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Lord of the Rings Mafia - Page 136

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heist
Profile Joined April 2011
United States720 Posts
September 30 2011 20:01 GMT
#2701
On October 01 2011 04:50 GGQ wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 01 2011 04:18 chaoser wrote:
You're right GGQ, I'm obviously still the SK and my real wincon is actually to kill everyone and it wasn't the same as Palmer's. Cause obviously I would be able to guess/know Palmer's wincon even though he first lied about it in the thread and I then posted his real wincon which then got proven by him leaving the game without my actually knowing anything about his wincon. Cool Story Bro. [/end sarcasm]

Also nice try at misdirection there by saying it's smarter to lynch me over Pyo, obvious scum #1.


I never said this. Feeling defensive?


There's no way we should be focusing on a 3rd party lynch anyways. Go for mafia or go for broke.

I'll post my thoughts on TS later. Although, honestly my basis is that at least 2 mafia voted for Jackal day 2. I don't know how reliable that is as a starting point, but I'll look through and see if there's anything more concrete than the stuff on pyo.
chaoser
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
United States5541 Posts
September 30 2011 20:01 GMT
#2702
On October 01 2011 04:57 GMarshal wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 01 2011 04:55 TheManWithThePlan wrote:
stuff

oops...


=[. I guess I won't be using a smurf for PYP =[
Haven't you heard? I'm not an ex-progamer. I'm not a poker player. I'm not an admin of the site. I'm mother fucking Rekrul.
Drazerk
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United Kingdom31255 Posts
September 30 2011 20:02 GMT
#2703
On October 01 2011 05:01 chaoser wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 01 2011 04:57 GMarshal wrote:
On October 01 2011 04:55 TheManWithThePlan wrote:
stuff

oops...


=[. I guess I won't be using a smurf for PYP =[


Awww I was waiting for it to sign up to PYP so we could laugh at you
GMarshal
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States22154 Posts
September 30 2011 20:02 GMT
#2704
On October 01 2011 05:01 chaoser wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 01 2011 04:57 GMarshal wrote:
On October 01 2011 04:55 TheManWithThePlan wrote:
stuff

oops...


=[. I guess I won't be using a smurf for PYP =[

Neither will I!

We can be the awesome people with established metas! Also, I call PM buddy with you in that game ^_^
Moderator
chaoser
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
United States5541 Posts
September 30 2011 20:07 GMT
#2705
On October 01 2011 05:02 GMarshal wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 01 2011 05:01 chaoser wrote:
On October 01 2011 04:57 GMarshal wrote:
On October 01 2011 04:55 TheManWithThePlan wrote:
stuff

oops...


=[. I guess I won't be using a smurf for PYP =[

Neither will I!

We can be the awesome people with established metas! Also, I call PM buddy with you in that game ^_^


Mafia can PM buddy each other!
[image loading]
Haven't you heard? I'm not an ex-progamer. I'm not a poker player. I'm not an admin of the site. I'm mother fucking Rekrul.
wherebugsgo
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
Japan10647 Posts
September 30 2011 20:09 GMT
#2706
On October 01 2011 04:55 TheManWithThePlan wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 01 2011 04:50 GGQ wrote:
On October 01 2011 04:18 chaoser wrote:
You're right GGQ, I'm obviously still the SK and my real wincon is actually to kill everyone and it wasn't the same as Palmer's. Cause obviously I would be able to guess/know Palmer's wincon even though he first lied about it in the thread and I then posted his real wincon which then got proven by him leaving the game without my actually knowing anything about his wincon. Cool Story Bro. [/end sarcasm]

Also nice try at misdirection there by saying it's smarter to lynch me over Pyo, obvious scum #1.


I never said this. Feeling defensive?


Not particularly. I was laughing the whole time I was writing that up. But obviously I would be EXTREMELY DEFENSIVE with 0 votes on me and oh so many on pyo right?

You never said it but clearly implied it. Unless, of course, you weren't implying it in which case you're saying Pyo is a good lynch aka you think he's scum aka you're agreeing with scum that I should be lynched. That hole ain't getting smaller.




+ Show Spoiler +
ahahahaha this game keeps getting better and better
Cyber_Cheese
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Australia3615 Posts
September 30 2011 20:12 GMT
#2707
On October 01 2011 05:01 heist wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 01 2011 04:50 GGQ wrote:
On October 01 2011 04:18 chaoser wrote:
You're right GGQ, I'm obviously still the SK and my real wincon is actually to kill everyone and it wasn't the same as Palmer's. Cause obviously I would be able to guess/know Palmer's wincon even though he first lied about it in the thread and I then posted his real wincon which then got proven by him leaving the game without my actually knowing anything about his wincon. Cool Story Bro. [/end sarcasm]

Also nice try at misdirection there by saying it's smarter to lynch me over Pyo, obvious scum #1.


I never said this. Feeling defensive?


There's no way we should be focusing on a 3rd party lynch anyways. Go for mafia or go for broke.

I'll post my thoughts on TS later. Although, honestly my basis is that at least 2 mafia voted for Jackal day 2. I don't know how reliable that is as a starting point, but I'll look through and see if there's anything more concrete than the stuff on pyo.


That and the plan to risk giving a ring to people you believe to be town are why I'm thinking it's him.
I mean, Radfield and DoctorHelvatica would have been likely have been major contenders for ring passing target if the plan had gone through.

On September 30 2011 10:34 kitaman27 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 30 2011 10:20 heist wrote:
Actually, I'll be changing my vote to trancestorm.

Final Vote Count for the Jackal Lynch that saved iGrok day 2:

Greymist
chaoser
Radfield
Drazerk
raynpelikoneet
jcarlsoniv
TranceStorm
OriginalName

I'm almost positive there's at least one more mafia in here.


Could you provide a case against Trance, rather than just a voting list? What seperates him from rayn or jcarl?


The plan for the ring he made on day 1
The moment you lose confidence in yourself, is the moment the world loses it's confidence in you.
Cyber_Cheese
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Australia3615 Posts
September 30 2011 20:16 GMT
#2708
On October 01 2011 05:01 heist wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 01 2011 04:50 GGQ wrote:
On October 01 2011 04:18 chaoser wrote:
You're right GGQ, I'm obviously still the SK and my real wincon is actually to kill everyone and it wasn't the same as Palmer's. Cause obviously I would be able to guess/know Palmer's wincon even though he first lied about it in the thread and I then posted his real wincon which then got proven by him leaving the game without my actually knowing anything about his wincon. Cool Story Bro. [/end sarcasm]

Also nice try at misdirection there by saying it's smarter to lynch me over Pyo, obvious scum #1.


I never said this. Feeling defensive?


There's no way we should be focusing on a 3rd party lynch anyways. Go for mafia or go for broke.

I'll post my thoughts on TS later. Although, honestly my basis is that at least 2 mafia voted for Jackal day 2. I don't know how reliable that is as a starting point, but I'll look through and see if there's anything more concrete than the stuff on pyo.


I agree with that, assuming there is 3 mafia left and their kp is two, the sk (assuming there still is one) has a kp, so either way we take a kp off, the difference is the sk's kp can still hit mafia, or force a mafia roleblock -> medic isn't roleblocked.
The moment you lose confidence in yourself, is the moment the world loses it's confidence in you.
Drazerk
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United Kingdom31255 Posts
September 30 2011 20:19 GMT
#2709
Guys does anyone else find it oddly suspicious Mafia would send out a message saying Jcarl is Uglúk when they knew iGrok would probably be lynched the same day?

I don't know but it's just giving me a bad feeling at the moment and something I want to look in to tonight / tomorrow
heist
Profile Joined April 2011
United States720 Posts
September 30 2011 20:21 GMT
#2710
On October 01 2011 05:19 Drazerk wrote:
Guys does anyone else find it oddly suspicious Mafia would send out a message saying Jcarl is Uglúk when they knew iGrok would probably be lynched the same day?

I don't know but it's just giving me a bad feeling at the moment and something I want to look in to tonight / tomorrow


It's not like it clears jcarl. It could only make people raise suspicion on jcarl for being singled out. I wouldn't look too much into or else you get caught up in a double psychology loop.
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
September 30 2011 21:01 GMT
#2711
I won't be around for the deadline. If it's late yell at Mig!
wat
GMarshal
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States22154 Posts
September 30 2011 21:03 GMT
#2712
can I yell at mig even if it isn't late?
Moderator
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
September 30 2011 21:04 GMT
#2713
Yes.
wat
Pyo
Profile Joined October 2010
United States738 Posts
September 30 2011 21:14 GMT
#2714
scum team: heist, chaoser, kitaman
kitaman27 *
Profile Blog Joined April 2009
United States9245 Posts
September 30 2011 21:15 GMT
#2715
right...
I'm better than dirt. Well, most kinds of dirt. I mean not that fancy store bought dirt. That stuffs loaded with nutrients. I... I can't compete with that stuff.
Drazerk
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United Kingdom31255 Posts
September 30 2011 21:15 GMT
#2716
On October 01 2011 06:14 Pyo wrote:
scum team: heist, chaoser, kitaman


Kita is confirmed tracker...
Drazerk
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United Kingdom31255 Posts
September 30 2011 21:16 GMT
#2717
Pyo are you playing the same game as us?
heist
Profile Joined April 2011
United States720 Posts
September 30 2011 21:23 GMT
#2718
TranceStorm

Again, I looked at interactions with confirmed mafia.

On September 17 2011 14:36 TranceStorm wrote:
Debating about who should get the ring and what each role can or cannot do at the moment is pointless at the current time. However, I do like one of the plans that was proposed by a few people: having the person who successfully passed on the ring claim themselves. This way, we can enable a 'chain' to be made - i.e. the first player can confirm the second player once the second player has passed on the ring themselves. This is all dependent on the assumption that evil players cannot pass the ring themselves which as Radfield pointed out, is probably a true assumption.

Given this, however, this plan would probably only be effective for the first few 'passes' and perhaps near the end of the game when town circles become more clear. The risk after the first few days that the person holding the ring is killed, or has the ring stolen (which is a possible role according to the OP) makes the plan ineffective.

Therefore, I think that such a plan should work for the first 2 or 3 days to confirm at least one or two people. Any thoughts or ideas about this? I haven't fully fleshed this out yet (i.e. the possibility of fake claims is strong), but its probably a better discussion than the arbitrary finger-pointing going on at the moment.


Bad plan. Whatever. Either you are a townie posting your plan with maybe a higher purpose of discussion (which he tries to defend himself as doing when everyone shits on his plan) OR you are mafia trying to slip in a bad plan for town to follow and derail discussion on a ill-formed plan. Null-tell. But what is interesting, is you start off your posts with an automatic belief in Radfield's assumptions. You trust him. Pretty harmless at first but let's look further.

On September 17 2011 14:58 TranceStorm wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 17 2011 13:37 chaos13 wrote:
On September 17 2011 10:35 xtfftc wrote:

On September 17 2011 09:32 Radfield wrote:

Posts like this(mine) should not be given consideration when you are trying to determine a players alignment.


They definitely should be.


Nope. The entire content of his post was all based on game mechanics. Game mechanics reveal zero about a player's alignment, so if you give people town cred for posting that, the whole mafia team is going to do it and pretty soon you're completely fucked.
...

Anymore discussion about this is wasted. Starting now look at some of the posts people have made, try to figure out what the intent of them is. Ask people questions. Scum hate being asked what they think of the alignment of their scumbuddies, they want to keep to the shadows. Let's not give them what they want.

You make a fair point about how Radfield's post was more based upon game mechanics than any actual analysis. However, you follow this up with a summary of some rather obvious conclusions derived from the thread and some generic advice of your own! I would love to see you 'ask people questions' and figure out the intent of their posts as well.


Yes, yes "fair point" but then you proceed to soft defend Radfield by attacking chaos' post.

On September 22 2011 06:03 TranceStorm wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 22 2011 05:42 Radfield wrote:
On September 22 2011 05:29 TranceStorm wrote:
On September 22 2011 05:26 Radfield wrote:
If iGrok is scum, then he'll be confirmed scum by tomorrow and we lynch him then.

How do we will he be confirmed scum?



If he is scum he needs to follow through with the shot we direct in order to stay clean for tomorrow. If he does not, then he gets lynched. If he claims he was 'roleblocked' then he gets lynched. If for any reason his target does not die, he gets lynched. If the target we choose is a townie, and scum kill him, AND his flavour comes up with 'consumed by shadow and flame etc" then so be it, as we are successfully directing scum's targets. If scum want to act as a double lynch for us, so much the better. If anyone else ever dies by the same flavour, or if the KP isn't matching up, we lynch him.

It's like in PYP1/2 when scum got the compvig. IT DOESN"T MATTER AS LONG AS WE ARE DIRECTING THE SHOTS.

Well that sounds reasonable. I am concerned about how the town is supposed to direct iGrok's night kill when we are divided as is though. Nevertheless, I'll look between Jackal and Palmar now.


Is now taking complete guidance from Radfield. His votes are being informed entirely by Radfield.
He has moves off iGrok and is ready to switch last minute onto a bandwagon of Radfield's choosing.

**As a side note, Radfield I have to applaud you for how well you (mis)led the town.

On September 18 2011 01:18 Radfield wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 17 2011 15:36 Cyber_Cheese wrote:
On September 17 2011 15:03 TranceStorm wrote:
On September 17 2011 14:57 Cyber_Cheese wrote:
On September 17 2011 14:36 TranceStorm wrote:
Debating about who should get the ring and what each role can or cannot do at the moment is pointless at the current time. However, I do like one of the plans that was proposed by a few people: having the person who successfully passed on the ring claim themselves. This way, we can enable a 'chain' to be made - i.e. the first player can confirm the second player once the second player has passed on the ring themselves. This is all dependent on the assumption that evil players cannot pass the ring themselves which as Radfield pointed out, is probably a true assumption.

Given this, however, this plan would probably only be effective for the first few 'passes' and perhaps near the end of the game when town circles become more clear. The risk after the first few days that the person holding the ring is killed, or has the ring stolen (which is a possible role according to the OP) makes the plan ineffective.

Therefore, I think that such a plan should work for the first 2 or 3 days to confirm at least one or two people. Any thoughts or ideas about this? I haven't fully fleshed this out yet (i.e. the possibility of fake claims is strong), but its probably a better discussion than the arbitrary finger-pointing going on at the moment.


I'm not sure if you realise it or not but that plan sounds awfully anti-town.
How do we guarantee that even those 1-3 people can pass the ring in the first place?
And even if they can, how does that confirm anybody?

In this game, only people with roles that relate to the ring should bother searching for it secretly, and if the ring is passed it will either be the fruits of their efforts or a complete accident.
As for the effects of the ring, there is no real way to find out, the only people that know are the ring bearers and mentioning that you have it/explaining what it does is virtually ensuring you get killed overnight in the hopes that you can't pass it.

First, if the players in question cannot pass the ring, then the plan does not go into effect. A player only announces that they had the ring in the previous turn. If they can't pass it on, they stay silent and we are none the wiser.

Second, given Radfield's argument that evil players probably don't have the mechanic to pass the ring (otherwise they would pass it amongst themselves), if we can get two successive passes, that would confirm at least one player. The danger of course is passing to a mafia player, but that probability initially is small.

At any rate, I think it is pretty likely that the ring will worm into non-town hands (whether 3rd party or mafia) given that non-town players will constantly search and probe every turn. There's no way to comprehensively prevent them from getting the ring, therefore, why not get some benefit to it.

Finally, another point that can be made is that the player who passes on the ring and reveals themselves can also reveal what the ring does. Given that every player already covets it, it would be nice to at least have that information.


So basically you want people to say "I had the ring guys, I managed to pass it off, but I'm not saying to who" and maybe list it's effects?
We can't be sure evil players can't pass the ring, and if the person who claimed to have got rid of it was telling the truth or not.
There is way too much uncertainty, and I believe only a non-town party would be trying to push a bad plan to get the ring
Unless you can come up with a really good reason you care so much about the ring bearer
##Vote TranceStorm



This is a bunk vote. Bad plans are pushed all the time, mostly by townies as scum generally have very little motivation to push a bad plan. Bad plans need refinement, not votes.

Fact is, if the player who has the ring DOES pass it, he should likely claim. Either he is counterclaimed later when frodo/bilbo actually passes it, or he is confirmed. It doesn't help us immensely, but it certainly doesn't hinder.


Radfield returns the favor defending TranceStorm. No one look at Trancestorm, he's just a bad townie with a bad plan.

On September 17 2011 15:27 TranceStorm wrote:
@DrH. Fine, those are valid points. I didn't fully flesh out my plan as well as I imagined it would be and underestimated the risks.

But, wouldn't it be a good idea to set the rule that if a player does ever pass on the ring, they reveal its powers? We already know that everyone wants the ring (both town and non-town) so I think it would be beneficial to town discussion to know the ring powers. (if they don't change like you fear they might).


Many people criticize his plan. Trancestorm makes an effort to address everything thrown at him and when it seems like he's failing to convince people he adds the customary "at least I'm generating discussion which is TOWN". But to DrH, it's simply: You're right. I made a bad plan and you, and only you, get the credit for correcting me. Good job. Only DrH gets him to see the error of his plan when other people have already chimed in with what is essentially the same arguments.


On September 19 2011 04:25 TranceStorm wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 19 2011 04:20 prplhz wrote:
in case i didn't make it clear i thought that drh could do better and he was acting weird, that's why i voted him first. when that didn't catch on too well i switched to jack, another person who i thought should be doing a lot better. think it's too late for me to move my vote so i doubt i'm gonna do that.

i have attacked just about 1 guy and only said that 3 people were scummy, i'm sure you can find other people who have thrown more accusations around 'cause that's not really too bad. i think most of all this voting me is because cyriander suddenly came out of nowhere and said i was a good guy and apparently i'm his pal or something, but you should really be questioning him instead 'cause that's very weird day1 after a couple of posts from me that i agree could be interpreted as scummy ... but this is too late and something that can be done tomorrow. i think people should switch their votes to wbg me and jack.

i also want to tell sandroba and palmar that i have the eru-iluvatar-given ability to instantly kill them at my will if they don't start posting.

You made a long analysis to justify why you voted for Dr. H. Then you changed to Jackal (after he had already received a couple of votes) saying that you wanted to pressure him. There is still no justification at all for you vote. Considering that you had already shown that you were willing to give analysis on other people, I find your vote super suspicious hence my vote.

Now you say that it's too late for you to move your vote. You still haven't justified your vote at all, and are basically admitting that you didn't have one in the first place.


End of the day, he votes for the candidate who makes an analysis attacking DrH.

-----

Now what else do we have:

- The late bandwagons and his voting patterns.

- Really anti-iGrok, but who wasn't? (oh yeah me). Attacking cyber_cheese primarily for his votes and for defending iGrok. Rayn is right. This little interaction between the two of them is a little weird. I have no idea what to make of it but at best, only one of the town is mafia.

Am I entirely convinced? Not completely. Radfield did a really good job of getting townies to do what he wanted. ON had many of the same mistakes and he flipped town. The late bandwagons are iffy at best as tells for alignment, and Cyber and TS can just be two townies who can't stop tunneling each other. TS was simply the better alternative to Cyber at the time.
heist
Profile Joined April 2011
United States720 Posts
September 30 2011 21:23 GMT
#2719
On October 01 2011 06:14 Pyo wrote:
scum team: heist, chaoser, kitaman


stop being deliberately useless
heist
Profile Joined April 2011
United States720 Posts
September 30 2011 21:27 GMT
#2720
On October 01 2011 06:15 Pyo wrote:
##unvote

##vote: chaoser


What the hell is this? Chaoser has killed a mafia member. Chaoser is not mafia. We are trying to lynch mafia. Mafia, mafia, mafia. Put your vote to better use.
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