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Movie Star Mini Mafia! - Page 43

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risk.nuke
Profile Joined May 2010
Sweden2825 Posts
June 26 2012 17:30 GMT
#841
marv I'm not saying you're wrong about VE, but if you insist on shooting him if you survive I don't think you can be saved. You need to shoot who we tell you to shoot or we'll have no choice but to lynch you. It's our form of control. You're free to try to persuade us to let you shoot VE.
Neo.G Soulkey, Best, firebathero. // http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/index.php?show_part=31
Mattchew
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States5684 Posts
June 26 2012 17:37 GMT
#842
On June 27 2012 02:24 marvellosity wrote:
One of the problems I'm having is guaging people, because I'm not used to being lynched.

With Matt. I know he has healthy respect for my scum play. I also know he has healthy respect for my town play because he was happy to sheep me on my judgement in Magic.

Here he is sarcastic and dismissive towards me. I can't tell if this is because he's scum or because he really thinks I'm scum. I don't know how to differentiate with him.

I actually think you are most likely SK > Scum > Town

There is always tomorrow nshs.seal.
Snarfs
Profile Joined November 2010
Canada1006 Posts
June 26 2012 18:02 GMT
#843
On June 27 2012 02:19 marvellosity wrote:
I think risk nuke is town

Can you elaborate on this? I don't see much towniness between where you said you were having trouble reading him to this position.
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36160 Posts
June 26 2012 18:03 GMT
#844
On June 27 2012 03:02 Snarfs wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 27 2012 02:19 marvellosity wrote:
I think risk nuke is town

Can you elaborate on this? I don't see much towniness between where you said you were having trouble reading him to this position.


He's talking sense. His reads so far align not too far from mine. He seems to care about this lynch.
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
Snarfs
Profile Joined November 2010
Canada1006 Posts
June 26 2012 18:23 GMT
#845
Fuck, I don't know. I don't want to be wrong again.
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36160 Posts
June 26 2012 18:29 GMT
#846
Just read prplhz or maybe risk if you want it explained why I'm not scum.

Why would I go after VE again, as scum, having deflected the attention on me day 1? How could that not end badly for me as scum? No, I went after him because he's my strongest read, it's that simple.
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
Shraft
Profile Joined October 2010
Sweden701 Posts
June 26 2012 18:42 GMT
#847
Snarfs meta

Here's a short list that describes Snarfs' posting in EMM (where he was mafia) quite accurately:
  1. Comments on everything, but he has few (if any) scum reads of his own.
  2. Has a few lenghty posts, but none of them contain much own thoughts, it's mostly just short stuff about everything going on.
  3. Always has an opinion that corresponds well with what others have already said.
  4. Applies light pressure often, but rarely follows through. Doesn't push his reads hard.
  5. Tends to ask other people for their opinion rather than voicing his own thoughts.
  6. As the number of players dwindles, he starts providing more content and more own thought. Probably because it's harder to just blend in.


Here are Snarfs' post game thoughts:
On June 20 2012 07:14 Snarfs wrote:
+ Show Spoiler [Rest of his post] +
GG guys.

Thanks to the hosts .

First scum game and I was not kidding when I said it was way more stressful for me than town T_T. I kept looking back at things I was saying and kicking myself for saying them. Wish I could have done better, but I already feel like this experience will help my future scum play... that's kinda why I just wanted the game to end, time to move on and do better in the next one!

Artanis, you were way too damn towny. Stop that! But I don't know why you guys convinced yourselves I wasn't scum based on my meta. I'd never played scum before... there was no meta to compare .

Ghost properly calling out the fact that I'd asked people for previous games but never referenced them was one of those "Oh fuck" moments for me. Fortunately, noone else brought that up again...

Hyaach, sorry for pushing your lynch when you'd done nothing scummy. I actually felt really bad T_T. I'm not cut out for scum life haha.

Honestly, I spent way more time on this game than my posting reflects. Many times I'd spend a couple hours reading the thread and writing out a post, only to delete it and turn my laptop off because I didn't want to stick my head out. Rookie scum mistakes like that will be improved upon for next time and are my biggest takeaway.

Anyways, fun game nonetheless. Thanks again wbg, HiroPro and ET.


I compared Snarfs' play in EMM (where he was scum) to his play in WoF MM (where he was a vigilante), and I found some differences:
  1. He seems to be willing to post more as town. He had a 2,5 page filter in EMM (excluding post game stuff) despite surviving until N5. In WoF he had a 4 page filter even though he got killed during N3.
  2. His posting seems more condensed as mafia. He posts about a couple of subjects at once and only makes short remarks, whereas as town, he seems to be more focused in his posting.
  3. Less interrogative questions as town than as mafia. (Although he still poses a fair amount of questions.)
  4. Way stronger scum reads as town. Look at this post that he submitted before getting shot to death. He didn't post anything that even remotely resembles this post during EMM.


I think that it's too early to guess his alignment based on meta in this game, but his play looks more like his town meta to me. The way he presents his case on Zephirdd doesn't seem like his conservative scum play in EMM. However, it could just be him adapting his scum play according to his post game thoughts in EMM, which makes me quite uncertain.

Conclusion: Snarfs is still a null tell to me. I spent one hour researching his meta, but it didn't make me any more certain on his alignment. ._.
Snarfs
Profile Joined November 2010
Canada1006 Posts
June 26 2012 18:48 GMT
#848
Yea, I think prplhz explains it pretty well. I'm not sold on you shooting VE though (in fact, I'm explicitly against it), and I don't know why you think risk.nuke is town after his vote on xsksc and his willingness to let you shoot VE.

Like, when you said this:
On June 26 2012 22:44 marvellosity wrote:
I'm fairly sure I know what risk's explanation is, but I want to hear it from him.

xsksc, can you work out what it might be?

What were you expecting?
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36160 Posts
June 26 2012 18:52 GMT
#849
Not that, I admit. I was expecting him to reference his defence of me.

I do think xscsc has a decent chance of flipping scum. Because of the point risk also raised (which i did too earlier).

prplhz/risk's 'defence' of me seemed game specific and thought through. Whereas xskcs's seemed like it came through benefit of knowledge of my alignment (xkscs, if you're actually town, sorry for shitting on you when you were the only one defending me for so long :/)
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
VisceraEyes
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States21170 Posts
June 26 2012 19:00 GMT
#850
Who thinks Populous might be scum? :/
if I had to describe his playstyle, it'd be a coked up rabbit with the attention of a goldfish injecting caffeine into himself directly through an IV drip. it's like a reel of random animated shorts where things just blow up randomly
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36160 Posts
June 26 2012 19:05 GMT
#851
How did your going over my filter go?
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36160 Posts
June 26 2012 19:07 GMT
#852
all 12 pages of it, rofl
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
VisceraEyes
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States21170 Posts
June 26 2012 19:08 GMT
#853
He's my strongest townread and I want to know if maybe I'm basing all of my assumptions on the wrong things.
if I had to describe his playstyle, it'd be a coked up rabbit with the attention of a goldfish injecting caffeine into himself directly through an IV drip. it's like a reel of random animated shorts where things just blow up randomly
VisceraEyes
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States21170 Posts
June 26 2012 19:11 GMT
#854
Who thinks Probulous and marv could be scum together?
if I had to describe his playstyle, it'd be a coked up rabbit with the attention of a goldfish injecting caffeine into himself directly through an IV drip. it's like a reel of random animated shorts where things just blow up randomly
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36160 Posts
June 26 2012 19:13 GMT
#855
That didn't quite answer my question, but ok

Re: probulous. I know you didn't believe me earlier, but I really did struggle like fuck with his filter here/c9++/LV. I couldn't find a read either way. He seemed more aggressive as scum in c9++ than he does here, which is what put me off. I think he might genuinely think I'm scum because he doesn't understand underlying emotions and shit in mafia and he's a bit naive sometimes. Like, he checked Wiggles in LV, which was just the worst check possible because he was either gonna come up green or green.

Basically he talks a good talk but I can't tell if his shortcomings are from deficits in his townplay or because he's purposefully adopting a style in this game to cover them.
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36160 Posts
June 26 2012 19:14 GMT
#856
anyway, you said you were going over my filter. results plox
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
VisceraEyes
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States21170 Posts
June 26 2012 19:33 GMT
#857
What I found was you asking me about my previous scum games...care to share with the class? I mean, you're pestering me about something I said, how about we pester you about something you said. You've got this "super serious scumread" on me, what were the results of you looking into my previous games? Don't insult my intelligence and say you can't use TL's tools to find my scumgames, if you were honestly interested. What conclusion did you arrive at that lead you to push me as your leading candidate marv?
if I had to describe his playstyle, it'd be a coked up rabbit with the attention of a goldfish injecting caffeine into himself directly through an IV drip. it's like a reel of random animated shorts where things just blow up randomly
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36160 Posts
June 26 2012 19:36 GMT
#858
I thought I'd explained this. I had a scumread on you prior to our big argument but took that argument as a town tell. Having had another look at LI I decided it could no longer be a town tell.

Also Radfield and I, at the start of Redux, talked about WoF and his case on you. He told me that it wasn't so much his case that made him truly believe you were scum, but your response to it.

It's funny because in WoF you originally made a joke to Radfield about it (basically your whole case is just a gut read) and then you backed down from it and said (paraphrasing) "lol only joking I'll answer your case properly later". The similarities are striking.
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
VisceraEyes
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States21170 Posts
June 26 2012 19:40 GMT
#859
Delightful. And yet I'm town in this game. What does that tell you?
if I had to describe his playstyle, it'd be a coked up rabbit with the attention of a goldfish injecting caffeine into himself directly through an IV drip. it's like a reel of random animated shorts where things just blow up randomly
prplhz
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
Denmark8045 Posts
June 26 2012 19:40 GMT
#860
Okay lets lynch Shraft. I'm not in any way confident enough that marvellosity or even VisceraEyes are scum so I don't want to lynch into them. But you guys are going to fucking stop this tunnelfest or I am not going to give a shit tomorrow. We know that you think each other are town, you are only allowed to make very few and condensed posts on each other from now on. Seriously.

You also need to shoot tonight marvellosity but we can talk about that later.



I want to lynch Shraft because of how hesitant he has been doing anything this game, how he seems more occupied with getting his vote down than with actually doing something with the lynch, and partially because of some other things.

His first vote on rastaban came after he made a case on rastaban's first post but he hesitates to vote him. Then next he says that rastaban's case on risk.nuke was scummy but he doesn't vote him. Then a few hours later he votes rastaban just because of these two things, cautious first post and risk.nuke case. This wasn't just a few hours later, this was after three other people had placed their vote on rastaban already.

Next is the current marvellosity wagon, we talked about it for ages but he is hesitant with his vote. He only votes after Probulous makes his big case. Earlier he said that the question-answer-thing was a bit scummy but it wasn't worth lynching marvellosity over, but now he is using that very same argument for voting for marvellosity! I also think it's very telling that he is actually saying that marvellosity is scum for saying that his own behavior is town. Why would any townie ever say that his own play is scummy when it is townie by definition? Townies think that everything they do is the towniest shit ever (even when it isn't which is surprisingly often).

The most telling about how he is acting during these lynches is how little he cares about the lynch itself compared to his vote. After he votes rastaban, he does not mention rastaban again in the thread at all! He doesn't push his lynch even though he's been suspicious of him all game long. It looks like he is happy he just got his vote down and now he doesn't really care who gets lynched. The same thing with the marvellosity lynch: more than 10 hours before deadline he actually says "It's probably too late to sway the lynch". That sounds like he thinks that marvellosity is town but 10 hours before the lynch he doesn't really want to do anything about it. Instead he makes a big post on Snarfs concluding that he is null.

He is also keen to point out how tired and drunk he is all the time, like he's trying to apologize for his play. Scum are a lot more prone to apologize for their game because, unlike townies, they're not actually trying their best and they don't see their game as inherently good! And this is in spite of how no one is actually attacking him, which is my next point. Shraft is one of the very few guys who has not been attacked the whole game, he's actually hardly been mentioned. His filter is small, he has a small town presence, and there's plenty of scummy stuff in there. Why didn't scum jump him already? This is of course supplementary because I'm not going to blame him for other people's actions but I think it's well worth noting.

##Vote: Shraft
http://i.imgur.com/M7t7egx.png
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