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TL Mafia XXXIX - Page 69

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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jaminz
Profile Joined April 2010
United States208 Posts
May 09 2011 03:43 GMT
#1361
Didn't GGQ claim he was roleblocked on night 1? Obviously claiming that doesn't clear him from any accusations, and I'm inclined to follow Chaoser's analysis, but I'd like to hear what he has to say about all of this.
"Heroes get remembered, but legends never die. Follow your heart, kid, and you'll never go wrong" - The Great Bambino, The Sandlot
chaoser
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
United States5541 Posts
May 09 2011 03:47 GMT
#1362
I will look over Eternalmisfit tomorrow. So I guess my scum list is currently

Scum List
GGQ
sinani
Haven't you heard? I'm not an ex-progamer. I'm not a poker player. I'm not an admin of the site. I'm mother fucking Rekrul.
chaoser
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
United States5541 Posts
May 09 2011 03:50 GMT
#1363
I'm much more sure of GGQ compared to sinani though, I might be wrong on him cause there have actually been people as non-thinking as him, even in this game. Hopefully I can share my check tomorrow.
Haven't you heard? I'm not an ex-progamer. I'm not a poker player. I'm not an admin of the site. I'm mother fucking Rekrul.
sandroba
Profile Joined April 2006
Canada4998 Posts
May 09 2011 03:53 GMT
#1364
GGQ and Eternal have no excuse. Eternal was town with me on Suprisingly Normal Mini Mafia and his play was quite solid. He's made an analysis on me when I promised to post my analysis on amber and it was complete bulshit.
I feel like these 2 are the best choices for vig hits tonight.
chaoser
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
United States5541 Posts
May 09 2011 03:55 GMT
#1365
Oh, and people I 100% think are town
Sandroba
Cthsazsa
Haven't you heard? I'm not an ex-progamer. I'm not a poker player. I'm not an admin of the site. I'm mother fucking Rekrul.
chaoser
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
United States5541 Posts
May 09 2011 03:55 GMT
#1366
Ok, i suggest a hit on eternal then.
Haven't you heard? I'm not an ex-progamer. I'm not a poker player. I'm not an admin of the site. I'm mother fucking Rekrul.
Mig
Profile Blog Joined October 2004
United States4714 Posts
May 09 2011 04:02 GMT
#1367
I think between red/kita/GGQ/ilovejonn at least one of them must be mafia.

I know every game is balanced differently but from the ones I have looked at most of them have balanced mafia/town teams, in terms of vets/new players. So with amber/irish gone I would guess they have 1-2 vets and 2-3 new players remaining.

Along with that its a big deal that amber wasn't the gf. I think its pretty unlikely they gave gf to a new player with amber in the game. Which makes it even more likely that between red/kita/GGQ/jonn one of them is gf.

For this reason I would probably not dt check one of them and instead dt check the newer players you suspect, eternal or sinani.
Moderator
Kenpachi
Profile Blog Joined August 2009
United States9908 Posts
May 09 2011 04:03 GMT
#1368
you know, i dont even remember a game where Amber was townie
Nada's body is South Korea's greatest weapon.
sandroba
Profile Joined April 2006
Canada4998 Posts
May 09 2011 04:05 GMT
#1369
Yeah I kinda like Mig's idea. I think we should settle on hitting GGQ and checking Eternal.
sandroba
Profile Joined April 2006
Canada4998 Posts
May 09 2011 04:07 GMT
#1370
Man, how can you tell kenpachi scum from kenpachi town? Seems to me he only builds his meta when he plays town so he can lurk peacefully when he's scum =)
chaoser
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
United States5541 Posts
May 09 2011 04:11 GMT
#1371
kenpachi is like one of those kids with mental disorder. He's cute in his bumbling but at the same time, we all pity him =[
Haven't you heard? I'm not an ex-progamer. I'm not a poker player. I'm not an admin of the site. I'm mother fucking Rekrul.
AirbladeOrange
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States2572 Posts
May 09 2011 04:41 GMT
#1372
Regarding role blocking:

Mafia probably has one role blocker for a game of this size. I would like to hear from the vets if they agree with me on this.

Would mafia really not use a role block on the first night and have GGQ claim it casually? Maybe they had no idea who else was blue besides KillerSoS and would rather have just killed him and try to give GGQ some town credit.

Now that Chaoser has claimed, won't the mafia just keep role blocking him?
sandroba
Profile Joined April 2006
Canada4998 Posts
May 09 2011 04:51 GMT
#1373
@AO Yeah, they probably will keep roleblocking chaoser. There is very little chance GGQ is town. I'm pretty confident he should be the target of our vig hit tonight.
chaos13
Profile Joined April 2011
Canada885 Posts
May 09 2011 05:08 GMT
#1374
I can honestly say I didn't expect Irish to flip red, but I guess I got an opinion in my head and stuck with it. Sucks that both (I'm assuming there are two, seems overpowered to me otherwise) day vigis were modkilled, but it helps that we got two scum.
I can't promise to be any more active from now on than I have been already, but I will try to pop in to do some analysis whenever I get the chance.

As for chaoser being roleblocked/medic protected - what is to stop scum from blocking him every night and hitting other targets, and being sure of medic-free kills every night? They can stop a DT check and get 2 kills every single night.

I would like to propose a ridiculous theory, please tell me if it's possible and/or complete garbage.
chaoser is scum. He knows the roles of his scumbuddies, and decides to announce DT and that he checked Amber last night, seeing that there was already a good number of votes for that player. Further, he gets his scum team to switch votes from Cthsazsa to Amber, and then declares that there must be a good number of scum hiding in the Cthsazsa votes. Even better, he is guaranteed that medics will waste themselves on protecting him every night, and he can claim roleblock and not be worried about not providing results for further days, and he can also rest comfortably knowing that if someone tries to accuse him of being scum, he can turn it on them and blame them for trying to accuse a DT.

This is something of a ridiculous conspiracy theory feel to it to me, but I felt it should be put out there anyway.
chaos13
Profile Joined April 2011
Canada885 Posts
May 09 2011 05:15 GMT
#1375
And here are the people who defended Irish on Day 1:

On May 04 2011 12:59 ilovejonn wrote:
Apparently redtooth thinks Irish slipped cause he thought he knows 3-4 ppl playing in this game as ppl on his scum team. Just a misunderstood post imo.


On May 04 2011 12:53 KillerSOS wrote:
He just wants the pleasure of voting first!


On May 04 2011 13:08 Cthsazsa wrote:
This is very interesting.
Maybe Redtooth is using that as an excuse to get people riled up?
Hmmm.


And myself of course:

On May 04 2011 12:50 chaos13 wrote:
chaoser, did you not even listen to what I told you? He knows 3 or 4 of us from another forum. Trust me, he isn't stupid, and would not make a mistake like that.


On May 04 2011 11:41 chaos13 wrote:
I fail to see how that is a scum tell. He doesn't mean knows the role of 3-4 players, he means that he is new to the TLMafia forums, as am I, and we know each other, as well as Coagulation and Jackal58, from another site.

chaoser
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
United States5541 Posts
May 09 2011 05:16 GMT
#1376
Why wouldn't I just let Cthsazsa get lynched, he'll flip green, and then I can be like AH HA! YOU ALL WRONG and then ride the amber bus for another day. Then I can say lynch redtooth, lynch lynch Forumite, etc.
Haven't you heard? I'm not an ex-progamer. I'm not a poker player. I'm not an admin of the site. I'm mother fucking Rekrul.
sandroba
Profile Joined April 2006
Canada4998 Posts
May 09 2011 05:24 GMT
#1377
@chaos13 It's within the realm of possibility, but it wouldn't be good play on mafia part. I'm sure chaoser knows better than this. Also seem some of the other players behaviour, this seem even more extremelly unlikely.
sandroba
Profile Joined April 2006
Canada4998 Posts
May 09 2011 05:26 GMT
#1378
EBWOP: that should read looking at some of...
elmizzt
Profile Joined February 2010
United States3309 Posts
May 09 2011 05:27 GMT
#1379
On May 09 2011 14:08 chaos13 wrote:
I can honestly say I didn't expect Irish to flip red, but I guess I got an opinion in my head and stuck with it. Sucks that both (I'm assuming there are two, seems overpowered to me otherwise) day vigis were modkilled, but it helps that we got two scum.
I can't promise to be any more active from now on than I have been already, but I will try to pop in to do some analysis whenever I get the chance.

As for chaoser being roleblocked/medic protected - what is to stop scum from blocking him every night and hitting other targets, and being sure of medic-free kills every night? They can stop a DT check and get 2 kills every single night.

I would like to propose a ridiculous theory, please tell me if it's possible and/or complete garbage.
chaoser is scum. He knows the roles of his scumbuddies, and decides to announce DT and that he checked Amber last night, seeing that there was already a good number of votes for that player. Further, he gets his scum team to switch votes from Cthsazsa to Amber, and then declares that there must be a good number of scum hiding in the Cthsazsa votes. Even better, he is guaranteed that medics will waste themselves on protecting him every night, and he can claim roleblock and not be worried about not providing results for further days, and he can also rest comfortably knowing that if someone tries to accuse him of being scum, he can turn it on them and blame them for trying to accuse a DT.

This is something of a ridiculous conspiracy theory feel to it to me, but I felt it should be put out there anyway.

That's garbage because if chaoser isn't DT, and claimed it, then the real DT instantly knows he is scum.
d=(^_^)z
Mig
Profile Blog Joined October 2004
United States4714 Posts
May 09 2011 05:28 GMT
#1380
Also its less likely mafia would try to bus one of their players when they know irish is gonna be mod killed. If they had bussed someone today they would be losing a kp.
Moderator
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