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TL Mafia XXVIII - Page 2

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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BrownBear
Profile Joined March 2010
United States6894 Posts
July 20 2010 06:38 GMT
#675
On July 20 2010 15:35 youngminii wrote:
So a pretty interesting thing that happened was (believe me or not, it doesn't really affect anything) foolishness pm'd me this morning being pretty vague. He said something like he needed a few things for someone to check up on and that I could help him figure a few things out. I have no clue what he was talking about and by the time I replied he was already dead.

Anyways, now that SC2 is back down I'm gonna go read through pretty much the entire thread again. Brb.


Dammit. THEY ALWAYS GET TO THE GUY FIRST.
SUNSFANNED
BrownBear
Profile Joined March 2010
United States6894 Posts
July 20 2010 06:39 GMT
#677
On July 20 2010 15:38 iNfuNdiBuLuM wrote:
BrownBear i'd like to see more input from the rest of the town but i guess my sentiments on vets claiming boils to this:

1. the town wants the mafia to inadvertently waste hits on vets
2. vets claiming practically guarantees that this will not happen


Yeah, that's how a normal setup works. What I'm saying though, is because we know the exact number of vets in this game, we can use that to our advantage and use the vets as confirmed townies, to greater effect. I believe coordination > random hit soaking, but I guess we have to agree to disagree.
SUNSFANNED
BrownBear
Profile Joined March 2010
United States6894 Posts
July 20 2010 06:45 GMT
#681
I am going to bed as well. Will post sporadically tomorrow. Working from 7 AM PST to 11 PM PST. Will find time to be active though, god willing.

Peace.
SUNSFANNED
BrownBear
Profile Joined March 2010
United States6894 Posts
July 20 2010 21:52 GMT
#746
On July 21 2010 06:28 citi.zen wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 21 2010 06:13 DarthThienAn wrote:
On July 21 2010 06:09 citi.zen wrote:
On July 21 2010 05:56 DarthThienAn wrote:
On July 21 2010 05:51 Pandain wrote:
On July 21 2010 05:46 DarthThienAn wrote:

Actually, the mafia made a huge mistake - one of their hits failed, or they stacked their hits on Foolishness, a townie. A smart/good player, but only 1 townie nonetheless. The less people there are, the greater their voting power, it's stupid to stack on night 1. So to me, the statement IS false, but the reason why it's suspicious is that no one would ever genuinely say that -> mafia.



Haha, you're right about that mistake. However, I thought it had been determined that D3 was also hit but protected by a medic. So they didn't stack their hits, one of their hits simply failed. And the more important thing is why would no one say that? Heck, I might say that. "Hey the mafia are doing pretty good." Just to be sure when I'm voting, please explain more.

+ Show Spoiler +
If Subversion IS mafia, i'm so going to kill myself.


There's the possibility that d3 is a mafia faking taking a hit. It's low chance, but not 0% so I didn't leave it out.

Other than that, he's either a veteran and/or got medic protection.

What do you mean? My thoughts: Mafia FAILED last night strategically. Subversion was NOT being sarcastic/joking (look at his post). So why would he say that? Furthermore, even if the mafia HAD failed, saying that "mafia aren't making too many mistakes" is an extremely odd statement to make. Sure, it's not the best lead, but it's better than me, and I'm willing to let BB redeem himself if he happens to be a terrible townie. Subversion, on the other hand, doesn't seem to be on the path to correction at all.

I don't know... I am leaning with Pandain here. Subversion is a brand new player who does not know what to expect in these games. I can see him think... "How do you catch mafia? You watch for mistakes! Have we caught any? Nope. Ah - so thus far they aren't making too many mistakes."

I see no huge red flag. That said, he does not strike me as someone useful for the town so I am OK losing him if there are no better candidates.


No huge red flag, but it's better than BB and myself. ^_^.

Thanks for the honest comment, I understand where you are coming from.

I am a bit puzzled as to the rest of the players though. Every time someone screams out a name for some trivial reason, there is a voting train:

BB is playing bad, omg! DTA is playing different!!! Subversion said the mafia made no big mistakes thus far, wow!I Hyperbola did... whatever he did, he deserved it!

Voting like this can turn out OK if you are lucky, but in most cases does not really help the town. Zero cost to cast a vote I guess... if you are wrong... so was everyone else... if you are right... ZOMG THIS KID IS PRO!!!!


This. It's not a good tactic as town to just bandwagon everyone who looks suspicious.

Because of this, and because nobody has yet managed to confince me that anyone is mafia, for now I will

##Vote: Abstain

at least until somebody either scumslips (lol citi.zen in GF mafia) or people uncover enough evidence against a candidate to convince me.
SUNSFANNED
BrownBear
Profile Joined March 2010
United States6894 Posts
July 20 2010 22:31 GMT
#752
I wouldn't go so far as to say chaoser started a bandwagon on me, as others were already against me to begin with. But there's been so much hate against me coming from him.

So. Much.

:'(
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BrownBear
Profile Joined March 2010
United States6894 Posts
July 20 2010 23:06 GMT
#758
On July 21 2010 07:39 chaoser wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 21 2010 07:31 BrownBear wrote:
I wouldn't go so far as to say chaoser started a bandwagon on me, as others were already against me to begin with. But there's been so much hate against me coming from him.

So. Much.

:'(


Hey, look on the bright side, at least I didn't vote for you =]. I'll go buy you a snow cone later if you're not mafia.


Yaaaaaaay! :D
SUNSFANNED
BrownBear
Profile Joined March 2010
United States6894 Posts
July 20 2010 23:12 GMT
#759
On July 21 2010 07:45 Pandain wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 21 2010 07:31 BrownBear wrote:
I wouldn't go so far as to say chaoser started a bandwagon on me, as others were already against me to begin with. But there's been so much hate against me coming from him.

So. Much.

:'(


Actually, I do have one final question for you Brown Bear. Why DID You vote for Hyperbola in the begining.


1) Forgot mafia had started
2) got PM from BM reminding me that there is a game going on
3) Panicked, ran into the thread and voted for the first person I saw who had votes against him (Hyperbola)
4) reread rules, realized I could abstain, realized it didn't matter that much at that point anyway, as Hyperbola was dead, so didn't bother to change vote.
SUNSFANNED
BrownBear
Profile Joined March 2010
United States6894 Posts
July 21 2010 05:24 GMT
#830
This thread has exploded and gotten kinda nuts.

Chaoser, you keep contradicting yourself, and I don't really buy your explanations...
SUNSFANNED
BrownBear
Profile Joined March 2010
United States6894 Posts
July 21 2010 06:01 GMT
#832
Bedtime again for me. Will look tomorrow to see if more shit goes down.

Right now, a little suspicious of chaoser, but not enough to vote for him yet. We'll see tomorrow if he posts more.
SUNSFANNED
BrownBear
Profile Joined March 2010
United States6894 Posts
July 21 2010 17:22 GMT
#862
DarthThienAn is playing this game as though he were Chezinu... which is not the way DarthThienAn plays at all. I think Pyrrhuloxia (why does everyone in this game have impossible to spell names) has the best explanation, and says things I was thinking on my own - Darth is playing as though he were Village Idiot, and for some reason that's given him Teflon armor against suspicion for the most part - there have been scattered people saying "Hey, wait a minute" but nobody's really listening, everyone is obsessed over Chaoser/Subversion/me.

As far as those 3...

I know I am green, but you guys are going to have to decide whether you believe me or not. Subversion's "mistake" isn't even a mistake at all, and you guys all jumped in and tried to create something out of it - not really the direction town should be going in. Chaoser I still find slightly suspicious, but he's been pretty willing to post and to defend himself - as long as he clarifies a few of his contradictions, I'd be okay with not lynching him. He might be a good target for rolecheck tonight, though. I dunno.

For now,
##Unvote Abstain
##Vote: DarthThienAn


Because he is the most suspicious, I think abstaining should only be used as a placeholder, and we're running out of time in this day. Plus, his death will give us at least some information, which is still better than the next-to-no information we would get from lynching subversion, chaoser, or me.
SUNSFANNED
BrownBear
Profile Joined March 2010
United States6894 Posts
July 21 2010 17:46 GMT
#865
On July 22 2010 00:39 iNfuNdiBuLuM wrote:
Rastaban (and others), to clarify my double lynch vote: it's a bet that after tonights actions we will have more than 1 target on the next day. In my experience Days 3 or 4 are the best time to start the double lynch (which means for Day 3 we vote for double lynch on Day 2, etc). I don't like waiting until Day 5 for double lynch because too many townies can die by that time and it makes it harder to use one of our most dangerous weapons against the mafia. If you guys aren't voting for it today, you should strongly consider voting for it tomorrow.


Fair enough, I prefer waiting until Day 4 usually, except in circumstances where the mafia have already been outed (successful DT check night 1, obvious scum, a lynch giving us a ton of information, that kind of thing. We've had none of that so far, so I'm not going to vote for it. I understand your logic though.

On July 22 2010 00:39 iNfuNdiBuLuM wrote:It's "Infundibulum."


I swear, everyone in this game has an impossible to spell/pronounce name. Maybe it's a defense mechanism. Nobody will vote for you because they don't want to be bothered to spell it out
SUNSFANNED
BrownBear
Profile Joined March 2010
United States6894 Posts
July 21 2010 20:15 GMT
#880
On July 22 2010 04:51 BloodyC0bbler wrote:
people still discussing the crap of BB rather than just ignoring him based on stupidity.


Hey, I still think it's a good idea. You don't have to agree with it, but you also don't have to call me stupid because you don't like my idea.


On July 22 2010 04:53 Roffles wrote:
??

I never voted on Day 2. I just think BrownBear played Day 1 like a moron, and that Subversion's tactics are odd/newblike, but not necessarily Mafia like.


Both true.

At this point, I think we should be talking about other things. Namely, who do we want to protect/rolecheck, and more importantly, should we even be talking about things like that publicly? We have to remember there's still a suicide bomber out there.
SUNSFANNED
BrownBear
Profile Joined March 2010
United States6894 Posts
July 21 2010 20:35 GMT
#887
So seeing as people keep saying "God BB your plan sucks" (BC, Amber), I think it's time to actually defend my plan a little bit, because believe it or not, I'm sticking by it, and I think it's not a bad idea. Out of all of you who said my plan was terribad, there was only ONE person who asked me, either in the thread or PM, what the logic behind my plan was. So yeah, only one person who actually tried to figure out what was going on, instead of just saying "OMG BB sux lets vote for him." So that guy (you know who you are) - thank you. The rest of you, seriously?

I'm copying my reply to him here, because I think everyone should read it. If he feels like saying who he is, he can confirm that this is accurate.

+ Show Spoiler [my PM] +

Yo, thanks for the PM.

My inactivity was partially due to me working most of the day, and partially due to me scrubbing and forgetting that the game had started :/

My logic behind vet roleclaim was thus, and I hope this makes sense:

In most TL Mafia setups, hosts choose to mask the number of certain roles actually present in the game (example: they won't tell you how many medics there are, only that medics are present in the game). This is to prevent situations like mass roleclaiming, where the town forces everyone to claim or get lynched, then checks the numbers against the numbers in the OP. This can be a very powerful town move if pulled off correctly, or give the mafia a ton of free blue roles to hit, but regardless, many hosts don't like it happening, so they prevent it from being possible.

In a setup like the one above, its impossible to say "all vets claim" and get an accurate result, because you don't know if there are 1, 2, or 3, or maybe even 4 vets, so it's trivial for scum to sneak a fakeclaim in there. Thus, nobody claiming can really be trusted, apart from DT rolechecks or people who get protected from a hit/vets who soak a hit.

Thus, in a normal game, vets fulfill the role everyone has said they should fulfill: They exists under the radar and hope mafia hits them, so they can soak a hit that would have otherwise killed someone. The problem is, this happens rarely (usually only once a game, if that), and somehow, vets always end up getting lynched. Thus, they aren't always the most helpful role.

My idea was thus: Since BM has told us there are exactly 2 vets in the game, we know there are exactly two vets in the game. In my experience, as I mentioned above, vets don't always do their job (not their fault, its just "doing their job" hinges on another group outside their control targeting them). As we've seen in other mafia games (Caller's RO3K game is a good example), when town bands together and has good organization, it's really easy for town to win. Mafia usually wins if they prevent town from organizing in this way.

Thus, I believe in this setup, the vets would actually be more helpful to town in the spotlight as town organizers, rather than in the shadows hoping to soak hits. As a vet has 2 nightlives, mafia has to waste an entire night just to kill one vet, rather than kill 2 others (and possibly hit other blues like DTs). This isn't something most mafia teams would be willing to do (especially if medics start protecting the vigis - they become unkillable).

So basically, we'd have the vets claim. If only 2 claim, we're set, we just have blues PM them, and start an epic town circle. Vets would know if people were lying because of the openness of the setup: if 3 DTs claim to them, they'd know one of them was scum, and could probably figure it out pretty quickly. This would be a great way to coordinate rolechecks, medic protection, even vigi kills or Mad Hatter Bombs depending on which of those roles we have. Essentially, town would become a well-oiled machine and would screw mafia over.

If more than 2 vets claim, we just have to rolecheck them, nail a mafia, and go back to the first scenario from that point out.

Now, naturally this plan isn't perfect. There are three major flaws:

1) If GF decided to appear as a vet to rolechecks, it sinks this plan completely, obviously.

2) If one or both vets is inactive/doesn't read the thread, that also sinks this plan.

3) The Suicide Bomber. This role exists to counter mass roleclaims and to prevent us from telling medics to protect certain people IN THE THREAD. It's very possible that the mafia might decide to bomb one of the vets - but that's why we have two. Mafia would be trading a scum for a townie.

Hope this makes sense! Ask me if you have any more questions.
SUNSFANNED
BrownBear
Profile Joined March 2010
United States6894 Posts
July 21 2010 21:04 GMT
#894
On July 22 2010 05:46 BloodyC0bbler wrote:
BB you just outlined a plan that works in the elimination of a GF + bomber. You know that both are still alive, so arguing your point is what makes the idea dumb. IF GF + Bomber were dead, or hell if even the bomber was dead, it would be marginally reasonable. Instead you keep pushing a plan that we cannot in any way perform as of this moment. Why keep pushing it knowing that it can't succeed at this venture? seriously dude, that is why your getting called out for being dumb.


Sigh. What happens in the case that GF decided not to appear as vet? Not a problem. Also, if you actually happened to read carefully, you would notice that i said SB doesn't necessarily break the plan - it just throws a wrench in it. It just requires more careful planning + execution.
SUNSFANNED
BrownBear
Profile Joined March 2010
United States6894 Posts
July 21 2010 21:05 GMT
#895
On July 22 2010 06:03 Pandain wrote:
Right now I believe the two viable decisions are either Chaoser or Darth. They are the two most likely canidates for actually being mafia. BB and Subversion are just new and people are jumping on them for really miniscule posts. The only one thing that could lead to one of them being mafia is Subversions deciding vote in favor of Hyperbola, however that is still unlikely because it is just as likely that
1)The Mafia didn't know of BM's miscount
2)He just voted at an unlucky time.

So all those who are picking either BB or Subversion (especially BB) I urge you to change your vote and vote for either Darth of Chaoser.
I would suggest Chaoser, just because I find him more likely to be mafia than DTA. To me, it still seems that Chaoser is just trying to get people lynched and DTA could be plannign something. Of course we should keep an eye on DTA, but let's not just lynch him and ruin anything he might be doing.

I would urge you to vote Chaoser, but at the very least I humbly request all those not voting either DTA/Chaoser to unvote and pick one of them.


Don't know where you've been, but I'm not exactly new at this point. I screwed up day 1, but I've played many games here before.
SUNSFANNED
BrownBear
Profile Joined March 2010
United States6894 Posts
July 21 2010 21:08 GMT
#899
On July 22 2010 06:07 Pandain wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 22 2010 06:04 BrownBear wrote:
On July 22 2010 05:46 BloodyC0bbler wrote:
BB you just outlined a plan that works in the elimination of a GF + bomber. You know that both are still alive, so arguing your point is what makes the idea dumb. IF GF + Bomber were dead, or hell if even the bomber was dead, it would be marginally reasonable. Instead you keep pushing a plan that we cannot in any way perform as of this moment. Why keep pushing it knowing that it can't succeed at this venture? seriously dude, that is why your getting called out for being dumb.


Sigh. What happens in the case that GF decided not to appear as vet? Not a problem. Also, if you actually happened to read carefully, you would notice that i said SB doesn't necessarily break the plan - it just throws a wrench in it. It just requires more careful planning + execution.


I think we're saying that this plan would just be more dangerous than it would be fruitful, so until we have more information to go on we shouldn't do that just yet.

Also, as I currently understand it is quite common for the GF to pick Veteran so therefore it woudl be quite common that the plan would begin to deteoriate. I understand where you're coming from but as of now I do not believe your plan would be the most suitable for the town right now.


Ok, that's a legitimate complaint. I'll accept that.
SUNSFANNED
BrownBear
Profile Joined March 2010
United States6894 Posts
July 21 2010 22:47 GMT
#957
Voting rules

1. You must post your vote in this thread. Do not PM or IM it to me.
2. You must clearly declare your vote ie: 'I vote for X'. "vote: name" whatever. bold it.
3. You can not autochange your vote to the losing or winning bandwagon.
4. You cannot vote for yourself or anyone dead or outside the game.
5. In the event of a tie the person with the most votes first wins over the other person.
6. You may abstain, but must let me know: ie: 'I abstain from voting'.
7. If you vote for double lynch you must vote for a player, or already be voting for a player, or you will automatically abstain.
SUNSFANNED
BrownBear
Profile Joined March 2010
United States6894 Posts
July 21 2010 22:49 GMT
#961
On July 22 2010 07:43 Pandain wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 22 2010 07:17 DarthThienAn wrote:
unvote
##Vote: chaoser


Someone, quick summary of what chaoser is being lynched?


Why would you vote for Chaoser if you didn't even know what he was being lynched for ? :o


Actually the least scummy thing he's done so far. Logically, he doesn't want to die.
SUNSFANNED
BrownBear
Profile Joined March 2010
United States6894 Posts
July 21 2010 22:50 GMT
#962
Awwww, Darth beat me to it.
SUNSFANNED
BrownBear
Profile Joined March 2010
United States6894 Posts
July 21 2010 22:53 GMT
#967
It's difficult to tell because there's not a separate voting thread, but at the last official count, DTA had 7, and subversion and chaoser each had 6.
SUNSFANNED
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