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gonzaw
Uruguay4911 Posts
gooby plz sorry for spam ![]() ![]() | ||
gonzaw
Uruguay4911 Posts
so I do't post afterward.s...look at his outburst with PAlamr and palmar's interacitons with him....I think it could be a planned bus..which is why I spout all that "oh yeah VE's kil made me change my midn" and what made me think Palmar was scum in the fist place Damn well I think I should have not told you guys thihs abd and waited t fo for BB's reaction more, perhaps? _ ![]() Well..:Grey Rad I think you are both town (if youre are scu sk then fuck well after scum are lyncehd they acn can deal with you)( ) what do you8 htink abotu a CC BB+Palmar scum team? H Here are my bnotes: Note: Notes: BrownBear: Hmm, his behaviour seems townie...but there's something about his interactions with Palmar that seem off. First of all, voting Palmar for the RNG deal is just stupid, and if he was scum he'd know it'd be stupid and wouldn't convince anybody to vote for Palmar. Second, he goes against Palmar pretty heavily...but doesn't actually call him scum. He just calls him a "cancer to town", votes him and just argues and argues and says "we need to cut it or ignore it", never says he wants to lynch him because he thinks Palmar is scum or anything. Even so, his 1st vote on him was a "preliminary vote", again, there was no strong accusation or anything. That seems fishy. He does seem VERY upset against Palmar...but to be honest I can't see BB being actually frustrated like that regarding Palmar's play. Like, if he had been arguing for 10 pages with Palmar, with Palmar ignoring him or something, then yes I'd think it was justified; but like, he votes Palmar for disrupting town and the RNG bit, and IMMEDIATELY gets frustrated and annoyed by him, for instance these posts: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=341558¤tpage=18#359 http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=341558¤tpage=18#360 Like, getting so worked up because Palmar called him "useless" seems weird to me. He keeps saying that he's "annoyed right now"...hmm. In N1, he immediately starts to think Palmar is "just BM-style town - annoying, misleading, and should be ignored." So...he starts to think Palmar is town now...when he spent 100% of his effort on D1 trying to get Palmar lynched for that specific behaviour he mentioned. Like I said, I guess he "could" have acted like this as town, realize his mistake and then ignore Palmar. It's also possible it's a planned bus to increase BB's credibility. I'll try to find out and see how BB responds to my vote on Palmar. I guess he is willing to bus him though, so I'll have to be careful with what he does. Of course, I already have a "case" made against him...so I don't need to point those things out again ![]() He's wishy washy about Radfield, casting doubt on him as soon as N1. He finds him suspicious but says he doesn't want to "tunnel" so he'll look around some more. He then goes against Palmar for voting me, asks him if he has a case. I think he ignores that later and doesn't follow up on it He changes his vote on Hesmyrr and doesn't even consider voting Palmar for instance. Yesh this seems fishy Not only that, he took Palmar's joke "seriously" and as a reason to go against Palmar as well....but still doesn't vote Palmar and never mentions him again later at all. The fact he took his "joke" seriously is weird as well (although chaoser and Grey thought I was being legit with my "joke vote" on VE >_> ) He's been absent throughout all N2, avoiding any discussion whatsoever, even though he was active on N1 and D2. To be honest, his behaviour from N1 and D2 hasn't been as good as I thought, he does seem "nice" and all with some ![]() but he just wagons on the Hesmyrr vote (for not that GREAT of reasons), and somehow manages to completely ignore Palmar yet still go against him. If Palmar flips scum then I'd find this VERY fishy, enough to warrant a lynch on him. However, if Palmar flips town....for one we lost, but at least BB is town as well. The more I read their interactions the more suspicious I get. BB also seems to ignore Palmar accusing BB of being scum...but never doing anything about it. Every time Palmar accuses BB, he just throws a hissy fit against Palmar...and then goes on with his usual business. He never mentions why Palmar would cast suspicion on him without any reason and not pushing it, etc. Palmar: Interaction with BB: His first interaction with BB is mentioning there isn't a case on him and calling him "fucking useless", just like he called Ace. When BB calls him out, he seems to act casually regarding it, however later he says he thinks BB is scum (in one of those one-liners of his). His response here: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=341558¤tpage=18#349 That doesn't seem the tone of someone that thinks the guy he's responding to is mafia. However he then says he'd like to lynch BB...but says he prefers a MZ lynch (and lo and behold his vote stays on MZ). He later says that he'd be willing to make a BB lynch happen...but doesn't do anything. VE said he'd like that as well, but he just ignores it and later says he thinks Hes is town...nothing else, until the day ends and MZ is lynched. That kind of interaction is fishy as fuck, because it's Palmar appearing to push a lynch on someone but not actually taking the effort to do it, which is classic scum bus. In this post he mentions BB as his "greatest scumread" (implicitly): http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=341558¤tpage=24#467 But...? He does nothing about it. If he was town he'd push that read...if he was scum and BB town he'd push that read even more (like he did with MZ). However in D2 he NEVER AT ALL pushes the BB lynch...only "votes" him as a joke. More proof: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=341558¤tpage=27#535 He basically tells BB he's scum...and again does nothing to push that lynch. He still has his retarded vote on me. Then however, he just blatantly says that now he thinks BB is town for reconsidering his reads and because "historically scum oppose RL" or some shit. Like, it seems convenient that now both of them "reconciliated" and think each other is town...after both were going full against each other without actually doing it. Hmm, he seems to "know" Ace, VE and Hes are town, or subtly imply it. His read on BB later is this: "I don't think BB is scum anymore, mostly by virtue of almost everyone else looking worse than him." That's wishy-washy as hell, and very fishy as well. Palmar doesn't care about anything, not even on D1. He FoSes MZ but never even mentions him again or cares about the discussions about him. He FoSes BB but doesn't care about pushing him or anything. He just goes around throwing useless one-liners and stuff. On D2 his behaviour is a joke. He only appears to: -Say he thinks I'm scum -Talk about Radfield -Say he now thinks BB is town He doesn't care about the Hes lynch or case, he doesn't even care about pushing me, he doesn't even care about Radfield either since he changes his stance on him based on Rad thinking VE was scum and nothing else, just disregards everything he said about Radfield before. He's acting like in Liar Game where after D1 he just disappears and shows up just to post and blend in. | ||
gonzaw
Uruguay4911 Posts
fuck oh well...Wiggles that's why I think BB is scum now f go try on convince me prplhz is sucm. | ||
gonzaw
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On June 17 2012 22:29 Radfield wrote: I don't think there is necessarily a connection between BB and Palmar. They've had a lot of interaction, and I didn't really find much of it contrived. This exchange in particular seemed legit(open the quotes for the full convo). Show nested quote + On June 12 2012 05:40 BrownBear wrote: On June 12 2012 05:21 Palmar wrote: On June 12 2012 05:13 BrownBear wrote: Palmar, I get that you like to play aggressive and by your own rules, but everything you've done so far this game makes me suspicious of you. Not to mention you've insulted me directly several times. As far as I'm concerned you're a cancerous influence on this town, and we need to either lynch you, or decide that you're just frustrating townie and ignore you. So you're fine with killing me even if I'm town cause you don't like how I play? I have only insulted you once when I called you "fucking useless so far", but for someone that just claimed to have been inactive due to out of game shit, I think it's a pretty fair portrayal. Or are you going to argue that you've been helpful? several times seems a bit dramatic. On June 12 2012 05:13 BrownBear wrote: and we need to either lynch you, or decide that you're just frustrating townie and ignore you. On June 12 2012 05:13 BrownBear wrote: and we need to either lynch you, or decide that you're just frustrating townie and ignore you. On June 12 2012 05:13 BrownBear wrote: and we need to either lynch you, OR DECIDE THAT YOU'RE JUST FRUSTRATING TOWNIE AND IGNORE YOU. What part of this did you not understand? Also, you can argue I've been less active and less helpful than others in the game, but there are ways to say it without using the words "pretty fucking useless". That's just needless flaming, hurts my feelings, and is unwelcome. I do agree that if Palmar flips scum, it casts Wiggles in a worse light. But looking at Wiggles actions and arguments from a scum perspective doesn't seem to fit. If Wiggles and Palmar are scum, then Wiggles is playing completely wrong. Consider: Palmar has basically gone MIA, everyone thinks he is scum and he's almost surely going to get lynched.... What's the proper scum play? You bus obviously. You certainly don't try to play for the immediate win with an ally who isn't even around. You just bus, and then push the mislynch on whomever defended your teammate. Trying to defend Palmar right now just risks throwing the whole game away. That's my gut thought anyways, but I'm going to do some reading. That's the part I find odd as well....Palmar just called him "useless" because he wasn't doing anything (and he was right)....it seems a little strange for BB to get so worked up just for that single fact, considering Palmar responded to BB's case in a calm manner. The whole interaction seems strange to me, BB votes Palmar for a shitty reason (the RNG thing), then starts bickering against him but doesn't actually call him scum (at one point he even says "we should figure out if you are frustrating townie or ignore you") or makes an effort to get him lynched, he gets all worked up and "frustrated" for no reason, all the while Palmar just acts as calm as possible, and just says "I'd like to lynch BB"....but never pushes his lynch, even when he had a chance of being lynched. I put my vote on BB, so BB had a chance of being lynched. At one point Palmar expresses his thoughts about changing the lynch, and casually says we should lynch BB, but doesn't do anything to push it. Of course, then BB pulls out the "I was frustrated, now I think Palmar is town" card, and even Palmar pulls out the same card later. On D2 the thing I found odd was how: -BB misinterpreted Palmar's joke (I thought it was obvious) -BB started calling Palmar out for things and getting worked up again, but after bickering against Palmar he just completely ignored him, it seemed just for show. So yeah, Palmar "going against BB" without a single effort in trying to get him lynched, and their interactions made me think it was a bus, so then I kept reading their filters and just figured out Palmar was scum, and there was a high chance BB was scum as well (I can post that half-case I had ![]() Of course we lynch Palmar today, no objections | ||
gonzaw
Uruguay4911 Posts
prplhz didn't actually vote....does he get modkilled? Also, okay Palmar didn't even show up, I guess he gave up so that gives me a better feel for today. | ||
gonzaw
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On June 17 2012 07:28 gonzaw wrote: Although I find your behaviour weird. If you are town, your behaviour doesn't make sense to me for the reasons I described above, but if you were scum/SK I think you'd try to blend in a little bit more, or at least try to do something instead of complaining the minute you replace into the game, and do nothing at all and even acknowledge that Hmm, any thoughts on this people? Rad/Grey/Wiggles what do you specifically think of prphlz's behaviour and how it would fit in as scum/SK behaviour? I'll repost this waiting for a response Can someone post their opinion on prplhz, and more specifically his behaviour? | ||
gonzaw
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On June 18 2012 07:23 GreYMisT wrote: I think he could be either, I think he is scum before SK though just because he isn't playin it like I would. He has pretty much resigned himself to the town, even though it is palmar getting lynched. With this breathing room he should be helping more, but he chooses not too. You think he could throw that "I don't care you guys are better then me I give up I'll just sheep gonzaw" tantrum as scum? Like Rad said, at this point scum would likely bus Palmar and try to win on their own....prplhz doesn't seem to act like it (bussing Palmar by "sheeping" me and "going against his read" seems kind of odd for a bus). He also doesn't seem to act for his own survival if he was scum. He basically admitted he wouldn't do shit and he's playing like shit, etc; and I don't think I'd expect that of him as scum. If he was scum I'd expect him to push someone else (like Rad) and come up with reasons to cast doubt on him, etc to set up a misslynch on D4 that could win him the game. Or at least he'd try to defend himself a little bit more and be more cautious, specially since a lot of people want him dead. Yes, he could act like this as scum to confuse us or something, but I'm trying to see all possibilities here....and prplhz being town is one of them, so I want to be sure. On June 18 2012 07:33 BrownBear wrote: Show nested quote + On June 18 2012 01:12 Radfield wrote: On June 18 2012 00:57 BrownBear wrote: I think Greymist is town because I haven't really been able to read through his filter, and don't have much of a read on him. I will do that. Also gonzaw, don't try to play when you're drunk. Bad things happen. I'll wait for you to come back when sober and clarify what you meant by all of that. That's hardly a reason to see someone as town.... In fact, it's not! Well, yes. Hence why I said "I will go do that", implying I would go read his filter and decide. Until then, though, I see him as someone where I don't know if he's scum or not, hence, I make no accusations against him. Erm, duh. And gonzaw, I have an issue with direct attacks like calling someone "fucking useless". Saying someone is not contributing is a different matter. So I don't have an issue with what Palmar said, I have an issue with the way he said it (and frankly, I don't understand why we let him be as openly hostile as he is). Why did you just ignore Palmar on D2 even though he attacked you and you attacked him back? On June 13 2012 12:24 BrownBear wrote: Also, Palmar, srsly you think I'm scum every game. Find a new target to tunnel bro. On June 13 2012 18:17 BrownBear wrote: Show nested quote + On June 13 2012 10:49 Palmar wrote: damn, I was all ready to lynch ace, guess I'll have to lynch intelligently now. ##Vote gonzaw I think you're scum bro, what do you think about that? also I told you, radfield is doubleconfirmed town. Couple things I'd like to see you talk about more here. Firstly, why do you think gonzaw is scum? Could you give us a case? Secondly, do you have any reason for thinking Radfield is town other than "he agrees with me"? If so, please say it. --- Anyway, I think Hesmyrr is who I'm gonna vote on now, before I go to sleep. gonzaw's case has a couple good points. Namely, during the first day cycle he really did only pop up when he was being talked about. This indicates he was reading the thread very closely, but trying to avoid actively posting in it - usually only done by players who have something to hide. Since this setup has no blues who benefit from obscurity, that casts some serious doubt on Hesmyrr. Secondly, Hesmyrr also is doing the same thing I accused Radfield of doing earlier: He's subtly getting other people to contribute in his stead. Example: Show nested quote + On June 12 2012 07:07 Hesmyrr wrote: Hesmyrr, you pushed VE, you're obviously around as you posted an hour ago, yet you are not contributing at all to the lynch. Do you still think VE is the best lynch? Is anyone else on your radar? Pitch in. I was actually waiting for you to post the analysis regarding VE, since I couldn't find concrete argument to merit analysis post yet. Currently I find MZ lynch to be better than that of Palmar but I am not going to get stuck on black-white thinking; the fact that GreYMisT+VE have voted him is cause for concern which is why I am reserving my judgment until the last moment. Personally the interactions happened between VisceraEyes and you are making me extremely wary. He was the original guy to push VE, but he wants (i think) gonzaw to do the analysis? That's very strange. If he couldn't find enough concrete agruments to merit an analysis post, why does he expect another player to find it for him? Either he's very unsure about his analysis skills (not true, it's Hesmyrr, he's a veteran mafia player) or he doesn't want to post analysis out there himself. It's enough for me right now to vote for Hesmyrr. He and Radfield seem the most suspicious right now, and I think the case against Hes is slightly stronger, so... ##Vote: Hesmyrr One final thing: Cute. Now how about you contribute, like I said above. Why do you think I'm scum? Is it because I disagree with you? Because that's the only reason you've got so far. And it's a shitty reason, and I'm beginning to think you've just stopped giving a shit about this game and you aren't trying, which is unacceptable in a mini. Ok, I gotta get up in 6 hours, so I'm off. Night, all! You got pretty worked up in that 2nd quote. Even though it was a joke and was explained to you later, at that time you thought it wasn't, and you began attacking Palmar ("I'm beginning to think you've just stopped giving a shit..." , etc). However after the joke is "explained"...you never dwell on that again and keep ignoring Palmar until D3. Why is that? Why do you and Palmar take shots against each other on D2 but not act upon them? (well...Palmar did that because he's scum, but I'm asking about you). That whole "I FoS Palmar for a stupid reason. I get angry at him for a stupid reason as well and waste the whole D1 on it.But now I think he's town. Now I'm harrassing him and say he doesn't care about the game and take shots at him for thinking I'm scum. Now I forgot about that and never mention him again. Now he's obvious scum let's lynch him" act of yours seems weird to me | ||
gonzaw
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gonzaw
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Omg....first lynch I lead that ends up in a scum lynch....so proud :D | ||
gonzaw
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prplhz, you should spend the rest of this night convincing everybody else why they shouldn't lynch you (you see, I'll most likely die tonight...and when I do everybody will want to lynch you), and contribute more. | ||
gonzaw
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Basically, each of you 3 should post reasoning on who of that group of 3 (barring yourself) is scum and why and defending yourself as well. All 3 of Wiggles, BB and prplhz could be scum for different reasons (yeah I'll explain my stance on BB and stuff more thoroughly later), and one of those 3 should be tomorrow's lynch because I'm sure the scum is in one of those (Grey and Rad are not scum...one of them could be the SK, but I don't care let's kill all scum first). | ||
gonzaw
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Like always I'll reread the thread and see if I catch something else (damn I've been changing my mind so many times this game >_> ). I need to reread chaoser's filter some more, I still don't get the feeling he was scum, and I have a gut feeling prplhz's is town by his behaviour last day. That leaves BB or Wiggles to me....and damn I can see both of them as scum ![]() Rad, what do you think of prplhz's behaviour? Could you respond to those points I made above about how prplhz's behaviour seems too weird if he was scum? | ||
gonzaw
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If prplhz is the SK , well a Wiggles+Palmar scumteam makes sense as well if Wiggles actually thought prplhz was town. BB/prplhz/Wiggles we are almost there and all 3 of you need to step up your game and comment on everything that's being discussed. At least 1 of you is town so make the effort. Discuss on the BB+Palmar interactions I caught, the prplhz lynch Wiggles wanted us to follow last day, and prplhz' behaviour last day and connections between chaoser and Palmar for instance. | ||
gonzaw
Uruguay4911 Posts
On June 18 2012 09:25 Radfield wrote: You feel fairly strongly that Greymist is Town Gonzaw? Well...no, not as strong as you. But if we just go with a process of elimination then yeah I think he's town. However, if I have to guess yeah he's town. His play is not so strong, he's wishy washy at times, only asks questions, doesn't take firm stances, etc and those things are what make me slightly suspicious of him. But then there's the fact that he's active in almost every conversation, the fact that he seems to care what's going on even if he doesn't comment much on it. Also, even though his case against Rad was kind of bad on D3, his discussion with you and unvote seemed genuine. If he was scum then he had all the chances in the world to push for your misslynch instead of Palmar, or for someone else (WIggles perhaps). He was too inactive last day to be scum, before and after I made my case against Palmar. I think if he was scum he'd either try to push someone else's lynch to save Palmar...or just straight bus him from the start. Granted....when I made my initial case against him on D1 Palmar came to his rescue almost instantly by discrediting my case and diverting attention towards MZ....but I don't know if that's too damning or not. | ||
gonzaw
Uruguay4911 Posts
The things I find damning is his total absence in N2 and most of D3. In D2 he was very active. Once I made my case against Hes he was always there to comment on it, or comment on the Rad issue, or argue against Palmar. After N2 he basically disappeared....along with Palmar.. On D3 his only post was basically voting Palmar and being very confident Palmar was scum, even though he said that Palmar was most likely "Bill Murray townie" back in N1. Basically, since N1 he was very inactive and had quite a change of heart regarding Palmar he didn't really explain at all. I found that even more damning. Of course, not talking about his actual interaction with Palmar that for me seemed very off (what exactly makes you think he's town by that interaction?) | ||
gonzaw
Uruguay4911 Posts
Today it's 4-1-1 right? I'll most likely get shot (or maybe something weird happens and Grey/Rad get shot for some reason), making it 3-1-1 tomorrow. If we lynch town, then it will be 2-1-1 on N4. These are the things that can happen:
As you can see, if we lynch town tomorrow, it will be almost impossible for scum to win the game So I think the scum will actively try to get the SK lynched tomorrow, because a misslynch on a townie is as bad for him as it is for us (if the scum didn't figure this out by now....hey now you know! Go catch the SK for us tomorrow okay?) So again, like I said on N1-N2 I believe, pay close attention to what everybody does and who they push, since it can give us info about scum+SK. Wiggles said that the SK could shoot a townie tonight. Just read what I put up there, if tomorrow we misslynch a townie (3/5 of remaining players) he basically has his win guaranteed; if tomorrow we lynch scum (1/5 of remaining players), then he'll arrive at a 3-1 D5 MYLO and have a pretty good chance to win as well. Basically, the only thing the SK has to do tomorrow is avoid the lynch and he has very good chances of winning. If he shoots a townie tonight, then it will be 2-1-1 on D4. Here, there are 3 things that can happen: 1)SK lynch: He loses. There is 1 less suspect than in a 3-1-1 D4 so it may be harder for him to survive it as well 2)Scum lynch:In this case it will be 2-1 for the whole N4 and D5. That's 2 cycles he has to hide his identity in a 2-1 LYLO. Not only that, winning in a 2-1 LYLO is more difficult than doing so in a 3-1 LYLO (like he would in one of those situations from above). 3)Town lynch:Then it will be 1-1-1 at N4, scum shoot the remaining townie and it's 1-1 (SK can't shoot the scum since he already shot) and it's a draw. As you can see, if the SK shoots a townie tonight he'll considerably worsen his chances to win the game than if he doesn't shoot at all (Of course he can shoot the scum tonight, but well that's good for us so I don't take it into account here) Conclusions:
So I think tomorrow could be a good day, since we'll have 1 faction trying to lynch the other one, the other faction trying to get that faction lynched as well (he has to correctly identify and kill the scum in one way or another, so it's in his best interests to hunt for the scum at day as well, trying to look townie in the process and getting rid of his opposition in one go), and us having some idea of who could be scum or not. What do you people think? | ||
gonzaw
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Proposal to scum and SK: To Scum: What I want you to do is push for a SK lynch tomorrow and try to get him under as much pressure as possible. Of course don't fuck up and push someone you think is SK that ends up being a townie. Chill, relax, take some time off, reread the thread, and accurately pinpoint who's the SK okay? We can't really do that since we are trying to hunt your ass down as well as his, so it will be difficult for us to determine if someone is scum or SK, but you can catch him easier. Why would I ask you this? Because the other alternative is for you to push for a townie lynch. A townie lynch is bad for us, because we automatically lose. A townie lynch is bad for you, because of the reasons I stated above. To SK: I want you to not shoot tonight, and to push for a scum lynch tomorrow. Why not shooting? Because it's bad for both of us. If you shoot a townie, then we will likely lose, but you'll give scum a greater chance of winning (like I explained above) Why push for a scum lynch? Because it will make you look better and make it easier for you to hide by being "pro-town" and stuff. You'll also get us rid of the scum, but you'll be in a 3-1 situation, which makes it easier for you to hide than in a 2-1 situation for instance. Yes, I already said that if we misslynch a townie you have pretty good chances of winning......but think of it like this: Yes, if you push a townie and we misslynch him, then you basically win....but if you push a townie and we don't misslynch him and lynch scum instead, you may look bad. Also we will try to catch the scum, and may have a good idea of who he is, so you going against the flow of things to try and get a townie lynched, while the other 2 factions won't (town wants to lynch scum, scum will try to lynch you) will make you stand out, and very likely out you as SK. Not only that, but scum will try to get you lynched. If you try to push a townie lynch, you'll give him more reason to FoS you and push your lynch, making you more vulnerable and likely to get lynched yourself. I'm making this proposal because I know both of you want the other one dead, and town really, but really really wants you to accomplish said objective; so as long as you want to kill the other faction we'll help you all we can. Once you kill the other faction, well then it becomes a completely different game between us and you, but I'm sure you won't feel dishearted by that right? I'm sure you know that playing against 1 faction is easier than playing against 2 factions right? Think about it.... Sincerely, Town | ||
gonzaw
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On June 18 2012 09:09 gonzaw wrote: BrownBear you should spend the rest of this night convincing me why we shouldn't lynch you tomorrow and who you think the remaining scum is. prplhz, you should spend the rest of this night convincing everybody else why they shouldn't lynch you (you see, I'll most likely die tonight...and when I do everybody will want to lynch you), and contribute more. I don't see you here BB. I'd like to know something.....why were you so active on D2....yet so inactive on D3 and now? It wouldn't be about time-zones and you having to sleep/go to work/etc because it's only days apart but they happen at the same time (i.e you were active at a certain time in D2, therefore you would be active at that certain time in D3 72 hours later). It was weekend so perhaps you had to go somewhere else...but you never stated that you would, so I am to assume that there wasn't something that really took off your time IRL. You were pretty active on N1 as well...but completely absent on N2 (and what's left of N3). Same deal. | ||
gonzaw
Uruguay4911 Posts
prplhz: I had a town read on chaoser for his behaviour on D1/N1, or at least a "non-scum" read. Prplhz' behaviour last day doesn't seem consistent with him being scum and knowing Palmar would die. If he was scum he'd know Palmar was going to be the lynch that day, so he'd try to bus him or heavily push another candidate to try to save him...he wouldn't basically resign and say "Yeah I think Palmar is town and Rad is scum...but I won't do anything". If he'd actually given up like that then perhaps scum itself would have resigned instead Wiggles: Well, 2 reasons for this: 1)As Rad said, Palmar was going to be the lynch so his scumbuddy had to bus him and it would be the correct play. Wiggles trying to heavily lynch prplhz instead of Palmar and making his "plan" to do so would not have been a good scum play, because: -If Palmar was lynched, he'd look really bad and would most likely be lynched soon -If prplhz was lynched, he'd flip town (or SK if he was lucky), again making him look bad for taking the lynch off Palmar. If prplhz flipped town it would basically out him and Palmar as scum for the SK to shoot at and town to lynch later, if he flipped SK it would have not put him in a good place either. Wiggles pushing for prplhz's lynch is consistent with what he's done all game too (even though he just seemed to tunnel chaoser ever since N1 >_> ). 2)The VE kill. VE was heavily pushing prplhz the night when he died....but I was the one telling everybody that Wiggles was going to be D3's lynch. Palmar was already under a little suspicion, I was basically "confirmed town" by that point (everybody thought I was town...or kind of SK but still they didn't think I was scum), so shooting me would be their best option. They get rid of an "obvious townie", a town influence, and someone that was on the right track since I was trying to do all my best to kill Wiggles, and they don't give town that much info. If WIggles was lynched on D3, Palmar would know he would easily get caught and lynched later. I said this already, but I think VE was killed because scum were comfortable. If Wiggles was scum, scum wouldn't be comfortable at all. If prplhz was scum, I guess scum wouldn't be comfortable at all and decided to kill an "obvious town" that was trying to get prplhz lynched (VE), while leaving me alive in the hopes that I get Wiggles lynched. However, see reasons above why I don't think prplhz is scum. A Tale of 2 scum (speculation): A Palmar+BB team would be comfortable as hell by N2. D3 would be LYLO, and Wiggles/prplhz were the only lynch candidates being discussed, with VE/Wiggles mainly pushing a prplhz lynch, and with me mainly pushing a Wiggles lynch. Killing me or VE would benefit them the most (we were considered town by many, we had great influence with town, and our deaths would give town the least info basically); so yeah they were comfortable enough to just kill whoever they decided. Since I was pushing a Wiggles lynch more and influenced town even more, I guess they decided to keep me around and kill VE instead. That would incriminate prplhz, while I'd still be alive to go forward with a Wiggles lynch, so they'd have 2 lynch candidates under fire for a misslynch and subsequent win on D3. I truly meant that what I said on D3 and that's what made me change my mind: scum were comfortable these past few days and that's what the night kills showed; and I think that if prplhz or Wiggle were scum they wouldn't have been so comfortable. Anyways, what do you guys think of this? Do you agree with any of the points about Wiggles/prplhz I said above or not? Again, these are other tiny-bits that make me think BB is scum. Rad once you reread BB tell me your thoughts about this. Hmm, I'd say Wiggles looks the best out of those 3 (although I can't really say anything for his behaviour alone, he just constantly disappears and appears again and makes those fluffy walls of text he always does and is very wishy-washy at times) P.S: I'll still reread chaoser's filter later and prplhz as well (along with Wiggles). These are the thoughts I have right now and nothing is set in stone, this doesn't make BB the automatic D4 lynch or anything. Just want to put everything onto the table for analysis (and kind of play devils advocate as well, at least regarding prplhz) so we exhaust every option. | ||
gonzaw
Uruguay4911 Posts
![]() This will be a huge wall of text that will have EVERYTHING I think of BB and why I think he's the last scum, so bear with me. The hidden case against BrownBear: On June 10 2012 15:04 BrownBear wrote: however, we aren't gonna learn anything by just going 'lol rng'... without that argumentation, we can't get any reads on people, so we start day 2 as if it were day 1, except down one person - and logically, that person is most likely to be green. i just don't think it's a good idea. On June 10 2012 15:15 BrownBear wrote: another thing i don't like is the idea of 'lets kill ace because he is best scum player in game'. ace is fantastic scum, but he's also very very competent town, so we're basically saying 'lets remove one of the best players in the game while he has almost no evidence against him, on the 3/11 chance he's working against us.' not like i have any better idea, i just think we should think and debate some more before we start throwing tons of votes around. I find these 2 posts weird in the context of the thread. I get the feeling he's trying to blend in by going the "pro-town" approach of dissing RNG and the "Ace policy lynch". Like, yeah, one would agree with what he says, because it is "pro-town" (by the definition of the above). But he's not contributing anything new, not even in the context of the discussion (he's not even proposing new ways to RNG, or proposing an alternative, etc). He just complains and takes the easy way in his post. Of course, this alone shouldn't be anything bad itself, Grey and MZ posted about not liking RNG too. However Grey and MZ did try to add something new, or at least interact with other people from the discussion. MZ did try to propose an alternative (trying to lynch Radfield for being "unRadfield" ), and Grey was at least discussing and actively asking people what the benefits of RNG were. I don't see that with BB, I only see him posting some generic advice while detaching himself from the conversation. He then makes the "spark discussion" post, but now I realize he said his internet was down afterwards, so even if he was eager to "spark discussion" he wouldn't be able to. So that's null. On June 11 2012 14:30 BrownBear wrote: Show nested quote + On June 11 2012 04:14 Radfield wrote: Palmar, do you think that RNG lynching Day 1 gives town a better chance to win the game? Show nested quote + On June 11 2012 04:17 Palmar wrote: And I didn't think you were dumb enough to not understand why and how. These two posts are enough for me to throw a preliminary vote on Palmar. I don't understand why he is witholding the information of why he exactly thinks RNG is giving town a better chance, and I in fact disagree with him for reasons stated above. Caveat, of course, is I haven't fully read past page 8, and have skimmed the rest due to time constraints so this may change. ##Vote: Palmar Internets are down, posting from a friend's house. They should be fixed tomorrow so I can post more then. On the bright side, new keyboard! So, he votes Palmar (although not in the real voting thread), based on a bad reason. Palmar withholding information to town about the RNG has absolutely no bearings with him being mafia. Specially after he explained why he chose not to give said info. He doesn't take anything else into account (about Palmar's behaviour, etc), and just decides to vote him on that reason alone. Why the rush? Why not comment on at least some other things? Like that thing you wanted to "spark discussion from"? (Which was about the Ace issue, and chaoser's relation to it). On June 12 2012 05:10 BrownBear wrote: If you'll look back at page 14, I voted Palmar there, not realizing the voting thread exists. Way to try to direct attention away from yourself. Overexageration and casting doubt on others On June 12 2012 05:13 BrownBear wrote: Show nested quote + On June 12 2012 04:40 Meapak_Ziphh wrote: I would not like a BB lynch simply because the last few games I've seen him play, he's posted a few times day 1 then been modkilled. iirc he's been town every single time so his inactivity isn't a tell. Wiggles I need to reread. Show nested quote + On June 11 2012 14:30 BrownBear wrote: Internets are down, posting from a friend's house. They should be fixed tomorrow so I can post more then. On the bright side, new keyboard! Hope that answers your question. Sorry I haven't been too active. I find odd that he apologizes about it. Him being absent is out of his control (his internet was down), why apologize? Show nested quote + On June 11 2012 18:19 Palmar wrote: @BrownBear, The information I withheld is crucial to the execution of the plan, as I explained above. You seem to be going after a pretty easy reason to lynch someone, is this because you're being lazy or cause you're scum? I hate plans that rely on "withholding information from town" because it casts doubt on the guy who's doing the withholding. Which would be you. It's great you have this awesome plan and all, but as far as I'm concerned, you could be scum trying to mislead the town, you could be a townie with good intentions but a shitty plan... any plan we take should be out in the open for people to discuss, dissect, and modify, because even the act of discussion around the plan forces scum players to come out into the open and argue against it (if it's a good plan) or for it (if it's a bad plan). The reason PMs aren't in this game is so that information stays in the thread. You're trying to keep us in the dark. For what reason? Also, you still haven't addressed the issues I have with the inherent shittiness of RNG lynches. If you did post about it and I missed it, could you enlighten me? Palmar, I get that you like to play aggressive and by your own rules, but everything you've done so far this game makes me suspicious of you. Not to mention you've insulted me directly several times. As far as I'm concerned you're a cancerous influence on this town, and we need to either lynch you, or decide that you're just frustrating townie and ignore you. Like I said in my other "case", now he goes against Palmar, but only takes into account the RNG bit. The thing I found weird was this: BB reads up to page 8, finds Palmar scummy for some reason and "votes" him. Palmar explains his reason for doing that BB then catches up to the thread, yet the first thing he does is dwell on that "unfinished" accusation of his, and knowing his accusation was "unfinished" because Palmar hadn't responded about it, he now jumps on Palmar's explanation about it in the same way? Like, he found Palmar scummy before, and now after Palmar explained himself he still finds him scummy...but it seems like he found him scummy like that since the beginning (which was not true since his accusation was baseless in the sense that he hadn't read Palmar's explanation about it first). Of course, he still hinges on it when it's still a bad reason to vote for someone. He makes a whole post about it. Again, he ignores other things that had happened in the thread, and just straight goes to attacking Palmar. On June 12 2012 05:33 BrownBear wrote: Show nested quote + On June 12 2012 05:17 gonzaw wrote: @BB: You've read the rest of the game right? What are your thoughts on grey, MZ, and Wiggles, and why would you want to lynch Palmar instead of those 3? Why do you find Palmar suspicious because of some stupid RNG thing? Why don't you look at the cases that have been brought up in the thread? You were the one that wanted to "spark discussion", yet now you are dampering it by continuing to argue about some useless RNG thing I'll change my vote to you until then: ##Unvote: Greymist ##Vote: BrownBear You see, I'm not dampering discussion. I'm pointing out that Palmar is. I'm not sure why you don't understand this. Let me throw up a few examples. Show nested quote + On June 11 2012 06:14 Palmar wrote: Just for the record, I think MZ failed already and I'd be willing to lynch him. Piggybacking on Greymist's thoughts on RNG to express your own thoughts while making sure you're not the original argument for the idea is terrible. Let's do this. Post contributes nothing. Great, MZ "failed" by agreeing with Greymist? How about you explain some more exactly why and how he failed? How about you provide a logical, well constructed argument about why Greymist and MZ are "wrong" rather than just say "welp, they don't agree with me, they fail, LYNCH LYNCH LYNCH". So instead of complaining about it, why don't you change it bro? Show nested quote + On June 12 2012 01:42 Palmar wrote: I would have to re-read chaoser to form an opinion on him, Radfield has been fairly towny which is why I was annoyed at him for being thick. Too many people are just content with not doing anything though. "Thick" is not an accusation many would say about Radfield, particularly players who have actually played with him. There's a reason scum target him early on rather than let him play entire games. I think he's just as confused as I am - he wants to know your reasoning for supporting RNGs. I do too. Let's hear them? Show nested quote + On June 12 2012 02:03 Palmar wrote: a) screw you for suggesting I'm not playing b) I'm perfectly aware what you were responding to, that doesn't make what I said untrue. This is the response of someone who's actually worried that they look like they aren't playing. If Palmar were playing and were secure in this fact, why wouldn't he just link to a bunch of his earlier posts where he was playing and contributing? That would be a much more airtight defense than a simple "screw you". Also, Palmar's too smart to mistake the volume of posts he's posted for actual, meaningful contribution. He's posted like 25 times: I count maybe 2 or 3 of those that are actually useful to town. This is a classic scum tactic (I used it in Mafia XXX, if you're curious) where volume makes a player look active, while clever words or subtle rehashes of earlier topics disguise the fact that none of the posts have much meaningful substance to them. Show nested quote + On June 12 2012 03:45 Palmar wrote: On June 12 2012 02:15 Meapak_Ziphh wrote: On June 12 2012 02:03 Palmar wrote: a) screw you for suggesting I'm not playing b) I'm perfectly aware what you were responding to, that doesn't make what I said untrue. lol what you said is untrue. Direct quote: Now, about VisceraEyes, there isn't a case against him yet . So does hesmyrr not count? I await with baited breath for you to explain to me how it doesn't count... probably should add in a reference to how stupid I am as well eh? When I say "there isn't a case on X" it means that I don't think there is a valid case to be put forth against that person. For example BrownBear and Ace, while both completely fucking useless so far in the game, neither has a valid case against him. That won't change even if some internet warrior writes a "case" on them. Direct attack on me and Ace aside, isn't the point of mafia to build cases on people? A weak case is still a case, saying it isn't is stifling town discussion. If you think a case is weak, rather than dismiss it out of hand, you should maybe point out the weaknesses in it or the holes in logic. This builds town cohesion and stronger cases. Show nested quote + On June 12 2012 03:47 Palmar wrote: On June 12 2012 02:48 gonzaw wrote: @Palmar: So, do you plan on commenting on this shit we've been doing these past few days or will you just try to live in your own little world up there? Radfield is still disappeared...interesting. What is it that I should comment on? Can you stop being an asshole and acting as if I'm not playing the game wtf is this shit, I've commented on just about everyone and everything in the game, why do people keep saying I'm not playing. fuck off. Direct attack against another town player (gonzaw) trying to shut down a valid point: Palmar ISN'T PLAYING THIS GAME. He's trying to appear that he is, and he's trying to tie up town conversations he doesn't like by directly flaming the people making them, but he is not contributing anything meaningful of his own. Now, some people may say "oh, that's how Palmar plays lol" but that shouldn't be acceptable. Like I said earlier - his behavior is a cancer to the town. We need to either cut it out or ignore it. What I see here is him being condescending on Palmar ("Isn't the point of town to make cases?", etc), and straight up attacking him. To be honest, I could see him making a similar case as town too, it's not the case itself I'm worried about. What I'm worried about is the timing. Again, he was without internet connection, he read the whole thread, but now he just starts to tunnel Palmar ignoring everything else that had happened. Not only that, but he attacks him but doesn't even call him scum, he just calls him a cancer to town, and that may have been an exageration as well (Palmar certainly wasn't a cancer to town at that time): As far as I'm concerned you're a cancerous influence on this town, and we need to either lynch you, or decide that you're just frustrating townie and ignore you. Like I said earlier - his behavior is a cancer to the town. We need to either cut it out or ignore it He also seems to imply that he doesn't actually think Palmar is scum...since he says "...or decide that you're just frustrating townie and ignore you". ******************************************************* Post-Case: This does seem awefully like foreshadowing of what he does later...which is actually decide that Palmar is a frustrating townie and ignore him. Seems like an awful coincidence, but if it's a planned bus it makes sense for BB to plant the foundations for his switch on Palmar later. If after he makes his change of heart about Palmar someone calls him out, he could always point out to that post and say "Well, I had a feeling he was a frustrated townie in this post here [shows post], see? My change of heart regarding Palmar makes sense" ******************************************************* On June 12 2012 06:16 BrownBear wrote: Show nested quote + On June 12 2012 05:54 chaoser wrote: I don't think palmar is trolling, if that helps. I think palmar is playing a pretty good game actually (not trying to buddy), I think you're misrepresenting his actions BB. I'm assuming you read through my argument and don't agree with it, which is legit, I'll admit I'm a little annoyed right now. However, I'd like to see some reasons why you think I'm misrepresenting his actions. Also, Hesmyrr, the reasoning is because MZ has posted a couple times: Show nested quote + On June 12 2012 04:21 Meapak_Ziphh wrote: I'm really digging an MZ lynch as well. It's really uniting the town right now and as everyone knows, a bandwagon lynch is the best lynch. and Show nested quote + On June 12 2012 05:00 Meapak_Ziphh wrote: On June 12 2012 04:56 GreYMisT wrote: On June 12 2012 04:26 Meapak_Ziphh wrote: And for those people who are complaining that I am "not contributing," relax. We have like 24 hours or something. I've already stated that I would support a greymist lynch, if you people actually need me to write a massive "analysis" (although it may not count because Palmar hasn't ordained it) I will. chill people. Unless I'm wrong we actually have 3 hours. what the fuck? like nobody has voted. Should I hammer myself? This is when people are starting to say "hey there's no resistance to MZ this is bad guys". I know Palmar got the ball rolling on that, but it's kind of out of character for him to not tunnel someone to death. At the time I posted this, the only person who was still supporting the MZ lynch (albeit sarcastically) was MZ - everyone else was either not supporting it or just didn't care. He talks about the MZ wagon, but he doesn't take any stance on it. Does he agree that MZ is scum? Or not? Would he be content with a MZ lynch or not? He doesn't say; he only talks about the MZ wagon like some outside occurrence he that has nothing to do with him. Afterwards he keeps on a flame war with Palmar just shitting up the thread. On June 12 2012 11:33 BrownBear wrote: Still figuring that one out. I will post when I have a clearer picture. There isn't really a time crunch at the moment, so I hope you don't mind if I take my time during the night cycle and read carefully. The only one he attacked or even commented on was Palmar, nobody else. Now he backs off Palmar, and when asked about other scumreads he has none, but says he'll have a "clearer picture" later and read carefully during the night cycle. The night cycle ended and he didn't find anything apparently. That's a false promise My thoughts on BB's play from D2 onwards and his interaction with Palmar: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=341558¤tpage=42#834 http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=341558¤tpage=43#843 A couple more things: On June 13 2012 02:42 BrownBear wrote: Did I miss something, or did Ace and Radfield just both claim SK? ![]() ok, ok, i know that isn't true. Anyway... Show nested quote + On June 12 2012 19:17 Radfield wrote: I assume what your insinuating is that me and Palmar are scumbuddies, or that I wanted to save him for some sort of underhanded reasoning. I can assure you that if I was scum and Palmar town, I would push any lynch on him I possibly could. Palmar, like no other player on this site, correctly ID's me by Night 1 pretty much every game we have ever played. Certainly he busted me in LOTR and Arkham 2, and was on my case in Closed Casket. No way I would save him, especially when I had already given myself plenty of reason to not vote Meapak. Something about this passage seems off to me. Radfield addresses ace's insinuation that he's scumteam with Palmar by talking about a hypothetical situation in which he isn't scumteam with Palmar... am I missing something, or does that smell kinda fishy to me? I don't like the way he casts suspicion on Rad here, since it basically boils down to something that's weak and doesn't make much sense (Rad completely outting that he's scumbuddies with Palmar) that he blows out of proportion, and actually keeps going on with it on D2 as well. Again, seems to cast doubt on Rad while having something to talk about to make it appear he's contributing. Of course, we know Palmar is scum....so from a scum POV it makes sense to accuse Radfield of such...since if Palmar is lynched and flips scum, BB can always point out to that post and say "Hey, Palmar is scum, and in this post Rad implied he's scumbuddies with Palmar! I was right it was a scumslip, Rad is mafia! Let's lynch him" He continues it here: On June 13 2012 12:23 BrownBear wrote: Show nested quote + On June 13 2012 11:42 gonzaw wrote: Okay, what do you think of Wiggles and BrownBear? (I don't think you ever mentioned your thoughts on BB yet) Your case on me is without merit and awful. I posted this earlier, wondering what people think about it: Show nested quote + On June 13 2012 02:42 BrownBear wrote: Did I miss something, or did Ace and Radfield just both claim SK? ![]() ok, ok, i know that isn't true. Anyway... On June 12 2012 19:17 Radfield wrote: I assume what your insinuating is that me and Palmar are scumbuddies, or that I wanted to save him for some sort of underhanded reasoning. I can assure you that if I was scum and Palmar town, I would push any lynch on him I possibly could. Palmar, like no other player on this site, correctly ID's me by Night 1 pretty much every game we have ever played. Certainly he busted me in LOTR and Arkham 2, and was on my case in Closed Casket. No way I would save him, especially when I had already given myself plenty of reason to not vote Meapak. Something about this passage seems off to me. Radfield addresses ace's insinuation that he's scumteam with Palmar by talking about a hypothetical situation in which he isn't scumteam with Palmar... am I missing something, or does that smell kinda fishy to me? I think Radfield is ducking something here... On June 13 2012 15:44 BrownBear wrote: Show nested quote + On June 13 2012 12:53 Radfield wrote: Mafia just did us a favor ![]() I like that mafia teams keep killing off good scum players. Off to bed, I'll post in the morning. BB, you're reading too much into that post. I was just explaining to ace that if I was scummily saving Palmar, the only option was for me and palmar to be scumbuddies, something he refused to just come out and say. Also, real quick, we have the same number of posts now, so ha ![]() And I see what you mean now. Still though, something about it weirded me out. If Ace were still alive, we could ask him to clarify, but he isn't, so... On June 13 2012 17:19 BrownBear wrote: Show nested quote + On June 13 2012 16:02 gonzaw wrote: On June 12 2012 11:33 BrownBear wrote: On June 12 2012 09:39 gonzaw wrote: So....who do you think is scum? Still figuring that one out. I will post when I have a clearer picture. There isn't really a time crunch at the moment, so I hope you don't mind if I take my time during the night cycle and read carefully. BrownBear, before doing anything....do you have the "clearer picture" yet? You promised to "take your time during the night cycle and read carefully"...I assumed you had done that in the night cycle, right? What did you conclude by then? I did not have time, unfortunately. With 72 hours to go at the time, I thought I would be okay not sacrificing sleep to get through the thread. I'm feeling like Radfield or Hesmyrr would be a good target. gonzaw already built a case against Hesmyrr that has some salient points (example: only appearing when his name comes up means he was reading the thread closely, but not contributing information unless he has to, which is a scum trait). I'm not 100% convinced yet because of hesmyrr's complete absence, but dude's got some 'splainin to do when he gets back. As to Radfield, I've mentioned a couple things about him that make me iffy, but one other thing I noticed. Take a look at a sampling of Radfield posts around lynch time and in the night after: Show nested quote + On June 12 2012 06:46 Radfield wrote: Rest assured, If you're still the scummiest player after I finish filtering, I will push you ![]() ![]() You're right though, he really only been 'in your face' with Palmar, but that doesn't make it look like a show. Can you lay out for me in a clear and concise format why you think MZ is the best lynch today? Show nested quote + On June 12 2012 06:58 Radfield wrote: Chaoser, I don't really see the Greymist case right now. I certainly don't see much wrong with his response to the Vanilla Town thing. What specifically do you see as the reasons for voting Grey? Show nested quote + On June 12 2012 07:42 Radfield wrote: On June 12 2012 07:33 Hesmyrr wrote: I actually wanted to let the conversation play out longer and see if it further justifies my doubts, but since I already wrote about VisceraEyes - Radfield connection I'll try my best to explain why I feel bad about these two, which started from here. His first three paragraphs reveal he feels wish-washy about MZ and I found it suspect how he was being conservative with his vote even at that situation, not voting for his current biggest scum-read. The tone of post is such that it makes him open for voting both, like Radfield will post his case and will let himself be "persuaded" by VisceraEyes so I wanted to gauge strength of the argument. Then VisceraEyes started picking up bunch of freebie townie points by talking about it with him. I guess I just didn't see reason Radfield would refrain posting his analysis at this critical juncture. He did fix most of the problems I had with him at time of this posting so I'll see how his argument turns out and determine whether to stick with VE depending on situation. I do have to leave for moment but I will be back in order to change my vote if needed. I don't get it. You were here before that conversation even started, yet were making no attempt to push VE. Also, are you insinuating that me and VE are scum buddies together? Show nested quote + On June 12 2012 18:43 Radfield wrote: Wiggles, that's all well and good, but those posts are startlingly neutral. Who would you have voted for yesterday. Who do you think is playing scummy. All of these posts raise questions, which are a good thing. However, the number of Rad's posts that raise questions is far greater than the number of posts that provide answers. This isn't scummy in and of itself, but it could be a way to hide a lack of contribution - you can say you're contributing by "provoking town discussion" by asking questions, but in actuality, you aren't contributing anything, which could be seen as a scummy action... Gah, I dunno. It's a ton of little things about Radfield's play this game that make me suspicious. But none of them are actually big enough for me to outright point at and say "this is good evidence for you being scum". I need to stop tunneling and look around some more. Seems like a setup for a Radfield lynch (which would explain the Ace kill as well, specially when BB uses Ace's kill in his conversation with Rad). He's wishy washy about both Rad and Hes, since he actually doesn't think there's enough evidence for thinking Rad is scum, and he says "I need to stop tunneling and look around some more". This seems inconsistent for a few reasons I'll say below (basically he completely forgets about Radfield later, which would mean he wasn't actually "looking around some more"). However the Rad lynch is not happening so he switches to a Hes one: On June 13 2012 18:17 BrownBear wrote: Show nested quote + On June 13 2012 10:49 Palmar wrote: damn, I was all ready to lynch ace, guess I'll have to lynch intelligently now. ##Vote gonzaw I think you're scum bro, what do you think about that? also I told you, radfield is doubleconfirmed town. Couple things I'd like to see you talk about more here. Firstly, why do you think gonzaw is scum? Could you give us a case? Secondly, do you have any reason for thinking Radfield is town other than "he agrees with me"? If so, please say it. --- Anyway, I think Hesmyrr is who I'm gonna vote on now, before I go to sleep. gonzaw's case has a couple good points. Namely, during the first day cycle he really did only pop up when he was being talked about. This indicates he was reading the thread very closely, but trying to avoid actively posting in it - usually only done by players who have something to hide. Since this setup has no blues who benefit from obscurity, that casts some serious doubt on Hesmyrr. Secondly, Hesmyrr also is doing the same thing I accused Radfield of doing earlier: He's subtly getting other people to contribute in his stead. Example: Show nested quote + On June 12 2012 07:07 Hesmyrr wrote: Hesmyrr, you pushed VE, you're obviously around as you posted an hour ago, yet you are not contributing at all to the lynch. Do you still think VE is the best lynch? Is anyone else on your radar? Pitch in. I was actually waiting for you to post the analysis regarding VE, since I couldn't find concrete argument to merit analysis post yet. Currently I find MZ lynch to be better than that of Palmar but I am not going to get stuck on black-white thinking; the fact that GreYMisT+VE have voted him is cause for concern which is why I am reserving my judgment until the last moment. Personally the interactions happened between VisceraEyes and you are making me extremely wary. He was the original guy to push VE, but he wants (i think) gonzaw to do the analysis? That's very strange. If he couldn't find enough concrete agruments to merit an analysis post, why does he expect another player to find it for him? Either he's very unsure about his analysis skills (not true, it's Hesmyrr, he's a veteran mafia player) or he doesn't want to post analysis out there himself. It's enough for me right now to vote for Hesmyrr. He and Radfield seem the most suspicious right now, and I think the case against Hes is slightly stronger, so... ##Vote: Hesmyrr One final thing: Cute. Now how about you contribute, like I said above. Why do you think I'm scum? Is it because I disagree with you? Because that's the only reason you've got so far. And it's a shitty reason, and I'm beginning to think you've just stopped giving a shit about this game and you aren't trying, which is unacceptable in a mini. Ok, I gotta get up in 6 hours, so I'm off. Night, all! It doesn't seem he's really convinced by the Hes lynch. He says that "gonzaw's case has some good points", and makes it seem he's not actually confident on it. It seems odd he doesn't actually call him scum either, here: Since this setup has no blues who benefit from obscurity, that casts some serious doubt on Hesmyrr and I think the case against Hes is slightly stronger Instead of saying "Since this setup has no blues who benefit from obscurity, that means Hesmyrr is scum". No, he tries to take a defensive position and accuse Hesmyrr but still try to make it safe but not actually call him out, because he knows Hesmyrr will be the lynch so he knows Hes will flip town and a lot of attention will be on him if he actively calls Hes as scum. Also again, "I think the case against Hes is slightly stronger". It's like he's picking ice-cream flavors or something. We are talking about a lynch that could put us in LYLO and he just "picks the strongest case". Again seems to buffer the effects of Hes misslynch later and try to blend in a little bit more. Something interesting is how he still mentions Radfield as a suspect....yet he never mentions Radfield again on D3. On June 17 2012 11:59 BrownBear wrote: Alright, I'm back. My resoning behind the Palmar lynch is basically what gonzaw and others have posted. He's not playing the way he normally does when he's town, but he was definitely trying to act like he was Day 1. He's switched his opinion on everyone all the time, without ever providing reasons, and hasn't been called on it until now. He's basically skated, and I don't really understand why we didn't call him on it sooner. He's definitely my target for today, unless something crazy happens, so I'm gonna look forward. One thing I was considering was the possibility of SK choosing to shoot tonight (and I think someone else mentioned that possibility). Given that the game is winding down, I thought it might be a possibility we'll have to account for. In the end though, I really think SK will not shoot tonight, because it's in his interest to shoot at the last possible moment (preferably when it will end the game). If we mislynch and Palmar is town, then SK will be forced to shoot red to keep the game alive (I think) but given the unlikelihood of that possibility, we're going to have SK KP to worry about. So I think we lynch Palmar today, then worry about who's SK starting today and tomorrow. My "group of scum" would be: Palmar Radfield prphlz Wiggles Palmar, case is proven. The other three I'm much less sure about. I'm certain the SK is one of them, though. All 3 have been trying very hard to play pro-town, but little things about their play have just thrown me off and made me question them. This is the post where he mentions all his reads.....but Radfield is suspiciously absent from them. Like Rad said earlier, he basically just says "I think gonzaw is town and haven't read Grey's filter yet...so yeah the remaining scum is in the group of the remaining players here [posts list]" The fact that his suspicion on Radfield completely disappears specially considering Radfield is still alive on D3 Like, wasn't that the sole reason prplhz thought Radfield was scum? Because Radfield was still alive? Wouldn't that be a huge detail BB failed to take into account? Wouldn't that make him more suspicious of Radfield? Why doesn't he mention it at all? He was suspicious of Radfield....and now that he has another reason to be suspicious of him he completely ignores it? It seems to me that they also let Rad live to set a Radfield misslynch (considering how Palmar voted Rad and several people were suspicious of Rad because of him flip-flopping on VE, killing VE makes sense to incriminate Radfield). However after the Palmar wagon started, I think they forgot about that and BB just tried to go for the full-fledge bus to increase his town cred.....the thing is that he forgot he set up the Rad misslynch in the first place, so his actions aren't consistent with what he's been preaching before (that Rad was suspicious) On June 13 2012 15:42 BrownBear wrote: Show nested quote + On June 13 2012 14:51 gonzaw wrote: Okay, off to reread the thread! (I think it will be the 1st time I'll ever reread a thread since it's beginning and not just read filters, I'm so excited!) Up to page 11, and I already have new info and revelations :O :O :O This is fun. Good idea. Since it's a small thread, pretty easy to do, I'd encourage more people to do this as well! I'm off to do the same thing. This is another thing funny, because he specifically says he's doing the same thing (rereading the thread completely)...but I never saw any conclusion from him about it. His next posts all seem like he didn't reread the thread to gain new conclusions...he's just suspicious about Rad a little bit, and reads my case against Hesmyrr and agrees with it, those are not signs of rereading the thread. Another little thing: On June 11 2012 03:39 BrownBear wrote: and radfield, who ninja'd me to a certain extent. so, let's spark some real discussion. chaoser, what do you have against ace this game. question mark goes here. He is the one that starts this discussion but he never mentions chaoser at all in the game. | ||
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