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TL Mafia XXXIX - Page 107

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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PaqMan
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States1475 Posts
May 17 2011 04:17 GMT
#2121
t(ツ)t
Ver
Profile Joined October 2008
United States2186 Posts
May 17 2011 05:29 GMT
#2122
Just wanted to say I'm sorry that I haven't responded to various coaching pm's in the past 2 days but now that my game is in full force and I've gotten over 100 pm's already from it, I don't exactly have the time to keep up on this thread anymore and give meaningful advice. Best of luck to everyone.
Liquipedia
DropBear
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Australia4396 Posts
May 17 2011 07:40 GMT
#2123
On May 17 2011 03:53 AirbladeOrange wrote:
I only recall stating that Jaminz was playing differently than last game we played with him because he was doing more analysis. I felt even if he was mafia it was good that he was more active than he was last game. I don't remember defending ilovejonn.

At the time I said blues (vigilantes) should not use their roles because it was way too early to get a decent read on anyone to kill. Wasting a shot on a townie is worse than taking a small chance the vig will die at night.

I did not feel compelled to do an analysis on people who voted for Kurumi. But I still say it would be a good idea.

Splitting up votes helps hold people accountable for their actions and makes it wasier to weed out mafia who give poor reasoning for voting or just bandwagon.

I don't think I ever attacked conversion, I only said he was being too aggressive.

I thought Mig had a good chance of being mafia.

I thought there was a good chance EternalMisfit was mafia.

1. You did defend ilovejonn.
On May 06 2011 13:58 AirbladeOrange wrote:
I remember ilovejonn being mostly a lurker in the last mafia game providing no real analysis. Why is he suspicious this game when he was acting the same way last game and was town?


2.

3. Why do you not feel compelled to do analysis on who voted for Kurumi?

4. Why did you think Mig was a good chance of being Mafia? You never really gave reasons.

5. Why did you think there was a good chance of EM being mafia? You never really gave reasons.


Has anyone asked for replacement this round?

Where are you redtooth?
Sucker for nostalgia
DropBear
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Australia4396 Posts
May 17 2011 07:48 GMT
#2124
2. Should be why did you say all blues and not just vigis?

On May 06 2011 07:00 AirbladeOrange wrote:
Please don't use any vigilante actions now. It's way too soon without having much to go on. These percentages don't really mean anything and anyone advocating the use of our blue roles at this point is not having the town's best interests in mind.
Sucker for nostalgia
DropBear
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Australia4396 Posts
May 17 2011 08:07 GMT
#2125
On May 17 2011 08:43 kitaman27 wrote:
I agree everyone should be posting, but I dislike it when a certain people are told to analyze specific people. It hides information about their motives since they are told who to push/defend. Everyone should be analyzing who they feel is most scummy.

Ok that makes sense about not forcing specific people to analyse specific others, I was trying to get everyone talking again.

On May 17 2011 10:46 kitaman27 wrote:
-DropBear was real wish-washy. He was one of the first people to bring up sinani and pushed for his lynch day 3, but then he got cold feed on day 4. I'm also leaning town since this doesn't seem like a mafia reaction to me.


I've never been wishy-washy. I've been very decisive in attacking sinani206 up until day 4 when I was confused by ilovejonn's selfvote. The posts defending sinani206 all came after this and showed my reasoning quite clearly.


Jaminz also need to get in here and do some explaining other than how there aren't any medics, which we worked out 2 days ago.


People who have been contributing heavily today:
VarpuliS
DropBear
chaos13
kitaman27
Impervious
Xedat
Forumite

The game has kind of reset to a mini in some respects, in which the townies are running around discussing things Day 1. I feel that there is maximum 1 mafia on this list and likely none at all. Note how the big lynch targets have been completely silent.




Sucker for nostalgia
chaos13
Profile Joined April 2011
Canada885 Posts
May 17 2011 13:04 GMT
#2126
I am going to vote redtooth today. He is by far the number one suspect I have. If he ends up being a townie, he is an inactive, so it does less damage than lynching an active townie.
chaos13
Profile Joined April 2011
Canada885 Posts
May 17 2011 13:11 GMT
#2127
Since I will be unable to be back to contribute later today, I want to point out that we have a split lynch again today between Ilovejonn (2 votes), orgolove (3 votes) and redtooth (3 votes). This is the same thing that happened every time we tried to lynch sinani206. It means that at least one of those three is likely scum, and the scum team is trying to get a townie instead.

Orgolove and Impervious have both voted ilovejonn. I think it is highly likely that at least one of them is scum.

Forumite, Xedat, and AirbladeOrange have all voted orgolove. I think it is likely that all three of them are town. AO is the only one I'm slightly uncertain of, and even then there is little evidence of him being scum.

VarpuliS, DropBear, and myself have all voted redtooth. I think Varpuli and DropBear are both town along with me.
GMarshal
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States22154 Posts
May 17 2011 13:21 GMT
#2128
Event 1: Thunderstorm Minigame

[image loading]

A new game inside the game has appeared! With dark clouds rolling in, lighting is sure to strike, however there are only enough shelters to keep three people safe from harm, vote for the three people you want to ensure live through the storm! three people will be chosen at random from the remaining population to be hit by lightning this may kill them, or grant them superpowers, depending on their role, it may also impose hilarious post restrictions on those caught outside in the uranium rain! PM me these votes, the storm will hit in a number of hours equal to the prime square of the number of letters in the winner of the last GSL's team's mascot name, plus or minus the variance factor!

+ Show Spoiler +
Since I wasn't around yesterday at the day post, I felt like I had to do this
Moderator
Qatol
Profile Blog Joined November 2006
United States3165 Posts
May 17 2011 13:38 GMT
#2129
On May 17 2011 14:29 Ver wrote:
Just wanted to say I'm sorry that I haven't responded to various coaching pm's in the past 2 days but now that my game is in full force and I've gotten over 100 pm's already from it, I don't exactly have the time to keep up on this thread anymore and give meaningful advice. Best of luck to everyone.

Send coaching PMs to me instead.
Uff Da
Xedat
Profile Joined October 2010
Germany358 Posts
May 17 2011 15:56 GMT
#2130
On redtooth:
I also find his inactivity very suspicious and he is on my list. I just think that lynching him would not give us as much information, he has to post at least once not to be modkilled, if he does post something and it looks scummy I might switch my vote to him.
Redtooth's inactivity is almost incriminating him too much. He contributed a fair amount and then suddenly he is dead quiet, I think it might have to do with real life stuff he does.
Look at his post history, his last post here was may 17th, his last post on TL may 18th.
This is not to say that he is not scummy, I just think that lynching him might not give us any information and he would be modkilled regardless.
Xedat
Profile Joined October 2010
Germany358 Posts
May 17 2011 15:59 GMT
#2131
A disclaimer for each of my posts, I am very inexperienced in this game, so take everything I say with a grain of salt and don't hesitate to correct me if what I say is stupid.
Xedat
Profile Joined October 2010
Germany358 Posts
May 17 2011 16:02 GMT
#2132
Do I understand it correctly that one has to make one post per day/night cycle and has to vote in the voting threat not to be modkilled?
GMarshal
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States22154 Posts
May 17 2011 16:03 GMT
#2133
On May 18 2011 01:02 Xedat wrote:
Do I understand it correctly that one has to make one post per day/night cycle and has to vote in the voting threat not to be modkilled?


Correct
Moderator
DropBear
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Australia4396 Posts
May 17 2011 16:48 GMT
#2134
Alright I'm going to bed. Not enough people are talking and it disappoints me, bit up to those who are. I will try and be back before the lynch.

I looked back through ilovejonn's history and he has a strange habit of coming under suspicion often when he is town, this coupled with the fact that he was the alternative candidate to sinani206 makes feel better about him than the others. Jaminz I'm not entirely sure what to think. Imo these are the best three candidates.


Arguments for redtooth:
- Defended Irish and Amber
- Repeatedly attacked Cthazsa
- Repeatedly attacked Chaoser
- Disappeared day 3
- Is experienced enough to potentially be godfather
- Analysis by VarpuliS, someone I trust.


Arguments for orgolove
- Defended sinani206
- Only analysis has been on voting patterns, admits himself he wouldn't have caught GGQ and sinani206
- Little other contribution
- Is experienced enough to potentially be godfather


Arguments for Impervious
- Given two replacements while four others were modkilled (Yes Node and Marsh I know this isn't supposed to be a reason [/b]
- Pushed on a lynch of EM for information over sinani206
- Only real contribution is a wierd analysis of kitaman27 which doesn't really say anything
- Low post count of kevconsim and Rising_Phoenix
- On sandroba's list of doom just before he died
- analysis by chaos13, someone I trust


I was very suspicious of redtooth's attempted town control on night 1, he hasn't come out to explain himself. My vote remains on him.

I'll check the thread in the morning, if it looks like redtooth will be modkilled I will switch to Impervious.



Sucker for nostalgia
AirbladeOrange
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States2574 Posts
May 17 2011 19:04 GMT
#2135
Good news: The thunderstorm made me grow tentacles and I have a secret role because of it.
Ver
Profile Joined October 2008
United States2186 Posts
May 17 2011 19:10 GMT
#2136
On May 17 2011 14:29 Ver wrote:
Just wanted to say I'm sorry that I haven't responded to various coaching pm's in the past 2 days but now that my game is in full force and I've gotten over 100 pm's already from it, I don't exactly have the time to keep up on this thread anymore and give meaningful advice. Best of luck to everyone.


Actually just pm qatol your questions. He can handle them.
Liquipedia
ilovejonn
Profile Blog Joined August 2007
Canada2548 Posts
May 17 2011 19:12 GMT
#2137
You know who I'm voting. orgolove. Only using vote analysis to tunnel me, without going through the majority of my posts, or do research on my previous games. Sinani206 appears town on his list of highest to lowest points accumulated. Heck even Dropbear is near top of his list, and I'm getting very high town vibes from him.

##Vote: orgolove
Snowflakes in January, Heart warm like February, I wouldn't ordinarily..
Mig
Profile Blog Joined October 2004
United States4714 Posts
May 17 2011 20:21 GMT
#2138
I am going to vote redtooth. I will just copy my reasons from earlier for why I am voting him.

Redtooth - He originally pushed extremely hard that Cth was mafia and tried to link him to chaoser as mafia as well. His voting has been completely useless. Day1 he voted for chaoser when he obviously wasn't going to be lynched. Day 2 he voted for Cth before switching to amber after the dt claim. Day3 he voted for himself pointlessly. Day 4 he was the very last person to vote for sinani and he didn't even bother posting in the thread about it. I guess he might just be a demoralized townie after every single thing hes done has been incorrect but I feel like he might have decided to just lurk after all his plans fell through to try and avoid attention. I also think hes a good candidate for GF.

Orgolove is very suspicious. It especially doesn't feel right to me that on day3 he was lurking and could have given his opinion and vote to decide the EM vs sinani lynch but didn't. So if people wanted to vote and lynch him I would have no problem with it.

Impervious- rising phoenix's posts were suspicious, sandroba seemed 100% sure he was scum, pushed for em and defended sinani and overall his posts just seem a little off to me.

I went back and reread jaminz's posts and his long posts do make him look a bit more town. I am still suspicious of him for still contributing very little overall, and while he may have just voted at an unlucky time it is still extremely suspicious that he was the one who saved sinani on day3.

So my top 3 lynch candidates would be red/orgolove/impervious. After them I have a 2nd tier consisting of jaminz/ilovejonn/AO.
Moderator
Xedat
Profile Joined October 2010
Germany358 Posts
May 17 2011 20:24 GMT
#2139
Just wanted to tell you that I am going to sleep now, I will miss the important phase of the vote (the deadline is in the middle of the night for Europeans^^)
I made a little list of "inactive" people:
Not voted until now:
Jaminz,elmizzt,Mig,kitaman27,redtooth

zero posts: redtooth
one post: Jaminz (one post night)

low post count:
Airbladeorange, elmizzt,kitaman27 (each 3 posts)

only posted during night:
ilovejonn (1 post day, 4 night)
Xedat
Profile Joined October 2010
Germany358 Posts
May 17 2011 20:26 GMT
#2140
Mig just voted, as you can see.
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