Nomination Mafia - Page 5

On February 05 2013 08:24 yamato77 wrote:
One more!

As a pregame note, I'm going to make an effort to be less abrasive and confrontational this game.

I'm on a more even keel at the moment than I have been lately.

On February 05 2013 09:47 yamato77 wrote:
How do you figure town favored?

On February 05 2013 09:57 yamato77 wrote:
Sorry :c

I suppose it is kind of silly to do so.

On February 05 2013 09:58 marvellosity wrote:


Well it's 9-4.

Say I'm town, I'm basically presume I'm not going to be mislynched (although in my recent games this seems less certain, but whatever). Anyway say we mislynch cycle 1, and cycle 2 by default (although we get information)

Then 7-4. Should be able to catch mafia, 7-3, then 6-3 (again with extra information)

I'm gonna guess I'll lynch mafia again, and then the game is looking pretty good. Even if I don't lynch mafia, it's not lylo, it becomes 4-3 (with added information). Then again if mafia is lynched cycle 7 (this would only mean 2 mafia lynches out of the first 4 town-decided cycles) it's 4-2, and it doesn't matter if town is again lynched in the mafia cycle (again with information).

Basically it comes down to the fact that the really strong townies are unlikely to be mislynched, and so they'll be around the entire game to figure the game out. This is why it favours town imo, just a couple, or even 1, strong town players are all that's needed to win the game for town

On February 05 2013 10:01 Djodref wrote:


No, I was just teasing you. I think being less confrontational is good, but you sometimes feel the need to commit to a stupid attack/argument. And I can understand that.

On February 05 2013 09:58 marvellosity wrote:


Well it's 9-4.

Say I'm town, I'm basically presume I'm not going to be mislynched (although in my recent games this seems less certain, but whatever). Anyway say we mislynch cycle 1, and cycle 2 by default (although we get information)

Then 7-4. Should be able to catch mafia, 7-3, then 6-3 (again with extra information)

I'm gonna guess I'll lynch mafia again, and then the game is looking pretty good. Even if I don't lynch mafia, it's not lylo, it becomes 4-3 (with added information). Then again if mafia is lynched cycle 7 (this would only mean 2 mafia lynches out of the first 4 town-decided cycles) it's 4-2, and it doesn't matter if town is again lynched in the mafia cycle (again with information).

Basically it comes down to the fact that the really strong townies are unlikely to be mislynched, and so they'll be around the entire game to figure the game out. This is why it favours town imo, just a couple, or even 1, strong town players are all that's needed to win the game for town

On February 05 2013 10:04 Djodref wrote:


Just realizing that we cannot lynch marv with some easy "lynch marv in LYLO always" rule this time.
Marv is also preparing to roll scum this game. I saw what you did here

On February 05 2013 10:07 GMarshal wrote:
Now you realize that suddenly the onus is on scum to push lynches on strong, dangerous townies!

This is what makes this setup fun. No lurking to victory. Still save the setup discussion please ^_^

On February 05 2013 10:09 marvellosity wrote:


but... but... the reply to this one is so obvious.

alas, I shall resist.

On February 05 2013 10:09 marvellosity wrote:


P.S. if you don't start the game 1.5 days after it filled up you've got what's coming to you

<3

On February 05 2013 10:12 GMarshal wrote:

Might start it tomorrow, I just can't promise that and didn't want to raise anyone's hopes.

On February 05 2013 10:14 marvellosity wrote:


it's fine, we're still waiting 6 months on the NMM3 analysis

edit: totally not an issue btw ^^

On February 05 2013 09:58 marvellosity wrote:


Well it's 9-4.

Say I'm town, I'm basically presume I'm not going to be mislynched