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TL Mafia LIX - Page 80

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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AxleGreaser
Profile Joined November 2012
Australia1154 Posts
January 23 2013 11:50 GMT
#1581
On January 23 2013 20:42 AxleGreaser wrote:

I agree they are two good scum candidates but not a binary either or pair to the exclusion of all others.



Very specifically if one flips town then the conditional probability of ALL other mayoral candidates being the scum that must have run goes up.

Be aware that mathematically even includes 5 touch. Although until we mislynch some (that usually happens sooner or later, get ready, dont panic) you cannot sanely look at 5 touch when town is on a 100% winning streak.

Axle(OnlySomeTheoriesToAbsurdToBeConsidered)Greaser
annul
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States2841 Posts
January 23 2013 11:53 GMT
#1582
On January 23 2013 20:45 Toadesstern wrote:
and he was against the prplhz lynch.


[citation needed]
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
January 23 2013 11:55 GMT
#1583
Axle you write like you have a mental disorder but I see you have what it needs to play this game.
No offence, but thanks for making it legible and for the good contribution.


On January 23 2013 20:45 Toadesstern wrote:
He was wasting his vote by putting it on himself and he was against the prplhz lynch.


These points you mention about annul actually made me think he's town during the night.
What would scum want to achieve with this? It's anti-town but a really risky thing to do for scum.
Toadesstern
Profile Blog Joined October 2008
Germany16350 Posts
January 23 2013 11:55 GMT
#1584
Do me a favor and think about what Sandro said, the best townie on TL.net: He said I'm town and he just flipped town.
Look at what other people are saying who know how I'm playing like palmar, like WBG, like austin, like gonzaw (although he might be mafia I guess...): Every single one of them said I'm like a confirmed townie.

I'm not going to include myself in an argument for "one of the guys has to be mafia" for the same reason I didn't include people like Palmar: Because we're as confirmed town as you can get without being an IC or without flipping around now.

I mean even if you just ignore that like an idiot and think "okay maybe he's still mafia" just give me one reason for shooting Sandroba if I am mafia. The guy was certain on me being a townie. Why would I try to get him out of the way instead of... idk.... killing people who don't think so watching how Sandro keeps on telling everyone how town I am. It just doesn't make sense.
On top of that the guy I masoned today basicly called me confirmed townie as well for a damn good reason I'm not willing to share, at least not today.

So really, I'm going to ignore those "toad might be mafia" paranoia posts right now because they're ridiculous and EVERYONE is ignoring them for a reason...
<Elem> >toad in charge of judging lewdness <Elem> how bad can it be <Elem> also wew, that is actually p lewd.
annul
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States2841 Posts
January 23 2013 11:57 GMT
#1585
what the fuck is "IC"
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
January 23 2013 11:58 GMT
#1586
You fucked up by letting sandro get killed, and scums' choice of target points towards them knowing your target for the jail.

I don't believe that you would risk sandro getting killed if you were town assuming some derp scum wifomplay behind the NKs.

I also can't confirm the authenticity of the logs you posted since sandro died. You should have posted them before. And you should know that.

There is no Toad-Paranoia, stop playing den Empörten.
annul
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States2841 Posts
January 23 2013 11:59 GMT
#1587
On January 23 2013 20:55 Toadesstern wrote:
On top of that the guy I masoned today basicly called me confirmed townie as well for a damn good reason I'm not willing to share, at least not today.


well this is interesting

there is absolutely no way for anyone to confirm you as town, period. you are sheriff, so you cannot get DT'd. anything anyone says to "confirm" you is hearsay at best.
Toadesstern
Profile Blog Joined October 2008
Germany16350 Posts
January 23 2013 11:59 GMT
#1588
On January 23 2013 20:53 annul wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 23 2013 20:45 Toadesstern wrote:
and he was against the prplhz lynch.


[citation needed]

You were basicly calling everyone an idiot, telling people Vivax is mafia and people shouldn't listen to anything anyone says while ragevoting yourself.
I take that as oposing the lynch when Palmar was very much in the lead and most people agreed on prplhz being a decent or the best lynch.
<Elem> >toad in charge of judging lewdness <Elem> how bad can it be <Elem> also wew, that is actually p lewd.
annul
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States2841 Posts
January 23 2013 12:01 GMT
#1589
for the record i /out any time i see palmar in the player list, so the fact he is a smurf in this game does not make me happy whatsoever
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
January 23 2013 12:01 GMT
#1590
Who are you masoning this cycle Toad?
Toadesstern
Profile Blog Joined October 2008
Germany16350 Posts
January 23 2013 12:01 GMT
#1591
On January 23 2013 20:58 Vivax wrote:
You fucked up by letting sandro get killed, and scums' choice of target points towards them knowing your target for the jail.

I don't believe that you would risk sandro getting killed if you were town assuming some derp scum wifomplay behind the NKs.

I also can't confirm the authenticity of the logs you posted since sandro died. You should have posted them before. And you should know that.

There is no Toad-Paranoia, stop playing den Empörten.


wtf is wrong with you... you're literally the worst guy I ever saw... I mean even that axle guy agreed with the point that I could not have done anything different because posting the logs beforehand would be even worse... and axle is fucking bad at this game, like REALLY.
<Elem> >toad in charge of judging lewdness <Elem> how bad can it be <Elem> also wew, that is actually p lewd.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
January 23 2013 12:06 GMT
#1592
Toad your arguments have just become strangely emotional.
You could just answer the question if you were town?
Toadesstern
Profile Blog Joined October 2008
Germany16350 Posts
January 23 2013 12:07 GMT
#1593
they are fucking emotional because I'm risking a warning / ban to safe lifes and I'm getting told I'm a retard for doing so.
<Elem> >toad in charge of judging lewdness <Elem> how bad can it be <Elem> also wew, that is actually p lewd.
Toadesstern
Profile Blog Joined October 2008
Germany16350 Posts
January 23 2013 12:14 GMT
#1594
I'm going to stop posting until someone who knows what he's doing gets in here and is willing to talk...
This is just ridiculous and I should have never answered you guys to begin with... just can't stand it when terribads are mocking me for being bad when I'm doing all the right things and they just don't know what's happening lol...
<Elem> >toad in charge of judging lewdness <Elem> how bad can it be <Elem> also wew, that is actually p lewd.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
January 23 2013 12:18 GMT
#1595
I'm not calling you retard. I'm calling you scum.

You didn't save the guy you consider to be the best townie in this game to jail whom? Bugs? I'm not buying it. That isn't solid play and doesn't align with your view on sandro.
If I think you're scum then it's cause I would expect a higher standard from you as town.

Scum hit 3/3 despite the huge insecurities in play. Especially the hit on sandroba was super risky. If they took that risk they should have taken the risk of hitting Bugs just to be sure, but they didn't. They went in precisely like a swiss clock.

They took two players that weren't particularly threatening for them and that weren't particularly threatened by a lynch.

Spit out who you are masoning this cycle.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
January 23 2013 12:55 GMT
#1596
On January 23 2013 15:00 Toadesstern wrote:
-snip-
I was telling people that I'm not going to tell people my target.
I was telling people to randomly protect into Sand / WBG / Goznaw.
-snip-


And right after:

On January 23 2013 16:12 Toadesstern wrote:
wouldn't mind lynching into either gonzaw or Annul today. Have to reread a bit because they kind of rule out each other...
Anyways doublelynch tomorrow should be voted for.


Toad, why did you go from "protect gonzaw" to "I don't mind lynching gonzaw"?

When I asked you said cause it's likely that he is the mafia mayor candidate.
But why didn't you suspect him at all during the night then?
Toadesstern
Profile Blog Joined October 2008
Germany16350 Posts
January 23 2013 13:01 GMT
#1597
On January 23 2013 21:55 Vivax wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 23 2013 15:00 Toadesstern wrote:
-snip-
I was telling people that I'm not going to tell people my target.
I was telling people to randomly protect into Sand / WBG / Goznaw.
-snip-


And right after:

Show nested quote +
On January 23 2013 16:12 Toadesstern wrote:
wouldn't mind lynching into either gonzaw or Annul today. Have to reread a bit because they kind of rule out each other...
Anyways doublelynch tomorrow should be voted for.


Toad, why did you go from "protect gonzaw" to "I don't mind lynching gonzaw"?

When I asked you said cause it's likely that he is the mafia mayor candidate.
But why didn't you suspect him at all during the night then?

for christs sake start reading the fucking thread.
<Elem> >toad in charge of judging lewdness <Elem> how bad can it be <Elem> also wew, that is actually p lewd.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
January 23 2013 13:07 GMT
#1598
On January 23 2013 17:00 Toadesstern wrote:
Also thought on the Annul matter would be much appreciated by anyone. I really think he's likely mafia but with the new information on Gonzaw it seems really risky to lynch into that today...

Probably would like lynching someone else first for today.


You mean this?

Expand on that, you're keeping it vague.
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
January 23 2013 13:08 GMT
#1599
On January 23 2013 21:18 Vivax wrote:
Scum hit 3/3 despite the huge insecurities in play. Especially the hit on sandroba was super risky. If they took that risk they should have taken the risk of hitting Bugs just to be sure, but they didn't. They went in precisely like a swiss clock.

They took two players that weren't particularly threatening for them and that weren't particularly threatened by a lynch.


Vivax.. why do you know scum hit 3/3?
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
January 23 2013 13:10 GMT
#1600
I don't think there was a vig shot. Town vigs usually claim, anything else is detrimental.
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