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On March 30 2013 23:29 marvellosity wrote: In other, fluffy news, my other half got me (among other things) a TL hoodie for my birthday. Woo!
Sounds like you're a bit less grumpy today 
I probably shouldn't have been teasing you so much.
But in all seriousness marv, it's been over a week since personality - promise you'll stop pretending to not give a fuck if you get lynched?
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Thoughts on Rayn everybody? Considering he flipped scum in Newbie XXXIX
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On March 31 2013 01:49 Keirathi wrote:Show nested quote +On March 31 2013 01:48 strongandbig wrote: I don't like the idea of "using the double lynch to test acrofales's unlynchable claim." A double lynch on day 2 is a huge bonus IMO, especially with so many serious and engaged townies still alive.
To acro: if you are town, you should absolutely explain the mechanics of your unlynchable role. Allowing us to waste a lynch on verifying it if we don't have to is nearly as bad as if you got mislynched yourself. To me, the motivation to explain yourself is so strong the if you continue to refuse, I'm going to have to assume you are lying and scum.
If you dont want to test the unlynchable claim, who do you want to lynch?
If acro doesn't say anything more about his claim (I want role name and color and flavor, all powers, how exactly his unlynchability works, how we can get rid of him if he really is unlynchable) - if he doesn't give us those, I want to lynch him because his reticence would make me think he is scum. But if we believe him, we shouldn't be lynching him to confirm him as town. If we believe his claim, we should try to use our extra lynch on people we think are scum.
Especially because I very much doubt that there will be a second-place lynch redirection, since this is majority lynch and not plurality lynch.
I think insertsmurfhere is a good choice for the other lynch.
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Yes yes, we already have a majority on Smurf.
Who would you lynch beside him if we don't lynch Smurf+Acro.
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On March 31 2013 01:55 Oatsmaster wrote: Thoughts on Rayn everybody? Considering he flipped scum in Newbie XXXIX
One scum game does not a meta make (have you read the postgame comments in The Game thread?) I don't think it should have much impact on how we evaluate his play this game, unless there are specific things people were seeing from him which they thought "this specific thing wouldn't come from a scummer," and he did those specific things in that other game.
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On March 31 2013 02:00 strongandbig wrote:Show nested quote +On March 31 2013 01:55 Oatsmaster wrote: Thoughts on Rayn everybody? Considering he flipped scum in Newbie XXXIX One scum game does not a meta make (have you read the postgame comments in The Game thread?) I don't think it should have much impact on how we evaluate his play this game, unless there are specific things people were seeing from him which they thought "this specific thing wouldn't come from a scummer," and he did those specific things in that other game.
Not considering that he flipped scum in Newbie XXXIX.
Are you deliberately ignoring the question?
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On March 31 2013 01:59 Keirathi wrote: Yes yes, we already have a majority on Smurf.
Who would you lynch beside him if we don't lynch Smurf+Acro.
I haven't been persuaded by the defenses of obviousone, I still believe he could be scum for the reasons I described during the night phase, so he would be my next choice.
For a second lynch, I guess I would have to say sinani? I've found the cases on him from both sides to be just sort-of persuasive, so I feel like he's kind of a coinflip but my other choice would be marv and I don't think I'm ready to actually lynch him just yet.
I haven't looked at oatsmaster yet though, he's another possibility in that I haven't seen anything from him that makes me go "oh he's town", but it seems like no one has very strong scum reads on him that I've noticed so maybe people who've played with him more have done some analysis.
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On March 31 2013 02:03 Oatsmaster wrote:Show nested quote +On March 31 2013 02:00 strongandbig wrote:On March 31 2013 01:55 Oatsmaster wrote: Thoughts on Rayn everybody? Considering he flipped scum in Newbie XXXIX One scum game does not a meta make (have you read the postgame comments in The Game thread?) I don't think it should have much impact on how we evaluate his play this game, unless there are specific things people were seeing from him which they thought "this specific thing wouldn't come from a scummer," and he did those specific things in that other game. Not considering that he flipped scum in Newbie XXXIX. Are you deliberately ignoring the question?
Lol no, I'm deliberately saying I don't think it's a good question. I think unless someone was predicting a town read on him on certain things that they thought were "town tells" but that he did as scum, then his alignment in that game shouldn't have a big effect on analysis of him in this one.
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Thoughts on Rayn SnB?
Also sleeping now,
Fuck acro and his nonsense my vote is on him and will be on him at the end of the day.
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##Vote sinani206 ##Vote Acrofales
Not going to be around today because Jesus.
Toodles!
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United Kingdom36156 Posts
On March 31 2013 02:07 strongandbig wrote:Show nested quote +On March 31 2013 02:03 Oatsmaster wrote:On March 31 2013 02:00 strongandbig wrote:On March 31 2013 01:55 Oatsmaster wrote: Thoughts on Rayn everybody? Considering he flipped scum in Newbie XXXIX One scum game does not a meta make (have you read the postgame comments in The Game thread?) I don't think it should have much impact on how we evaluate his play this game, unless there are specific things people were seeing from him which they thought "this specific thing wouldn't come from a scummer," and he did those specific things in that other game. Not considering that he flipped scum in Newbie XXXIX. Are you deliberately ignoring the question? Lol no, I'm deliberately saying I don't think it's a good question. I think unless someone was predicting a town read on him on certain things that they thought were "town tells" but that he did as scum, then his alignment in that game shouldn't have a big effect on analysis of him in this one.
rayn was quite clearly the townleader in that game, with high activity and contributions. For a new player this is especially unusual, and so the lazy heuristic I was using here of active, paranoid townie is something that needs to be reconsidered in light of the fact he was far more capable as mafia than a newer player (or indeed, 95%+ of normal players) usually is.
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@marv:
On March 31 2013 01:03 Keirathi wrote:Anyways I want to talk about this a bit more: Show nested quote +On March 30 2013 20:06 marvellosity wrote:On March 30 2013 19:57 ObviousOne wrote: I'm still around because I'm stupid and drank all of the coffee. It didn't make me smarter though so talk me through it when you get around to it. Just read what Kei wrote for a start. The thing to think about is when is someone "doomed". A mafia's objective changes markedly at this point, and goes into wifom-mode, rather than push-a-mislynch-mode.I can't remember Kei's reasons for thinking sinani and Acro couldn't be mafia together even though I only read them 20 minutes ago, but I do remember thinking that they weren't good reasons. lol. Obviously I am aware of that, since it is part of my case against Acro, even if it is just speculation. And part of why I don't think Acro and sinani are scum together. Go back and look through the night. There really was very little discussion about sinani. You mentioned him once "sinani looks worse by default" or something like that. OO posed those questions that kind of had a "sinani is scum" assumption behind them. But there really wasn't much actual talk about sinani. Almost all of the night phase revolved around you/Smurf/Me+cora/OO. So, at that point, I DO think Smurf was doomed. But I do NOT think sinani was doomed in any way. Therefore, since I think Acro is scum, I don't think there was any reason for scum Acro to bus two teammates so hard. **SNIPPED OUT OF MY FOLLOWUP POST*** EBWOP: I should also say that I don't think that it is impossible for Acro and sinani are scum together. I just don't find it very likely at all, especially if Smurf is mafia. And I'm kind of taking it for granted that Smurf is mafia since he gave up.
Agree or disagree?
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United Kingdom36156 Posts
On March 31 2013 03:30 Keirathi wrote:@marv: Show nested quote +On March 31 2013 01:03 Keirathi wrote:Anyways I want to talk about this a bit more: On March 30 2013 20:06 marvellosity wrote:On March 30 2013 19:57 ObviousOne wrote: I'm still around because I'm stupid and drank all of the coffee. It didn't make me smarter though so talk me through it when you get around to it. Just read what Kei wrote for a start. The thing to think about is when is someone "doomed". A mafia's objective changes markedly at this point, and goes into wifom-mode, rather than push-a-mislynch-mode.I can't remember Kei's reasons for thinking sinani and Acro couldn't be mafia together even though I only read them 20 minutes ago, but I do remember thinking that they weren't good reasons. lol. Obviously I am aware of that, since it is part of my case against Acro, even if it is just speculation. And part of why I don't think Acro and sinani are scum together. Go back and look through the night. There really was very little discussion about sinani. You mentioned him once "sinani looks worse by default" or something like that. OO posed those questions that kind of had a "sinani is scum" assumption behind them. But there really wasn't much actual talk about sinani. Almost all of the night phase revolved around you/Smurf/Me+cora/OO. So, at that point, I DO think Smurf was doomed. But I do NOT think sinani was doomed in any way. Therefore, since I think Acro is scum, I don't think there was any reason for scum Acro to bus two teammates so hard. **SNIPPED OUT OF MY FOLLOWUP POST*** EBWOP: I should also say that I don't think that it is impossible for Acro and sinani are scum together. I just don't find it very likely at all, especially if Smurf is mafia. And I'm kind of taking it for granted that Smurf is mafia since he gave up. Agree or disagree?
Kind of agree in an uncomfortable not-sure-if-I-agree way.
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On March 31 2013 03:07 marvellosity wrote:Show nested quote +On March 31 2013 02:07 strongandbig wrote:On March 31 2013 02:03 Oatsmaster wrote:On March 31 2013 02:00 strongandbig wrote:On March 31 2013 01:55 Oatsmaster wrote: Thoughts on Rayn everybody? Considering he flipped scum in Newbie XXXIX One scum game does not a meta make (have you read the postgame comments in The Game thread?) I don't think it should have much impact on how we evaluate his play this game, unless there are specific things people were seeing from him which they thought "this specific thing wouldn't come from a scummer," and he did those specific things in that other game. Not considering that he flipped scum in Newbie XXXIX. Are you deliberately ignoring the question? Lol no, I'm deliberately saying I don't think it's a good question. I think unless someone was predicting a town read on him on certain things that they thought were "town tells" but that he did as scum, then his alignment in that game shouldn't have a big effect on analysis of him in this one. rayn was quite clearly the townleader in that game, with high activity and contributions. For a new player this is especially unusual, and so the lazy heuristic I was using here of active, paranoid townie is something that needs to be reconsidered in light of the fact he was far more capable as mafia than a newer player (or indeed, 95%+ of normal players) usually is. I am not a new player. I have played ~20 games on another forum. You can read it from our scum QT from XXXIX. I play the same especially on D1 as town or mafia. As i said, it's just that my intentions are different. I have not played with any of you so i do not bother to take meta into account, as if i read another game of someone of yours, i could not be sure if what i see is actually true, because people interact differently depending on who are they interacting with, and their alignment. There are too many factors for me to take meta into account to form a read on someone.
So can you just cut the crap with meta, i'm pretty sure Cora was trying to figure out if i am scum on D1 as he hosted XXXIX and i played the beginning of this game similary. That's why i was near getting really angry with him. I knew what he was after but i could not defend myself in any way (as we can't talk about ongoing games).
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Rayn, what do you think about Acro's claim?
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I think it's very fishy. I see no reason for a townie to be unlynchable.
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EBWOP: At least after the how he has acted since then (disappear).
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I'm going to go ahead and claim that I'm in a non-confirmed mason circle with Acro and Rayn (also with Grack, but he's dead). The traits of this circle are as follows: 1) I don't have the player-list of people involved in the circle 2) Nothing in my Role PM says anything about any player's alignment in this circle. 3) There's a reasonable chance that scum is either posting or watching the circle
I'm not going to post full logs, because I want to protect some role-claims. That being said, I'm claiming because the circle is kinda useless, and acro role-claimed in-circle very early on. In addition, I know that Rayn saw his claimed role in there.
Acro = Acro some ramdon dude = Rayton + Show Spoiler +7 some random dude 03-25-2013 08:09 PM ET (US) Why did you decide to claim it?
EDIT: That explains it :p Edited 03-25-2013 08:11 PM
6 Acrofales 03-25-2013 08:06 PM ET (US) Haha, just saw this could be infiltrated by non-townies. Let me rephrase that:
I roleclaimed but edited it out! BOOM.
@ Rayn - what was the role that Acro claimed in the circle?
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United Kingdom36156 Posts
Perma masons AND a mason circle?
Fuck me.
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One time vote rigger. Said he did not fully know how it worked.
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