the timing is what is interesting.

Are they trying to force us onto VE, because it happened when we were talking about him?

hmmm.. for now, i want to maintain the legacy Gonzaw started.

We keep the lynch on Artanis[Xp]
Again, "maybe scum is trying to get us to go after VE?" (which would indicate he was townie on VE except he doesn't appear to be). Nope. Stay the course. Artanis artanis artanis.
On April 08 2013 13:18 Mocsta wrote:
The thread topic at the time was: Geript/VE NRA item. Which was potentially juicy enough to get a wagon off Artanis

Im saying this all this, because if Artanis (who we are lynching) flips red.. im inclined to think VE is town.

Think about what would happen if the thread lynches VE. They're STILL going to go after artanis too, nothing has painted artanis as town over the course of geript's claim and gonzaw getting shot. Mafia, at this point, CANNOT let VE be the day's only lynch. Mafia CANNOT allow VE to die by lynch with Artanis hanging in the wind and possibly some mafia members having taken a hard stance that Artanis is town.

Heck, that fits with caller being mafia. Mafia NEEDS THE DAY TO END. They need a lynch on artanis, they need to get that cred, they need to protect VE. They didn't know we'd have a second lynch, and it would have (and did) ROYALLY fuck any plans to keep VE alive. At this point, they just can't save artanis because they've gone so hard on lynching him (again IF mafia didn't think they could get votes onto NOT artanis).



Okay wait, I'm going to halt here. Does anyone see what I'm seeing? There's some more little stuff, niggling doubts about some of his posts, the way he's been so chummy with a lot of players, but...I really hate the timing on his artanis vote and then the way he plays out the rest of that day. We can discuss the other stuff later/shortly, and I'm crafting a narrative here, but...ack. I really like the narrative
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 11 2013 17:31 GMT
#2881
On April 12 2013 02:26 Oatsmaster wrote:
Also most recent scum game, Personality 2, he was really lurky and didnt arouse anyones suspicion ANYWHERE near like this.
I don't much care about that comparison, though.

I've seen him be spammy and active as scum.
I've seen him be lurky as scum.

So...neither one really makes me think anything. I read him more as a player who can recognize how he's posting and use it to suit his needs, ramping up spamminess/crappiness as needed when he's scum to derail the thread.

In personality, he was super lurky D2 because he was in mason chat with prom. We used him to try to keep prom out of thread, and frankly we, as mafia, didn't NEED to do much. marv/foolishness and everything was spamming the thread so hard that we looked GOOD by not spamming.

What's one thing that some folks learned in Personality 2? Spam the thread and you're town! Marv kept harping on how he had to be town because you couldn't post so much as mafia. Again, it fits the narrative I've built, but mocsta here has been spamming HARD. I really noticed it during D2, it's one reason I told him I'd quit reading his posts, because he got too spammy and dumb with them. In the back of my head were marv's comments, and how one way I'd play as scum from now on out is to spam hard hard hard and have that to fall back on. Really, a lot of mocsta's comments today have not been helpful in the least.


Blah blah. There's a lot of me just interpreting everything to paint him scum now, because it fits so dang well with what I think a scum player might want to do in this game.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 11 2013 17:32 GMT
#2882
On April 12 2013 02:27 Keirathi wrote:
Austin:

My problem with your narrative is that I think if scum could have gotten the lynch switched over to VE, then Artanis may have actually looked better today with a scum already flipped. AND they would still have a direct use KP. Maybe Artanis would have still gotten lynched today, but he almost certainly would have gotten another shot off too.

I just think it would have been in scum's best interest to start pushing towards VE rather than Artanis.
I would have been convinced that someone would shoot/check artanis overnight. At the very least, even if someone does something to VE to confirm him being NRA, it means an additional townie kill, whether he gets lynched D2 or not.

Someone visiting VE overnight much better for scum than someone visiting Artanis, no matter whether they're visiting with a bullet or a check.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 11 2013 17:40 GMT
#2888
On April 12 2013 02:36 Keirathi wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 12 2013 02:32 austinmcc wrote:
On April 12 2013 02:27 Keirathi wrote:
Austin:

My problem with your narrative is that I think if scum could have gotten the lynch switched over to VE, then Artanis may have actually looked better today with a scum already flipped. AND they would still have a direct use KP. Maybe Artanis would have still gotten lynched today, but he almost certainly would have gotten another shot off too.

I just think it would have been in scum's best interest to start pushing towards VE rather than Artanis.
I would have been convinced that someone would shoot/check artanis overnight. At the very least, even if someone does something to VE to confirm him being NRA, it means an additional townie kill, whether he gets lynched D2 or not.

Someone visiting VE overnight much better for scum than someone visiting Artanis, no matter whether they're visiting with a bullet or a check.

The problem is that VE was already outed as quite possibly NRA. No one would have visited him. It would have been beyond dumb. I know that even if VE hadn't been lynched, I sure as hell wouldn't have checked him. For all intents and purposes, he was useless to the scum team with his role outed.

And, if someone visited Artanis with a check instead of a shot, then he still has time during the day today to shoot someone. As long as he does it before he gets day-vigged. Geript had already claimed VT, RO had claimed framer, and its possible scum drafted a role cop too. He would have just needed to shoot as soon as the day started, and he was already more useful alive than VE would have been.
All true. I don't like snb for scum, and the list is starting to get a little shorter. More claims may help narrow this down, but right now I'm concerned with OO, mocsta, both sh players, and I'm sure there's someone that I'm just not seeing.


The thing that gives me the most pause is mocsta rambling in the night phase about all these people becoming "confirmed town" - snb, sinani, shelvocke. I HATE calling people that as scum, but I'm also not comfortable adjusting my reads as scum, and mocsta may be more comfortable with that. Don't know. Blech.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 11 2013 17:44 GMT
#2891
Caller cannot.
Deconduo cannot. If he's town, he wouldn't lie about being janitor. If he's scum he wouldn't pick JV

Palmar POSSIBLY, but I was convinced on D1 that Palmar was the emperor and that still feels quite possibly true - was scummy on VE, would like to take roles that encourage killing, and emperor gets a kill D1 PLUS gets to cause a double lynch later (and has to activate double lynch during the night, so even though he died he could be the cause of our double lynch).

rayn is unknown.

BM loves to troll and make things up and lay "traps" and whatever, but the whole bit where he knew caller was scum and was dancing around things made it feel like he's actually justice vigi. However, we'll see.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 11 2013 17:45 GMT
#2892
KEIRATHI WHY ARE WE NOT MIND-MELDED ON MOCSTA.

AND WHY DID MZ SHOOT ME IN THE FAAAAAAAAAAAACE.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 11 2013 17:52 GMT
#2895
On April 12 2013 02:35 Sn0_Man wrote:
I was thinking...

Has ANYBODY made sense of rayn's "last words"?

Show nested quote +
On April 10 2013 09:51 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Okay, i can't stay up later. One thing i need to say:
geript: If i get hit tonight you have the instructions on how to proceed. Make wise decisions! You will know what i mean!


Show nested quote +
On April 10 2013 10:00 raynpelikoneet wrote:
On April 10 2013 09:52 geript wrote:
Okay bro.

Whoops. I actually meant Mocsta. Got confused about your names. :D

THIS FEELS LIKE IT MIGHT BE IMPORTANT.

Usually when I see stuff like this, it's junk like ... the weak doctors in Liquid City or whatever that game was, where they kept dying after protecting mafia and basically being DTs. The only role that makes any sense here though is rayn being...Ver? And PMing mocsta and pretty much only mocsta? I dunno. But mocsta does say that he didn't get anything from rayn, so ... grrrrr.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 11 2013 17:58 GMT
#2896
On April 12 2013 02:27 Keirathi wrote:
Austin:

My problem with your narrative is that I think if scum could have gotten the lynch switched over to VE, then Artanis may have actually looked better today with a scum already flipped. AND they would still have a direct use KP. Maybe Artanis would have still gotten lynched today, but he almost certainly would have gotten another shot off too.

I just think it would have been in scum's best interest to start pushing towards VE rather than Artanis.
I'm getting too spammy now, but I'm finally interested in something and I feel like I have license to mass post/respond since I'm dying.


Start reading mocsta's filter in the middle of page 11 for the annotated time period. mocsta DOES try to push things onto VE after having this long conversation with artanis, who he's 100% convinced is scum just a little bit earlier. He's also got a lot of back and forth with caller that...again, fits my stupid narrative and I just want him to be scum so baaaaaaaaaaaaaad so I can be right about something this game.

Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 11 2013 18:02 GMT
#2898
On April 12 2013 03:00 Sn0_Man wrote:
Mocsta killed deconduo.

That seems pretty townie although you could explain it as mafia taking an easy shot. Why did he claim it though? I think there are better shots today TBH (although you really don't answer to anybody right now ).
Yeah, the decon bit is wonky. It's odd for decon to claim janitor if he actually was, nearly as odd as using janitor while being a friggin townie.

I've come around on decon definitely being mafia for using janitor. It's just such a weird thing to claim it and say you used it and give a particular reason WHY. Unless you're trying to screw up town's math, which he would be doing, which makes sense, which...again, grrrr.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 11 2013 18:10 GMT
#2906
On April 12 2013 03:05 Vivax wrote:
Mocsta is not scum he doesn't do abrasive shit as scum, go read Personality 2, he was nice and reasonable, and he didn't try to jump into your face with what he had to say.

Lynch ObviousOne.
(1) I WAS SCUM IN THAT GAME WITH MOCSTA. I KNOW WHAT HE WAS DOING THERE, I WAS HYPERAWARE OF WHAT HE WAS DOING THERE.

(2) Mocsta absolutely can be abrasive as scum. In the same vein as your comment, go read Newbie 37. He was not nice and reasonable, he DID jump into your face, and he did a great job of executing the "destroy the thread with spam/harrassment" scum plan.

Yes, a player will have tendencies as scum and as town. But anyone who mentions says "mocsta not scum because personality 2" is being lazy/close-minded/wrong. I have pointed you towards a specific game that you can find to see that you are wrong if you believe mocsta always plays scum like he did in personality 2. Furthermore, you are arguing with someone WHO WAS SCUM WITH MOCSTA IN PERSONALITY 2. As that game wore on, we had a very particular strategy, and we did not need to spam the thread or be abrasive, because TOWN was taking care of that. Heck. I was scum that game and only looked townie because I kept telling townies to quit crapping in the thread. That's how bad it was. Scum did not NEED to kill the thread that game.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 11 2013 18:12 GMT
#2908
On April 12 2013 03:07 Oatsmaster wrote:
Austin, I tend to think that recent scum games, are close to what a player would do when he rolls scum, rather than past scum games a while ago.

Newbie 37 started on February 11 TL time. It less than 2 months old. It is not particular far away, and was within about ~3 weeks of Personality 2.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 11 2013 18:17 GMT
#2914
On April 12 2013 03:13 Oatsmaster wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 12 2013 03:12 austinmcc wrote:
On April 12 2013 03:07 Oatsmaster wrote:
Austin, I tend to think that recent scum games, are close to what a player would do when he rolls scum, rather than past scum games a while ago.

Newbie 37 started on February 11 TL time. It less than 2 months old. It is not particular far away, and was within about ~3 weeks of Personality 2.

In number of games its a ton.
What do you mean by this, and by your comment about Ego or whatever?

If you played differently in Ego than another scum game of yours, that supports the idea that there is no single way that a player plays scum --> i.e. scumMocsta is not necessarily passive mocsta.

Also, what is this number of games thing? As best I can tell, mocsta played...one game in between those two at most? It's okay to look at game x but not a game that's two games behind x? It's okay to look at someone's MOST recent scumgame, but not their second most recent?
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 11 2013 18:36 GMT
#2933
On April 12 2013 03:21 Oatsmaster wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 12 2013 03:17 austinmcc wrote:
On April 12 2013 03:13 Oatsmaster wrote:
On April 12 2013 03:12 austinmcc wrote:
On April 12 2013 03:07 Oatsmaster wrote:
Austin, I tend to think that recent scum games, are close to what a player would do when he rolls scum, rather than past scum games a while ago.

Newbie 37 started on February 11 TL time. It less than 2 months old. It is not particular far away, and was within about ~3 weeks of Personality 2.

In number of games its a ton.
What do you mean by this, and by your comment about Ego or whatever?

If you played differently in Ego than another scum game of yours, that supports the idea that there is no single way that a player plays scum --> i.e. scumMocsta is not necessarily passive mocsta.

Also, what is this number of games thing? As best I can tell, mocsta played...one game in between those two at most? It's okay to look at game x but not a game that's two games behind x? It's okay to look at someone's MOST recent scumgame, but not their second most recent?

I mean that when you play more games, your view on the game changes and your playstyle changes, same as your meta. So games that are more than 5 games behind this one is not VERY ACCURATE in determining meta in my opinion, especially with the game I JUST played. My mindset was totally different between LIX and Ego, and I assume Mocsta's one is different between Newbie and Personality. Also newbie games play differently because you feel differently about the players in the game.
Okay, I agree with this. But the very fact that your view on the game changes and your playstyle changes means that you can't just go "he was quiet in personality and he's not quiet here so he's not scum." Like...this:
On April 12 2013 02:26 Oatsmaster wrote:
Also most recent scum game, Personality 2, he was really lurky and didnt arouse anyones suspicion ANYWHERE near like this.

does not match up with someone being able to change their views on the game and playstyle. That's what I'm getting at. Not that personality 2 isn't important at all, but that it's not the be-all-end-all. If you actually believe that playstyle can change, then you're fine to put little stock in that newbie game, but you're not fine to put oodles of stock into personality.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 11 2013 18:42 GMT
#2937
If meapak were mafia he could have nuked D1 and didn't.

If meapak DOES have a silent nuke, it would have KILLED SOMEONE. Therefore, IF he had a silent nuke and used it, he killed either artanis or VE (the only people to die at the end of the day). They both flipped mafia. So IF there's a scary ol' silent nuke, it means he used it to kill mafia...

I don't terribly have a problem with someone thinking I was scum at the start of D2. I don't love my play up until that point, and could see nuking me if I were someone else. I don't find his play super anti-town in terms of nuke use except that he didn't check the thread a final time before posting what he'd been writing up.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 11 2013 18:51 GMT
#2946
On April 12 2013 03:45 yamato77 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 12 2013 03:42 austinmcc wrote:
If meapak were mafia he could have nuked D1 and didn't.

If meapak DOES have a silent nuke, it would have KILLED SOMEONE. Therefore, IF he had a silent nuke and used it, he killed either artanis or VE (the only people to die at the end of the day). They both flipped mafia. So IF there's a scary ol' silent nuke, it means he used it to kill mafia...

I don't terribly have a problem with someone thinking I was scum at the start of D2. I don't love my play up until that point, and could see nuking me if I were someone else. I don't find his play super anti-town in terms of nuke use except that he didn't check the thread a final time before posting what he'd been writing up.

What's he done today?

Seriously, the dude is LAZY MAFIA.

I've been saying it all game, and he's done absolutely fucking nothing.
Here's the thing. Maybe he's lazy mafia. If he's mafia, he voluntarily just didn't shoot D1. That seems like a poor choice. That's something that I would flag as saying, "Hey...hold up. This guy looks like he might be mafia, but he used his role in an odd manner for someone who is mafia." I would second guess my read on him.

Then I would go, "Wait a minute, snb claimed a cop check on MZ." If snb is lying, he's taking a risk that there are no other whatever-cops above him on the chart. A small risk, but a risk. And maybe MZ is a gf, that's a possibility. But again, it's SOME/SLIGHT/DECENT evidence that MZ might not be mafia.

Then, there are a couple other players with LESS in their favor, imo. What has sharrant or shelvocke done that makes them less likely mafia than MZ? OO? Mocsta? geript? There are a boatload of players who have done very little today, almost ALL of us have done very little of consequence.

You are tunneled in on these little weird things and need to expand your view. You want or wanted to kill BM, despite claiming that you picked justice vigi and didn't get it. He seems like the only person who fits the bill, and that means that, if he's town, he's shooting at mafia, and if he's mafia, he's shooting at mafia or dying. If he's actually justice vigi, that is ACTUALLY the worst possible lynch you could come up with. So...quit being tunneled in. It hasn't served you particularly well in some recent games, and right now it's not doing you any good.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 11 2013 19:36 GMT
#2967
I'm still of the mind that the justice vigi stuff will play out as it plays out. It is a role that 100% proves itself. It is not worth worrying about.

Decon and caller are unknowns, and yeah, decon could still be mafia. We don't know. If he's mafia, mocsta almost certainly not. If he was town, mocsta could be mafia because...mafia ANYONE shooting townie anyone is never something that doesn't make sense. mocsta went and made a case on him just before deadline, shot him, so it makes perfect sense as any alignment, and decon's flip doesn't matter (if no janitor used, decon either flips mafia (I shot mafia guys!) or town (Oops, I really thought he was scum guys!)).

That list is fine, you've just been very vocal about mason logs and some other things today. People being masoned doesn't make them town. People seeming like townies in mason chat doesn't make them town. But us having the logs doesn't feel super duper important right at this moment.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 11 2013 20:37 GMT
#2978
On April 12 2013 05:35 Keirathi wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 12 2013 05:32 strongandbig wrote:
On April 12 2013 05:25 Sn0_Man wrote:
I'd kinda like to hear Mocsta's full roleclaim not "I'm one of BC/Vig/Capitalist" (and I don't think he is BC because he claimed the KP before the roleclaim )

However, with the amount of time left in teh day (6.5 hours I think) I'd be happy if sinani and OO just stepped up and claimed now. I'm not sure they are here though.


actually you're kind of right - claiming "i'm one of these roles" is pretty scummy since it gives him outs if people claim some of those roles later.

He also said he breadcrumbed it. I mean, maybe he breadcrumbed all 3, but it at least gives some credence to the fact that he was thinking about it before the mass-claim plan started.
We'll see. It's possible that the crumbs are him noting he's gonna shoot someone. If he just crumbed the shot/KP, then it's still a scummy announcement, especially as one reason he seems to not want to claim is that BC could be lurking, when he wants to pretend he might be BC despite the fact that he almost certainly could not have known deconduo's role at that point in the game.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 11 2013 20:52 GMT
#2981
People with checks not entirely clear. People who have done checking not entirely clear. Most of them not worth worrying about atm, but nobody should ENTIRELY sleep on snb/keirathi/mz/sinani. See what pans out.

(sn0 still very, very likely townie due to role usage, unless the flips get really wonky)
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 11 2013 22:12 GMT
#2992
On April 12 2013 07:08 geript wrote:
Claim already Sno.

I do not understand your play today at all if you are town
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 11 2013 22:13 GMT
#2993
On phone but semi afk for a few hours
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 11 2013 22:41 GMT
#3002
On April 12 2013 07:39 geript wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 12 2013 07:30 Keirathi wrote:
On April 12 2013 07:25 geript wrote:
On April 12 2013 07:12 austinmcc wrote:
On April 12 2013 07:08 geript wrote:
Claim already Sno.

I do not understand your play today at all if you are town

1. Because I'm sure he's scum
2. Because no one else believes me
3. Because you've been treating him like confirmed town when he's anything but completely differently from me who you also consider to be confirmed town despite the fact that his only actual townie points are a green check
4. He's scum bro
5. He'd actually see I'm town if he were

The green check isn't the only thing that makes him town.

I argued that he was town hours and hours before the green check was public. Why didn't you fight me about it then?

Why do I need to argue your points? Most vets I've seen have completely misread newbs actions. It's ok Kei, you can win with me once people actually sheep me.

I have information you do not. I will die momentarily, and you'll know I was town and not lying about it.

So knock it off and trust that you are almost certainly wrong here.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 11 2013 23:26 GMT
#3016
Revealing flips, passive kp protection, item that reveals all unpivked roles? Item that allows a vT to pick a role from all unpicked roles?

2-3 man listcheck, 1 shot priest power, other assorted nonsense
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 11 2013 23:45 GMT
#3018
May be using term wrong, but like a cop.check for a group. Give a few names, see whether anyone in that group is mafia

Something that is day use or used n3 but reports to thread maybe better. Don't want someone who gets the thing snipped off before whatever s invented can be used
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 12 2013 01:15 GMT
#3052
1:45
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 12 2013 01:37 GMT
#3058
On April 12 2013 10:31 Mocsta wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 12 2013 10:25 Vivax wrote:
Feeling guilty mocsta?

No.. just annoyed

Its pretty demotivating when you are trying to engage people in discussion and constantly provoke people to actually think.
And then everyone just shits all over you.

Lastly, Geript play has really been alerting me all cycle.

His only strong opinion with foundation has been VE, who he tunneled relentlessly.
And he has that stupid post, where he calls me town based on an alignment null post.
Later, he regresses and associates me with scum.

And then there is this stupid bickering with Sn0, who is prob CPR Medic based on claims thus far.

If im alive night 2, im role checking Geript.
At no point has everyone crapped on you.

I have some thoughts that you may be mafia. I still do. But I met some serious resistance in thread.

So...join geript in the knock it off club. Ain't pity party time (and, because I'm mildly tunnel-y, I totally intepret the pity party as a scummy thing trying to keep me from shooting you). If you're town, you did play a solid town game for a while, but seemed to get a bit disorganized overnight and during this cycle, maybe because we got so far ahead after the D1 lynch. Oh well, it happens.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 12 2013 01:43 GMT
#3062
Yeah, there's not much time to shoot but I'm serious when I've said all along that the long game favors town and I don't think people should be firing KP all over the place. Perhaps it's dumb to not use the shot, but oh well.

Only thing I'm super considering is shooting obviousone, as a prelynch almost, since it appears that he's going down. But I don't love having stalled this long, only to dick with the double lynch this late in the cycle.

Frankly, I don't love my play during the nuke day as a whole. Not enough scumhunting, too much crappy play and disinterest in game.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 12 2013 01:45 GMT
#3066
On April 12 2013 10:41 Mocsta wrote:
At least ppl gave you resistance.

I just got ignored.

There is a big difference Austin.

I can handle the being ignored; because at least people like Kei have kept going back/forth with me.

But when you get called scummy for trying to generate meaningful conversation; that is truly annoying.

I gave you plenty of resistance yesterday, and resistance again today on something (snb?). This day as a whole has also been much more ignore-y when someone brought concerns to light.

Again, if you're town, you played a solid D1. Whatever, it's not time for postgame, so I'ma shut up about this.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 12 2013 01:47 GMT
#3070
On April 12 2013 10:44 Vivax wrote:
Lol why would you shoot OO at this point that'd be dumb.

Because it gives us more information to work with for the double lynch, and it appears ENTIRELY unlikely that he survives anyhow. Except there's not much information to be gained from that shot, much more from other shots, but I don't want to go around blasting random folks.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 12 2013 01:52 GMT
#3084
Awww, I was gonna let people continue to not pay attention and miss things
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 12 2013 02:03 GMT
#3098
On April 12 2013 10:59 Vivax wrote:
Did austin just claim scum?

Applause for Sharrant going down like a boss.
No, but if nobody caught RO straight up calling sn0_man out as the inventor, sn0_man admitting it, and half a page of discussing WHAT HE SHOULD INVENT, then ... I dunno how to better put the pieces together for them.

There's always the chance that the someone missing things is scum and the inventions can be a big help.


Again, especially for geript, this is why sn0 is almost certainly town, much more likely town than any other claim but justice vigi. As the top spot, he could have NOT invented, just stolen the role and claimed to be CPR doc holding shots or whatever. He could have invented something that wasn't pro-town (assuming a DT check pro-town, and since you can't trick folks with your inventions it is). Instead, he invented something that seems pro-town, which indicates heavily that he's town. All the invention ideas thrown out later were pro-town. So...EVEN IF HE'S SCUM, HE'S STUCK MAKING PRO-TOWN INVENTIONS.

But he's almost certainly not. Much more likely that we've got fake DT claims, or scum america, or scum mason, or scum plenty of things. But certainly not justice vigi, and probably not scum inventor. Ta da.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 12 2013 02:09 GMT
#3101
On April 12 2013 11:06 Mocsta wrote:
OK.. can we focus on a consolidated vote pls

I going to assume you shooting (unclaimed OO)

then..
shevlocke, for VT as showtime

which DT checker do we want to lynch

so far we have austin/SnB/keirath/Sharrant

keirathi is off the block as far as i am concerned, boviously so is austin

So SnB or Sharrant?
?

I am not shooting. ALTHOUGH THIS IS ONE REASON WHY I'M STILL FRIGGING TEMPTED TO SHOOT YOU.

WE ARE NOT LYNCHING PEOPLE BASED ON THEIR CLAIMS. NOBODY IS GETTING LYNCHED FOR PICKING X OR Y. PEOPLE ARE GETTING LYNCHED FOR BEING SCUMMY, OR BECAUSE FOLKS ARE SHEEPING, OR BECAUSE ... I DON'T ACTUALLY PARTICULARLY KNOW. BUT NOBODY IS LYNCHING PEOPLE JUST BECAUSE THEY PICKED A CERTAIN THING.

AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH. YOU CANNOT ACTUALLY HAVE JUST SUGGESTED THAT WE WANT TO LYNCH BASED ON CLAIMS CAN YOU?

AAAAAAAAAAAHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 12 2013 02:14 GMT
#3105
On April 12 2013 11:11 Mocsta wrote:
What was the point of claiming

if the intention wasnt to lynch.
It pulls some people off the table. It possibly catches scum. It forces scum to commit to a story now, rather than later, if they want to fakeclaim.

Maybe geript had terminally low blood pressure, and dangling sn0 claiming in front of him all day helped to raise his blood pressure and save his life.

EVEN IF THE POINT WAS TO LYNCH PEOPLE WHY WOULD WE JUST GO "LET'S LYNCH PEOPLE WHO CLAIMED DETECTIVE ROLES"?

That doesn't make sense to me why, if we were lynching on only claims, we'd lynch ... a specific role that was claimed?
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 12 2013 02:17 GMT
#3113
On April 12 2013 11:16 Mocsta wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 12 2013 11:14 austinmcc wrote:
On April 12 2013 11:11 Mocsta wrote:
What was the point of claiming

if the intention wasnt to lynch.
It pulls some people off the table. It possibly catches scum. It forces scum to commit to a story now, rather than later, if they want to fakeclaim.

Maybe geript had terminally low blood pressure, and dangling sn0 claiming in front of him all day helped to raise his blood pressure and save his life.

EVEN IF THE POINT WAS TO LYNCH PEOPLE WHY WOULD WE JUST GO "LET'S LYNCH PEOPLE WHO CLAIMED DETECTIVE ROLES"?

That doesn't make sense to me why, if we were lynching on only claims, we'd lynch ... a specific role that was claimed?

Because we came to the conclusion

there was too many dt roles

we asked for hard dt claims & didnt get them

I forgot to add Vivax as a dt claimer.
Who is we, where did this happen, where were there too many DT roles, and who did not provide a hard claim?
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 12 2013 02:19 GMT
#3114
AND WHY DO YOU WANT TO KILL PEOPLE BASED ON THEIR CLAIMS WHEN YOU HAVE CLAIMED TO HAVE A ROLE THAT ROLECHECKS, SO YOU CAN TOTALLY, YOU KNOW, CONFIRM OR CATCH SOMEONE IF YOU'RE SUSPICIOUS OF THEM?

AAAAAAAAAAAAAAHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 12 2013 02:27 GMT
#3123
Yes, it is.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 12 2013 02:34 GMT
#3133
No, it's not great reasoning. But that one is far different from the reasoning on sn0. Moreover, you can attack RO based on his PLAY this game if you'd like.

Anyone who thinks RO is full-on confirmed based on role is being a sillybilly. Same with all DTs, claimed VTs, and other nonsense.

But roles like justice vigi AND INVENTOR are almost certainly town, given that they have to play pro-town or they die.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 12 2013 02:46 GMT
#3138
Someone from magical masonland, has MZ been active in QT both days/today? Giving legitimate thoughts/reads and not just lovefesting?
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 12 2013 02:59 GMT
#3146
kk. You guys will have night, but you can try to use the DTs to check each other, and know whether you can trust checks. I'm a bum and unsure if that's a great idea or not. Hopefully the invention can also skirt the line of what's allowed as a power level.

Vote rigger sounds all mafia-y, but my character is a politician and that was the role I looked at if I was picking within-role, so I don't think choosing that makes you mafia. It's basically KP the day you rig the votes, and extra lynches on the days you use it to multi-lynch, so it's not inherently anti-town, even though dicking with votes often seems scummy.

Shelvocke seems likely town based on the D1 artanis/shelvocke/VE stuff, but ... THIS IS A RIDICULOUS AMOUNT OF INACTIVITY AND ORIGINAL THOUGHT from someone who is smurfing. I have never seen a smurf just bury his head this much and I hate hate hate hate hate how the votes on D1 went because otherwise he'd be standing head and shoulders above a lot of people.

Ugh. My apologies for my play this cycle. Already having a bad game + getting nuked meant that I just didn't work into the right mindset to play out the day. Didn't hunt enough, wasn't active enough throughout, and ... blech. Oh well, something to improve on.

Actually not shooting.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 12 2013 03:01 GMT
#3151
gg town.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 18 2013 13:11 GMT
#4114
GG folks. Big thanks to BC and Kurumi for hosting. Regardless of flak about roles or powers or handholding, this game took a bunch of legwork and it was greatly appreciated. Except the part where you saw MZ's nuke post and nuked me, that bit of hosting was sadface.


I'd agree with syllo on the role stuff, in fact. From reading the other PYP games, scum is at a huge disadvantage these games compared to normal, because they can actually get 100% caught based on claims/roles sometimes. Even in a themed game they usually have safe fakeclaims, or town-aligned character names, or something like that. Here there are NO protections like that. As best I can tell, some of the roles that were added were meant to address that somewhat - BC, thief, roleswapper, to make claiming less bad for scum, and I'd be interested to see how this might have played out if scum had gone for thief/roleswapper, traded some early KP for some messing with the roles, although, tbh, we didn't get much out of the claims except for "injustice vig."

I don't think I'd have been quite as townie on D2 if I weren't set to die. I do think that Keirathi's check and reasoning on me made sense, but I also have played with him and could kind of understand his desire to check me under the circumstances. I could see that making less sense if you haven't played with him/us. Sorry for not scumhunting more D2, I felt like I was active but not actually pushing the game forward and I didn't use my soon-to-be-guaranteed-towniness as much as I should. My b. And yeah, the nuke and reaction, especially hoping I wouldn't be nuked because of misspelling my name, was actually kind of funny.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 18 2013 13:19 GMT
#4115
On April 18 2013 16:28 geript wrote:
Can people tell me what I obviously missed about why Kei was town? How do you find a way to overlook a bad early game to focus on the obvious other points?
The way I was viewing it, he felt town because of his check but also just...nobody was really sharing your suspicions. And keirathi was either faking a check on my for no good reason or to save a scumbuddy, because there's just not much reason for him to fake check town as scum if he's not a DT (risks there being a real NKVD agent).

So if I flip scum off the nuke, maybe he just got caught. If I flip town off the nuke, then it's LIKELY that he's not faking his check and had good reason to check me and is town.

Honestly, that's what I was looking at with both sn0 and keirathi. I had information on sn0 that I didn't want to give out - knowing he was an inventor, knowing that he invented a DT check instead of KP (scum probably invents KP or lynchproof vests or something less townie). My flip would confirm that I actually had that information, and would tell you something about keirathi as well.

At the very least, then, when I was 100% slated to die at the end of the cycle, I don't think you should be trying to build and push reads on keirathi or sn0, because you're about to get guaranteed information there given that janitor was already blown and I'd flip. You were discarding information that would become public knowledge, discarding my play during D2, and you thinking they were both scummy sort of required you thinking that I was scum and lying about stuff, when I was going to die and flip and get revealed and all the lying would be worthless. No real reason for scum to be active and lie, because it gets them NOTHING at the end of cycle when the nuke hits.

Tbh, kei was mildly suspicious D1 to me. I didn't have a fully town vibe on him until seeing his check on me, and seeing some of his posts D2. To me, beyond reasons he was town, there were just reasons not to worry about him during D2, because if I were actually green come the flips, his actions wouldn't have made sense as scum.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 18 2013 13:26 GMT
#4117
On April 06 2013 11:04 austinmcc wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 06 2013 11:03 raynpelikoneet wrote:
On April 06 2013 10:59 austinmcc wrote:
On April 06 2013 10:54 raynpelikoneet wrote:
I think you are being stupid without saying anything.
I think he's providing a decent service to town for now, regardless of his alignment.

Anyone know if RO is a smurf or new?

Huh. How exactly is BM doing ANYTHING that helps town?
Point it out to me.
I'll point it out postgame if you'd like. For now I'm not going to.

rayn, you asked me this and I didn't respond. Also I sort of ended up 100% wrong.

BM got active at some point D1 just flinging around scum accusations based on associations and how people were acting towards each other in thread. X defended Y, Z noted that A was scum if something particular happened, blah blah blah - + Show Spoiler +
On April 06 2013 08:29 Bill Murray wrote:
Artanis is scum with Keirathi
GG

On April 06 2013 08:36 Bill Murray wrote:
VE and Geript look bad over an associative tell
that actually changes my FoS

On April 06 2013 10:24 Bill Murray wrote:
FoS Restraining Order
VE is town and scum are trying to get a D1 lynch on him

On April 06 2013 10:36 Bill Murray wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 06 2013 10:08 ObviousOne wrote:
On April 06 2013 10:06 Restraining Order wrote:
On April 06 2013 10:03 ObviousOne wrote:
EBWOP: Oops, looks like I miscounted, make that 10.

No, it's 9.

I have no idea where VE got the Caller thing from, and it's sad you just take his word.

If I've misread it please tell me how. It won't be the first time. I spent like 24 hours in Fruity misreading every little thing so just straighten me out instead of spitting in my face, thx.

this looks like restraining order is chastising his mafia partner here
if RO is scum, so is OO


He also did it a couple other times, calling out snb as mafia if someone else were mafia, etc.


I read those posts as very townie because the thread wasn't super scumhunty when he was posting, it was before Gonzaw's case and a lot of the actual discussion and voting on D1. I really liked that someone was coming in and accusing a bunch of people in this weird associative manner, because I was thinking that if he ever actually hit on scum, or anything true, maybe there would be an odd reaction that we could pick out later. Like, if he actually finds an odd interaction between two scumbuddies partway through D1, maybe they overreact or something.

I think I overvalued what might fall out of his accusations, but I also made the same error that I did with my read on Artanis. BM was throwing around all these scumreads, making all these associations, but didn't actually do anything with any of them. Over time, as he didn't attempt to draw any conclusions from what he shook out of his posts, I should have been less and less townie on him, because it was that whole lack of conviction/pushing thing that mocsta was riding me on over artanis. But in general, I felt that I had seen BM post like this before when he was town, and I thought that the overall effect of those posts was townie - stir things up, maybe make scum nervous, maybe create associations to mine later on in the game.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 18 2013 13:39 GMT
#4119
On April 18 2013 22:33 marvellosity wrote:
Those things are all pretty null to start with unless they're pursued / reasons given.
I saw his reasoning behind each of them, based on what posts those players had just made in threads, at least...saw how he was drawing his associations.

But yeah, definitely less townie than I gave him credit for given the lack of pursuit.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 18 2013 15:17 GMT
#4131
For what it's worth, yamato, I found you more easy to read and deal with this game than past ones. There are a couple players that I just don't have a good handle on and always seem to disagree with/be scummy on, and you've fallen into that category a couple games. This game wasn't one of them.

I dunno how much of the crappy play this game can be attributed to taking a big lead early on, also. It shouldn't, but gets you (or at least me) into the mindset of the game being somewhat easy to win and not requiring the normal amount of actual work.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 18 2013 15:42 GMT
#4137
D0 being the pregame?
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 18 2013 15:47 GMT
#4140
On April 19 2013 00:43 Caller wrote:
stop talking about how bad these guys were and more about how awesome me + goznaw + palmar were
NEED EPEEN
Maaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaan. You and Palmar didn't even flip town. Practically mafia, imo.
Fe fi fo fum.
austinmcc
Profile Joined October 2010
United States6737 Posts
April 18 2013 16:05 GMT
#4152
Nobody took assassin, BC, priest, thief/roleswapper.

Only one person grabbed JOAT which was loaded. Only one person tried for inventor (so many people spoke up about it that it looks like almost everyone thought it wasn't worth trying). Nobody else went for copycat, which I remembered being something people cared about in PYP2. Nobody went for Ver.

Really surprising.


I kind of wondered how a role that either just (1) gets told what roles were leftover and unclaimed or (2) gets told what roles were leftover and unclaimed, and gets to pick a role from that list would work. It's possible you could only give that to mafia, because it would make the game much harder for them if it were in town hands probably, but it seemed like a role that would be super powerful within the confines of a PYP game and yet could be set to not actually take any direct action, just get information.
Fe fi fo fum.
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