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Hopeless1der
United States5836 Posts
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Hopeless1der
United States5836 Posts
On November 05 2012 02:23 Acrofales wrote: Oh, that's great news. I was just looking into Kush closer, but with this info I am inclined to skip him over and look closer into DP. Yes, that means I believe Thrawn. I still think it very likely we have an SK, so here are the options: TTT = 2 Goons + Roleblocker, Serial Killer (Investigation Immune OR 1-Shot Bulletproof) T = Goon + Roleblocker + Godfather, Serial Killer (Investigation Immune OR 1-Shot Bulletproof) That means we are at mylo. Acro, I'm reading you as town. I think Occam's razor is in your favor with faking a mason claim and risking yourself like that against Muso's claim. Given your case on Promethelax, how are you reading risk's decisions to withhold his other reads in favor of focusing on Prom. He's hinted that they exist, but he doesn't want to disclose them. I don't like Prom's filter anymore. I had a town read on him, but he keeps saying he's town, which is something he did as scum in NMMXIX, and I never picked up on during that game (I'd forgotten until I clicked the link he so graciously provided). ghost analyzed one of Prom's posts here: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=15585521 Prom kept trying to 'trap' Acro into revealing the number of scum (most likely 3 if I read the C9++ setup correctly). He`s also spent a long time defending himself. Since today started, he's been here but hasn't put down a read on who he'd actually like to lynch. - Fed kush more role information, I guess to get him to unvote? - Questioned DP about having a townread on him, implies scummy behavior from DP. - Argues with risk about the case against him. He is pushing for more activity from town, but he's not actually hunting scum himself from the looks of things, and he's had lots of time with which to do it. Activity =\= scumhunting. ##Vote: Promethelax Going to check out zealos and Matt for breadcrumbs | ||
Hopeless1der
United States5836 Posts
On November 03 2012 23:54 Mattchew wrote: If WBg balanced this game then one of me/acro/risk/prplhz are scum... I don't think acro is cause he woulda known Muso was town and that would be a crazy fucking move for a scum to make Any merit to this statement from Mattchew? Would wbg handpick roles? | ||
Hopeless1der
United States5836 Posts
On November 05 2012 02:39 mkfuba07 wrote: I'm still looking through Acro and Prome's filters, since I had a town read on both of them and apparently many people disagree. Glad to hear thrawn and Kush are both reasonably confirmed town. One question: if there is an SK is it definitely mylo? Can't scum and SK kill each other? I think that's right, but does it really matter? With the exception of deciding to No-Lynch, what does that information change about your reads? | ||
Hopeless1der
United States5836 Posts
On November 05 2012 03:59 Acrofales wrote: LOL. Lurking much? Thanks for confirming my point about you only showing up when accused of being scum, scum. That was uncanny...Release, scumreads if you please. Despite reading Prom as scum, he's at least talkative. What do you have going on? | ||
Hopeless1der
United States5836 Posts
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Hopeless1der
United States5836 Posts
On November 05 2012 23:54 Acrofales wrote: Not much to go on for Hopeless1der. I will thus make the case both ways, as I did for Muso. On Muso I felt the town case was stronger (as I said at the time). This time I am leaning towards scum: The case for Hopeless1der The scum mindset Why grudgingly? Why would a townie grudgingly admit to knowing something about a fellow townie that exculpates him. Would this not be a good thing? However, from a scum viewpoint, it makes sense: he does not want to admit that Kush derps pretty consistently, but feels compelled by the general direction of the game, and the need to make a good impression at the start of it to grudgingly admit to this information. Regarding Muso: At this point all Muso had done wrong, as far as anybody knew was lie about his experience in the game. If a mason claimed to be his partner, then his claim would be more believable than mine. However, hopeless wants to go ahead and lynch him REGARDLESS of any further developments. Now, hopeless may be a townie making an error of judgement and believing my claim unconditionally. However, at this point I see no real reason to say we should lynch Muso regardless unless you're scum and want to push strongly for that townie lynch. At this point, my claim was by far the more believable one (as evidenced by everybody voting Muso), so he picked Muso to bandwagon on, rather than me. Suspicious minds would say that you are paying way too close attention to the wording and that you are, in fact, bluehunting. I thought this was worth mentioning, because the tone rubbed me the wrong way at the time. I am still not quite sure why though. If I had to say, it is because Hopeless seems to be puzzling rather hard over whether my claim means I'm claiming VT or not. Something townies shouldn't be worried about (except that Kush got everybody riled up about it). The OMGUS Now I think that Muso did not word himself properly here, but his main point was that hopeless1der was unwilling to even consider the possibility that Muso was town. Hopeless skipped right over that part and made a jump of bad logic: Muso knows he'll flip town and is talking about AFTER his death, when everybody else will know he flipped town too. He thinks Prom is scum and Hopeless is trying to keep the lynch focused on Muso to protect his scumbuddy. However, regardless of what Prom flips, he urges us to look into Hopeless. The mere fact that Hopeless is unwilling to consider a town Muso is what he is finding scummy. This is indeed scummy behaviour. Hopeless' way of dealing with this is to discredit it and OMGUS someone who is already about to die anyway. He shows absolutely NO willingness to even consider the possibility that Muso is town. That may be because he already knows Muso is town and he has absolutely no reason to reconsider his thoughts given the rather large amounts of new information. The lurk After 18 hours of inactivity (all through the night, I might add, which is when scum is busy deciding whom to shoot in their own little QT) we get: This is an utterly useless post, which just emphasizes his lurkiness. I don't see this as "too bold to be scum". People had noticed his absense and were commenting on it. He needed to say something about it. This is all we get. Since then his activity has been limited to a rather bad meta-case against Promethelax, and a throwaway statement that he wants to lynch Drazak. If anything they feel like testers: if somebody bites and starts ramping up a case against Release or Drazak, he is ready to jump on it. However, he is completely noncommittal and happy to do no scumhunting of his own. This also ties into his earlier behaviour (see below): he showed commitment and activity in the game, but once people started reading him as town (me in my night post, for instance), he dropped off the map. Also, lets not forget Mattchew[/green's opinion. Mattchew is actually a pretty good scumhunter, despite him claiming otherwise, and it is always a good idea to listen to what he says (although moreso when he's scum ) The case for Hopeless1der Keeping discussion from derailing Why would scum be afraid of kush running rampant with his crazy theory. Fake claming seems particularly easy.. and all that is needed to placate Kush is a silly VT claim like Paint Bucket or Boulder if push really comes to shove and town starts mass claiming. And that's assuming scum isn't given a list of safeclaims in the first place (a fairly common thing for normal games). However, as town, this whole discussion was a giant distraction from what we should have been doing: scumhunting. Hopeless seems to be trying to keep the town on track. Keeping promises Too often scum make a promise to be active and then forget about it. It's one of the things I like to look for when reading filters. Hopeless makes a promise and delivers on it. This put him on my town list initially, as it shows a certain consistency. Not a big tell, though, especially given his later behaviour. See above. + Show Spoiler [Hopeless1der's promise] + On November 01 2012 12:19 Hopeless1der wrote: Well, I haven't properly commented on you yet Release. Based on what I've seen, really scummy push against kush. However, I'm going to read those newbie games you posted seeing as I was in two of them and then come back to this. We'll see how some meta analysis holds up. Also, I doubt I get that done tonight since I need to be up really early for work; Going to bed in a bit so I'll post my findings in an approximate 15 hours from now. 15 hours later: On November 02 2012 02:56 Hopeless1der wrote: Release's first game ever on TL, opening postTown: + Show Spoiler + On May 22 2012 09:08 Release wrote: You say that you are for a vote, but you state that your other vote was luck based. Considering you said "very luck based", doesn't that mean to say that we are not going to experience the same luck? If we don't experience the same luck, we will very much end up lynching a townie, which makes your "for a vote" seem like you want to lynch a townie. Also, why are you talking about the last game? You should be more concerned with this game and find out ways for pointing out scum rather than ways not to. This seems more like filler. The useful part of your post can be summarized by: We should have a lynch today. A no-lynch would be detrimental. ##FOS: Mordanis Fairly similar to his attack on kush this game. 2nd game Town, he spends most of the game tunneling grush. Way more 1-liners, inconclusive to the current situation 3rd game Vig, he gets in my face pretty early, but generally tried to keep talking. Also cited activity issues due to school? 4th game Town, + Show Spoiler + On July 05 2012 08:58 Release wrote: I think YourHarry is Grush's new alias. Ignoring the copy-pasted policy stuff for now, Why on earth did you even post that scenario stuff about a VT fake-claiming a DT or blue? There was absolutely no indication that anyone had even planned on that (especially considering you had the first post). If anything, you have just shown people something they can do (to the detriment of the town). And why go through the casework? It's just fluff and you know it. This is very much a post looking like a contribution, while being a non-contribution, or even an anti-contribution. Im pretty sure, again, that no one was even remotely close to voting in a way to force a nolynch. I love the bolded line; you could have kept this post simple and concise. But you decided to make it "super-duper long." ##vote: Lazermonkey Yourharry, you should do more than OMGUS. You are definitely rivaling, for scumminess, against lazer. Fos: yourharry Fos: lazermonkey Keep in mind, he's already spent a game tunneling grush, from what I can tell, it was related to fake-claims. Opens with hostility and a vote. To be fair, I don't think he's ever rolled scum, but his jumping out of the gate fighting looks like hes town yet again. He's never played with kush before. He also explained that he expects people to NOT derp all over the thread when they post here: + Show Spoiler + On November 01 2012 10:09 Release wrote: well, you were assigning Mason traits to the miller, which led to the confusion that it did between who should claim. Also, you didn't mention mason but the "town who can talk to each other." You avoided saying mason. Mason is clear. "town who can talk to each other" could be mason, but could be miller if someone assumed you were talking about who YOU thought "could talk to each other." Mafia is a game in which posts can't be editted. People tend to check their posts for any dubious or tentative information. I highly doubt that you "mixed up" their names because things like that tend to get checked, which leads me to believe you said such things on purpose. I wasn't talking about the mass claim. That was rather obvious. Sadly, kush is unable to meet that requirement. My "meta" read is that this strong aggression is in fact representative of town release. Keeping in mind that there are no scum games to compare with, I'm not willing to vote Release for his posts against kush. i also agree with this from Zealos: On November 02 2012 01:41 Zealos wrote: --SNIP-- That being said, I do think releases later posts have a townie attitude about them. He is saying what he appears to think without hiding anything or pushing a mafia agenda as far as I can tell. --SNIP-- I think I have a handle on this mason claim shitfest. I'm rereading this through more carefully because I just kind of glanced the thread over, but I think I'm going to be voting Muso in a moment. Incidentally, I also liked the content of this post as it agreed rather largely with what I found based on Release's meta. However, scum has an easy time making town reads look right, because they already know that the player is town. My short responses to Acro's case on me: "grudgingly" - kush derps regardless of alignment. As much as I'd have loved to call him scum for saying or doing dumb things, kush derping is a null tell, not a scum tell as it is with other people. "muso claim" - I was all but convinced muso would flip scum. A 'partner' was in quotes because I would have continued to tunnel muso and either confirm a mason partner or a scum partner. In doing so, it would have likely (at the time) confirmed you, Acro, as a mason. "OMGUS" - I think you have this backwards. He called me scum for pushing my scumread, and then said if the townie I was defending flipped, to come after me. Re-reading that, you're probably right in that he intended to say "if promethelax flips scum..." but as written that post didn't make sense and was trying to incriminate me for stupid reasons. The mere fact that Hopeless is unwilling to consider a town Muso is what he is finding scummy. This is indeed scummy behaviour. Hopeless' way of dealing with this is to discredit it and OMGUS someone who is already about to die anyway Being wishy-washy is town behavior? I realize that's taking things out of context a bit, but that's the rough translation. I had a scumread and I pursued it. "Lurk" - I can't really argue this one other than to say many of us are guilty of this as well. Also: all through the night, I might add, which is when scum is busy deciding whom to shoot in their own little QT | ||
Hopeless1der
United States5836 Posts
Day1, Promethelax replaces in and is immediately active. He initally has Matt as a scumread, but does nothing to push that read and then finally swaps over to draz. He tries ONCE to get people to look at Matt after his vote and then gives it up as a bad job when Acro tells him no. Posts where I feel Prom isn't scumhunting: + Show Spoiler + On November 03 2012 04:23 Promethelax wrote: School is out mother fuckers. I'm here until I go to work. You made me laugh. Thanks Syllo. Kush man, stop with the talk of Role names. You might be right but just saying the same thing over and over again doesn't help. You have provided that one thought, get out there and provide some more. It pains me when you do this because I know that you actually do know better you just get carried away. Draz: great, I love having no reads d1. That helps town. /sarcasm. Now sit down, shape up and tell us what you think about at least these three players (in detail): Matt, Muso, Acro. If you have time I would like to hear about Kush, Release and anyone else you would care to give an opinion on as well. Thrawnn...you are better than this. You have reads and you share them. This is scummy, you are too neutral on everyone. I don't care that we are in day one. You are one of the people, like me, who believes in trying d1 and think that people who don't are scummy so get it together. I'm watching you. Everyone: remember that Acro is NOT confirmed town at this point. His gambit was just that and it could have either scum or town motivation. What he says is true, he is one of the better players in this game and if he is alive later in the game he had better be looked at. If I'm alive I'll do the looking, if not one of you had better remember this. + Show Spoiler + On November 03 2012 05:16 Promethelax wrote: where fuba at? He ahsn't posted in 18 hours. This is not a boy who usually lurks so hardcore. Fuba, don't go fubar on us. Come on back and get in here. Last thing we heard form his was a question. Usually I want to know the answer to questions I ask... Risk, what do you feel about release now? You were voting him earlier with what I read as a pressure vote. This is why I assume that: Was that a pressure vote and what do you feel about Release now? Zealos: the hell are you doing? You are voting near the deadline. And not here now. Come on back and get involved, if this is a lynch that matters to you (i.e. you are town) you should be around. He's putting pressure on people to be more active but that's all he seems to be doing. Calling out players for the way they are posting and then moving right along. | ||
Hopeless1der
United States5836 Posts
##Unvote ##Vote: No-Lynch | ||
Hopeless1der
United States5836 Posts
I really thought you were scum. Easy scum out to just...lynch the shit out of me since you're the only other person with votes. Now, you're clearly willing to do that but I would have thought you'd have hammered me already. | ||
Hopeless1der
United States5836 Posts
Scumreads: Acro for making a billion cases and finally getting one to stick. Draz for being useless and OMGUS'ing everyone. I don't have a third right now. | ||
Hopeless1der
United States5836 Posts
On November 06 2012 07:49 thrawn2112 wrote: "I also can't belive that prom just isn't running with this" what did that part mean I thought he was scum and would have just hammered me On November 06 2012 07:49 kushm4sta wrote: hopeless claim punch clock ##Unvote: No-Lynch ##Vote: Acrofales | ||
Hopeless1der
United States5836 Posts
On November 06 2012 07:05 Promethelax wrote: Yeah, I'll be writing up the Acro case before this day is over. He just called me townie and left his vote on me saying he might not be here before the lynch. He also mentioned earlier how he plays scum, by looking like a strong townie and making huge cases. I'll be doing the full filter dive but I'll be watching the thread too. Guys, Vote either Fuba or Acro. That is where my vote will be today with two other consolidation options. | ||
Hopeless1der
United States5836 Posts
MeepMeep | ||
Hopeless1der
United States5836 Posts
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Hopeless1der
United States5836 Posts
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Hopeless1der
United States5836 Posts
I lurked this thread without thinking, release was right when he called it out, I almost got DP to concede by accident in the QT.. | ||
Hopeless1der
United States5836 Posts
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Hopeless1der
United States5836 Posts
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Hopeless1der
United States5836 Posts
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